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Bailey campaign counters Irvin with message that Bailey can beat Pritzker in November

Tuesday, Jun 14, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Sen. Darren Bailey is campaigning with Steve Cortes today. Cortes is a former Trump campaign advisor, who, according to Dan McLaughlin at National Review Online, is still “plugged into Trump’s inner circle.” I have no idea about that or whether Cortes is telling the truth, but here’s what he told the Bailey faithful out on the stump today

So I speak to President Trump very often. I’m speaking to him about this race. And he asked the smart question, he said, ‘Well, is it winnable in the fall? Is it winnable, can we beat, in a state like Illinois, right, that leans blue, is it possible to win?’

I told him, I said, Mr. President, let me tell you about polling and what has happened in the state of Illinois. According to Civiqs Polling, Joe Biden began his term with a positive 23% approval rating in Illinois. 57% approval, 34% disapprove when he took office. Right now, according to Civiqs Polling, updated as of yesterday, he’s at underwater 8. He’s at 41% approve 49% disapprove. In Illinois, a 31-point net implosion in polling for Joe Biden. Now, JB Pritzker’s policies are as bad or even worse than Joe Biden’s.

So that tells me, and this what I told President Trump, that tells me that, yes, Illinois, absolutely is in play. This is a wave election year, and we are going to send Mary Miller back to Washington DC and we’re going to put Darren Bailey in the governor’s office in Springfield.

Civiqs’ methodology is here.

And while Dick Uihlein has put $17 million behind Bailey’s primary so far, I seriously doubt he’d put nearly as much into the general as Ken Griffin likely will if Richard Irvin does win on June 28th. Also, will the cash-rich Republican Governors Association jump in? Likely only if the national playing field is as great for Republicans as Cortes’ fondest dreams. I also don’t see too many members of the GOP’s downtown donor class eagerly coalescing behind a guy who has heaped so much scorn on Chicago, tried to kick it out of Illinois and saying at one point that his running mate would oversee the city for him.

* Video

Your thoughts?

…Adding… DGA…

It’s been seven days since gubernatorial candidate Richard Irvin abandoned downstate voters in the final stretch leading up to the primary. One week ago, Irvin stopped running ads outside of the Chicago media market after reportedly admitting he can’t be himself downstate. With just two weeks left until the primary, Irvin’s pulling a hail mary — but voters aren’t buying it.

Not one but two new polls show Irvin down to uber-conservative extremist Darren Bailey by nearly a 2:1 ratio — and with early voting already underway, that’s the nail in the coffin for Richard Irvin’s failed run for governor.

Looks like ducking, dodging, and deflecting on the issues most important to voters doesn’t win them over. Even $50 million from billionaire megadonor Ken Griffin and months of campaigning couldn’t keep Irvin’s sinking campaign afloat.

“With far-right extremist Darren Bailey surging in the polls, the Irvin campaign is grasping at straws to reinvent itself and is ditching downstate voters in the process,” said DGA Illinois Press Secretary Yael Sheinfeld. “We already knew Irvin wasn’t interested in being a governor for all of Illinois. Now, voters know it, too — and they won’t forget at the ballot box.”

  50 Comments      


*** UPDATED x3 - Kaegi *** Rate the new TV ads from Schimpf, Bailey, DGA, Logemann and Preckwinkle

Tuesday, Jun 14, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Paul Schimpf’s introductory TV ad

* Sen. Darren Bailey’s latest

* DGA

* Press release…

Today, the Jonathan Logemann for Congress campaign announced the launch of its first TV ad of the primary for Illinois’ 17th Congressional District. The TV ad, titled “Tackle”, highlights Jonathan’s service to his country and his community–as an Afghanistan Veteran, a National Guardsman, a public high school teacher, and Alderman in Rockford.

The ad also highlights key elements of Jonathan’s platform, including making healthcare more affordable, fighting for the middle class, defending our Democracy, and standing up to Trump Republicans. As a local elected official, Jonathan’s experience tackling day-to-day issues in his community make him uniquely qualified to serve Illinois’ 17th District. Furthermore, his service in the National Guard and his leadership as a public school teacher and coach prepare him to take on issues facing key constituencies, such as our students, parents, veterans, and servicemembers.

The transcript of the ad is as follows:

“I’m Jonathan Logemann.

As a soldier, teacher, coach, alderman, and dad, I’ve taken on some big challenges.

Now, I’m running for Congress to tackle our toughest problems.

And it starts with standing up to Trump Republicans and corporate special interests:

To make healthcare more affordable;

Defend our Democracy;

And rebuild the middle class.

I’m Jonathan Logemann, and I approve this message, because I know we can tackle it all–together.”

The ad

* Press release…

Today, Cook County Board President Toni Preckwinkle is out with a broadcast television ad that focuses on her success in guiding Cook County’s health system during her three terms in office.

The ad, entitled “Done,” focuses on the many accomplishments Preckwinkle has gotten done regarding healthcare, including creating CountyCare, Cook County’s Medicaid managed care plan which has expanded healthcare access to over 400,000 residents.

The ad also previews her plans for the next term, which include expanding funding for mental health resources and creating a Department of Mental Health within the Cook County Health system.

“I’m proud of what we’ve accomplished in the Cook County health and hospital system during my tenure, especially during the last few years as our system guided residents through the pandemic,” said Preckwinkle. “I have established a proven and responsible record on healthcare management and look forward to continuing to advance and expand affordable, accessible healthcare in my next term.”

The 30-second spot will run today through the June 28 primary on broadcast networks.

Script:
“To see how Toni Preckwinkle will take on big challenges, just look at what she’s done.
Turning around Cook County’s neglected health and hospital system,
Creating CountyCare, expanding healthcare for four hundred thousand,
Strengthening assistance for survivors of domestic violence and assault,
And starting the County’s first Mental Health Service to help better respond to mental health emergencies.
Toni’s taken on tough fights and she’s not done yet.
Toni Preckwinkle, for County Board President.”

The spot

*** UPDATE 1 *** Kaegi going after Steele…

Cook County Assessor Fritz Kaegi released a third campaign ad on Tuesday, two weeks prior to the June 28 Democratic primary.

The ad, titled, “Scam Alert,” highlights the conflict of interest for Kaegi’s opponent, Commissioner Steele, and her husband Maze Jackson, a well known lobbyist for property developers.

“There is a better choice. Fritz Kaegi is endorsed by the Democratic Party and is standing up for middle class homeowners not rich landlords,” the ad says.

The ad will air on broadcast and cable television networks beginning Tuesday.

Full script:

Warning! Kari Steele’s campaign for County Assessor is a scam.

Steele’s husband, who is her top campaign adviser, is a paid lobbyist for wealthy downtown landlords.

They’ll get rich after Steele shifts the tax burden back onto middle class families…while she avoids paying her own property taxes by claiming an illegal exemption.

There’s a better choice. Fritz Kaegi is endorsed by the Democratic Party and is standing up for middle class homeowners—not rich landlords.

The spot

*** UPDATE 2 *** Steele campaign…

The Kaegi ad is a lie. A complete fabrication. Period.

A property on S. Chappel Avenue in Chicago is currently owned by Kari Steele’s mother, Christine Steele. Her mother, who also owns a property in Texas, claims a homestead exemption on this property.

Kari Steele’s name is on the property tax bill to ensure she receives the bill and is able to make sure it gets paid by her mother, as her mother is often out of town. She does not own, or have any ownership stake in the Chappel property. All ongoing expenses related to the property are maintained by her mother, including the property tax.

Kaegi is as incompetent as a candidate as he is as the incumbent Assessor.

Steele’s lawyers will soon have word with Kaegi’s campaign.

*** UPDATE 3 *** Crain’s covered this back in May

“Our initial findings appear to show the property does not qualify for a homeowner’s exemption, as public records indicate both Kari and Christine Steele list primary residences elsewhere,” Assessor spokesman Scott Smith tells Crain’s in an email.

Kari Steele’s permanent residence is on Madison Street and her mother is receiving a homeowners’ exemption (and is registered to vote) in Texas. The exemption is only supposed to be applied to an owners’ primary residence. “These facts would make the property ineligible for a homeowner’s exemption,” Smith says.

Steele’s camp says her mother is a snowbird who lives part-time in Texas. Kari Steele lived at Chappel until 2016 and only receives the bill so her mother doesn’t miss it while she’s away.

The home has received the tax break since 2006. Kaegi’s office will reach out “to request proof of residency in Cook County.” Christine Steele could be billed for the past four years—roughly $2,800—if she can’t prove Chappel is her primary home.

  20 Comments      


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* Isabel’s morning briefing
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