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*** UPDATED x1 - Report posted *** Last time I checked, $8 billion was higher than $7 billion

Thursday, Jul 14, 2016 - Posted by Rich Miller

* From the governor’s office talking points memo sent to Republican legislators today touting Gov. Rauner’s accomplishments

Defeated the Democrat supermajority FY 2017 spending plan that would have raised personal income tax rates to more than 5.5% - The House Democrats’ $40 billion spending plan for FY 2017 was more than $7 billion out of balance and would have required crushing tax increases to pay for all of its promises.

* AP

The state of Illinois’ spending will outstrip what it brings in by nearly $8 billion this year, according to a government analysis obtained Thursday by The Associated Press.

The legislative Commission on Government Forecasting and Accountability reviewed the budget deal that lawmakers and Gov. Bruce Rauner approved in June on the brink of the new fiscal year, which began this month, at the behest of Republican Rep. David McSweeney.

The report, provided to AP in advance of general release, found that the state will spend $39.6 billion — including $3 billion in obligations that were not addressed in the six-month stop-gap budget agreed to by Democrats who control the Legislature and Rauner — but only bring in $31.8 billion.

So, what are the tax hike consequences of Rauner’s own proposal? If the rate would’ve been “more than 5.5%” under the Dems’ $7 billion deficit, what are the “crushing tax increases” required for an $8 billion hole?

*** UPDATE ***  Click here to read the COGFA report.

  43 Comments      


Republicans get their talking points

Thursday, Jul 14, 2016 - Posted by Rich Miller

* This memo went out to House and Senate Republicans today

From: Tim Nuding, Director, Governor’s Office of Management and Budget
Mitch Holzrichter, Deputy Chief of Staff for Legislative Affairs

To: Republican Members of the House of Representatives and Senate

Date: July 14, 2016

Fiscal Year 2016 in Review – Holding Strong for Taxpayers

Illinois state government has been overspending and overpromising for years. Rather than confront the State’s deteriorating fiscal condition, prior governors and General Assemblies, controlled by Democrat supermajorities, just kicked the can farther down the road. They bandaged over our fiscal problems with unbalanced budgets, borrowed funds, and tax increases, resulting in record backlogs of unpaid bills and more than $100 billion in unfunded pension liabilities.

But during the last fiscal year, Governor Rauner and Republicans in the legislature changed the dynamic in Springfield by placing a renewed emphasis on the taxpayer as a key stakeholder in state government. From July 1, 2015 to June 30, 2016, Governor Rauner and Republicans in the legislature:

Click here to read the rest and tell us what you think.

  43 Comments      


Question of the day

Thursday, Jul 14, 2016 - Posted by Rich Miller

* NBC 5

Former Illinois Gov. Rod Blagojevich formed a band called the Jailhouse Rockers while serving time at a federal penitentiary in Colorado, according to a sentencing memorandum filed by the disgraced governor’s legal team late Monday night.

According to the memo, Blagojevich formed the band with a fellow inmate, described as “accomplished musician” “Ernie B.” An avowed Elvis fan, Blagojevich paid homage to the king of rock ‘n’ roll by naming his band after one of the famed rocker’s biggest hits.

* The Question: If Gov. Rauner was in a band, what would its name be? Bonus question: Who’d be in it with him?

  118 Comments      


Munger: Legislators shouldn’t expect their May paychecks until August or September

Thursday, Jul 14, 2016 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Comptroller Leslie Munger was asked today when legislators would be paid next. As you know, she’s put those paychecks into the pile of past due bills with everything else. Legislators received their April checks on July 6th. Legislators are paid once a month.

Munger said the May paychecks probably wouldn’t go out until late August or early September. The June checks, she said, “could be four to five months behind.”

Whew.

* Raw audio of the presser…

  27 Comments      


*** UPDATED x3 - DPI attacks - Kirk clarifies - Kirk was rooting for Pence *** Rauner again dodges Trump questions

Thursday, Jul 14, 2016 - Posted by Rich Miller

* The governor was asked by WMAQ reporter Mary Ann Ahern today about his opinion of neighboring Indiana Gov. Mike Pence, who has reportedly been chosen as Donald Trump’s running mate. He took a pass. Ahern asked him which presidential candidate he’d be voting for and he twice took a pass, saying he wouldn’t be commenting on the race any more. She also asked him a question he also refused to answer the other day. What does he plan to do next week during the Republican National Convention?…

“Ah, next week, I will be, ah, traveling the state of Illinois meeting with, ah [clicks his tongue], community leaders, business leaders and some legislators and signing some of the most important legislation that got passed this spring.”

He didn’t drop his “g’s” for whatever reason.

* Raw audio…

*** UPDATE 1 ***   Sen. Kirk wasn’t nearly as reticent about Gov. Pence when asked yesterday

“I hope he gets the nod,” said Illinois Senator Mark Kirk, a former congressman. “I love Mike. He was the leader of the conservatives and I was the leader of the moderates. And we had a mutual admiration society.” (Kirk, who’s up for reelection, said “we’ll see” when asked if he’d reconsider backing Trump if Pence is chosen, but his spokeswoman later called to say he would not back Trump no matter who the running mate is.)

Oops.

*** UPDATE 2 *** From the Kirk campaign…

Here is a statement you can attribute to Senator Kirk:

    I like and respect Mike Pence but I will not be supporting Donald Trump.

    He does not have the temperament to serve as our Commander in Chief.

*** UPDATE 3 *** DPI…

“It looks like Republican Mark Kirk is getting his wish and extreme social conservative Mike Pence will be ignorant buffoon Donald Trump’s running mate. Kirk even opened the door to supporting Trump again if Trump were to pick his friend Pence. While Kirk has gone to great lengths to try and disavow his Republican roots it’s worth noting his enthusiasm for Pence, a staunch conservative with a history of attacking women’s reproductive rights and who signed one of the country’s most discriminatory anti-LGBTQ bills into law. Likewise, when they served together in Congress, Kirk and Pence both opposed the rescue of the American auto industry, supported several trade deals that have shipped American jobs overseas, and supported the Ryan budget, which would raise taxes on the average middle-class family by $2,000 and turn Medicare into a voucher system in order to pay for tax cuts for the wealthy. Kirk’s enthusiasm for Pence is all anyone needs to know about him: no matter how much he tries to change his stripes in an election year, he’s a typical Republican, through and through,” said Democratic Party of Illinois spokesperson Sean Savett

Um, weren’t some of those trade deals done by a Democratic administration? Just wondering…

  63 Comments      


Fun with numbers

Thursday, Jul 14, 2016 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Tribune..

The group backing the proposed state constitutional amendment to reduce the influence of politics in legislative mapmaking says a majority of its petition signers were Democrats.

Dave Mellet, the campaign manager for the Independent Maps group, said it commissioned a demographic analysis of the 20,518-signature sample that the State Board of Elections used to verify that the proposal qualified for the fall ballot.

That sample is a random 5 percent of the more than 563,000 people who signed petitions to put the proposal on the ballot.

Mellet said the petition sample found 56 percent of signers qualified as likely Democrats, 23 percent as likely Republicans, and 23 percent as likely independent voters based on primary voting history.

* From the Independent Maps press release…

“Illinois is a Democratic state, so it’s not surprising that Democrats would make up the largest group of petition signers,” he said. “However, these numbers are much larger than expected and debunk the narrative pushed by opponents of redistricting reform that Democratic voters do not support this amendment.” 

* Illinois Republican Party Spokesman Steven Yaffe…

“The Independent Maps movement is proof that Mike Madigan and the politicians who support him don’t care about good government reform even when it has bipartisan support from voters. Democrats were key to making sure the Independent Map Amendment received enough signatures to make the November ballot, but all Madigan wants is to protect his grip on power.”

Look, right off the bat let me just say there is zero doubt that remap reform polls very well among all demographics, including partisanship. Heck, I support remap reform myself and have for many years, although I have my own oft-stated reservations about this particular proposal.

* But there’s something missing here. What was the percentage of petition signatures gathered in Chicago? After all, the city’s high density makes it a much easier place to gather petitions.

From the Independent Maps folks…

About 34 percent of the signatures were provided by registered voters in Chicago.

5,241,179 votes were cast in Illinois for the top four presidential candidates. 1,015,634 votes were cast for president in Chicago that year - or about 19 percent. So the overall petition submission is heavily skewed to Chicago, which Obama won with 84 percent of the vote.

* Even so, let’s be very clear again, this doesn’t mean Democrats don’t back the ballot initiative. It’s obviously popular in the city if that many petitions were signed there. But are the Democratic numbers really “much larger than expected” considering where so many of them were gathered?

I’d say no.

  11 Comments      


Rauner says Mautino probe should be allowed to “play itself out”

Thursday, Jul 14, 2016 - Posted by Rich Miller

* I’m out of sync with the strong majority of people who took our poll yesterday, but I happen to agree with the governor on this one

House Republicans called for the removal of Auditor General Frank Mautino on Wednesday amid a federal probe of his campaign spending, while Republican Gov. Bruce Rauner declined to weigh in, saying the investigation should “play itself out.”

Mautino, a Democrat, is a former member of the Illinois House whose appointment late last year to the 10-year term as the state’s fiscal watchdog won overwhelming support from Republican and Democratic lawmakers. […]

Asked about the calls from his fellow Republicans to fire Mautino, Rauner said he was “troubled” by what he’d heard about the case but was “focused on other things.”

“There’s an investigation, there’s a process going on,” Rauner said. “It should just play itself out.”

Agreed. Mautino has a couple of weeks to get his state campaign filings in order and we’ll know a lot more then. We can all wait two weeks.

  47 Comments      


Enabling propaganda and possibly violence

Thursday, Jul 14, 2016 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Chicago Reader

The Reader has obtained video footage of Saturday’s Taste of Chicago protest that calls into question the official police version of events that led to the arrest of Ja’Mal Green, a 20-year-old activist accused of attacking an officer.

Green was charged with five felonies—two counts of aggravated battery of an officer, two counts of aggravated battery in a public place, and attempting to disarm an officer—and two misdemeanor counts of resisting or obstructing an officer, according to CPD News Affairs.

As was previously reported by DNAInfo, police said that Green had two separate altercations with police Saturday evening, including one at approximately 6 PM. During a hearing Monday, assistant state’s attorney Erin Antonietti alleged that during this incident, Green swung his arms and punched police commander George Devereaux in his left shoulder. Antonetti cited a Tribune photo as evidence of the attack.

However, newly obtained video appears to show Devereaux initiating contact with Green, pulling him off a barrier, then tussling with him after he lands, with protesters attempting to separate the two.

If you actually watch the video, you’ll see that Commander Devereaux ordered Mr. Green several times to get off a metal barricade that Green was standing on amidst a sea of loudly chanting protesters. When Green refused, Devereaux yanked Green’s pant leg enough that Green had to jump off the barricade. Then Green pushed at Devereaux hard and threw a punch, although it appears as though Green didn’t land that punch, but it’s somewhat difficult to tell.

Was Green over-charged? The video itself doesn’t have evidence to back all those claims. But at the very least, the video which supposedly exonerates Green does appear to show him pushing a cop during a highly volatile situation.

* Watch it for yourself, starting at about the 30-second mark if you don’t want to sit through it all

* So, why is this even a thing? Because some activists are accusing a Tribune reporter of essentially shilling for the cops

Yesterday afternoon, a lawyer who wishes to remain unidentified, warned Chicago’s activist community about Peter Nickeas, a reporter for the Chicago Tribune. The lawyer stated that he noticed Nickeas and his tweets about Malcolm London during the Laquan McDonald protests back in November 2015. That night, Malcolm London was arrested, and Nickeas’ tweets featured Tribune photos that not only showed a biased angle, but clearly an angle that aids CPD in their further criminalization of young, Black people and utilizes the “hyper-aggressive” stereotype of Black people for clicks. Last week, the same lawyer witnessed similar tweets and coverage from Peter Nickeas during the Taste of Chicago shutdown action, and then created a meme to go along with his warning to us. Tweets from Nickeas supported the narrative that Green was hitting Cmdr. George Devereaux, whereas video now surfaced showing that Green was actually being pulled down from a barricade, courtesy of the Chicago Reader.

* Some have even all but accused the Tribune reporter of being a cop informant. But at least one of his detractors was forced to back off on Twitter when confronted with actual, you know, evidence by another person


* This is a far more dangerous version of the old “working the referees” game, where you yell at reporters/columnists/etc. loud enough to force them to back off their tougher calls.

What we have here is a bunch of propagandists criticizing journalists for not being propagandists for their own side. Is there media bias? Heck yes there is. Do reporters make mistakes? Sure they do. But retweeting a photo does not automatically make one a police informant or shill.

And possibly putting that reporter into harm’s way with these bizarre conspiracy theories is completely unforgivable.

…Adding… Take a look at the very end of that video. A commenter rightly points this out…

The defendant is walking up behind the police officer when [the video] conveniently ends

Yep.

* Related…

* How technology disrupted the truth - Social media has swallowed the news – threatening the funding of public-interest reporting and ushering in an era when everyone has their own facts. But the consequences go far beyond journalism

* Live Streaming Breaks Through, and Cable News Has Much to Fear

  68 Comments      


Rate Duckworth’s new ad

Thursday, Jul 14, 2016 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Press release…

Congresswoman and Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate Tammy Duckworth’s campaign today released a new ad, entitled “Flat Out.” The ad features Illinois Veterans discussing Duckworth’s commitment to her fellow Veterans, while also responding to Republican Mark Kirk’s latest false attack on Duckworth’s record on Veterans’ issues. The ad, which begins airing this morning at significant levels on Chicago broadcast and cable, can be viewed HERE.

“After serving 23 years in the Army National Guard and Army Reserve, Tammy has made fighting for her fellow Veterans her life’s work. She has real accomplishments to show for it, including programs to help Veterans find jobs as well as to address homelessness among Veterans and suicide,” campaign spokesman Matt McGrath said. “Republican Mark Kirk, on the other hand, was caught repeatedly lying about and embellishing his military record, and with his campaign in desperate straits, he’s now lying about Tammy Duckworth. Illinois Veterans aren’t fooled by Kirk’s desperate lies, and Illinois voters won’t be, either.”

* The ad

* Script…

Isiah Bradford: She chooses to get her health care at the VA, like us.

Wally Kubicki Jr.: She knows the VA and gets how important it is to us. Mark Kirk flat out lied repeatedly about his own military service. Now he has the gall to attack Tammy Duckworth on the VA?

Dan Devine: Kirk told one lie after another after another.

VO: Tammy Duckworth made fighting for Veterans her life’s work, and she’ll never stop.

Bradford: Tammy Duckworth fought like hell for us.

TD VO: I’m Tammy Duckworth and I approve this message

* Tribune

Preliminary reports show Duckworth spending more than $160,000 alone on ABC-7 in the next two weeks along with at least $60,000 in cable TV for the next week. Duckworth’s campaign says it’s spending upwards of $600,000 in total.

The ad by Duckworth, a two-term congresswoman from Hoffman Estates, comes as Kirk pumped another $200,000 into an already-running spot criticizing the Democrat for settling an alleged workplace discrimination lawsuit for $26,000. Kirk campaign spending includes nearly $80,000 on ABC-7, $45,650 on CBS-2 and more than $56,000 on Chicago cable TV.

Cable buy details are here.

…Adding… Response…

Statement from Kirk For Senate campaign manager Kevin Artl:

    “The simple truth is that throughout Duckworth’s political career, she has placed politics above veterans. When Rod Blagojevich was under investigation for denying jobs to veterans, she endorsed and defended him. When VA whistleblowers came to her to address life-threatening issues for veterans, she ignored them and said ‘that’s just the way it is’ at the VA. At each opportunity during her long political career, Duckworth has defended the bureaucracy, ignored whistleblowers and fostered mismanagement instead of fighting for reform at the VA to protect veterans across the nation.”

  38 Comments      


A big reason why our workers’ comp costs are so high in comparison

Thursday, Jul 14, 2016 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Click here to compare Illinois workers’ comp benefit payouts for lost limbs and other appendages to other states. We’re in the top five or six (in most cases, easily so) in just about every single category.

* Related…

* How Much Is Your Arm Worth? Depends On Where You Work - Each state determines its own workers’ compensation benefits, which means workers in neighboring states can end up with dramatically different compensation for identical injuries.

* Five Things I Learned Making a Chart Out of Body Parts - The story behind a graphic on insurance that turned into an unlikely viral hit.

  55 Comments      


*** UPDATED x2 - Legislators to the back of the line - State to spend $2.5 billion more than it brings in *** State payment delays could reach six months, $10 billion backlog by December

Thursday, Jul 14, 2016 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Comptroller Leslie Munger is expected to announce today that the state’s bill payment delays will reach six months by the end of this December. Her office has reportedly projected that it’ll still be paying off bills incurred in Fiscal Year 2016 come December, which is midway through Fiscal Year 2017.

Munger will say, however, that she will be working with social service groups and others to make sure those who are struggling most are helped as quickly as she can.

Munger will also announce a $10 billion bill payment backlog projection for December.

*** UPDATE 1 ***  From the comptroller’s press conference…


*** UPDATE 2 *** Full press release…

Comptroller Leslie Geissler Munger on Thursday said the state’s bill backlog will grow throughout the fall and Illinois will enter the New Year with approximately $10 billion in unpaid invoices, resulting in payment delays of at least six months.

The announcement follows last month’s passage of a stopgap budget, which authorized payments that were being delayed due to the state’s year-long budget impasse.

“While the stopgap is a positive step forward, it does not address our larger fiscal challenges. When we look at the numbers we are facing, the realities are sobering,” said Munger, noting the state is on pace to spend $2.5 billion more than it takes in the next six months. “Those severe cash shortages mean my office will continue to perform triage to help those most in need and protect our most critical services.”

While payments as a rule will continue to be treated on a first-in, first-out basis, priority will be given to:

    Nonprofits not covered by court orders or consent decrees that continued to provide services without an FY16 budget, including autism services, programs for the homeless, mental health services and others.
    Business owners who provided goods and services to the state in good faith last year without payment.
    Colleges, universities, and MAP Grant students who faced significant cuts and delays this past year.

In addition, Munger will continue her policy of treating compensation for state elected officials like all other payments. As a result, lawmakers and state constitutional office holders - including Munger - will continue to stand in line for payments with human service providers, small business owners, hospitals, schools and others.

“We’re looking at $10 billion in unpaid bills and vendors waiting 6 months or more to be paid. How can I in good conscience tell hospitals, schools, small businesses, nonprofits and others to get in line - and then walk politicians to the front?” Munger said. “It remains a matter of fundamental fairness. We are all in this together and we all should wait in line.”

  75 Comments      


Former state GOP chairman: Trump can’t win, Hillary better alternative

Wednesday, Jul 13, 2016 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Illinois Review

Former Illinois Republican Party Chairman Pat Brady, told Bill Cameron on “Connected to Chicago” that Donald Trump “cannot win the election.” Brady, who is a Kasich delegate to the Republican National Convention, said there’s still an outside chance that Trump will not receive the nomination. Brady told Cameron that Trump’s solutions are not Republican solutions and that Trump’s lack of organization ensures he will lose.

Brady said neither Abe Lincoln or Ronald Reagan would attend this year’s convention because of Trump, and that he’s not surprised that many members of the Illinois GOP Congressional Delegation aren’t attending - although they usually don’t. However, Brady believes this absence of delegates may be a way to open the convention and nominate someone other than Trump.

Regarding the presumptive Democrat Party nominee, Brady told Cameron that FBI Director James Comey is “one of the most highly respected law enforcement people in the country” and that he had “no quarrel with his decision not to bring forward” an indictment of Clinton.

Brady admitted that no matter what happens, he’s “certainly not voting for Donald Trump” in November; and thinks that four years of Hillary Clinton might be good in that it will allow the Republicans to get the Senate back in 2018, which he presumes the Republicans will lose this year. Brady said he “cannot stomach the idea of Donald Trump being in the White House for a minute,” and that Hillary Clinton is a better alternative.

Discuss.

…Adding… From the ILGOP…

ICYMI: GOP Convention Providing Around the Clock Satellite Interview Opportunities for Regional Television Affiliates

CLEVELAND, Ohio – The 2016 Republican National Convention will provide regional television affiliates with around-the-clock access to satellite interviews with delegates, elected officials, and Convention surrogates live or live-to-tape during the week of the Convention (July 18-21, 2016).

GOP-TV is a television production run jointly by the Republican National Convention and the Republican National Committee to provide surrogate interviews to local TV affiliates, live or live-to-tape, via satellite. It will be provided free-of-charge to television stations. We will have a large Regional Press operation with specific staffers working with your television station to book interviews.

There will be multiple locations around the Convention complex to maximize local affiliates’ access to interviews. The studios will be available Monday, July 18th through Thursday, July 21st, from 6 am – 12 am each day for live or live-to-tape interviews.

In addition to facilitating remote interviews via satellite, the GOP-TV studios and satellite feed will regularly provide behind-the-scenes original raw content for television stations’ to utilize.

I’m not a convention type person and have only been to one national convention (when it was in Chicago), but from that experience I’m figuring that 11:59 pm interviews with delegates could be, um, interesting.

  58 Comments      


Lawsuit: Some social service groups still won’t get paid for work already performed

Wednesday, Jul 13, 2016 - Posted by Rich Miller

* AP

Social service providers working without pay because of Illinois’ budget troubles say they still haven’t been compensated after lawmakers approved a short-term spending plan. The providers say they will push ahead with a lawsuit to force funding.

The Pay Now Illinois coalition is suing Gov. Bruce Rauner and state agencies because of fallout from the budget impasse. Attorneys for the coalition and Attorney General Lisa Madigan’s office appeared in court Wednesday. Both sides want time to revise court documents to reflect budget developments.

* From the plaintiff’s filing

1. Since the filing of Plaintiffs’ Second Amended Complaint, the General Assembly passed, and Defendant Rauner signed into law Senate Bill 2047—a “stop-gap” budget bill—on June 30th.

2. This budget still fails to provide sufficient funding to fully compensate the plaintiffs for the services they were contracted to perform in fiscal year 2016.

3. Nonetheless, it is a complicated bill that changes the posture of the case sufficiently to warrant an amendment to the complaint. […]

6. Because this “stop-gap” budget does not adequately address the irreparable injury faced by the plaintiffs, and especially in light of the uncertainty regarding how it will be administered, plaintiffs still plan to seek preliminary relief.

7. There are instances in which no money has been appropriated for contracts in fiscal year 2016, and in many cases plaintiffs do not know when or if they will be paid under these contracts at all. As set forth in plaintiffs’ motion for preliminary injunction, many providers have cancelled or are about to cancel programs because there is no money left to pay the staff.

8. However, as the budget does provide appropriations to pay for at least some of the services performed under some of the contracts at issue, plaintiffs seek to file an amended motion for preliminary injunction in order to properly advise the Court of the facts justifying that relief.

Emphasis added for obvious reasons.

Oy.

Some new plaintiffs were added as well. Click here to see the list.

  18 Comments      


Another big pension budget hit coming

Wednesday, Jul 13, 2016 - Posted by Rich Miller

* The State Employee Retirement System’s board is meeting right now to approve a revised expected rate of return on pension investments and other changes including revised mortality rates which will result in a total state contribution increase of $323.2 million in Fiscal Year 2018, which starts next July 1.

Click here for the draft report. The totals discussed above are on page 32. These are all funds. GRF is a bit lower.

* To put this into perspective, $323.2 million is about half of the $659 million projected state sources revenue growth from this fiscal year to next, according to COGFA. That assumes, of course, no income tax hike.

  37 Comments      


We all need to occasionally walk a mile in someone else’s shoes

Wednesday, Jul 13, 2016 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Statehouse reporter Dusty Rhodes is a longtime pal of mine and she posted this on Facebook early Sunday morning

That moment when your kid arrives home in a cop car bc he was playing Pokemon Go with friends past curfew in Leland Grove. Luckily, all those years of training him to be respectful and cooperative with cops paid off, and he is safe. Huge thanks to Amy Ballinger-Cole and Ben Cole for telling the officers that Evan is a great kid.

Dusty’s son Evan is black. Dusty is white. If you aren’t familiar with Leland Grove, it’s a suburb within Springfield that is 97 percent white, 0.44 percent black and has the highest per capita income outside of the Chicago metro area.

* Dusty posted a follow-up yesterday

Warning: This is long. But it’s also long overdue. I should’ve written this at 2 a.m. Sunday. But I’d like to say thank you, from the bottom of my heart, to Ben Cole. The incident with Evan and Pokemon Go and police — the whole thing has taken a while to sink in. And many of my friends have commented “it all turned out fine” or words to that effect, as though I should feel grateful that my son — innocent of any crime — actually survived his encounter with police. I am grateful. But I’m mainly grateful to Ben and Amy Ballinger-Cole.

If you’re around kids (and we are talking about a child here, despite the fact that he’s 6 feet tall and has facial hair), you know that they’re easily provoked into defensive words, gestures, or exclamations. And such gestures from a black male can be easily misconstrued. When Evan got home, he told me that one of the officers kept accusing him of lying. “I emptied out my pockets, mom, just to show him I didn’t have ANYTHING.” Even as an older adult, I know how frustrating it can be to argue with someone who refuses to believe you.

The fact that first Ben and then Amy were right there is what probably saved the entire situation. Their presence meant that Evan (not the most articulate child) didn’t have to argue alone. Their presence meant that he felt supported and affirmed. Their presence meant that the two officers knew that homeowners (potential “burglary” victims) were vouching for the innocence of my son. Their presence meant that WHITE people were saying he’s a good kid. Their presence lessened the provocation, the friction that was building between Evan and the officer accusing him of being a thief.

There are so many ways this could’ve turned out wrong. I didn’t write this very well. I may come back and edit it again. Evan’s dad, Randy Erwin, is also still processing this experience.

* Evan’s dad explained more in reply to someone who asked what their 15-year-old kid was doing out after curfew

He was in front of a friend’s house with children his age who lived in that house. But instead of telling them all to go inside, and despite the pleading of their parents, the police singled him out because of his skin color, and using the curfew law as a pretext, took him away in a squad car.

Aside from the hyperpartisan ravings, my social media streams are filled these days with rantings about cops, black people and Pokemon Go. So, this has everything. But let’s try to avoid ranting here or silly armchair judging.

This isn’t about cops, necessarily, or the plight of black kids.

It’s about a real life mom who got the scare of her life, and about two parents and a kid struggling to make sense of it all.

…Adding… Dusty updates in comments…

I need to correct something Evan’s dad said. Evan’s friend was also taken home in a squad car, and she’s white. So both kids got the ride. That said, I’ll also add that Amy and Ben tell me their teenage daughters +friends frequently walk to the nearby supermarket or church playground late at night, and have never been stopped for curfew violation. So I guess they haven’t experienced the Grove’s rite of passage yet.

Like I originally said: I’m still figuring all this out. The only thing I know for sure is 1) I’m grateful Amy and Ben were there, and 2) my kid won’t be walking anywhere after dark ever again.

  85 Comments      


Meh

Wednesday, Jul 13, 2016 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Press release…

Reboot Illinois is thrilled to announce its partnership with the Pulitzer Prize-winning PolitiFact, based in Tampa, Florida.

Now the exclusive home of PolitiFact Illinois, Reboot Illinois is partnering with the world-renowned news operation to prosecute political speech, find the facts and determine in transparent fashion whether the claims and counterclaims of Illinois’ officeholders, public figures and pundits are true.

Prosecute? Um, OK.

* Their first fact check is about this statement by Gov. Rauner

“We’ve had massive out-migration of people and jobs. We have the highest unemployment rate of any state in America,” Rauner said, detailing a litany of Illinois’ problems on the business and government front. “We have the highest level of corruption and cronyism and patronage of any state in America. We have lower family incomes in Illinois today than we had 17 years ago in Illinois. We are fundamentally in decline because of the control of (House) Speaker (Michael) Madigan and his Democrats.”

Rauner made several claims here, but we’re going to focus on the part about family incomes. Is it true that Illinois has lower family incomes today than in 1999?

* Findings

Indeed, the 2014 median household income in Illinois was $54,916 and the 1999 median household income, adjusted for inflation, was $65,850. That’s a decline of 16.6 percent.

Pretty bad, right?

But look at neighboring Indiana, which saw its median household income plummet 17.2 percent — to the current $48,060 — in the same time period. Or Wisconsin, which had a 10.5 percent drop. Missouri went from $58,819 in 1999 to $56,630 in 2014 — a 3.7 percent decline.

Nationwide, the inflation-adjusted median income went from $57,843 in 1999 to $53,657 in 2014. That’s a drop of 7.2 percent.

So there’s no disputing that Illinois’ median household income fell between 1999 and 2014, but Rauner presented the figure as if Illinois were an outlier among other states; that its political leadership had chartered a uniquely disastrous course. A look at the same time period for Indiana — a state repeatedly cited by Rauner as a beacon of economic growth — shows Illinois was far from alone.

* Conclusion

But the bigger problem here is that by choosing the peak income year among 30 years’ worth of data and presenting Illinois as an isolated case, Rauner tacitly asserts that Illinois is unique in seeing lower income “today” than in 1999.

We rate the statement Half True.

Our state’s median household income dropped at more than twice the national rate. Yeah, Indiana’s fell by more, perhaps even by design.

But I’m not so sure I’d rate Rauner’s statement as “half true.” In isolation, which is what the fact check is supposedly about, it’s fully true.

In context, it’s still mainly true, but this wasn’t supposed to be about the context.

* Setting semantics aside, we have very real economic problems in Illinois. While our problems are not ours alone, they’re still pretty darned bad and worse than most.

Maybe Rauner’s ideas won’t solve them (his notorious 1.4 percent growth projection before factoring in the impact of a tax hike ain’t gonna do much), or maybe they’ll help.

But, so far, Rauner is the only one at the top of the state’s political food chain talking about this problem. It burns me to no end that nobody else is addressing this topic.

So, I’d give him a bit of latitude until somebody else steps up with some new ideas to address our clearly lagging economy.

  42 Comments      


Question of the day

Wednesday, Jul 13, 2016 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Press release…

CHICAGO, IL – In response to the failure of Illinois Auditor General Frank Mautino to answer questions amidst the ongoing federal and state investigations into his campaign spending irregularities while a member of the Illinois General Assembly, State Representative Dwight Kay (R-Glen Carbon) announced the filing today of House Joint Resolution 158 aimed at removing Mautino from office, a measure with over 20 co-sponsors.

“Auditor General Mautino is not able to perform his duties with the trust and confidence that Illinoisans deserve,” Rep. Kay said. “The Auditor General’s Office is a position where transparency is at the very heart of the job itself. Illinoisans deserve a clean government and Auditor General Mautino, by his refusal to respond to public questions surrounding his ethical conduct, has demonstrated that he is unfit to remain in office.”

At issue is more than $200,000 Mautino spent over 10 years on gas and vehicle repairs at a Spring Valley service station owned by a city alderman, as well as $259,000 in payments made to a local bank since 1999.

“As the Auditor General labors under the weight of state and federal investigations which could continue for a long duration of time, the citizens of Illinois and the General Assembly must have complete, unreserved confidence that the Office of Auditor General is able to operate effectively and without the hint of scandal,” Rep. Kay added.

In a letter sent last month, over 20 other House and Senate Republican lawmakers urged Mautino to take an unpaid leave of absence until federal and state investigations into irregular campaign spending while he was a state representative conclude, noting that the Auditor General has yet to provide documentation clarifying his campaign expenditures and reporting practices through his now inactive political committee. Mautino has not responded to the letter or to repeated calls to answer official legislative inquiries.

“Frank Mautino cannot effectively do his job as Auditor General while defending himself against potential criminal charges and a State Election Board investigation,” said Rep. Jeanne Ives (R-Wheaton), a Chief Co-Sponsor of the Kay resolution. “If he will not do the right thing on his own and step aside, we have a responsibility as the people’s elected representatives to hold him accountable.”

* The Question:  Should Auditor General Mautino resign now or should we wait for more developments? Take the poll and then explain your answer in comments, please.


survey tool

  44 Comments      


Rauner signs “sheltered markets” EO

Wednesday, Jul 13, 2016 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Press release…

Governor Bruce Rauner today signed an Executive Order to help ensure equal opportunity is provided to all Illinois businesses looking to contract with the State. Executive Order 16-08 directs the Illinois Department of Central Management Services (CMS) to oversee the implementation of the recommendations from a 2015 Disparity Study. It also directs CMS to investigate and, if needed, take appropriate steps to implement a sheltered markets initiative, to increase the number businesses owned and controlled by minorities, women, and persons with disabilities doing business with the State.

“We need to lift up minorities, women, and persons with disabilities who have been overlooked within our society and are underrepresented in our economy,” Governor Rauner said. “Illinois is one of the most diverse states in the country, yet a 2015 study found that disparities exist between the number of minority-owned and women-owned businesses and their utilization on contracts and subcontracts through the State. This Executive Order seeks to address this disparity and ensure more minority-owned businesses are given the opportunity to do business with the State.”

EO 16-08 directs CMS to institute a number of reforms to how it currently administers State of Illinois Business Enterprise Program (BEP) to address the problems highlighted by a 2015 Disparity Study. Details of the study can be found here.

Many of these reforms are common sense administrative fixes to make it easier for BEP businesses to understand and access state markets, including: creating an electronic data collection and monitoring system to track BEP utilization; reviewing CMS’ own process for setting BEP goals on state contracts; and, reviewing the time it takes to get procurements out to the public and the time bidders have to submit responses to these procurements.

“This Executive Order, especially the thoughtful consideration of use of Sheltered Markets, is perhaps the most important step the State of Illinois has taken toward bringing equity to Black and minority-owned businesses in the state,” said Larry Ivory, President and CEO of the Black Chamber of Commerce.

Other reforms are designed to help BEP businesses become more competitive bidders, including: developing a mentoring program to pair BEP businesses with more established businesses; strengthening State-sponsored bonding and financial assistance programs; and, implementing procurement forecasts to increase BEP businesses’ access to contracting information.

“This is an important step for the minority business community and their ability to compete and grow,” said Sheila Morgan, President and CEO of the Chicago Minority Supplier Development Council. “The Governor’s action today shows a sincere desire to support economic development through inclusive practices in procurement in the State of Illinois.”

The Executive Order also directs CMS to determine whether the creation of “Sheltered Markets” can reduce disparities and, if so, take appropriate steps to establish sheltered markets in industry-specific areas.

Sheltered markets may be created when certain State procurement solicitations are specifically set aside for BEP-eligible businesses. These initiatives are able to target areas where discriminatory practices have prevented progress towards parity in contracting. They also complement and bolster the efforts of other BEP measures such as the state goal of 20 percent of contracts awarded to minority businesses.

Pursuant to the Executive Order, CMS must report on its results on July 1st of each year, beginning on July 1, 2017.

As I write this, the order itself is not yet posted online.

* A press release this past March from the U of I will give you some insights into how this could work

The University of Illinois Board of Trustees on Wednesday approved the state’s first contracts under a new Illinois purchasing initiative enacted to attract more minority and female-owned businesses as vendors for state agencies and universities.

Under the groundbreaking awards, 28 minority- and female-owned companies will receive three-year contracts to provide information technology services on an as-needed basis, augmenting existing staff on the university’s campuses in Chicago, Springfield and Urbana-Champaign. The contracts take effect July 1, 2016.

The university received bids from 45 companies after issuing the state’s first request-for-proposal last April through the new “sheltered market” initiative, which followed years of work by the state to address disparities in contracting IT and telecommunications services by state entities.

The “sheltered market” initiative allows certain state contracts to be set aside specifically for businesses owned by minorities, females and people with disabilities, and was established after an Illinois Business Enterprise Program Council disparity study found that sectors of the IT/telecommunications industry were being unfairly excluded from state business.

  29 Comments      


Editorial support for the Independent Map Amendment

Wednesday, Jul 13, 2016 - Posted by Advertising Department

[The following is a paid advertisement.]

The Independent Map Amendment has received editorial support from news outlets across Illinois:

“A fair redistricting process is the single most important reform that could come to Illinois. Voters will have more choices and better candidates.”
-Chicago Tribune; June 17, 2014

“The stakes could not be higher in this fight between entrenched political power brokers who profit from the status quo and reformers who believe changing the way state lawmakers are elected will help jump-start the legislative election process in Illinois.”
-Champaign-Urbana News-Gazette; July 7, 2016

“Illinois residents want a chance to change their dysfunctional government, but that won’t happen until the map-drawing process is changed.”
-Bloomington Pantagraph and Decatur Herald & Review; June 14, 2016

“If legislative districts are no longer drawn by politicians, they would be more likely to serve the public better through elected officials who are more accountable for their actions, or lack thereof.”
-Shaw Media; June 8, 2016

“The single biggest reason so many races now are not even races — just that one lone candidate — is that the politicians draw up district boundaries in cockeyed ways to eliminate competition.”
-Chicago Sun-Times; June 1, 2016

  Comments Off      


Because… Madigan! Or… not?

Wednesday, Jul 13, 2016 - Posted by Rich Miller

* WHBF TV

Rauner openly admits there is a lot riding on the general election for control of the General Assembly in Springfield. A couple of candidates he supported lost their primary bids. Juliana Stratton beat Rep. Ken Dunkin (a Democrat who sided with Rauner at times) and incumbent Sen. Sam McCann beat primary challenger Bryce Benton (who Rauner supported).

“November is very critical,” Rauner said. “This is a time if the speaker and his supermajority get more power, reforms and less tax burden and balanced budget are going to be much harder to achieve. If we can have a legislature where both parties have a voice relatively more equal than completely one-sided, we have a chance to grow the economy more, protect taxpayers more, get term limits and redistricting reform done.”

News conferences from Springfield over the last 18 months would suggest there’s no love lost between the Governor and Democratic House Speaker Michael Madigan. However, there’s no denying the two need each other to get anything significant done. Rauner described that relationship.

“It’s actually on a personal level, it’s perfectly fine, very cordial,” Rauner said. “We’re very candid with each other. We’re very frank. We’re very honest and direct. There’s a lot of posturing that has to go on. The reality is we have a fundamental disagreement, an honest disagreement.”

I think this is the first time he’s ever acknowledged that Madigan is coming from an “honest” position. I doubt we’ll see him say that much more, though. We’ll see.

  22 Comments      


Look on the bright side

Wednesday, Jul 13, 2016 - Posted by Rich Miller

* The Tribune on Gov. Rauner’s new task force to study school funding reform

Critics contend the formula shortchanges districts that serve poor children and doesn’t do enough to compensate districts that can’t rely on high real estate values to cover their spending needs with property taxes. But ideas to fix the problem usually hinge on raising taxes or reducing the amounts that go to wealthier districts in order to boost funding for poorer ones, both of which are difficult to sell politically.

In the meantime, the issue has been studied and bandied about in countless panels such as the one created by Rauner. So-called “blue ribbon” school funding panels were a hallmark of former Republican Gov. Jim Edgar during the 1990s, but he gained little traction.

Rauner tried to put an optimistic spin on the idea Tuesday, saying he thinks that given “the financial pressures that school districts are facing, the state is facing, the city of Chicago is facing, there’s a lot of motivation to try to improve the system.”

Still, the commission’s structure appeared designed to give Republicans a louder voice, even though Democrats hold supermajorities in both chambers of the legislature. Rauner stacked the panel with allies by appointing his education secretary as chair and allowing Republicans to select 15 of the 25 members.

Several commenters were kinda harsh on the governor’s idea yesterday. And I even questioned the timing of the announcement.

* But, after sleeping on it, I’ve decided that we should look on the bright side.

Remember the post I had last week by a reader who offered the governor some unsolicited advice?

Right now, identify five key issues or problems. Then put his administration on alert to identify five doable things to address those issues. As you solve those problems, let people know. Create the image of competent, professional management of our state. That’s what we need: someone who can identify real problems and solve them, not complain about them. We’ve got 11,999,999 people to complain. We need 1 to step up and solve. He wanted to be that 1.

Rauner’s supporters mostly hated that piece. But, regardless of the politics, regardless of the historical challenges, this new study group allows the governor to do all that. And, who knows, it might actually get something done.

* Why do I think it could succeed? Well, first up, here’s Mayor Emanuel’s react

“If we were starting from scratch, nobody would design the funding formula we have today penalizing poor kids. The governor is acknowledging the work that’s been going on in Legislature trying to grapple with this problem. That, to me, is a real turnaround,” Emanuel said.

“The fact that he wants to create this commission is an acknowledgment that you cannot double-down on a funding system you say is broken. Righting the wrongs of a broken funding formula demands more attention, not less. More resources, not less. That will be a true turnaround for the state of Illinois.”

* And here’s the governor

The early 2017 deadline would permit legislators to take up a bill in spring session — a tight deadline, he acknowledged, but one that’s doable “partly because there have been efforts.”

“I think there’s a frustration level of wanting to get something done, I also think the financial pressures that school districts are facing, the state is facing, the city of Chicago is facing,” Rauner said at the Thompson Center. “There’s lot of motivation to try to improve the system. . . . Granted, this is going to be hard. But I’m optimistic.”

He’s right. This could be the right moment. Maybe not, but maybe so.

Either way, it’s a positive step and we should accept it as such.

  19 Comments      


Playing the race card right out of the box

Wednesday, Jul 13, 2016 - Posted by Rich Miller

* From a July 11th press release…

Starting today and ending on Friday, Dave Severin, candidate for State Representative in the 117th House District, will countdown the top 5 ways in which Representative John Bradley has sided with Mike Madigan and the Chicago political machine instead of representing Southern Illinois. Severin said of Mr. Bradley’s actions:

“John Bradley talks out of one side of his mouth in Southern Illinois and then votes with the other side of his mouth up in Springfield. Actions, not words, define who someone is. The idea that Mr. Bradley is independent of Madigan’s control is ridiculous and obviously doesn’t match his record over 13 years in the General Assembly.”

Coming in at #5 is Rep. John Bradley’s vote to give illegal immigrants state issued driver’s licenses.

So the first issue right out of the box is bipartisan legislation, supported by some Downstate Republicans, that has created no significant problems?

It wouldn’t be really about the fact that many illegal immigrants have brown skin, would it?

Nah. Couldn’t be.

Never in a million years.

Man, this campaign is gonna be ugly, campers.

…Adding… A couple of very good points have been made in comments. First, A Guy…

This legislation also made it more easy and possible for people to get auto insurance. You know, in case they hit your car…Hmmm.

Archpundit…

Of course the bill wasn’t about controlling illegal immigration. It was about controlling a problem created by illegal immigration. This is how we know it’s a dog whistle–the law didn’t do anything for those undocumented workers other than make the roads safer for all of us.

…Adding More… Another…

Sen. Radogno was one of the co-sponsors of SB 957 in 2012. So was Sen. Sandack, Sen. Bill Brady, and Sen. Millner. It got 41 votes in the Senate.

Among the Yes votes in the House was Tom Cross, Jim Durkin, Dan Brady, as well as Reps. Sanger, Saviano, Pritchard and Winters.

If the bill was good enough for the Minority Leaders, how can it be so terrible for a Democrat?

  97 Comments      


*** UPDATED x1 - CSU put on watch list *** IBHE director says accreditation still in danger

Wednesday, Jul 13, 2016 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Dusty Rhodes writes about one of the most over-looked issues of the impasse - the real danger to university accreditation

During the recent state budget impasse, Illinois colleges and universities have been forced to scrape by without state funding, except for stop gap money designed to keep them open through the fall semester. But that may not satisfy accreditation agencies. James Applegate, director of the Illinois Board of Higher Education, says the Higher Learning Commission may just home in on the fact that Illinois schools are missing what schools in other states have: a solid budget.

“As grateful as we are for getting money so we can stay open — a half year budget — when they read it at the regional accreditor office, that aggravates the problem, because they’re saying, ‘They couldn’t even get a full year budget together,’ ” Applegate says. “Because the accreditors are not looking at next semester or even next year. They’re saying: Are institutions financially able to serve students they enroll for four or five years? And I would not be surprised if we continue to garner attention from regional accreditors.”

The IBHE is proposing a plan where schools would promise certain outcomes in exchange for the state providing a basic level of funding for three years.

Accreditation is necessary because if a school doesn’t have it, students cannot get federal students loans and their credits won’t transfer to other accredited institutions.

* This next Applegate quote is all over the place, but check it out anyway

“Obviously it’s welcomed in the sense that it helps our institutions stay open into the fall, but it certainly is not the solution. This doesn’t help us in terms of being able to plan for an academic year. It leaves us in a state of flux and uncertainty, and even with this funding and the April funding, if you were to look at what the higher ed system received in (fiscal year) ‘15, before all this started, even after that budget was cut toward the end of the year, and you just said, ‘Well let’s assume a reasonable budget would be in (fy) ‘16 and (fy) ‘17 we had that ‘15.’ So ‘15 times two. The current amount of money that’s been given to our universities is less than half of that. So this is supposed to carry them for 18 months. Then it is good that we finally paid the bills for the MAP (Monetary Awards Program) students last year, but there’s no certainty for next year, and ISAC (Illinois Student Assistance Commission), who administers the MAP program, is saying MAP applications are significantly down. So there are thousands of students who are just deciding why bother? Why should we go to college?”

In other words, it’s less than 9 months of revenue for 18 months of operations.

Fewer words, please.

*** UPDATE *** Uh-oh

Chicago State University has been notified it could lose accreditation within a year because of its unstable finances.

The Higher Learning Commission, the agency that oversees public colleges and universities, also dinged the South Side college on long-term planning. But it primarily blamed the school’s woes — significant program and staffing cuts — on the year and a half impasse between the governor and Legislature.

“The institution’s financial situation in FY2016 has been unstable due to the state budget impasse,” the agency wrote in a July 11 letter to CSU leadership.

“The University continues to have diminished financial resources and is accounting in its planning for continued diminution of its resources in the near future. As of the date of this action, the State of Illinois has yet to pass a comprehensive state budget for either FY2016 or FY2017 . . . thus further exacerbating the financial challenges and lack of financial predictability,” the agency wrote.

CSU was given until June 2017 to prove financially stability, or lose accreditation, which would jeopardize ability of students attending the school to transfer credits to other institutions.

* Semi-related…

* Summer slump: SIU on-campus enrollment dips 14 percent as more opt for online classes

  63 Comments      


Durbin downplays Reid push to make him party chairman

Wednesday, Jul 13, 2016 - Posted by Rich Miller

* CNN

Rep. Debbie Wasserman Schultz appears safe as chairwoman of the Democratic National Committee until the November elections after Democrats privately mulled options to replace her, including with Senate Minority Whip Dick Durbin, according to several sources familiar with the discussions. […]

So privately, Senate Minority Leader Harry Reid offered an alternative: Durbin as Wasserman Schultz’s replacement, according to several people familiar with the situation. In an interview on Tuesday, Durbin confirmed to CNN that he spoke with Reid about the matter, but downplayed the discussion.

“A lot of people put my name up but I didn’t ask for any of this,” Durbin said.

Asked about Reid floating his name, Durbin said: “He told me that he had mentioned it. That was as far as it went. There wasn’t any active discussion. Nothing came of it.”

Like the article says, Wasserman Schultz isn’t going anywhere until after the election anyway.

  13 Comments      


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