Capitol Fax.com - Your Illinois News Radar » The trend is most definitely not our friend
SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax      Advertise Here      Mobile Version     Exclusive Subscriber Content     Updated Posts    Contact
CapitolFax.com
To subscribe to Capitol Fax, click here.
The trend is most definitely not our friend

Thursday, Oct 29, 2020

* The governor will go over this PowerPoint presentation today





- Posted by Rich Miller        

43 Comments
  1. - hisgirlfriday - Thursday, Oct 29, 20 @ 2:45 pm:

    I would really like some info from scientists if any of this surge is the virus being more easily spread in times of less sunlight/colder weather vs. just the public being less safe.

    The longer this goes on the harder it is to not just think we are on the same path as the Spanish flu and we just need to hang on until this virus mutates to be less damaging a couple years out


  2. - Pundent - Thursday, Oct 29, 20 @ 2:46 pm:

    We have to get this under control now otherwise the worst is yet to come.

    Wisconsin is now reporting a positivity rate of 27.2% and projecting that they may run out of hospital beds in as little as two weeks. This is serious folks.


  3. - Cheryl44 - Thursday, Oct 29, 20 @ 2:58 pm:

    hope everyone is watching Dr Langdon right now.


  4. - Pundent - Thursday, Oct 29, 20 @ 3:06 pm:

    Powerful stuff from Dr Langdon.


  5. - Powdered Whig - Thursday, Oct 29, 20 @ 3:14 pm:

    What makes this worse is that a significant percentage of the population thinks, for whatever reason, that the best way forward is to forget about the virus and go back to living their lives. This movement has been extremely intense over the past week or two.

    We are headed for dark times.


  6. - JS Mill - Thursday, Oct 29, 20 @ 3:16 pm:

    Oh yeah, but what about high school basketball? /s


  7. - Anyone Remember - Thursday, Oct 29, 20 @ 3:24 pm:

    I support what the Governor has done. However, when he and Dr. Ezike talk, I have sadly concluded they’re no more effective than Col. Taylor was talking to Dr. Zaius.


  8. - Thomas Paine - Thursday, Oct 29, 20 @ 3:28 pm:

    Our brains refuse to accept new information that contradicts our closely held beliefs.

    In fact, the more you attack people’s closely held beliefs, the more tightly they cling to them.

    Enforcement is the answer.


  9. - A Guy - Thursday, Oct 29, 20 @ 3:31 pm:

    I’ve seen many charts like that from Springfield. He better be very clear about what he’s referring to.


  10. - Southwest Sider - Thursday, Oct 29, 20 @ 3:31 pm:

    A few positives compared to earlier this year: Masks and other protection are readily available. Most are somewhat trained now for the procedures to curb the spread. We are now better prepared.


  11. - Bruce( no not him) - Thursday, Oct 29, 20 @ 3:41 pm:

    But Tom DeVore says….


  12. - PublicServant - Thursday, Oct 29, 20 @ 3:52 pm:

    === I’ve seen many charts like that from Springfield. He better be very clear about what he’s referring to. ===

    I think he and the experts have been perfectly clear. I think your confusion stems from the fact that you just don’t like what you’re hearing.

    But, please, don’t be coy, what do you think these charts a unclear about?


  13. - retiree - Thursday, Oct 29, 20 @ 3:52 pm:

    === Enforcement is the answer. ===

    I agree.


  14. - illinifan - Thursday, Oct 29, 20 @ 3:58 pm:

    It is how the message is delivered at times. Dr. Langdon knows how to break it down simply and directly. JP and Dr Ezike are too even keeled so it becomes white noise. If they want to be heard they have to ensure they select the best messenger.


  15. - Pundent - Thursday, Oct 29, 20 @ 4:20 pm:

    I agree that Dr. Langdon’s delivery helps. I give Pritzker credit though. For a guy who’s not a scientist or doctor he does a good job of presenting the data and answering questions. And if you can’t follow what’s being said here it’s probably because you just don’t want to.


  16. - Jibba - Thursday, Oct 29, 20 @ 4:37 pm:

    These charts make it crystal clear that our thresholds for additional mitigation measures are set far too high. All. measures of COVID exploded around October 11 once positivity increased above about 4%. If you don’t like positivity rates, you could set new cases at 2,000, deaths per day at 25, or any other measure you like. And enforcement is key.


  17. - Moderate Mom - Thursday, Oct 29, 20 @ 5:03 pm:

    People are just done. They don’t have the patience to deal with this anymore and so they are trying to ignore it and force life to go back to as normal as possible. In my area parents are marching to reopen the schools and applauding restauranteurs who are seating people indoors. If we are going to get this virus under relative control so that we don’t have to open a field hospital again we need the guidelines to become orders and the orders need to be enforced. I don’t see that happening though. The political will seems weak on enforcement.


  18. - Enforcement is the Answer- - Thursday, Oct 29, 20 @ 5:10 pm:

    Scarlet Letter?
    Tar and Feather?


  19. - Michael Feltes - Thursday, Oct 29, 20 @ 5:12 pm:

    > JP and Dr Ezike are too even keeled so it becomes white noise. If they want to be heard they have to ensure they select the best messenger.

    I had never thought about aggression as a deliberate tactic to drive reason out of politics. Naive.


  20. - The Night Fox - Thursday, Oct 29, 20 @ 5:16 pm:

    Yes make sure to close down those bars and restaurants BUT everyone go into those big box stores and Walgreens and gas stations…etc. I’m beginning to think Governor Quinn wouldn’t even be this bad.


  21. - Soccermom - Thursday, Oct 29, 20 @ 5:24 pm:

    His Girl — I read an article that suggested that the weather plays a role basically by forcing people indoors. That’s why we had surges in the South during the summer (people needing air conditioning) and in the North when the weather gets cold. Seemed reasonable.


  22. - City Guy - Thursday, Oct 29, 20 @ 5:26 pm:

    In regards to restaurants and bars closing and big box stores remaining open. If a restaurant/bar was housed in a huge space with tens of thousands of square feet and 20 foot high ceilings maybe it would make sense for them to stay open (assuming they also keep people 6 feet away.

    To me the comparison is between spending a short time in the atrium entrance to a hospital and spending a couple hours in a hospital room with several people.


  23. - The Night Fox - Thursday, Oct 29, 20 @ 5:37 pm:

    Assume away…I’m sure all of those big box stores are safely sanitized.


  24. - Jibba - Thursday, Oct 29, 20 @ 5:38 pm:

    Tar and Feather?==

    I’m about ready for it. But a liquor license suspension will do nicely.

    Walgreens and gas stations===

    Critical things must remain open, and you can wear a mask. Eating in a restaurant is not critical and you can’t wear a mask. See the difference?


  25. - Pundent - Thursday, Oct 29, 20 @ 5:47 pm:

    = Yes make sure to close down those bars and restaurants BUT everyone go into those big box stores and Walgreens and gas stations…etc.=

    Have you heard or read any of the science around this or are you simply venting because it doesn’t seem right to you. Pritzker and Dr. Ezike did a good job of walking through this today. Were you listening?


  26. - Pundent - Thursday, Oct 29, 20 @ 6:17 pm:

    As Pritzker pointed out today we aren’t the only state who’s followed the science on this topic. Other stares, including red states, have taken similar mitigation actions successfully. And we’ve seen the results in other areas of the state where this form of mitigation has been used. Despite what you think the governor isn’t arbitrarily punishing restaurants and taking care of Wal Mart. But you don’t have to believe me or Pritzker. Google is your friend as is the CDC. Heck Rich posted a very good study on the topic earlier today. But if you don’t believe in science there’s nothing that I can say or do about that.


  27. - The Night Fox - Thursday, Oct 29, 20 @ 6:45 pm:

    Nice defense. This isn’t a red state blue state issue and all I ask is the evidence that points to bars and restaurants being the reason these numbers have increased.


  28. - ArchPundit - Thursday, Oct 29, 20 @ 6:52 pm:

    It’s bold to insist others find you evidence when you clearly haven’t looked on your own
    https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/69/wr/mm6936a5.htm?s_cid=mm6936a5_x


  29. - Pundent - Thursday, Oct 29, 20 @ 6:52 pm:

    The evidence is there. You choose to ignore it because you don’t like what it’s telling you. You can choose to believe the science or not. I don’t care.


  30. - The Night Fox - Thursday, Oct 29, 20 @ 7:09 pm:

    Lol okay.


  31. - ArchPundit - Thursday, Oct 29, 20 @ 7:25 pm:

    You asked for research. You got it.


  32. - The Night Fox - Thursday, Oct 29, 20 @ 7:38 pm:

    Yes, a federal government link. That provided all the evidence in Illinois. Thanks for that.


  33. - ArchPundit - Thursday, Oct 29, 20 @ 7:41 pm:

    Are you suggesting that state lines change the nature of the virus? Or that Illinois’ water is different and that affects spread somehow? Please explain.


  34. - The Night Fox - Thursday, Oct 29, 20 @ 7:50 pm:

    I’m suggesting that I would like to see the evidence that bars and restaurants created the spread of the virus recently. Please list which establishments are guilty of this.


  35. - ArchPundit - Thursday, Oct 29, 20 @ 8:13 pm:

    You seem confused. The argument isn’t about specific guilty parties other than some obvious super spreader events, but the conditions that promote the spread of the virus. The previous mention of superstores and Walgreens demonstrates how much you lack a basic understanding of how you address a pandemic like Covid-19. You don’t look for specific spread, but for conditions you can change to reduce the spread. All of the other situations you keep trying to point out as alternatives don’t have the same conditions. Restaurants and bars, for them to be functional as restaurants and bars must have people unmasked and they talk and drink and eat. The other do not so the conditions for spread are different which is why there is a distinction. Does this clear up how public health decisions are made for you?


  36. - Jibba - Thursday, Oct 29, 20 @ 8:39 pm:

    Please list which establishments are guilty of this.===

    The last resort of the guy who doesn’t want to do anything. It’s OK, just own it.


  37. - The Night Fox - Thursday, Oct 29, 20 @ 8:42 pm:

    Nice filibuster…and you talk down like you’re some expert all of sudden. Every public place can spread the virus and individuals may get the virus with or without a mask.

    Businesses like bars and restaurants have adapted to the virus…so in order for them to remain relevant they must generate revenue. Govt hand outs won’t save everyone and again there’s no evidence they produce the conditions of this spread. So Arch just stay at home til the govt tells you it’s safe to go outside again.


  38. - Pundent - Thursday, Oct 29, 20 @ 8:46 pm:

    =Pritzker and Dr. Ezike did a good job of walking through this today. Were you listening?=

    A simple “no” would have sufficed.


  39. - Jibba - Thursday, Oct 29, 20 @ 9:00 pm:

    I want to see the data. Where are the data? Oh. Now I want to see BETTER data.

    There aren’t enough data in the world to convince someone who doesn’t want to see.


  40. - 13th - Thursday, Oct 29, 20 @ 9:05 pm:

    wish I made this earlier in day so everyone would seem to comment on.
    But around here there are hardly any eating joints closed inside seating, Carmi, Mcleansboro, Mt. Vernon, Fairfield and on and on… one put up a all sides closed tent outside and stuff it full of tables


  41. - ArchPundit - Thursday, Oct 29, 20 @ 9:35 pm:

    ====Nice filibuster…and you talk down like you’re some expert all of sudden. Every public place can spread the virus and individuals may get the virus with or without a mask.

    First you wanted evidence and then anyone who presents evidence is being too smart or something. It’s a weird strategy. You can get the virus without the mask, but the chances are much lower than if you are wearing a mask. It is not binary. More importantly, you are less likely to spread the virus as an aerosol when you are wearing a mask which is the primary manner of transmission.

    None of what I’m saying requires me to be an expert. It only requires that you read the literature and know a little bit about public health. Six months into a major world pandemic, it is kind of weird more people have not taken the time to learn a bit about these issues.

    Bars and restaurants have adapted and most I am aware of have been pretty solid in following the rules. The problem is the risk is elevated now and those two categories are inherently more likely to spread an aerosol transmitted virus.

    There is every evidence, which you have been provided, that restaurants and bars lead to greater transmission of the virus because people cannot wear masks the entire time they are in the business. You are denying actual studies that demonstrate the exact thing you say hasn’t been demonstrated.

    I’m not staying at home because the government is telling me. This is the thing you do not understand. I’m staying at home because doctors are telling us it isn’t safe. Even if restaurants are fully open, I, and a lot of other people, are not going to go. This has been shown in Iowa. The thing is it isn’t harmless to let people make their own choices in the case of a pandemic such as this because increasing the overall rate of transmission may be most dangerous to those who ignore the science, but it is more dangerous for everyone. Again, these are pretty basic points of public health. This long into a pandemic I’m amazed at how many people have bothered to learn the most basic information about the disease and public health.


  42. - Suburban Mom - Thursday, Oct 29, 20 @ 10:39 pm:

    Tbh some of those big boxes need to start re-limiting how many people are inside at once. Was at Costco for the flu mist and it was terrifying. Too many people, just browsing, meandering around, not watching where they were going.

    I have zero interest in going in a store for anything but groceries and prescriptions. We support local restaurants with curbside, but we’re not going inside.


  43. - Candy Dogood - Friday, Oct 30, 20 @ 12:42 am:

    ===less sunlight/colder weather vs. just the public being less safe.===

    Humidity is a factor in the spread of the droplets/aerosols. At risk of over simplifying, The more moisture that is already occupying the air, the harder it is for the droplets/aerosols to remain airborne for as long.

    Dry air, which is especially common indoors during the winter allows for the droplets/aerosols to hang out airborne longer. It also tends to be less humid outside as well.

    This difference is sort of a moot point in an enclosed space with no ventilation.

    But — it’s not just how people behave changing due to it being winter, it’s also due to exterior environmental factors, as well as conditioned spaces in doors.


Sorry, comments for this post are now closed.


* Reader comments closed for the weekend
* Campaign notebook
* Federal judge rejects lawsuit over gas pump signs touting gas tax freeze
* *** UPDATED x1 *** SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Supplement to today’s edition and some campaign updates
* Ken Griffin coverage roundup
* Digging into that new poll
* *** UPDATED x3 *** Pritzker to call special session on abortion rights
* Dobbs v. Jackson Women's Health Organization react
* Roe v. Wade overturned
* New law expands sports team license plate options
* Open thread
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today's edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)
* LIVE COVERAGE
* Yesterday's stories

Support CapitolFax.com
Visit our advertisers...

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............


Loading


Main Menu
Home
Illinois
YouTube
Pundit rankings
Obama
Subscriber Content
Durbin
Burris
Blagojevich Trial
Advertising
Updated Posts
Polls

Archives
June 2022
May 2022
April 2022
March 2022
February 2022
January 2022
December 2021
November 2021
October 2021
September 2021
August 2021
July 2021
June 2021
May 2021
April 2021
March 2021
February 2021
January 2021
December 2020
November 2020
October 2020
September 2020
August 2020
July 2020
June 2020
May 2020
April 2020
March 2020
February 2020
January 2020
December 2019
November 2019
October 2019
September 2019
August 2019
July 2019
June 2019
May 2019
April 2019
March 2019
February 2019
January 2019
December 2018
November 2018
October 2018
September 2018
August 2018
July 2018
June 2018
May 2018
April 2018
March 2018
February 2018
January 2018
December 2017
November 2017
October 2017
September 2017
August 2017
July 2017
June 2017
May 2017
April 2017
March 2017
February 2017
January 2017
December 2016
November 2016
October 2016
September 2016
August 2016
July 2016
June 2016
May 2016
April 2016
March 2016
February 2016
January 2016
December 2015
November 2015
October 2015
September 2015
August 2015
July 2015
June 2015
May 2015
April 2015
March 2015
February 2015
January 2015
December 2014
November 2014
October 2014
September 2014
August 2014
July 2014
June 2014
May 2014
April 2014
March 2014
February 2014
January 2014
December 2013
November 2013
October 2013
September 2013
August 2013
July 2013
June 2013
May 2013
April 2013
March 2013
February 2013
January 2013
December 2012
November 2012
October 2012
September 2012
August 2012
July 2012
June 2012
May 2012
April 2012
March 2012
February 2012
January 2012
December 2011
November 2011
October 2011
September 2011
August 2011
July 2011
June 2011
May 2011
April 2011
March 2011
February 2011
January 2011
December 2010
November 2010
October 2010
September 2010
August 2010
July 2010
June 2010
May 2010
April 2010
March 2010
February 2010
January 2010
December 2009
November 2009
October 2009
September 2009
August 2009
July 2009
June 2009
May 2009
April 2009
March 2009
February 2009
January 2009
December 2008
November 2008
October 2008
September 2008
August 2008
July 2008
June 2008
May 2008
April 2008
March 2008
February 2008
January 2008
December 2007
November 2007
October 2007
September 2007
August 2007
July 2007
June 2007
May 2007
April 2007
March 2007
February 2007
January 2007
December 2006
November 2006
October 2006
September 2006
August 2006
July 2006
June 2006
May 2006
April 2006
March 2006
February 2006
January 2006
December 2005
April 2005
March 2005
February 2005
January 2005
December 2004
November 2004
October 2004

Blog*Spot Archives
November 2005
October 2005
September 2005
August 2005
July 2005
June 2005
May 2005

Syndication

RSS Feed 2.0
Comments RSS 2.0




Hosted by MCS SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax Advertise Here Mobile Version Contact Rich Miller