Polling averages, models, projections, etc.
Friday, Oct 31, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller
* Huffington Post…
* Real Clear Politics…
* Talking Points Memo…
* Bing.com…
* USA Today…
* ElectionProjection.com…
* 270toWin.com…
* More from Sabato…
That brings us to the seven Toss-ups. Because we now expect overtime in Georgia, we are calling that race a Toss-up, but at the end of the day it would be surprising if the Democrats ultimately won that seat. Also, and while we are keeping these races as Toss-ups in our ratings, it appears that Govs. John Hickenlooper (D-CO) and Pat Quinn (D-IL) have stabilized their positions, and they seem to have better than even odds to win second, full terms. So that’s three of the seven Toss-ups where we think the incumbent party is positioned to hold on, though we have not made picks yet and we reserve the right to change our minds before the end. Sen. Mark Udall’s (D-CO) seeming decline, in particular, could really hurt Hickenlooper.
Gut feeling?
