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Thursday, Oct 2, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* From a press release…

Statement from Governor Pat Quinn on President Obama’s Visit to Illinois

CHICAGO - Governor Pat Quinn issued the below statement following President Obama’s visit to Illinois. Attached are photos of the President with Governor Quinn at today’s campaign event in Chicago:

“I am thrilled to have President Obama here in Illinois today supporting my re-election campaign.

“President Obama laid out a bold economic vision to support the growth and success of our middle class. That’s exactly what we’ve been working to do here in Illinois.

“Today, unemployment in Illinois is at its lowest point in more than six years, with more people working today than in the first month of my administration. We’ve added more than 39,000 new businesses, and workers are earning the 8th highest wages in the country right here in Illinois. We have more work to do, but we’re making a comeback.

“We stand in strong support of President Obama’s agenda as we work to build on our success, creating more jobs and economic growth for the future.

“With the President’s help - and the support of the people of Illinois - we will continue getting the job done for working families and keep Illinois moving in the right direction.”

* The photo…

  126 Comments      


Frerichs addresses Giannoulias endorsement of Cross

Thursday, Oct 2, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Sen. Mike Frerichs was asked about the Giannoulias endorsement today

* Transcript…

Host: “Former Democratic State Treasurer Alexi Giannoulias recently actually endorsing your opponent, Tom Cross. He said, among other things, ‘I do appreciate the fact that Tom Cross has done his homework on the office of Treasurer.’ He also said ‘I’ve known Tom Cross for awhile, I think he has courage.’ Were you surprised by a Democrat, Alexi Giannoulias, endorsing your opponent?”

Mike Frerichs: “Change is hard. We’ve promised to come in, and clean up this office. One of the things we want to do, we want to make sure that when families are saving for their children’s education, those dollars are safeguarded. Tom Cross thinks the last two Treasurers have done a great job. They’ve used that office as a stepping stone, and taken their eye off the real responsibilities of the Treasurer’s office.

“I’m a certified public finance officer. I have experience in government finance, unlike my opponent. He’s a lawyer who wants to come in and sue people. We’re not going to grow our economy by suing people. We’re not going to improve our office by doing the same tried (sic, “tired”?) things that have been done in the past. We’re going to come in and shake things up.”

The education thing refers to Giannoulias’ “Bright Start” college savings plan debacle.

But, as I’ve already told subscribers, Frerichs tried reaching out to Giannoulias several times without success. He wanted that endorsement.

Also, while I get his point about “suing people,” suing over an unbalanced budget wouldn’t necessarily hurt the economy. Nice line, though.

  16 Comments      


Condemned?

Thursday, Oct 2, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Was the ad really that evil?…


The left-leaning media has gone nutso about the ad. People have been sending me stories all day.

For the record, I didn’t think it was very funny, believed it was pretty demeaning and maybe counter-productive, but should it be “condemned”?

  57 Comments      


Chief Procurement Office says Rauner owes state $250

Thursday, Oct 2, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Reposting this because of a stupid typo in the original.

The Illinois Tollway has decided not to penalize a road contractor for contributing $250 to the Bruce Rauner campaign last spring in violation of a state ban on such contributions.

However, the state’s Chief Procurement Office now wants Rauner’s campaign to pony up the $250 within thirty days. Read it here.

  32 Comments      


Question of the day

Thursday, Oct 2, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* These are some surprising remarks from a stalwart Republican

“Everybody’s angry and fed up with the negative commercials,” Moraine Township Republican Chair Lou Atsaves of Lake Forest said. “People want [the candidates] to concentrate on the issues and grow up.”

Atsaves says voters bristle over commercials put out by the campaign of Republican gubernatorial candidate Bruce Rauner attacking his Democratic rival Gov. Pat Quinn, as well as Quinn’s ads criticizing Rauner.

“They’re upset about ads which call Quinn a felon and keep calling Rauner ‘Billionaire Bruce,’” Atsaves said.

Though he talks to more Republicans than Democrats, the criticism of the ads comes from all, he says.

* From Bernie’s column today

Chris Mooney, director of the Institute of Government and Public Affairs at the University of Illinois, said he believes it is easier to change public perception of a candidate with a short public history than one with a long public career, like Quinn’s.

“Another piece of information about Pat Quinn is one of thousands of pieces we’ve gotten over the years,” Mooney said. “With Bruce Rauner, we don’t have that many pieces of information about him, so another piece that comes in is a higher proportion of everything we know.”

Mooney said corruption hasn’t been part of Quinn’s long-term image, so he questions the “strategic decision” of the Rauner campaign to “try to paint Pat Quinn as a gangster.”

He said it might have been easier to try to put a negative spin on a more familiar image of Quinn, as perhaps an anti-establishment reformer who is “just bumbling along … he’s a good guy but he’s not getting the job done.”

* OK, I know the setup leans against Rauner, but I’m not yet convinced that either analysis is necessarily correct.

I think there’s some needless panic among Republicans as this race has naturally tightened, and I also think there’s a bit of irrational exuberance at this moment among Democrats, whose candidate is still polling around 40 percent in every poll and faces a Republican like no other in this state’s modern history.

* The Question: Whose negative attacks are more effective? Take the poll and then explain your answer in comments, please.


survey service

  91 Comments      


More spending

Thursday, Oct 2, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Kurt Erickson reports on a college town editorial board meeting with Bruce Rauner

BLOOMINGTON - Republican candidate for governor Bruce Rauner added Illinois universities to a growing list of state programs he thinks should get more money.

The political newcomer from Winnetka told a joint meeting of the editorial boards of The (Bloomington) Pantagraph and the Decatur Herald & Review Wednesday that an influx of cash for higher education could be used to address skyrocketing college tuition costs.

“The two biggest things I know I can do are increase state support for higher education: We’ve been cutting it for years; that’s pushed tuition costs up. And the other big thing is to work with the universities to improve their management and reduce their administrative spending,” Rauner said.

I agree that universities absolutely need to improve their management and reduce overhead. But we’re now up to four big funding increase proposals from the guy who wants to cut taxes: P-12; Higher Ed; Infrastructure; IDNR.

…Adding… Actually, it’s likely six. He’s said he wants to spend more money on agriculture programs. He’s also said he wants to hire more prison guards.

…Adding More… I’m reminded that he also wants to reopen keep Murray Developmental Center, so that’s seven.

  44 Comments      


Another oppo dump

Thursday, Oct 2, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* This time it’s Gaper’s Block

GTCR, the private equity firm started in part by Republican Gubernatorial candidate Bruce Rauner, brought on disgraced former Tribune Company executive Randy Michaels in 2011 to run Merlin Media.

At the time Emmis Communications sold a controlling interest in Merlin Media and transferred ownership of three radio stations, two of which were in Chicago, to GTCR.

Michaels was an executive at the Tribune company from 2007 until 2010. The New York Times published an article in October 2010 detailing the behavior of Michaels while he was at the Tribune Company, which included sexual harassment of female employees.

Michaels resigned from his job later that month.

* From that NYT article

When Kim Johnson, who had worked with Mr. Michaels as an executive at Clear Channel, was hired as senior vice president of local sales on June 16, 2008, the news release said she was “a former waitress at Knockers — the Place for Hot Racks and Cold Brews,” a jocular reference to a fictitious restaurant chain.

A woman who used to work at the Tribune Company in a senior position, but did not want to be identified because she now worked at another media company in Chicago, said that Mr. Michaels and Marc Chase, who was brought in to run Tribune Interactive, had a loud conversation on an open balcony above a work area about the sexual suitability of various employees.

“The conversation just wafted down on all of the people who were sitting there.” She also said that she was present at a meeting where a female executive jovially offered to bring in her assistant to perform a sexual act on someone in a meeting who seemed to be in a bad mood. […]

There have been complaints about Mr. Michaels in the past, however. In 1995, Mr. Michaels and Jacor settled a suit brought by Liz Richards, a former talk show host in Florida who filed an E.E.O.C. complaint and a civil suit, saying she had been bitten on the neck by Mr. Michaels and that he walked through the office wearing a sexual device around his neck.

…Adding… Ibedahl had this story back in February

In June of 2011, Bruce Rauner’s former private equity firm GTCR partnered with media veteran Randy Michaels to form Merlin Media, LLC. “It’s a pretty standard GTCR deal,” said Philip Canfield, Principal at GTCR. “We’re backing a CEO [Randy Michaels] and doing a corporate carve-out and a bunch of transformation of those underlying assets.”

According to an SEC filing dated September 1, 2011, Michaels, whose real name is Benjamin L. Homel, owned only 1% of Merlin Media. GTCR was the main owner with an approximately 74% interest. Emmis Communications owned the rest.

“We [at GTCR] are extremely excited about the opportunity to partner with Emmis and Randy,” said Canfield back in June of 2011. “Emmis’s CEO, Jeff Smulyan, and Randy Michaels are both proven veterans of the media industry and we look forward to working with them to provide valuable media content to Merlin Media’s future consumers.”

Private Equity International, a magazine dedicated to the private equity industry, describes GTCR’s “intense, relentless” CEO recruitment efforts:

    GTCR is known today for having one of the most intense, relentless and successful focuses on CEO recruitment in the private equity industry, and its modus operandi is always the same: seek out an ideal CEO for a given platform, doggedly pursue him or her until the offer is accepted, then help the CEO build a company. In many cases, the CEO is hired before a single acquisition is identified

.

  28 Comments      


When the “80 percent” argument fails

Thursday, Oct 2, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* From an op-ed in Illinois Review about conservative displeasure with the self-described “pro-choice” Bruce Rauner

Four more years of Quinn will mean the continued exodus of people and business out of the state. Many who have left are conservatives who don’t want to feed the monster of the pro-union, pro-abort crowd. A Governor Rauner will help turn things around, which will improve ALL issues - including life issues, should that become an issue.

I would like to think our pro-choice friends are fans of Ronald Reagan. What was one of Reagan’s famous quotes? “Somebody who agrees with me 80 percent of the time is a friend and ally, not a 20 percent traitor!”

Look, if you truly, totally believe that abortion is murder, then you can’t easily rationalize that away with an “80 percent” argument.

If abortion is about taking a human life, then it won’t matter where a candidate is on other topics. Murder is heinous. Tax policy pales in comparison. The above is merely an argument for ranking partisanship above deeply held convictions. It will work for some, of course, because partisanship is such a strong force, but it’s a ludicrous argument to the true believers.

* This, however, is a better argument from the same op-ed

Quinn is not good for us and to my pro-life friends, please understand that with Quinn, you have nothing, with Rauner, you’ll have something.

Additionally, the pro-life issues are not in play this election, so why make an issue when they are not on the ballot?

The reality is, with Democratic majorities in both legislative chambers, pro-life legislation is going nowhere no matter who the governor is. A governor can do some things via rulemaking, but that would only be on the margins.

  42 Comments      


Proft poll: Quinn leads 41-39-5

Thursday, Oct 2, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* From Dan Proft…

Liberty Principles PAC, an independent expenditure political action committee that supports candidates for local and state legislative office who are committed to the economic liberty policy agenda, commissioned at survey on the Illinois Governor’s race this week conducted by the firm of Fabrizio Lee (www.fabriziolee.com).

The survey, conducted over three days from September 27-29, completed 600 live interviews (418 landline; 182 cell phones) of likely voters (MOE +/- 4%). 30% of completed surveys were cell phone respondents.

The survey found Gov. Pat Quinn with a slight lead 41-39 over GOP challenger Bruce Rauner with Libertarian candidate Chad Grimm received 5% of the vote.

Other political landscape highlights from the survey:

    -The generic ballot in Illinois is +14 Democrat (44-30) but it is only +7 Democrat (45-38) for the Governor’s race.

    -65% of Illinoisans think the state is on the wrong track compared to only 25% who think the state is on the right track.

    -Gov. Quinn’s is viewed favorable/unfavorable split is 33/42. Bruce Rauner’s favorable/unfavorable split is 35/34.

    -Gov. Quinn’s re-elect number is at 33% with 58% of Illinoisans saying it’s time for someone else to be Governor.

    -Gov. Quinn’s job approval rating is upside down with 39% of Illinoisans approving of his job performance and 53% disapproving of his performance. As an interesting aside, President Obama’s job performance is viewed favorably by 47% of Illinoisans and unfavorably by 47% of Illinoisans.

    -With undecided voters, Gov. Quinn’s image is 15/29, his job approval is 27/46 and his re-elect is 13% with 54% wanting a new person for Governor.

    -Gov. Quinn leads female voter by 12 percentage points. Bruce Rauner leads male voters by 9 percentage points.

    -Gov. Quinn leads Cook county by +28. Bruce Rauner leads rest of Chicago DMA by +15 and the rest of the state by +13.

    -Among those who have heard of both candidates (83% of sample) it is 41/41. Among those who have an opinion of both (61% of sample) it is Bruce Rauner +4. Among those who are unfavorable to both (10% right now but this will grow) it is Gov. Quinn +12.

“The last month of the campaign will be a contest between Gov. Quinn’s ability to effectively demonize Rauner and Rauner’s ability to make those looking for a new governor comfortable with him as that choice,” said Dan Proft, President of Liberty Principles PAC.

  42 Comments      


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Thursday, Oct 2, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

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*** UPDATED x1 *** Republicans attempt to frame presidential visit

Thursday, Oct 2, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* From the ILGOP…

President Obama is delivering a speech in Chicago today designed to “pivot back to the economy,” but he could hardly have picked a worse state to do it in. Illinois’ economy has suffered badly under Gov. Pat Quinn, who is himself struggling desperately to hold on to his own job.

“Gov. Quinn and President Obama may say unemployment is going down, but more and more Illinoisans are giving up because of Quinn’s economy,” said Illinois Republican Party Chairman Tim Schneider. “The only way to improve Illinois’ jobs climate immediately is to fire Gov. Quinn and elect Bruce Rauner.”

What Will Obama say about Caterpillar?

Obama Then: 2013 State of the Union: “Our first priority is making America a magnet for new jobs and manufacturing. After shedding jobs for more than 10 years, our manufacturers have added about 500,000 jobs over the past three. Caterpillar is bringing jobs back from Japan. Ford is bringing jobs back from Mexico. And this year, Apple will start making Macs in America again.” (2013 State of the Union Address)

Caterpillar Today: “Caterpillar representatives say they are is still concerned about Illinois’ business climate.” “LaHood says people continue to leave the state because of job loss, and that’s something that needs to change by turning the business climate around, not only will IL attract more business, but it will solidify caterpillar’s decision to build its new headquarters in Peoria.” (WEEK-TV NBC, Peoria, IL - LaHood insinuates that Caterpillar might not put headquarters in Peoria if Quinn wins, Rauner campaigns in Peoria, 10/1/14)

What will Obama say about Quinn’s Record on Jobs?

Illinois is 2nd-worst for business under Pat Quinn “A Chicago-area research group is out with its annual listing of best and worst states in which to do business — and Illinois, once again, is bringing up the rear. According to the Park Ridge-based American Economic Development Institute, the Land of Lincoln ranked 49th of the 50 states in its overall pro-business status, ahead of only California.” … “Most damaging, I thought, was a grade of F on ‘marketing/website response to new and existing employers.’ If so, that’s inexcusable.” (Greg Hinz, “Illinois second-worst state for biz, study finds” Crain’s Chicago Business, 9/23/14)

Illinois has the worst unemployment in the Midwest for African Americans ”Illinois is the worst state in the Midwest for black male unemployment, new data reveals. The unemployment rate for black men is 47.9 percent, placing it highest among all Midwestern states in this category.” (Brady Cremeens, “Illinois is worst state in Midwest for black male employment” Watchdog.org, 9/29/14)

Illinois has the 3rd-worst jobless rate for veterans of any state - According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, Illinois’ jobless rate for veterans was 9.2 percent, tied for third worst of any state behind Michigan (10.6) and New Jersey (10.8), and well above the national average of 6.6 percent. More veterans were outside the labor force in Illinois (359,000) than were employed in Illinois (347,000) in 2013. (Bureau of Labor Statics, Table 6a, Employment status of veterans 18 years and over by state, 2013 annual averages, Accessed 10/2/14)

Hispanic workers are struggling in Quinn’s economy “Hispanic Illinoisans are struggling to find work as well, with an employment rate decline of 6.4 percent since 2008 and a decrease of more than eight percent for Hispanic males in that same time period.” (Brady Cremeens, “Experts tackle IL’s minority unemployment problem” Watchdog.org, 9/18/14)

Illinois Jobless rate for Teens and Millennials the worst in the Midwest “Young workers have also taken a hit. Illinois has the worst employment rate in the Midwest for teenage workers age 16-19.” “Illinois also has the worst employment rate in the Midwest for workers age 20-24.” (Michael Lucci, “Who’s hurting in Illinois?” Illinois Policy Institute - 9/22/14)

More illegal cronies than under Blagojevich “In a blow to Gov. Pat Quinn, his former transportation secretary has accused his office of pushing ‘the vast majority’ of improper political hires in her agency … “It is my recollection that [the] vast majority of Rutan-exempt hires were chosen from those recommended to me or my staff by the governor’s office,” [Former IDOT Secretary Ann] Schneider said, referring to the landmark Rutan U.S. Supreme Court opinion that placed limits on political hiring in government jobs.” … “’Neither I nor my staff were in a position to reject the recommended individuals for these exempt positions as no additional interview process was required,’ she said.” (Dave McKinney Ex-IDOT boss blames gov’s office for majority of improper hires Chicago Sun-Times – 8/22/14)

Will Obama respond to Quinn’s NRI Scandal, which included nearly $4 million in federal disaster money?

Sen. Kirk, Republicans demand answers for $3.76 million in HUD disaster relief funding transferred to Quinn’s NRI: “The Illinois Republican Congressional Delegation, including U.S. Sen. Mark Kirk and Republican U.S. Reps. Peter Roskam, Aaron Schock, John Shimkus, Adam Kinzinger, Randy Hultgren and Rodney Davis sent a letter Wednesday to President Obama expressing their continued concern over the misuse of federal disaster funds by the state of Illinois for the Neighborhood Recovery Initiative.” (Kirk and ILGOP Congressmen call on Obama to investigate Quinn’s use of federal funds Illinois Review, 10/1/14)

*** UPDATE *** DGA response…

Today President Barack Obama returns to his hometown to support his friend Governor Quinn, a leader who is getting the job done and shares his vision for creating more jobs and opportunities for working families.

In contrast, Bruce Rauner, a billionaire who has made a fortune at the expense hard working families and the suffering of the most vulnerable, will continue stumping on issues that limit the economic opportunity and health of those struggling to get ahead.

Here’s a recap of Bruce Rauner versus President Obama, Governor Quinn and the Working Families of Illinois:

Rauner would have vetoed the expansion of healthcare for the working poor.
Bruce Rauner told extremist Tea Party supporters that he would have rejected Medicaid expansion in Illinois, the key component of the Affordable Care Act championed and enacted by Governor Quinn that has provided healthcare coverage to more than 468,000 people in Illinois.

Rauner wants to eliminate the minimum wage completely.
Bruce Rauner was caught on video earlier this year advocating to cut the minimum wage. Facing criticism over his remarks, he claimed to the media that he “misspoke” at the time and was “flippant.” Nope: Video later surfaced showing he wanted to eliminate the minimum wage altogether.

Rauner would tax the consumption of items like food and medicine, while giving huge tax breaks that benefit the wealthy the most.
Bruce Rauner previously announced a regressive plan to tax services (while protecting the buyout business that made him so rich), and has recently made clear he wants to tax consumption. Taxing consumption on everyday items like food, medicine and groceries, would be a disaster not only for our economic recovery-but also for hard-working families who would end up paying a greater share of their income than the wealthy. Conveniently, Rauner’s plan includes tax breaks that benefit the very wealthy the most.

Rauner would advance an irresponsible budget that slashes public schools.
Bruce Rauner’s regressive tax plan would put an additional one million dollars in his own pocket, while requiring historic cuts to education. The cuts could lead to layoffs of more than 27,000 teachers - 1 in every 6 teachers statewide.

Whether its his opposition to affordable care for all, cutting wages for workers or his tax plan to shift financial burdens onto the backs of working families, Bruce Rauner has made it clear that he is out for himself. Policies that trample working families shouldn’t pave the way to the Governor’s Office.

  19 Comments      


Rauner says he’ll contribute to “anti-business” president’s library

Thursday, Oct 2, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Remember this 2011 Bruce Rauner quote we discussed yesterday morning?

“Unfortunately, I think President Obama is one of the most anti-business presidents we’ve had in the last 70 years.”

* Well, the AP reported this development late yesterday

During the GOP primary, Rauner said he didn’t have a view on the use of public funds for the library. Now, the wealthy businessman says private money should be used and he’d personally contribute.

My, how times change.

* Also, Gov. Pat Quinn said he supported Speaker Madigan’s $100 million state construction money help for the Obama library in the spring

Quinn now tells AP private money should “make up the majority” of funding.

As I’ve already told you, Madigan’s idea polled horribly with the public from the start.

  31 Comments      


Today’s number: Two-thirds

Thursday, Oct 2, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Tim Jones writes about the Illinois gubernatorial campaign and state finances

Largely undebated in the race to run the nation’s fifth-largest state is its crushing pension debt, the lowest credit rating in the U.S. and a budget that will run dry next year if elevated income-tax rates expire as scheduled in three months, cutting annual revenue by about 14 percent. […]

“The reality is so bad that neither one of them can afford to tell the truth in terms of numbers,” said Kent Redfield, a professor emeritus of political science at the University of Illinois at Springfield. […]

For Illinois residents who have watched the state’s finances deteriorate for decades, the race carries with it an expectation that the crisis will be addressed only after the Nov. 4 election.

“This is similar to where we were four years ago,” said Carol Portman, president of the Taxpayers’ Federation of Illinois, a nonpartisan fiscal advocacy group.

“If the tax code isn’t changed and spending isn’t changed, two-thirds of the budget will be used to pay last year’s bills,” Portman said. “It’s a big and scary place to be.”

  36 Comments      


Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Supplement to today’s edition: Congressional crosstabs

Thursday, Oct 2, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today’s edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)

Thursday, Oct 2, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Good morning!

Thursday, Oct 2, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Rep. Chad Hays requested this crazy good version of Dylan’s “I Shall Be Released” by Grace Potter. It takes about a minute to get going, but make sure to watch all the way to the end. Wow

So I remember ev’ry face
Of ev’ry man who put me here

  21 Comments      


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