Capitol Fax.com - Your Illinois News Radar » Polls
SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax      Advertise Here      Mobile Version     Exclusive Subscriber Content     Updated Posts    Contact
CapitolFax.com
To subscribe to Capitol Fax, click here.
Fairley drops $100K into her AG race

Monday, Nov 6, 2017

* Hmm

Illinois attorney general candidate Sharon Fairley, a former federal prosecutor, is pumping $100,000 into her candidacy today, her campaign tells us. That places Fairley, who left her post overseeing a Chicago police oversight group to run for attorney general, in a competitive position financially. It’s a competition for Dem dollars among the many candidates running in the Democratic primary. Last week, Rod Blagojevich attorney Aaron Goldstein contributed $50,000 to his campaign fund. Sen. Kwame Raoul reported having about $400,000 in his account.

Unless Fairley has lots more money where that came from, Nancy Rotering is the woman candidate who is doing the best fundraising job so far. She’s raised about the same amount as Fairley, $174K since October 3rd, but Rotering’s largest contributions were at the $5600 cap.

The bottom line, though, is that Fairley’s contribution to herself will help her scale up her campaign. Let’s see what the first-time candidate does with the cash.

* Meanwhile

Quinn benefits from high name recognition and a record of involvement in consumer and environmental protection, said Bradley.

However, he said, “His drawback is the most recent thing people will remember is his time as governor.”

Jackson said Quinn has to be considered a front-runner at this point, although “he’s got baggage” and the most recent poll he saw put Quinn’s support at only 28 percent.

“It all depends on the campaign he runs,” said Jackson. “He’s never been a great fundraiser.”

Quinn raised a bunch of money in 2014. And a former governor polling at 28 percent is not good at all, and was probably a significant reason why the Cook County Democrats weren’t all that concerned about slating Sen. Raoul over Quinn.

* From that poll

Quinn claims the statewide phone poll of 1,047 likely Democratic voters conducted this month by Public Policy Polling shows him leading six contenders vying to become the state’s top legal eagle, netting him an overall lead with 28 percent of the vote. […]

According to Quinn, the poll included several announced or potential candidates for Illinois attorney general. State Sen. Kwame Raoul came in second with 12 percent, State Rep. Scott Drury with 4 percent, former Chicago Civilian Office of Police Accountability chief administrator Sharon Fairley with 2 percent, Water Reclamation Board President Mariyana Spyropoulos with 2 percent, Chicago Park District Board President Jesse Ruiz with 5 percent and Highland Park Mayor Nancy Rotering with 3 percent. […]

He also claims he led among all racial groups, with Raoul coming in with 23 percent to Quinn’s 25 percent among African-Americans. For Hispanic voters polled, Ruiz came in with 31 percent to Quinn’s 32 percent.

“Amongst white voters, I led with 30 percent” said Quinn.

Not great.

* Related…

* Hinz: My take on the army of Illinois attorney general candidates

- Posted by Rich Miller   8 Comments      


“It’s hard to see a path” for Ives’ success

Monday, Nov 6, 2017

* My weekly syndicated newspaper column is back in the Chicago Sun-Times

Until recently, state Rep. Jeanne Ives (R-Wheaton) had been passing separate nominating petitions for both her re-election to the Illinois House and a possible primary bid for governor against incumbent Republican Bruce Rauner.

The ultra-conservative firebrand now says she has stopped passing re-election petitions. But if a recent poll is any indication, Rep. Ives might want to keep her House re-election bid alive because the state’s Republican Party may not be nearly as divided as some GOP politicians have been claiming it is.

A Capitol Fax/We Ask America poll found that 61 percent of 1,064 likely Republican voters had a favorable impression of Gov. Rauner. Just 24 percent had an unfavorable opinion, despite the fact that he has been taking enormous heat from his right flank ever since he signed a publicly funded abortion on demand bill into law in late September.

The intensely outspoken anger directed at Rauner over the abortion bill, which he promised to veto last spring, is pretty much without precedent. “In the face of overwhelming evidence of Rauner’s inability to competently administer the Illinois government, inability to stand up to Mike Madigan effectively, and inability to keep his word and his commitments, I can no longer support him,” said Rep. Peter Breen (R-Lombard) after Rauner signed the bill. “And whether or not they are able to agree publicly, I know hundreds of elected Republicans, along with hundreds of thousands of Republican voters, who feel the same way I do.”

Maybe not.

We didn’t test President Donald Trump in this poll, but nationally he’s been getting somewhere between 80 and 85 percent support from members of his own party. So while Rauner has some very real problems when compared with Trump, is the opposition stiff enough to actually take him out in the primary?

The poll, conducted for my newsletter subscribers Oct. 25-29, found Gov. Rauner is leading Rep. Ives 64-19, with 16 percent undecided. The poll had a margin of error of +/-3 percent.

Rep. Ives told the Daily Herald not long ago that she had commitments for “hundreds of thousands of dollars” in contributions. But she’s gonna need a whole lot more than that because almost nobody knows who she is.

According to the poll, 83 percent of Republican voters have never heard of Ives.

Rep. Ives can tap into a strong statewide network of seasoned pro-life activists to collect enough signatures to get her onto the ballot against Rauner. And while that network also can generate lots of word of mouth for her candidacy (including via social media), it has historically never generated the kind of money that Ives will need to compete with the deep-pockets Rauner.

If no millionaire surfaces to fund her campaign, she’ll need to tap into national small-dollar sources. So, it was somewhat surprising that Rep. Ives did not try to use her kickoff to closely tie herself to President Donald Trump. She never uttered his name during a long Illinois Channel television interview and didn’t appear to mention her party’s national leader when she launched her petition drive. That’s probably the easiest way to attract national attention and support, particularly since Gov. Rauner is so reticent to comment on anything the president says or does.

According to the poll, 85 percent of Downstaters and suburban Cook voters have never heard of Ives, and neither has 78 percent of collar county suburbanites.

Gov. Rauner’s Downstate lead over Rep. Ives is 65-17. It’s 67-16 in suburban Cook County and 65-22 in the collars.

Among men, Rauner leads 69-21 with 10 percent undecided. Among women, it’s 60-17, with 23 percent undecided. Forty-seven percent of the respondents were mobile phone users.

Her only “bright spot” is Chicago, where Rauner’s lead is 41-34. Even so, 76 percent of Chicagoans say they’ve never heard of her, meaning they chose her without knowing who she is. Chicago is the only region where Rauner’s favorability is upside down. Just 40 percent have a favorable opinion versus 49 percent who have an unfavorable view.

“It won’t be easy to convince potential deep-pocket contributors that she has a fighting chance,” said pollster Gregg Durham of Rep. Ives. “In this first, albeit early poll, it’s hard to see a path for her success should she decide to take the plunge into these very treacherous waters.”

- Posted by Rich Miller   29 Comments      


« NEWER POSTS PREVIOUS POSTS »
* Reader comments closed for Thanksgiving
* Campaign miscellaneous
* Question of the day
* Rauner's appointees kept Illinois in Crosscheck
* Illinois Policy Institute's lobbying arm got $2.5 million last year from group that bankrolled Merrick Garland fight
* There's more to Springfield than horseshoes
* Pritzker unveils opioid plan
* *** UPDATED x1 - Mendoza responds *** Rauner admin: "There can be no assurance that a budget will be enacted in future fiscal years"
* New Proft TV ad claims Durkin and Madigan "like Illinois state government just as it is"
* Rauner: "Illinois is at the edge of disaster"
* Shimkus won't endorse in gubernatorial primary
* Pritzker is taking a page from Rauner's 2014 campaign (in a good way)
* Biss wants more tax return details
* *** UPDATED x5 - Pritzker, ILGOP, Pritzker, Rauner, ILGOP respond *** Pritzker clarifies tax stance after Crain's interview
* Sen. Murphy endorses Silverstein challenger
* State GOP again demands that Durbin and Duckworth give away their Franken money
* Yesterday's stories

Support CapitolFax.com
Visit our advertisers...

...............

...............

...............
<


Loading


* BROWN: State wrong to chase Annie (and others) .....
* EDITORIAL: State’s attorney’s office heads in w.....
* In Illinois, battle looms over term limits - Qu.....
* In Cairo on Tuesday, Comptroller Mendoza calls .....
* OUR VIEW: What’s the blueprint to political suc.....
* Sen. Pamela Althoff to run for McHenry County B.....
* CAPITOL FAX: Local 150 and Dan Proft: The enemy.....
* OUR VIEW: What's the blueprint to political suc.....


* 4 children, 2 adults killed in rural northern Illinois fire
* The Latest: Victims of rural Illinois fire identified
* French company wins world rights to Purdue-affiliated apple
* Chicago renews legal fund for immigrants facing deportation
* Family of man slain in traffic stop sues Rockford
* Cook County cuts hundreds of jobs after soda tax repeal
* Chicago aldermen approve Mayor Emanuel's 2018 city budget
* Nebraska, Iowa students raise awareness of veteran suicide
* Judge revokes bond for Arkansas sports memorabilia collector
* Chicago police board will review 2012 fatal shooting of teen

* House task force to review sexual harassment
* Electric cars, better fuel efficiency spell doom for Illinois gas tax
* Springfield wants out of legislation limiting payments for 5G antennas
* Fact check: Are Gov. Rauner's grandparents immigrants?
* Londrigan accused of attacking Davis for 'opposite' of remarks
* Gov. Rauner signs sex harassment legislation
* Under the Dome Podcast: Governor's race, sexual harassment, Rodney Davis
* Macoupin Co. highway renamed in honor of soldier who died in Vietnam
* Schoenburg: Rep. Davis leads new caucus, pleased with White House access
* Fact check: Speaker Madigan says ethics commission was functioning

* Uber concealed cyberattack that exposed 57 million people's data
* Would you pay $20 for a nap?
* The best events to kick off the holidays
* House tax bill is littered with loopholes for Wall Street's wealthiest
* Republicans' sprint to a tax overhaul: Public votes, private talks


* For ‘Three Billboards’ role, Frances McDormand looked to John Wayne
* EDITORIAL: State’s attorney’s office heads in wiser direction
* ’70s teen idol and ‘Partridge Family’ star David Cassidy dies at 67
* Uber reveals cover-up of hack affecting 57M riders, drivers
* Ex-Bears great Brian Urlacher a Pro Football Hall of Fame semifinalist
* Miami gets bump to No. 2 behind Alabama in CFP rankings
* Lawsuit filed against city, driver in fatal crash on Far South Side
* ‘Chicago P.D.’ star reprimanded after investigation of anger issues
* 70-year-old woman dies in Palos Hills bedroom fire
* ‘Roman J. Israel, Esq.’ waylays a winning Denzel Washington character


* Former teen idol David Cassidy, singing star of 'Partridge Family,' dies at 67
* 'We will not be silenced:' Palos Township meeting unravels after activists confront controversial trustee
* How Trump is building a bureaucratic wall to keep out immigrants
* Uber concealed cyberattack that exposed 57 million people's data
* Police: Detectives re-open investigation into Walmart death ruled homicide
* Brian Urlacher named semifinalist for Pro Football Hall of Fame
* Blackhawks seek keeping net as empty as possible against high-scoring Lightning
* Rex Tillerson is underrated
* Charles Manson made a brief stop in ‘sweet’ Peoria on his way to murderous infamy
* Cook County Board approves budget with 321 layoffs


» How Chicago’s New Budget Could Affect You In 2018 — And Beyond
» How A Chicago Cop Sentenced To Prison Could Affect The Jason Van Dyke Trial
» Illinois Lawmaker's Plan To Combat Opioid Abuse With Cannabis
» Black Lives Matter Takes On Hunger With New Food Box
» State Week: Are Voters Thinking About 2018?
» WATCH-LISTEN: State Budget Forum - Edwardsville
» Legislative Checklist: Veto Session
» How 3 Women Want To Make Illinois’ Political Future Female
» Illinois Supreme Court Weighing Seizure Of Woman’s Harley
» Illinois Supreme Court Weighing Seizure Of Woman's Harley


* Byron York: Six scenarios for GOP disaster in Roy Moore Senate race
* E.J. Dionne: A fight more pressing than Democratic squabbling
* Our View: Don’t forget to ‘shop small’ this holiday season
* Catherine Rampell: The GOP readies itself to welcome Roy Moore
* Thanksgiving Beef: Your guide to a safe carving of political conversation in 2017
* Marc A. Thiessen: Trump should make sure Roy Moore drops out
* House task force to review sexual harassment
* Rex Huppke: Moment of reckoning for swinish behavior is here
* George Will: In Illinois, a looming battle over the bankrupting 'blue model'
* Bernard Schoenburg: Ives says Rauner joined 'ruling class' he was to fight


* Crews battle house fire in Alorton off of Illinois 15
* 'We all love him': Howard Buffett inducted into Decatur Wall of Fame
* Fatal multi-vehicle crash closes I-55 southbound near Hamel
* PHOTOS: 65th Annual Community Thanksgiving Luncheon
* Shiloh man brings injured baby to hospital, saying he found her in trash bin, police say
* Two Illinois residents win big at lottery this week
* In Cairo on Tuesday, Comptroller Mendoza calls Gov. Rauner 'All Carhartt and no heart'
* Fire calls
* Police reports
* Body found behind Cahokia Walmart


* Teen idol David Cassidy, 'Partridge Family' star, dies at 67
* Schaumburg mom who killed disabled daughter ordered back to prison
* Life Time opponent wants Lake Zurich engineer ousted
* Former teen idol David Cassidy of "The Partridge Family" fame has died at age 67, publicist says
* California shooter was frequent subject of police calls

* Rep. Randy Hultgren congratulates McHenry ...
* 3 suburban GOP reps provide crucial votes ...
* Panel encourages women to consider careers...
* DOJ to ban US lawmakers should Duterte ord...
* Geneva Chamber honors Gaines for 40 years ...
* US lawmakers to Duterte: 'Sovereignty does...
* Congressman Anticipates Consumer Financial...
* Local Congressmen React to the Passage of ...
* Hultgren and Ruppersberger: Protect infras...
* Hultgren whishes McHenry County College a ...

* This RSS feed URL is deprecated...

* This RSS feed URL is deprecated...

* The unbearable lightness of Justice League
* Tony at the Red Line Tap. The divine right of guys.
* Illinois’ teacher shortage and pension theft.
* The [Friday] Papers
* The [Thanksgiving 2017] Papers
* With Massive Handouts To Sinclair, FCC Clears Path For New Wave Of Media Consolidation
* Record Waterfowl Count Along Mississippi Flyway
* Sixties garage rockers the Royal Flairs are best remembered for the macabre single ‘Suicide’
* Todd Stroger is running against Toni Preckwinkle for Cook County Board president, and other Chicago news
* The [Thursday] Papers


* Illinois Awarded Funds to Offer Advanced Training on Detecting Impaired Driving
* Illinois EPA Announces Upcoming Household Hazardous Waste Collection Events
* IEMA Highlights Emergency Preparedness for People with Access and Functional Needs in May - Ready Illinois website offers preparedness tips for people, caregivers
* First Lady Launches Illinois Family Connects
* Governor and Lt. Governor Unveil 2016 Journal of Local Government Shared Service Best Practices

  
* Apple cuts back on in-house R&D for Micro-LED
* AppLovin scraps acquisition and takes debt financing instead
* FCC will vote to kill Title II web protections, hurt net neutrality on December 14
* Google has been tracking your phone’s location, even with location turned off
* Uber hid data breach from customers, paid hackers to keep silent
* Google Lens in the Assistant starts rolling out to all Pixel users
* Tronsmart has a big sale on Amazon through November 27th

* Climb machine: Eloy working way up to MLB
* First year of White Sox rebuild closing with 40-man maneuvering
* White Sox add five to 40-man roster, remove two
* Sox add top prospect Jimenez to 40-man
* Thome joins Hall hopefuls in 1st time on ballot
* Podcast: The calm before the storm
* New Prolight 59Fifty Spring Training caps are in


Main Menu
Home
Illinois
YouTube
Pundit rankings
Obama
Subscriber Content
Durbin
Burris
Blagojevich Trial
Advertising
Updated Posts
Polls

Archives
November 2017
October 2017
September 2017
August 2017
July 2017
June 2017
May 2017
April 2017
March 2017
February 2017
January 2017
December 2016
November 2016
October 2016
September 2016
August 2016
July 2016
June 2016
May 2016
April 2016
March 2016
February 2016
January 2016
December 2015
November 2015
October 2015
September 2015
August 2015
July 2015
June 2015
May 2015
April 2015
March 2015
February 2015
January 2015
December 2014
November 2014
October 2014
September 2014
August 2014
July 2014
June 2014
May 2014
April 2014
March 2014
February 2014
January 2014
December 2013
November 2013
October 2013
September 2013
August 2013
July 2013
June 2013
May 2013
April 2013
March 2013
February 2013
January 2013
December 2012
November 2012
October 2012
September 2012
August 2012
July 2012
June 2012
May 2012
April 2012
March 2012
February 2012
January 2012
December 2011
November 2011
October 2011
September 2011
August 2011
July 2011
June 2011
May 2011
April 2011
March 2011
February 2011
January 2011
December 2010
November 2010
October 2010
September 2010
August 2010
July 2010
June 2010
May 2010
April 2010
March 2010
February 2010
January 2010
December 2009
November 2009
October 2009
September 2009
August 2009
July 2009
June 2009
May 2009
April 2009
March 2009
February 2009
January 2009
December 2008
November 2008
October 2008
September 2008
August 2008
July 2008
June 2008
May 2008
April 2008
March 2008
February 2008
January 2008
December 2007
November 2007
October 2007
September 2007
August 2007
July 2007
June 2007
May 2007
April 2007
March 2007
February 2007
January 2007
December 2006
November 2006
October 2006
September 2006
August 2006
July 2006
June 2006
May 2006
April 2006
March 2006
February 2006
January 2006
December 2005
April 2005
March 2005
February 2005
January 2005
December 2004
November 2004
October 2004

Blog*Spot Archives
November 2005
October 2005
September 2005
August 2005
July 2005
June 2005
May 2005

Syndication

RSS Feed 2.0
Comments RSS 2.0
WordPress




Hosted by MCS SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax Advertise Here Mobile Version Contact Rich Miller