Capitol - Your Illinois News Radar » Poll: 66 percent of Chicagoans think the city is on the wrong track
SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax      Advertise Here      Mobile Version     Exclusive Subscriber Content     Updated Posts    Contact
To subscribe to Capitol Fax, click here.
Poll: 66 percent of Chicagoans think the city is on the wrong track

Monday, Sep 25, 2017

* Normington, Petts & Associates poll, taken Sept. 11-13 of 500 registered Chicago voters with a margin of error of plus or minus 4.4 percent

Would you say things in Chicago are generally headed in the RIGHT DIRECTION or would you say things are pretty seriously off on the WRONG TRACK?

    DON’T KNOW 14

Whew, man.

* Interesting that they don’t really know whom to blame, but more point at Gov. Rauner than anyone else

Changing subjects, which of the following do you blame the most for Chicago’s financial problems? [READ AND RANDOMIZE]

    (DON’T KNOW) 12

* And I’m betting that plenty of people outside the city believe this about state budget problems as well

Do you STRONGLY AGREE, SOMEWHAT AGREE, SOMEWHAT DISAGREE or STRONGLY DISAGREE that the budget and fiscal problems at the city and state level are hurting business expansion in Chicago?

    (DON’T KNOW) 7

All emphasis was added by me.

* Meanwhile, the poll found that 16 percent of Chicagoans had a favorable opinion of President Trump, while 75 percent had an unfavorable opinion. Gov. Rauner’s numbers were 19 favorable, 59 unfavorable. Mayor Emanuel’s were 33 favorable, 45 unfavorable. JB Pritzker’s were 29 favorable, 21 unfavorable [10 percent very unfavorable]. And Chris Kennedy’s were 19 favorable, 18 unfavorable [8 percent very unfavorable].

* The poll also found that the Chicago Police Department rated a 50 percent favorable rating compared to a 30 percent unfavorable rating.

More from the accompanying analysis

What most people want to know is how the results break down by race. Of African-Americans polled, it does change, although not as much as I expected. The breakdown is: 11 percent very favorable; 24 percent somewhat favorable; 23 percent neutral; 17 percent somewhat unfavorable; and 20 percent very unfavorable.

…Adding… From Kitty Kurth…

Hey Rich - this poll that you quoted is the Temkin/Harris poll commissioned by Max Temkin from Cards Against Humanity and Melissa Harris. They will be doing these “mood of the city” polls periodically.

- Posted by Rich Miller        

  1. - James the Intolerant - Monday, Sep 25, 17 @ 1:13 pm:

    I am surprised only 20% chose Daley. He spent and didn’t fund budgets in some good economic times. 5 for 22 for funding pensions is a low batting average.

  2. - Iggy - Monday, Sep 25, 17 @ 1:15 pm:

    who are these 20 percenters that believe Chicago is going in the right direction? what a time to be alive…

  3. - Harry - Monday, Sep 25, 17 @ 1:16 pm:

    So for African-Americans polled, they split about evenly favorable (35) vs. unfavorable (37) view of police, with the unfavorables being somewhat more intense.

    Not what the media and most politicians want you to think.

  4. - City - Monday, Sep 25, 17 @ 1:16 pm:

    No surprise…it looks like the police are more popular than any of the others!

  5. - whetstone - Monday, Sep 25, 17 @ 1:20 pm:

    Daley over Rahm for the city’s financial problems was a mild surprise. Not saying people are wrong, just that usually in polls people don’t have very long memories.

  6. - Lucky Pierre - Monday, Sep 25, 17 @ 1:23 pm:

    Winston Churchill was absolutely right- “The best argument against democracy is a 5 minute conversation with the average voter”

    22% of average voters blame Chicago’s debt on Governor Rauner and not the Chicago politicians who have been running Chicago and Illinois who have had their head in the sand for decades.

  7. - Reality Check - Monday, Sep 25, 17 @ 1:29 pm:

    Rich, the link to the analysis appears to be wrong / broken.

    Separately, who paid for this poll?

  8. - Whatever - Monday, Sep 25, 17 @ 1:33 pm:

    Wouldn’t it be nice if both Rauner and Rahm were defeated?

  9. - Louis G Atsaves - Monday, Sep 25, 17 @ 1:35 pm:

    Those who commissioned the poll admit that it omitted the soda pop tax of Cook County and was taken prior to Kennedy’s choice of Lt.Gov.

    Some interesting numbers in there.

  10. - Reality Check - Monday, Sep 25, 17 @ 1:39 pm:

    Disregard me @ 1:29. The link has been fixed and that discloses the poll’s source.

  11. - Steve - Monday, Sep 25, 17 @ 1:39 pm:

    It’s quite odd that Bruce Rauner’s name would be associated with Chicago. How powerful and influential the GOP is to some people in Chicago ! I must have missed the Bruce Rauner voting block in Chicago’s City Council.

  12. - Anonymous - Monday, Sep 25, 17 @ 1:39 pm:

    Q: Who paid for this poll?

    A: “Max Temkin of Cards Against Humanity and Melissa Harris of M. Harris LLC have launched a semi-annual poll of Chicago registered voters.”

    – MrJM

  13. - Rich Miller - Monday, Sep 25, 17 @ 1:40 pm:

    The link works for me.

  14. - Arizona Bob - Monday, Sep 25, 17 @ 1:42 pm:

    So the electorate with perhaps the worst record of electing competent, uncorrupted officials in the nation (or at least outside California) can’t figure out that the problems were created by someone other than Trumps and Rauner. Too bad Churchill didn’t speak to Chicago voters. The time would’ve gone down from 5 minutes to 5 seconds to sour him on Democracy…As I’ve long said the problem in Illinois is having bad decisions made by voters more than by leadership. Illinois voters knew EXACTLY who they were when they elected (and re-elected) them, so the fault is theirs. When good candidates run, the voters in the city, suburbs and rural areas defeat them in droves.

  15. - Rich Miller - Monday, Sep 25, 17 @ 1:44 pm:

    ===The link has been fixed===

    Nope. I never touched it.

  16. - DuPage Saint - Monday, Sep 25, 17 @ 1:44 pm:

    Very interesting poling on African American view of police. Wonder why so many very unfavorable of Pritzker and Kennedy and once the really nasty ads come out if the ads can drive the unfavorables way up.

  17. - Annonin' - Monday, Sep 25, 17 @ 1:45 pm:

    GovJunk leads good work BTIA 1.0 and 2.0

  18. - chi - Monday, Sep 25, 17 @ 1:57 pm:

    = the electorate with perhaps the worst record of electing competent, uncorrupted officials in the nation (or at least outside California)=

    Either this statement is wrong, or electing competent people is not necessary to have a world class economy. Geez, what has electing competent, incorruptible people in Small Town, IL gotten them except a need to rely on Chicago for funding, prestige, culture, etc?

  19. - Anonymous - Monday, Sep 25, 17 @ 2:00 pm:

    Seeing how the 500 voters being polled are most likely Democrats, Rauner’s only 22% is very low when you consider who the rest of the ones being blamed are. Apparently Chicagoans don’t live in a bubble like one would expect.

  20. - Roman - Monday, Sep 25, 17 @ 2:01 pm:

    I’m pleasantly surprised that 20 percent blamed Daley — the chief culprit. Thought it would be lower than that.

    The Rauner blame number is silly, of course, but also testament to how loathed he is in the city. One of the keys to his success in ‘14 was low turnout in Chicago, which was caused by lack of enthusiasm for Quinn and a the fact that city voters, especially African-Americans, didn’t have strong negative feelings about Rauner. That condition no longer exists.

  21. - Ron - Monday, Sep 25, 17 @ 2:01 pm:

    Chicago’s economy is propping up the state of Illinois. Downstate is an economic disaster zone.

  22. - DarkHorse - Monday, Sep 25, 17 @ 2:06 pm:

    While I’m far from a fan of Gov. Rauner, if he gets 19-20% of the vote in Chicago, isn’t that good enough for him to get re-elected?

  23. - Chicago_Downstater - Monday, Sep 25, 17 @ 2:07 pm:

    Very interesting stuff. Blows up my hope that folks are beginning to second guess the CTU, but that was always a bit cracked on my part.

    Personally, I’m interested in how this poll will shift once the Automatic Registration starts up. I have a theory that those that are currently registered to vote in Chicago probably have some statistically significant differences from Chicago citizens that aren’t currently registered. If I’m correct, then making registration easier could create a powerful shift in the opinions captured on a registered voter poll. However, any shifts in a poll like this would probably overestimate the effects of automatic registration on election night as likely voters would become even more different than only registered voter. Taking that into account, it might behoove these pollsters to separate out likely voters in the future.

  24. - wordslinger - Monday, Sep 25, 17 @ 2:08 pm:

    LP, you’re hilarious.

    On the NFL thread today, you’re yammering on and on about how righteous Rauner is with the people because you say polls support his position.

    Now, when the poll numbers aren’t good for
    Rauner, you say the people are dopes.

    Don’t let Proft catch you with one of those integrity tests.

  25. - ChgoSphinx - Monday, Sep 25, 17 @ 2:14 pm:

    I love how the voters blame Daley. Those would be the same voters who reelected him time and again BECAUSE prop taxes were kept ridiculously low while pensions were fat, the city grew, jobs were plentiful, and garbage and snow removal were the most reliable in the country. The voters loved getting it all for nothing. Of course the City is struggling. They got what they voted for and need to share the “blame.”

  26. - City Zen - Monday, Sep 25, 17 @ 2:14 pm:


    We all know there’s one particular union that would draw a more pointed response: CTU. Strange they would go unmentioned. Perhaps it’s because IEA commissions Normington, Petts & Associates for their member polls, among other things.

  27. - Cheryl44 - Monday, Sep 25, 17 @ 2:16 pm:

    As a Chicagoan, I think their questions need to be even more vague.

  28. - Henry Francis - Monday, Sep 25, 17 @ 2:16 pm:

    Well, in Richie M’s defense, the poll doesn’t use middle initials. So maybe some of his votes were for his old man.

  29. - Anonymous - Monday, Sep 25, 17 @ 2:24 pm:

    What, no MJM? Interesting his name is not listed because outside of Chicago he would be #1.

  30. - Ducky LaMoore - Monday, Sep 25, 17 @ 2:27 pm:

    ===Well, in Richie M’s defense, the poll doesn’t use middle initials. So maybe some of his votes were for his old man.===

    It’s all Harold Washington’s fault;)

  31. - James the Intolerant - Monday, Sep 25, 17 @ 2:37 pm:

    In defense of Richie M? Sheesh. THe poll should’ve been 50% for him, there is no defense. He was at the helm.

  32. - Rod - Monday, Sep 25, 17 @ 2:39 pm:

    As a Chicagoan who voted against Richard M Daley repeatedly and who simply did not vote for the current Mayor Emanuel by not casting a Mayoral ballot I have to say Arizona Bob made a valid point. Chicagoans have fought property tax increases since the time of Daley the elder.

    We have made it known that loyalty to the Democrats is based on low property taxes, cheap water, a large police force, and numerous other entitlements due to the citizens of Chicago. We as a collective electorate have been negligent of our own fiscal responsibilities towards funding our services and have gotten away with passing the buck for many years. In particular the lower valued home owners here in the City have it good compared to the south suburbs and the high value home owners have it good compared to similar homes in the northern suburbs.

    But that politically clouted low property tax and services charges has come to an end with rapidly rising costs. The problem now is the sticker shock for how fast all these costs are increasing. As I have said before the chickens are coming home to roost.

  33. - Anonymous - Monday, Sep 25, 17 @ 2:46 pm:

    Everything started going downhill after the Fort Dearborn Massacre. Blame the Potawatomi.

  34. - Carhartt Representative - Monday, Sep 25, 17 @ 3:03 pm:

    No fan of Mayor Daley, but it’s been half a decade. It’s amazing how much of the blame Rahm has escaped as he exacerbates the problems.

  35. - Mr B - Monday, Sep 25, 17 @ 4:28 pm:

    Despite all the city’s problems, the northside is experiencing quite a construction boom. Definitely becoming the most dynamic area in Chicagoland. As far as the Southside, hanging in there.

  36. - Last Bull Moose - Monday, Sep 25, 17 @ 5:51 pm:

    Daley wore his love for Chicago on his sleeve. For years the financial problems were out of sight.

  37. - Original Rambler - Monday, Sep 25, 17 @ 6:10 pm:

    I don’t understand how the City’s financial problems are anyone but Daley. Disastrous labor contracts tied to Olympics failure; Parking meter fiasco with all that rainy day money gone by the end of his last term, Failing to make pension payments while simultaneously adding sweeteners; Hired Truck scam; etc. Boy people have short memories.

  38. - Shytown - Monday, Sep 25, 17 @ 6:24 pm:

    With all due respect, while this is a creative way to generate publicity for oneself, I wouldn’t put my money on it. Am guessing the universe isn’t likely voters and therefore it doesn’t shed real light on the pols and Gov’s race.

  39. - Arsenal - Tuesday, Sep 26, 17 @ 9:19 am:

    ==Am guessing the universe isn’t likely voters==

    You want a likely voter screen 13 months before the Governor’s election?

TrackBack URI

Sorry, comments for this post are now closed.

* Question of the day
* The great Rauner pivot of 2017
* Rauner's rollout
* Kennedy's "revolution"
* Plummer jumps into crowded field
* Report: HQ2 incentive package could top $2.25 billion
* More support for overriding Rauner veto of debt transparency bill
* *** UPDATED x1 *** Yet another problem at DCFS
* Will Illinois really break the spending record?
* Ives gears up, Walsh waits in wings
* *** UPDATED x1 *** "I’ve had hands up my skirt. I’ve had my hair pulled - There’s just kind of nothing you can really do"
* Rauner's federal pension idea allows "some level of bankruptcy"
* *** UPDATED x1 *** Dems pounce on new Rauner ad
* Poll: Pritzker leads Kennedy and Biss 39-15-6
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today's edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)
* Rate the Rauner campaign kickoff video
* Yesterday's stories

Visit our advertisers...





* More Rauner, Democrat showdowns on tap in fall .....
* More Rauner, Democrat showdowns on tap in fall .....
* More Rauner, Democrat showdowns on tap in fall .....
* More Rauner, Democrat showdowns on tap in fall .....
* More Rauner, Democrat showdowns on tap in fall .....
* More Rauner, Democrat showdowns on tap in fall .....
* Gubernatorial Candidates on Madigan - Alton Dai.....
* More Rauner, Democrat showdowns on tap in fall .....
* More Rauner, Democrat showdowns on tap in fall .....
* More Rauner, Democrat showdowns on tap in fall .....

* More Rauner, Democrat showdowns on tap in fall session
* Illinois panel to propose plan for adult education, literacy
* Chicago-area executives sentenced in school-fraud case
* Judge: Trump's health care cuts don't pose immediate threat
* South Bend a hot market for football weekend home rentals
* Child deaths spike in Illinois after DCFS privatizes program
* Peoria man charged in 1994 murder in suburban Chicago
* Man found guilty in death of student trying to sell his car
* Future of king salmon uncertain in Great Lakes
* Judge in Schock case sticks to finding against prosecutors

* Child deaths spike in Illinois after DCFS privatizes program
* Illinois, other states ask judge to keep health subsidies that Trump cut
* Democratic attorneys general unite against concealed-carry gun law
* Gov. Rauner makes re-election bid official with video
* Governor's race could be costliest in U.S. history
* Voter advocates push Illinois to exit multistate database
* Lawmakers set to return Tuesday for veto session
* Illinois Lottery's new manager projects $4B in sales
* UIS students could study at newly proposed Chicago research center
* Aaron Schock attorneys contest federal claims on misstatements

* Illinois asks judge to keep health subsidies that Trump cut
* Here are the key questions Rauner didn't answer today
* How Oscar Munoz spooked United Airlines investors
* Chicago's offer to Amazon: $2.25 billion in incentives
* Threadless acquires Bucketfeet

* Georgia Nicols horoscopes for Oct. 24, 2017
* Dear Abby: Teen failing school, blames absent dad
* 2 decades later, man charged with killing elderly Lisle woman in 1994
* Man charged with killing woman, hurting 2 others in SW Side stabbing
* Violent 6 hours on Monday leave 1 dead, 6 wounded in Chicago shootings
* Man, 22, shot in Rogers Park
* Man faces charges after being found inside car in Evanston dealership
* MITCHELL: Gold Star Family disputes President Trump’s version of facts
* Pair charged with robbing woman using BB gun in Evanston
* Robber breaks into Evanston apartment, gets held up until cops arrive

* Teachers barred from Chicago Public Schools found work at city charters, inspector general says
* Chicago police seek answers in slaying of father of 3, killed after attending rock concert
* 5 Michigan teens charged with murder after rock thrown from highway overpass kills man
* Small Montana firm lands Puerto Rico's biggest contract to get the power back on
* Climate change already costing U.S. billions, GAO report says
* 1 dead, 7 wounded in separate city shootings
* Cubs assistant Eric Hinske takes hitting coach job with Angels
* Chicago-area high school football Week 10 rankings
* Publican chef Cosmo Goss fired over 'inappropriate' photo incident
* Harley-riding Rauner kicks off re-election bid with new video, Madigan criticism

» 4 Takeaways From Gov. Bruce Rauner’s Re-election Launch
» Retired Judge Richard Posner: ‘I’m Forming Nationwide Pro-Bono Group’
» EPA Looks At Cleanup Alternatives For Lead-Contaminated Indiana Site
» Lawmakers Push For Transparency In State Debt
» Rauner Makes Re-election Bid Official With Video
» Where Can Homeless People Pitch Tents In Chicago?
» Voter Advocates Push Illinois To Exit Multistate Database
» Lawmaker Says Facebook Refuses To Fact Check Ads
» State Week: Chasing Amazon, Bonding Debt
» Teaching Kids To ‘Say Something’ In An Era of School Shootings

* By Marc A. Thiessen: Virginia's Gillespie is tireless campaigner focusing on issues voters care about
* Child deaths spike in Illinois after DCFS privatizes program
* Illinois, other states ask judge to keep health subsidies that Trump cut
* Democratic attorneys general unite against concealed-carry gun law
* Gov. Rauner makes re-election bid official with video
* George Will: The fatal conceit of planning for the future
* Our View: Overriding this veto is a no-brainer
* Governor's race could be costliest in U.S. history
* Statehouse Insider: Will veto session show GOP revolt?
* Our View: Figure out how to make Innovation Network a reality

* Davenport Public Library offers virtual reality demo
* Planetarium offers fall open house
* Wine tasting fundraiser set Oct. 28
* Ghost investigation event set Oct. 25
* Police ID man shot by police after firing into Carbondale crowd
* Suspect in officer-involved shooting in Carbondale identified; ISP asking for witnesses to step forward
* HS 4A Volleyball Regional: Centennial vs. Danville
* McGee: 'Glad to get him out there'
* Smith: 'Figure out a way to shut them down'
* Child deaths spike in Illinois after DCFS privatizes program

* Condos, not hotel in St. Charles' First Street plans
* Bruce Rauner makes re-election bid official with video
* Girls volleyball scoreboard: Monday, Oct. 23 results
* Arlington Heights police search for liquor store robber
* Ducks' Patrick Eaves recovering from Guillain-Barre syndrome

* Dissident artist Ai Weiwei and US Rep. Ran...
* Will Trump continue to unravel Obama's leg...
* Democratic 14th Congressional District can...
* GOP congressmen say Rauner 'let down' Illi...
* Hultgren aims to help employers close the ...
* Thompson hopes to close 'skills gap' - Rec...
* Naperville's Lauren Underwood to run for R...
* Bipartisan group of lawmakers pushes job t...
* Measure extends term of FSOC independent m...
* Hundreds of high school students tour Smit...

* Democrats urge President Trump not to shri......

* The Senate must protect families and rejec......

* JFK assassination docs do provide a nice distraction (for Trump) from flaws
* Roundy's Recall: 16,320 Pounds Of Chili And Soup Products
* Stop Driving Kids Crazy
* Amazon slime.
* Will work for $2.5 billion.
* Jason Plummer enters race to replace Sen. Kyle McCarter
* Rauner launches campaign kickoff video
* Halloween reads: real-life horror stories from the Reader archive
* Calder and Koons at the Museum of Contemporary Art, and more of the best things to do in Chicago this week
* Christianity now world's most oppressed faith community

* Illinois Awarded Funds to Offer Advanced Training on Detecting Impaired Driving
* Illinois EPA Announces Upcoming Household Hazardous Waste Collection Events
* IEMA Highlights Emergency Preparedness for People with Access and Functional Needs in May - Ready Illinois website offers preparedness tips for people, caregivers
* First Lady Launches Illinois Family Connects
* Governor and Lt. Governor Unveil 2016 Journal of Local Government Shared Service Best Practices

* Apple Support Doc Highlights In-Car Wireless Chargers That Work With iPhone 8 and 8 Plus
* Third Man Charged in 2014 Celebrity iCloud Phishing Attacks
* New York to finally move on from MetroCard to Apple Pay and other NFC formats
* Google ships Pixel 2 that failed QA while other units click and beep
* Apple Pay in New Zealand Expands to BNZ
* Sprint and T-Mobile skip earnings calls amid merger rumors
* Pixel 2 Real Audio Review: Let’s talk about headphone dongles… (Video)

* Sox Century: After the World Series
* Podcast: 2017 White Sox Pitchers and Catchers season review
* Steep climbs ahead for oft-injured White Sox
* #AwardWorthy: Vote for Engel's glove
* Sporcle Saturday: Long bombs
* Petricka undergoes surgery on right elbow
* Avisail sees similarities in rebuild, stellar year

Main Menu
Pundit rankings
Subscriber Content
Blagojevich Trial
Updated Posts

October 2017
September 2017
August 2017
July 2017
June 2017
May 2017
April 2017
March 2017
February 2017
January 2017
December 2016
November 2016
October 2016
September 2016
August 2016
July 2016
June 2016
May 2016
April 2016
March 2016
February 2016
January 2016
December 2015
November 2015
October 2015
September 2015
August 2015
July 2015
June 2015
May 2015
April 2015
March 2015
February 2015
January 2015
December 2014
November 2014
October 2014
September 2014
August 2014
July 2014
June 2014
May 2014
April 2014
March 2014
February 2014
January 2014
December 2013
November 2013
October 2013
September 2013
August 2013
July 2013
June 2013
May 2013
April 2013
March 2013
February 2013
January 2013
December 2012
November 2012
October 2012
September 2012
August 2012
July 2012
June 2012
May 2012
April 2012
March 2012
February 2012
January 2012
December 2011
November 2011
October 2011
September 2011
August 2011
July 2011
June 2011
May 2011
April 2011
March 2011
February 2011
January 2011
December 2010
November 2010
October 2010
September 2010
August 2010
July 2010
June 2010
May 2010
April 2010
March 2010
February 2010
January 2010
December 2009
November 2009
October 2009
September 2009
August 2009
July 2009
June 2009
May 2009
April 2009
March 2009
February 2009
January 2009
December 2008
November 2008
October 2008
September 2008
August 2008
July 2008
June 2008
May 2008
April 2008
March 2008
February 2008
January 2008
December 2007
November 2007
October 2007
September 2007
August 2007
July 2007
June 2007
May 2007
April 2007
March 2007
February 2007
January 2007
December 2006
November 2006
October 2006
September 2006
August 2006
July 2006
June 2006
May 2006
April 2006
March 2006
February 2006
January 2006
December 2005
April 2005
March 2005
February 2005
January 2005
December 2004
November 2004
October 2004

Blog*Spot Archives
November 2005
October 2005
September 2005
August 2005
July 2005
June 2005
May 2005


RSS Feed 2.0
Comments RSS 2.0

Hosted by MCS SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax Advertise Here Mobile Version Contact Rich Miller