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Afternoon news roundup

Wednesday, Dec 7, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

…Adding… Get well soon!…

U.S. Senator Tammy Duckworth (D-IL) issued the following statement after being diagnosed with COVID-19 today:

“At the guidance of the Attending Physician, I will be working in isolation through the end of this week after being diagnosed with COVID-19 today to keep my family, colleagues and staff as safe as possible. My symptoms remain mild and I am thankful that I’m fully vaccinated and double boosted, as I—and families of the more than one million Americans we’ve lost to this pandemic—know it could be much worse. I cannot encourage my fellow Americans more strongly to get vaccinated and continue getting your boosters as advised by medical professionals across the country and around the globe.”

* Crain’s

Gov. J.B. Pritzker says cannabis delivery, which is currently illegal in Illinois but offered in other states, is an idea worth considering. […]

Delivery services are legal in states such as Michigan, Florida, California, Maryland, Nevada and others. Uber Eats recently began delivery in Toronto.

Full Pritzker quote when asked about the topic today during the governor’s visit to Ivy Hall Dispensary

I think we’ve got to look into, you know, there are other locations across the country where this has become, you know, legally allowed and it’s something that I think we should just examine, what the impact has been there. But I don’t want, first blush and without the data in front of me, I think that as long as it is regulated, as long as we make sure that the person who’s ordering it, gets it and that they’re legally allowed to, then it would seem to me like the same as somebody coming into a store.

Ever wonder if he partakes?

* Our very own (but unrelated) US Rep. Mary Miller was one of the “No” votes


* Putting things into perspective…


* WBBM Radio

Chicago Transit Authority (CTA) management has been accused by a candidate for president of one of the CTA workers’ unions of unfairly and illegally attempting to thwart his campaign.

Erek Slater said management has repeatedly ordered him to leave CTA property when he’s attempted to meet with workers to campaign or discuss issues. […]

Slater said CTA management opposed his campaign because of his promises to confront the transit agency on issues including service delays and worker safety.

The CTA declined to comment on Slater’s claims.

* Press release…

Today, Illinois Mentor workers represented by SEIU Healthcare Illinois delivered petitions to five company locations. The petition addresses grievances including poverty wages, scheduling difficulties, understaffing, insufficient benefits, and a lack of dignity and respect.

SEIU Healthcare Illinois is currently at the bargaining table with Illinois Mentor, working to secure the first contract for workers.

Illinois Mentor, which recently acquired Sevita, has programs throughout the state, including host homes, supported living and in-home support. Despite worker shortages and skyrocketing inflation, Illinois Mentor management is refusing to put forward the full rate increase they received from the State that could go directly to their staff that directly support individuals with Intellectual and Developmental Disabilities. Instead, the company only passed on a partial amount of the money, even though its parent companies paid out a total of $475 million shareholder dividends the last three years.

Illinois Mentor locations where petitions were delivered include Carbondale, Swansea, Springfield, Tinley Park and Rockford.

“It’s not right that Illinois Mentor workers, even those who get full-time schedules, are living in poverty. Our families are suffering while the company rakes in millions in profits,” says Savannah McCoy, an Illinois Mentor worker from Springfield and an SEIU Healthcare member. “Illinois Mentor receives money from the state to boost our wages but doesn’t give us the full amount we’re entitled to. It’s time for the company to invest in those of us who serve on the frontlines.”

“Our Illinois Mentor workplaces have such high turnover due to the low wages, unaffordable health benefits and restrictive schedules, resulting in hardship for both workers and our clients,” says Rayniesha Gines, a worker with Illinois Mentor from Swansea and an SEIU Healthcare member. “Illinois Mentor is losing experienced Direct Support Professionals, which makes our jobs more difficult and creates unnecessary disruption for the individuals we support.”

“Benefits at Illinois Mentor are almost non-existent. Our health insurance premiums are so expensive that only 15% of workers sign up,” says Octavia Wheeler, a worker with Illinois Mentor from Alton and an SEIU Healthcare member. We’re working hard at the bargaining table, demanding that Illinois Mentor respect us, protect us, staff us and pay us, but today we took our message beyond the bargaining table and we’re ready to continue this fight until our voices are heard.”

* Durbin press release…

U.S. Senate Majority Whip Dick Durbin (D-IL) and Major League Baseball (MLB) announced a new requirement today to have extensive protective netting in place at all Professional Development League (PDL) ballparks. The fan safety initiative was adopted at the 2022 Winter Meetings after being unanimously approved by the MLB PDL Executive Board.

In June 2019, after repeated incidents of MLB fans being hit by foul balls, Durbin and U.S. Senator Tammy Duckworth (D-IL) wrote to MLB Commissioner Manfred urging him to have all 30 MLB teams extend protective netting to the right and left field corners at all ballparks. In December 2019, MLB announced that all 30 teams would extend protective netting during the next season. Durbin has continuously met with baseball safety advocates to discuss fan safety at MLB and Minor League Baseball games. […]

The requirements—which resulted from a comprehensive review of all 120 PDL ballparks that began several months ago—include the following:

    • PDL Clubs are required to install netting from foul pole to foul pole unless the configuration of the ballpark makes such coverage unnecessary.
    • The height requirement for the netting from behind home plate to the end of each dugout will be standardized across the PDL system.
    • PDL Clubs are to work with their respective facilities to complete installation as soon as practicable but in no event later than 2025 Opening Day.
    • Teams will be subject to discipline for non-compliance, including significant fines.

* Isabel’s roundup…

  31 Comments      


Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Supplement to today’s edition

Wednesday, Dec 7, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Question of the day: 2022 Golden Horseshoe Awards

Wednesday, Dec 7, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

* The 2022 Golden Horseshoe Award for Best Government Spokesperson is a tie. Eleni Demertzis

Its been said many times how Eleni is able to successfully to push the HGOP Caucus position on issues in the press. No brainer and she will be missed.

Yep and yep. For whatever reason, a few rank and file House Republicans think their press shop needs fixing. That opinion ignores all evidence.

And Abdon Pallasch

Abdon Pallasch is the Comptroller’s secret superweapon. Yes, she’s great — but Abdon is brilliant at communicating that greatness.

He’s also quite persistent. lol

Jordan Abudayyeh is deserving of a special mention here. Nobody works harder. Nobody.

* The 2022 Golden Horseshoe Award for Best Campaign Spokesperson goes to Natalie Edelstein

Natalie Edelstein hit the ground running in a state that doesn’t like nobody who nobody sent. She had to gain the trust of the reporters and the political class, and then deliver the earned media stories necessary to properly contextualize the Governor’s first term while cutting Richard Irvin (R-Ken Griffin) to the quick. After burying Mr. Irvin in the primary, she guided a communications strategy that kept JB’s positives at the forefront and executed a detailed “drip, drip” of Darren Bailey’s negatives at all the right moments in all the right ways. The margin speaks for itself, and earned communications was as much a part of it as great ads and a well-oiled operation.

I, too, wondered if an out-of-stater could thrive here. She surprised me.

Congratulations to all!

* On to today’s categories

    Best Illinois State Representative - Democrat

    Best Illinois State Representative - Republican

As always, do your best to nominate in both categories and make sure to explain your nominations or they won’t count. Thanks.

* And after you vote, please click here to help buy presents for foster kids who are in Lutheran Social Services of Illinois’ programs. Senate President Don Harmon and his spouse both deserve a shout-out for their generous contributions today. Thanks! We’re now above $29,000. That’s a new, inflation-adjusted online record and is far, far more than we ever raised during those City Club events. Every little bit helps, and presents average about $25 each, so let’s keep this going, please.

  32 Comments      


Your feel-good news for Wednesday

Wednesday, Dec 7, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

* SIU’s women’s basketball team is playing Tennessee State today at the Banterra Center. This morning’s game is being played in front of thousands of elementary school students…


What a cool thing to do. Plus, it may be the first time that many of these kids have been on the campus. Not a bad recruiting idea. Also, a pal texted me this earlier…

I love the idea of universities being active parts of the regional community.

More like this, please.

You can watch the game here.

…Adding… The Salukis won the game, 100-72. Great experience for those kids!…


  25 Comments      


Study looks into how declining fertility will impact state budgets

Wednesday, Dec 7, 2022 - Posted by Isabel Miller

* Illinois’ 2020 fertility rate dropped 19.2 percent from the 2001-2010 annual average, Pew reports

In the coming years, the degree to which the fertility rate reshapes state budgets will hinge on multiple issues affecting the total population. Several states’ total populations were already declining prior to the pandemic, and a third of states lost residents last year.

If there’s an X-factor in determining states’ future demographics, it’s migration. States can overcome reduced fertility levels by attracting residents from other states or abroad to boost their overall populations and add to their tax base. For instance, last year, deaths exceeded births in half of states, but migration easily offset the losses in states such as South Carolina and Tennessee. States are also contending with additional costs from increasing populations of older adults as well as Baby Boomers exiting the workforce. Although birth rates started falling around the beginning of the Great Recession, changes in the population of children since then pale in comparison to the rapidly growing number of Americans in their 60s and 70s. The aging of the population could further limit revenue growth and add to fiscal uncertainty, as discussed in a previous report commissioned by Pew. […]

Future trends in fertility are difficult for states to project. Oregon, for example, in 2020 estimated its deaths wouldn’t exceed births until after 2025, but now reports that the inversion already occurred as a result of the pandemic. There’s also much uncertainty around how, over the long term, low fertility rates will influence labor force productivity, women in the workforce, and other issues. […]

Today, most states find themselves in a relatively healthy fiscal position, with many enjoying robust budget surpluses. Fewer births in recent years have contributed appreciable cost savings. If low fertility persists, however, states will need to look more for other ways to grow their tax bases or they could face challenges over the long term.

* Fox 2

March of Dimes, a national nonprofit that advocates for and educates on infant health, released its 2022 report card earlier this month. Missouri and Illinois both received “D” grades in that report over preterm birth rates.

According to the March of Dimes, Missouri received a “D-” score with an 11.3% preterm birth rate and an infant mortality rate of 5.5 deaths per 1,000 live births. Illinois received a “D+” score with a 10.7% preterm birth rate and an infant mortality rate of 5.3 deaths per 1,000 live births.

Both individual report cards for Missouri and Illinois suggest the states should consider stronger policy measures regarding Medicaid expansion, midwifery, prenatal quality collaborative and maternal mortality review committees.

Nationally, March of Dimes reports that the U.S. preterm birth rate increased to 10.5% in 2021, a significant 4% increase in just one year and the highest recorded rate since 2007. The country’s overall grade was a “D+” over the crisis. Nine states received an “F” grade on their individual report cards.

* CBS Chicago

Dr. Gyamfi-Bannerman has spent years researching the problem at the University of California, San Diego. She said COVID did impact the way women access care – and there is also a big racial disparity here in Illinois.

A total of 14.9 percent of all babies born to Black women last year were pre-term – a rate significantly higher than other groups. The disparity widened in 2021. […]

So how do we fix it? [Kelly Hubbard, a Springfield-based policy analyst for the March of Dimes] says policy-wise, Illinois is actually doing everything it should be.

“But it comes down to making sure that we have hospitals and labor and delivery units available to all; that we aren’t prohibiting certain communities from getting the quality care that everyone deserves,” she said.

In another interesting finding, more moms had C-sections in 2021. It jumped nearly a full percentage point nationwide – meaning nearly one third of all babies were born via C-section.

* Last month Vox highlighted the shrinking future of higher education

In four years, the number of students graduating from high schools across the country will begin a sudden and precipitous decline, due to a rolling demographic aftershock of the Great Recession. Traumatized by uncertainty and unemployment, people decided to stop having kids during that period. But even as we climbed out of the recession, the birth rate kept dropping, and we are now starting to see the consequences on campuses everywhere. Classes will shrink, year after year, for most of the next two decades. People in the higher education industry call it “the enrollment cliff.”

Among the small number of elite colleges and research universities — think the Princetons and the Penn States — the cliff will be no big deal. These institutions have their pick of applicants and can easily keep classes full.

For everyone else, the consequences could be dire. In some places, the crisis has already begun. College enrollment began slowly receding after the millennial enrollment wave peaked in 2010, particularly in regions that were already experiencing below-average birth rates while simultaneously losing population to out-migration. Starved of students and the tuition revenue they bring, small private colleges in New England have begun to blink off the map. Regional public universities like Ship are enduring painful layoffs and consolidation. […]

The future looks very different in some parts of the country than in others, and will also vary among national four-year universities, regional universities like Ship, and community colleges. [Nathan Grawe, an economist at Carleton College] projects that, despite the overall demographic decline, demand for national four-year universities on the West Coast will increase by more than 7.5 percent between now and the mid-2030s. But in states like New York, Ohio, Michigan, Wisconsin, Illinois, and Louisiana, it will decline by 15 percent or more.

* More…

    * Today Show | Racial disparities in fertility care have persisted for years. Here’s why:The only reason she was able to cover the cost, she said, is that she lives in Illinois, one of few states that requires insurance companies to cover fertility treatments. She also received a grant from the Cade Foundation to cover additional costs. Townsend has since started her own advocacy organization, The Broken Brown Egg, which provides grants to people in similar situations.

    * Fox Illinois | US among most dangerous high-income countries for childbirth, report says: Policy experts at the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation said the crisis disproportionately affects people of color, which accounted for nearly 60% of those deaths, along with undocumented and incarcerated women, people experiencing intimate partner violence and those in the LGBTQ+ community.

    * Courthouse News | Researchers sound alarm on Illinois child care crisis: The studies, released in May and October, paint a grim picture of the current state of Illinois’ child care sector, finding parents face dwindling options and soaring prices for early child care services in the state while many workers in the industry live in poverty. It’s a trend, the studies conclude, that will not change without significant state intervention.

  17 Comments      


The red wave that wasn’t

Wednesday, Dec 7, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Pollsters John Anzalone and Matt Hogan

By all major political indicators, 2022 should have delivered the type of shellacking that the president’s party typically endures in midterm elections: Over 70% of voters believed the country was on the wrong track, 76% rated the economy negatively, and President Biden’s approval rating of 43% has historically resulted in a loss of about 40 House seats. Yet, despite these strong headwinds, Democrats and President Biden bucked history by holding the Senate and only narrowly losing the House of Representatives. So how did they do it?

* The topline answer

Democrats made this election a choice rather than a referendum on President Biden. Midterm elections are typically a referendum on the president, but Democrats outperformed the negative political environment by managing to make this one a choice instead. A choice not only on the economy and inflation, but also on issues like abortion and the state of our democracy, and on the quality of Republican candidates, many of whom expressed extreme views that alienated voters. Instead of a referendum on President Biden, Democrats managed to make the midterms a referendum on extreme GOP candidates like Oz, Masters, Walker, and others across the country.

In past midterm elections, even those voters who only somewhat disapproved of the president have heavily favored the opposition party in their vote for Congress. This was the case in both 2018 and 2014, when those who somewhat disapproved of Trump and Obama voted against each president’s party by more than 20 points. However, 2022 represented a dramatic reversal of this trend, with those who somewhat disapproved of President Biden favoring Democratic congressional candidates by a 25-point margin. Despite these voters’ dissatisfaction with Biden, they still strongly preferred his party in their vote for Congress.

* I excerpted some analysis highlights, which is supported by their polling data

Democrats won by winning over Independents, not by turning out their base.

Democrats were able to make this election a choice due to abortion and threats to democracy being as important to voters as inflation and the economy.

Abortion and threats to democracy resonated most strongly with different age groups, making them a potent combo for Democrats.

Democrats performed well among seniors thanks to these voters focus on threats to democracy and Social Security.

Late deciders did not heavily break towards Republicans. In midterms, those who don’t decide whom to vote for until late in the campaign typically break heavily against the president’s party. But this year, Republicans won those who decided whom to vote for in the last week by only 3 points, which was not nearly a big enough margin to create a red wave.

Voters, and especially Independents, expressed a clear desire for more bipartisanship. A key factor in Democrats’ ability to win over Independents was that these voters wanted more bipartisanship and felt Democratic candidates were more likely to deliver it.

The passage of the Inflation Reduction Act and CHIPS Act allowed Democrats to cut into the GOP advantage on the economy and reduce frustration over a lack of legislative accomplishments.

Democrats overperformed because voters disliked Republican candidates more, not because voters liked Democrats more than we thought.

Click here to read the full analysis.

  30 Comments      


Different ways of addressing violence across the state

Wednesday, Dec 7, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Crain’s

Fixing up abandoned homes can help reduce the gun violence plaguing U.S. cities, including Chicago, according to a new study in the Journal of the American Medical Association.

The authors found that areas with full remediation, which includes installing functioning doors and windows and clearing away trash and weeds, showed significant reductions in gun assaults (down 13%), weapons violations (down 8.4%) and shootings (down 7%). […]

In long-disinvested neighborhoods where abandoned houses are numerous, “the neighbors know that nobody cares about this place and all your illicit things can go down in there,” said Kanoya Ali, housing coordinator for Chicago CRED, the gun violence-reduction program co-founded by former U.S. Education Secretary Arne Duncan.

“In today’s lingo, they’re called trap houses,” Ali said. “You hide your guns in there. You do drugs in there, prostitution. Runaways think they can survive in an abandoned house.”

The study is here.

* Sobering news from Rockford

The number of domestic violence cases continues to rise annually in Rockford.

A group at Court Street United Methodist Church, 215 N Court St., is responding to the mayor’s public call to action, trying to let people know that there are resources out there if they are in need of help. […]

The solution is something that Rockford leaders are focusing on right now. Nearly 40% of the city’s violent crime comes from domestic violence. Counselors said that the number should actually be higher, considering that survivors will endure six to eight incidents of abuse on average before seeking help.

But

Rockford leaders partner with several area organizations on programs to reduce crime across the area and make the forest city a better place to live.

The city of Rockford shared a list of programs it’s launched that are geared towards reducing violent crime. I spoke with leaders behind those initiatives to find out how they plan to make Rockford a better place to live.

“It’s for individuals who’ve been released from parole or probation and are deemed as high risk by evidence of a risk that needs assessment,” said Mirlana Dokken, the chairman’s office criminal justice initiative director.

Between October 2021 and October 2022, violent crimes in Rockford dropped 4% - the number of shots fired calls fell 11%. Dokken credits that reduction to programs like Project Safe Neighborhood.

* Peoria

The Peoria Friendship House of Christian Service is reviving a program to help divert young people with misdemeanors away from violence.

The Peoria Peacekeepers Network is a restorative justice program bringing together young offenders with victims, family and community stakeholders to develop a plan to change their path.

“It’s important because, most of the time, they just get a slap on the wrist and this starts a file, it starts a caseload of things they actually have occurred or been involved in,” said Marcellus Sommerville, CEO of the Friendship House. “Usually, when they turn 18 they have a long list, a laundry list of minor offenses but it gets all reviewed and calculated. It’s in the judge’s hands, whereas this program is going to help erase some of those wrongs.”

Somerville says the program is a volunteer program, which means the youth participating have to admit fault. After the admission, they can be referred to the program by the Peoria Police Department or Peoria Public Schools. There is a limited number of offenses that apply for the program, like theft, property damage, disorderly conduct and drug possession.

“We could take on more in terms of higher level offenses,” said Sommerville. “But we’re currently in the state where we want to have minor offenses.”

After the referral, Sommerville says the victim and offender, as well as family and community representatives, are brought together at a meeting called the “peace circle.”

“It’s more like peer pressure, positive peer pressure on the person that’s offended,” said Sommerville. “Helping them better understand mentally what occurred during that process and how can we support both parties and help them come through the situation.”

* Carbondale

A needs assessment report produced by researchers at Southern Illinois University Carbondale has been completed and will assist city leaders as they determine how to direct resources to areas in the city most impacted by gun violence and employ evidence-based solutions.

The report provided an analysis of the nature of gun violence in Carbondale and offers recommendations for prevention and intervention initiatives.

Key findings include rising police calls, gun violence being concentrated in small areas and that a significant amount of gun-related incidents in Carbondale stem from a small number of repeat offenders involved in ongoing mutual conflicts.

“The findings didn’t catch us completely by surprise but did give us the data to create immediate and long-term strategies while also reinforcing strategies already in place,” Carbondale City Manager Gary Williams said.

  21 Comments      


RTA put temporary federal bailout money into its base spending, and now it faces a huge fiscal cliff

Wednesday, Dec 7, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Greg Hinz

By 2026, when federal COVID-relief funds that keep transit running at near-normal levels is set to expire, the operating agencies will be short $730 million a year, roughly 20% of total operating costs, the RTA says.

“If no action is taken, the (operating) agencies and their boards will be faced with difficult choices to cut service, raise fares, or both,” the report continues. “Actions to dramatically cut operating costs could include instituting major layoffs, route or line eliminations, service cuts, station closures, cancellation of capital improvement projects, and other drastic measures that will further damage our transit system and cause massive disruptions to the region’s economy, workforce, and communities.”

Rather than do that, the region should look to increased aid, possibly from the federal government but more likely from sources the state would have to approve. Among them: higher taxes on sales, motor fuels or both; extending the existing RTA sales tax to cover more services; a 5% boost in tolls on the Illinois Tollway; and, more long term, a congestion tax or tax on miles driven.

Such proposals likely will face stiff resistance, even from an Illinois General Assembly in which Democrats have a supermajority of seats in both the House and Senate. Past efforts to impose and expand the current RTA sales tax took years of hard politicking by advocates, and were enacted only with strong support from downtown Chicago businesses whose employees now work from home far more than they did prior to the pandemic.

How did this happen?

* Yvette Shields

The RTA’s service boards received a $3.5 billion federal pandemic lifeline that has plugged budget gaps since 2020. Relief will help balance budgets through 2025 with $1.4 billion from the Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security, or CARES Act; $500 million from the Coronavirus Response and Relief Supplemental Appropriations Act known as CRRSAA; and more than $1.5 billion from the American Rescue Plan Act.

The projected $730 million budget gap that results in 2026 if service levels are held steady is projected under 10-year financial planning estimates reviewed by agency officials who worked with Chicago Metropolitan Agency for Planning.

The full report is here.

  56 Comments      


Morning briefing

Wednesday, Dec 7, 2022 - Posted by Isabel Miller

* What do you guys think of this takeaway from a Republican legislator?…


  42 Comments      


Open thread

Wednesday, Dec 7, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

* What’s up today?

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Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today’s edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)

Wednesday, Dec 7, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Live coverage

Wednesday, Dec 7, 2022 - Posted by Isabel Miller

* Follow along with ScribbleLive


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