Capitol Fax.com - Your Illinois News Radar » *** UPDATED x1 *** Campaign notebook
SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax      Advertise Here      About     Exclusive Subscriber Content     Updated Posts    Contact Rich Miller
CapitolFax.com
To subscribe to Capitol Fax, click here.
*** UPDATED x1 *** Campaign notebook

Wednesday, Nov 2, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

*** UPDATE *** Lynn Sweet

The White House confirmed Wednesday that President Joe Biden will stump in Illinois Friday, ahead of Tuesday’s midterm balloting — likely in the Chicago area — and Vice President Kamala Harris hits Chicago on Sunday.

Biden will lead a get-out-the vote for Democrats with a focus on boosting suburban Chicago congressional incumbents — especially Reps. Sean Casten and Bill Foster — who are in races that may be tightening.

The White House confirmed on Wednesday that Vice President Kamala Harris visits Chicago on Sunday. […]

The vice president’s office said Harris will “deliver remarks” at an Asian Americans and Pacific Islanders event in Chicago. Another source said the stop is likely an event for the AAPI Victory Fund, a political action committee. Sen. Tammy Duckworth, D-Ill., an Asian American, and on the Tuesday ballot, is also scheduled to attend the event.

* Illinois early vote totals…



* Chicago early vote totals…

The most up-to-date Early Vote and Vote By Mail totals in Chicago, night of Tuesday, November 1, 2022.

The Early Vote total stands at 70,656 ballots cast.

Additionally, 76,071 Vote By Mail ballots have been returned to the Board – total VBM applications stands at 208,003.

The grand total is 146,727 ballots cast so far in Chicago for the November 8th General Election.

FOR COMPARISON:

As of June 22, 2022 (6 days out from the 6/28/22 Primary Election): 61,377 ballots cast

As of October 27, 2020 (6 days out from the 11/3/20 Presidential Election): 583,372 ballots cast

As of October 30, 2018 (6 days out from the 11/6/18 General Election): 152,320 ballots cast

Chicago is still at 16 percent of total votes cast, even though the city is 21 percent of the population.

* Michael Flynn’s The America Project is leafleting in suburban Cook County and it looks like they’re piggy-backing on the anti-union group’s bandwagon…

* Dave Dahl

Republican Regan Deering, running for the new 13th Congressional District, appeared Wednesday to accept the endorsements of the Illinois, and U.S., Chambers of Commerce.

As she paints opponent Nikki Budzinski as a “political insider,” the discussion turned to why elective office seems to be the only job for which experience is a liability. After answering that she would represent business experience and new blood, Deering volunteered, “I also am a supporter of term limits. I think America is tired of career politicians.”

What term limit will she place on herself?

“I’ll get myself elected in six days, and then we’ll see.”

But she just said she supports term limits. What sort of term limits is she talking about?

“We can talk about that when it comes to a vote. That would be great.”

* Politico

House Republicans’ top congressional super PAC is betting that a last minute cash infusion can flip two deep-blue districts on the edges of the House battlefield.

The Congressional Leadership Fund is going on air with seven-figure buys targeting Democratic Rep. Sean Casten in suburban Chicago and the Long Island seat held by retiring Democratic Rep. Kathleen Rice. The super PAC is investing $1.8 million and $1.5 million, respectively, on broadcast buys in the expensive Chicago and New York City media markets.

Neither district has seen much outside spending before the final days of the midterms, and President Joe Biden carried both of them by double-digits in 2020. But the late ad buys suggest Republicans see opportunities in both places as the country grapples with high cost of living and the possibility of an economic recession looming.

House Majority PAC, CLF’s Democratic counterpart, also recently invested in both districts — a sign that both parties believe the seats are at risk of flipping.

* The ad

* Illinois Family Action

6th Congressional District

Two-term Congressman Sean Casten (D-Downers Grove) and challenger Mayor Keith Pekau (R-Orland Park) are locked in a closer-then-expected race than the major ratings services indicate:

    - Cook Political Report with Amy Walter: Likely Leans Democrat
    - Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: Likely Democrat
    - Elections Daily: Safe Democrat
    - RCP: Toss-up

While no published independent polling is available in this race, Mayor Pekau is broadcasting TV commercials on broadcast TV in Chicagoland. Congressman Casten has been on broadcast TV since Labor Day. Casten launched attack ads against Pekau in late September, possibly indicating Pekau and Casten are close according to internal polling.

* Isabel’s roundup…

       

16 Comments
  1. - Bunga - Wednesday, Nov 2, 22 @ 2:06 pm:

    those Deering endorsements are too little, too late with no NRCC/CLF intervention


  2. - Responsa - Wednesday, Nov 2, 22 @ 2:16 pm:

    On Nov. 1 Cook Political report downgraded both Casten and Underwood from likely Dem to lean Dem.

    https://www.cookpolitical.com/ratings/house-race-ratings


  3. - ;) - Wednesday, Nov 2, 22 @ 2:41 pm:

    The Trib endorsed Rep. John Carroll? Did I catch that right? Smh.


  4. - Arsenal - Wednesday, Nov 2, 22 @ 2:46 pm:

    ==those Deering endorsements are too little, too late with no NRCC/CLF intervention==

    I think she might be in the hunt just because of the midterm curse, but yeah a sleepy CoC endorsement isn’t going to push her over the top.


  5. - Bunga - Wednesday, Nov 2, 22 @ 2:54 pm:

    ==I think she might be in the hunt just because of the midterm curse, but yeah a sleepy CoC endorsement isn’t going to push her over the top.==

    Also, it’s 6 days out and she still hasn’t aired any local ads in the STL area.


  6. - Arsenal - Wednesday, Nov 2, 22 @ 2:57 pm:

    ==Also, it’s 6 days out and she still hasn’t aired any local ads in the STL area.==

    Yeah, she’s had a really pathetic paid media campaign, and not really any earned media, either.

    If it’s a red wave, she could still be swept in. Stranger things have happened. But that doesn’t seem especially likely.


  7. - Bunga - Wednesday, Nov 2, 22 @ 3:21 pm:

    ==Yeah, she’s had a really pathetic paid media campaign, and not really any earned media, either.==

    I think the “wealthy heiress” attacks (which was done early) prevented her motivation from opening up her checkbook more because I feel like she doesn’t want to spend beyond what she self-loaned her campaign to (which was little compared to her wealth).


  8. - Highland IL - Wednesday, Nov 2, 22 @ 3:31 pm:

    === an emboldened anti-vaccine movement ===

    The County Board Chairman in Madison County is writing Letters to the Editor recommending that his constituents watch the “The Real Anthony Fauci” documentary. He calls the Covid vaccine, “the SHOT”. Still can’t believe that the Democrats here have ceded the field to this party of anti-vaxxers and conspiracy theorists.


  9. - Arsenal - Wednesday, Nov 2, 22 @ 3:56 pm:

    ==I think the “wealthy heiress” attacks (which was done early) prevented her motivation from opening up her checkbook more because I feel like she doesn’t want to spend beyond what she self-loaned her campaign to (which was little compared to her wealth).==

    Makes sense. I also suspect that Republicans screeching about a Dem gerrymander hurt her because even last spring it made her cause seem hopeless.


  10. - Internal Polls - Wednesday, Nov 2, 22 @ 5:11 pm:

    If Illinois is solidly blue, why are Biden and Harris both scheduled to campaign here in the closing days of the election? Are Casten, Foster, and Underwood all really at risk?


  11. - Amalia - Wednesday, Nov 2, 22 @ 5:18 pm:

    why momma why? why Biden and Harris? can’t we have Obama?


  12. - Oswego Willy - Wednesday, Nov 2, 22 @ 5:23 pm:

    ===If Illinois is solidly blue, why are Biden and Harris===

    Harris will be with Duckworth at an event.

    The thing with POTUS?

    Where you sending Biden?

    Likely a state he carried, still polls well, where early voting and ginning up turnout drags incumbents across the finish line… and where POTUS won’t do any unintended damage.

    That sound like… Ohio? Texas? Ok, sound like Florida?


  13. - New Day - Wednesday, Nov 2, 22 @ 5:24 pm:

    “why are Biden and Harris both scheduled to campaign here in the closing days of the election?”

    This is one of the few states and few areas in the country where they will be warmly welcomed.


  14. - Joe - Wednesday, Nov 2, 22 @ 5:28 pm:

    Does Biden know something no one here knows. Seems like quite a wasted trip and expenditure of resources


  15. - Rich Miller - Wednesday, Nov 2, 22 @ 5:29 pm:

    ===Does Biden know something no one here knows===

    lol

    Things are tightening up.


  16. - Fivegreenleaves - Wednesday, Nov 2, 22 @ 6:22 pm:

    KSDK Channel 5 out of St. Louis debunked the claim that Amendment 1 would raise property taxes. https://www.ksdk.com/article/news/verify/verify-property-taxes-illinois-amendment-1/63-02e2944d-78f9-4142-b54b-64e0b7286575?fbclid=IwAR0Dgo1z5mImZAned_EIlU5jMhi1jC2SX6vPlgUDVHhB0gQrqOBpUD-bwgs


Sorry, comments for this post are now closed.


* Buried nugget and magic beans
* Open thread
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Supplement to today’s edition and some campaign stuff
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today's edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)
* Live coverage
* Selected press releases (Live updates)
* Yesterday's stories

Support CapitolFax.com
Visit our advertisers...

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............


Loading


Main Menu
Home
Illinois
YouTube
Pundit rankings
Obama
Subscriber Content
Durbin
Burris
Blagojevich Trial
Advertising
Updated Posts
Polls

Archives
October 2024
September 2024
August 2024
July 2024
June 2024
May 2024
April 2024
March 2024
February 2024
January 2024
December 2023
November 2023
October 2023
September 2023
August 2023
July 2023
June 2023
May 2023
April 2023
March 2023
February 2023
January 2023
December 2022
November 2022
October 2022
September 2022
August 2022
July 2022
June 2022
May 2022
April 2022
March 2022
February 2022
January 2022
December 2021
November 2021
October 2021
September 2021
August 2021
July 2021
June 2021
May 2021
April 2021
March 2021
February 2021
January 2021
December 2020
November 2020
October 2020
September 2020
August 2020
July 2020
June 2020
May 2020
April 2020
March 2020
February 2020
January 2020
December 2019
November 2019
October 2019
September 2019
August 2019
July 2019
June 2019
May 2019
April 2019
March 2019
February 2019
January 2019
December 2018
November 2018
October 2018
September 2018
August 2018
July 2018
June 2018
May 2018
April 2018
March 2018
February 2018
January 2018
December 2017
November 2017
October 2017
September 2017
August 2017
July 2017
June 2017
May 2017
April 2017
March 2017
February 2017
January 2017
December 2016
November 2016
October 2016
September 2016
August 2016
July 2016
June 2016
May 2016
April 2016
March 2016
February 2016
January 2016
December 2015
November 2015
October 2015
September 2015
August 2015
July 2015
June 2015
May 2015
April 2015
March 2015
February 2015
January 2015
December 2014
November 2014
October 2014
September 2014
August 2014
July 2014
June 2014
May 2014
April 2014
March 2014
February 2014
January 2014
December 2013
November 2013
October 2013
September 2013
August 2013
July 2013
June 2013
May 2013
April 2013
March 2013
February 2013
January 2013
December 2012
November 2012
October 2012
September 2012
August 2012
July 2012
June 2012
May 2012
April 2012
March 2012
February 2012
January 2012
December 2011
November 2011
October 2011
September 2011
August 2011
July 2011
June 2011
May 2011
April 2011
March 2011
February 2011
January 2011
December 2010
November 2010
October 2010
September 2010
August 2010
July 2010
June 2010
May 2010
April 2010
March 2010
February 2010
January 2010
December 2009
November 2009
October 2009
September 2009
August 2009
July 2009
June 2009
May 2009
April 2009
March 2009
February 2009
January 2009
December 2008
November 2008
October 2008
September 2008
August 2008
July 2008
June 2008
May 2008
April 2008
March 2008
February 2008
January 2008
December 2007
November 2007
October 2007
September 2007
August 2007
July 2007
June 2007
May 2007
April 2007
March 2007
February 2007
January 2007
December 2006
November 2006
October 2006
September 2006
August 2006
July 2006
June 2006
May 2006
April 2006
March 2006
February 2006
January 2006
December 2005
April 2005
March 2005
February 2005
January 2005
December 2004
November 2004
October 2004

Blog*Spot Archives
November 2005
October 2005
September 2005
August 2005
July 2005
June 2005
May 2005

Syndication

RSS Feed 2.0
Comments RSS 2.0




Hosted by MCS SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax Advertise Here Mobile Version Contact Rich Miller