NYT polling: GOP incumbents Roskam, Bost both lead by just a point
Friday, Sep 7, 2018
* The margin of error in both polls is 9 percentage points, however…
…Adding… I think this is true. I thought that claimed MoE was too high for polls of 500+ people. From comments…
* On to the polls. Republican US Rep. Peter Roskam leads Democrat Sean Casten 45-44 with 11 percent undecided. Republican US Rep. Mike Bost leads Democrat Brendan Kelly 44-43 with 13 percent undecided. Two-thirds of respondents in both surveys were reached on their mobile phones.
In Roskam’s suburban district, President Trump’s job approval rating is just 36 percent while 57 percent disapprove. The president is slightly above water in Bost’s rural/blue collar district 48-46.
51 percent in the Roskam poll said they preferred Democrats to take control of the US House, compared to 44 percent who wanted the GOP to stay in power. Those numbers went the other way in Bost’s district, with 46 picking the GOP and 43 choosing the Democrats.