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Afternoon roundup

Thursday, Mar 9, 2023 - Posted by Rich Miller

* My favorite passage from the Commission on Government Forecasting & Accountability’s latest revenue projections

FY 2023 began the year able to absorb a $4.6 billion falloff in revenues to reach the Enacted Budget. Given FYTD growth of $2.5 billion, revenues could fall around $7.1 billion over the remaining months of FY 2023 and still reach budgetary level. This level of falloff is not likely.

Hilarious.

* New ad…


* New endorsement…

On Thursday morning, ICIRR Action announced its endorsement of Brandon Johnson for mayor of Chicago, as well as a partnership with Mijente to get out the vote on his behalf.

“ICIRR Action is making its first ever mayoral election endorsement because there’s a candidate that values and supports immigrant communities: Brandon Johnson,” said Lawrence Benito. “Brandon Johnson has worked alongside communities for years, and is an ally in our struggle. He presents hope for the future of Chicago, while his opponent has a track record of harming Black and brown communities across the country and has the financial backing of Trump supporters. ICIRR Action is excited to partner with Mijente to mobilize immigrant voters across the city to share that Brandon Johnson is the candidate of working families, of our neighborhoods, and of a Chicago that works for everyone.”

“Paul Vallas is a right-wing conservative, and gladly accepts donations from the same MAGA Republicans who view Latinos as a threat,” said Tania Unzueta, Mijente’s political director. “Chicagoans are learning who the true Paul Vallas is — a man who does not respect people of color, has betrayed our public schools, and associates with political extremists. Paul Vallas will never represent our interests. Brandon Johnson has built a multi-racial, intergenerational, and movement-based coalition that will chart a path out of austerity politics and into a Chicago where everyone, no matter their zip code, race and age can thrive. It’s time to elect a mayor who works for us.”

* A recent National Journal story asked what the Democratic Party could learn from Dems who “flipped” three congressional seats. One of those Democrats profiled was Nikki Budzinski. Yeah, she ran a very good campaign. Textbook, even. And she has a real feel for this business. But her district was primarily flipped by mapmakers, who redrew the +3 Republican presidential district into a +11 Democratic presidential district

Budzinski is one of three Democratic freshmen who flipped red districts in the midterms who spoke to National Journal about how their experience can help Democrats in 2024.

Again, heckuva campaigner who should do well in Congress. And she’s worth listening to because she’s good at what she does. But the big lesson for Democrats out of her race is to draw much more partisan maps.

* This story is weird

It is a mad scramble at the Illinois Capitol as lawmakers try to push through nearly 7,000 bills by Friday.

A bill first goes to the “Legislative Review Board,” where a team of lawyers make sure that the proposal is accurate and legal. With so many bills, however, it has taken them a long time to send them out.

Yes, there’s a mad scramble, but most of those bills are shell bills. And I never heard of the Legislative Review Board. Also, the Senate took last week off, so it has only itself to blame.

* Yesterday in Crain’s

Dick Simpson, a former Chicago alderman and political science professor emeritus at the University of Illinois Chicago, won’t be giving jurors in the upcoming “ComEd four” trial a lesson in Chicago machine politics after all.

U.S. District Judge Harry Leinenweber today agreed to defendants’ motion to bar Simpson from testifying. They had argued it would be prejudicial to their clients — former Commonwealth Edison CEO Anne Pramaggiore and former ComEd lobbyists Michael McClain, John Hooker and Jay Doherty.

Leinenweber has quite the bite

According to the Government, Professor Simpson will explain to the jury why political workers, such as precinct committeemen and precinct captains respond to incentives to work to get out the vote and that those incentives are the expectation of material benefits. The Court does not find that the subject of this proposed testimony is so enigmatic to require expert testimony. […]

Nor does it convince the Court that Professor Simpson’s testimony is the product of reliable principles or methods. An extensive publishing record is not enough. Although methods vary across fields of expertise, from no field can an expert “waltz into the courtroom and render opinions” not based upon a recognized method. […]

A map of the City of Chicago, and the statutory description of a committeeman and precinct captain can be made by stipulation or judicial notice.

No to Simpson, yes to a city map.

* I actually agree with part of this take


The ISRA is just as bad as Dan Caulkins. This is 100% inaccurate. There is no injunction in the Macon County case at…

Posted by Thomas DeVore on Thursday, March 9, 2023

* And here’s your feel-good story of the day, from WGLT

Electric automaker Rivian has a big order to fill for Amazon — to the tune of 125,000 delivery vans. So when the assembly of one component began to create a chokepoint in the entire production process, the electric vehicle manufacturer with a plant in Normal outsourced the job to a Peoria not-for-profit.

Peoria Production Solutions (formerly known as Peoria Production Shop) was founded in 1941 to provide jobs for people recovering from tuberculosis. Since incorporating in 1951, the mission shifted to providing job opportunities for people with disabilities.

“We have about 309 employees. 60% of those have some form of disability,” said Dan LaTurno, president of Peoria Production Solutions. He said that includes people with vision impairments, mobility challenges, and people with autism.

More than half of the organization’s business is with earthmoving giant Caterpillar. That pipeline of projects is steady, but LaTurno said he also wants to build out other business relationships.

* Isabel’s roundup…

       

51 Comments
  1. - Oswego Willy - Thursday, Mar 9, 23 @ 1:54 pm:

    Quiet Time

    “Dick Simpson, a former Chicago alderman and political science professor emeritus at the University of Illinois Chicago, won’t be giving jurors in the upcoming “ComEd four” trial a lesson in Chicago machine politics after all.

    U.S. District Judge Harry Leinenweber today agreed to defendants’ motion to bar Simpson from testifying. They had argued it would be prejudicial to their clients — former Commonwealth Edison CEO Anne Pramaggiore and former ComEd lobbyists Michael McClain, John Hooker and Jay Doherty.”

    Sneedless to say, this judge won’t let Simpson spin yarns about “the Chicago way” and “I know a guy”, no chance Indiana resident John Kass will wear his wrinkly suit and talk of “leg man” or about the “guys down the street”, but our spies saw Doherty having a hush-hush lunch, and all mentioned are ageless and priceless, natch.


  2. - DuPage Saint - Thursday, Mar 9, 23 @ 1:57 pm:

    I don’t see how you can be throw. Out of Ohare for not having a plan ticket.


  3. - Anon 9:42 - Thursday, Mar 9, 23 @ 1:57 pm:

    Three Letter Acronyms (TLAs) can be tricky. It’s best not to assign meaning to them if you are unsure. Rich, I think you’ll agree that “LRB” means Legislative Reference Bureau and not the “Legislative Review Board”.

    The Speaker’s Tech Review is a whole other thing (that is if Speaker Welch kept this team intact from Speaker Voldemort’s days, you know, he who shall not be named).


  4. - thechampaignlife - Thursday, Mar 9, 23 @ 1:59 pm:

    ===And I never heard of the Legislative Review Board.===

    They must have gotten mixed up the Prisoner Review Board. Given how most bills are locked up indefinitely in Rules, it is an understandable mistake.


  5. - Anon 9:42 - Thursday, Mar 9, 23 @ 2:01 pm:

    =Sneedless to say, this judge won’t let Simpson spin yarns about “the Chicago way” and “I know a guy”, no chance Indiana resident John Kass will wear his wrinkly suit and talk of “leg man” or about the “guys down the street”, but our spies saw Doherty having a hush-hush lunch, and all mentioned are ageless and priceless, natch.=

    Good stuff, OW. I think the word Kass uses for “guys down the street” is “chumbolones”.


  6. - Amalia - Thursday, Mar 9, 23 @ 2:07 pm:

    Has Personal PAC weighed in on the Mayor’s race? cause it seems like a slam dunk that they would not support Vallas.


  7. - Gravitas - Thursday, Mar 9, 23 @ 2:11 pm:

    I was unaware of the Chicago Mayor having the power to set abortion policies. So this is so much empty virtue signalling.


  8. - Rich Miller - Thursday, Mar 9, 23 @ 2:13 pm:

    ===having the power to set abortion policies===

    One word: Zoning.

    Another word: Funding.


  9. - Three Dimensional Checkers - Thursday, Mar 9, 23 @ 2:16 pm:

    ===Nor does it convince the Court that Professor Simpson’s testimony is the product of reliable principles or methods.===

    Truer words never spoken. Judge Leinenweber did the government a favor.


  10. - Streator Curmudgeon - Thursday, Mar 9, 23 @ 2:20 pm:

    Just experienced some “excuseflation” at my local Aldi. Eggs down to $2.33 a dozen. Woo hoo. /s

    Streator city council recently voted down a change in city ordinance to allow raising chickens in the city. Support for the change was surprisingly light. City engineer reports the cost of a coop alone would be $500. That’s roughly 200 dozen eggs, or a dozen eggs a week for almost four years.


  11. - Louis G Atsaves - Thursday, Mar 9, 23 @ 2:20 pm:

    Took two classes with Dick Simpson back when the college was called UICC (early 70’s). He would have put the jury to sleep./snark


  12. - Amalia - Thursday, Mar 9, 23 @ 2:24 pm:

    what Rich Miller wrote. also, the Mayor of Chicago automatically becomes a national thought leader, engages in many discussions, has their law department weigh in on cases. Can’t imagine a national thought leader who cozies up to AWAKE, anti vaccine policies, and is so clear about being anti abortion being welcome by the people of Chicago to represent the City and our region.


  13. - Oswego Willy - Thursday, Mar 9, 23 @ 2:26 pm:

    ===uses for “guys down the street” is “chumbolones”.===

    Dunno if that’s totally true in the “M” Daley context to the “South Dearborn” folks.

    Thanks. Appreciate it.

    To the Simpson stuff, “Sneedless” this time,

    It’s very telling to the thoughts of the prosecutors that they felt a need to discuss “with an expert” the culture of Chicago politics.

    I’ve had this belief all along that the defense likely be along the lines of “criminalizing the art of lobbying”

    That’s it. The art. But criminalizing this idea you hire the most connected and those with the most access to lobby… for you. Now that’s “criminal”

    “Oh no” says the prosecutor… “here’s our witness to testify about how it all works, ‘The Chicago Way’ and…”

    And… “No”

    Nope. And no.

    What Simpson’s testimony was going to do, and the judge says so, is “prejudicial to their clients”, the defense, like your in-law uncle complaining about the neighbor getting a garbage can before him or the street over getting an alley paved first… or a company with better lobbyist getting legislation passed… both chambers… and signed…

    You know… “institutional corruption”

    Yeah, well, spinning tall tales, even true stories, that’s prejudicial, and a crutch the prosecutors wanted in order to make whatever lobbying (good, bad, ethical or not) happened, inherently criminal… because some former alderman wanted to tell a story or three.

    I’m fascinated more and more by this trial. A real first glimpse at what is really the crux of this trial too… the culture of the politics.


  14. - ANNON'IN - Thursday, Mar 9, 23 @ 2:26 pm:

    Dick probably saved some grief by not ’splainin’ his six figure taxpayer salary and the money paid researchers.


  15. - Anon 9:42 - Thursday, Mar 9, 23 @ 2:32 pm:

    OW, I apologize for missing the reference to Dirksen being the guys down the street.

    I guess that makes me the Chumbolone.


  16. - 47th Ward - Thursday, Mar 9, 23 @ 2:33 pm:

    Dick Simpson has been out of office since 1987. He has no data to support his opinions, no published research documenting the favor economy and patronage. All of his testimony could be simply boil down to, “well, that’s what I heard.”

    That doesn’t mean he’d be wrong to say that raises, promotions and jobs are divvied out by political patronage to reward the efforts of political organizations. It’s just that he can’t prove it in this case or any others.

    My opinion is as good as his, I just don’t pretend I’m an expert, like Simpson has for the past 40 years.

    Not sure why the prosecutors thought this was a good idea. Maybe because they are having a hard time explaining what, exactly, was the quid that went with the pro quo here.


  17. - Anon 9:42 - Thursday, Mar 9, 23 @ 2:39 pm:

    =Dick Simpson has been out of office since 1987.=

    More like 1979 but point taken.


  18. - Oswego Willy - Thursday, Mar 9, 23 @ 2:40 pm:

    ===makes me the Chumbolone===

    Not in the slightest, no apologies necessary.

    “M’s” Daleyisms are now, what, 15+ years removed, at least, considering when he uttered them.

    It’s an old Easter egg


  19. - Jerry - Thursday, Mar 9, 23 @ 2:40 pm:

    So Paul Valles is actually believes the guv’mint should tell you how to manage your life. Sounds like Socialism!


  20. - Jerry - Thursday, Mar 9, 23 @ 2:42 pm:

    Isn’t “dis” as in dis city a Daley-ism?


  21. - Steve - Thursday, Mar 9, 23 @ 2:43 pm:

    I like Professor Simpson. The feds might have a complex case. But, most Cook County juries can understand corruption. As a distant observer, I think just sticking to who’s directly involved in the case is the best use of time and attention spans.


  22. - 47th Ward - Thursday, Mar 9, 23 @ 2:43 pm:

    ===More like 1979 but point taken.===

    My mistake. I sometimes confuse Simpson with Marty Oberman.


  23. - Anon 9:42 - Thursday, Mar 9, 23 @ 2:44 pm:

    =It’s an old Easter egg=

    A delicious one at that.


  24. - Anon 9:42 - Thursday, Mar 9, 23 @ 2:45 pm:

    = I sometimes confuse Simpson with Marty Oberman.=

    Easy to do.


  25. - Steve - Thursday, Mar 9, 23 @ 2:49 pm:

    -Not sure why the prosecutors thought this was a good idea-

    His book with Thomas Gradel from University of Illinois Press is what the feds probably wanted to establish in the juries’ mind.

    https://www.amazon.com/Corrupt-Illinois-Patronage-Cronyism-Criminality/dp/0252078551


  26. - bored now - Thursday, Mar 9, 23 @ 2:50 pm:

    is the ad appearing on tv and any idea yet how much money is going into airing it?


  27. - Oswego Willy - Thursday, Mar 9, 23 @ 2:53 pm:

    ===probably wanted to establish in the juries’ mind.===

    The judge deemed to possibly be prejudicial.

    So is this case about transactions or lobbying that… sure, a strong argument can be made, either way… were unethical, “but hey, Simpson will tell us why it was illegal”

    Welp, those stories, they’re stories.

    Proof to the law is what these defendants are wanting to face, not prejudicial testimony about “well, in 1993, there was…”

    No. Try these defendants on the law.


  28. - Back to the Future - Thursday, Mar 9, 23 @ 2:55 pm:

    Will always think fondly and respectfully of Dick Simpson.
    His book “Winning Elections” should be required reading for anyone signing up for a leadership position in a campaign.
    While admittedly being a very long time fan, I completely agree with Judge Leinenweber’s ruling.
    Of course, I would throughly enjoy the old war stories (some of which are likely true), I just don’t think they would be helpful in reaching a verdict during this trial.


  29. - Steve - Thursday, Mar 9, 23 @ 3:00 pm:

    -The judge deemed to possibly be prejudicial.-

    I can’t disagree with you here because the law (as interpreted today ) isn’t what it was in 1998 or 1988 or even 2005.


  30. - Chili - Thursday, Mar 9, 23 @ 3:11 pm:

    Good spot for Johnson…. But how big is the buy?


  31. - Back to the Future - Thursday, Mar 9, 23 @ 3:12 pm:

    @Steve
    Steve is probably spot on with his comments on the Tom Gradel and Dick Simpson book on corruption.
    Tom was a very creative and talented fellow in politics that was also ready to hit the streets to knock on doors, do advance work or challenge conventional thinking.
    The book he and Dick Simpson wrote on corruption was very detailed, well researched and moved along. It just has no place in a federal trail.


  32. - Pundent - Thursday, Mar 9, 23 @ 3:34 pm:

    Nobody wants to hear Dick Simpson testify before the jury more than Dick Simpson. And maybe that’s why it won’t be happening.


  33. - Three Dimensional Checkers - Thursday, Mar 9, 23 @ 3:41 pm:

    To the ad, it is weird to replay Paul Vallas’s quote over and over again.


  34. - Pundent - Thursday, Mar 9, 23 @ 3:41 pm:

    On the Johnson ad, I agree it’s a good spot. But you somehow have to connect Vallas’ comments to what that could mean if he were to become mayor. I don’t know if voters can intuitively connect the dots on that issue. You can do that over the course of a campaign spanning months. Not so sure you can do it in a matter of weeks.


  35. - Telly - Thursday, Mar 9, 23 @ 3:46 pm:

    Not having Professor Simpson to answer softball questions might alter the feds’ case strategy a bit. I imagine they’ll need someone on the stand who can at least layout Madigan and McClain’s relationship. Might have to be a House member or former member, or a former high ranking staffer.

    I’m anxious to see the witness list.


  36. - 47th Ward - Thursday, Mar 9, 23 @ 3:47 pm:

    ===I don’t know if voters can intuitively connect the dots on that issue.===

    I’m leaning toward Vallas and I have to admit, even though this ad is terribly produced, it’s going to leave a mark. You may be right about the voters connecting the dots, but his words about opposing abortion are going to alarm a lot of voters who are hearing it for the first time.

    They might want to re-edit this thing tho, because it is really hard to watch.


  37. - Retired Lobster - Thursday, Mar 9, 23 @ 3:50 pm:

    Leinenweber is spot on with his comments about Simpson (who was always an outsider when he was in politics).
    Don’t forget, Harry Leinenweber was a politician in a former life…state legislator, for sure. And might have served with MJM and McClain.


  38. - Oswego Willy - Thursday, Mar 9, 23 @ 3:52 pm:

    ===And might have served with MJM and McClain.===

    You can use the Google Key to check…


  39. - Rich Miller - Thursday, Mar 9, 23 @ 3:58 pm:

    ===might have served with MJM and McClain. ===

    He did. Way back in the day. But on the other side of the aisle.


  40. - Amalia - Thursday, Mar 9, 23 @ 4:01 pm:

    Dear Chicago Voters: the DNC holds the next convention in Chicago, or you see your Mayor on TV from another location cause he’s the Mayor of Chicago. If if is Paul Vallas, you will hear from someone who is fundamentally opposed to abortion, and the national pundits will mention that even if Paul does not. Do you want that to represent your city, our state? not what Democrats need.


  41. - Bad Goya Vitch - Thursday, Mar 9, 23 @ 4:19 pm:

    ==One word: Zoning. Another word: Funding.==

    Since when do municipalities fund abortion? Medicaid is a state program. And zoning? Any multi-physician clinic can perform it.

    When NY Governor Mario Cuomo said that he’s “personally opposed” to abortion, no Democrat gainsaid him. He’s Catholic. They got it.


  42. - AlfondoGonz - Thursday, Mar 9, 23 @ 4:48 pm:

    I think there is an argument to be made that a guy like Paul Vallas, whom I’m not particularly enamored with, is exactly the type of Democrat Chicago needs to represent itself nationally.


  43. - cover - Thursday, Mar 9, 23 @ 4:50 pm:

    = Three Letter Acronyms (TLAs) can be tricky. It’s best not to assign meaning to them if you are unsure. Rich, I think you’ll agree that “LRB” means Legislative Reference Bureau and not the “Legislative Review Board”. =

    “LRB” could even mean Little River Band in a completely different context. If an acronym isn’t widely used (such as IRS), it’s best to look up what it actually stands for before hitting “print” or “send” - or worse, filing legislation - that gets it wrong.


  44. - Anon324 - Thursday, Mar 9, 23 @ 4:52 pm:

    ==When NY Governor Mario Cuomo said that he’s “personally opposed” to abortion, no Democrat gainsaid him. He’s Catholic. They got it.==

    It’s the same thing Biden, Pelosi, John Kerry and many other moderate Dems have said. I think this is a play towards “voters don’t do nuance,” but I think this issue is one where a not-insignificant number actually do. The campaign (and its more ardent supporters) seems to feel like it’s a weak point, though, so I get why they are hitting it.


  45. - Ducky LaMoore - Thursday, Mar 9, 23 @ 4:58 pm:

    “Paul Vallas, whom I’m not particularly enamored with, is exactly the type of Democrat Chicago needs to represent itself nationally.”

    A white boomer who spends and spends but doesn’t tax? Blagojevich, Ryan, Daley have all done that as governor or mayor. I’m not particularly fond of Brandon Johnson, but at least there would be an attempt to match spending and revenue.


  46. - Pundent - Thursday, Mar 9, 23 @ 5:07 pm:

    It’s entirely plausible for a candidate to be fundamentally opposed to abortion but also pro choice. Many Dems (and Republicans) have made that claim over the years. I can think of a lot of things that I’m personally opposed to but have no issues or concerns if others are engaged in. Ultimately if Vallas is elected Mayor he’ll be judged on how he leads the city.


  47. - Roadrager - Thursday, Mar 9, 23 @ 5:10 pm:

    ==When NY Governor Mario Cuomo said that he’s “personally opposed” to abortion, no Democrat gainsaid him. He’s Catholic. They got it.==

    And in what century and political context did that occur?


  48. - Anon 9:42 - Thursday, Mar 9, 23 @ 5:20 pm:

    =Many Dems (and Republicans) have made that claim over the years.=

    Michael Madigan, Richard M. Daley, Jim Thompson, Joe Biden might fit that description.


  49. - JoeMaddon - Thursday, Mar 9, 23 @ 6:17 pm:

    **Many Dems (and Republicans) have made that claim over the years.**

    Hmmm… and what is different now? Anything happen in the last 12 months?


  50. - Amalia - Thursday, Mar 9, 23 @ 9:58 pm:

    Tribune piece up now looks at Vallas’ Facebook action. it’s not
    wonderful. listen to what I say not what I have done, I mean I did not do that……..how can people buy that?


  51. - Rich Miller - Friday, Mar 10, 23 @ 6:41 am:

    ===but I think this issue is one where a not-insignificant number actually do===

    Yeah? Ask former Rep. Mike Zalewski about that hypothesis of yours.


Sorry, comments for this post are now closed.


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