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Poll: Rauner 7th most unpopular governor in the country

Thursday, Feb 1, 2018

* Yeah, it’s Morning Consult, and their methodology is more than a bit opaque, but they’ve got Gov. Rauner’s job approval numbers, so let’s take a look

Approve: 31
Disapprove: 55
Don’t know, uncertain: 14

According to the firm, he’s more unpopular than Maine’s Paul LaPage, Wisconsin’s Scott Walker and Michigan’s Rick Snyder.

* But here’s something interesting. Morning Consult released a poll last summer that was taken April 1 through July 10. Here are Rauner’s numbers

Approve: 40
Disapprove: 49
Don’t know, uncertain: 11

So, he was still underwater back then, but he was doing significantly better than he is now.

What changed? Well, do you remember what happened on July 10th, the last day of the poll? The governor began a purge of his administration by firing his chief of staff Richard Goldberg and bringing in people from the Illinois Policy Institute.

By the time the next results were released in October, Rauner’s approval rating fell to 30 percent and his disapproval had risen to 55 percent. Pretty much exactly where they are today.

…Adding… Pritzker campaign…

New national polling by Morning Consult shows that Bruce Rauner is the least popular Republican governor running for reelection, with a net approval rating of -24.

The new polling comes as Bruce Rauner is facing a strong challenge from his own party, with primary opponent Jeanne Ives holding him accountable while he dodges responsibility. As Rauner flails in his re-election bid, he has desperately attempted to defend his nonexistent record, earning him the title of the Worst Republican Governor in America.

“Bruce Rauner can’t defend his own record, can’t name a single real accomplishment, and has mismanaged the state government with fatal consequences,” said Pritzker campaign spokeswoman Jordan Abudayyeh. “The most vulnerable incumbent in the country is under water as Illinoisans prepare to end his reign of crisis and devastation across Illinois.”

- Posted by Rich Miller        

38 Comments
  1. - #UnionVoter - Thursday, Feb 1, 18 @ 9:27 am:

    he has also allowed 13 vets to die under his watch no matter what he claimed yesterday.


  2. - Anonymous - Thursday, Feb 1, 18 @ 9:27 am:

    Run Jeanne. Run.


  3. - Chicago Cynic - Thursday, Feb 1, 18 @ 9:32 am:

    Wow - these Rauner numbers are toxic. Wasn’t sure they would stay this low but that’s some serious headwind to overcome in the fall. No wonder he doesn’t want to face someone who can spending millions reminding people how much they hate Rauner and why.


  4. - just saying - Thursday, Feb 1, 18 @ 9:34 am:

    Rich, do you think Rauner regrets what he did last July or still believes he did the right thing?


  5. - TKMH - Thursday, Feb 1, 18 @ 9:35 am:

    The #7 slot is 6 too low.


  6. - Grandson of Man - Thursday, Feb 1, 18 @ 9:35 am:

    Rauner has done a terrible job, so no surprise. He acts like a victim and not a governor. He’s like a child and blames others.

    The state is far worse off directly because of Rauner, so he earns this.


  7. - wordslinger - Thursday, Feb 1, 18 @ 9:36 am:

    –According to the firm, he’s more unpopular than Maine’s Paul LaPage, Wisconsin’s Scott Walker and Michigan’s Rick Snyder.–

    Geez, Snyder? His Health and Human Services director and other administration peeps have been charged with involuntary manslaughter over Legionairre’s Diseases deaths in Flint.

    That’s a GOP attorney general climbing the ladder on a GOP governor.

    And he’s more popular than Rauner?


  8. - illini - Thursday, Feb 1, 18 @ 9:37 am:

    With all that has happened I am amazed that 31% still approve of him and his administration.


  9. - Retired Educator - Thursday, Feb 1, 18 @ 9:38 am:

    His whole campaign strategy is “The other guy is worse”, Not much of a strategy when you can not point to any success during your term of office. Rauner has lost the confidence of even his early supporters. With few exceptions, even the Republicans in the GA have seen the light. I don’t see a path to reelection for him. He should keep his money and move back to his previous profession. Rauner’s ego won’t allow it, but it would be something to consider.


  10. - insider - Thursday, Feb 1, 18 @ 9:40 am:

    –His whole campaign strategy is “The other guy is worse”–

    That is the only strategy that can lead to victory when you are incumbent with disapproval above 50%. See David Axelrod for details on 2002 Vilsack reelect in Iowa.


  11. - The Way I See It - Thursday, Feb 1, 18 @ 9:42 am:

    That 31% will never be convinced otherwise, regardless of the evidence to the contrary. He has hit bottom


  12. - Demoralized - Thursday, Feb 1, 18 @ 9:45 am:

    The Governor hasn’t given the voters a whole lot to work with when it comes to approval ratings. He’s not accomplished anything. His entire strategy is that nothing is his fault and that he’s not in charge. When the chief executive absolves himself of all responsibility and shows a clear inability to lead what exactly is there to approve of?


  13. - Careful - Thursday, Feb 1, 18 @ 9:47 am:

    Who cares who the chief of staff is? There’s a D primary going on. Of course his numbers tanked.


  14. - just saying - Thursday, Feb 1, 18 @ 9:49 am:

    Methinks Careful doth protest too much. The impact of losing Z/Goldberg has been apparent to everyone under the Dome since July.


  15. - Demoralized - Thursday, Feb 1, 18 @ 9:49 am:

    ==There’s a D primary going on. Of course his numbers tanked.==

    You think that’s the reason? lol. Apparently you haven’t been paying attention.


  16. - Gruntled University Employee - Thursday, Feb 1, 18 @ 9:52 am:

    ==With all that has happened I am amazed that 31% still approve of him and his administration.==

    Some of the people all of the time


  17. - Just Visiting - Thursday, Feb 1, 18 @ 9:54 am:

    And if Ives is elected she will raise the bar to #1!


  18. - Keyrock - Thursday, Feb 1, 18 @ 9:55 am:

    Today is another up day! Not even close to #1.


  19. - Keyrock - Thursday, Feb 1, 18 @ 9:57 am:

    Today is another up day. Not even close to #1.


  20. - GreitensFormula16 - Thursday, Feb 1, 18 @ 9:58 am:

    Rauner’s cohort from Missouri is probably competing with him for least popular now.


  21. - Streator Curmudgeon - Thursday, Feb 1, 18 @ 10:01 am:

    Just think how unpopular he’d be if he were in charge.


  22. - anonymous 2 - Thursday, Feb 1, 18 @ 10:14 am:

    Rauner is an ideologue - a true believer in his core assumptions about people, work, education and economic growth. Without that, he wouldn’t be able to come to work everyday, let alone maintain his message. All he is lacking is support and any evidence that his core assumptions are valid.


  23. - DuPage Saint - Thursday, Feb 1, 18 @ 10:49 am:

    Give the man credit. He is working on it. By the time he is done Illinois will be number 1 in something.


  24. - NoGifts - Thursday, Feb 1, 18 @ 10:53 am:

    Sam Brownback among 10 worst? Didn’t he implement a turn around agenda?


  25. - Skeptical - Thursday, Feb 1, 18 @ 11:02 am:

    Somewhat shocking to learn that the poll findings did not list Rauner as the worst. It made me wonder what the Alaskan Governor had been doing? As for Walker in Wisconsin, I think that it may be simply a matter of fatigue. Third term campaigns can be a career killer. In Illinois, only Oglesby and Thompson managed to serve more than two terms
    and Oglesby’s terms were staggered.


  26. - Arsenal - Thursday, Feb 1, 18 @ 11:03 am:

    I kind of have my doubts that staffing changes get enough attention to move a Governor’s numbers. I think that 40-49 number was just a blip; as I recall, it was proceeded by noticeably worse polls, to such an extent that when we saw it people wondered if his most recent ads (I think it was the duct tape ones?) were working.

    In other words, I suspect Rauner has been consistently unpopular since about the end of ‘16. He had serious problems before that, and Trump’s election just dropped the bottom out underneath him. He’s now firmly in Pat Quinn territory.


  27. - Rich Miller - Thursday, Feb 1, 18 @ 11:08 am:

    === staffing changes get enough attention to move a Governor’s numbers===

    Um, it’s not about the news of the changes. It’s what the changes caused.


  28. - Amber Ale - Thursday, Feb 1, 18 @ 11:09 am:

    John McCain always had a funny comment when referencing congressional approval ratings , which were/are even lower than 30% - at that point, approval is down to “paid staff and blood relatives.”


  29. - wordslinger - Thursday, Feb 1, 18 @ 11:29 am:

    === staffing changes get enough attention to move a Governor’s numbers===

    As a white male, I’m certain that last summer was a train wreck for Rauner. It caused the press to finally recognize how ignorant he is about his job. The change in the tone of reporting was dramatic.

    Remember the deer-in-the-headlights when Rauner claimed all he needed was a “simple majority” to sustain his education bill veto? How embarrassing is that for a governor 2.5 years in? When he didn’t say a word for days about the floods up north, even after Gov. Walker had called up the guard just a few miles away across the border?

    The old crew was able to hide his shallowness. The new crew could not, because they were more clueless than he is.


  30. - ANon - Thursday, Feb 1, 18 @ 11:30 am:

    Rauner - “I’m Number 7? Heck, that’s pretty good, right? What? Number 7 from the bottom? *shakes fist* curse you, Madigan!”


  31. - Arthur Andersen - Thursday, Feb 1, 18 @ 11:34 am:

    Well, since the six in front of him (e.g. Christie and Brownback) are largely outta here, count on BVR to be movin’ on up next quarter.


  32. - Arsenal - Thursday, Feb 1, 18 @ 11:36 am:

    ==Remember the deer-in-the-headlights when Rauner claimed all he needed was a “simple majority” to sustain his education bill veto?==

    Yes, but I’m a CapFax commenter. How many of the 55% that disapprove do? How many even noticed it at the time?


  33. - wordslinger - Thursday, Feb 1, 18 @ 11:38 am:

    Arsenal, again, Rauner’s media coverage went way south after last summer. He’d been getting away with a lot of nonsense that he does not anymore.


  34. - Oswego Willy - Thursday, Feb 1, 18 @ 12:22 pm:

    Holding at 31/55…

    Rauner is the worst Republican Governor in America… now the 7th from the bottom in popularity.

    Failure will do that.

    Rauner can’t run a race on himself. He knows that. Even the costumes fail.


  35. - Angry Republican - Thursday, Feb 1, 18 @ 1:07 pm:

    Signing HB 40 didn’t help him any with pro life Republicans.


  36. - Al - Thursday, Feb 1, 18 @ 2:52 pm:

    Just to be a Poindexter, but Chris Cristi is no longer Governor of New Jersey. So yeah, we are number six from the bottom, not seven.


  37. - RNUG - Thursday, Feb 1, 18 @ 4:13 pm:

    == In Illinois, only Oglesby and Thompson managed to serve more than two terms
    and Oglesby’s terms were staggered. ==

    Um … Think you forgot Edgar; he managed two terms.


  38. - RNUG - Thursday, Feb 1, 18 @ 4:28 pm:

    Misread the statement … clearly said more than 2, Edgar only did 2.


Sorry, comments for this post are now closed.


* Reader comments closed for the weekend
* State Journal-Register endorses Rauner "with reservations"
* *** UPDATED x1 *** Pritzker campaign lawyer hints at defamation suit, claims campaign was never served
* Rauner says he's "trying to eradicate" the Madigan machine "cancer," but the "treatments are tough"
* Question of the day
* *** UPDATED x1 - Speaker Ryan to campaign for Davis *** Trump likely coming to Illinois to boost Bost
* Musical Interlude: Try (just a little bit harder)
* Tell me another fairytale, Grandpa
* Rauner again denies any delays at Quincy veterans' home
* "Speed dating" candidates
* Lawyer won't answer simple questions as some anonymous former Pritzker staffers speak out
* AFL-CIO launches "massive" digital ad buy
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today's edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)
* *** LIVE COVERAGE ***
* Yesterday's stories

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