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Caption contest!

Wednesday, Nov 7, 2012 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Some friends of mine are at the Field Museum today and suggested this pic for a post…

Seems appropriate for the internal GOP bloodletting that’s almost surely headed our way.

  63 Comments      


Fun with numbers

Wednesday, Nov 7, 2012 - Posted by Rich Miller

* From 12:45 this morning…

Dr. David Gill’s campaign manager Sherry Greenberg issued the following statement on the current status of the congressional race in Illinois 13th District:

“Rodney Davis jumped the gun and gave a premature victory speech in Taylorville less than an hour ago. In a campaign marred by lies and distortions, Mr. Davis continued his strategy of misleading the voters.

From what we now know from our discussions with county clerks’ offices, there are a significant number of ballots still outstanding in Macon County. We believe we need to keep counting ballots.

Dr. Gill intends to speak to supporters when the results from these remaining 9 precincts have been reported by election officials. The voters of the 13th Congressional District deserve nothing less. “

* From about 11:30 this morning…

IL 13 Outcome Still Uncertain
Central Illinois Congressional Race Is One of the Closest in the Nation

Gill for Congress campaign manager Sherry Greenberg issued the following statement this morning after Macon County tallies for all precincts were reported by the County Clerk’s office.

“The results from Macon County prove this is one of the tightest congressional races in the nation. Rodney Davis currently leads David Gill by less than half a percentage point districtwide. Dr. Gill is getting some much-needed rest and spending time with his family today while we explore all the legal options available to the campaign to ensure there was a full and fair count of every ballot cast. Today, we will be looking at the impact of provisional ballots on the totals and working to ensure that no one who tried to vote in this election was left out.”

The AP shows Davis leading Gill by 1,287 votes.

* Now, let’s go back a few months, to the day after the March, 2012 primary

Though Bloomington physician David Gill has claimed victory in the Democratic 13th Congressional District primary, opponent Matt Goetten said he is waiting for all the absentee votes to be counted.

Unofficial totals have Gill with 15,507 votes to Goetten’s 15,364 votes.

Macoupin County made up the last 61 precincts to come in after 4 a.m. Wednesday. Goetten, who is Greene County state’s attorney, won the county handily with 2,144 votes to Gill’s 1,262.

It apparently wasn’t enough to overcome Gill’s margin, but absentee ballots mailed on time can be counted up to 14 days after the election.

The victor will face U.S. Rep. Tim Johnson, an Urbana Republican, who easily won the Republican primary Tuesday.

Gill said Wednesday morning that he wasn’t sure how many absentee ballots were out there. “In talking with a couple of people who have been through this stuff before; 143 (votes) is a lot to make up,” he said. [Emphasis added]

So, 143 votes is “a lot to make up,” but 1,287 votes isn’t?

It’s probably time to concede.

  24 Comments      


Pension amendment fails

Wednesday, Nov 7, 2012 - Posted by Rich Miller

* For a constitutional amendment to succeed in Illinois, it has to get at least 60 percent of the votes or support from 50 percent of all the people who vote. About 5 million people voted in Illinois, so the proposed pension reform amendment failed on both fronts

Yes 2,213,269 votes 55.9%
No 1,748,601 votes 44.1%
92% of precincts reporting

The amendment would’ve required a three-fifths super-majority in both chambers of the General Assembly before a pension increase could be approved.

* More

Some voters seemed confused by the wording of the ballot measure Tuesday, uncertain whether a “yes” vote represented support for public employees or support for fiscal restraint.

But other voters said they felt well informed on the issue.

In Springfield, Lynn McClanahan, 42, a retail grocery manager, said she voted yes because she doesn’t believe public workers should be entitled to more benefits than other workers.

“We all work hard and we should all share the burden together,” McClanahan said.

But 67-year-old John Taylor of Chicago voted against the amendment because his wife is a retired teacher. He said he doesn’t understand why a “supermajority” should be needed to increase benefits.

* This story is from October 30th. I didn’t see any of these ads. Did you?

State and national labor unions are cranking up the fundraising in an attempt to kill a proposed change to the Illinois Constitution.

Members of the We Are One coalition, originally formed to stop legislative efforts to overhaul the state’s massively underfunded employee retirement systems, created a special campaign committee last week and raised more than $500,000 in just a matter of days.

The money is fueling an advertising campaign aimed at convincing Illinoisans to vote “no” on the constitutional amendment question that leads off the Nov. 6 ballot.

  23 Comments      


Question of the day

Wednesday, Nov 7, 2012 - Posted by Rich Miller

* From your own perspective, which of yesterday’s electoral outcomes was the biggest surprise? Explain, please.

  52 Comments      


The stain on the Democrats’ big night

Wednesday, Nov 7, 2012 - Posted by Rich Miller

* The Democrats won more races yesterday than they thought they would, many by a larger amount than they ever dreamed possible. Yet, there was this

Former state Democratic Rep. Derrick Smith, booted from his House seat in August because of a federal bribery charge, won back his post with 62 percent of the vote over a candidate the Democrats wanted to replace him.

The Illinois Constitution precludes kicking Smith out more than once for the same offense.

Smith has pleaded not guilty to an allegation that he accepted a $7,000 bribe in exchange for political support in favor of a grant application. Although expelled from the House, he refused to leave the ballot and easily defeated the Democrats’ pick, 10th District Unity candidate Lance Tyson, who has worked for former Chicago Mayor Richard Daley and former Cook County Board President Todd Stroger.

“No one’s really talking about it, and they’re just saying, ‘You’re innocent until proven guilty,’” Smith said during a visit to a west-side Chicago polling place. “I’ve been talking to my lawyer continually to try to expedite it so I can clear my name.”

The Illinois Constitution prohibits the House from kicking Smith out again for the same reason. So, they can either come up with another reason or just let him sit there until he’s either convicted or acquitted.

And then there’s Secretary of State Jesse White, who had Smith appointed to the House and then failed to implement any sort of early plan to defeat Smith at the polls. The Lance Tyson campaign simply didn’t get off the ground early enough. Maybe it would’ve never worked. It’s very possible, even probable, that Tyson was doomed from the start. But the slapdash, late-entry nature of his campaign didn’t do him any favors. White is a ward guy. He should’ve known that this would take time to put together.

And there’s Speaker Madigan, who didn’t do much, if anything, to help Tyson.

* The biggest culprit here is Smith, of course. Nobody else can be blamed for his arrest and indictment for allegedly accepting a cash bribe. White didn’t know that Smith would go on the take. Neither did Madigan.

Smith becomes the second House member in a century to be kicked out of the chamber, only to win the seat back in an election. When Rod Blagojevich was impeached and then convicted and removed, the Constitution forbade him from ever running again for state office. I’d hate to change a Constitution just because of one bad guy, and the last person to reclaim his seat was booted for purely political reasons, so there’s that.

So, I guess I’m wondering what your thoughts are today.

  26 Comments      


It ain’t just the map and it ain’t just Obama

Wednesday, Nov 7, 2012 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Tribune editorial board

Two years ago, when voters nationwide delivered a stinging rebuke to a Democratic president and his party, the state of Illinois was a deep blue outlier: Not even the lingering scent of the Rod Blagojevich scandal could cost Democrats the governorship or either chamber in the General Assembly.

That left House Speaker Michael Madigan and Senate President John Cullerton to parlay their clout into new district maps intended to solidify their majorities.

* Sun-Times

Tuesday’s election results represented what one GOP strategist late Tuesday soberly called “a bloodbath for Illinois Republicans” at the Statehouse.

With the defeat of four House Republican incumbents and a net gain of seven seats, House Speaker Michael Madigan (D-Chicago) secured a 71-47 veto-proof majority in the Illinois House.

The results were similar — and more historic — in the Senate for Senate President John Cullerton (D-Chicago), who picked up a net gain of five seats, giving him a 40-19 veto-proof majority.

Those stunning gains also figure to weaken Democratic Gov. Pat Quinn, who no longer will have the capability of singlehandedly blocking legislation with his veto pen.

“The map the Democrats drew performed as they designed,” said Patty Schuh, a spokeswoman for Senate Minority Leader Christine Radogno (R-Lemont).

The effect of the Democratic-friendly legislative maps coupled with President Barack Obama’s huge numbers mean DuPage County will be represented by a Democrat in the state Senate for the first time in Illinois history.

As I told subscribers this morning, it wasn’t just the map.

I mean, c’mon, Bill Foster defeated Judy Biggert by 15 points. She lost DuPage County. Mitt Romney lost DuPage County. Skip Saviano lost DuPage County. Tammy Duckworth won DuPage.

This goes well beyond the map. Bobby Schilling was beaten by almost 7 points. Brad Schneider edged by Bob Dold. And David Gill hasn’t yet conceded because the race is still pretty close.

The map definitely put those districts into play. But Schilling did just about everything right for the past two years. Dold fit his district’s profile. Gill was considered unelectable just a few months ago.

And it wasn’t all about Obama, either. Yes, he most certainly helped in these districts, particularly with Cheri Bustos. But Obama received a lower percentage this time than he’s ever received running statewide.

On top of the map, on top of Obama, there’s a real Republican brand problem here this year. The party constantly foams at the mouth and eagerly parrots the Tribune’s more inane goofiness, but doesn’t offer solutions. Their leaders stand by in mute silence while high-profile candidates like Joe Walsh spew utter nonsense about women. And they continually nominate unelectable and very unattractive candidates in their primaries.

But, even then, even with all that, this is still an historic and incredibly unusual across-the-board drubbing.

What do you think happened?

  109 Comments      


No class

Wednesday, Nov 7, 2012 - Posted by Rich Miller

* The last time anybody heard from Jason Plummer was late last night

As of 11:20 p.m. Plummer had not conceded the race, but the Associated Press called Enyart the winner.

Plummer told his crowd of supporters about 10:20 p.m. that he was down four points and about 27 of the precincts still unaccounted for.

I checked with the Enyart campaign this morning. Plummer still hasn’t conceded.

Dude, you lost by 9 points. Be a man, already. Sheesh.

  55 Comments      


Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today’s edition of Capitol Fax

Wednesday, Nov 7, 2012 - Posted by Rich Miller

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The day after

Wednesday, Nov 7, 2012 - Posted by Rich Miller

* I’m running late this morning, so discuss yesterday’s results amongst yourselves.

  87 Comments      


*** LIVE *** STATE LEGISLATIVE ELECTION RESULTS, NEWS AND DISCUSSION THREAD

Tuesday, Nov 6, 2012 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Blackberry users click here. Everybody else can sit back and comment…

  49 Comments      


*** LIVE *** CONGRESSIONAL ELECTION RESULTS, NEWS AND DISCUSSION THREAD

Tuesday, Nov 6, 2012 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Blackberry users click here, everybody else can just watch and discuss…

  34 Comments      


***LIVE *** Google, Capitol Fax Election Night Party

Tuesday, Nov 6, 2012 - Posted by Rich Miller

* This NBC5 feed goes live at 6:30 pm

  16 Comments      


Afternoon voting reports

Tuesday, Nov 6, 2012 - Posted by Rich Miller

* What’s going on?

  49 Comments      


Question of the day

Tuesday, Nov 6, 2012 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Your final election predictions, please.

  69 Comments      


NY Mag takes a look at J3

Tuesday, Nov 6, 2012 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Perhaps the most interesting, and new, revelations in a NY Magazine piece about Congressman Jesse Jackson, Jr

Jesse Jr. had in fact been struggling for some time. He had long suffered occasional but violent mood swings—laughing one moment, sobbing the next—so much so that nearly a decade ago members of his staff half-jokingly diagnosed their boss as bipolar. His condition worsened dramatically after the disappointment of not getting the Senate seat and the stress of the subsequent investigation and revelation of his adultery. The congressman who prided himself on never missing a vote became an absentee legislator. “He did absolutely nothing,” says former Illinois congresswoman Debbie Halvorson, who served in the House with Jackson in 2009 and 2010.

Earlier this year, however, Jackson was reenergized. Halvorson, who’d lost her reelection bid in 2010, ran against Jackson in the Democratic primary for his redrawn district—the stiffest electoral test he had faced since 1995. Jackson rose to the challenge, pouring himself into the campaign and, in March, he thumped Halvorson by taking more than 70 percent of the vote.

But soon after his victory, he plunged into a deep funk. This may have been brought about by the fact that the FBI had opened an investigation into whether he’d used campaign money to decorate his home. But it seems just as likely that Jackson, having worked so hard to hold onto his seat, now had to confront the crushing reality that all of his effort had merely resulted in his remaining in the same place.

According to a friend, Jackson began “drinking heavily, self-medicating, and going days without sleep. He was out of control. He was on a path that was self-destructive. Something had to change.” Indeed, although Sandi portrayed her husband’s hospitalization that night in June as a spur-of-the-moment decision, others close to Jackson suspect it was the result of a planned intervention—something the congressman’s friends and family had been discussing for weeks.

Go read the whole thing.

  19 Comments      


*** LIVE *** ELECTION DAY COVERAGE

Tuesday, Nov 6, 2012 - Posted by Rich Miller

* This is the first of several ScribbleLive posts I’ll be doing today. Blackberry users click here. Everybody else can just follow along…

…Adding… NBC5 is an election night partner, so here is its Storify thingy…

  4 Comments      


Kirk does robocall with Plummer, Clinton does one for Enyart

Tuesday, Nov 6, 2012 - Posted by Rich Miller

* US Sen. Mark Kirk recorded a robocall with Jason Plummer. Kirk emphasizes that Plummer is a “fellow Naval Reserve” officer. Listen

* And a very hoarse former President Bill Clinton did one for Bill Enyart in the race…

Click to listen

* Related…

* Sen. Mark Kirk, recovering from stroke, records campaign robocall

* Bill Clinton to call 12th U.S. House District voters for Enyart, the Democratic nominee

* Race To Succeed Costello’s Seat A Toss Up

* Southern Illinois candidates make last minute push

  10 Comments      


Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Supplement to today’s edition and a campaign roundup

Tuesday, Nov 6, 2012 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today’s edition of Capitol Fax

Tuesday, Nov 6, 2012 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Morning polling place updates

Tuesday, Nov 6, 2012 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Tell us what you’re seeing out there this morning. Long lines? Any problems? Weather reports, etc. are also appreciated. Thanks!

  58 Comments      


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* 'The Chosen One' tones himself down
* Open thread
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* Selected press releases (Live updates)
* Live coverage
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