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*** UPDATED x1 - 17 counties at warning level *** 2,514 new cases, 25 additional deaths, 1,637 in the hospital, 3.6 percent positivity rate

Friday, Sep 25, 2020

* Press release…

The Illinois Department of Public Health (IDPH) today reported 2,514 new confirmed cases of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) in Illinois, including 25 additional confirmed deaths.

    • Cook County: 1 male 60s, 2 males 70s, 1 female 80s, 1 male 80s, 1 male 90s, 1 female 100+
    • Cumberland County: 1 female 80s
    • DuPage County: 1 male 70s, 2 females 90s
    • Green County: 1 female 60s, 1 male 60s, 1 female 80s
    • Jersey County: 1 male 90s
    • Kane County: 1 male 50s
    • Menard County: 1 male 90s
    • Richland County: 1 male 80s
    • Saline County: 1 male 70s
    • St. Clair County: 1 female 70s
    • Tazewell County: 1 female 70s
    • Will County: 1 male 60s, 1 male 70s
    • Williamson County: 1 female 80s, 1 female 90s

Currently, IDPH is reporting a total of 283,885 cases, including 8,563 deaths, in 102 counties in Illinois. The age of cases ranges from younger than one to older than 100 years. The preliminary seven-day statewide positivity for cases as a percent of total test from September 18 – September 24 is 3.6%. Within the past 24 hours, laboratories have reported 69,793 specimens for a total of 5,363,471. As of last night, 1,637 people in Illinois were reported to be in the hospital with COVID-19. Of those, 371 patients were in the ICU and 124 patients with COVID-19 were on ventilators.

Following guidance from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, IDPH is now reporting separately both confirmed and probable cases and deaths on its website. Reporting probable cases will help show the potential burden of COVID-19 illness and efficacy of population-based non-pharmaceutical interventions. IDPH will update these data once a week.

*All data are provisional and will change. In order to rapidly report COVID-19 information to the public, data are being reported in real-time. Information is constantly being entered into an electronic system and the number of cases and deaths can change as additional information is gathered. For health questions about COVID-19, call the hotline at 1-800-889-3931 or email dph.sick@illinois.gov.

*** UPDATE *** Press release…

The Illinois Department of Public Health (IDPH) today reported 17 counties in Illinois are considered to be at a warning level for novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19). A county enters a warning level when two or more COVID-19 risk indicators that measure the amount of COVID-19 increase.

Seventeen counties are currently reported at a warning level – Bond, Boone, Cass, Christian, Clinton, Crawford, DeWitt, Fayette, Grundy, Hamilton, Macon, Menard, Peoria, Putnam, Washington, Wayne, and Winnebago.

Although the reasons for counties reaching a warning level varies, some of the common factors for an increase in cases and outbreaks are associated with university and college parties as well as college sports teams, large gatherings and events, bars and clubs, weddings and funerals, long-term care facilities, correctional centers, schools, and cases among the community at large.

Public health officials are observing people not social distancing, gathering in large groups, and not using face coverings. Some communities lack access to convenient testing before people become symptomatic. In some counties, local law enforcement and states’ attorneys are not enforcing important mitigation measures like social distancing and the wearing of face coverings. Additionally, some people refuse to participate in contact tracing and are not providing information on close contacts or answering the phone.

Several counties are taking swift action and implementing mitigation measures to help slow spread of the virus, including increasing testing opportunities, stressing the importance of testing to providers, hiring additional contact tracers, working with schools, meeting with local leaders, and educating businesses and large venues about the importance of mitigation measures.

IDPH uses numerous indicators when determining if a county is experiencing stable COVID-19 activity, or if there are warning signs of increased COVID-19 risk in the county. A county is considered at the warning level when at least two of the following metrics triggers a warning.
COVID-19 County Metrics

    • New cases per 100,000 people. If there are more than 50 new cases per 100,000 people in the county, this triggers a warning.
    • Number of deaths. This metric indicates a warning when the weekly number of deaths increases more than 20% for two consecutive weeks.
    • Weekly test positivity. This metric indicates a warning when the 7-day test positivity rate rises above 8%.
    • ICU availability. If there are fewer than 20% of intensive care units available in the region, this triggers a warning.
    • Weekly emergency department visits. This metric indicates a warning when the weekly percent of COVID-19-like-illness emergency department visits increase by more than 20% for two consecutive weeks.
    • Weekly hospital admissions. A warning is triggered when the weekly number of hospital admissions for COVID-19-like-illness increases by more than 20% for two consecutive weeks.
    • Tests performed. This metric is used to provide context and indicate if more testing is needed in the county.
    • Clusters. This metric looks at the percent of COVID-19 cases associated with clusters or outbreaks and is used to understand large increase in cases.

These metrics are intended to be used for local level awareness to help local leaders, businesses, local health departments, and the public make informed decisions about personal and family gatherings, as well as what activities they choose to do. The metrics are updated weekly, from the Sunday-Saturday of the prior week.

A map and information of each county’s status can be found on the IDPH website at https://www.dph.illinois.gov/countymetrics.

- Posted by Rich Miller        

15 Comments
  1. - Dotnonymous - Friday, Sep 25, 20 @ 12:19 pm:

    Just a bunch of “nobodys”…nothing to see here?


  2. - BTO2 - Friday, Sep 25, 20 @ 12:38 pm:

    The Greene County Health Department on Monday reported three deaths in the county “related to the long term care outbreak.” On Monday, Illinois Public Health Department officials reported 87 coronavirus cases at the White Hall Nursing and Rehab facility.

    Finally - outbreak started 30 days ago. More deaths are still to be reported.


  3. - Sylvania - Friday, Sep 25, 20 @ 1:08 pm:

    spooky.


  4. - illinifan - Friday, Sep 25, 20 @ 1:15 pm:

    I am figuring this is the beginning of the Labor Day count surge. Hopefully in a couple of weeks the numbers will begin to go down. The sad part is people still ignore the rules. I know a relative who is positive and his wife continues to go to bars, stores and casinos. She is waiting for her test results.


  5. - Archie Debunker - Friday, Sep 25, 20 @ 1:43 pm:

    Meanwhile, today it was reported that Florida governor Ron DeSantis(R) has ended all emergency restrictions.


  6. - Benjamin - Friday, Sep 25, 20 @ 2:06 pm:

    @Archie: Yeah, it’s sad to see the way Republican governors are being pressured to open up before their states are ready. I know that’s not what you were arguing, but that’s the truth.


  7. - Oswego Willy - Friday, Sep 25, 20 @ 2:12 pm:

    === Florida governor Ron DeSantis(R) has ended all emergency restrictions.===

    Cults are funny that way, they promote the idea that lives are worth less that the cult’s beliefs, no matter the danger.

    Cheering this is… “ok”


  8. - Archie Debunker - Friday, Sep 25, 20 @ 2:32 pm:

    Benjamin, I didn’t read about any pressure. Anyone can see what happened to places like South Dakota or Sweden that never imposed emergency restrictions. Not expecting anything different in Florida, except perhaps a ’surge’ in ‘cases’.


  9. - Oswego Willy - Friday, Sep 25, 20 @ 2:35 pm:

    - Archie Debunker -

    There are approximately 328.2 million people in the US.

    To get to the low end of herd immunity, about 60% of the population must catch Covid.

    That’s about 196,920,000 cases.

    The current US death rate is about 2.96%.

    So that’s 5,836,679 deaths necessary for herd immunity.

    Know. Your. Facts.


  10. - Oswego Willy - Friday, Sep 25, 20 @ 2:44 pm:

    My sincere apologies, my numbers, my wrong facts, I need to correct my comment.

    I was wrong, I had the debunked numbers.

    These are numbers connected on Dr. Fauci and used in discussion with Dr. Atlas’ perceived idea of herd immunity.

    ===Herd immunity for the coronavirus would need to be somewhere between 50 to 70% of the US population having resistance to the virus, which means about 165 million to 230 million people would need to be infected and develop immunity.

    With the death rate of about 1%, McFall-Johnsen reported it means 2.3 million people could die under a herd immunity approach.

    Experts including Fauci have said this process would cause unnecessary deaths.===

    My apologies. Facts matter. I was wrong in my comment above this response where I’m correcting.

    OW


  11. - Fool on the Hill - Friday, Sep 25, 20 @ 3:07 pm:

    Oswego Willy - Kudos to you for posting a corrected response, but I think the death rate is lower than 1% which is critical to your argument.

    At some point people in these debates have to consider the costs of a closed economy such as a state and local governments devastated from lack of lack of tax revenue, job loss and closed schools.

    There are no good choices.


  12. - Oswego Willy - Friday, Sep 25, 20 @ 3:19 pm:

    - Fool on the Hill -

    I appreciate your very kind words, and facts need to matter, so when I’m wrong it’s important to first admit it and then talk facts.

    Couple things;

    === I think the death rate is lower than 1% which is critical to your argument.===

    I can only argue the facts on hand that science at that time have. That was the discussion they had and then was reported on. I do understand your thoughts.

    I truly understand this as well;

    ===There are no good choices.===

    Sadly, global pandemics rarely leave good choices, and when the easy choices are gone, the good choices are fewer still.

    Be well, and thanks


  13. - Oswego Willy - Friday, Sep 25, 20 @ 3:24 pm:

    ===…certain regions and countries seem…===

    Science and facts will determine that opinion (not yours singularly)

    The back and fourth between Rand Paul and Dr. Fauci was specific to this.


  14. - Archie Debunker - Friday, Sep 25, 20 @ 4:12 pm:

    “This suggests that the overall clinical consequences of Covid-19 may ultimately be more akin to those of a severe seasonal influenza (which has a case fatality rate of approximately 0.1%) or a pandemic influenza (similar to those in 1957 and 1968) rather than a disease similar to SARS or MERS, which have had case fatality rates of 9 to 10% and 36%, respectively.” from ‘Covid-19 — Navigating the Uncharted - Anthony Fauci’


  15. - Oswego Willy - Friday, Sep 25, 20 @ 4:16 pm:

    === which have had case fatality rates of 9 to 10% and 36%===

    Is 1% *closer* to 0.1% or *closer* to 9% percent?

    “You don’t need to be a rocket scientist… “


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* Open thread
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Supplement to today's edition and some campaign news
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today's edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)
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