Capitol Fax.com - Your Illinois News Radar » Fitch says Illinois bond ratings won’t stabilize until “multiple years” of balanced budgets
SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax      Advertise Here      About     Exclusive Subscriber Content     Updated Posts    Contact Rich Miller
CapitolFax.com
To subscribe to Capitol Fax, click here.
Fitch says Illinois bond ratings won’t stabilize until “multiple years” of balanced budgets

Monday, Apr 9, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Fitch

Fitch Ratings has assigned a ‘BBB’ rating to the following general obligation (GO) bonds of the state of Illinois:

    –$450 million GO bonds series of May 2018A;
    –$50 million GO bonds series of May 2018B.

The bonds are expected to be sold via competitive bid on April 25, 2018. […]

The Rating Outlook remains Negative.

* Why we’re at where we’re at

Illinois’ ‘BBB’ IDR and GO rating reflect several years of weak operating performance and fiscal decision making. This has led to a credit position well below the level that the state’s solid economic base and still substantial independent legal ability to control its budget would support.

The Negative Outlook reflects uncertainties related to successful implementation of the current year budget and ongoing fiscal management and decision making, particularly given the contentious political environment in the state.

* A look ahead

Stabilization of the rating is sensitive to the state’s ability to maintain budgetary balance over multiple years, indicating more sustainable fiscal management. Upward rating momentum is unlikely until the state more comprehensively addresses its accumulated liabilities. […]

A re-emergence of political stalemate that negatively affects fiscal operations, including a material increase in accounts payable, could trigger a downgrade. […]

Illinois has demonstrated a repeated inability to address its structural challenges due to an absence of consensus and resistance among key stakeholders. The political environment in the state remains a negative rating consideration.

       

32 Comments
  1. - Radio Flyer - Monday, Apr 9, 18 @ 1:48 pm:

    While I appreciate the extra push these rating agencies gave our lawmakers to finally get a budget, aren’t they being a little silly? Illinois is neither going to default nor can go bankrupt. There really is no risk to holding these bonds.


  2. - Ron - Monday, Apr 9, 18 @ 1:48 pm:

    Why now Fitch? Illinois hasn’t had a balanced budget in decades?


  3. - 44th - Monday, Apr 9, 18 @ 1:55 pm:

    “Stabilization” LOLOLOL HAHAHAHAAH

    How much $ is going out the door in late payment penalties? High interest rates?

    Some of us want to leave our kids in a better position than we were, and the State of Illinois wants to…..


  4. - wordslinger - Monday, Apr 9, 18 @ 1:55 pm:

    Too bad that irrevocable continuing approps, exponential revenue coverage and never missing a payment doesn’t factor into “risk” assessment.

    You’d think it would.


  5. - Lucky Pierre - Monday, Apr 9, 18 @ 1:59 pm:

    Too bad that for two decades, the constitutionally mandated balanced budget clause has been ignored by the legislature and the courts

    But the blame is apparently on the ratings agencies, not the politicians


  6. - VanillaMan - Monday, Apr 9, 18 @ 2:09 pm:

    Many of us have been telling Rauner supporters that their man has set Illinois back a decade economically. Fitch just confirmed this.

    Rauner raised our taxes, but delivered nothing for it. If he is reelected, he will raise our taxes even higher and Illinois will be set back another decade.


  7. - ste_with a v_en - Monday, Apr 9, 18 @ 2:10 pm:

    -Rauner raised our taxes-
    The General Assembly did


  8. - Oswego Willy - Monday, Apr 9, 18 @ 2:11 pm:

    ===The General Assembly did===

    Yep.

    The veto…

    As the veto also stopped 2 budgets…

    That Rauner…


  9. - Lucky Pierre - Monday, Apr 9, 18 @ 2:22 pm:

    Illinois has demonstrated a repeated inability to address its structural challenges (PENSIONS) due to an absence of consensus and resistance among key stakeholders (GOVERNMENT UNIONS).

    The political environment (MIKE MADIGAN) in the state remains a negative rating consideration.

    The Speaker is incapable of being embarrassed by this refusal to do his part to fix Illinois finances that have been neglected under his watch for decades


  10. - Demoralized - Monday, Apr 9, 18 @ 2:34 pm:

    And remmber LP . . . Governor “I’m not in charge.”

    He’s a lot of help as well.


  11. - Demoralized - Monday, Apr 9, 18 @ 2:35 pm:

    ==inability to address its structural challenges (PENSIONS) ==

    You know what addresses that? Paying them. How about focusing on that. After all that’s the only answer.


  12. - Redraider - Monday, Apr 9, 18 @ 2:44 pm:

    Illinois has demonstrated a repeated inability to address its structural challenges ( regressive tax rate) due to an absence and consensus and resistance among key stakeholders ( The Wealthy)
    The political environment ( Governor Rauner) in the State remains a negative rating consideration
    The Governor is incapable of being embarrassed by this refusal to do his part to fix an Illinois that he and his wealthy friends have profited from for decades

    Fixed it for you, Lucky. You’re welcome


  13. - Oswego Willy - Monday, Apr 9, 18 @ 2:47 pm:

    ===Illinois has demonstrated a repeated inability to address its structural challenges (PENSIONS) due to…===

    Not paying what’s owed, timely.

    ===absence of consensus and resistance among key stakeholders (GOVERNMENT UNIONS).===

    Members were the ones paying what they owed to the pensions.

    You are remedial. Maybe you’re a newer “Lucky Pierre”

    ===The political environment (MIKE MADIGAN) in the state remains a negative rating consideration.===

    Gov. Rauner has yet to sign a budget, the last budget was an override budget by a bipartisan general Assembly, curbing more problems than not having a budget.

    ===The Speaker is incapable of being embarrassed by this refusal to do his part to fix Illinois finances that have been neglected under his watch for decades.===

    LOL…

    Put 71 members on the stairs… see what happens.

    Of course, you need 71 members, that Rauner doesn’t have, but I digress, lol


  14. - wordslinger - Monday, Apr 9, 18 @ 3:02 pm:

    –But the blame is apparently on the ratings agencies, not the politicians–

    Why would you say that? It makes no sense at all.

    Regardless of deficits, Illinois pays debt service first, by law. All state revenues are dedicated to it, and they provide exponential coverage. That explains why no debt service payments have been missed in good times and bad. It’s other things that don’t get paid.

    If Illinois politicians could have figured out a way to short or delay debt service payments, they would have done it by now.


  15. - Groundhog Day - Monday, Apr 9, 18 @ 3:06 pm:

    Serves us right.


  16. - Oswego Willy - Monday, Apr 9, 18 @ 3:16 pm:

    “Lucky Pierre”

    Hmm…

    ===But the blame is apparently on the ratings agencies, not the politicians===

    Mr. Schrimpf?

    ===“Illinois’ credit rating has been downgraded 13 times under Pat Quinn and now, because of his failed leadership, our state’s economy and finances are still broken. Pat Quinn put special interest politics ahead of Illinois workers. We need to change direction before it’s too late.” – Rauner campaign spokesperson Mike Schrimpf===

    Gov. Rauner… you own these, and the crisis that brings them now.

    Mike Schrimpf tells me so…


  17. - Lucky Pierre - Monday, Apr 9, 18 @ 3:25 pm:

    Except Governor Rauner has been trying to fix the pensions and Mike Madigan and his hand picked candidate for Governor are not


  18. - Last Bull Moose - Monday, Apr 9, 18 @ 4:15 pm:

    Mike Madigan did try to fix the pension problem. He forced through a pension reduction bill that was declared unconstitutional by the Illinois Supreme Court.

    That bill probably cost Pat Quinn the election. So we got Rauner.


  19. - Demoralized - Monday, Apr 9, 18 @ 4:17 pm:

    ==Except Governor Rauner has been trying to fix the pensions==

    If by “fix” you mean attempting to cut people’s pensions then I suppose, yeah, he’s trying to “fix” it.

    The fix is to pay it. If he wants a 401K they can do that for new employees at any time.


  20. - Demoralized - Monday, Apr 9, 18 @ 4:17 pm:

    LBM:

    The pension “fixers” will not accept that anything is a “fix” unless it cuts the pensions of those currently in the system. Anything short of that isn’t a real “fix” in their mind.


  21. - Oswego Willy - Monday, Apr 9, 18 @ 4:19 pm:

    ===Except Governor Rauner has been trying to fix the pensions and Mike Madigan and his hand picked candidate for Governor are not===

    Again.

    60/71

    Otherwise… Rauner isn’t doing anything.

    “Never mistake activity for achievement” - Coach Wooden


  22. - Pundent - Monday, Apr 9, 18 @ 4:41 pm:

    =Except Governor Rauner has been trying to fix the pensions and Mike Madigan and his hand picked candidate for Governor are not=

    And yet, for all of his failings, Quinn was actually making the required pension payments and paying down the bill backlog. Continuing that would have gone a long way to getting us on the right track.

    And remind me what Rauner’s constitutional “fix” to the pension problem is that Madigan has been holding up?


  23. - Lucky Pierre - Monday, Apr 9, 18 @ 5:12 pm:

    Pundent,
    I will remind you that It is Culllerton’s constitutional consideration pension fix that a majority of the duly elected Senators voted for

    the Governor compromised and supports the Democratic bill, that is supposed to be a good thing- cooperation and professionalism

    Time to pay more than lip service to that concept


  24. - Rich Miller - Monday, Apr 9, 18 @ 5:14 pm:

    LP, Leader Durkin has had that bill since May of last year and hasn’t added a single House co-sponsor.


  25. - Oswego Willy - Monday, Apr 9, 18 @ 5:15 pm:

    ===the Governor compromised and supports the Democratic bill, that is supposed to be a good thing- cooperation and professionalism===

    Then Rauner should put his HRaunerites on the stairs with Dems, get 60, heck get 71… force Madigan by embarrassing Madigan.

    Heck, there were 60 members already signing on a resolution to Rauner’s idea in this session for one thing…

    … why can’t Rauner get his 60?


  26. - cannon649 - Monday, Apr 9, 18 @ 5:31 pm:

    The idea of “paying” the debt service with more debt is not a solution - it is ” kicking the can”

    Finch figured it out


  27. - Ron - Monday, Apr 9, 18 @ 6:21 pm:

    The best way to fix pensions is to eliminate them.


  28. - Oswego Willy - Monday, Apr 9, 18 @ 6:25 pm:

    ===The best way to fix pensions is to eliminate them.===

    - Ron -

    Paint, sculpt, go for a walk, nap, read a comic… this is the helping or adding.


  29. - Ron - Monday, Apr 9, 18 @ 8:35 pm:

    OW, why give a small group of people special privileges?


  30. - Oswego Willy - Monday, Apr 9, 18 @ 8:55 pm:

    ===why give a small group of people special privileges?===

    Constitutionally guaranteed.

    It’s not a “privilege”

    Please. Stop.


  31. - RNUG - Monday, Apr 9, 18 @ 10:57 pm:

    Cullerton’s proposal as modified to please Rauner isn’t Constitutional because it is involuntarily.

    One of the other pending pension bills is voluntary … but it won’t save very much money, if any after allowing for the incentive payments. Plus they don’t know if the IRS will buy-in to it .

    Broken record … same stuff, different day.


  32. - Ron - Monday, Apr 9, 18 @ 11:12 pm:

    It’s an outrageous protection that no gets but the kleptocracy.


Sorry, comments for this post are now closed.


* Reader comments closed for the weekend
* Isabel’s afternoon roundup
* The Waukegan City Clerk was railroaded
* Whatever happened, the city has a $40 million budget hole it didn't disclose until now
* Manar gives state agencies budget guidance: Cut, cut, cut
* Roundup: Ex-Chicago Ald. Danny Solis testifies in Madigan corruption trial
* Open thread
* Isabel’s morning briefing
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today's edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)
* Live coverage
* Selected press releases (Live updates)
* Yesterday's stories

Support CapitolFax.com
Visit our advertisers...

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............


Loading


Main Menu
Home
Illinois
YouTube
Pundit rankings
Obama
Subscriber Content
Durbin
Burris
Blagojevich Trial
Advertising
Updated Posts
Polls

Archives
November 2024
October 2024
September 2024
August 2024
July 2024
June 2024
May 2024
April 2024
March 2024
February 2024
January 2024
December 2023
November 2023
October 2023
September 2023
August 2023
July 2023
June 2023
May 2023
April 2023
March 2023
February 2023
January 2023
December 2022
November 2022
October 2022
September 2022
August 2022
July 2022
June 2022
May 2022
April 2022
March 2022
February 2022
January 2022
December 2021
November 2021
October 2021
September 2021
August 2021
July 2021
June 2021
May 2021
April 2021
March 2021
February 2021
January 2021
December 2020
November 2020
October 2020
September 2020
August 2020
July 2020
June 2020
May 2020
April 2020
March 2020
February 2020
January 2020
December 2019
November 2019
October 2019
September 2019
August 2019
July 2019
June 2019
May 2019
April 2019
March 2019
February 2019
January 2019
December 2018
November 2018
October 2018
September 2018
August 2018
July 2018
June 2018
May 2018
April 2018
March 2018
February 2018
January 2018
December 2017
November 2017
October 2017
September 2017
August 2017
July 2017
June 2017
May 2017
April 2017
March 2017
February 2017
January 2017
December 2016
November 2016
October 2016
September 2016
August 2016
July 2016
June 2016
May 2016
April 2016
March 2016
February 2016
January 2016
December 2015
November 2015
October 2015
September 2015
August 2015
July 2015
June 2015
May 2015
April 2015
March 2015
February 2015
January 2015
December 2014
November 2014
October 2014
September 2014
August 2014
July 2014
June 2014
May 2014
April 2014
March 2014
February 2014
January 2014
December 2013
November 2013
October 2013
September 2013
August 2013
July 2013
June 2013
May 2013
April 2013
March 2013
February 2013
January 2013
December 2012
November 2012
October 2012
September 2012
August 2012
July 2012
June 2012
May 2012
April 2012
March 2012
February 2012
January 2012
December 2011
November 2011
October 2011
September 2011
August 2011
July 2011
June 2011
May 2011
April 2011
March 2011
February 2011
January 2011
December 2010
November 2010
October 2010
September 2010
August 2010
July 2010
June 2010
May 2010
April 2010
March 2010
February 2010
January 2010
December 2009
November 2009
October 2009
September 2009
August 2009
July 2009
June 2009
May 2009
April 2009
March 2009
February 2009
January 2009
December 2008
November 2008
October 2008
September 2008
August 2008
July 2008
June 2008
May 2008
April 2008
March 2008
February 2008
January 2008
December 2007
November 2007
October 2007
September 2007
August 2007
July 2007
June 2007
May 2007
April 2007
March 2007
February 2007
January 2007
December 2006
November 2006
October 2006
September 2006
August 2006
July 2006
June 2006
May 2006
April 2006
March 2006
February 2006
January 2006
December 2005
April 2005
March 2005
February 2005
January 2005
December 2004
November 2004
October 2004

Blog*Spot Archives
November 2005
October 2005
September 2005
August 2005
July 2005
June 2005
May 2005

Syndication

RSS Feed 2.0
Comments RSS 2.0




Hosted by MCS SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax Advertise Here Mobile Version Contact Rich Miller