Let’s wait a while before jumping to conclusions
Wednesday, Jul 20, 2016 - Posted by Rich Miller * CBS 2…
Actually, it’s very much “heard of.” * In mid-July of 2008, one Michigan pollster had Barack Obama ahead of John McCain by a mere 2 points. Obama went on to win the state by 16.4 points. Around this time in July of 2012, a Michigan pollster had Mitt Romney actually leading Obama by a point. Obama won by 9.5 * Now, this isn’t to say that Trump will lose Michigan. I have no idea. Hillary Clinton is yet again running as a cautious incumbent in an environment that does not love cautious incumbents. But what I do know is that early presidential polling is notoriously weird. You may remember early June of 1992, when Bill Clinton was polling in third place nationally behind President George HW Bush and Ross Perot, who was leading the pack at the time. That lead didn’t last. We have to wait until after both conventions are finished and voters have had some time to process things before the polls start to make sense. * And Illinois? Please. I thought Lewandowski works for CNN now. He’s sure not talking like an analyst.
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Poll: Most biz leaders not loving Chicago politics
Tuesday, Jul 12, 2016 - Posted by Rich Miller * Greg Hinz…
* From the poll’s executive summary…
Full results are here.
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