Capitol - Your Illinois News Radar » Gallup: Trump’s 2017 Illinois job disapproval rating was 62 percent
SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax      Advertise Here      Mobile Version     Exclusive Subscriber Content     Updated Posts    Contact
To subscribe to Capitol Fax, click here.
Gallup: Trump’s 2017 Illinois job disapproval rating was 62 percent

Tuesday, Jan 30, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Gallup

President Donald Trump’s job approval rating averaged 38% throughout the U.S. in 2017, but at the state level it ranged from a high of 61% in West Virginia to a low of 26% in Vermont. […]

Trump averaged the lowest first-year approval rating of any president in Gallup history, and lagged Barack Obama’s 57% first-year rating by nearly 20 points. Naturally, this is reflected in Trump’s state-level ratings, with only 12 states giving him 50% or higher approval, compared with 41 for Obama in 2009.

The 50% mark is an important threshold in presidential election years for presidents seeking a second term, as it correlates strongly with reelection. Popular presidents also tend to weather midterm election years with fewer party losses in Congress.

Trump’s latest weekly approval rating is 38%, matching his 2017 average. Not only is the overall number not encouraging for his party heading into the 2018 midterms, but the latest state-level averages suggest Trump will be a liability for Republican candidates in far more states than he will be an asset. […]

These results are based on 171,469 Gallup Daily tracking interviews conducted nationally throughout 2017. Gallup interviewed more than 1,000 respondents in 39 states in 2017, and no fewer than 471 in any other state. Each state’s sample is weighted to match U.S. Census Bureau demographic parameters for that state’s adult population. The full results by state appear at the end of this article.

* Illinois job rating

Approve: 33
Disapprove: 62
No Opinion: 5
Sample size: 5,452

* Methodology

Results for this Gallup poll are based on telephone interviews conducted January 20-December 30, 2017, on the Gallup Daily survey, with a random sample of 171,469 adults, aged 18 and older, living in all 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia. For results based on the total sample of national adults, the margin of sampling error is ±1 percentage points at the 95% confidence level.

Margins of error for individual states are no greater than ±8 percentage points and are ±4 percentage points in most states. All reported margins of sampling error include computed design effects for weighting.

Each sample of national adults includes a minimum quota of 70% cellphone respondents and 30% landline respondents, with additional minimum quotas by time zone within region. Landline and cellular telephone numbers are selected using random-digit-dial methods.


  1. - 47th Ward - Tuesday, Jan 30, 18 @ 12:10 pm:

    5% undecided seems remarkably low to me.

  2. - Mike - Tuesday, Jan 30, 18 @ 12:12 pm:

    Seems like a big win for Gov. Rauner!

  3. - Oswego Willy - Tuesday, Jan 30, 18 @ 12:14 pm:

    “Donald Trump and Bruce Rauner are hurting Illinois”

    “Hurricane McQueary” type headwinds…

    33/62 for Trump

    30/55 for Rauner

    Not good markers…

  4. - Not a Billionaire - Tuesday, Jan 30, 18 @ 12:14 pm:

    Trumps support among likely voters is less based on Alabama.He was at 49 in the exit poll and he is at 53 here.

  5. - Rich Miller - Tuesday, Jan 30, 18 @ 12:16 pm:

    ===He was at 49 in the exit poll and he is at 53 here. ===

    The special election was late in the year. These results were from the entire year, so, yeah, he would’ve been lower by then.

  6. - Chicago Cynic - Tuesday, Jan 30, 18 @ 12:18 pm:

    Thus why all the D candidates in one way or another are running against Trump.

  7. - anon2 - Tuesday, Jan 30, 18 @ 12:22 pm:

    With just 33 percent approval for Trump, no wonder Rauner never uses the President’s name.

  8. - DarkHorse - Tuesday, Jan 30, 18 @ 12:27 pm:

    As for Trump’s “drag” on GOP candidates, what caught my eye is that Republicans have moved up recently in the generic Congressional ballot - from down 13% to down 6%. Perhaps this means some GOP candidates are able to distinguish themselves from Trump - so maybe Rauner, Harold, Roskam, etc. aren’t toast for sure.

  9. - Rich Miller - Tuesday, Jan 30, 18 @ 12:29 pm:

    ===Republicans have moved up recently in the generic Congressional ballot===

    Depends on the pollster.

  10. - Not a Billionaire - Tuesday, Jan 30, 18 @ 12:30 pm:

    As Rich pointed out this a year average for the states. If and not all states may shift….Illinois shifted as much it would be 29 69. No amount of spending can stop that from a wave. At that big a shift it not about a statewide race its about how many republicans will be left in any office.

  11. - Steve - Tuesday, Jan 30, 18 @ 12:42 pm:

    Trump’s numbers don’t mean much in Illinois. Any Republican , at the national level, wouldn’t poll well in Illinois. Illinois is a Democrat party state. Che Guevara and Bernie Sanders are way more popular than Mitt Romney and Donald Trump… in Illinois. Fortunately , for Republicans , Illinois isn’t a state in ascendancy. Illinois Democrats should do well no matter who’s in the White House.

  12. - Oswego Willy - Tuesday, Jan 30, 18 @ 12:46 pm:

    ===Illinois is a Democrat party state.===

    … and yet, Gov. Rauner, ran as an alleged Republican, and won, and Republicans like Mark Kirk, Judy Baar Topinka, all recently won statewide too.

    You stick with “Democrat party”…

  13. - Ducky LaMoore - Tuesday, Jan 30, 18 @ 12:48 pm:

    ===Illinois is a Democrat party state===

    I think Jim Thompson, Jim Edgar, George Ryan, Bruce Rauner, Mark Kirk, Judy Barr Topinka, Dan Rutherford, Peter Fitzgerald etc would probably disagree with you.

  14. - @misterjayem - Tuesday, Jan 30, 18 @ 12:50 pm:

    “Perhaps this means some GOP candidates are able to distinguish themselves from Trump - so maybe Rauner, Harold, Roskam, etc. aren’t toast for sure.”

    The biggest impediment to a second term of Bruce Rauner remains Bruce Rauner’s first term. (But if his back-porch double-reverse blind trust story has any legs, the comparing the in-office dirty business of the Republican executives will be irresistible.)

    Harold will have to run against a Democratic candidate who will say, “Donald Trump is trying to do X to Illinois — I will fight for Illinois against Donald Trump.” And “I will take on Donald Trump’s latest outrage” is a great formula for earned media. I’m pretty sure Donald Trump (and his unpopularity) will be central to that race.

    Roskam can’t run from the Trump tax bill that he helped craft. But he might not need to because his district is tailored for him like a suit. (The best bet for getting rid of Pete is to get rid of Rauner and see how redistricting shakes out.)

    That said, NOBODY is toast for sure.

    IMHO, YMMV, Etc.,
    – MrJM

  15. - Lucky Pierre - Tuesday, Jan 30, 18 @ 1:03 pm:

    OW, as the most prolific “Republican” on this site, how many of your 9 million posts say anything remotely positive about “your” Republican party?

    Nationwide, it has been decades since the Republicans have had this much power in Washington and in state houses.

    Illinois Democrats are not omnipotent and their approval is in the sewer as well.

    Jim Edgar retired 19 years ago.

  16. - Oswego Willy - Tuesday, Jan 30, 18 @ 1:14 pm:

    ===how many of your 9 million posts say anything remotely positive about “your” Republican party?===

    There’s a difference between Raunerites and Republicans.

    The “Perfect 10”

    Leader Radogno, Leader Durkin, Leader Brady, I have given support and encouragement towards Republicans. Rauner is not a Republican.

    You forgot Comptroller Topinka, I didn’t.

    You forgot Bruce Rauner. Ironically, I didn’t, albeit mocking Rauner, but you forgot him.

    I also have supported Gov. Kasich.

    Making it about me… is this all you have?

    Your concerned trolling for and about me is touching.

    I’m more notorious or infamous than anything, why raise that for me?

  17. - Stand Tall - Tuesday, Jan 30, 18 @ 1:23 pm:

    Democratic super majority in the Senate currently and have had control since 2003

    Democratic majority in the House for 33 of the last 35 years with years of having super majority.

    With the exception of the Governors office the Democrats have had a large majority of the years in elected state offices and the U.S. Senate since the early 1960’s.

  18. - Cheryl44 - Tuesday, Jan 30, 18 @ 1:27 pm:

    It’s interesting this was a telephone poll. My guess is the people who took it have land lines, or still answer the phone w/o knowing who is calling. Older people. People more likely to vote.

  19. - Not a Billionaire - Tuesday, Jan 30, 18 @ 1:32 pm:

    It’s land lines and mobile. It seems to be very close based on an actual election…Alabama. It’s an average throughout the year and Trump was clearly declining. With the PA redistricting and California alone the dems may get half the seats they need in house. It looks like they can get the rest in Illinois Iowa New York and New jersey.

  20. - Oswego Willy - Tuesday, Jan 30, 18 @ 1:33 pm:

    ===With the exception of the Governors office…===

    “Besides that, Mrs. Lincoln… “

    The 26 years of Republicans controlling, arguably, one of the most powerful State Executive Office in America…

    Pate and the Senate… a decade.


  21. - Last Bull Moose - Tuesday, Jan 30, 18 @ 2:16 pm:

    There are voters who would like to see a smaller government that is still effective in key areas. There is a perception of corruption that permeates Illinois government. Many would like to see a cleansing.

    Rauner has failed these voters. Trump needs some victories, but is not yet a full fledged failure. I expect Trump will fully fail by November. But he still has time. Rauner does not.

  22. - blue dog dem - Tuesday, Jan 30, 18 @ 2:33 pm:

    Could it be argued that Illinois Republicans aren’t really Republicans?

  23. - Last Bull Moose - Tuesday, Jan 30, 18 @ 3:03 pm:

    BDD Parties change over time. In my youth, memories of abolitionist parents were still alive. That shaped the Republican Party. Today those memories are in history books, not people.

    Reagan would be considered too liberal by today’s Tea Party. And Eisenhower reshaped America with the Interstate system.
    Could either party do that today?

  24. - m - Tuesday, Jan 30, 18 @ 3:06 pm:

    =The 26 years of Republicans controlling, arguably, one of the most powerful State Executive Office in America…
    Pate and the Senate… a decade.
    Hmm. =

    Things ain’t what they used to be.

    Since 2010, you’ve had only Dan Rutherford, Bruce Rauner, Mark Kirk, and JBT win statewide. During that same time the Dems have held strong majorities in both chambers, super majorities for most of that time in the House and still a super majority in the Senate. In 2014, a national GOP wave year, you had two Republicans win statewide, with one of them, JBT, being a unique person with strong bipartisan support, and the other, Rauner, who poured more cash into his own race than any Il gov candidate before. In 2016, you had two statewide races, and despite national results favoring republicans, you had 0 statewide wins.

    The days of Edgar and Pate are long gone.

  25. - Blue dog dem - Tuesday, Jan 30, 18 @ 3:10 pm:

    LBM. Agreed. It will never happen, but I dream of an end to the two party system. It seems like elected officials are entirely owned by their respective parties. The only time they get to cast an opposing vote,it seems, is when the outcome is already decided.

  26. - Oswego Willy - Tuesday, Jan 30, 18 @ 3:13 pm:

    .===… you’ve had only… ===

    That’s 4 wins, one statewide election revived.

    Good try.

    Rauner has destroyed the brand of ILGOP… Trunp is ensuring Republican in states like Illinois remains crippled statewide.

    Saying only 4 wins, a split of the Senate seats, a winner and great statewide elected official, a winner statewide that lost his way, and Rauner who isn’t a Republican by any measure but co-opted the ILGOP… is still 4 win by 4 different people.

    Losing is on my “old” party, the party before Rauner ruined the brand with his taint. Losing races is on those running.

    I fed you.

  27. - Dr X - Tuesday, Jan 30, 18 @ 3:32 pm:

    Meh….Will this knock off Davis, Shimkus, and LaHood? Nah. So Trumpism and its minions will stay strong.

  28. - blue dog dem - Tuesday, Jan 30, 18 @ 8:57 pm:

    BO was a tremendous orator. Trump. Very pedestrian. But I must hand it to Trump. He has more promise to the working poor and middle classes than BO had.

  29. - Ron - Tuesday, Jan 30, 18 @ 9:32 pm:

    No surprise. Trump is the worst human to sit in the Oval Office since Reagan.

Sorry, comments for this post are now closed.

* Question of the day
* Afternoon roundup
* Keep Uber Affordable. Stop Lawsuit Abuse. Oppose HB 2231
* It’s just a bill
* That toddlin' town roundup: Poll has Vallas' Black support plummeting
* Democratic Party of Illinois launches $300K direct mail, online ad program for school and library board races
* *** UPDATED x1 *** Giannoulias awarding grants to combat carjackings and vehicle thefts
* Defense cross-examines former top ComEd lawyer
* Watch the rollercoaster, don't ride it
* Caption contest!
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Supplement to today's edition
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today's edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)
* Open thread
* Isabel’s morning briefing
* *** ComEd 4 trial live coverage ***
* Live coverage
* Yesterday's stories

Visit our advertisers...





Main Menu
Pundit rankings
Subscriber Content
Blagojevich Trial
Updated Posts

March 2023
February 2023
January 2023
December 2022
November 2022
October 2022
September 2022
August 2022
July 2022
June 2022
May 2022
April 2022
March 2022
February 2022
January 2022
December 2021
November 2021
October 2021
September 2021
August 2021
July 2021
June 2021
May 2021
April 2021
March 2021
February 2021
January 2021
December 2020
November 2020
October 2020
September 2020
August 2020
July 2020
June 2020
May 2020
April 2020
March 2020
February 2020
January 2020
December 2019
November 2019
October 2019
September 2019
August 2019
July 2019
June 2019
May 2019
April 2019
March 2019
February 2019
January 2019
December 2018
November 2018
October 2018
September 2018
August 2018
July 2018
June 2018
May 2018
April 2018
March 2018
February 2018
January 2018
December 2017
November 2017
October 2017
September 2017
August 2017
July 2017
June 2017
May 2017
April 2017
March 2017
February 2017
January 2017
December 2016
November 2016
October 2016
September 2016
August 2016
July 2016
June 2016
May 2016
April 2016
March 2016
February 2016
January 2016
December 2015
November 2015
October 2015
September 2015
August 2015
July 2015
June 2015
May 2015
April 2015
March 2015
February 2015
January 2015
December 2014
November 2014
October 2014
September 2014
August 2014
July 2014
June 2014
May 2014
April 2014
March 2014
February 2014
January 2014
December 2013
November 2013
October 2013
September 2013
August 2013
July 2013
June 2013
May 2013
April 2013
March 2013
February 2013
January 2013
December 2012
November 2012
October 2012
September 2012
August 2012
July 2012
June 2012
May 2012
April 2012
March 2012
February 2012
January 2012
December 2011
November 2011
October 2011
September 2011
August 2011
July 2011
June 2011
May 2011
April 2011
March 2011
February 2011
January 2011
December 2010
November 2010
October 2010
September 2010
August 2010
July 2010
June 2010
May 2010
April 2010
March 2010
February 2010
January 2010
December 2009
November 2009
October 2009
September 2009
August 2009
July 2009
June 2009
May 2009
April 2009
March 2009
February 2009
January 2009
December 2008
November 2008
October 2008
September 2008
August 2008
July 2008
June 2008
May 2008
April 2008
March 2008
February 2008
January 2008
December 2007
November 2007
October 2007
September 2007
August 2007
July 2007
June 2007
May 2007
April 2007
March 2007
February 2007
January 2007
December 2006
November 2006
October 2006
September 2006
August 2006
July 2006
June 2006
May 2006
April 2006
March 2006
February 2006
January 2006
December 2005
April 2005
March 2005
February 2005
January 2005
December 2004
November 2004
October 2004

Blog*Spot Archives
November 2005
October 2005
September 2005
August 2005
July 2005
June 2005
May 2005


RSS Feed 2.0
Comments RSS 2.0

Hosted by MCS SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax Advertise Here Mobile Version Contact Rich Miller