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M3 poll: 70 percent of Chicagoans oppose sending in the Army, 65 percent oppose National Guard intervention (Updated)

Friday, Aug 29, 2025 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Fox 32

A new poll from the group M3, sponsored by a conservative organization called Law and Order PAC, found that 70% of residents oppose President Donald Trump sending in the Army, while 65% oppose sending in the National Guard.

Oops.

…Adding… And, as Jake rightly notes, these oppositional numbers were high despite a very slanted question…


Question: “4. Recently, President Trump deployed National Guard troops to help local law enforcement make Washington D.C. safer. Since the Federal Government has stepped in, arrests are up and crime is down. But armed troops are visible, walking the streets, which critics argue is authoritarian. Please tell us whether you support the following ideas to help reduce violent crime in Chicago.”

* Methodology

M3 Strategies surveyed 668 General Election voters in Chicago, Illinois from August 26th - August 27th. The survey has a margin of error of 3.79%. Respondents were randomly selected from a pool of individuals who voted in the 2024 General Election and all responses were generated via MMS to web survey.

* However, this is not a reliable result

The results were notable when broken down by demographic. According to the poll, Hispanics were the group most likely to support military intervention. Forty percent supported sending in the Army, while 47% supported the National Guard.

An even higher percentage — 49% — supported more intervention from federal immigration enforcement officials.

Why do I say that?

The poll surveyed 668 Chicago voters. Of the respondents, 42.5% were white, 31% were Black and 12.3% were Hispanic, according to M3.

So that means only 82 Latino voters were surveyed. No way is that a reliable subset number. The MoE is astronomical. Plus, let’s see what happens to those numbers after ICE deals with the crazy chaos of Chicago’s Mexican Independence Day celebration.

* Meanwhile

The Trump administration is making plans for an immigration crackdown in Chicago that would involve 200 homeland security officials and the use of a naval base outside the city as a staging area, according to internal documents obtained by The New York Times.

The request to use a Naval Station in Illinois, drafted in recent days by the Homeland Security Department, suggested that the Trump administration was planning a sustained operation, potentially for the month of September. The request, should it be granted by the Defense Department, would be a notable example of the nation’s military resources being used for civilian law enforcement by an administration that has increasingly blurred the line between them. […]

The draft request for use of Naval Station Great Lakes near Chicago describes “30 days of operations in the Chicago Metropolitan area.” One U.S. official, who was not authorized to speak publicly, said that the Homeland Security Department had discussed using the base for immigration enforcement with the military. […]

A group of advance members from the homeland security team would arrive on Sep. 2, the document says. The request seeks space for 250 department personnel plus a “Tactical Operations Center” and an “Incident Command Post,” as well as bathrooms, laundry, parking for 140 vehicles and storage space for medical supplies and weapons like rubber bullets and tear gas.

More here and here.

  41 Comments      


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