I give it a B+. Same message as Irvin’s but toned down a bit. Focusing on crime on Chicago is an interesting strategy and maybe in resonates with the downstate base. I’m not sure why they would care given the desires of many to succeed. Does make you wonder.
But CPD doesn’t need to be defended and they are in fact very well-funded. They’re just not getting the results and their track record with civil litigation makes that clear as does their 12% clearance rate on crimes. So defending a department that clearly has problems seems like an odd take.
But hey, at least he’s being honest on what he actually did in Afghanistan so that’s a plus.
- Back to the Future - Tuesday, Jan 25, 22 @ 9:06 am:
Very impressive spot for TV.
It makes the point about violence in the city and keeps your attention.
- Three Dimensional Checkers - Tuesday, Jan 25, 22 @ 9:06 am:
Is this fear mongering the best tactics cryptocurrency can buy? Both ads read like they were written for cartoon character strong men.
==To right portion of the base its B. To my personal sensibilities this ad is a C-. ==
Well, they need to win over that base first, and that base has deep suspicions about both Sullivan and Irvin. Crime is one of the few safe things for them to talk about. These are probably over the top, but its their best issue to run with.
- TheInvisibleMan - Tuesday, Jan 25, 22 @ 9:20 am:
Every time I hear the trope about crime in Chicago, I find myself wondering why these politicians who want to be governor of the whole state don’t seem to care about the much higher rates of violence taking place in many parts of rural Illinois cities and towns.
Caring about violence is a good thing. Caring about violence only in one specific area isn’t.
He’s basically telling people he only cares about Chicago - which is more than a bit ironic.
Yes, but this is the first one I’ve seen in the Chicago market.
- Back to the Future - Tuesday, Jan 25, 22 @ 9:32 am:
I like the Ad because it gives a bit of the candidate’s background, moves along in away that keeps your attention and highlights the crime issue.
Not sure you can do more in 30 seconds.
- Grandson of Man - Tuesday, Jan 25, 22 @ 9:34 am:
Better ad than Irvin’s because it’s relevant to today’s violence spike and not the 2020 riots. But it’s more fear-peddling to the base. Does the GOP voter exist in any mental states other than fear and outrage? Are there not other themes that Republican primary voters would accept than extreme negativity?
Actual Chicagoan here. This guy can bite me. What we need is better education and more jobs that pay better than minimum wage. Tell me how this bozo is going to accomplish those goals and I might listen.
B. only because of his phony record. otherwise would be more. and yes, he can bite me because of the need for more good things for people but the fact is the crime burns now.
- Back to the Future - Tuesday, Jan 25, 22 @ 10:00 am:
Agree with Cheryl44 that “we need better education and more jobs that pay better than the minimum wage”.
Hopefully all the candidates will spend some time talking about those issues.
I live in an area that has a squad car parked a block or so away just about 24 hours a day and the local commander has patrol cars on patrol going by every 5 minutes. We still have crime problems, but they have gone down; however, I still don’t feel safe walking around after 9:30.
I do not believe it is accurate to refer to a civilian contractor working as a Human Terrain System component as a “civilian intelligence analyst.” I think I would let others decide if it is dishonest, but we’ve had intelligence analysts for decades. Human Terrain System only existed long enough to demonstrate its failures. It is specifically referred to as “intelligence enabling capability” or “intelligence support activity.”
It covered a focus that is not what people usually describe as military intelligence. No one refers to anthropologists as “intelligence professionals.”
Based off of what I know about Human Terrain Teams, I am not certain that Jesse Sullivan is being honest about what his actual role was with the HTT, but an HTT would typically have at least one “human terrain analyst” which, again, is a different term than intelligence analyst.
Sullivan’s ads will be best received with the sound off, which is how most people engage with them anyway. Sound on it’s a B-, sound off it’s an A-. He is classically handsome and the Black Carhartt jacket does him huge favors in style and symbolism. The large print phrases highlighting his key issues and positions are informative and to-the-point. Absent are his qualifications to address the serious issues confronting the state, but who cares? Voters arguably do not.
=What we need is better education and more jobs that pay better than minimum wage.=
Whether it’s Irvin or Sullivan’s message the irony is that they aren’t targeted towards the voters that would presumably be most effected by this. It’s simply a dog whistle for those looking to hear it.
==But I’ve got a plan. Defend our police, not defund them.==
If candidate Sullivan can point to one Illinois municipality that is defunding its police department, or an Illinois politician who has run successfully on a “defund the police” platform, I am all ears. Of course, there is a robust media economy of telling people things that aren’t actually happening are, so this has an audience regardless. Maybe Irvin and Sullivan can ratchet up about the widespread anti-straight white Christian male indoctrination of public schooling for a local access Super Bowl slot.
The police in question are clearing about 12% of their crimes. And the city has paid north of $100M to settle civil suits brought against the department. I’m not advocating that we defund them. But I might not be as quick to defend them.
Rating: B+. The broad message seems obvious, and reflects whatever the polling is. It’s a creative ad. If the CapitolFax devotees dislikes it (left-leaning insiders), then there is a chance this will appeal to gop primary voters.
- Back to the Future - Tuesday, Jan 25, 22 @ 2:05 pm:
It does seem a bit late in the game to not have a running mate.
Once again Sullivan fudges his activities in Afghanistan — he claims to have been a civilian intelligence analyst, but “intelligence analyst” is a Military Occupational Specialty (MOS), specifically 35F,
Just admit you were a civilian DOD employee and get on with it.