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Question of the day

Wednesday, Nov 7, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Your one word to describe your feelings about Illinois politics and government right now? One word only, please.

  181 Comments      


Betsy Dirksen Londrigan concedes to Rodney Davis

Wednesday, Nov 7, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Press release…

After a hard-fought campaign in the 13th Congressional District, Betsy Dirksen Londrigan congratulated Rodney Davis on his win in last night’s election. Londrigan released the following statement on Wednesday afternoon, following the tallying of absentee and provisional ballots:

“This afternoon, I called Congressman Rodney Davis and congratulated him on his win. While this outcome was not the one we had hoped for, it has been one of the greatest honors of my life to spend the last 16 months in this race. I put over 60,000 miles on my car, traveling across Central Illinois and meeting with thousands of hard working people. We focused on issues that matter most to our neighbors and communities — like access to quality and affordable health care and protections for those with pre-existing conditions.

“During this campaign, big promises were made about protecting people with pre-existing conditions. Those making the promises must be held accountable, and the fight for access to affordable health care must continue. Again, I want to thank my family, staff, volunteers, and our supporters across Illinois’ 13th Congressional District for a hard-fought and meaningful campaign.”

She’s right about Davis’ promises. He promised over and over that he wouldn’t harm pre-existing condition coverage. Speaking as someone with a pre-existing condition, I’m gonna remember that and hold him to it. Hopefully this will be a lesson for him and he can finally be the congressman I always thought he could be - someone who was eager to work across the aisle to get good things done for his district and his country. He went native out in DC. He needs to get back to being Rodney Davis.

  54 Comments      


Ives bitterly attacks 54 percent of voters day after election

Wednesday, Nov 7, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* From Rep. Jeanne Ives’ Facebook page

Congratulations Chicago!

Now the bailout of your junk rated government will accelerate in earnest as your favored sons and daughters use the rest of the state as an ATM to pay for your bloated, inefficient and corrupt institutions.

That’s really what last night was about.

In case the rest of you willfully uninformed voters across the state were confused about what is next.

  85 Comments      


Speaker Madigan: “The GOP attacks were a desperate, out of touch attempts to fracture the party and underestimate voters”

Wednesday, Nov 7, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Press release with all emphasis in the original…

To: Interested Parties
FR: Democratic Party of Illinois
RE: Illinois Voters Roundly Reject Republican Attacks on Speaker Madigan

Last night’s election results definitively proved that the Rauner Republican playbook of attempting to make the entire 2018 election a referendum on Speaker Madigan, to distract from Republicans’ record, is a failure. Rauner and the Republican Party spent several years and hundreds of millions of dollars focused on tearing down one man, and last night that strategy definitively failed for Republicans up and down the ballot who joined in the effort.

Of the dozens of Illinois Republicans that ran on a platform tying their opponent to Speaker Madigan, nearly every one lost. Some attempts were hateful, others laughable, including suggestions that the Speaker is committing acts of violence against others, but after the votes have been counted, the tactic was a clear failure. It failed because Speaker Madigan and the Democratic Party of Illinois are champions of smart economic and social policies that better the lives of Illinoisans and create a state that works for all of us.

GOP Tactic Using Speaker Madigan as a Foil for Dem Candidates Fails
For most of his term, Governor Rauner has consistently attacked Speaker Madigan as a strategy to distract voters and the media from his own failures and poor decision-making in office. This election cycle, Republican candidates throughout Illinois mirrored Rauner’s actions and took part in the strategy in a desperate attempt to defeat their Democratic opponents by attaching them to Speaker Mike Madigan.

What did these GOP candidates get from these attacks? A clear rejection by Illinois voters. Nearly every one of the Republican candidates in Illinois who used this cheap tactic lost their elections. In fact, in a definitive statewide swing towards the Democratic party, Illinois Democrats added at least two U.S. congressional seats and six state house seats that gave Illinois Democrats a supermajority in the state’s House of Representatives.

Examples include:

    • Bruce Rauner (R) v J.B. Pritzker (D)
    • Erika Harold (R) v Kwame Raoul Raoul (D)
    • Tim Schneider (R) v Kevin Morrison (D)
    • Seth McMillan (R) v Andy Manar (D)
    • Tonia Khouri (R) v Karina Villa (D)
    • Eddie Corrigan (R) v Mark Walker (D)
    • Peter Breen (R) v Terra Costa Howard (D)
    • Christine Winger (R) v Diane Pappas (D)
    • Jerry Long (R) v Lance Yednock (D)
    • Sheri Jesiel (R) v Joyce Mason (D)
    • Peter Roskam (R) v Sean Casten (D)
    • Randy Hultgren (R) v Lauren Underwood (D)

It’s time for Illinois Republicans to recognize that their failed record for Illinois families is the problem. As Des Plaines Democratic State Representative Marty Moylan said:

    “Mike Madigan is not the problem that we have in the state of Illinois. We have a leader. The governor is supposed to be the leader. Let him start leading and stop blaming Madigan for all of his problems.”


GOP Advances Hateful Attacks, Alienating Communities
Governor Rauner TV Ad: “Unholy Union”

One Illinois: Rauner, Roskam Blow Anti-LGBTQ ‘Dog Whistle’

Cook County Commission Race Ad: Democrat depicted as a puppet in GOP campaign ad says it’s homophobic against him

Liberty Principles Attack Ad: Madigan And His Character Assassins Will Take Your Home

Voters Care About Action, Not Talk
Attempts to distract voters from the issues with campaign ads portraying opponents as “puppets” of Speaker Madigan not only tried to smear each opponent’s character, but also encouraged hateful rhetoric. One ad sounded a disturbing dog-whistle for discrimination against the LGBTQ community.

When they fill out their ballot, voters care about the pocketbook issues that impact their daily lives. A national ABC News–Washington Post poll leading up to the election found that the economy and health care are among the top issues for voters. The same was true for Illinois voters. In a late September poll, conducted by Center for State Policy and Leadership, University of Illinois Springfield and NPR Illinois, state voters reported the economy as their number one issue, then health care, followed by race relations and immigration.

Most notably, voters listed Speaker Madigan dead last among important issues for the next Governor in an October tracking poll.

While the GOP wasted time on cheap attacks, they ignored long-standing advice from political scientists, strategists and candidates from both sides of the political aisle: voters care about “pocketbook issues.”

    “It’s focusing on local issues, not distancing or anything strategic like that but more so focusing on issues people care about.” … “Voters have a unique ability to cut through the clutter and focus on issues that actually have an impact on their daily lives,” - Jesse Hunt, spokesperson for the Republican Congressional Campaign Committee.

    “But the bottom line is people are worried about getting their kids through college, making ends meet, and keeping their family running. Those are the things that they focus on.” - Governor Roy Cooper, North Carolina (D)

Madigan’s Record of Results for Illinois
The GOP’s attempt to attach their opponents to Speaker Madigan backfired for multiple reasons. Most importantly because Speaker Madigan is a champion of smart economic and social policies that protect Illinois residents, workers and families.

The GOP attacks against Democrats with ties to Speaker Madigan underestimated Illinois voters who understand that Speaker Madigan’s Democratic leadership has provided real, tangible economic benefits to the people and families of this state.

Illinois Democrats Will Tackle the Real Issues
Voting is a directly personal matter. A typical voter isn’t swayed by smear tactics or petty attempts to mischaracterize candidates. Instead, they want to know that the candidate who earns their vote will work to push forward the policies that directly and positively impact their lives.

Now that the elections are over, Speaker Michael Madigan, as the leader of the Democratic Party of Illinois, will continue to work with his colleagues to tackle the real issues.

Democrats in Illinois are united and ready to work together to advance policies that better the daily lives of all Illinoisans. Speaker Madigan has pledged to continue his work prioritizing policies that protect women’s rights, create a safer work environment for all, strengthen the economy, and create a fairer tax system that can work for all Illinois families.

The GOP attacks were a desperate, out of touch attempts to fracture the party and underestimate voters. They failed. Speaker Madigan and the Democratic Party of Illinois are ready to move forward and continue to make Illinois a better place to live.

Like I said earlier, I think where the Madigan attacks failed was also where the races were so thoroughly nationalized against DC that they fell by the wayside.

Anyway, discuss.

  63 Comments      


Taxes, Madigan, taxes, Rauner

Wednesday, Nov 7, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Good point by Greg Hinz

The last piece needed for total Democratic control of all the levers of power in Springfield fell into place today when late election returns showed that the party will have a supermajority in the Illinois House—potentially clearing the way to adopt the graduated income tax pushed by Gov.-elect J.B. Pritzker.

Final or near final returns showed that House Speaker Mike Madigan picked up seven seats, mostly in the Chicago suburbs, while losing just one, in far southern Illinois. That would give the Dems a net pickup of six, moving them to 73 total House members.

That’s significant because a supermajority of 71 votes is needed to pass and submit to voters a constitutional amendment authorizing the graduated income tax, a top Pritzker priority. Put a different way, though Madigan normally is very reluctant to move on revenue-raising bills without GOP buy-in, there are enough House Democrats to move ahead anyway even if the Republicans balk.

There’s also the possibility the Democrats could add one vote to that total, with two candidates vying for what had been a Republican-held seat in the Lake Barrington area separated by one vote.

* The Sun-Times misses the point

Now is the time for [Pritzker] — and nobody else — to roll out the specifics of what a progressive income tax for Illinois should look like. Tell us what the rates would be. Tell us what the income brackets, deductions and exemptions should be.

Pritzker said over and over during his campaign that those rates would be negotiated with Democratic and Republican legislators and other stakeholders. I didn’t like it, but he won. And so if he rolled the rates out now, he’d be going back on his pledge and he’d also undercut his proposal.

Just give it a chance to percolate like he said it would.

* Simply put, the election was nationalized and that proved more powerful in suburbia and the Metro East than the “Because… Madigan!” chant

After nearly four years of being vilified by the governor from one end of the state to the other, Mike Madigan appears to have gotten more powerful.

* This was supposed to help Republicans. It didn’t work too well

Voters in suburban counties strongly favored blocking the creation of a statewide property tax in Tuesday voting, despite the fact that no statewide property tax has yet been proposed.

An advisory referendum on ballots in DuPage, Kane and Lake counties and Cook County’s Hanover Township asked voters whether the state Legislature should be permitted to institute a property tax of 1 percent of home value. In each of the four jurisdictions, at least 60 percent of the votes cast favored blocking such a tax.

The ballot measure refers to an idea that a trio of economists at the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago floated in May as a way to pay off the state’s $129.1 billion in unfunded pension obligations.

Beyond the paper the economists wrote, there has been no organized effort to institute a statewide property tax, but Kurt Kojzarek, a Kane County board member who supported blocking the idea, said the votes served an important purpose as a proactive warning to legislators.

“Nobody in the Legislature would bring forth a tax proposal like that in election season,” Kojzarek said today. “But in January or February (2019) they might, and this vote sends a pretty good message to the General Assembly that the idea is a nonstarter.”

Commissioner Kojzarek has no idea what he’s talking about. Nobody, but nobody is gonna back a statewide property tax surcharge. If they do, they’ll never get a co-sponsor.

* Mark Brown with the line of the day

Rauner campaigned for re-election on the notion that re-electing him was Illinois’ “last chance,” the same sky-is-falling narrative pushed by the state’s largest newspaper.

Tuesday was Rauner’s last chance, not ours.

* Related…

* Biz community’s memo to Gov.-elect Pritzker: Stability, please - “The one thing people are tired of: being lied to or not knowing what’s coming at them,” says CME Group CEO Terrence Duffy. “Just tell us what the rules are. Uncertainty kills.”

  12 Comments      


Turn to technology to keep the lights on in the face of disaster

Wednesday, Nov 7, 2018 - Posted by Advertising Department

[The following is a paid advertisement.]

In the wake of an active hurricane season and winter weather on the way, resiliency is the new energy buzzword. Last year, 71 power outages across Illinois affected approximately 186,588 people, according to the 2017 Eaton Blackout Tracker Report. Further, Illinois ranks 15th in the country for the most power outages.

Residents and businesses demand the ability to withstand and recover quickly from power disruptions and are turning to technology for the solution.

The utility is no longer the sole answer to keeping our lights on, we can use innovative technology to build sustainable and resilient power sources. Centrica Business Solutions, a sister company to Direct Energy, is actively working with businesses across the country to install technology to keep their business going through power outages. Learn more about their resiliency study and solutions here.

  Comments Off      


A squeaker and a shocker

Wednesday, Nov 7, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Tribune

A north suburban Statehouse seat remains a tossup after Tuesday’s polling totals show the candidates are separated by just one vote.

Republican Helene Miller Walsh, who was appointed to the seat in August after her predecessor Nick Sauer’s abrupt resignation, garnered 25,106 votes, while her Democratic opponent Mary Edly-Allen’s total stands at 25,105. […]

The race now could hinge on remaining provisional ballots and mail-in ballots, and could take up to two weeks to decide.

Provisional ballots — those cast by voters whose eligibility is in question — will continue to be evaluated and, where found valid, counted until 14 days after the election. Mail-in ballots continue to arrive, and those postmarked by election day will also be counted, explained election officials in Lake County, where all but one precinct in the 51st House District is located.

There are actually three things to watch here: 1) Mail-in ballots that haven’t yet been received or counted; 2) Provisional ballots; 3) A large number of challenges to mail-in ballots (particularly of signatures), mainly by Republicans. Those signatures are a tough issue because getting them approved requires a signed and notarized affidavit.

Even so, the odds appear to be against Rep. Walsh at the moment. We’ll see. Up to the lawyers now.

* Meanwhile, this outcome was last night’s shocker

Newcomer Democratic candidate Anne Stava-Murray narrowly beat incumbent Republican state Rep. David Olsen in the 81st House District race.

Unofficial counts of all precincts in DuPage and Will counties show Stava-Murray with 23,671 votes to Olsen’s 23,326 votes.

* Stava-Murray raised almost no money, and is repeatedly on record as opposing House Speaker Michael Madigan. From her Facebook page this past April

Deeply disappointed in today’s vote that keeps Speaker Madigan the Chair of the (D) party of IL (DPI). I will not accept funding or staff from DPI while he remains the leader.

Some people say: why not? (R)s will still call you a puppet, might as well take the money. To that I say, 3 things…

    ONE: for a party that claims to support #endcitizensunited; this (D) machine controls big money and campaign messaging. I refuse to sell out the voice of my district for the chance at a pyrrhic victory.

    TWO: for a party that claims to support labor; this (D) machine provides staffers unacceptable wages/working conditions. #clipboardsandcontracts

    THREE: for a party that claims to support women; this (D) machine allowed Springfield to remain rife with sexual harassment and retribution for reporting. Ongoing coverups silence real change being made. #TimesUp

Fear and intimidation are used by this machine to silence voices before they speak a word of dissent. I believe dissent is patriotic; we need change for IL and that change cannot be brought by Madigan as Chair of the party.

I will gladly face whatever consequences come my way as a result of speaking up; because the cost of staying silent is too great.

Plain and simple, Rep. Olsen blew it. The HGOPs made some last-minute expenditures there, but the candidate has to work. He was spotted planting yard signs for other Republican candidates the other day.

* Related…

* Democratic women make unprecedented gains in DuPage County

  25 Comments      


Um, this was not why Roskam lost

Wednesday, Nov 7, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Lynn Sweet

President Donald Trump on Wednesday is scorching House Republicans who did not embrace him and lost election bids on Tuesday, including Rep. Peter Roskam, R-Ill.

“Peter Roskam didn’t want the embrace,” Trump said.

Democratic first-time candidate Sean Casten beat Roskam to represent the Illinois 6th congressional district. Roskam kept his distance from Trump in a district that went for Hillary Clinton over Trump in 2016. Casten linked Roskam to Trump throughout his campaign.

At a White House news conference, Trump noted the contenders who ran with him and won, including Illinois GOP Reps. Michael Bost and Rodney Davis.

Every Republican congressional candidate lost in DuPage County, the heart of Roskam’s district. It was a no-brainer for Bost and Davis to embrace the president because they represent Trump Countr. Roskam does not. The area is historically Republican, but it’s not “Trump Republican.” No disrespect intended, but it just doesn’t make much logical sense to equate those districts.

* And then there were these Illinois election day poll results

As voters cast ballots for governor and members of Congress in Tuesday’s elections, AP VoteCast found that 33 percent of Illinois voters said the country is on the right track, compared with 67 percent who said the country is headed in the wrong direction. […]

A majority of voters in Illinois had negative views of Trump: 62 percent said they disapprove of how he is handling his job as president, while 38 percent said they approve of Trump.

And that’s statewide, so those results are diluted by the more rural areas that support the POTUS. Imagine what they’re like in the suburbs, most of which turned pretty darned “blue” this week.

Roskam had his own issues, but a failure to embrace the president wasn’t one of them.

* Related…

* How the SALT tax doomed Peter Roskam: Two key authors of the GOP tax overhaul—Illinois’ Peter Roskam and Minnesota’s Erik Paulsen—were among the casualties as voters vented frustration over a new cap on state and local tax deductions.

  37 Comments      


“We need a lot more purple thinking”

Wednesday, Nov 7, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* From comments

“Total ownership. No excuses now.”

That is the kind of wrongheaded thinking that got us into this mess.

“Governors own,” but you do not govern successfully by making the fixation of blame your primary objective.

Yes, Republicans are in the minority, but they still hold public office, they still bear some responsibility, and they should not abdicate all responsibility or refuse to work with Democrats just because they are hoping by doing so they can make Pritzker fail.

Senator DeWitte and Senator-elect Gillespie both need to represent not just the people who elected them, but also the people who voted against them. The 48% who voted against Senator DeWitte don’t want him to be an automatic No vote on every idea Democrats offer, and I am betting that alot of the folks who voted for him share that view.

By the same token, the 48% who voted against Gillespie do not want their Senator to vote to cram everything through the Senate just because Democrats are in the majority so they can. And I bet alot of their Democratic neighbors share the same view.

Purple districts, folks. A lot of purple districts, and we need a lot more purple thinking.

Exactly.

  19 Comments      


Caprara named chief of staff as Pritzker announces transition committee

Wednesday, Nov 7, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Looks like he’s been doing some planning…

After winning yesterday’s gubernatorial election by 15 points, today, Governor-elect JB Pritzker announced his Transition Committee and his administration’s Chief of Staff. Serving as his Transition Committee Chair is Lieutenant Governor-elect Juliana Stratton and campaign manager Anne Caprara will serve as chief of staff.

“I am honored to be chairing the transition committee with a remarkable group of leaders who represent the diversity and strength of our state,” said Lieutenant Governor-elect Juliana Stratton. “From day one, JB and I have made a commitment to making sure Illinoisans across the state have a seat at the table as we build an administration to put Springfield back on the side of working families.”

For those interested in positions with the administration, they can apply online at: www.jbandjulianatransition.com.

TRANSITION COMMITTEE MEMBERS

    Chair, Lieutenant Governor-elect Juliana Stratton
    Co-Chair, Barbara Bowman
    Co-Chair, Mike Carrigan
    Co-Chair, Former Governor Jim Edgar
    Co-Chair, Sol Flores
    Co-Chair, Marty Nesbitt

TRANSITION COMMITTEE STAFF

    Chief of Staff, Anne Caprara
    Transition Director, Nikki Budzinski
    Deputy Transition Director, Sean Rapelyea
    Senior Advisor, Former Comptroller Dan Hynes
    Senior Advisor, State Representative Christian Mitchell
    Senior Advisor, Michael Sacks
    Counsel, Jesse Ruiz

TRANSITION COMMITTEE MEMBERS

Chair, Lieutenant Governor-elect Juliana Stratton: State Representative Juliana Stratton has been serving the public, solving problems, and fighting for what’s right throughout her career. As a state representative for the 5th District, Stratton has worked to reform our criminal justice system, raise the minimum wage, and protect a woman’s right to choose. As the Director of the Center for Public Safety and Justice at the University of Illinois at Chicago, she worked to build trust between law enforcement officers and the communities they serve. She graduated with a B.S. from University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign and a J.D. from DePaul University and is a proud former delegate at the Illinois Women’s Institute for Leadership. Stratton was born and raised on the South Side of Chicago and currently resides in Bronzeville.

Co-Chair, Barbara Bowman: Barbara Bowman is a nationally recognized advocate for early childhood education and is the Co-Founder of the Erikson Institute and an Irving B. Harris Professor of Child Development. She has worked as Chief Officer for early childhood education for the Chicago Public Schools and served as a consultant to U.S. Secretary of Education during President Obama’s first term. She is a professor, author and award winner.

Co-Chair, Michael Carrigan: Michael Carrigan is currently president of the Illinois AFL-CIO and will be a partner in putting Springfield back on the side of working families. He has served as Secretary-Treasurer of the Illinois AFL-CIO for seven years before becoming president. Prior, he was Business Manager and Financial Secretary for IBEW Local 146 in Decatur from 1992 to 2000. Carrigan served as a journeyman wireman in Decatur before becoming Assistant Business Manager of Local 146.

Co-Chair, Former Governor Jim Edgar: Governor Jim Edgar served as the 38th Governor of Illinois and brings decades of government experience to his role on the transition. During his time as governor, he eliminated a backlog of $1 billion of unpaid health care bills, provided income tax relief and left an unprecedented $1.5 billion in the treasury for his successor. After retiring from elective office, he has continued his commitment to responsible and responsive government as a distinguished fellow at the University of Illinois’ Institute of Government and Public Affairs and he spearheads the Edgar Fellows program.

Co-Chair, Sol Flores: Sol Flores is an emerging leader in her community with a strong knowledge of the social service structure. She is Founding Executive Director of La Casa Norte and founded the organization in 2002. La Casa Norte is a nonprofit organization that provides housing and social services to homeless Latino and African American youth and families in Chicago. She was raised by a single mother who came to Chicago from Puerto Rico and has been recognized as a national Champion of Change for her work by the Obama White House.

Co-Chair, Marty Nesbitt: Martin Nesbitt will bring his extensive business experience to focus on creating jobs and building an inclusive economy that works for everyone. Nesbitt is the Co-CEO of the Vistria Group, LLC and prior to that was the CEO of the Parking Spot, an executive with Pritzker Realty Group, L.P and an Equity Vice President and Investment Manager at LaSalle Partners. He was also the National Treasurer of President Obama’s 2008 and 2012 presidential campaigns. Martin serves on the Board of Directors of FowardLine Financial and Vanta Education. He serves on the Board of Directors of CenterPoint Energy, Norfolk Southern Corporation and American Airlines Groups, he is a Trustee of Chicago’s Museum of Contemporary Art and Chairman of the Barack Obama Foundation.

TRANSITION COMMITTEE STAFF

Anne Caprara will serve as Chief of Staff for the administration and senior advisor during the transition. Anne Caprara recently served as campaign manager for JB Pritzker and Juliana Stratton’s gubernatorial campaign. Caprara is a political professional with over 17 years of experience in Democratic campaigns and legislative offices, Caprara has managed and consulted with candidates and elected officials at every level of state and federal government. Caprara served as chief of staff to Congresswoman Betsy Markey’s from 2008 until 2010. Before that, Caprara served as Chief of Staff for Ohio Congresswoman Betty Sutton. Caprara also served as political director of the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee and Executive Director of Priorities USA during the 2016 election cycle. She obtained her Masters degree from George Washington University and her undergraduate degree from American University.

Nikki Budzinski will serve as Transition Director. Nikki Budzinski served as Senior Advisor to the JB Pritzker for Governor campaign. Budzinski led JB Pritzker’s exploratory effort for Governor and in her latest role she advised the campaign on political strategy, messaging and outreach. From 2015-2016, Budzinski served as the Labor Campaign Director on Hillary Clinton’s 2016 Presidential Campaign. Prior, Budzinski worked in the labor movement for ten years in Washington, DC, working for the Laborers International Union of North America, International Association of Fire Fighters and United Food and Commercial Workers Unions. Budzinski is a Peoria native and worked for Comptroller Dan Hynes from 1999-2004 in Springfield, Illinois, serving in numerous roles within the Office of the Comptroller and working on both Comptroller Hynes’ reelection campaign and the 2004 U.S. Senator primary election.

Sean Rapelyea will serve as Deputy Transition Director. Sean Rapelyea served as Political Director for JB for Governor He previously served as Illinois Political Director for the Hillary For America campaign during the general election, where she garnered a 17–point win margin. Rapelyea previously served as Deputy Director of Government Affairs for the Office of the Mayor in Chicago after working as a Regional Field Director and Advisor to Mayor Rahm Emanuel’s 2011 and 2015 re-election campaigns. In 2010, he worked on Arkansas Senator’s Blanche Lincoln’s primary, runoff, and general election campaign.

Former Comptroller Dan Hynes will serve as a senior advisor. Dan Hynes currently serves as a senior executive at UBS Asset Management in Chicago, after a distinguished 12-year career in public service as the Comptroller for the State of Illinois. Hynes was elected Comptroller in 1998 as the youngest state constitutional officer since World War II. He was re-elected in 2002 and 2006 by wide margins. In 2011, President Barack Obama named Hynes as the United States Observer to the International Fund for Ireland, which makes investments in Northern Ireland for the purpose of promoting peace and stability in the region. Hynes also serves a member of the Democratic National Committee.

State Representative Christian Mitchell will serve as a senior advisor. Christian Mitchell is the State Representative for the 26th District and Executive Director of the Democratic Party of Illinois. Mitchell began his career as a community organizer, working with churches on the south side of Chicago. He went on to become a trusted advisor to reform minded political leaders. He served as a deputy field director on Lisa Madigan’s re-election campaign, managed the city council race of former 4th Ward Alderman Will Burns, and was Midwest Paid Media and Polling Director for President Obama’s re-election campaign in 2012. He has consulted for State Assembly and Congressional races across the country, and was a Senior Advisor to Senator Tammy Duckworth’s successful 2016 race. Before being elected to office, Mitchell also served on senior staff for Cook County Board President Toni Preckwinkle.

Michael Sacks will serve as a senior advisor. Sacks is the Chairman and CEO of GCM Grosvenor. Grosvenor specializes in the management of multimanager investment portfolios and is a leader in the alternative investment industry. Prior to joining Grosvenor in 1990 he was an Associate with Harris Associates, L.P. He graduated from Tulane University and received his M.B.A and Juris Doctor from Northwestern University. He serves as the Vice Chairman of the World Business Chicago Board of Director and is active in various philanthropic and community activities. He and his wife, Cari have three children.

Jesse Ruiz will serve as counsel to the transition. Ruiz is a Partner at Drinker Biddle and is the President of Chicago Park District Board of Commissioners. He currently serves as a member of the firm’s Diversity and Inclusion Committee. Ruiz has served as Vice President of Chicago Board of Education and Chairman of the Illinois State Board of Education and President of the Hispanic Lawyers Association of Illinois. He was appointed to serves on the U.S. Department of Education Equity and Excellence Commission.

  32 Comments      


Random numbers

Wednesday, Nov 7, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* This may or may not mean anything, but likely Chicago mayoral candidate Comptroller Susana Mendoza won the city with 696,596 votes. Cook County Board President Toni Preckwinkle, an already declared mayoral candidate, won the city with 674,357 votes.

So, Preckwinkle scored 22,239 fewer votes than Mendoza even though Preckwinkle was unopposed yesterday. There was obviously a sizable undervote.

Sheriff Tom Dart, by the way, is even lower on the ballot than Preckwinkle and was also unopposed and still got 711,564 votes, more than both Mendoza and Preckwinkle.

…Adding… A commenter mentioned something, so I checked it out. Mendoza received more votes than Preckwinkle in Preckwinkle’s own 4th Ward. And Sheriff Dart also outpolled Preckwinkle in that ward.

* By the way, the ward with the highest percentage turnout yesterday was the 47th, at 76.2 percent. The ward with the greatest numerical turnout was the 32nd, with 24,051. The Southwest Side’s 19th Ward was a close second.

* I asked the Chicago Board of Elections Commission for an age breakdown of yesterday’s vote…

Those are unofficial results as of 10:59 this morning.

  23 Comments      


What happened nationally?

Wednesday, Nov 7, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* The Illinois House Democrats picked up a super majority yesterday. The Senate Democrats added between two and three seats, depending on the final count, to their current veto-proof majority of 37. Here’s NCSL with the national results

The big news is that Democrats made modest gains while Republicans held their robust lead in terms of legislative control. Democrats gained control of six chambers, although Republicans still have a sizable overall advantage in total legislative chambers: R: 61, D: 37. That tallies to 98 chambers because Nebraska’s unicameral Legislature is technically nonpartisan.

In terms of overall legislative control (both House and Senate), Dems gained control of four on Tuesday. Republicans will control 30 versus the Democrats’ 18 when sessions convene in January. Minnesota is now the only state where legislative control is divided. It’s the lowest number of divided legislatures in more than 100 years, matching 1914 when Montana was the only state with a split legislature.

As for state control, which includes the governor along with the legislature, Democrats went from controlling eight to 14. […]

More than 330 seats nationwide shifted from Republican to Democrat. That is short of the typical losses suffered by the party in the White House. The average loss to the president’s party in midterms since 1902 is 424 legislative seats. […]

It is very likely that more women will serve in state legislatures come January than at any point in American history. The numbers are still being crunched.

Discuss.

  24 Comments      


No, that’s not what happened

Wednesday, Nov 7, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Some folks are still clinging to this narrative

Democratic State Senator Kwame Raoul in the race of Illinois Attorney General Tuesday night. Republican challenger Erika Harold called him to concede the race about an hour and a half after the polls closed.

The two had been locked in a tight race, with polls narrowing in the days before the election.

You don’t go from being “locked in a tight race with polls narrowing in the days before the election” to an 11-point, 471-thousand-vote win on election day. C’mon. People got carried away with the rumors and now they’re standing by them. Buzz ain’t always what it appears to be.

I mean, not only did Raoul get more votes than JB Pritzker, he also won Harold’s home county of Champaign. Yes, she received 176,000 more votes than Gov. Rauner, but Sam McCann took 188,000 votes from Rauner. So there’s that.

* More

Obliterating concerns from some Democrats that the race had tightened in the final days, Kwame Raoul cruised to an easy victory Tuesday over Republican Erika Harold to become Illinois’ first new attorney general in 16 years.

Top party officials reported that late polling showed Raoul with a much smaller lead over Harold than the double-digit advantages enjoyed by other statewide Democratic candidates, including governor front-runner J.B. Pritzker.

The most recent Democratic poll I was told about had Raoul winning by 9. He won by 11.

* More

In a sign of how tight the race had become as Election Day neared, Raoul reported receiving a $1 million donation from House Speaker Michael Madigan’s campaign fund on Friday.

So, you’re saying that a million bucks received just a few days out took it from a “tight” race to a blowout?

* What happened here is that a few weeks ago or so, a Democratic tracking poll had Raoul trailing. But that’s a single one-day poll out of lots, and it’s a mathematically possible that it was an outlier. Scientific polls are accurate to a 95 percent confidence level, which means one in 20 are outliers. It happens.

The Republicans had some polling that showed Raoul with a smallish lead, so the buzz built over time. And, hey, you gotta have some drama, so just about everybody bought into it, even though the Harold campaign was all but dark on TV the final week while Pritzker and others were pumping in millions into Raoul’s effort over the last three weeks to help move his margin up from mid-to-high-single digits to low double-digits.

Raoul didn’t magically pull out a huge win at the 11th Hour “because Madigan.” It was built over time and he earned it. Yeah, I didn’t like his TV ads, but they got stronger toward the end.

The overwhelming media narrative did serve a purpose, however. The warnings of a super-duper close race for an important job probably helped the entire Democratic ticket by motivating some folks to vote.

* Having said all that, I think Harold deserves a lot of credit here. She’s a natural campaigner and had a good team. If the governor had come through with all the money he promised her, she probably would’ve made this a more competitive race. She got game. I hope she runs for something else.

  35 Comments      


Tribune wants new Republican legislative leaders

Wednesday, Nov 7, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* The Tribune editorial board’s idea to rebuild the GOP going forward

Here’s the first step: Mend the fracture between establishment and conservative Republicans — Rauner supporters and those who backed his primary opponent, Rep. Jeanne Ives — and begin the rebuilding process. Find common ground and bury old grudges. Coalesce around new, fresh leadership in the House and Senate.

The talent is there. House and Senate members who managed to fend off challengers — Sens. Neil Anderson of Andalusia and John Curran of Downers Grove, along with Reps. Mark Batinick of Plainfield, Tom Morrison of Palatine, Tom Demmer of Dixon, Grant Wehrli of Naperville, to name a few — will have to retread this party. And they’ll have to do it without worrying about the next election. Don’t go weak. Go big — that is, as big as a minority party can go. Give the people of Illinois fresh ideas for fixing this state’s government and economy.

So, they want Rep. Batinick (who is up by 692 votes before all mail-in and provisional ballots are counted), Rep. Morrison (who is up by 482 votes before all mail-in and provisional ballots are counted) Rep. Wehrli (who defeated an opponent who had suspended her campaign and didn’t even live in the district and was allegedly sought by the FBI for a case in Texas by just 5 points) to take the lead in the House?

I’m thinking Leader Durkin will be fine.

…Adding… Also, I’m thinking Leader Brady will be fine. The Tribune has been cheerleading Bruce Rauner for more than four years. Maybe it’s time to sit down for a bit.

  76 Comments      


A Champaign sweep

Wednesday, Nov 7, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* The Champaign County Board decided to create a county executive and hold the election in the off-year, perhaps because college students tend not to vote in off years. Champaign County Clerk Gordy Hultgren informs me this position was created by referendum. As you’ll recall from numerous posts over the last couple of days, however, area college students came out in droves. Oops

With 100 percent of precincts reporting, Democrats have swept all Champaign County [countywide] offices.

— Democrat Darlene Kloeppel won the race for the new position of county executive over current Republican Clerk Gordy Hulten.

— Democrat Aaron Ammons won the race for clerk with 54 percent of the vote over Republican Matt Grandone.

— Democrat Laurel Prussing won the race for treasurer with 54 percent of the vote over incumbent Republican John Farney.

— Democrat George Danos won the race for auditor with 56 percent of the vote over incumbent Republican Diane Michaels.

— And Democrat Dustin Heuerman won the race for sheriff with 55 percent of the vote over Republican Allen Jones.

JB Pritzker defeated Gov. Rauner in the county 55-38.

Champaign County Clerk Gordy Hulten (an old friend of this blog), won his last race four years ago 61-39. He lost for county executive yesterday 53-47. The Democrats didn’t even run candidates for county sheriff and treasurer four years ago.

  31 Comments      


Madigan regains supermajority

Wednesday, Nov 7, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* And then some is right…



Subscribers know more. House results are here.

  79 Comments      


The suburban massacre

Wednesday, Nov 7, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* They missed a few, but the Daily Herald really had great coverage of what happened in the suburbs yesterday…

* How the suburbs went from reliably Republican to Democrat

* Underwood upsets Hultgren in 14th Congressional District

* Casten unseats Roskam in 6th District race

* Newcomer Gillespie turns 27th state Senate seat blue

* Terra Costa Howard takes 48th House District from Peter Breen

* Villa wins handily in 49th House race

* Walker beats Corrigan in race for 53rd state House

* Stava-Murray beats Olsen in 81st House race

* One vote separates Miller Walsh, Edly-Allen in 51st Illinois House

* Early votes propel Mason to 61st House seat

* Morrison in tight race against Trevor for state House 54th

* Schneider upset by newcomer Morrison in bid for fourth term on Cook County board

* Didech defeats Mathias for term on Lake County Board in District 20

* Hain ousts Kramer for Kane sheriff seat

* Kim takes lead in Lake County Treasurer’s race

* Kaczmarek victorious in DuPage County clerk race

* Democrat Iqbal defeats incumbent Kojzarek in Kane County District 19

  35 Comments      


Under the bus he goes

Wednesday, Nov 7, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* And rightfully so. Tribune

House Republican leader Jim Durkin of Western Springs said Tuesday’s results showed a gain for Democrats. “We got hit pretty hard, and statewide it was really difficult for the Republicans,” he said. “The governor underperformed in areas that were important to us.”

Durkin also said antipathy toward Trump in the suburbs hurt his party, as evidenced by losses of Republican U.S. Reps. Peter Roskam and Randy Hultgren, even though the president helped Downstate Republicans.

* Related…

* Mark Brown: Bruce Rauner wore out his welcome long ago

  51 Comments      


Counties don’t vote

Wednesday, Nov 7, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* JB Pritzker came out of Cook County with about a 776,000-vote margin. He won the state by 640,660, but he also won these counties

DuPage, Kane, Kendall, Lake, Will, Alexander, Champaign, DeKalb, Fulton, Jackson, Knox, Peoria, Rock Island, St. Clair

Pat Quinn, you will recall, won only Cook County four years ago.

Pritzker came up 77 votes short of winning Winnebago and lost by 92 votes in Pulaski, 1,700 votes in LaSalle and about 2,600 votes in Sangamon.

Discuss.

* Related…

* Suburbs help push Pritzker to victory

  22 Comments      


Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today’s edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)

Wednesday, Nov 7, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

This post is password protected. To view it please enter your password below:

  Comments Off      


*** LIVE COVERAGE ***

Wednesday, Nov 7, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Follow along with ScribbleLive


  1 Comment      


Contested Illinois Senate election results

Tuesday, Nov 6, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

*** Please, do not reload this page. It will automatically update on its own. Refreshing the page could cause this site to go down. Thanks for your cooperation. ***


SDem Targeted by Liberty Principles PAC

  8 Comments      


Contested Illinois House election results

Tuesday, Nov 6, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

*** Please, do not reload this page. It will automatically update on its own. Refreshing the page could cause this site to go down. Thanks for your cooperation. ***

Tier One Targets by Democrats
(HDems on Chicago broadcast TV)





Tier Two-Three Targets by Democrats

Tier One Targets by Republicans

Races To Maybe Watch In Case Of A Huge Wave

HDems Targeted By Liberty Principles PAC





  9 Comments      


Illinois statewide election results

Tuesday, Nov 6, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

Better late than never.


  3 Comments      


Where to find election results tonight

Tuesday, Nov 6, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Click here for WBEZ’s election results. They have statewides and congressional.

* Click here for the Sun-Times’ state Senate results, click here for the paper’s state House results, click here for their Cook County results and click here for their DuPage County results. The full set of results from the paper is here.

  20 Comments      


Well, so much for that idea

Tuesday, Nov 6, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Illinois Election Data’s results server went down earlier and they can’t get it going again tonight. So, I’m not sure what I’m going to do right now.

…Adding… Click here and head to the live coverage post. I doubt I’ll be posting constant vote totals, but I will post some as well as other stuff.

  13 Comments      


2018 declared winners

Tuesday, Nov 6, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* I’ll be posting here either when the AP or another media outlet calls a winner or when I do


  115 Comments      


Watch election night video

Tuesday, Nov 6, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* The Sun-Times is doing an election night livestream. Click here to watch.

* TV station live feeds…

* ABC 7
* Fox 32
* CBS 2
* WGN

I didn’t see any live feeds for Downstate TV stations. If you know of any, let me know in comments.

* In addition, Blue Room Stream is doing live feeds from four statewide candidates’ election night parties. Gov. Rauner…

* Pritzker…

* Raoul…

* Harold…

  Comments Off      


Late afternoon/early evening precinct reports

Tuesday, Nov 6, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* I’ll have live election results from our great friend Scott Kennedy at Illinois Election Data tonight. Meanwhile, the Saline County Clerk is also ejecting Republican poll watchers…



Sheesh.

* The usual suspect…

* Some are uncharitably calling this party “the wake at the Drake”…



* From the DCCC…

Hey Rich,

Saw your post about the Rauner campaign bragging about how they’ve done 70,000 doors since last Saturday. I know Casten’s campaign has done 102,000 doors in IL-06 between Saturday and Monday night alone.

…Adding… The Rauner campaign says they actually knocked on 70,000 doors on Saturday alone.

* DuPage allegations

A DuPage County Forest Preserve Commissioner candidate faced problems at the polls in Hinsdale, where he was told he was an inactive voter. Irfan Ibrahim, a Hinsdale resident and a candidate for District 3 Commissioner for the forest preserve, was first asked for two forms of ID and was then told he was not an active voter.

Ibrahim posted on his Facebook page, showing that he has voted in every general election since 2010.

“If you think that voter suppression is not real, it is real,” Ibrahim said in his Facebook video.

“I’m going back out there again to let them know that I am voting today, up and down the ballot,” Ibrahim said. “Voter suppression will not be accepted.”

* They’ve been busy today…



* Block Club Chicago

The city has seen [633,597 ballots cast as of 2:50 pm, which is 42 percent turnout], including ballots sent by mail and early voters, said Jim Allen, spokesman for the Chicago Board of Election Commissioners. That puts Chicago on track to reach 50 percent or higher turnout by the end of voting at 7 p.m., he said. […]

“If the pattern follows similar to the primary, we’ll see significant numbers like we did this morning and we could be crossing 50 percent,” Allen said. Chicago could “easily cross — after the evening rush — we should definitely, easily cross the 50 percent [mark]. So now it’s gonna be do we reach 53, 56, what?”

705,869 ballots were cast in the city in 2010 (when Pat Quinn won). 668,033 were cast in 2014 (when Quinn lost). 670,222 were cast in 2006 (when the Democrats swept the board).

* Another voter…



* More long lines in Urbana…


* Sen. Sandoval likes to make stuff about him…

* A good hashtag to follow tonight if you care about other state legislatures…


* Yum…



* Please spare us…



* What are you seeing and hearing out there? Let us in on the scoop!

…Adding… Could be a jammed room tonight…



…Adding… Ask and ye shall receive…



By comparison, 719,090 suburban Cook residents voted in 2010 and 696,403 voted in 2014. So, they’re already way over both of those totals.

…Adding… Wow…



…Adding… Wow again…



  32 Comments      


Question of the day

Tuesday, Nov 6, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Your final predictions?

  80 Comments      


Mid-afternoon precinct reports

Tuesday, Nov 6, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

[Comments are now closed on this post. Click here for a fresh thread.]

* Background is here if you need it, but the Saline County Clerk is still behaving badly…


I’m hearing the same thing. She’s actually been going precinct to precinct to try and kick out the Democratic poll watchers. That’s really bizarre behavior.

More background on this clerk is here and here.

* NBC 5

Chicago officials said they were working to fix issues at precincts in the 42nd Ward and the 5th Ward.

The Chicago Board of Elections confirmed it was going to court to ask a judge to extend voting hours in five precincts in the city. Details on which precincts could be extended weren’t immediately clear.

* A friend of the blog…



* I did not know this

Poshard said he had campaigned in 72 counties for Pritzker and talked about JB and MK’s foundation that feeds more than 200,000 children.

* I’m glad to see the stumbles of the past have been reversed

All Sangamon County polling places opened on time Tuesday morning, and a steady flow of voters were casting ballots, according to County Clerk Don Gray. […]

Meanwhile, Gray said extra voting booths were being sent to at least three locations — St. Agnes Hall, Knights of Columbus No. 364 and Gardner Township Hall.

“We certainly had long lines,” Gray said. “People were anxious to get at it, and because of that, it would help to have a few more resources.” He said he expected the heavy morning turnout to “surface again after work.”

* A Chicago voter is not pleased

Arrived at my polling place at 5:50 a.m. to beat the rush, they were just starting to get organized and unpack stuff, and they did not start trying to check voters in until about 6:30 a.m.

Nothing but elderly poll workers with no tech skills, no experience with electoral process, and poor communications ability.

They started by demanding that already-registered voters register anew, claiming inaccurately that “that’s how they want us to do it,” then fell to arguing among themselves about how to process people as the line grew to 25+ people.

When they started trying again they immediately crashed or paralyzed all their tech — they had not rehearsed or anything and were entirely flummoxed by the check-in interfaces, etc. — and somehow destroyed my wife’s voter record in the process so she could only get a provisional ballot.

* From ISU…


THIS is voter suppression: offering ONE polling location to a campus of 21,000+ students (AND it’s also open to all of McLean County). Students should not have to wait an hour to cast a vote.

We’ve had students calling the McLean Co. Clerk’s office and Kathy Michael County Clerk said, “it’s an election. This just happens.” It does happen, but it shouldn’t.

Posted by College Democrats at Illinois State University on Tuesday, November 6, 2018

* Umm…


Vote naked!

Posted by Sandy and Richard Riccardi on Tuesday, November 6, 2018

* Sun-Times

Of the 1.5 million registered voters in the City of Chicago, 524,808 people had voted as of 12:50 p.m. That’s 34.9 percent of all registered voters hitting the polls before 1 p.m. on Election Day.

Chicago voter turnout numbers by age group reported before 12:50 p.m. on Election Day:

    • Voters age 18 to 24: 25,576 of 139,138 registered voters (18.3 percent)
    • Voters age 25 to 34: 100,231 of 352,583 registered voters (28.4 percent)
    • Voters age 35 to 44: 85,477 of 272,865 registered voters (31.3 percent)
    • Voters age 45 to 54: 82,028 of 232,071 registered voters (35.3 percent)
    • Voters age 55 to 64: 94,295 of 228,211 registered voters (41.3 percent)
    • Voters age 65 and up: 125,035 of 278,485 registered voters (44.9 percent).

…Adding… GOTV via presidential tweet…



* Tell us what you’re hearing and seeing out there in comments, please. Thanks!

…Adding… Ugh

Election Day 2018: Avowed Nazi and Congressional Nominee Art Jones delivers anti-Semitic rant at his polling place while Simon Wiesenthal Center Advisory Board Members Sean Tenner and Reverend Mitchell Johnson distribute materials about his Nazi background. Simon Wiesenthal was history’s most acclaimed Nazi hunter.

The video

…Adding… From the Chicago Elections Board…

We’re at 633,597 or 41.7% as of 2:50 pm

705,869 ballots were cast in 2010. 668,033 were cast in 2014. 670,222 were cast in 2006.

  56 Comments      


Credit Unions: A Unique Concept for Financial Services

Tuesday, Nov 6, 2018 - Posted by Advertising Department

[The following is a paid advertisement.]

Credit unions are not-for-profit cooperatives that focus on serving their members and communities. Credit unions function like other financial institutions in many ways: they offer checking accounts, savings accounts, and credit cards, as well as personal, home, and auto loans, free ATMs, and more. However, credit unions exist as member-owned cooperative institutions. This means that when you join a credit union, you are more than just a member: you’re an owner, and your voice matters. Interested in finding the credit union that’s right for you? Visit ASmarterChoice.org to discover all the advantages that membership holds.

  Comments Off      


Late morning/early afternoon precinct reports

Tuesday, Nov 6, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

[Comments are now closed on this post. Click here for a fresh thread.]

* Pic from a couple of pals who are doing GOTV today. “Do we knock on the door to ask?” one texted. I told them to go for it. “I gotta know the reason behind that”…

So one of them did…

Alas, there was no answer at the door.

* I’m thinking he may be exaggerating a bit here…



* Yikes…



* Interesting…



* The Tribune is doing some live election day updates from various polling places. Here’s one from early this morning

Before daylight there was a line of voters at a precinct at Naperville’s Safety Town, a miniaturized town with tiny buildings and street signs. Several dozen voters shuffled in and out within the first hour, including Elizabeth Dubiel.

“I’m trying to change the momentum of the way things are right now. This is the first midterm I’ve ever voted in. In my whole, I’ve probably voted like three times.”

Her first time voting was for former President Barack Obama. Since then, Dubiel said, she became uninspired with the lack of diversity on the ballot.

“In the past there wasn’t too many women on the ballot. I felt like my vote wasn’t heard, like my vote didn’t count.”

* The Sun-Times is also doing live updates

Despite the hope of Democrats for a “Blue Wave,” there were still ticket-splitters out there — even in Chicago.

Diana Brogan, 51, who works in account sales, was one of them. She calls herself a Democrat, but Rauner got her vote for governor.

She called herself a Democrat who voted Republican for governor.

“We need to change it up a little,” Brogan, 51, said after voting at John James Audubon Elementary School, 3500 N. Hoyne Ave. “Rauner is doing an OK job. Madigan needs to move on . . . I feel like the Democrats are controlling too much and not getting anything done.”

* What are you seeing out there? How’s the weather? How’s turnout? How was lunch?

…Adding… Rauner campaign…

This morning, Governor Bruce Rauner and First Lady Diana Rauner voted in Winnetka. After voting, Governor Rauner made the following remarks to the media:

“We just voted. One of the most important elections in Illinois history. Thanks for coming out. Everyone get out and vote, it’s our duty as Americans, it’s our duty as citizens to have our voices heard. We want everyone’s voices heard, let’s get out and vote.”

“I’d like to build on the success we’ve had in our first term. More education funding, want to expand that. Job growth, had great success growing the economy, want to create even more jobs. Would like to bring down our property taxes by getting the mandates off from Springfield and free up our school districts and communities to run themselves as they see fit. And very importantly, I hope we can finally get term limits on our elected officials in my second term.

…Adding… That’s a lot of stops…



  43 Comments      


Illinois Policy Institute demands retraction, attempts to rewrite history

Tuesday, Nov 6, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* As we discussed yesterday, this is from the Illinois Policy Institute

Illinois’ budget impasse may have also been a drag on employment growth, perhaps even more than the tax increase but passing a budget with the largest permanent income tax hike in state history didn’t improve Illinois’ economic climate.

* Here’s what I told subscribers this morning

As even the far-right anti-tax Illinois Policy Institute now mostly admits, the impasse likely did more damage to the state’s job growth than the 2011 and 2017 income tax hikes.

* From Orphe Pierre Divounguy, an economist at the Illinois Policy Institute…

Rich,

Your newsletter today takes our research completely out of context and warrants a correction.

We clearly state in the piece: “Although tax hikes may initially cause tax revenues to increase, the negative economic effects of the 2017 tax hike will overshadow any benefits of additional revenue in the long run.”

We, first, never mention the 2011 tax hike and we say the impasse could have done more damage in terms of growth in the 2017-2018 period – not “likely” did, as you wrote. We clearly share that the potential reason for this is uncertainty about a future tax hike depressed investment that could have yielded jobs growth. The budget impasse was bad but it left open the possibility of no new taxes. Issuing a permanent tax hike will undoubtedly be a larger drag on employment in the long term than the impasse was, as we write in the piece.

Last, the far-right reference is offensive especially in this political climate. And it’s completely unnecessary. Advocating for the overburdened taxpayer, criminal justice reform, wanting retirees to actually keep their pensions rather than see them go bankrupt, etc. is not “far right.”

OK, fine. Have it your way. I’m sorry!!!

* But “the budget impasse was bad?” Really? From May of 2016

The organization wants to see state lawmakers make the right reforms before approving a budget, said Kristina Rasmussen, executive vice president of the Illinois Policy Institute.

“No budget is better than a bad budget,” Rasmussen said.

* And the reference is offensive in this political climate? Anybody remember this?

One legislator was called a “f—-ing animal.” Another was told he’d be “hanging from a tree.”

“You are selling your soul to the devil,” said a message to GOP House floor Leader Steven Andersson, who reported receiving a steady flow of abusive text messages and calls — including a death threat. “I’m coming for you,” it said. Now the Illinois State Police are investigating.

The rage unleashed by the vote serves as a reminder of the combustibility of the current political atmosphere, one where a tax increase to avoid a fiscal catastrophe — combined with the perception of partisan betrayal — could set off such an explosive response. […]

Stoking the backlash are well-funded anti-tax groups such as the Illinois Policy Institute, whose staffing exceeds that of some legacy newspapers. That group had warned its subscribers that Andersson and another lawmaker might vote with Madigan. Andersson’s cell phone was somehow distributed as well as those of several other GOP members who voted for the tax hike, Andersson said. The Illinois Policy Institute said Wednesday it does not release or post lawmakers’ cell phone numbers.

* And the group’s reaction?…



* And the letter the House Republicans sent to members?…

Dear House Republican Members,

[The HGOP’s] Digital Media Manager, has prepared the information below to help guide members who experience abusive social media comments.

What to do if you receive threats on Facebook, Twitter or other social media accounts:

    * If you feel the threat is imminent call 911
    * Report threats of violence immediately to State Police at this phone number: 877-xxx-xxxx
    * Then report to social media platform - here’s how
    * Facebook:https://www.facebook.com/help/181495968648557?helpref=faq_content
    * Twitter:https://support.twitter.com/articles/20169998#whatshouldido
    * Or, ask your communications staffer for help

* And, of course, there was also this…



  35 Comments      


Today’s Underwood number: 93 percent

Tuesday, Nov 6, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* This is from a few days ago, but I kept forgetting to post it

Since Sept. 1, Pritzker has aired 20,199 ads on TV, and Rauner has shown 16,726 ads, according to figures provided by Advertising Analytics, which tracks ad buys. […]

But the numbers from the race between Hultgren and Underwood may be the most striking according to Advertising Analytics.

Since Sept. 1, Underwood has outspent Hultgren three-to-one: She spent $4.4 million to his $1.4 million. Just as striking is that Underwood’s campaign and Democratic support committees are responsible for 93 percent of the ads that have been on television in that race, 3,577 by Underwood and just 257 by Hultgren.

If Republican voters could sue for political malpractice, Randy Hultgren would be penniless after this election - even if he wins.

Also, Gov. Rauner has been complaining about being outspent by $100 million, but that money has obviously gone into stuff other than TV ads.

* Related…

* Hultgren Launches 11th Hour Attack on Underwood

* Hultgren questions Underwood’s nursing experience as poll puts her ahead

* Randy Hultgren questions Lauren Underwood’s nursing credentials

* 14th Congressional District candidate Underwood galvanizes supporters before Election Day

  17 Comments      


A fun way to kill time while we wait for the polls to close

Tuesday, Nov 6, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* They’ve taken down the paywall on Hannah Meisel’s report on campaign mascots and props. I loved this story so much this morning that I got way behind on writing the subscriber Fax. Have fun

Some may scoff at or even mock the strategies at work, decrying them as a “dumbing down” of democracy. But political strategists told The Daily Line that when used correctly, these characters and stunts cut through the noise of a seemingly endless political season and deliver a simple message about a candidate’s opponent.

After the chickens, Rauner’s 2014 campaign continued to add to its arsenal of costumed characters as the months progressed, eventually employing a campaign worker to spend days on end dressed up as a cross between then-Gov. Pat Quinn and fairytale character Pinnochio, famous for having a nose that grew every time he lied. This hybrid character, Quinnochio, was often joined by another campaign worker dressed in an orange jumpsuit and a rubber mask of imprisoned ex-Gov. Rod Blagojevich.

But Rauner’s first gubernatorial bid was not the first time an Illinois Republican created spectacles to attract media attention. Many of Rauner’s 2014 campaign staff had come from former U.S. Senator Mark Kirk’s office, where the senator’s 2010 election campaign had found a highly original way and extremely simple way to illustrate the alleged ties between Kirk’s opponent, Democrat Alexi Giannoulias, and the mob.

Enter: the shark.

Go read the whole thing.

  4 Comments      


Ives makes her case for 2022

Tuesday, Nov 6, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* The governor’s political body isn’t even cold yet, but possible 2022 gubernatorial hopeful Todd Ricketts was on yesterday’s Republican Party fly-around. And today, Rep. Jeanne Ives’ spokesperson Kathleen Murphy writes this in National Review

Ives’s candidacy demonstrated that Illinois Republicans gain ground quickly when they engage in ideological confrontation on cultural and economic issues.

Speaker Madigan and his machine may be powerful, but they are wholly unaccustomed to such confrontation from their Republican counterparts. Their ability to handle such an attack has never truly been tested.

ILGOP flacks might brush off the suggestion as “far-right extremism,” but Illinoisans know the difficulties they’re facing. For many, exhausted by the state’s onerous tax burden, lack of opportunity, and moral libertinism, an ILGOP with a strong contrasting vision, adherence to principle, revolutionary instincts, and simple grit would offer reason for optimism.
Comments

There are no guarantees. But as conservative talk-show host Dan Proft puts it, “As long as we’re still here, we might as well fight.”

In Illinois, conservatives have to embrace these challenges for the opportunities they must be. Nationally, the revolt against the big-government “swamp” has been messy. But the ground we now hold is precious. If Illinois offers any lesson to conservatives, it is this: Never Surrender.

Thoughts?

  74 Comments      


Mid-morning precinct reports

Tuesday, Nov 6, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

[Comments are now closed on this post. Click here for a fresh thread.]

* County clerk behaving badly. WSIL TV

Investigators with the Illinois Attorney General’s office have been called to Saline County after county officials voiced concerns that the openness and transparency of this year’s election could be at risk.

Saline County State’s Attorney Jayson Clark said he received a number of complaints Monday morning that County Clerk Kim Buchanan was refusing to allow poll watchers to oversee the processing of early voting results.

“I came right over here and intervened this morning,” Clark said. […]

“This is America,” Clark said. “We have open elections that everyone gets to watch what happens.”

He says this morning was especially important, because due to an equipment malfunction, the county had to rerun all of the early voting ballots through a new machine.

Clark says after getting the poll watchers inside to oversee the processing, Buchanan kicked them out the moment he left.

“She didn’t just kick them out, she built a barricade where they couldn’t even see what was going on back there when they were running the ballots through the machine for the second time,” Clark said. “That’s pretty egregious.”

He says that’s when he got the attorney general’s office involved.

She barricaded herself in her office? What the heck?

* Text messages from Democrats involved with looking into precinct polling place problems…

Kendall County Clerk is now directing precinct judges not to vote any voter who comes to a polling place with mail ballot to vote in person (they bring the ballot to surrender and vote in person). Instead she says they must go to the Clerk’s Office. Under the law they can vote a regular ballot. The Attorney General and State Board were notified.

One of the heaviest D precincts in [Rep. Tom Morrison’s district] has “Road Closed” signs blocking all entrances. Voters are going around

…Adding… Here are pictures of what I am told are the barricades in front of all three entrances to those precinct polling places in Rep. Morrison’s district. Salt Creek Park District, 530 S Williams Ave, Palatine, IL…


There does look to be construction behind that first sign, but not the others.

* More shenanigans…



* Sign of the times…

…Adding… From last night…



* What are you seeing out there?

  37 Comments      


He’s learned nothing

Tuesday, Nov 6, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* I thought he said in his campaign “reset” speech that he had learned to accept compromise and incremental gains?

“We just did a nine-day bus tour, we covered the entire state of Illinois. And everywhere we went, people came up to me and said, ‘stay strong, don’t back down, don’t give in,’” Rauner said later at the Lisle appearance.

  46 Comments      


Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today’s edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)

Tuesday, Nov 6, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Early morning precinct reports

Tuesday, Nov 6, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* What are you seeing and hearing out there?

[Comments are now closed on this post. Click here for a fresh post.]

  49 Comments      


*** LIVE COVERAGE ***

Tuesday, Nov 6, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Follow along with ScribbleLive


  1 Comment      


Note to blog readers

Monday, Nov 5, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* My tech guys are shutting down this site for about 30 minutes around 8 o’clock tonight to get things ready for tomorrow. I apologize in advance for any convenience this may cause you.

  19 Comments      


Early voting among yutes up 144 percent here

Monday, Nov 5, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* USA Today

Early youth voting in Illinois is up 144 percent over the 2014 midterms. More than 70 percent of the 6,200 undergraduates at the University of Chicago registered to vote through the TurboVote app. At the university’s early voting site, students waited up to an hour to cast their ballots.

Keep in mind that early voting has become far more common in recent years. But it still does probably show voter intensity.

* From UIUC today…



That’s in US Rep. Rodney Davis’ district, along with a whole lot of other Downstate campuses.

…Adding… I’m told the line at UIUC is now up to 400+ people and a three-hour wait. Gonna take a lot of pizzas to feed that crowd.

…Adding… Uh-oh…



Headline explained here.

…Adding… Tribune

““The big question: Is all this surge in early voting, is it just just to get it out of the way? Or has it more to do with a bigger turnout?” Orr said during a news conference with city officials Monday. “The buzz clearly is we’re going to have a bigger turnout. We see so many signs, but they’re not necessarily provable at this point. We’ll see that tomorrow.

“It’s hard for us to say, but we clearly, I believe, will break the normal 49 to 52 (percent turnout),” he said.

Marisel Hernandez, chairwoman of the election board that supervises Chicago voting, was a bit more cautious in her turnout estimate.

“I don’t know if you can have an educated guess, but we definitely will see over 50 percent, but as far as anything more specific than that, I’m hesitant to say,” Hernandez said. “We think that this election has generated a lot of interest, so we’re hoping for a good turnout.”

.

  61 Comments      


Todd Ricketts is on Erika Harold’s fly-around?

Monday, Nov 5, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* And no Gov. Rauner…



That’ll start the tongues a-wagging. You’ll recall all the speculation about a possible Todd Ricketts 2022 gubernatorial bid last month.

…Adding… The question mark in the headline doesn’t mean he might not be on the fly-around. He is on the fly-around.

  29 Comments      


Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Fundraiser list; Rep. Morrison video; Madigan lawsuit; Etc.

Monday, Nov 5, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Closing it out

Monday, Nov 5, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Republican House candidate hoping to replace retiring Rep. Jeanne Ives…


This election is starting to heat up!
But seriously, this is a low point to have the sign in front of my home burnt!

Posted by Elect Amy Grant on Saturday, November 3, 2018

Ugh. What a horrible thing to do. Not to mention that there’s no statute of limitations on arson.

* From a longtime Peoria-area subscriber…

Hey an odd FYI, I received a robocall last night at my home in Peoria County, on behalf of the GOP candidate against John D’Amico. Obviously an error somehow, but errors like this always make me wonder how many other wasted contacts they made.

D’Amico is a Chicago Democrat.

* Mike Bost and the ILGOP go with Hillary, Madigan, Pelosi and Trump…

That piece has a very retro feel to it, and I don’t just mean the inclusion of Hillary Clinton.

* US Rep. Peter Roskam’s closer isn’t close to being positive

* Roskam’s opponent, Sean Casten, tweeted out a video of Daniel Biss juggling fire…



* Related…

* Constable: Democrat or Republican, these election judges work together for voters: Chatting politely and chuckling at times, these two longtime election judges figure out they probably have been to the same political rallies. Dianna Rushing, 67, a passionate Democrat from Palatine, was on one side holding her sign. Richard Townsend, 40, a fervent Republican from Arlington Heights, was on the other side holding his sign.

* As more voters trust the Postal Service, here’s how mail ballots get counted — and what keeps people from voting 3 times

* Make it to your polling place on Election Day and get told you can’t vote? Here’s what to do

* Five legislative races in which your vote could make all the difference

* 5 possible scenarios for Election Day, and what they would mean

* Suburban 6th, 14th district races have national implications

  19 Comments      


Illinois Policy Institute claims budget impasse may have hurt job growth more than tax hike

Monday, Nov 5, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* The Illinois Policy Institute, the the lead cheerleader for the two-year impasse, made a startling admission a few days ago

Illinois’ budget impasse may have also been a drag on employment growth, perhaps even more than the tax increase

Now you tell us? Thanks!

* Here’s the rest of that sentence

but passing a budget with the largest permanent income tax hike in state history didn’t improve Illinois’ economic climate.

* Jake breaks it down…


  23 Comments      


Your feel-good story of the day

Monday, Nov 5, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* I noticed this group over the weekend

In these turbulent political times, what America needs now is some non-partisan pizza.

A non-profit group called Pizza to the Polls is doling out the dough, sending steaming hot pies to polling places with long lines.

Their reasoning: Long lines and hungry voters aren’t a good recipe for democracy.

* I decided to test their system and I tweeted at them when I saw this post…



* They said they were already on it…



Their website indicates they’ve sent pies to 2333 W. Sunnyside Ave., which is the Welles Park early voting site.

  19 Comments      


Question of the day

Monday, Nov 5, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Sneed

Personal PAC, the powerful abortion rights/pro-choice organization which is a major force on the the political scene, seems scared to death that it’s chosen candidate for Illinois attorney general — Democrat Kwame Raoul — might be in trouble.

In a confidential letter dispatched late last week to board members by PAC leader Terry Cosgrove, the fear of Raoul losing the state race is palpable.

In the letter, which was obtained by Sneed, Cosgrove states:

“Putting aside the closeness of many legislative races, I am most concerned about Kwame Raoul defeating [Republican] Erika Harold.”

* Politico

When Obama approached Kwame Raoul for a similar embrace, the state senator in a tough battle for attorney general gave the former president a giant bear hug.

* WTTW

One race that’s expected to be close is the race for attorney general, in which Democratic state Sen. Kwame Raoul – who took Obama’s seat when Obama left Springfield for the U.S. Senate – is facing off against Urbana attorney and former Miss America Erika Harold.

* But

At the same time, Harold, an Urbana attorney, bought limited broadcast TV advertising time in the Chicago market for the race’s final weekend. Her campaign late Friday also purchased cable advertising time in the Chicago market.

She’s basically dark on Chicago broadcast.

* The Question: What’s your over/under prediction for the percentage margin between Harold and Raoul? Explain.

  65 Comments      


Obama stumps for the Democrats

Monday, Nov 5, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* WGN TV

Former President Barack Obama returned to Chicago to rally voters while supporting gubernatorial candidate J.B. Pritzker and other Democrats on the ballot in the coming election. […]

Just looking at the latest polls, Democratic gubernatorial candidate JB Pritzker may not need the help from the former president to defeat Gov. Rauner, but it didn’t stop him from taking the podium.

“Republicans are just plain wrong. Democrats are about being fair and decent we can be to one another,” Pritzker said.

* Sun-Times

While former presidents often stay in the political background for a few years after leaving office, the Trump-led attacks on Obama’s legacy drew him back onto the campaign trail. Republicans, said Obama, are “blatantly, repeatedly, baldly, shamelessly lying.” And the Trump administration, which promised to “clean the swamp,” instead, Obama said, “racked up enough indictments to field a football team.” […]

Gubernatorial candidate Pritzker took the stage before Obama spoke to say “hatred and misogyny should have no place in America.” He told the crowd, “This election is about what Illinois can be.”

Raoul told the crowd, “I’m a proud son of Haitian immigrants who did not come from [a] s-hole,” referencing reports of President Donald Trump’s disparaging remarks about immigration from several countries earlier this year. “I am a birthright baby,” Raoul said.

Comptroller and likely Chicago mayoral contender Susana Mendoza called herself at the rally “your truth-telling fiscal watchdog who is not afraid to stand up to Bruce Rauner.”

I’m assuming we’ll hear some “truth-telling” from Mendoza in the coming days about her mayoral bid.

* Tribune

Pritzker accused Rauner and the state Republican Party of adopting Trump’s “retrograde views,” including viewing people as a threat “because of the way they look or worship or identify.”

“Illinois, my faith in you has never been greater,” Pritzker said, saying residents have shown “you prove progress is always possible.”

  28 Comments      


Rauner wraps it up

Monday, Nov 5, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* The governor is trying his best to raise expectations

At Honest Abe’s Tap & Grill in Morris, the governor spoke of an uphill battle back to a second term, while warning a victory by Democrat J.B. Pritzker will turn the state into a “nightmare.”

“People are counting us out now. They’re saying, ‘Oh the polls are showing this or that,’” Rauner said. “You know what? The polls are baloney. These polls don’t mean anything. The only poll that matters is on Election Day,” Rauner said. […]

“We had a supermajority against us and it was brutal,” Rauner said of the Democratic majority in both the Illinois House and Senate. “But you know what? Two years ago, thanks to your hard work, we picked up six seats in the General Assembly to knock Mike Madigan out of the supermajority. And you know what? what we’re going to do this time … we’re going to pick up nine seats in the House and knock Mike Madigan out. He’s not going to be the speaker of the House anymore.

“That’s what we’re going to do. We’re going to get him out,” Rauner said.

* Also in Morris

Discussing his opponent, Pritzker, Rauner said Pritzker could be indicted in the next few months because of a a tax scheme. The audience jeered at the mention of Pritzker, with one woman in the crowd shouting “Screw him,” and a man called him the Pillsbury Dough boy. Rauner said Pritzker could join his predecessors as an Illinois governor going to jail.

“And you know what ‘J.B.’ stands for then: Jail Bird,” Rauner said.

From the man who has repeatedly bemoaned the rhetoric in politics today.

* Decatur

“I was trailing in most polls four years ago … and I don’t think they are really accurate,” said the 62-year-old incumbent. “Everywhere I travel people say ‘Governor, you are on the right track.’” […]

“People say ‘Governor, stay strong, don’t give in. Madigan is the problem, he’s the one that has gotta go,’ ” Rauner said. “And a lot of times they will go on and say, ‘I am a Democrat, and I don’t normally support Republicans, but I love what you are trying to do.’ ” […]

In Decatur, Rauner already had convinced Shirley and Jim Cairns from Mount Zion, diehard fans who came to the cafe to see him and definitely plan on voting for him. They don’t believe in the polls, either.

“He’s going to get it, he’s going to win,” said Shirley Cairns as her husband nodded in agreement. “He deserves it because of all the changes he’s made and the fact he’s made Illinois a better state.”

The final RCP polling average in 2014 was Quinn +0.8.

Also, he could release his own internal polling if the public polling is “baloney.”

* Carbondale

During his visit, many tailgaters introduced themselves to Rauner and asked him to pose for a picture with them. Parents brought their children to meet the governor. One gentleman said the last governor he had seen up close was Dan Walker. […]

A few people declined offers to have their pictures taken with the governor, but they were polite about it. Some tailgaters ignored the governor as he walked by their tables and tents. Most partiers seemed pleasantly surprised by his visit.

“Everywhere we go, people will come up to us and say, ‘Governor, stay strong. Don’t back down. You’re on the right track. Madigan has got to go.’ And, a lot of times, they will go on and say, ‘I’m a Democrat. I don’t normally support Republicans, but I support you because we have got to stop that corruption and the tax hikes coming out of Chicago.’ So, it’s very exciting,” Rauner said.

* On tap today

* Gov. Bruce Rauner has a campaign stop scheduled in Spring Grove and an evening rally at Benedictine University in Lisle.

* J.B. Pritzker has campaign stops scheduled in Rockford, Moline, Belleville, Marion, Springfield and Peoria with other candidates on the Democratic ticket, including attorney general hopeful Kwame Raoul and Treasurer Mike Frerichs.

* The governor also did a round of morning show appearances…



…Adding… Gibson City

Rauner appeared heartened by the ovation he got from the lunchtime crowd at the Country Kettle Restaurant on a rainy Sunday afternoon. Four years ago, Rauner got 76 percent of the vote in heavily Republican Ford County and 50.3 percent statewide as he upended Democratic Gov. Pat Quinn. […]

“Don’t believe those polls,” he told diners at the crowded restaurant Sunday in an impromptu campaign rally. “We need to get out the votes downstate to cancel those votes in Chicago.

“They’re trying to bring in the big guns,” Rauner said in reference to a late Sunday afternoon rally in Chicago featuring former President Barack Obama and the statewide Democratic ticket.

“All the trends are with us. We’ve got to fight these guys,” Rauner said.

  49 Comments      


*** UPDATED x1 - Durbin, Duckworth call for Shah’s resignation *** Was this the origin of the Quincy veterans’ home outbreak?

Monday, Nov 5, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* June of 2018

State and local public health authorities have looked high and low for the sources of fatal Legionnaires’ disease outbreaks at the Quincy veterans’ home. Now, Illinois Gov. Bruce Rauner is offering a new theory.

“Massive floods and tornadoes” and “a lot of dirt.”

But Rauner offered no proof, and experts who spoke to WBEZ were skeptical.

…Adding… The Pritzker campaign compiled a long list of the governor’s excuses. Click here.

* WBEZ now reports that the Rauner administration released 132,700 pages of documents related to the Quincy veterans’ home on Friday. Here’s one bit

Illinois Gov. Bruce Rauner’s administration knew the Quincy veterans’ home had bungled a water-system repair in violation of state health codes but chose not to cite the facility for a mistake that likely contributed to a fatal Legionnaires’ outbreak in 2015, state records show. […]

One email has Rauner’s public health director explaining how a bacteria-laden “broth of legionella” was mistakenly released into the Illinois Veterans Home water system before a 2015 outbreak killed 12 residents.

That discharge had been previously highlighted in state and federal reports. But until now, it had not been known the release was serious enough to be a “citable offense” under state rules — an important detail that could weaken the state’s position in a dozen negligence lawsuits brought by victims’ families. […]

Shah outlined how a malfunctioning tank used to supply the home with hot water sat dormant for more than a month, filled with water that had cooled to 80 or 90 degrees — a level he described as the “optimal growing temperature” for Legionella, the bacteria that causes Legionnaires’.

When the tank was repaired on Aug. 6, 2015 and put back online, the facility failed to empty out the stagnant water, which wound up being warmed to a temperature in which Legionella can still flourish. Gallons upon gallons of that water were then distributed “for normal use throughout the facility,” Shah wrote.

He likened it all to a “broth of legionella” and said it likely contaminated shower heads in the home within a week of the repair.

Go read the rest. The e-mail is here.

* Another story from WBEZ

A top Illinois public health official delivered a searing indictment of how Gov. Bruce Rauner’s office handled fallout from the Legionnaires’ disease crisis at the Quincy veterans’ home, alleging that secrecy, indecision and “never-ending conference calls” created a “mess,” state records show.

Emails sent earlier this year by state Public Health Director Nirav Shah’s chief of staff offer some of the most damaging evidence yet that Rauner’s office itself was responsible for withholding key information from state lawmakers and the media about successive Legionnaires’ disease outbreaks at the facility.

“The [governor’s office] should have followed our advice and just release [sic] the documents with no redactions. Now we have another mess created by them to deal with,” Shah’s underling, Erik Rayman, wrote on April 4.

Rayman’s note to Shah and others within their agency came in response to a WBEZ story about how Rauner administration lawyers were aggressively censoring public documents related to Legionnaires’ outbreaks at the home, which are now linked to 14 deaths.

*** UPDATE *** Press release…

U.S. Senators Dick Durbin (D-IL) and Tammy Duckworth (D-IL) today called for Illinois Public Health Director Nirav Shah to resign following reports that the Rauner Administration botched a water-system repair at Illinois Veterans Home (IVH) Quincy, which was in violation of state health codes, and then chose to deliberately withhold that information from the public and not cite the facility for a mistake. In newly released documents, Shah detailed the dangers present at the facility, noted that the violations warranted a citation, yet chose not to issue one. Additional reports indicate that Shah and other staff at the Illinois Department of Public Health found Governor Rauner’s office to be an obstacle in ensuring a prompt and comprehensive response to the deadly outbreaks and more focused on public perception.

“There was definitive evidence that a serious public health crisis was underway at the veterans’ home in Quincy in 2015, and the Rauner Administration and Director Shah chose to sit on their hands as veterans and staff at the home fell victim to these deadly bacteria. It’s an outrage that time after time the Governor and his team prioritized public relations over protecting vulnerable veterans, their spouses, and staff at IVH Quincy. Director Shah’s response to this tragedy reflects the height of irresponsibility and negligence, and it’s time for him to go,” said Durbin and Duckworth.

* Related…

* Quincy veterans’ home timeline

  37 Comments      


Watch the VBM numbers

Monday, Nov 5, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* The Democrats are focusing intently on their vote by mail program. These numbers are from last Thursday, so they’re way outdated, but here’s Greg Hinz

As of [November 1], Orr’s office had received 110,868 applications for mail ballots, with 54,304 already returned. Only 51,237 voted by mail in all of 2014, and Orr’s office says the final mail total this year is likely to exceed the final 2016 figure of 87,987.

According to Board of Elections spokesman Jim Allen, 118,544 persons had cast early ballots as of yesterday, compared to 73,127 at this point in 2014, and 191,808 with six days to go in 2016. But mail voting is soaring even compared to 2016, with 116,124 applications for mail ballots so far, compared to final figures of 40,869 in 2014 and 102,896 in 2016. So far, 48,174 of those ballots of been returned.

According to [Chicago] Board of Elections spokesman Jim Allen, 118,544 persons had cast early ballots as of yesterday, compared to 73,127 at this point in 2014, and 191,808 with six days to go in 2016. But mail voting is soaring even compared to 2016, with 116,124 applications for mail ballots so far, compared to final figures of 40,869 in 2014 and 102,896 in 2016. So far, 48,174 of those ballots of been returned. […]

As for [DuPage County] mail ballots, 19,922 have been returned so far. There were only about 7,000 four years ago, and 25,000 in 2016.

* From the DuPage Democrats…

There are reports that many more than usual mail in ballots are being rejected this year. To see if your mail in vote may have been rejected use the following link to look up the status of your vote: www.dupageco.org/VoterLookup If your vote has been rejected, call the election commission to see why and what you can do about it. (630) 407-5600

* From the 10th District Democrats…

Lake County Clerk Carla Wyckoff’s office is rejecting Vote-By-Mail ballots from voters across Lake County but the office is refusing to confirm how many voters are affected or release the names of which voters’ ballots were thrown out. As a result, many voters may not find out until after Election Day that they were disenfranchised and their votes were not counted. Wyckoff, a Republican, is up for re-election on Tuesday.

“Voters across Lake County may think they’ve already voted but the County Clerk’s office won’t say whether or not their vote has been cast. That’s unacceptable,” said Lauren Beth Gash. “The County Clerk’s refusal to be transparent is an affront to democracy and we urge them to reverse course immediately.”

County clerks are required to notify voters by letter in the mail letting them know they need to take action by filling out an affidavit to affirm that ballot was properly cast or directing them to vote in person on Election Day. However, many voters may not receive that letter until after Election Day has passed, especially if election judges reject their ballot within a few days of Election Day.

In other counties around Chicagoland, the County Clerk’s offices have been transparent when they reject ballots, regularly responding to requests to determine how many ballots are being rejected and the identity of the voters who have been affected. This allows voting rights advocates to follow up with voters to let them know they need to return an affidavit, come to the Election Commission in person, or show up at the polls in order to make their ballot count. To make matters worse, unlike other neighboring counties, Lake County does not operate a website allowing voters to verify online if their votes have been cast.

  18 Comments      


Sign wars head to court

Monday, Nov 5, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* My weekly syndicated newspaper column

The last column I write before an election day is always the toughest because some papers will publish this before election day and others will publish it after. So, today you get a yard sign story.

Let’s start with Congressman Peter Roskam’s campaign, which sent out two press releases during the fall campaign complaining about stolen yard signs.

It wasn’t a stolen sign that prompted a proposed temporary restraining order by an apparent supporter. Instead the fear of unwanted yard signs wound up in Lake County court.

A group called Illinois Citizens Ignited formed after one of Roskam’s constituents had two yard signs made to protest Roskam’s NRA support. She placed the signs, which read “Roskam accepted $20,450 from the NRA,” next to Roskam yard signs. The signs were updated after Roskam received more NRA money. Ignited has reported raising $4,420.

Ignited asks residents on its website to help the group find Roskam signs “in the public right of way,” or on a street corner or “along a busy road.” The group has an online form to fill out to report sign locations and it uses a Facebook page to spread the word.

Congressman Roskam was once a law partner in the personal injury firm Salvi, Roskam & Maher. That firm is now called Salvi & Maher and includes the husband and wife duo of former state Rep. Al Salvi and Kathy Salvi.

Kathy Salvi filed a motion for a temporary restraining order against the group on Oct. 23 because, as she claimed through another attorney at her firm, she “fears that her property will be trespassed upon … and that her freedom of speech and political expression, especially as it relates to the free exclusion of the same on her own private property, will be violated by Ignited.”

Ignited’s response claimed that Salvi doesn’t live in Roskam’s district, so she shouldn’t be worried that her yard would be tagged. The judge dismissed the case.

But another TRO demand was filed a few days later against Ignited by a company that owns a shopping center in Lake Zurich. The motion was also filed by that same former Roskam firm.

The new filing claims that since Ignited has “incited, encouraged and/or instructed” incidents of trespass, and has already placed one of the anti-Roskam signs on the plaintiff’s property next to a pro-Roskam sign, it has reason to fear it could happen again.

Congressman Roskam appeared at an event in August with the owner of the shopping center and called the owner and his spouse “dear friends,” according to the Daily Herald. The Roskam campaign did not respond to a request for comment.

The plaintiffs have a point. Don’t put something on my property without my consent. I get that. But a lawsuit seems like a bit much.

Meanwhile, if you think that court action is a little excessive, how does a lawsuit seeking $1 million per removed yard sign sound? That’s the case filed in the 59th House District, where Dan Didech (D-Buffalo Grove) is running against Karen Feldman (R-Lincolnshire) in an open seat race to replace retiring Democratic Rep. Carol Sente.

Feldman and two other local Republican candidates are suing Didech in his official capacity as Vernon Township Supervisor and the township itself because they believe Didech ordered their yard signs removed.

They claim they “placed, or caused to be placed” yard signs in a park, which turns out to be near a polling place.

They allege that Didech had their Republican signs removed, but not Democratic signs. The suit also claims Didech had no legal authority to remove anything. They’re asking $1 million for each sign “to punish them and to deter others from similar wrongful conduct.”

Feldman’s attorney told me that police reports have been filed and said the matter has been referred to the state’s attorney.

Now, if this is true and Didech abused his authority, he should face consequences. But I thought the GOP was for lawsuit reform.

* From Brendan Murray on Sunday morning…

Hello Mr. Miller,

My name is Brendan Murray, and I am the attorney who represented Mrs. Salvi and now represents The Fidelity Group, LP as to their claims against IL Citizens Ignited.

I had the pleasure of reading your 11/2/18 article Saturday evening – wow $1 million per sign? I hope to see a follow-up to that one!

I didn’t want to bother you too late in the night, so I waited until this morning.

After reading your article, I thought that it was very well put, which is why I ask that you give credence to what I am about to say. I know you stated it was your last article pre-election, but in case you ever follow-up with this story, or are reporting another similar matter, that you take the opportunity to clarify something that was put to question in your 11/2/18 article.

You are correct in stating that bringing action into court for an emergency injunctive relief (a.k.a. temporary restraining order, “TRO”) may be a bit much. The granting of a TRO is to maintain the status quo to prevent further harm, but is only applied in exceptional and emergency circumstances because it is considered a drastic remedy.

You are also correct when you say not everything needs to be brought into court. However, the court system is exactly the proper place to bring conflicts such as these, especially in the passionate political climate of the day. It is not just me arguing this, it has been the public policy of Illinois since 1992 when the Illinois Supreme Court held in People v. DiGuida, 152 Ill. 2d 104, 126 (1992), that without the ability of a plaintiff to request relief from court system in a conflict between a private property owner’s rights and the freedom of expression right of another, the only recourse is to resort to self-help. This is not adequate according to the Supreme Court of Illinois, and therefore the public policy is to give individuals an opportunity to resolve the conflict through the court system.

Especially in this passionate climate as it comes to politics and elections, I think reducing incidents of these conflicts is paramount to maintaining respect for the rights of all individuals involved.

In People v. DiGuida, the Supreme Court also found that the private property owner’s right to use and exclude from their property as they wish is a right that is superior to the right of any entrant onto that private property to engage in unconsented to free speech.

These conflicts are unwarranted in a society that believes that open dialogue is the key to success, but as you well know there is activity claimed by all sides as to sign theft, property trespass, etc. Importantly, and to your worry of overkill, an analysis of the details between the first TRO suit from 10/26/18, in which our petition was denied, and that of the second suit from 11/2/18, which granted my client temporary relief, reveals the standards to satisfy in a TRO are difficult to obtain, and the clear capability of the court to apply this rigorous standard. This, again, is due to the remedy being one of a drastic nature.

I only ask that you consider clarifying this issue whenever you get a chance, as you are clearly an author whose writings communicate clear and critical analysis, and thus, your influence to society’s understanding of their rights is great.

IL Citizens Ignited made a press release dated October 30, 2018, stating the Court Order from the Salvi lawsuit gave the right to post signs throughout the 6th district. This was a complete mischaracterization of the Order from 10/26/18, and the Judge made sure it was so stated in the Order from 11/2/18 that nothing in that Order is to be considered as giving IL Citizens Ignited the right to trespass onto private property or post signs on the same. The Judge was not happy at the misrepresentation in the media as to the law and the rights of the citizens.

I appreciate any consideration you have to my input, and please do not take this as any criticism to your work – thank you for your efforts!

Take care,
Brendan M. Murray

That was the most polite letter I’ve ever received from an attorney in my life, including my own.

  12 Comments      


When was Rauner’s fate sealed?

Monday, Nov 5, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* My Crain’s Chicago Business column

All the real action in the 2018 governor’s race happened in the primary. Since then, it’s been little more than a series of sideshows while we wait for what looks to be a very predictable outcome.

Democrat J.B. Pritzker unveiled all but one of his policy proposals before the March 20 vote and spent much of that race debating the direction of Illinois with his two main opponents, who produced their own plans and then graciously endorsed him shortly after they lost.

Republican Gov. Bruce Rauner started his primary race by ignoring his opponent, but then had to kick it into high gear in the closing days to narrowly avoid defeat. Polls have shown since then that he has failed to unify Republican voters after that bitter battle. And his rival, state Rep. Jeanne Ives, R-Wheaton, has refused to endorse him to this day.

The governor has since had to scramble to pull his base together while also trying to appeal to moderate suburban women, who have long held the key to the Governor’s Mansion in this state. That’s been complicated by a union-funded “Conservative Party” candidate who regularly slashes him from the right. So Rauner’s been forced to do things like stage an endorsement from the Illinois State Rifle Association in southern Illinois to try to hold things together.

Pritzker, for his part, has spent the general election campaign shelling out massive amounts of money to make extra-special sure that every single sentient creature in this state has received and understood his ubiquitous message on all available news and social media platforms that the governor is a lying failure.

The biggest news since the primary about the Democratic front-runner is not what he wants to do, but what he has been accused of doing. A Cook County inspector general’s report alleged that people near him participated in a “scheme to defraud” taxpayers when they ripped toilets out of Pritzker’s vacant mansion to lower its property taxes. Ten current and former staffers sued his campaign for racial discrimination and retaliation. And then two of his staffers were fired after one took a video of another staffer putting on what resembled blackface (it was supposedly a charcoal facial treatment) and then posted it online.

But Pritzker’s double-digit lead in every public poll has contributed to a lack of enthusiasm by reporters, their editors or both to thoroughly cover his candidacy. During the last few months he’s held publicized Chicago-area events and no reporters turned up to ask him questions. Half the city running for mayor probably doesn’t help, either.

Rauner’s fate was likely sealed the day

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Today’s quotable

Monday, Nov 5, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Doug Finke quotes a Teachers Retirement System press release

TRS made sure to emphasize the financial issues facing the system in a news release about the trustees’ action. It noted that TRS’ unfunded liability grew to $75.8 billion in the last budget year “due to the 80th consecutive year of underfunding from state government.”

“Since its founding in 1939, state government has never once appropriated an annual contribution to TRS that equaled full funding in any year,” the news release said.

  19 Comments      


My favorite photo of the season

Monday, Nov 5, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* I held my quadrennial pre-election party in Chicago over the weekend. I always invite a couple of dozen or so campaign types to have drinks and break bread the Saturday before election day. I’ve been doing this since 2002 and have never seen one argument.

This year was, I think, the best one. I even convinced the campaign managers for the Bruce Rauner and JB Pritzker campaigns to pose together for a photo. On the left is Betsy Ankney with the Rauner campaign. On the right is Anne Caprara with the Pritzker campaign…

A profile of the two accomplished women is here.

What some of these folks discover at my party is how much alike they all are. It takes a special type of person to run campaigns or flak for them, so most are cut from the same cloth. They may be on opposite sides, but they have lots of things in common.

  23 Comments      


*** UPDATED x2 - Underwood responds *** Poll: Hultgren trailing by 6 into the home stretch

Monday, Nov 5, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* The Siena College/New York Times poll of 428 likely voters has Democratic challenger Lauren Underwood leading incumbent Republican Congressman Randy Hultgren by 6 points, 49-43. MoE of +/-5 percent.

* Other stuff from the poll

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as president?

    Approve 46%
    Disapprove 49%
    Don’t know 5%

Would you prefer Republicans to retain control of the House of Representatives or would you prefer Democrats to take control?

    Repubs keep House 46%
    Dems take House 46%
    Don’t know 9%

Much more here.

*** UPDATE 1 *** He should’ve dropped this oppo at least a month ago and followed it up with TV ads. Instead, he let Dan Proft release the information and is holding an election eve press conference. Political malpractice on Hultgren’s part…



*** UPDATE 2 *** From Lauren Underwood…

“We have fewer than 24 hours before Election Day and I’m traveling across the seven counties of the 14th District, visiting with voters and my team’s dedicated volunteers. Randy Hultgren clearly saw polling numbers that made him nervous, so he is staging a last minute press conference to discredit my professional work. Our voters deserve better than desperate political stunts from a career politician. They deserve honesty and responsiveness from their representative in Congress; Randy Hultgren has failed on both counts.

“The facts are simple: I’m proud to be a licensed registered nurse in the state of Illinois and two other jurisdictions. I specialize in public health nursing. I have spent my career fighting for affordable, quality healthcare. Throughout my clinical training and decade of nursing experience, I have spent thousands of hours working with patients. I look forward to carrying the values of the 14th District with me to Washington to make real progress on issues like health care that are important to the families of this community.”

Visit https://www.underwoodforcongress.com/facts to learn the facts.

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Monday, Nov 5, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today’s edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)

Monday, Nov 5, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Monday, Nov 5, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

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