Liberty Principles PAC, an independent expenditure political action committee that supports candidates for local and state legislative office who are committed to the economic liberty policy agenda, commissioned at survey on the Illinois Governor’s race this week conducted by the firm of Fabrizio Lee (www.fabriziolee.com).
The survey, conducted over three days from September 27-29, completed 600 live interviews (418 landline; 182 cell phones) of likely voters (MOE +/- 4%). 30% of completed surveys were cell phone respondents.
The survey found Gov. Pat Quinn with a slight lead 41-39 over GOP challenger Bruce Rauner with Libertarian candidate Chad Grimm received 5% of the vote.
Other political landscape highlights from the survey:
-The generic ballot in Illinois is +14 Democrat (44-30) but it is only +7 Democrat (45-38) for the Governor’s race.
-65% of Illinoisans think the state is on the wrong track compared to only 25% who think the state is on the right track.
-Gov. Quinn’s is viewed favorable/unfavorable split is 33/42. Bruce Rauner’s favorable/unfavorable split is 35/34.
-Gov. Quinn’s re-elect number is at 33% with 58% of Illinoisans saying it’s time for someone else to be Governor.
-Gov. Quinn’s job approval rating is upside down with 39% of Illinoisans approving of his job performance and 53% disapproving of his performance. As an interesting aside, President Obama’s job performance is viewed favorably by 47% of Illinoisans and unfavorably by 47% of Illinoisans.
-With undecided voters, Gov. Quinn’s image is 15/29, his job approval is 27/46 and his re-elect is 13% with 54% wanting a new person for Governor.
-Gov. Quinn leads female voter by 12 percentage points. Bruce Rauner leads male voters by 9 percentage points.
-Gov. Quinn leads Cook county by +28. Bruce Rauner leads rest of Chicago DMA by +15 and the rest of the state by +13.
-Among those who have heard of both candidates (83% of sample) it is 41/41. Among those who have an opinion of both (61% of sample) it is Bruce Rauner +4. Among those who are unfavorable to both (10% right now but this will grow) it is Gov. Quinn +12.
“The last month of the campaign will be a contest between Gov. Quinn’s ability to effectively demonize Rauner and Rauner’s ability to make those looking for a new governor comfortable with him as that choice,” said Dan Proft, President of Liberty Principles PAC.