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Friday, Oct 8, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Supreme Court Chief Justice Tom Kilbride’s campaign says that three radio stations, including WLS Radio in Chicago, have decided to at least temporarily pull an ad by JustPAC that was posted on the blog yesterday. The campaign claims the ad includes false statements about the Justice. WLS says the ad is suspended until at least Monday to give them time to check out the facts involved. The other stations are WRXQ and WGFA.

* Now, on to much more pleasant matters. My grandmother’s 90th birthday party is this weekend. People are coming from all over the country for the event. We usually get together every five years to celebrate with Gramma. She’s more than just the family matriarch. She’s the glue that holds it all together.

Gramma was born in Kentucky and she’s always loved music. So, this one’s for her. Happy birthday, Gramma. See you soon


  Comments Off      


Off-message

Friday, Oct 8, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* OK, this is a bit much

When it comes to managing the state, Republican Bill Brady says Gov. Pat Quinn is worse than former Gov. Rod Blagojevich.

“There’s no question,” Brady told reporters during a campaign swing through central Illinois Thursday. “In terms of fiscal mismanagement this administration is far worse than the Blagojevich six years.”

Pat Quinn is not a good manager, but he didn’t get us into this mess.

And “Rod Blagojevich was better” is not really a message that will sell with voters. So why bother? Brady has been off his game since his campaign ran that anti-union ad last week and polls showed a tightening race. Stick to the message, man.

* The same thing goes for Gov. Quinn

Gov. Pat Quinn said Tuesday he believes civil unions, agreements legally recognized to give gay and lesbian partners rights and benefits, could be passed into law by the time “Christmas comes around.

“The votes are there, I believe, Quinn said. “In the Senate for sure, and definitely I think we can do it in the House. […]

While he believes there is enough support among Democrats and Republicans for a new General Assembly to pass the measure in 2011, he said he thinks it will be taken up before then, during the fall veto session.

“I think we can pass it this year. I would like to see it voted on earlier, Quinn said.

Why the public desire to push a plan like that through a lame duck General Assembly? Stick to the economy, governor.

* And the president should’ve known better last night

We also — if I’m not mistaken, we’ve got the junior senator from Illinois, Roland Burris, in the house. Where’s Roland? There he is right there. (Applause.) Appreciate Roland for his outstanding service.

“Outstanding service”? He’s just lucky nobody picked up on that.

  20 Comments      


*** UPDATED x1 *** Another Chicago media overreaction

Friday, Oct 8, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* With everything going on in the city and the state and the country, the Sun-Times choose to front-page a story about how Rev. Sen. James Meeks will continue to serve as a pastor if he’s elected mayor. And this part is just silly

His steadfast refusal to leave the pulpit could rule him out as the consensus black candidate for mayor, according to sources familiar with the protracted selection process. That would leave former U.S. Senator Carol Moseley-Braun and Board of Review Commissioner Larry Rogers as front-runners.

I have “news” for you. There won’t be a single, consensus black candidate chosen by the hierarchy. There’s just too much ego and division out there.

More on that subject deeper in the story…

Asked whether he would run, even if he’s not the consensus black candidate, Meeks said, “I’m not prepared to answer that question at this time.”

But, he said, “I am concerned — and I have shared this with the group — that the longer they take, the more difficult it’s going to be for a consensus candidate to get up and running. That’s why I put everything together already, regardless of that process.”

With 22,000 parishioners and 25,000 signatures already gathered, Meeks enters the race with arguably the biggest base.

Yep.

* After looking around at today’s stories and columns, I appear to be in the minority when I say that Meeks’ decision to remain a preacher doesn’t particularly bother me, as long as he can confine it to the weekends. If he can get somebody to run the actual business of the church (the school, the activities, etc.), then it’s basically just a speaking gig. There are some who are appalled at this mixing of religion and politics, but I don’t feel particularly threatened by it. So, I agree with Dick Durbin

Rev. James Meeks is taking some heat for refusing to give up his pulpit if he’s elected mayor. […]

“He has every right to do that. The only question is, will you have time to do both? And that’s the question he’ll have to answer,” Durbin said.

Durbin said he doesn’t believe this is an issue of separation of church and state.

“I think you could make a good break there in terms of his role as mayor and his role as pastor. I don’t see a problem with that,” Durbin said.

Neither do I.

*** UPDATE *** It looks like Meeks has clarified a bit

Rev. Meeks says he was asked earlier in the week if he intended to step down and replied no. But he wasn’t asked if that position is subject to change later, he says.

In fact, “There’s always a possibility I could reduce my role” in the church — even though the church now has four pastors and an adminstrator, all full-time, he says.

Does that mean he might, say, become pastor emeritus? “If I became mayor of Chciago and I saw the necessity to do that, I might,” he replies. “I’d be dedicated to the mayor’s job seven days a week, 24 hours a day.”

Seems reasonable.

[ *** End Of Update *** ]

* James Warren was right to think that Rahm Emanuel’s “listening tour” made him look like an out of touch alien

You don’t necessarily exploit a candidate’s strengths by touring parts of the city he doesn’t know well, or by chowing down on supposedly working-class cuisine.

For one, it might look like the candidate doesn’t know the town or its food. It was one thing for Hillary Rodham Clinton, an out-of-stater, to do a “listening tour” of New York State when she ran for the United States Senate. But Mr. Emanuel is a Chicago resident.

There are “Chicago residents” and then there are “Chicago residents.” He hasn’t been a real one in a while, if ever. He was impressed by Ricobene’s? That’s an every-day stop for a whole lot of Chicagoans. It’s like standing under the L tracks and marveling at how loud the trains are.

* Mark Halperin, who grew up in Maryland and is based in DC, pens a love note to Rahm and is just all tingly about the guy’s chances

His bid already has been the subject of a “Saturday Night Live” sketch and a New York Times front-page photo featuring a Chicago voter starting with surprise at the sight of the new candidate out on the campaign trail.

Check out the goofy photo posted on Halperin’s breathless mash note…

* Just so you know, my intention at the moment is to at least temporarily move back to Chicago after the veto session to get a daily view of the mayor’s campaign. I don’t think I can pass up the chance to see this thing first-hand. I’ll commute from the city to Springfield for session days, just like I used to before I bought a house down here.

* And now for some state stuff. From the producer of WBEZ’s The Best Game in Town…

We’re less than a month away from the state-wide election. Host Steve Edwards brings together a panel of political insiders to give us a gut-check on the status of some of the tight races, including U.S. Senate and Illinois Governor.

Scott McPherson, Rebecca Siv and Audra Wilson join Steve at Lou Mitchell’s Restaurant on West Jackson Street in Chicago.

Click here for your exclusive advance copy.

* Rahmup…

* Meeks’ mistake, Rahm’s tech tour

* Meeks won’t leave megachurch if elected mayor

* Steinberg: What will Meeks tell his flock about gays?

* Meeks: “I Talked Family, Not Politics” With President”

* Rahm-for-Mayor Campaign Starts to Take Shape: Rahm Emanuel has named African-American businesswoman Mellody Hobson to co-chair his campaign to become mayor of Chicago. “He’s been a very long-term friend,” she said in a phone interview, “and I think he’s extraordinarily competent and capable.”

* Wilfredo De Jesus running for Chicago mayor

* “Have You Seen My Chief of Staff?”

* Party loyalty? Matter of convenience for Berrios: Lectures about party loyalty are especially hypocritical coming from a guy like Berrios who twice jumped party lines, crossing over to the Republican side to support former Govs. Jim Edgar and George Ryan. Was it principle that made him abandon his party’s nominees, as it is in the case of those supporting Claypool? Sorry, no principles involved. He got some patronage jobs — and he was not the only Democratic committeeman to cut similar deals.

  23 Comments      


Question of the day

Friday, Oct 8, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* From the Sun-Times

State Republican Party Chair Pat Brady said that Obama’s need to appear in his home state — which is supposed to be the bluest of the blue — just 26 days before Election Day shows the Democrats fear a Republican landslide in Illinois and around the country.

Democratic campaign strategist David Plouffe said voters should take the opposite message: “I can assure you, if we didn’t think Alexi could get to 50%, then the president and the vice president would not be campaigning there. When you’ve got this many competitive elections, you have to make sure you’re spending your time and your resources and your effort in places where you see a pathway to victory.”

* The Question: Which one is right? Explain.

  26 Comments      


*** UPDATED x2 *** Bad moves all around in congressional races

Friday, Oct 8, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* From the Chicago Republican Party’s official website

Since the Chicago Tribune endorsed Chicago Democratic bums for Congress, it is only fair you know who some of these bums are.

And the photos…

Hey, doofuses. You want to get taken seriously? Stop doing idiotic stuff like this.

…Adding… Illinois Republican Party Chairman Pat Brady just called to make it extra special clear that the state GOP has nothing to do with these Chicago jokers. Brady has had some go-arounds with those clowns, and he was clearly upset at that ridiculous posting.

*** UPDATE 1 *** Peter Bella, the executive director of the Chicago Republican Party has pulled down his post. But you can still see it at Bella’s blog. If he pulls that one down, I have a cache of the original. Bella also has another post at the Chicago GOP website entitled: Bring Back the Bums!

Instead of a hearty endorsement to throw the bums out, the Tribune decided they love bums.

Jan Schakowsky, Luis Gutierrez, Bobby Rush, Melissa Bean, Jesse Jackson Jr., Mike Quigley, and Danny Davis. Bums one and all.

Class act, that guy.

*** UPDATE 2 *** From a press release…

Statement from Illinois GOP Chairman Pat Brady

(CHICAGO) – Illinois Republican Party Chairman Pat Brady today released the following statement in response to the “Chicago Bums” post on the Chicago Republican Party’s web site:

“I am appalled at the actions of the Chicago Republican Party. This is not what the Illinois GOP stands for, nor condones in any way. We have instructed the appropriate individuals to remove the offensive material immediately.”

[ *** End Of Updates *** ]

* Speaking of foul

The campaign manager for Congresswoman Jan Schakowsky is taking heat for an expletive-laced Twitter post about opponents of the proposed Islamic community center and mosque near ground zero in New York.

At the conservative National Review, publication National Review, blogger Jim Geraghty noted Alex Armour posted a message on his open Twitter page declaring opponents were “(expletive) dumb (expletive) who haven’t read the 1st amndmnt .

Ugh.

* It looks like Congressman Phil Hare has been edited into infamy again

Conservative media are pushing a deceptively cropped video of Rep. Phil Hare (D-IL) to claim he “doesn’t believe the national debt is real.” In fact, the context of Hare’s remarks make clear he was referring to the “myth” that you can’t “just can’t spend” to put “people back to work” because “this country is in debt,” an opinion with which liberal and conservative economists agree.

* With all the heat that Republican Bob Dold’s campaign has taken for sock puppetry, you’d think they might be a bit less blatant about sending out mass e-mails like this one…

From: Caitlin Wolff
Date: Wed, Oct 6, 2010 at 6:14 PM
Subject: Dold for Congress - Easy Volunteer Opportunity

Dear Volunteers,

My name is Caitlin Wolff from the Dold for Congress campaign. If you have received this email, it means that you have either sent Letters to the Editor before on our behalf or that you have expressed some interest in writing/sending Letters to the Editor for us.

We have only 27 days left to get Bob’s message if fiscal responsibility out to the voters. Dan Seals knows that he can win on the issues and has started throwing baseless accusations against Bob instead, trying to paint him as an extremist. One way we can combat these attack is by volunteers like you sending out Letters to the Editor. Could you send a letter in this week for us?

Most often we send letters to the editor to the Chicago Tribune, Daily Herald, and the Pioneer Press, as well as other local papers. We have pre-written letters that you can simply submit electronically or you can write your own. Most papers limit letter length to around 250-300 words. I would love to speak further with you about which way you would like to participate in our Letters to the Editor.

Please feel free to contact me at this email (XXXX@robertdoldforcongress.com) or at 847.XXX.XXXX.

Best,
Caitlin Wolff [Emphasis added]

Sheesh.

* From a quick summary of Ann Coulter’s speech in the suburbs last night

Reminded everyone Republicans actually DO win on social issues and gave many examples, gay marriage at 80% opposed in the US as one of them.

Yeah. Run on social issues in Illinois, Republicans. Great advice.

* Somebody has math problems

Faced with the problem of increasing access and speed, statist Bill Foster is happy to trumpet his recent grant for rural broadband, that I wrote about recently. The trouble is that with free-market forces, the same thing could have been accomplished for free.

Free? Really?

* Deidre Hirner has few ambitions

“I’m not interested in being a media star, nor am I interested in being a rising political figure in my party,” Hirner told members of The State Journal-Register’s editorial board on Thursday. “[Congressman Aaron Schock] is a young man in a hurry. I don’t see how that translates to serving the people in the district.”

* In far more sane congressional news, former Illinois Gov. Jim Edgar has endorsed Republican Bob Dold for the open 10th Congressional District seat. From a press release…

“Robert Dold is the right choice to represent the 10th Congressional District in Washington because he is a socially moderate, fiscally conservative Republican. He will help bring fiscal discipline to Washington and cut our federal debt,” said Edgar. “As a small business owner, Robert understands the needs of workers and small businesses and will take this much-needed perspective to Washington.” […]

“We need more people like Robert Dold in Congress,” Edgar said. “Robert’s commitment to sound fiscal principles, his hands-on experience running a successful small business, and, most importantly, his integrity make him a clear choice for the voters in this election.”

“I’m very grateful to accept Jim Edgar’s endorsement,” said Dold. “Governor Edgar led our great state with responsible economic policies and also with honesty and integrity. Governor Edgar’s tenure is an example of fiscally responsible government that is sorely needed in both Springfield and Washington, and is the kind of leadership I will provide as Congressman.”

“Robert has the no-nonsense approach that will get our country back to work and reduce the growth of government while maintaining the tradition of independent leadership this district is known for,” said Edgar.

That ought to help Dold with his “Yes, I’m really a moderate no matter what my own supporters say,” campaign.

* Roundup…

* Foster, Hultgren expound on immigration stances

* GOP groups focus resources: Hare wasn’t on the target lists of many Republicans at the start of the cycle – but he is now. The American Future Fund has taken out a $455,000 cable and broadcast buy that will run until Election Day against the second-term Illinois congressman—good enough for a bracing 3,391 gross rating points.

  60 Comments      


Shiny new toys vs. overdue obligations - and what the public thinks

Friday, Oct 8, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* It’s not often that you see two leading anti-violence advocates speak up against a new anti-violence initiative, but they’ve obviously just had enough of the budget games

Two leading groups fighting violence against women and youth rapped Gov. Quinn Thursday for launching a $50 million anti-violence initiative when Illinois has become the biggest deadbeat state in the country by one new survey.

“We are dismayed and disheartened by the governor’s decision to spend $50 million on a new initiative at a time when the state owes millions of dollars to agencies and organizations that are providing critical services and prevention programming in countless communities across the state,” said Polly Poskin, executive director of the Illinois Coalition Against Sexual Assault.

Her organization, which distributes a mix of state and federal funding to 22 rape crisis centers across Illinois, has had its state funding cut 27 percent in the past two years and is owed more than $1.7 million because the state is five months behind in its bills. Because of the funding squeeze, six of those rape-crisis centers may not meet their payrolls by month’s end, she said.

“We are confused by the ability to find dollars in our current budget crisis when our local agencies are still waiting to be paid for fiscal year 2010,” said Vickie Smith, executive director of the Illinois Coalition Against Domestic Violence.

Governors love shiny, new programs. Too often, that comes at the expense of helping improve and fund existing services.

Here’s the governor’s state-paid video of the government press conference where he announced the initiative


* And speaking of cash-flow problems

Gov. Pat Quinn pledged Thursday that the state will “soon” come through with promised payments to the Chicago Transit Authority so the agency is not forced to raise fares.

The CTA agreed to cancel proposed fare hikes for this year and next after the state agreed to cover for two years the cost of a loan the Regional Transportation Authority took out to make ends meet. The state has been slow to produce those funds.

“No, they aren’t going to raise fares,” Quinn said at a groundbreaking ceremony for a Salvation Army community center in the West Pullman neighborhood. “We have an agreement that we have with the RTA, and they will get the funds necessary to make sure the fare freeze for this year and next year continues. We’re in a tough economic time, and there aren’t going to be any fare increases at the CTA.”

Quinn said the transit agencies will get the funds “as soon as we possibly can.”

I’ll believe it when I see it.

* I told subscribers the other day about a recent poll by the Pew Center on the States. It fits well here, so let’s discuss it. From Pew

On the revenue side of the ledger, 70 percent of Illinoisans, like respondents in the other four states surveyed, say they would be willing to pay more in taxes to maintain the current level of support for elementary and secondary education, and nearly six in 10 say the same for health and human services.

But when given a choice of several options for raising new money for the state, respondents continue to shy away from broad-based tax increases. Sixty-six percent say they favor raising taxes on alcohol and cigarettes and 54 percent favor expanding gambling, while 60 percent favor raising corporate taxes. But these are not major sources of revenue for the state, so even if they were increased, they would not bridge the gap. And there are other obstacles to these options: For instance, increasing income taxes on businesses is complicated by restrictions in the state constitution.

Just 26 percent of Illinoisans say they favor an increase in the income tax, the main source of state revenue. When asked which option they would prefer if the state had to raise taxes on individuals to keep the same level of services, just 18 percent say they prefer an across-the-board income tax increase; another 18 percent select extending the sales tax to services, and 12 percent say they favor raising the sales tax on all purchases. Nearly half of respondents favor raising income taxes on the wealthy—but that would require a constitutional amendment in Illinois.

It’s always “tax the other guy.” Gaming expansion and higher corporate taxes would fit that mold.

* And check out these responses. Click the pic for a larger image…

I have a feeling that if given the choice, Illinoisans might not do much better than the legislature when it comes to cutting services and raising revenues, especially when the TV ads started blaring. Your thoughts?

* And while everybody’s talking about the capital bill, the public says they’d rather more money be spent on schools…

Ironically, transportation ranks low on the list of priorities for Illinois residents, according to the survey. In fact, only one in five Illinoisans says he or she would be willing to pay higher taxes to maintain transportation funding at current levels.

And given a choice among major areas of state spending—K-12 education, higher education, Medicaid and transportation— more than half of Illinois respondents choose transportation as the area they would least protect from spending cuts. Only 5 percent say it is the area they would most want to protect.

* They don’t much care for borrowing, either, which is probably why Bill Brady has tried to tippy-toe around his $50 billion pension bond scheme…

* About half are “very concerned” about spending cuts. As coverage grows, so will that number…

* These next two will give you an idea of how Illinois stacks up with the other polled states. Again, click the pics for larger images…

Discuss.

  37 Comments      


Earth to media: Get over it, please

Friday, Oct 8, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Somebody had to say it in a major Chicago daily newspaper. So, I did

A little more than three weeks remain until Election Day, and it’s driving me nuts that the Chicago media is spending most of its time focusing on a candidate who’s running in an election that’s not until next year.

Illinois is in crisis, and all anyone wants to report on is Rahm Emanuel. The coverage finally reached its nadir this week when Fox Chicago put a “futurist” on the air to predict that Emanuel would win.

The National Rifle Association endorsed Bill Brady for governor and it was almost completely ignored by the same city media that has covered how many gun-related crimes?

Gov. Quinn just announced that he would push hard for civil unions for gay couples after the election, but hardly anyone has noticed.

Instead, Emanuel shakes a few hands at an L stop and every reporter in town is dispatched.

We have a gigantic budget deficit in this state and neither candidate has a real plan for balancing the books. In fact, they’ve both offered up sham proposals void of specifics. The Sun-Times editorial page did an excellent job yesterday explaining why Bill Brady’s budget proposal is ridiculous. But it let the governor slide.

During the past 18 months, Gov. Quinn has switched positions on which tax increase he supports more times than Emanuel has used the “F” word.

Quinn’s latest version uses most of the tax increase money for property tax relief. In other words, it’ll barely make a dent in the deficit. So, what will he do about that deficit? He won’t say, other than that he’ll try to make some more cuts and he’s hoping for additional federal money.

Hope, as they say, is not a plan. Just ask President Obama, who came to town Thursday to help Quinn’s campaign.

But Brady is the Hopemeister General when it comes to jobs. The Bloomington Republican told the Sun-Times that he wants to create as many as 400,000 new jobs by the end of his first term. Brady wants to use Indiana as a model, but Indiana has a higher unemployment rate than Illinois does at the moment.

Also, Indiana has higher personal and corporate tax rates than Illinois. Unlike Illinois, Indiana taxes pension income. And its state sales tax rate is higher and covers more things.

According to estimates generated by our state’s Commission on Government Forecasting and Accountability, Illinois would bring in about $5.6 billion more a year if it had Indiana’s state tax structure. But Brady says he’s against all tax increases.

There are two very good candidates running for state comptroller with interesting ideas on how the state can prioritize its bill-paying efforts. That’s hugely important to hundreds of thousands of people here because the state has a stack of overdue bills higher than the Willis Tower stacked on top of Emanuel’s ego.

Hundreds of thousands of dollars are being spent on a very competitive state Senate race on Chicago’s Northwest Side. Ald. Brian Doherty, the city council’s lone Republican alderman, is up against appointed state Sen. John Mulroe. Doherty is being blasted for voting for the parking meter debacle. Mulroe is taking heat for having several taxpayer-funded incomes. It’s a fascinating and brutal campaign that might be newsworthy if everybody wasn’t so gosh-darned concerned about whether Emanuel had a good night’s sleep.

Time is running out, people. You’ve had your fun, but there is much to cover and precious few days remaining to cover it. Get over your grotesque Rahm fetish and get to work, for crying out loud.

Discuss.

  52 Comments      


New ads: Giannoulias, DSSC, Lisa Madigan

Friday, Oct 8, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Alexi Giannoulias’ new ad is probably his toughest yet, and it goes after Mark Kirk’s “I’ll spend less, borrow less and tax less” tagline. Rate it


* The DSSC hits Kirk for being a DC type


* Lisa Madigan is about to put this TV ad on the air. Rate it


A Chicago-area campaign manager says…

Great, so they’re going to win by 40 and take up spots all the rest of us need because inventory is scarce.

Maybe so, but in a year like this she doesn’t want to take any chances whatsoever.

  31 Comments      


Morning Shorts

Friday, Oct 8, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Sept. Jobless Rate 9.6 Percent; Private Jobs Up 64,000

The Labor Department said Friday that the unemployment rate held at 9.6 percent. The jobless rate has now topped 9.5 percent for 14 straight months, the longest stretch since the 1930s.

* Oglesby bailed out of jail by parents

Her parents drove from their suburban St. Louis home with a $25,000 check to bail her out of jail. White and Rita Oglesby withdrew the money from an equity line of credit on their O’Fallon, Mo., home, her father told a judge during a morning hearing in Cook County criminal court.

* City flagged repair scam in 2004

John J. Sullivan continued to rip off elderly homeowners in Chicago even after the city won an injunction barring him from doing home-repair work, federal prosecutors allege.

Sullivan, 48, is charged in U.S. District Court with carrying out a home-repair fraud scheme between 2002 and 2006, according to an indictment unsealed this week.

In an unrelated twist, police in Arizona said they found more than $550,000 in cash, more than 100 baggies of marijuana and four handguns in Sullivan’s home there. He bought the house last year, records show.

* Inspector general wants Chicago cab drivers on GPS system

* City should track all taxis by GPS, inspector general says

* Central Illinois Communities Could be Favorites for FutureGen Partnership

* SIU still waiting on $91 million

* Former Triton student recalled as ’supportive’

Dan Johnson garnered a little limelight after “The Hurt Locker” won the Best Picture Oscar earlier this year. A California TV station featured him in a news report about U.S. Air Force explosive disposal experts, similar to those portrayed in the film.

People would tell him “you must be crazy to do what you do,” Johnson said in the report on KSBY, an NBC affiliate in the central coast of California. “I never really thought about it. It seemed like a cool job.”

Seven months later, on Oct. 5, Johnson, who resided briefly in Schiller Park and attended Triton College in River Grove, was killed by an improvised explosive device in Afghanistan. In June, he married a woman he’d met through church friends.

  7 Comments      


Rep. McCarthy jokes: “I was the only caucasian on the list”

Friday, Oct 8, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* State Rep. Kevin McCarthy (D-Orland Park) was debating his Republican opponent Jeffrey Junkas the other day in the south suburbs and the subject of pay raises came up. McCarthy said he was proud to have voted for a bill that will require legislators for the first time in years to actually vote to approve their own pay raises. Until the reform bill passed, legislators would vote to accept or reject the recommendations of the Compensation Review Board. Both chambers would have to vote the recommendations down or the pay raises would take effect. As you can imagine, that led to all sorts of political gamesmanship between the chambers and the parties.

Anyway, McCarthy went on to talk about earlier pay raise motions when he took the “morally correct” route and bravely voted to accept his pay raise. McCarthy claimed that sometimes he “really stood out” on those votes. It was, he said, “easy to find me,” because of all the members voting to accept the Board’s recommendations he was “the only caucasian on the list.”

I kid you not. Watch it for yourself


Yes, he was making a joke. Yes, it was a very stupid joke. Notice that nobody laughed. If you watch the full video, you’ll see that even his opponent didn’t react with a rebuke of any kind. And McCarthy’s comment received zero local media coverage. Either nobody heard him, or there must be something weird in the water Out South.

  42 Comments      


Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Supplement to today’s edition

Friday, Oct 8, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Dueling endorsements: Tribune for Kirk, Sun-Times for Giannoulias

Friday, Oct 8, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

[Bumped up for visibility.]

* 8:04 pm - The Tribune was up first this evening with its US Senate endorsement of Mark Kirk

So if you’re looking to elect a party-line Illinoisan to the Senate, you have your man. On the climactic Senate votes that define this nation’s very future for better or worse — be they on spending obligations or defense policy or industry bailouts — Alexi will be on the bus. […]

• Which of these two candidates will weigh, and decide, questions on national security and other crucial issues more on the merits than on the politics?

• Which would we want as the senator who could eventually make the extraordinarily sensitive selection of U.S. attorneys — the top federal prosecutors, such as Patrick Fitzgerald — for Illinois?

• And on the issue that most roils American politics this autumn, out-of-control federal spending, would Giannoulias or Kirk make unpopular, potentially career-ending votes for restraint? […]

We want the most capable senator protecting the U.S. from its enemies abroad and its unsustainable finances at home. Mark Kirk will be that senator.

* And the Sun-Times was close behind with its endorsement of Alexi Giannouolias

We no longer know who Kirk is, where he stands or what he would do. […]

What does seem clear is that the experience of working for a community bank influenced Giannoulias’ views on Wells Fargo’s responsibilities to Hartmarx, a small company just trying to survive.

“I know what it’s like to lose a family business,” he told the Sun-Times editorial board. “It breaks your heart.”

Giannoulias is young, just 34, but seasoned in life and politics.

He’s got the stuff to be an excellent United States senator.

Discuss.

  53 Comments      


*** UPDATED x1 *** Things that make me wanna pound my head against the wall

Thursday, Oct 7, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

*** UPDATE *** Sheesh

In a new Kirk ad, a mother complains about how, “our daughter was a freshman when I opened up the envelope (from the treasurer) and found that they’d lost more than half of our college savings.”

Problem is, the fund involved, known as Core Plus, only lost 38%, and half of that was recouped in a lawsuit. I’m not always great at math, but 19% or so strikes me as somewhat short of half.

[ *** End Of Update *** ]

* Oh, for the love of Mike….

Giannoulias said he has been “absolutely, unequivocally consistent in all my statements for the last four years.

“I left day-to-day operations in 2005, and I fully left the bank about April 2006,” he said.

“Absolutely, unequivocally consistent”? Um, didn’t he tell the Tribune last week that he left the bank in May of 2006, not April, as he just told the SJ-R?

Dude, seriously, what is wrong with you?

* Speaking of wrong-headed types, check out the Tribune’s endorsement of Bob Dold

Though Democrats want to portray him as an arch-conservative, we’re convinced he will be in the moderate, pro-choice, independent mold of Kirk.

Forget about all the evidence that Dold is not being upfront about his core beliefs. Blame the whole thing on partisanship. Yeah. Good one.

* What the heck?

James Wright, who recently was forced out as the state’s executive inspector general, has a new job as the campaign manager for mayoral hopeful Gery Chico, the candidate told the Chicago News Cooperative on Wednesday. […]

Chico said he is not concerned that Wright has never run a campaign.

And Chico expects us to take him seriously? Dick Durbin is also clueless


Chico was an “outstanding candidate” in the 2004 US Senate primary? Is Durbin nuts? Chico got barely over 5 percent of the Cook County vote that year and four percent statewide. Sheesh.

* Speaking of the mayor’s race, Fox Chicago was so desperate to find another angle that it turned to a “futurist,” whatever that is

Houle believes that in Chicago and across the country, voters are sick of being pandered to and want someone who will tell them in blunt terms about problems and real solutions.

Rahm Emanuel is only “blunt” behind closed doors. His campaign won’t be anything like his private personality.

* Told ‘ya

He was never officially in, but today former state Senate President Emil Jones officially said he is not running for Chicago mayor.

That lasted what? Less than a week?

* Ummm

It’s not always possible to predict the positions of all the players in the game of politics in Illinois.

A case in point came to me in the form of a copy of an e-mail invitation from Mark Denzler, vice president and chief operating officer of the Illinois Manufacturers’ Association, to folks who were being encouraged to attend two fundraisers — one for Democratic House Speaker Madigan of Chicago, and the other for Senate Republican Leader Christine Radogno of Lemont. […]

When we spoke recently, Denzler said House GOP Leader Cross hadn’t asked for a fundraiser this year

Look, I know Cross has no love for the IMA, but maybe he could at least ask them to hold a fundraiser? Put them on the spot, maybe?

* Talk about being out of step with the times

[Democratic treasurer nominee Robin Kelly] linked two votes by [GOP treasurer nominee Dan Rutherford] —in 1995 and 1997 against lowering the DUI standard to .08 from .10—to more than $70,000 in campaign contributions he’s received since then from beer distributors and other liquor interests.

“Rutherford sold out safe roads for campaign cash,” blared a Kelly press release.

Mr. Rutherford responds that Ms. Kelly has to be “desperate” to drag up 15-year-old legislative votes. He opposes and still opposes .08 and the state’s mandatory seat-belt law, Mr. Rutherford says, but money has nothing to do with it.

He still opposes the seat-belt law?

* Finally, somebody else is whacking Rasmussen for not including all candidates in its Illinois polling

Rasmussen cannot justify its failure to name the “some other candidate” who has 1% more support than Jones. Disappointing. Rasmussen had a duty to name Labno in the interest of fairness to all parties, to ensure more accurate reporting by the media

Rasmussen is officially blacklisted by me until they start including everyone’s name in their polls. There’s no excuse for their behavior. “Rasmussen” is also a banned word in comments right now, so if you want to talk about them use: “The polling company that shall not be named” in comments or your post will be held automatically for moderation.

* The Daily Southtown asked candidates to list the five most recently played songs on their iPods and MP3 players

U.S. Senate candidate Mark Kirk (R-10th), of Highland Park, listed country, pop and jazz - from Taylor Swift’s “Love Story” to Tom Petty’s “I Won’t Back Down” to Big & Rich’s “Save a Horse, Ride a Cowboy.”

Taylor Swift? Really?


I’d really rather not say what I’m thinking right now.

* Roundup…

* Don’t be afraid to go Green this election

* Greens May Turn Blue Seat to Red

* Comptroller candidates vague about budget cuts

* Halvorson, Kinzinger debate bailout, tax cuts

* Potential Opponents Had Just About Enough Of Rahm’s Tour

* City Clerk del Valle wants Chicago voters to weigh in on legalizing video gambling

* Miguel del Valle Q&A

* Meeks meets with gay leaders

* With Fioretti expected to run for mayor, primary could be wide open

* Cook assessor candidates in attack mode

* Assessor Hopeful Points to Puerto Rican Roots

  68 Comments      


*** UPDATED x2 *** Ads and videos: Personal PAC; Giannoulias; Kilbride; Hare; Foster; Cohen; Roeser

Thursday, Oct 7, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

*** UPDATE 1 *** Gun control group Brady PAC Illinois is doing an initial round of 65,000 robocalls with the following message


“My husband, JIM Brady, is from Illinois,” Sarah Brady says in the call. “We’ve voted Republican many times, but we think BILL Brady’s gun policies are awful.”

[ *** End Of Update *** ]

* Personal PAC has a powerful new ad featuring a rape victim. The ad is running on cable TV in the Elgin area. The group is holding a fundraiser later this month to raise money to put the spot and three others on the air throughout the Chicago region. Rate it


Script…

Jennie: When I was 18, I was raped. I don’t know what I would have done if I had become pregnant.

Narrator: As governor, Bill Brady would seek to outlaw abortion, and Brady opposes any exceptions, even for victims of rape and incest.

Jennie: Forcing a rape victim to carry a pregnancy is unthinkable, and scares me to death.

Narrator: The more you learn about Bill Brady, the worse it gets. We deserve better than Bill Brady.

* Alexi Giannoulias has a new TV ad that, once again, calls Mark Kirk a liar and a George Bush guy. Watch


* “Vote No Kilbride” has a new radio ad blasting the Supreme Court Chief Justice. Listen


*** UPDATE 2 *** Kilbride’s campaign responds…

Kilbride actually voted in support of the state’s position in one of the cases. Together with the Supreme Court’s majority, Kilbride voted to support a harsher sentence against the defendant in this case. The case is People ex rel. Waller v. McKoski. […]

In the Waller decision that JustPac skewered in the radio ad, Tom Kilbride wrote a concurrence opinion arguing the Supreme Court should issue its order through a supervisory order rather than through a mandamus writ - a purely procedural distinction that did not interfere with his support for the harsher penalty.

JustPac’s pretend criminals also flubbed explanations of the other two specified cases. In People v. Bannister, Kilbride questioned the wisdom of allowing testimony from a convicted murderer in a 13-year-old case. This convicted murderer was given a plea agreement vacating his two murder convictions and reducing his sentence in order to get his testimony. And in People v. Runge, Kilbride and Justice Charles Freeman joined a dissent authored by Justice Anne Burke. In this dissent, Burke argued a juror who cheered out loud for the prosecution in a capital case should have been excluded.

[ *** End Of Update 2 *** ]

* Justice Kilbride’s campaign has two new ads. Here’s one


The other one is here.

* The American Future Fund is now broadcasting its stock “Pelosi” ad in Democratic Congressman Phil Hare’s district


* Congressman Bill Foster’s new ad is called Beach


* Scott Lee Cohen stormed out of his own press conference yesterday


The full ABC7 report is here. More from WLS Radio

Independent candidate for governor Scott Lee Cohen lost his temper with the media during a campaign appearance Wednesday morning.

Cohen was angry because a reporter asked whether his plan to create more jobs could take 10 or 15 years.

“You know, I am so sick and tired of the negativity by the media. Do you see anybody that has a better plan? Do you? Do you see anybody out there trying to put the people back to work? You know, that’s enough, I’ve had enough, thank you very much for coming,” Cohen said.

With that Cohen walked away from the podium. He later came back to say what made him angry was a negative Associated Press story about his Rockford job fair Tuesday - a story that quoted attendees who said it was more like a campaign event.

* Jack Roeser’s Illinois Republican Renaissance PAC is trying its hand with Internet videos. This one’s called “Doctors for Brady”


* More videos…

* Hare vs. Schilling debate: Why should the Democrats have another chance?

* Hare vs. Schilling debate:Fair Trade

* SJ-R: Judy Baar Topinka, Republican for comptroller

* SJ-R: David Miller, Democrat for comptroller

* SJ-R: Jesse White, Democrat for secretary of state

* Governor Quinn Creates Elgin-O’Hare West Bypass Advisory Council

  60 Comments      


Question of the day

Thursday, Oct 7, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* More bad news for Democrats

“We’re down about 60,000 registered voters from where we were two years ago,” said Chicago Election Board Chairman Langdon Neal. […]

“We did a major canvass in which we verify our rolls to make sure they’re clean this summer,” Neal said. “So, we’ve cleaned the rolls so that our voting rolls are very accurate in terms of eligible voters, so that results in some loss of voters.” […]

Outside of Chicago there has been a spike in registration compared to 2006. In each of the collar counties, the numbers of registered voters is up: in DuPage, Will, Lake, Kane and McHenry counties the increase totals almost 110,000 new voters.

* The Question: How big of a GOP wave are you predicting for this year? Quantify it, please and explain.

  43 Comments      


Brady is tough on unions, except for the one that backs him

Thursday, Oct 7, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* During his Sun-Times editorial board interview this week, Bill Brady was asked about his lack of union support. He quickly pointed to his endorsement by the Fraternal Order of Police. Brady was then asked if he would support applying the same two-tiered pension system to police and firefighters that he supported for state workers and teachers. He didn’t answer directly, saying, rightly, that there are different issues with public safety folks on things like retirement age (although teachers and some others can make the same sort of claims).

Illinois Statehouse News looks at another angle on Brady’s FOP endorsement

[Brady] said as recently as the first gubernatorial debate on September 29 that he would not be cutting anything other than self-identified “waste” from public safety departments–a far cry from the “dime on every dollar” cuts he has proposed for other areas of government. […]

[FOP president Ted Street] said Brady assured union leaders at a private meeting in July that they would be at the table when cuts are made: a move he said “has never been done before.”

“Senator Brady has reached out and asked that I facilitate a meeting between State Troopers lodge (of the union)…and the Department of Corrections lodge…to come up with and organize cost-cutting measures,” Street said. “Senator Brady has offered us input, a voice of representation in the decision making process.”

Brady blasted Quinn for a deal the governor negotiated with the American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees union shortly after the group endorsed him. The deal will prevent the state from laying off workers in exchange for furlough days, wage freezes and cost-cutting measures, identified by the union itself. […]

But he now finds himself accusing Quinn of selling out the people of Illinois for his suspect deals with political supporters, while negotiating a similar one on a signature issue. His two pronged attack now appears double edged.

Once you bring up a quid pro quo with your opponent’s endorsers, you subject yourself to similar scrutiny. It’s a fair hit.

* Meanwhile, the SJ-R took a look at the agreement between AFSCME and Gov. Pat Quinn’s administration and discovered that while it sets a $100 million budget reduction goal, it specifies just $10 million in immediate cuts

The immediate $10 million in savings will be met by “reduction in the use of overtime, expansion of the voluntary furlough program and by in-sourcing work that can be provided more economically if performed by state employees,” according to the agreement

A total of $50 million must be found by the end of this month.

* Gov. Quinn attempted to turn the tables on Brady over the Republican’s $50 billion pension bond scheme idea

Gov. Pat Quinn blasted Republican challenger Bill Brady today for leaving open the option of borrowing $50 billion to shore up state pension funds, saying it would lead to a massive tax increase.

Quinn seized on the issue in an attempt to turn the tables on Brady, who has hammered the Democratic governor for pushing an income tax increase and borrowing money.

Brady, a state senator from Bloomington, has refused to rule out a $50 billion pension loan. He has said all options should be on the table when it comes to ensuring the health of the underfunded retirement systems. The Brady campaign said it is not backing the idea, saying it would be an option only as part of a comprehensive package that could save the state money.

Quinn brushed aside such nuances, saying a $50 billion pension bond “will never happen as long as I’m governor.”

* The governor continues to announce state funding in campaign-style government events…

Gov. Pat Quinn is defending spending $50 million on a new initiative aimed at helping to rebuild struggling neighborhoods while the state has unpaid bills piling up.

The governor’s office says the new anti-violence initiative is a mix of federal money and state money that lawmakers gave Quinn discretion to spend.

It’s the second time in two weeks Quinn has announced he’ll spend some of that money.

The Chicago Democrat recently announced he would use $75 million to keep a temporary jobs program going while Illinois waits for Congress to approve more money for it.

Meanwhile

Nonprofit organizations that serve some of the nation’s most vulnerable citizens have been forced to freeze salaries, dip into cash reserves and cut programs because government funding is shrinking and often late in coming, according to a report released Thursday by the Urban Institute.

And human service nonprofits in Illinois have been among the hardest hit.

Nationally, 41 percent of human service nonprofits reported late payments from state, federal and local government sources in 2009, the survey found. In Illinois, that number reached 72 percent, highest in the nation.

And

Despite Gov. Pat Quinn’s call for cost-cutting throughout state government, at least two state agencies are planning to buy or lease new vehicles this month.

* And a group funded by Chicago-area business types is launching a radio and print ad campaign

Illinois Is Broke, an organization pretty much put together by the Civic Committee of the Commercial Club, this week began spending what I’m told is in the low-to-mid six figures on radio and print ads urging voters to “ask the candidates what they will do: fix the pensions, or just raise taxes?”

The radio version of the spot has a mother gently griping that, “Our family has to live within our means, but Illinois state government doesn’t.”

The ad then goes on to talk about “free health insurance” for state retirees and a state debt amounting to $25,000 per family.”

The spot doesn’t name any names, but it should be mildly helpful to GOP gubernatorial nominee Bill Brady — a Republican, like the bulk of those who paid for the ad are believed to be. But neither he nor Democratic incumbent Pat Quinn has been specific on what they’d do to close a hole of at least $75 billion.

* Related…

* Obama comes home for Alexi; to help Quinn: Quinn campaign spokesman Mica Matsoff told me that Obama cut a radio spot for Quinn — to start Monday — where he says he will be voting for Quinn on Nov. 2 and urging others to cast their ballot for Quinn… White House Press Secretary Robert Gibbs said Wednesday during a briefing that Obama will be greeting Quinn when he lands at O’Hare. Matsoff said Quinn will be bringing two people who benefitted from his “Illinois to Work” jobs program to the tarmac to meet with Obama. While the Obama ad for Quinn starts Monday, on Wednesday, Vice President Joe Biden joins Quinn in Chicago for a ‘’Putting Illinois Back to Work'’ get-out-the-vote rally at the Chicago Journeymen Plumbers Local 130 Hall on the near West Side.

* Teachers union endorses Quinn

* Teachers endorsement means donations, volunteers: For candidate Pat Quinn, Wednesday was like walking into a room filled with money. The governor and his running mate, Sheila Simon, can expect six-figured campaign donations from the 103,000 member teachers’ union.

* Sun-Times endorsement: Quinn has best plan to serve all Illinoisans

* Morris Herald: Our choice is Sen. Bill Brady

* Brady brings GOP bid for governor to Alton: “We’re going to clean house in Springfield,” Brady said. “We’re going to get rid of all the political patronage bureaucrats, and we’re going to bring in real professionals to run Springfield for your benefit and not their personal interests.”

* Brady will be in Olney next week

* Brady, Schilling rally with supporters in Quincy, Pittsfield: “It’s you who are going to decide the future of this state, not the special interests,” Brady said, flanked by his wife, Nancy and running mate, Jason Plummer.

* Libertarian candidate for governor wants to get party’s message

* VIDEO: CBS 2’s Bill Kurtis reports on the Illinois Is Broke campaign (Part 1)

* VIDEO: CBS 2’s Bill Kurtis reports on the Illinois Is Broke campaign (Part 2)

* MFT Funds Released to Illinois Municipalities

* Pantagraph: Politicians do little as financial picture worsens

* Mitchell says he’ll vote ‘yes’ for local education sales tax hike

* McPier issues $1.1B in bonds

* McPier issues $1.1B in bonds to restructure debt, add hotel rooms

* Parents put out by DCFS bureaucracy

  27 Comments      


Morning Shorts

Thursday, Oct 7, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Poverty on rise in ‘burbs

Most suburbs examined experienced more than 50 percent increases in the number of poor from 2000 to 2008. In Aurora, the number jumped nearly 62 percent to 19,479, and in Joliet, it rose 39.5 percent to 15,266. […]

“Poverty rose in almost every Chicago suburban community that we looked at,” said Scott Allard, study co-author and associate professor in the U. of C. School of Social Service Administration. “More recent data would show that these trends have only continued.”

But few suburban communities have a social services infrastructure in place to address the challenges of increased poverty, he noted. In Cicero, there are 3,648 poor people per social service non-profit, the study revealed. In Carpentersville, there are 3,013 for every nonprofit, in Aurora, 1,299 for every one and in Skokie, 1,274 for every one.

* Blagojevich appointee pleads guilty in fraud case

Bamani Obadele, 37, stepped down as a deputy director of the Illinois Department of Children and Family Services in 2005 after an internal investigation found he had profited from state contracts.

In pleading guilty Tuesday to one count of mail fraud in federal court in Chicago, Obadele admitted he had DCFS vendors buy tote bags, magnets and other items from a promotional company he secretly owned. He also directed DCFS contractors to subcontract work to a company in which he held a board seat.

* Unable to post bail, Oglesby to spend another night in jail

* Who else will follow Huberman, Daley out the City Hall door?

* Huberman departure may be tied to Daley’s

Many of Huberman’s signature initiatives are still unrealized. The district is in the midst of creating a new teacher evaluation, implementing a $40 million anti-violence initiative, and trying out Huberman’s favored performance management system, which attaches performance metrics to everything from transportation to teaching.

* Huberman Says He’s Focused on Schools, Even As He Plans Exit

* Huberman’s Been Looking for Some Time: Source

* Daley Livid Over Huberman: Sources

* Mitchell: Now might be best time for CPS chief to fly coop

* Chicago Teachers Union Calls for Restructuring of District Leadership

* City Council calls on CPS to turn heat on at school sit-in

The protesters at Whittier Elementary School should not be made to suffer while staying in the building at 1900 W. 23rd St., said Ald. Daniel Solis, 25th. The parents on the site want another assessment of the building, which they have occupied since mid-September.

“But in the meantime, the Board of Education cannot make a very dumb mistake, in my (opinion), of turning off the gas because the issue of safety comes up again,” Solis said.

* Brown: If city’s so green, why not require water meters?

* Daley blasts real estate groups for stalling renter protections

* ‘L’ stop named for Mayor Harold Washington

* Sporting News names Chicago best sports town

* Naperville kills overnight parking

* Naperville City Council rejects ROLC zoning district

* Kendall might ask unions for concessions

* Boone County Board to see balanced budget proposal

* Central Illinois may gain 2,000 turbines in 5 years

* First Latina state senator visits SIUC Wednesday

* Airman with Chicago ties killed in Afghanistan

Twenty-three-year-old Daniel Johnson was a newlywed. He got married just four months ago.

Johnson died Tuesday as he tried to deactivate a bomb near Kandahar, Afghanistan when an improvised explosive detonated, injuring the sergeant and killing Johnson. He lived in northwest suburban Schiller Park before moving to California.

He had one of the toughest assignments in the military - explosive ordinance disposal - commonly known as the bomb squad. Every job is literally a life or death operation. But his family says he loved it.

* Suburban Airman Dies In Afghanistan

* Recipient was ‘born to lead,’ Obama says at ceremony

  9 Comments      


Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Supplement to today’s edition

Thursday, Oct 7, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today’s edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)

Thursday, Oct 7, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Evening video

Thursday, Oct 7, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

[Bumped up for visibility.]

* This is a self-made video that’s already running on TV in Champaign. It’s going up around the state starting this weekend, the Pat Quinn campaign says. I think it’s one of the better ads of the season


  55 Comments      


Hare runs a better ad, but Schilling and the Repubs are pouring it on

Wednesday, Oct 6, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* I was pretty tough on Democratic Congressman Phil Hare’s latest TV ad yesterday. He had it coming. But Hare now has a new ad up that whacks Schilling for not paying taxes while alleging that Schilling wants to raise payroll taxes. Rate it


The payroll taxes hit comes from a Chicago Tribune questionnaire that Schilling’s son says he filled out and “misphrased”

…Schilling responded to a question about the solvency of Medicare and Social Security by saying, “I believe that there will need to be an increase in Medicare and Social Security withholding taxes.”

The “not paying taxes” hit is about Schilling twice not paying his annual business franchise tax to the Secretary of State. Schilling’s corporation was officially dissolved both times. Click here for the documentation. This is a pretty minor offense, but Debbie Halvorson was hit with the same thing two years ago by Republican Marty Ozinga.

* Hare is going to need a solid hit because the National Republican Congressional Committee is about to dump about a million dollars into his race

POLITICO has learned that the National Republican Congressional Committee will take a bank loan of at least $6.5 million – but likely more—to expand its ad buys into seven additional districts beyond the 55 where the committee has already reserved time.

According to an NRCC source familiar with the effort, the newly-added targets include five Democrats whose districts until recently were thought to be out of reach this year: Minnesota Rep. Tim Walz, Georgia Rep. Sanford Bishop, Illinois Rep. Phil Hare, and Ohio Rep. Zack Space, and Colorado Rep. John Salazar.

* And Schilling had a pretty darned good quarter

3rd Quarter Total Raised: $375,262

Cash On Hand: $420,962

Total Raised To Date: $675,899

A recent poll by Public Opinion Strategies of 400 likely voters, conducted on September 26 and 27, with a margin of error of 4.9 percent shows Schilling and Hare tied at 37-38 percent. Schilling leads Hare by 18 points among voters who have heard of both candidates, and by 29 points among voters who have an opinion of both candidates. Pollster Glen Bolger said of this poll “Incumbent Phil Hare has real problems with the electorate in this district. Voters are upset at the direction of the country. Hare’s image is underwhelming. Incumbents at 38% on the ballot test don’t win unless they are successful at burning down their opponent.”

* All that cash is funding a brand new Schilling TV ad


* Hare hasn’t released his own fundraising totals yet, which sorta tells you something. But he is getting some help from the DCCC


* Related…

* Hare touts trade equalizer bill - Act targets China specifically for devaluing currency

* Congressman Says China Should Play Fair

* Video: Hare calls deficit, debt a “myth”

  25 Comments      


Rahm’s “data driven effort” vs. Meeks’ old fashioned “social networking”

Wednesday, Oct 6, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Rahm Emanuel has been asking Twitter denizens to send him questions, comments, etc. via the #TellItLikeItIs hashtag. It’s apparently part of his “listening tour.” He’s calling the Tweets and responses a “data driven effort” to find out what’s on everybody’s minds. OK. Whatever.

I posed this question

So, how about telling us who you’re supporting for county assessor? That might tell us a lot.

Our longtime commenter and blogger’s blogger OneMan followed up

I too am curious who you are supporting in the assessors race..

No response. Actually, there aren’t many real responses. Nobody’s asking many serious questions. So if you have a Twitter account, click here, if you dare, and pose a question to Rahm using the #tellitlikeitis hashtag in your question. Maybe he’ll even answer. Report back if you sent him a question and if whoever is running that Twitter account actually talks back.

* Here’s a suggestion

A new report claims Chicago has the most dangerous neighborhood in America, although the neighborhood in question is not particularly infamous for crime.

The report by geographer Dr. Andrew Schiller for the commercial real estate site NeighborhoodScout.com said a neighborhood identified as “W. Lake St.,” located on the Near West Side and bounded by Kinzie Street on the north, Washington Boulevard on the south, Damen Avenue on the east and Western Avenue on the west, is the most dangerous neighborhood in the country.

The report claims that the chances of being a victim of a violent crime in the neighborhood are 1 in 4. It says the neighborhood sees 257.72 crimes per 1,000 residents.

But official police statistics seem to show a different story. The “neighborhood” named the most dangerous in the report corresponds directly to Census Tract 280500, which ranks toward the middle for crime among city neighborhoods.

So, the supposedly most dangerous neighborhood in the country isn’t even close to the most dangerous neighborhood in Chicago? Somebody’s “data driven effort” just failed.

* Meanwhile, Rev. Sen. James Meeks continues his own listening tour by actually sitting down and talking with real, live human beings

In a move sure to surprise many people, but one that also signals just how serious he is about running for mayor of Chicago, Ill. state Sen. James Meeks (D-Chicago) traveled to Boystown Oct. 5 to meet with several LGBT leaders at the offices of Equality Illinois. […]

“One of the things I was asked was if I would keep the office of the mayor’s liaison to the LGBT community and the Chicago Gay and Lesbian Hall of Fame,” Meeks said. “I was very surprised that people would think that I would do away with that office or the Hall. It’s very important to me and the city, and I would definitely keep that.”

Meeks also said he told the leaders that he would support efforts to lessen bullying against LGBT students in schools. Education has been an issue that Meeks has focused on as a legislator – he threatened to run against former Gov. Rod Blagojevich in 2006 over education funding and has pushed comprehensive legislation to revamp the state’s tax system in order to fully fund public schools.

I think I much prefer the old school social networking to the “data driven effort.”

* Rahmup…

* New mayoral poll puts Emanuel, Dart far ahead

* Emanuel gets temporary address near downtown: spokeswoman

* Emanuel gets a Chicago condo

* Rahm Addresses Residency Question

* Mayoral Hopefuls Remind Rahm He’s Not the Only One

* VIDEO: Welcome Back, Rahm

* Black community looks for mayor candidate

* Brown: After Daley, watch for power to shift

* Back home in Chicago for his mayoral bid, Rahm Emanuel was met by jeers from the supporters of his rivals

* Emanuel snags Ben LaBolt as communications director for mayoral campaign

* Water board member stakes out city clerk run

  25 Comments      


Rove, Kirk both hit Giannoulias on Bright Start

Wednesday, Oct 6, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Karl Rove’s American Crossroads GPS has posted its new anti Alexi Giannoulias ad. The group is spending a million dollars on the spot this week alone


I’m told Bright Start polls very well against Alexi Giannoulias. That Rove spot was a rough hit. Mark Kirk’s new ad focuses on the issue as well and may be an even a rougher hit


Script…

Mark Kirk: “I’m Mark Kirk and I approved this message.”

Nancy Wohlhart: “Our daughter was a freshman when we opened the envelope and found they had lost over half our college savings.”

AVO: “Alexi Giannoulias was in charge of Bright Start.”

Nancy Wohlhart: “Our money was supposed to be in a safe fund. But instead, Giannoulias stood by while they lost more than $70 million.”

AVO: “Giannoulias bragged about his financial expertise in commercials.”

Nancy Wohlhart: “A lot of people suffered because Alexi misled us. We’ll never recover our daughter’s college savings.”

* The DSCC has a new Internet promo video about the upcoming debates


* Speaking of debates

An upcoming debate between Illinois candidates for U.S. Senate has been canceled, as organizers say Democratic candidate Alexi Giannoulias has turned down a request to participate.

The debate, originally scheduled for Oct. 21 at the WSIU broadcasting studios in Carbondale and co-sponsored by The Southern Illinoisan, was meant to include senatorial candidates from all three of Illinois’ legally established political parties, but Giannoulias’ withdrawal caused organizers to cancel the event.

David Yepsen, of SIUC’s Paul Simon Public Policy Institute, said the Giannoulias campaign refused to participate in the debate because the Libertarian candidate for U.S. Senate, Michael Labno, was not allowed to join the discussion.

“It’s disappointing, but these things happen in politics,” Yepsen said. “The rules we put together were that we would invite any candidate of an established political party. We’re not going to change the rules for one candidate.”


Greg Hinz

I wonder if Team Giannoulias has forgotten a lesson that former Sen. Carol Moseley-Braun learned the hard way the year she lost her re-election bid: Downstate still counts, and Downstaters don’t like to be ignored.

True.

* Roundup…

* Campaign watchdogs want IRS to probe Rove’s American Crossroads

* Karl Rove-Backed Group Spends as Much as Political Parties

* US Chamber of Commerce under fire for foreign cash

* ZORN: Giannoulias consistently vague about his job at the bank

* VIDEO: Alexi Giannoulias Can’t Name Spending He Would Have Voted Against

* The Race for Obama’s Senate Seat

* Kirk characterizes self as ‘consensus builder’

* GOP candidate Kirk says he can build consensus in U.S. Senate

* Northwest Herald: U.S. Senate: Mark Kirk

* Giannoulias Offers Dinner With the President

* VIDEO: Mark Kirk on why he is running for US Senate

  42 Comments      


Plummer still hasn’t come up with a decent excuse

Wednesday, Oct 6, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Carol Marin takes off after GOP lt. governor nominee Jason Plummer for his new answer to a question he’s been dodging for months: His refusal to release tax returns, as every gubernatorial and (almost every) lt. gubernatorial candidate for decades has done

“I’m coming from the private sector,” answered Plummer. “I didn’t serve in the public sector last year.”

I fully agree with Carol’s next line: “Huh?”

Marin continues…

But even former Gov. George Ryan, now in prison, and Rod Blagojevich, who’s heading there, disclosed their income taxes.

And as Sun-Times Springfield Bureau Chief Dave McKinney pointed out to Plummer, Blagojevich’s tax forms provided the public with the first clue that convicted influence peddler Tony Rezko was paying Patti Blagojevich.

That was an excellent point by McKinney. It blows away Plummer’s argument that all we need to know is in his Statement of Economic Interests report filed with the state. And that argument doesn’t hold much water, either…

“That’s the most incomprehensible, terrible, convoluted form known to man,” scoffed Dennis Czurylo, a former supervisor for the IRS Criminal Investigation Division who has put many a politician in jail. “Government purposely uses these obscure and useless forms,” he said, because they “don’t disclose what a federal tax form does,” things like debt and land trusts.

And here’s another new argument that I haven’t seen before…

Plummer didn’t mask his exasperation, telling the Sun-Times, “When we’re elected on Nov. 2, I’ll be more than happy to use . . . your interest in my tax return as leverage to force a lot of folks in Springfield to show their tax returns.”

Watch it all here.

Sheila Simon responds

“It’s not too much to expect from a candidate for statewide office [that] their priority would be statewide office and representing the people of Illinois rather than protecting their family’s business interest,” said Simon, whose late father, U.S. Sen. Paul Simon, would divulge tax records that showed how much income she made as a teen-age babysitter and how much her adolescent brother made from his paper route.

“It says his priorities are different than mine and the governor,” Simon said of Plummer. “We’ve disclosed this without being asked and disclosed it fully.”

* Down-ballot roundup…

* Tribune: For the Supreme Court

* Tribune: For the appellate court

* Strong contrast in Illinois lieutenant governor candidates

* Eaton: More Republicans should follow Topinka’s lead into black communities

* Jesse White backing Kelly for treasurer

* Tribune: For the Cook Board

* VIDEO: Roger Keats in Humboldt Park

* Write-in candidate for Illinois governor seeks to be heard by voters

  51 Comments      


Question of the day

Wednesday, Oct 6, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* From today’s Sun-Times

GOP gubernatorial hopeful Bill Brady said Tuesday he would not stand in the way of a public school board should it want to teach creationism.

“I believe knowledge is power, and I believe local school districts should establish the curriculum when it comes to those things,” Brady told the Chicago Sun-Times editorial board in a wide-ranging interview session with running mate Jason Plummer.

This is not really new news. He’s said it before. You can watch the entire Sun-Times editorial board endorsement session if you’d like



* Question: Do you agree with Brady that it ought to be OK with the state if a local school district decides not to teach evolution and substitutes it with creationism? Explain.

* Bonus Question: Do you think this will make much difference in the campaign? Explain.

If you’re going to answer the bonus question, please make sure to answer the actual question, first. Thanks.

  97 Comments      


A good idea, but it’s probably for the long term

Wednesday, Oct 6, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* John Kass writes again today about a forensic audit. He’s talking about Chicago, but the idea is part of Bill Brady’s gubernatorial campaign platform as well. Brady uses the proposal to deflect questions about his budget details, saying he needs to see the results of such an intense audit before he can make any decisions.

Now, I am not opposed to the idea at all, but here’s the thing: A normal Auditor General agency audit takes months to complete. A complicated and detailed forensic audit of the entire state government all at once might take years. Whatever the case, there’s just no way I can figure that Brady could launch a complete forensic audit after he’s inaugurated in January and get the results back before introducing a new state budget in March or April, or even May or June.

* Gov. Christie said yesterday that Brady was doing the right thing by not talking in any detail about his budget plans

New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie, a rising star in the Republican Party, says state Sen. Bill Brady should not offer too many details about how he would cut Illinois’ $13 billion budget deficit if Brady is elected governor.

Christie, who endorsed fellow Republican Brady at Abraham Lincoln Capital Airport Tuesday, said Brady shouldn’t worry about criticism that his budget plan lacks specifics.

“I heard the same things … a year ago right now,” Christie told reporters. “What I said was, ‘I am laying out for the people of New Jersey the direction that I’m going take the state. And I’m not going to sit here now and talk about each and every specific cut and how it all adds up as if I’m a CPA.’

“Candidly, I’m really happy I didn’t. Because the problem I found in New Jersey was much worse than my predecessor advertised, and anything I would have said would have had to have been thrown right in the garbage in January 2010.”

Video


* The good news? Illinois sold a lot of bonds overseas. The bad news? We’re paying a higher interest rate than Mexico and Portugal

Illinois capital-markets director John Sinsheimer and Citigroup Inc. bankers took a globe-girdling trip from the U.K. to China in June to persuade investors that the state’s $900 million of Build America Bonds were a bargain.

The seven-country visit worked. The state sold one-fifth of the federally subsidized securities abroad the next month, tapping investors who are the fastest-growing source of borrowed cash for U.S. municipalities. Illinois, with the lowest credit rating of any state from Moody’s Investors Service, dangled yields higher than Mexico, which defaulted on debt in 1982, and Portugal, which costs more to insure against missed payments.

* More bad news

To retire the fiscal 2010 bills by the end of the year, [Comptroller Dan Hynes] warned that the state must complete its up to $1.75 billion tobacco bond sale because the budget relies on at least $1.2 billion from the deal. Illinois recently named a finance team for the transaction. The state also must make additional interfund transfers and collect additional revenue from a tax amnesty program.

“A significant failure of any of these sources will place remaining fiscal year 2010 obligations in jeopardy,” Hynes warned. “This would create a scenario in which unsatisfied payees could be forced to seek legal and judicial remedies to obtain payments in amounts unprecedented in the state’s history.”

The comptroller said barring any major changes, the state’s liquidity crisis will continue through the fiscal year and Illinois could end the year with an even larger bill backlog of $8 billion as additional debt service comes due. That number could rise if no action is taken to address a $3.7 billion pension payment. […]

However, Hynes warned: “The structural imbalance in the current budget, combined with higher debt service costs and the loss of federal stimulus revenues, creates the very real possibility that the governor and General Assembly will face a working deficit of $15 billion or more when the fiscal year 2012 budget is crafted early next year.”

Oof.

But, hey, I suppose if Bill Brady is elected we could just sell $50 billion in pension bonds

Republican governor candidate Bill Brady has been blasting Democratic Gov. Pat Quinn for taxing, spending and borrowing, but Tuesday the challenger refused to rule out borrowing a record $50 billion to shore up state finances.

“All options have to be considered,” Brady said.

Yeah. That’ll be no problem, considering the inflated interest rate, the ever-worsening deficit and still-horrible revenues.

Nobody is gonna buy that many bonds from this state without a definable revenue stream. Brady has said he’d pay them off with “natural revenue growth.” As I pointed out yesterday, there is no revenue growth.

* Meanwhile

Gov. Pat Quinn’s administration has finalized a deal with the state’s largest employee union that will prevent layoffs until 2012 despite repeated calls from Republican challenger Bill Brady for Quinn to abandon the plan.

The agreement between the state and the American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees was finalized on Sep. 24, and was signed by union director Henry Bayer and James Sledge, head of Illinois Central Management Services.

Under the deal, the state cannot layoff workers or close facilities until July 2012. In exchange the union says it has agreed to cut costs by at least $170 million by cutting healthcare costs, restricting overtime and other yet-to-be-identified measures. Quinn’s office hopes ongoing negotiations will push savings higher.

Too often, this governor walks right into the punches.

* And kudos to the AP for attending one of Scott Lee Cohen’s much-hyped job fairs

Martina Love had two words to describe the job fair hosted Tuesday by Scott Lee Cohen, the independent candidate for Illinois governor: “false advertisement.”

Out of work for a year, the 23-year-old said she’s looking for a “real job” at a factory or somewhere else, not selling jewelry or enlisting in the military like recruiters at Cohen’s Rockford-area job fair were offering.

“If he’s supposed to be a governor, I would think that he would have had more things in here knowing how the economy is,” said Love, who used to work at phone customer service company.

The job fairs are a cornerstone of Cohen’s campaign for governor, but the job seekers who lined up Tuesday to talk to more than a dozen companies weren’t necessarily interested in helping him gain employment as Illinois’s chief executive.

Go read the whole thing.

* Related…

* Unemployment And The Output Gap

* New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie Endorses Bill Brady

* New Jersey governor stumps for Brady

  28 Comments      


Brady to launch three new TV ads

Wednesday, Oct 6, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Bill Brady has three new TV ads that will begin running this evening. The first one is a tough hit on Pat Quinn’s early release program. Rate it


* This is a related, 15-second spot featuring Brady speaking to the camera about protecting personal safety


* And the third is another ad featuring Brady’s daughter Katie


  47 Comments      


Poll: Kinzinger crushing Halvorson 49-31

Wednesday, Oct 6, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* As I told subscribers this morning, The Hill has a new poll showing the 11th Congressional District race isn’t even close. Congresswoman Debbie Halvorson is getting blown out by Republican Adam Kinzinger

Right now, the outlook for Halvorson appears grim. The Hill/ANGA poll found she trails Kinzinger by 18 points — 49 percent to 31. Another 18 percent of likely voters remain undecided.

Kinzinger also leads among most major demographic groups. He’s ahead by 26 points among male voters and by 11 percent among females, and leads in all age groups by 10 points or more. Kinzinger also holds a wide lead with independent voters — 53 percent to 24.

Click here to see the results. They ain’t pretty at all.. A few more questions from the poll…

* And we have a TV ad. Dan Seals


* And Seals’ Republican opponent Bob Dold has an Internet promo video claiming that Dold is pro-choice no matter what anyone else says


* Roundup…

* Candidates in 11th Dist. congressional race clash

* Southwest suburban congressional candidates clash on bailout, tax cuts

* Sun-Times: Foster for 14th District

* Randy Hultgren Speaks in Dixon, IL

* Manzullo defends NAFTA support

* Congressman Phil Hare Talks About Election

  32 Comments      


Morning Shorts

Wednesday, Oct 6, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Huberman to leave as CPS boss before May

All this threatens to occur over a critical set of months, when CPS traditionally devises its budget, prepares for state tests and decides which schools to close. It must tackle the tasks with an administrative staff decimated by budget cuts, teachers left disgruntled by cost-saving layoffs and the specter of even worse budget woes next school year.

* Chicago Public Schools CEO Ron Huberman Not Leaving Post Soon

He said he would likely stay through January, when a new school year begins for some CPS students. He said any time there is a transition in leadership, there is some consideration of who else will leave, but speculation he will leave soon is untrue.

* Schools chief Huberman denies report of early departure

* Huberman on CPS post: ‘Nothing imminent’

* Chicago Public Schools Chief ‘Nervous’ About Safety at Whittier

* CPS: Rehiring Tenured Teachers Could Cost Millions

* Chicago Public Schools Plan to Appeal Ruling on Layoffs

* Daley touts $34 million to raise pay for best teachers

* After blaming ‘the process,’ Stroger fires arrested aide

* Mayor Daley moves to fix a part of city’s water-billing mess

* Cook Board rejects full sales-tax rollback

Calling threats of a $300 million deficit in the upcoming 2011 budget a “fallacy and “scare tactics, Riverside Republican Commissioner Tony Peraica called for the full rollback Tuesday of the sales tax, which the county board reduced by half this summer.

* One Chicago Neighborhood Named Most Dangerous in the Country

A real estate advising company says a neighborhood bordered by Damen and Western Avenues on the east and west and Kinzie Street and Washington Boulevard to the north and south has the highest predicted rates of violent crime in the nation.

* America’s 25 Most Dangerous Neighborhoods

* Medicare drug costs up 10%

* CTA might rename stop for Mayor Washington

* Mount Prospect issues 35 layoff notices

* U-46 taps analyst for finance post

* Kaneland school board names trustee

* Kane prosecutor to leave for Kendall

* Naperville OKs plan to buy DuPage Children’s Museum building

* U. of I. faculty members, students may ask trustees to reconsider William Ayers

* Carbondale City Councilman Lance Jack resigns, wins liquor license

  4 Comments      


For the hacks

Wednesday, Oct 6, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Many of you who read this blog run the campaigns, walk the precincts, make the calls, coordinate the schedules, dig the dirt or dish it, deal with goofy candidates, or are a candidate yourself. I’d like to take this opportunity to say my hat is off to you.

The election is less than four weeks away, but you’re certainly weary from the never-ending days and nights. You’ve no doubt been busting your hump for weeks or months on end. Living on coffee, cigarettes, cold pizza and warm beer. Your candidate may be behind, or maybe you’re in a close race and fighting for what feels like your very life.

For the hacks in the streets, it’s starting to get chilly outside. Soon, it’ll be downright cold, which will be murder on your frozen knuckles (Hint: Kick the door, don’t knock, it’ll save those knuckles). You’ve probably been chased by a dog at least once by now. You may even have been bitten (try to remember to carry dog biscuits in your coat pocket). Some idiot has undoubtedly pulled up half the yard signs you placed the last time you were there. Stay calm. They can make more signs.

You may be losing your patience and your voice, but you can smell something familiar in the air: “The end.” People are finally paying attention and you’ve been feeling that ol’ adrenaline rush. You’re gonna need it. It’s the only thing that’ll keep you going through the miserable days ahead.

No matter. You press on. You may not even like your candidate, but it’s always ever onward. Sometimes - maybe more often than you might care to admit - you don’t even know why you’re pushing yourself so freaking hard. Campaigns are never easy, always unpredictable, maddeningly emotional, completely exhausting. Worse yet, nobody on the outside really understands your choice. Some even disrespect you for it. But it’s what you do, and, God help you, you love it.

You live a zero-sum life. You win or go home. There’s no silver medal. And the rewards aren’t all that great unless you are one of the chosen few. For everyone else, it’s just more work. Always, more work. But that rush you get when you win beats the heck out of trading in your way of life for some mundane sideline existence. You can’t just be someone who wouldn’t bother to invest their own sweat in this insanely bizarre American process.

So, whoever you are and whichever campaign you’re working for or with, this video is for you


Now, go out there and kick some butt. :)

[Hat tip to a commenter.]

  57 Comments      


Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Supplement to today’s edition

Wednesday, Oct 6, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today’s edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)

Wednesday, Oct 6, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

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