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Afternoon roundup

Monday, Nov 21, 2022 - Posted by Isabel Miller

* My favorite Thanksgiving tradition…


* Here’s a shameless self promotion of my own White House photos from last year…


* Roundup…

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Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Fundraiser list

Monday, Nov 21, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Welch to Republicans: Abandon extremism if you want a seat at the table

Monday, Nov 21, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Some recent news stories have centered on Republican hopes for “balance” in the new General Assembly. House Speaker Chris Welch talked to WGN TV about the topic

Q: Republicans say they’re not listened to, they’re not heard. So, as you move forward, is it, well, to the victor go the spoils, so be it? Or is there a way you want to involve Republicans towards unity? What areas can you collaborate with them on?

Welch: As I’ve always said, I think it’s extremely important that we work in a bipartisan way. We need to try to govern in the middle and I certainly hope that Republicans have learned the message of this election, and that is that the electorate won’t tolerate extremism. And if they’ve learned that lesson, we’re ready to do the work with them. We’re ready to sit down at the table and listen to everyone. We have to continue to move the state forward and I think you do it best when you’re working together and willing to compromise. What we have to bring back to politics and government is civility, respect, and the ability to compromise. And that’s where extremism has no place.

Q: Lots of change in the Republican Party, both leaders out for the House and the Senate. In come Rep. Tony McCombie [and Sen. John Curran] are in. Do you have relationships with them? How well do you know them?

Welch: I’ve served with both of them the last few years. I think they’re both honorable people. I think they’re going to be great leaders for their respective caucuses. And I certainly, again, hope that they try to move toward the center a little bit. They’re not gonna get much done if they operate on the extreme. They will have a place at the table if they’re willing to come and work toward compromise.

Q: So, work on the Democrats’ agenda and they’re welcome, but if not

Welch: No, I didn’t say that. Be willing to compromise. When you’re willing to compromise - we’re not going to get everything we want, either. But you can’t be extreme, either side, Democrats or Republicans. You move so much further when you’re working together. And so that hand will always be outreached and I’m looking forward to work with [both of the new Republican leaders].

Discuss.

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Fun with numbers

Monday, Nov 21, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Illinois Policy Institute

Watchdog accountants are challenging Gov. J.B. Pritzker’s claims Illinois is on its best fiscal footing in years, arguing his five-year economic outlook report severely underrepresents the state’s looming long-term financial liabilities.

Experts with Truth in Accounting examined state financial reports to determine Illinois failed to pay $210.5 billion worth of its bills in fiscal year 2021, leaving each taxpayer responsible for $49,500 in debt. Illinois ranked third-worst in the nation, rating an “F” for fiscal management.

Illinois didn’t have $210.5 billion in pension bills last fiscal year. That’s like saying a homeowner should be ashamed of not paying off her 30-year mortgage in full last year.

Also, if you’ve ever taken out a home mortgage, you know that most of what you pay the first several years is basically just interest. You’re not paying off the money borrowed during that period of time, but you’re following the payment schedule drawn up by your bank. Kinda like the state’s pension ramp. And now, as I’ve been saying for a while, annual required state pension payments have finally stabilized, just about as projected back in 2018 [and 2017 and 2016].

* Back to IPI

Illinois pensions can be fixed, but not by feel-good distortions of the economic realities. Reforms are needed that are only possible by changing the Illinois Constitution.

The “hold harmless” pension reform developed by the Illinois Policy Institute would tie all pension cost-of-living adjustments to inflation rather than a fixed rate of annual growth, saving $50 billion by 2045. It would also increase required government contributions to fully fund retirees’ promised pensions rather than the current target of 90% by 2045.

Hilarious. Aside from the inflation aspect, now they’re for a tax hike? Because we all know how easy and painless it was to slash government spending when Bruce Rauner was governor. Also, when taxes were raised over Rauner’s veto, he spent every bit of the money.

…Adding… Dan Proft is listed as a member of Truth in Accounting’s board of directors on its 2020 990 form. Click here.

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Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Supplement to today’s edition and a campaign update

Monday, Nov 21, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Our sorry state

Monday, Nov 21, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Heavy sigh…


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A quick look at turnout

Monday, Nov 21, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Derrick Blakley at the Center for Illinois Politics

“It doesn’t look like an unusually large turnout for an Illinois midterm election,” said Matt Dietrich, spokesman for the Illinois Board of Elections. “I’d estimate the statewide turnout at 50 to 51 percent.”

That’s far off the turnout for Illinois’ 2018 midterm which was 57.23 percent, the highest for a midterm election in 36 years. (In 2014, turnout was 49.18 percent; in 2010, 50.53 percent; and 2006, 48.64 percent.) Back in 1982, a whopping 65 percent of the state’s registered voters went to the polls in that year’s midterms. […]

There are 102 counties in Illinois, but the ten biggest voting jurisdictions (nine counties, plus Chicago which supervises its own elections) account for 61 percent of the state’s registered voters. Chicago’s turnout was 44.26 percent. In suburban Cook County, 43.87 percent. DuPage County turned out 55.25 percent (more on them later). But among the top ten most populous jurisdictions, the highest turnout came from the smallest locale. Sangamon County, which includes Springfield. IL, turned out 59.25 percent of its 135,336 registered voters. […]

DuPage County unofficially received 71,185 mail-in ballots, significantly more than the 2018 midterm election, but not close to 2020’s general election. In addition, 86,600 voters cast their ballots during the in-person early voting period. Of the county’s 342,399 ballots cast, 46 percent came in before election day. […]

It was too early for state election officials to break down the statewide vote by gender. But the Chicago Board of Election commissioners reported city voters at 55.21 percent female and 44.65 percent male. Female voters usually exceed male voters, but the extent of the disparity may be related to the power of the abortion issue in motivating women to get to the polls. […]

Unofficial figures from Chicago show that voters under age 44 made up 39 per cent of voters citywide. Chicago’s 1st Ward had 14,629 voters under age 44, the most of any ward in the city, which made up a whopping 73 percent of voters there.

* Related…

* The GOP did fine with Latino voters. But that wasn’t good enough: In Nevada and New Mexico, Democrats gerrymandered their Latino supporters — spreading them across numerous light-blue districts while packing GOP voters into just one seat. Republicans had hoped to win enough Latino voters to break through this gerrymander and clean up in Biden-leaning seats. They didn’t.

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Question of the day

Monday, Nov 21, 2022 - Posted by Isabel Miller

* Hmm…


* The Question: Any suggestions for the Senator?

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Watch the bottom line, please

Monday, Nov 21, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

* My weekly syndicated newspaper column

Gov. J.B. Pritzker’s administration recently used its annual Economic and Fiscal Policy Report to outline three new budget proposals. The report revised projected revenues upward by $3.69 billion for this fiscal year, but noted that most of the projected increase was from one-time sources, like an unexpected spike in the state’s Income Tax Refund Fund of $1.28 billion.

The governor wants to use some of that cash to put another $1.3 billion into the state’s rainy-day fund, bringing the balance to about $2.3 billion. “While Illinois currently has its highest balance ever at $1.045 billion, Illinois is still among the smallest state rainy-day funds,” the report noted.

Pritzker also wants to set aside some money to pay off tobacco settlement revenue bonds issued in 2010. About $500 million is left on that debt, which was incurred to help the state make it through the Great Recession. And the governor wants to make an unspecified additional contribution into the state’s Unemployment Insurance Trust Fund, which still owes the federal government $1.345 billion plus interest.

Last spring, both the House speaker and the Senate president went all-in on budget stability and avoided creating new programs and adding big bucks to existing programs, which could eat into one-time revenue surges and force austere fiscal choices down the road when that temporary cash dried up and there was no other money to pay for anything.

As a result, Illinois’ credit rating was raised again, a real rainy day fund was finally established and hundreds of millions of dollars were invested in the state’s pension funds, above and beyond the statutory minimum requirements.

The recent report also projected some deficits down the road at the current revenue/spending pace. The deficits are relatively small as a percentage of the total state budget and they’re a drop in the bucket compared to projections made when Bruce Rauner was governor.

Back in 2016, almost two years after the temporary income tax was allowed to partially roll back, Fiscal Year 2022’s budget deficit was projected to be $6.5 billion with a whopping $47 billion bill backlog — almost $4 billion higher than total projected state spending that year. After a state income tax hike in 2017 and billions were pumped into state coffers and the economy by the federal government during the pandemic, Illinois ended up posting a surplus in FY22 and this fiscal year’s surplus is projected to be $1.689 billion, even after adding more money into the rainy day fund. But those newly projected deficits are still in the hundreds of millions of dollars, and that could very well force spending cuts.

The projected increase in budget pressures, by the way, have nothing to do with the state’s pension obligations. State pension payments are expected to be 20.1% of total expenditures this year, and they’re projected to be 20.1% of expenditures in five years. The pension obligation is still high (due to nearly a century of under-funding), but it’s finally becoming a whole lot more manageable.

I asked both the House and Senate Democratic legislative leaders last week to respond to Pritzker’s fiscal ideas. Both gave responses that could be considered in the “under review” category.

Senate President Don Harmon said through a spokesperson: “We share the governor’s focus on fiscal responsibility and rebuilding the economic stability of Illinois. We look forward to reviewing details with the administration.”

House Speaker Chris Welch told me during an interview last week: “We have said all along that we’ve made some great changes that have produced revenue for our state, and we continue to see revenue being generated. The outlook for our state is very positive. I’m so optimistic about our state, and that’s why you saw polling numbers that people believe Illinois is on the right track now — more so than they ever have. Do I agree with how the governor’s going to use the money? That’s for all of us to decide. We have to continue to use the agreed-upon process. That process has worked. And it’s certainly nice to know that the revenues are there.”

If we want to live in a more normal state, where we’re not constantly struggling to find a few extra dollars here and there or battling multi-billion-dollar deficits and bill backlogs, then the people who run this state’s government have got to continue matching revenues with spending.

If legislators and others want to spend more on long-term programs or to buttress existing programs, they have to either increase revenues or reduce other spending or both.

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Today’s number: 16 years

Monday, Nov 21, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

* I realized over the weekend that 2006 is the last time an elected Illinois governor was reelected in Illinois. 12 years ago was the last time any Illinois governor was reelected.

Discuss.

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Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today’s edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)

Monday, Nov 21, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Morning briefing

Monday, Nov 21, 2022 - Posted by Isabel Miller

* If you need help planning your holiday road trip, here’s a good start…


* A quick roundup to start your day…

More to come!

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Open thread

Monday, Nov 21, 2022 - Posted by Isabel Miller

* Happy Monday! What’s on your Illinois-centric mind today?

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Live coverage

Monday, Nov 21, 2022 - Posted by Isabel Miller

* Follow along with ScribbleLive


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Reader comments closed for the weekend

Friday, Nov 18, 2022 - Posted by Isabel Miller

* See y’all next week. Look around, leaves are brown


And the sky is a hazy shade of winter

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Afternoon roundup

Friday, Nov 18, 2022 - Posted by Isabel Miller

* Amdor strikes again…


* Roundup…

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Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - A couple of updates

Friday, Nov 18, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Governor’s office accuses Sheriff Dart of “spreading misinformation”

Friday, Nov 18, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

* According to Chicago Appleseed, 83 percent of the people on electronic monitoring in Cook County “had to pay a money bond to leave jail and be placed on electronic monitors.” With that in mind, here’s The TRiiBE and the Chicago Reader

While awaiting trial, Shane (a pseudonym) has worn an electronic ankle monitor and been confined to their home, a high-rise apartment they share with their elderly mother and two children, for over two years. During their confinement, they have been visited hundreds of times by sheriff’s deputies who were summoned by erroneous automatic alerts that accused Shane of leaving home without authorization.

Deputies came so often that Shane’s toddler began to think they were family friends. “He calls them his buddies because he’s so used to seeing them,” Shane said. But their oldest son understood who the deputies were. “And that’s why a lot of these children grow into men and they disrespect authority, or they feel like they hate the police because they see them doing things that are not conducted in a proper manner.”

The alerts that sent texts to Shane’s phone and deputies to their front door originated from Track Group, a subcontractor that operates ankle monitors used by the Cook County Sheriff’s Office (CCSO). Track Group sends alerts to Protocol, a call center that then sends the texts. Shane is one of hundreds of people who were similarly inundated with text alerts from Protocol while on CCSO’s pretrial home-monitoring program over an 18-month period, according to data newly obtained by The TRiiBE and the Reader.

As of press time, 2,017 people are wearing electronic ankle bracelets under CCSO’s pretrial house arrest program. They’re required to remain inside their home 24 hours a day, but can leave for “essential movement” to go to work or run errands. Sheriff Tom Dart has advocated for repealing the provisions in the 2021 SAFE-T Act pertaining to essential movement. According to a recent article by The Intercept, Dart has systematically limited people who use essential movement for work from also running errands.

The alerts, which often summon sheriff’s deputies and carry an implicit threat of being taken to jail, can be disruptive and frightening. Many of the people who were texted repeatedly said in interviews they were inside their homes when the alerts occurred. […]

In a previous story, we reported that in 2021, 80 percent of alerts were found to be false, and spoke to several people on pretrial monitoring who received frequent alerts accusing them of going AWOL even though they were inside their homes. We also chronicled the tribulations of Jeremy “Mohawk” Johnson, who documented his two-year ordeal of repeated false electronic-monitor alerts while he awaited trial on charges stemming from a 2020 protest.

Since then, we have obtained data on hundreds of thousands of text messages sent to some 10,000 people who, like Shane, were in the home-monitoring program between January 1, 2020, and June 22, 2022. The data shows that Johnson’s experience was far from unique.

During that 18-month period, most people on electronic home monitoring got a text from Protocol about three times a month, on average. But a significant number of people were texted far more often. One thousand people on home monitoring were texted an average of three times a week. Thirty people received upwards of 20 texts per week. Twenty-two people got more than 1,000 texts, an average of two a day.

Tracey Harkins, a criminal attorney who often represents defendants who are on home monitoring, said that attorneys have no choice but to advise their clients to call Protocol every time they receive a text, and to film themselves to prove they’re at home. She added that her clients have told her that the call center sometimes doesn’t pick up. “They call and the phones keep ringing and no one answers,” she said.

What a nightmare, not to mention a complete mess.

* State law allows people confined on electronic monitoring to have two, eight-hour periods of movement per week for things like doctor appointments, grocery shopping or even taking the trash to the alley. They’re still tracked during that time because they have to wear ankle bracelets, but Cook County Sheriff Tom Dart has interpreted the law to eliminate those time periods for people who already have a judge’s permission to work or go to school

Eddie Raymond needed to run to the store to grab some toilet paper on a January day this year. Under an Illinois law that had gone into effect at the start of the month, he was entitled to leave home at least two days a week to run such an errand — notwithstanding the GPS monitor affixed to his ankle that allowed the local sheriff’s office to track his every move. When Raymond contacted the sheriff’s call center to check in before leaving home, though, he was told that he didn’t have permission to go out that day. The explanation startled him.

“They said if you have work movement, you’re not supposed to get your essential days, because your essential days qualify for work,” recalled Raymond, who asked to be identified by a pseudonym to protect his privacy. “I told them that doesn’t make sense.”

Raymond had unknowingly run into a policy quietly implemented by Cook County Sheriff Tom Dart. He wasn’t getting his “essential days,” guaranteed by law, because he also had regularly scheduled permission to go to work.

* Yet, Sheriff Dart is taking a hardcore stance

“Our city is overwhelmed with violence and we’ve taken a group of people who are charged with violent offenses and saying ‘go out, we’re going to shut our eyes for two days just to see what happens,’” said Sheriff Tom Dart.

Defendants still wear their ankle monitors on their “free movement” days but their whereabouts are not tracked in real-time because the sheriff has no way to quickly sort through the legitimacy of “basic necessity” stops.

Advocates point to recent studies that have found the increased use of electronic monitoring is not a key driver of crime.

According to Chicago Appleseed, less than 2 percent of the people on EM were rearrested for Class 2+ felonies. A significant chunk of the 8.8 percent total rearrested were busted for previous warrants.

* Jordan Abudayyeh…

There is nothing in the act that prevents the Sheriff from tracking in real time those who are on electronic monitoring awaiting trial. The act clearly states the Sheriff “may promulgate rules that prescribe reasonable guidelines under which an electronic monitoring and home detention program shall operate.” The statute does not prohibit them from requiring more detail (date, time frame, location address) of where the person on electronic monitoring intends to go when granting movement. There is also nothing in the Act that says those on electronic monitoring cannot be tracked during these movements. Perhaps, instead of spreading misinformation, the Sheriff could focus on making sure his agency promulgates rules and secures the resources its needs to run an effective electronic monitoring program.

* More…

    * Cook County judges are violating the SAFE-T Act’s electronic monitoring reforms: For example, despite the new requirement that judges should review electronic monitoring every 60 days, many people are languishing on ankle monitors for months or even years, even though they have complied fully with all their obligations.

    * Law Professors Pushing Back on State’s Attorneys Proposal to Gut Pretrial Fairness Act: We are law professors and faculty from across Illinois, and we write to urge you to reject SB 4228, a SAFE-T Act trailer bill drafted by the Illinois State’s Attorney Association. This bill is a dangerous attempt to undercut the Pretrial Fairness Act and increase incarceration in Illinois. Under the Pretrial Fairness Act, individuals charged with serious crimes can already be detained if they pose a flight risk or risk to public safety. The provisions included in SB 4228 would dramatically increase the number of people in jail by granting prosecutors and judges broad discretion to lock up people who are accused of only minor offenses—people who do not pose a risk of any immediate harm to anyone. Moreover, SB 4228 violates the Illinois Constitution by creating a presumption of detention, and raises serious due process concerns. Ultimately, SB 4228 would incarcerate even more people without trial, exacerbate existing racial disparities in the Illinois criminal legal system, and subject more people and families to the severe harms associated with pretrial incarceration.

…Adding… Sheriff Dart’s office…

The only “misinformation” being promulgated comes from the Governor’s office, which signed a law without, apparently, a full understanding of the implications. There are currently more than 2,000 individuals who have been court-ordered to the Sheriff’s electronic monitoring program, and 75% of them are facing violent charges, including murder, attempted murders, aggravated criminal sexual assault, and gun-related offenses. On days that are not designated for free movement, the courts or the Sheriff’s Office approve movement for individuals based on where they are going and what they will be doing, and the Sheriff’s Office works to monitor them to make sure they are where they said they would be.

For example, if someone has approved movement to go from home to a grocery store and back home and we see the participant is five miles away in the opposite direction, we know they are likely not following the approved movement and our staff can investigate. This accountability helps to protect public safety, because it enables individuals on EM to perform tasks outside their home while serving as a deterrent against straying outside the areas they are approved to visit. With the imposition of the free movement this new law mandated, monitoring movement is impossible because there are no restrictions on where individuals can go during that time. The practical effect of free movement is that alerts about the whereabouts of individuals must be silenced and unmonitored during the hours that individuals are on free movement to avoid generating potentially millions of erroneous movement alerts each week.

It’s one thing to field criticism from advocates who have no obligation to promote public safety, but another thing entirely to hear such dismissive statements come from the state’s top elected official. Perhaps, instead of leveling snide accusations of misinformation at the Sheriff responsible for running the nation’s largest pre-trial electronic monitoring program, the Governor could focus on understanding the real challenges free movement presents, and the threat it poses to public safety. The Governor’s Office is invited to set up a time first thing Monday morning, or anytime that is convenient, to visit our Electronic Monitoring Unit so it can begin to understand the real-world effects this so-called reform has on public safety. We are confident that after educating themselves on the challenges this law has placed on our staff, the Governor’s Office will work tirelessly to provide the resources the Sheriff’s Office, as they said, “needs to run an effective electronic monitoring program.”

And…


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Question of the day

Friday, Nov 18, 2022 - Posted by Isabel Miller

* Tribune

Illinois health leaders are pleading with parents to get their children vaccinated against the flu, which is increasingly spreading in the Chicago area and threatening to further stretch already-strained children’s hospitals.

“We expect the number of children needing care for these viruses to increase significantly over the next several weeks,” said Dr. Larry Kociolek, medical director of infection, prevention and control at Lurie Children’s, referring to respiratory illnesses and the flu at a news conference Thursday. “This raises concerns for us. This raises concerns for parents. … But there’s hope. We can prevent many of these infections.”

Children’s hospitals in the Chicago area and across the country have already been packed for months, thanks to earlier-than-usual surges of RSV, which stands for respiratory syncytial virus, and other respiratory illnesses. Those surges have led to longer ER waits, occasionally delayed surgeries and difficulty transferring pediatric patients between hospitals.

Only about 9% of pediatric intensive care unit beds in Illinois were available as of Thursday morning, and earlier this week, that figure was as low as 4%, said Dr. Sameer Vohra, director of the Illinois Department of Public Health.

* ABC 7 Chicago

Illinois Department of Public Health officials said not enough kids are getting flu shots this year, despite an early and widespread season.

IDPH said participation for kids under 5 dropped during the last two flu seasons amid the COVID pandemic.

“So far, we are seeing similar, not improved rates of Chicago children getting the flu vaccine this year compared to years prior,” said Chicago Department of Public Health Chief Medical Officer Dr. Jennifer Seo.

“You may not understand the risk your child has until you are in the ICU watching your child on a ventilator or planning a funeral for your child and thinking about things you could have done to prevent it,” said Dr. Larry Kociolek, Lurie Children’s Hospital Infectious Diseases medical director.

* The Center Square

An Illinois public health official is warning of a surge in flu cases this winter.

Chicago Public Health Commissioner Dr. Allison Arwady said the flu picture has dramatically changed in the past week. She said the southeastern part of the country is getting hit and Illinois is not far behind.

Arwady advises to get a flu shot as soon as possible because it takes some time for the protection to kick in and she is concerned that it will spread as families gather for Thanksgiving.

* NBC 5

Health officials across the Chicago area are urging people to get vaccinated ahead of the colder weather, especially with cases of RSV and the flu rising.

“This ‘tripledemic’… what we’re calling it right now involves three viruses,” explained Dr. Geraldine Luna, medical director for the Chicago Department of Public Health.

Respiratory viruses such as the flu, RSV and COVID-19 are “spreading rapidly” across Illinois, the state’s Department of Public Health said earlier this week.

The question: Have you had or do you plan to get a flu shot this year? Explain.

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McCombie talks about the difficulty of protecting moderate candidates from attacks by the “far right”

Friday, Nov 18, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

* House Republican Leader in waiting Rep. Tony McCombie was interviewed today on WXAN

Q: I think the real challenge for Republicans in Illinois is that you have a very conservative voter base throughout the Republican districts of the state. Then when you run statewide, you have to also communicate effectively with people who are more in the center and running that gambit is difficult politically. And so you look over the horizon, like how Republicans can be successful and grow in terms of their numbers in the General Assembly. Is that gambit in your mind?

A: Absolutely. I think one of the things when you’re, I feel we are the party of the of the big tent. I see that. I believe it. I don’t believe that we as a Republican Party have to all agree. And just because we may disagree on an issue or a strategic way … We we always judge our folks, you know, and call each other RINOs and do all that, but it’s the American way. We should have some disagreements. I think that makes us better even within our own policy. So for me, I can still be who I am and totally respect to who my neighbor is.

And when I first got in there, we had folks more in the suburbs, we had folks that were actually pro choice. The difference with those folks is, they would never in a million years have voted to repeal parental notification. They would never have considered a bill that’s going to allow abortion up to nine months. So that’s the difference of the extremes. There’s folks in the suburb, there’s folks in Cook County that are conservative that want to put their names forward, but are kind of nervous to do so because they don’t want to be attacked by, for lack of a better term, the far right. And we have to be willing to listen to them, embrace them, speak to the common sense voters. And I look forward to messaging that because it’s going to be a challenge. We need to worry about talking about the issues in Illinois, especially with corruption, the high taxes, our education, serving our most vulnerable. We all have the same views, it’s just how do we get it and if we can get somebody to sit in a seat in the suburbs in a left-leaning district and there’s gonna be with the conservatives, you know, 90-95 percent of the time, Bravo, then we’ve done it, we’ve done the right thing. So I look forward to that challenge. And after this election, it’s a big, big challenge. […]

Q: And does that specifically mean tailoring a new message for Republicans in the suburbs?

A: I think it’s tailoring a new message for everyone around the state. Democrats in Illinois certainly didn’t win the cycle because they fixed all the problems, right? Look at crime, look at our economy, crushing tax bills, continued corruption that it seems like people don’t even pay attention to anymore. And that’s embarrassing to Illinois. And so we need to work on those issues, obviously. And we need to have a party that’s going to have candidates that will appeal to younger, independent, moderate and women voters. We’re out there and we just need to change the message to let people know that we’re with them. And we’re gonna do that by having plans, having messaging, working really hard.

What they need to figure out first is how to successfully shepherd moderate, pro-choice, pro gun regulation suburban candidates through the Republican primaries. And that also means somehow dealing with the bigtime contributors like Richard Uihlein, who despises “RINOs” and, if history is any guide, would likely step in to try to foil any such moderation plans.

By the way, any Republican candidate who would vote to reinstate parental notification is gonna get whacked with a broad brush by Personal PAC and the Democrats. Judy Baar Topinka was pro-choice except for that one exception, and she was painted as an anti-abortion extremist back in 2006 by a lousy governor whose chief fundraiser was indicted days before the election and who still won by more than 10 points. These are not by any means new issues, nor are they new obstacles.

Not easy. Don’t envy her at all.

  66 Comments      


Abortion providers worry about “escalation” in cross-border legal actions

Friday, Nov 18, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Dan Hinkel at Illinois Answers Project

But the end of Roe v. Wade and the constitutional right to abortion has raised a question state lawmakers have yet to address: Can abortion’s opponents in other states sue or prosecute people in Illinois?

Legal scholars say that could be the new front in the battle over abortion, and courts ruling over an uncertain legal landscape may let plaintiffs and prosecutors reach across state lines.

It’s a concern for Dr. Colleen McNicholas, who performs abortions at a clinic along the Illinois border with Missouri, where abortion is banned. Physical and legal threats are not new for abortion providers, but McNicholas, chief medical officer of Planned Parenthood of the St. Louis Region and Southwest Missouri, said she is “expecting escalation,” possibly including cross-border legal actions. […]

Since the conservative majority on the U.S. Supreme Court overturned Roe in June, other states have passed laws aimed at shielding patients and providers from those court actions. Illinois legislators are studying the issue but have not acted, and some legal scholars say that has left people here exposed.

The law is unsettled enough that courts could rule prosecutors can target out-of-state providers who perform abortions on people from their states if some element of the alleged crime happened in the prosecutor’s jurisdiction, law professors said. […]

California has put a law on the books that bars the enforcement of a court judgment coming from a state that allows lawsuits over abortions. This summer, Massachusetts enacted broad protections against lawsuits and prosecutions, including banning the governor from extraditing someone charged with an abortion-related offense in another state that would be legal in Massachusetts.

While interstate legal wars have yet to erupt, they could be on the way to Illinois. Missouri legislators this year considered but did not pass legislation letting private citizens sue out-of-state providers or others who aid a Missourian in getting an abortion. The Republican legislator who pushed the measure, Mary Elizabeth Coleman, has said her legislation was aimed at the Planned Parenthood clinic that operates just across the border in Illinois. […]

Illinois legislators have spent recent months in a working group studying their options for eventual bills. They’ve looked at laws in other states that aim to shield providers and patients from legal jeopardy and considered the way digital data collection could be used to monitor and punish those who seek abortions, Democratic legislators said.

Rep. Kelly Cassidy, D-Chicago, said this study process has been needed because enacting these laws is “not like flipping a switch.” She said the end of Roe showed her that those who favor abortion access have to be ready for new challenges. […]

The influx of patients to Illinois comes with new questions about interstate legal jeopardy that courts have not resolved, law professors said. The law is unsettled enough that courts could rule prosecutors can target out-of-state providers who perform abortions on people from their states if some element of the alleged crime happened in the prosecutor’s jurisdiction, law professors said.

Similarly, it’s unclear how successfully abortion opponents might be able to sue people in other states, legal experts said. Cohen, the Drexel University law professor, said out-of-state residents could sue over abortions performed in Illinois under existing wrongful death laws and potentially prevail.

“I’m not saying I would think that (lawsuit) should win but they could certainly try and a Missouri court could may agree with them,” he said.

The willingness of the Supreme Court to overturn the precedent of Roe means it’s hard to know what courts will allow, legal experts said. June Carbone, a University of Minnesota law professor, noted that even the effectiveness of new laws designed to shield abortion from legal attacks could be in question because those, too, would be subject to court challenges.

* More…

  8 Comments      


Ayala to retire at end of January

Friday, Nov 18, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Press release…

State Superintendent of Education Dr. Carmen Ayala has announced plans to retire at the end of her current contract, which concludes January 31st, 2023. Dr. Ayala has served as State Superintendent since early 2019, shepherding Illinois schools through COVID-19 and kickstarting their academic recovery – leading most recently to a decade-high in the state’s graduation rate. As the capstone of her nearly four-decade career in education, Ayala was the first woman and the first person of color to serve as permanent superintendent for the Illinois State Board of Education (ISBE).

“Dr. Ayala represents the highest level of dedication to public service, and over her long career she has positively impacted thousands of Illinois students,” said Governor JB Pritzker. “Not only did Dr. Ayala’s steadfast leadership guide our schools through an unprecedented pandemic, but she also kick-started students’ academic recovery. Under her leadership, we’ve seen significant growth in high school graduation rates and other key educational metrics, a true testament to her hard work and dedication to Illinois students. I’m grateful for her service and wish her and her family all the best for a well-deserved retirement.”

Prior to her appointment as State Superintendent, Ayala served as superintendent of Berwyn North School District, assistant superintendent in Plainfield and Aurora East Districts, and as a classroom teacher in Aurora and in Chicago Public Schools. Ayala provided steadfast leadership for Illinois schools during COVID-19, overseeing an unprecedented shift to virtual and socially distanced learning.

During Ayala’s time at ISBE, the state recorded its highest high school graduation rate since reporting began in 2011, driven by increased graduation rates for Black and Hispanic students under Ayala’s equity-focused leadership. ISBE also saw educator retention and diversity increase during her tenure. Ayala also shepherded the development and implementation of the 2020-2023 ISBE Strategic Plan and the creation of the Equity Journey Continuum, which helps school districts identify gaps in students’ access to opportunities, resources, and supports.

Ayala is a graduate of Mundelein College, Dominican University, and Loyola University of Chicago with undergraduate, masters of business administration, and doctorate in educational leadership and policy degrees. She previously served as an executive board member on the Latino Policy Forum, where she championed equitable funding and increased resources for English Learners. Dr. Ayala has held positions on numerous boards and committees, including the Illinois State Board of Education Bilingual Advisory Council, Illinois Women in Educational Leadership, Illinois Resource Center, and the Illinois Professional Review Panel for Evidence-Based Funding.

Thoughts?

…Adding… These Awake IL people are so ridiculously melodramatic and, well, other things…


  13 Comments      


*** UPDATED x1 *** Morning briefing

Friday, Nov 18, 2022 - Posted by Isabel Miller

* A fresh start…


* Here’s a quick roundup to start your day…

* More to come!

*** UPDATE *** More…

  17 Comments      


Open thread

Friday, Nov 18, 2022 - Posted by Isabel Miller

* Happy Friday!

  21 Comments      


Live coverage

Friday, Nov 18, 2022 - Posted by Isabel Miller

* Follow along with ScribbleLive


  Comments Off      


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* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Some fiscal news
* Isabel’s afternoon roundup (Updated)
* RETAIL: Strengthening Communities Across Illinois
* Groups warn about plan that doesn't appear to be in the works
* SB 328: Separating Lies From Truth
* Campaign news: Big Raja money; Benton over-shares; Rashid's large cash pile; Jeffries to speak at IDCCA brunch
* Rep. Hoan Huynh jumps into packed race for Schakowsky’s seat (Updated)
* Roundup: Pritzker taps Christian Mitchell for LG
* Open thread
* Isabel’s morning briefing
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Supplement to today’s edition (Updated)
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today's edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)
* Selected press releases (Live updates)
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