Capitol Fax.com - Your Illinois News Radar
SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax      Advertise Here      About     Exclusive Subscriber Content     Updated Posts    Contact Rich Miller
CapitolFax.com
To subscribe to Capitol Fax, click here.
*** UPDATED x2 - Paid endorsers *** Cohen again denies allegations

Monday, Sep 13, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* The mainstream media is finally coming back to the Scott Lee Cohen saga. The Sun-Times and Daily Herald both had pieces over the weekend. And now the AP has a brief story up about the candidate entitled “Cohen resists discussing past personal troubles“…

Cohen talked to The Associated Press Monday but refused to answer most questions about incidents such as accusations of violence from a former girlfriend and an order of protection sought by his wife when they were divorcing.

Cohen did call the order of protection a “sneaky” maneuver that is often used in divorces to disrupt a man’s life.

Cohen says he has “never, ever, touched, hurt or abused a woman.”

Divorce proceedings can often be chock full of lies on both sides. Many of us have seen it happen. But Cohen’s ex-wife was asked specifically earlier this year by Phil Ponce about her allegations that Cohen attempted to rape her and that she was afraid at the time for her physical well-being. “At the time that was an accurate statement,” she said. Watch it


Take her word for it that he’s a changed man. That’s not an easy thing to do. Not everyone can do it. I give him credit for that. But it seems pretty darned clear to me that she said he did what she alleged during the early stages of the divorce proceedings. And if we believe her most recent comments, then Cohen is not telling the truth now.

* The AP also talked to Cohen about his campaign promises

In an interview Monday with The Associated Press, Cohen said Illinois should eliminate unneeded social programs, but he couldn’t name any. He said the state should do away with special funds but couldn’t provide any examples.

His candidacy is wholly unserious. We’ve given Bill Brady plenty of grief for not specifying his cuts, but he has at least put some thought into this race. Cohen has not, except for the political angle. He has no answers for real questions.

* Rate Cohen’s radio ad


…Adding… I accidentally set the ad video to “Private.” It’s fixed now. Sorry about that.

*** UPDATE 1 *** More AP

In an interview Monday with The Associated Press, Cohen accused Republican Bill Brady of running “a business into the ground.”

A guy who has been hit with at least ten foreclosure lawsuits and was sued twice for eviction has little room to stand. Just sayin…

*** UPDATE 2 *** Three of the people who provide testimonials in that Cohen radio ad are Raymond Hancock, Jason Kyle and Peggy Bong. From the State Board of Elections website…

Hmmm.

  35 Comments      


Question of the day

Monday, Sep 13, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* The setup

Democrat Alexi Giannoulias hopes to make China an issue in his race for U.S. Senate, a strategy he set into motion Sunday by accusing Republican opponent Mark Kirk of backing policies that benefit China while hurting American workers.

Giannoulias said Kirk, a five-term congressman, has consistently cast votes against cracking down on unfair trade practices by China and backed huge corporations that transfer jobs overseas.

“When you hear Congressman Kirk talk about job creation, he’s talking about jobs he created in China,” Giannoulias said at a news conference.

The Kirk campaign responded by accusing Giannoulias of “wanting to start a trade war” with one of the biggest customers for Illinois companies. Kirk spokeswoman Kirsten Kukowski said that would endanger thousands of Illinois jobs and $2.5 billion in exports. […]

President Bill Clinton granted “most favored nation” status, for instance, while opponents of the currency and trade bill included Democratic Rep. Nancy Pelosi, now speaker of House.

On other issues, however, Kirk had few allies. He was one of just 15 members of Congress in 2005 to oppose a presidential review if American oil company Unocal reached a sales agreement with a Chinese oil company.

Go read the whole thing.

* The Question: Effective or not? Explain.

Also, as always, I’m really not interested in DC talking points or Econ 101, which has destroyed more college minds than all the illegal drugs in the world combined.

* Roundup…

* China getting attention in U.S. Senate race in Ill.

* Teachers back Giannoulias for Senate

* Teachers union backs Giannoulias

* Giannoulias not worried mayor’s race will divert attention from Senate contest

* Giannoulias Not Familiar With Allegations Made in Treasurer’s Race

* Durbin, Giannoulias Meet With Small Business Owners in Galesburg

* Giannoulias, Simon campaign in Decatur at labor event

* Journal-Standard: Burris needs to move on

* The GOP’s secret, successful judicial war

* Rudy Giuliani appearing with Senate candidate Kirk to discuss Chicago gang crime

* Kirk stays on offense in Illinois despite positive ad

  36 Comments      


Rasmussen: Brady tops Quinn 50-37

Monday, Sep 13, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* We’ve seen some pretty divergent poll results lately. The Tribune had the governor’s race as a five-point game. But Rasmussen has published its latest gubernatorial poll, and they’re looking at a total blowout. Earlier Rasmussen results are in parentheses…

Brady: 45% [46%, 48%, 44%, 43%, 47% 45%, 45%, 47%]
Quinn: 30% [37%, 35%, 37%, 40%, 36% 38%, 38%, 37%]
Whitney: 9% [N/A]
Some Other Candidate 6% [6%, 6%, 11%, 9%, 8% 5%, 7%, 6%]
Not sure 11% [11%, 12%, 9%, 8%, 10% 11%, 10%, 9%]

The result including leaners is probably more important…

Brady: 50% [49%]
Quinn: 37% [41%]
Whitney: 4% [N/A]
Some Other Candidate 7% [3%]
Not sure 3% [7%]

Considering that Scott Lee Cohen is saying he’ll spend as much as $6 million on this race, Rasmussen really ought to be including the guy.

* From the pollster

Brady earns support from 93% of Republicans, while just 66% of Democrats favor Quinn. Whitney captures four percent (4%) of Democrats and eight percent (8%) of voters not affiliated with either party. Brady leads Quinn by better than two-to-one among unaffiliateds.

Brady is viewed favorably by 56% of Illinois voters and unfavorably by 35%.

For Quinn, favorables are 43% and unfavorables are 53%.

Twenty-five percent (25%) have a favorable opinion of Whitney, an attorney and frequent candidate, while 32% regard him unfavorably. But 44% don’t know enough about the Green Party candidate to venture any opinion of him.

Fifty-one percent (51%) of all voters in the state say they have voted for an independent candidate in past elections, while 41% have not. Still, 43% say they are less likely to vote for an independent in this election. Twenty-seven percent (27%) say they are more likely to pull the trigger for an independent on Election Day, and another 25% say the likelihood is about the same as in past elections.

Just 35% approve of the job being done by Quinn, who took over as governor last year after Rod Blogojevich’s impeachment. Sixty-three percent (63%) disapprove of Quinn’s job performance.

Horrible news for Quinn.

* Speaking of Scott Lee Cohen

After listening to Cohen, I think he’s actually running somewhere to the right of Republican nominee Bill Brady, which means he could steal away GOP votes, too, assuming voters have any idea who he is — beyond the helpful image of the guy who holds job fairs.

Unlike Brady or Quinn, Cohen has taken the Illinois Taxpayer Protection Pledge, a strict no-tax-increase promise demanded by Jim Tobin’s Tax Accountability group. Cohen is expecting the conservative group’s endorsement.

“Brady still wants to tax people, I don’t care what he says in his commercials,” said Cohen, who argues that the key to reviving Illinois’ economy is to cut taxes and ease regulations on business.

Most of Cohen’s rhetoric sounds like it’s right out of the old Republican playbook.

Maybe so, but he’s spending much of his time courting minority voters. You can follow some of his movements on Twitter to see for yourself. Also, he’s involving himself in the 17th Ward campaign on behalf of a challenger.

* Even Green Party nominee Rich Whitney is trying to appear conservative these days. From a recent op-ed

Let’s be candid. If you identify yourself as a conservative, your first inclination will probably be to vote for Republican candidate Bill Brady in the Illinois governor’s race. I understand that. He covers some of the basic conservative talking points: cutting spending, holding the line on taxes, “pro-life,” pro-Second Amendment, pro-business.

That’s the rhetoric. Now let’s look at the substance of his positions and see how they compare with my own.

* Related and a campaign roundup…

* Defiant Cohen poses threat to both Quinn, Brady in governor’s race

* Candidates send mixed messages on gambling

* Not much detail from candidates on fixing budget crisis

* Quinn’s campaign faces problems of his own making

* 8th Dist. hopefuls share stances on immigration

* Bob Dold’s new TV ads

* McQueary: The DINO in the 81st House race

* State senate candidate refutes Grayslake trustee’s accusation

* Local, state races could 
alter face of government

* Race, politics and power

* Race for Cook Co. chief judge gets heated

* Combatants await verdict of fellow judges on new chief

* Erickson: GOP’s rising stars foresee openings

  48 Comments      


Your government at work

Monday, Sep 13, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Sometimes, you just gotta wonder what the Illinois State Board of Elections is thinking. As I told you several days ago, they don’t post a handful of campaign reports by nonprofit groups, which means a million dollars in cash is sitting out there with no easy way to find it. Why? Because they couldn’t figure out how to code their website without costing a fortune, which seems a bit odd.

And now this

[State Sen. Larry Bomke] laments a change in procedure at the State Board of Elections. Bomke for years has filed campaign finance reports that list every contribution. But with new software being used at the board for electronic filing of campaign reports, there will no longer be a way to itemize donations of $150 or less, which don’t legally have to be listed separately.

Bomke said he thinks the change oddly comes at a time when “the general public is expecting fuller disclosures.”

Campaigns do continue to keep records of all donations, and Bomke said he will make his database of all contributors — including those who give small amounts — available to interested media.

* In other government news, the State Journal-Register makes some good points about the private bidding war to operate the Illinois Lottery

The idea of handing operations of the lottery over to its biggest contractors, as would be the case with Northstar, strikes us as analogous to General Dynamics and Raytheon assuming operations of the U.S. Department of Defense. The lottery needs an operator that can drive hard bargains with its contractors. We can’t conceive of any way an operator controlled by the biggest lottery vendors can ever accomplish this. Even with promises of firewalls between the contractor and operator sides, the very appearance should make it a non-starter.

Northstar’s main selling point is that it knows the lottery business. That’s true, but the state started this process to break with the lottery business as has been practiced here for the last 26 years.

Camelot’s experience in and record with running lotteries elsewhere make it attractive. Illinois wants growth, but we also want responsible growth. That was a significant component of Camelot’s presentation.

Also, the Illinois Hispanic Chamber of Commerce, the Women’s Business Development Center, the Chicago Minority Supplier Development Council, Chatham Business Association and the Chicago Urban League are all in support of Camelot.

* Worries in Will County

Some Will County officials think the governor is about to drop the proposed Peotone airport into Congressman Jesse Jackson Jr.’s lap.

Then it would be controlled by Chicago politicians. Will County would be out of luck.

Gov. Pat Quinn will make the move — they say — during his bid for re-election. It could happen this month or maybe next. Because if Jackson controlled it, new jobs would be created for people who live on the South Side of Chicago. And that might mean votes for Quinn.

It’s not as clearcut as the article makes it sound, but there is a real political danger here for Democrats in Will County if the governor doesn’t take their positions into consideration. Will County is already a hotbed of anti-government activity. Quinn could gin that up even more if he’s not careful.

* And the University of Illinois is reimbursing its Urbana chancellor for nights he stays in his Chicago condo, and the foundation even helped furnished it

The University of Illinois Foundation also authorized $25,000 in Herman’s discretionary funds to help furnish the condo, according to spokesman Don Kojich. Herman indicated that he frequently used the condo to entertain donors and alumni, and “we thought this was a good use,” Kojich said.

Herman could not be reached for comment.

The university reimbursed Herman for 75 percent of the standard lodging rate for Chicago hotels, the amount allowed under state law in such cases, according to UI records.

In 2008, for example, Herman received a total of $4,837 for overnight stays in Chicago, ranging from about $110 to $121 a night, records show.

Previously, he was reimbursed for his hotel costs, which were actually more expensive for the campus, said Robin Kaler, associate chancellor for public affairs. Herman’s last reimbursement for a Chicago hotel stay totaled about $203, she said.

* Related and a state roundup…

* Questions linger on privatizing state lottery

* Journal-Courier: Bring Lottery bidding out into the open

* Trends show gambling revenue falling in Illinois, most neighboring states

* State finance authority to rule Tuesday on bonds for Navistar

* Sun-Times: Out-of-state students can pay off for U. of I.

* Community college enrollment growth slowing down

* State takeover aimed at schools

* GOP House budget director dissects state budget mess

* Smoking out cigarette tax evaders

* Lawrence: Will state meet challenge of new health-care rules?

* News-Gazette: State officials asking for trouble

* News-Democrat: The need for speed revenue
* Pantagraph: Despite drop in traffic deaths, work to be done

* LIHEAP will have funds available for cold months

* State Supreme Court may hear tavern liability case in death of patron

* JG-TC: Downstate visit a step toward needed cooperation

* Illinois now first state to require all rape test kits be forwarded to lab

  11 Comments      


The Daley impact

Monday, Sep 13, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* It’s a challenge when you have a statewide syndicated column and want to write about the Chicago mayor’s race, but I went ahead anyway this week

Chicago Mayor Richard M. Daley’s stunning decision to step down at the end of this term has at least temporarily sucked almost all the oxygen out of Illinois politics and focused just about everyone’s attention on an extremely rare open seat contest.

There hasn’t been an open seat race for mayor since 1947, when Ed Kelly stepped aside so the Machine could endorse reformer Martin Kennelly. Richard J. Daley defeated Kennelly in the 1955 primary, and the rest is history. This upcoming open seat race is just about the rarest Illinois political event most of us have seen in our lifetimes.

Since this race is so unique, one of the big worries of state Democrats is that groups allied with them could decide to husband their resources in anticipation of an all-out Chicago war next February. The mayor’s race will cost a fortune, and several aldermanic seats look to be in contention. Most of the same big groups who play statewide will also be extremely interested in holding sway over Chicago.

Some top union officials consulted last week said they had no plans at all to alter their November budgets, with one even saying that his union would borrow money if it needed the cash to compete in the mayor’s race.

However, if Gov. Pat Quinn can’t get his act together and make this battle with Republican Bill Brady a reasonably close contest, then there may be no reason to toss money down the drain with him. Better to save the cash for the city contest.

White House chief of staff Rahm Emanuel was perhaps the most prominently featured potential candidate in last week’s speculation. The former congressman and Clinton White House official has long been a Daley favorite.

Emanuel reportedly won’t announce a decision until after the Nov. 2 election. That means he and the rest of the White House could be hugely damaged by the national (and Illinois) election results, so we’ll have to see how this plays out.

An Emanuel run might mean more White House focus on his home state. That could be helpful to Illinois Democrats, particularly Quinn and U.S. Senate nominee Alexi Giannoulias. If those two do poorly in Chicago and the White House wasn’t perceived as being “all in,” Emanuel will start out with a significant local handicap. Add to that any blame he gets for the party’s national losses and he’ll be seriously damaged goods - and his opponents will undoubtedly use that against him.

Attorney General Lisa Madigan has long been thought of as a potential mayoral contender, but she seems satisfied right where she is, at least for now. Madigan passed on an opportunity for U.S. Senate and governor last year, saying she thoroughly enjoyed her job. Madigan is the most popular politician in Illinois and would enjoy union support that might not coalesce behind Emanuel, who is not known for being a pro-union member of President Barack Obama’s administration.

Cook County Sheriff Tom Dart, a former state legislator, last week signaled his openness to a run. Dart is a popular, capable politician who enjoys a strong base of support. He’s greatly expanded that base by protecting homeowners facing foreclosure, crusading against online prostitution advertising and being featured in a national cable series about Cook County Jail.

Comptroller Dan Hynes reportedly was approached by unions months ago about preparing for a run, but many don’t expect Hynes to jump in after losing his second statewide primary race. State Sen. James Meeks has talked about higher office for years, but never has pulled the trigger.

There are just too many more names to delve into right now. Keep in mind that this is a nonpartisan primary with a runoff if no candidate receives at least 50 percent plus one. The contest will be who can get into that runoff, which means that a whole host of folks could think they might make it.

The business community will undoubtedly be more than a bit freaked out about losing the stability and friendship of Daley, so expect them to back a candidate. The runoff calculation and the current national mood means that even some Republicans are musing about their chances at making the final cut. Millionaire Ron Gidwitz was just one of the names mentioned last week. Gidwitz is chairing Bill Brady’s gubernatorial campaign.

* Roundup…

* Rahm Polling Likely Voters

* Gutierrez for mayor? He tests parade-goers reaction

* Gutierrez, Meeks test mayoral waters

* James Meeks, Potential Mayoral Candidate, Draws Ire of Gay Rights Supporters

* Rep. John Fritchey Opts Out Of Mayoral Race

* Politicians parade their hopes of being mayor

* Politicians work crowds at 26th Street parade

* Chicago black leaders meet to discuss mayoral race: The Rev. Jesse Jackson and other black religious and political leaders from across Chicago have met to discuss the city’s upcoming mayoral race. Jackson says the leaders met Saturday to start coming up with criteria they think candidates should meet.

* Maggie Daley: Months went into decision

* Mrs. Daley ‘proud’ of husband’s work as mayor

* Oh, the perks Mayor Daley will miss

* Q&A | Mayor talks about his exit and challenges ahead

* Daley the Builder leaves unfinished business

* Oak Park president praises Daley’s ‘true leadership’

* Daley Eligible to Practice Law in Illinois

* Daley dynasty: 1 family rule of Chicago nears end

* Word on the Street: Turning heads the Chicago way

* Suburban mayors cite regional caucus as lasting Daley legacy

* Cepeda: Want to be mayor? Skip lies, pandering

* Washington: Next mayor must have foot in many ‘hoods

* Friedman: Civic issues and the mayoral succession

  11 Comments      


Matt Ryan has passed away

Monday, Sep 13, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* I told you back in July that our good friend Matt Ryan was very sick. The former chief of staff for Will County Executive Larry Walsh passed away early this morning. His family and many, many friends are just heartbroken. I’ll post arrangements when they come in.

  42 Comments      


Morning Shorts

Monday, Sep 13, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Trade show exhibitors like McCormick Place changes

* US poverty on track to post record gain in 2009

* Crisis ‘hollowing out’ middle-class work force

Health care, the energy sector and finance and accounting are the hottest areas for jobs, according to John Challenger of employment experts Challenger, Gray and Christmas. Though government data doesn’t yet reflect recent layoffs for teachers, education also remains a relatively secure profession, Challenger said, if only because “there’s always going to be children to educate.”

But workers in the housing industry face a longer wait to rebound, he said. The average Chicago area real estate broker has taken a 43 percent pay cut and now earns less than government program eligibility interviewers, whose pay they easily doubled five years ago; real estate appraisers are down 26 percent, and construction workers make 27 percent less.

* Chicago stats: Jobs and wages 2005-2009

* Lower yields, higher corn prices seen

* Small nonprofits at risk of losing tax-exempt status

* Get ready for big tussle over TIF

Now that Mayor Daley has announced he won’t seek a seventh term in the February election, the TIF issue is ripe for debate. Several aldermen who have expressed interest in a mayoral run support tapping the TIF reserves.

A top officer with the Service Employees International Union, which is expected to be active in raising money and volunteers for a candidate, said business interests will do everything they can to keep TIF subsidies.

* Daley’s TIF program could save the city’s bacon—if he can bring himself to raid it

* Daley’s grand schemes may soon fade away

* One more legal worry for Vrdolyak

A bank is foreclosing on two law-office buildings owned by Edward R. Vrdolyak, but lawyers for the former Chicago alderman say it isn’t a case of the man known as “Fast Eddie” being slow in paying up.

* Bankruptcy entangles county commissioner

* Pay the IRS, or give to pols?

* Pilsen man at parade charged with threatening Ald. Danny Solis

* McHenry prosecutor indicted in political misconduct probe

Bianchi, of Crystal Lake, and administrative manager Joyce Synek, 62, of Woodstock, are both charged in the 26-count indictment, made public Friday. The felony charges carry a potential five-year prison term.

In February 2009, Bianchi’s former secretary, Amy Dalby, was charged with stealing documents from Bianchi’s office and handing them to a political opponent. Her attorney then sought a special prosecutor to look into her claims that she did political work for Bianchi during office hours at his behest.

In May 2009, Dalby pleaded guilty and was sentenced to probation. Last September, retired McHenry County Judge Henry Tonigan III was appointed as a special prosecutor to look into Dalby’s claims.

* McHenry prosecutor ’stunned’ by indictment against him

* Krug: Indictments an embarrassment for all

* Cop Shot by Man Who Carjacked 2 Drivers

* Chicago Police Supt. Jody Weis rips his critics

On Wednesday, thousands of rank-and-file officers are expected to protest his leadership outside police headquarters.

* Deputy chief probation officer of the Cook County Juvenile Court retires after 32 years

* Death of Petersburg police chief a suicide

* Cook County Board to Consider Lobbyist Ordinance Amendments

* Cook Co. board member: Board of Review probe completed

* Asian carp reflect the sensitivity of lake invaders

* Carp hype questioned

* Daley Wades Into River Reversal

The idea to re-reverse the river, and undo one of the Chicago’s true engineering marvels has been floated by environmentalists and some state politicians who say restoring the flow to its natural order would help naturally clean the river and the lake, and even help the Asian carp situation.

* Field Museum looks to shed 10% of staff

* Kennedy confirms owner’s interest in selling Mart

Crain’s reported that executives with New York-based Vornado have been dropping hints along Wall Street and among potential buyers of its interest in selling the Mart division, citing sources and securities analysts. Those clues have already yielded one $1.25-billion bid for the Mart that collapsed last month by New York real estate investor Charles Cohen, CEO of Cohen Brothers Realty Corp., Crain’s reported.

Mr. Kennedy did not dispute any facts in the Crain’s story, but he said the headline of the online version of the story overstated the case because Vornado is not actively looking for buyers.

* Metra still in talks over independent watchdog

* State’s woes put Metra’s plans at risk

About $29 million in federal funding has been earmarked to pay for the next step in improving the Union Pacific Northwest line and three other commuter rail projects. But unless the state can match those funds dollar for dollar, Metra will lose access to the money.

* Kadner: Bad transit planning is bad for business

Chicago Metropolis 2020, organized by the Commercial Club of Chicago, has released a new study that says the region is losing jobs and money because the state has failed to adequately invest in public transportation.

Specifically, the study calls for doubling the Illinois motor fuel tax from 19 cents to 38 cents per gallon, which some people would claim is not a tax.

It also calls for consolidation of the Chicago Transit Authority, Metra and Pace and the elimination of 1,403 township governments into “more cost-effective county transportation departments.”

* Kendall Historical Society divided over closing of site

* Kendall County joins water planning group

* D204 board members go on retreat

* Danville teachers strike

Late-night negotiations Sunday did not produce a contract, and the Danville teachers’ union has gone on strike.

A one-line message atop the school district’s website on Monday says, “School is closed due to a teachers strike.”

Negotiators for the school district and Danville Education Association met late into the night on Sunday in the hopes of reaching a tentative deal and averting a strike. By 10:30, they had been bargaining with the help of a federal mediator for seven hours with only a few small breaks to eat or stretch their legs.

* Millburn seeks tax hike, Gurnee seeks bond issue

* HUD OKs demolition of Jericho Circle

* Chicago-area oil pipeline leak may be solved soon

* Oil Spill Deadline Extended Until Tuesday

* EPA: Ill. oil pipeline leak slowing, size unclear

* Free medical coverage through Avon Twp.? It’s complicated

* $322 million in state plan for area road work

* RR Star: No time to waste; city budget needs attention

* RR Star: Death penalty for Katie Stockton no answer

* QC Times: Casino sale will mark end of Q-C era

* Wind debate blowing throughout local communities in Adams County

* Congerville dedicates first public park

* Herald & Review: Tenaska won’t wait forever for Illinois

* Mattoon council hopes to finalize deal with public works employees

* Chatham zoning board to rule on storage facility

* Land use director has big plans for Fairview — and she wants your input

* Southern: Declining enrollment at SIUC needs regional solutions

* Tribune Co. bankruptcy trustee objects to separate firm for special committee

  2 Comments      


Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Supplement to today’s edition and more campaign news

Monday, Sep 13, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

This post is password protected. To view it please enter your password below:

  Comments Off      


Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today’s edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)

Monday, Sep 13, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

This post is password protected. To view it please enter your password below:

  Comments Off      


Protected: *** UPDATED x3 *** SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - This just in… AFSCME makes its move

Sunday, Sep 12, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

This post is password protected. To view it please enter your password below:

  Comments Off      


Analyst predicts two GOP congressional pickups here, and maybe one Dem win

Sunday, Sep 12, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

[Bumped up from Friday evening for visibility.]

* Hotshot prognosticator and polling analyst Nate Silver over at the New York Times’ FiveThirtyEight site has completed his Congressional district analyses and concluded that two Democratic-held districts in Illinois may very well flip to the Republicans.

The 11th CD, currently held by Democrat Debbie Halvorson, has an 88 percent chance of flipping to the GOP via challenger Adam Kinzinger, according to Silver, who has placed the race on his “Likely Takeover” list.

There’s a 63 percent chance that the 14th District will be captured by the Republicans, Silver writes. Democrat Bill Foster is the incumbent. State Sen. Randy Hultgren is the GOP challenger. The race is on FiveThirtyEight’s “Lean Takeover” list.

* Third-time Democratic candidate Dan Seals has just a 53 percent chance of winning the 10th District open seat contest against Republican Bob Dold, Silver says. The seat is currently held by Republican Mark Kirk. The race is on FiveThirtyEight’s “Even Chance of Takeover” list.

Silver gives Democratic incumbent Phil Hare a 74 percent chance of victory. That belies unreleased polling which definitely puts the race in play, but FiveThirtyEight still has this one on a “Takeover Possible” list.

Democrat Melissa Bean is given a 96 percent chance of keeping her seat against Republican Joe Walsh.

All other incumbents of both parties here are given 100 percent chances of winning.

* Silver is predicting the Republicans have a 2 in 3 chance of taking control of the US House. His predictive model is based on numerous factors, including the generic ballot, the president’s overall and issue-specific approval ratings and lots of other factors to the point where Silver calls it the “kitchen sink” approach

FiveThirtyEight’s prediction model does not look solely at these national indicators. Instead, it evaluates the outcome in each of the 435 Congressional districts in which voters will cast ballots this fall. Although the generic ballot has some predictive power even at the local level, our analysis has found that it is not any more important – and in many circumstances, less important – than a series of metrics that can be applied to individual districts. For example, race ratings published by expert forecasters – and particularly those produced by Cook Political and CQ Politics – have an outstanding track record and are used extensively in our model. These forecasts generally point to a somewhat milder outcome for Democrats – perhaps a loss of about 40 seats.

The model also makes use of polls of individual House districts, where they are available. Because nonpartisan polls of individual races are relatively rare, this model includes polls commissioned by campaigns, or by other explicitly partisan organizations (although such polls are subject to a significant adjustment that anticipates their potential bias). However, in contrast with our other forecasting products, our House model gives no particular deference to the polls, and instead they are but one of the series of indicators that we evaluate. Polling in individual House races can often be unreliable, as many voters don’t familiarize themselves with the candidates until late in the election cycle, and as the demographics of individual Congressional districts can be idiosyncratic as compared with larger regions like states.

And this year, there are often significant disagreements – sometimes, even double-digit gaps – among pollsters who are surveying the same House races. The polls can nevertheless have some value when analyzed carefully. But, except in the rare case where there are several trustworthy polls available in the same House district, it is best to combine them with other indicators, our analysis finds.

The model also looks at the amount of fund-raising by each candidate – in particular, at the amount raised from individual contributors, which can be a leading indicator of both the enthusiasm for a particular candidate and the strength of his or her organizational infrastructure. This fund-raising data can have quite a lot of predictive power, although it diminishes somewhat as the campaign evolves (if the candidate is not successful at using their monetary resources to persuade individual voters). Democratic candidates for the House had a very slight edge in individual contributions through the Federal Election Commission’s June reporting period, although it may reverse itself when third-quarter fund-raising reports are released this month.

Finally, the model evaluates past voting in the Congressional district, both in presidential campaigns and prior House elections. But such data needs to be interpreted carefully: past voting is much less meaningful once an incumbent retires, for instance, or if the candidate had not faced serious opposition from the other party in the last election. And voting follows slightly different patterns for the presidency and for Congress: poorer districts sometimes split their ticket between a Congressional Democrat and a Republican president, while the reverse is sometimes true for wealthier ones.

Click here for his complete congressional list.

  Comments Off      


Reader comments closed for the weekend

Friday, Sep 10, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Joel Brunsvold passed away this week and I really couldn’t give him a better sendoff than this Dispatch-Argus editorial

If you drive across Veterans Memorial Bridge at Carr’s Crossing or take a stroll in a beautiful state park. If you play the slots at Jumer’s or attend a concert or a sporting event at the i wireless Center. If you or someone you know was saved by calling 911. If you fish or boat on an Illinois waterway, hunt duck or admire a mother and fawn against a beautiful sunset, you have Joel Brunsvold to thank for the privilege.

In the wake of the untimely death of the longtime public servant, Quad-Citians this week are treasuring the wonderful gifts like these which he gave to the the Quad-Cities and to the state. As mayor of Milan, he set that city on the path to the current and impressive progress it has seen in recent years. Mayor Duane Dawson is among those who were mentored by the former teacher and coach.

Speaking of coaching, he was a talented, record-breaking athlete in his own right who worked tirelessly for young people. For example, he trucked cinders to Sherrard High School so that it could have a track. Education remained a top priority in the 20 years as state representative.

He was, of course, a Democrat and served as Speaker Mike Madigan’s assistant majority leader, but that didn’t stop him from reaching across the aisle to do what needed to be done. Unlike the angry partisans too often on display today, he was a gentleman legislator who counted Democrats and Republicans among his friends. Rep. Brunsvold “personified what a lawmaker should be,” said reporter Scott Reeder, who covered him in the Quad-Cities and later in Springfield. “He never lost sight of who he was: a school teacher from the Quad-Cities. The Illinois General Assembly can be a pretentious place but Joel remained down-to-earth and approachable throughout his long career. He was a knowledgeable educator drafting legislation, a champion of gun-owner rights, a member of the House leadership team and the beloved coach of the House softball team.”

Go read the whole thing.

* Willie will play us out


But it seems now, that it was only yesterday

  Comments Off      


Man overboard!

Friday, Sep 10, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* The Speaker has said this before, but he’s seen the polling and he knows what Gov. Pat Quinn is doing to his targeted incumbents, so it was apparently time to say it again

Democratic House Speaker Michael Madigan today said he’s opposed to Democratic Gov. Pat Quinn’s plan to increase the income tax and isn’t sure if lawmakers will go along with the idea when they return to Springfield following the November election.

“I am not a proponent of the tax increase, so I have no idea if the tax increase will pass or not,” Madigan said following a ribbon cutting for a union training center on the city’s West Side.

Madigan is working toward maintaining control of the House this fall. If he advocated a tax hike, that could be used against Democratic House candidates across Illinois. […]

“The governor stands firm that a 1 percent education surcharge is something that we need to help the state address it’s budget challenges,” said Quinn budget spokeswoman Kelly Kraft. “He is optimistic that lawmakers will do what’s right for Illinois.”

Remember towards the end of the movie “Titanic” when Kate Winslet finally let go of the frozen solid Leonardo DiCaprio and he floated to the bottom of the sea with their sunken ship? That’s kinda like this.

  21 Comments      


Quinn stops laughing, but Ditka may not find it funny; Plus: A big campaign roundup

Friday, Sep 10, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* For months, the Quinnsters laughed at the prospect that Bill Brady could win the governor’s race. Now, a least, Gov. Pat Quinn finally seems to understand that he’s this/close to toasthood

Asked Thursday who should replace Mayor Richard Daley, Gov. Pat Quinn indicated he’s got enough of his own political problems.

“I am in the political fight of my life,” Quinn said. “I don’t think I need to be prognosticating on a race that’s down the road a piece.”

* The Quinn people, meanwhile, have reworked a video of Mike Ditka from July of 2009. I wonder how Da Coach feels about his old comments now that Quinn has been in office awhile


* And a semantics fight breaks out…

Some lawmakers are pushing back against Gov. Pat Quinn’s comments that Republican state Sen. Bill Brady is taking a “bonus” on his legislative salary.

Quinn occasionally has tried to attack Brady with the idea when he has been pressured with questions about raises the governor has given his staff.

“As a matter of fact, he took his full salary, and then took a bonus as well,” Quinn said of Brady at the Illinois State Fair.

“He’s hardly an authority on anything to do with cutting your pay,” Quinn added.

The “bonus” in question is a legislative stipend for committee chairs and leaders.

* On to the mayor’s race. Forrest Claypool ain’t running

“I took 24 hours to think about it,” he said. “But I’ve decided the race I’m in is too important to leave. It’s an opportunity for voters to take a stand against the insider culture that’s bankrupted our state and polluted our politics.”

* Kass makes stuff up

Cook County Sherriff Tom Dart was inching closer to an announcement, which will come only if he gets the expected blessing of Illinois House Speaker Michael Madigan.

Somebody clue this guy in, please. Dart has been a thorn in Madigan’s side for years, and vice-versa. The South Side Irish are often thought of as monolithical. They ain’t. Heck, you practically need a passport to cross the street in the 19th Ward.

* Ummm

The black community’s best candidate may be a white candidate: Ald. Bob Fioretti

Yeah. OK.

* Congressman Jackson talks to CNN about the mayor’s race


* Moving right along to the Cook County Board, this Daily Herald headline and lede are gross understatements: Cook Co. Board candidate in hot water over questionnaire

Conflicting election questionnaire responses suggest a Cook County Board candidate may have been less than truthful about his criminal record, though his campaign blamed it on a staff member’s mistake.

Fox Chicago has the story

In 1991 Maher, then a freshman at Illinois State University in Bloomington, was arrested and charged with felony aggravated battery after the brutal beating of another student. According to police records, Maher and a friend went to the dormroom of a man who had once dated Maher’s girlfriend. The victim suffered a broken jaw, broken eye socket and 25 stitches. Witnesses described finding a “puddle of blood” in his dorm room. He was hospitalized for two days.

But it’s the questionnaire. Yeah. Good one.

By the way, Maher’s cousin is Comptroller Dan Hynes. Then again, I have a cousin in prison for a double murder. One can’t be judged by one’s relatives. Of course, my cousin didn’t run for office, so I doubt he ever filled out a candidate questionnaire.

* Back to the statewides. A fight broke out in comments on our Question of the Day over numerous topics. I put a stop to it, but it can now resume here. From a statement by Illinois Republican Party Chairman Pat Brady…

“It is curious that Robin Kelly would focus on Ethics given her choice to remain on government payroll and collect full-time state benefits even as she campaigns for elected office in all parts of the state. Even more stunning is her brazen choice to hold an Ethics press conference at 1:30 p.m. Thursday while other ‘full time’ employees are required to, well, be at work.

“While the arrogance is fitting for an Illinois Democrat trained in mold of Blagojevich and Giannoulias, it is not in line with the honest leadership our state requires for its future. If Kelly is serious about Ethics change, she should start by changing her payroll status or changing the time of her political activities. Until then she is just another candidate who says one thing while doing another - and Illinois voters have had enough of those.”

Have at it.

* Roundup…

* Lawyers pleading for George Ryan’s freedom

* Quinn to Farnham: Nix effort to fix U46 funding

* Quinn gets backing of firefighters union

* Quinn to mark end of Ramadan

* A Political Consulting Firm Redefines the Word ‘Insurgent’

* SJ-R: Use political sign etiquette this election season

* Candidates for 101st state House District meet in first debate

  18 Comments      


And the winner is…

Friday, Sep 10, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* It was tough making a decision about who won yesterday’s caption contest. I chuckled all afternoon…

But since a prize is involved, I’m forced to make a decision.

* Fifth runner-up goes to Anonymiss…

“Great, now we don’t match. You said to wear blue. I thought you meant eyeshadow. Stop laughing, this isn’t funny.”

I loved that entry, but I already owe her drinks, so I didn’t want to add to my debt.

* Our fourth runner-up is Rep. John Fritchey for this golden nugget…

“I told her those weren’t regular brownies,” chuckled Sen. Brady to Sen. Rutherford as JBT tries to win a staring contest against a microphone.

I almost awarded the top prize to Fritchey, but there’s no way we could limit this to a one-hour cocktail time, so he’s a no-go.

* Third runner-up is from Don’t Worry, Be Happy…

Bill Brady and Dan Rutherford laugh as Rich Miller’s head explodes due to Judy Baar Topinka’s psychic onslaught. Asked about the incident later, Topinka shrugged and said “well, he used an unflattering picture of me on his blog, so he had it coming.”

Yes, I probably did.

* Lefty Lefty is our second runner-up for most creative use of current pop culture…

At the 2040 Reunion of the Juggalos, Tila Tequila recounts her pummeling with food and beer bottles at the 2010 Gathering while Violent J and Shaggy 2 Dope laugh it up. The crowd threw their dentures and Metamucil but much of it didn’t reach the stage.

* First runner-up goes to Oswego Willy, our resident Jason Plummer hater…

Plummer: “Before I begin … Whoever has a van, license plate ‘ABC 123′ with Judy Topinka signs all over it … The wiffle ball that broke your winshield is mine, sorry about that.”

He might’ve won had it not been for the misspellings. Then again, those may have been intentionally ironic. We’ll never know.

* Top prize and a one-hour cocktail party goes to Way Way Down Here. I’m pretty sure he’s referring to David Miller, Topinka’s Democratic opponent. At least, I hope so…

JBT: Get up Miller and I’ll give you another one just like it.
BB: Yeah get up.
DR: Yeah another one.

WWDH should use the “Contact Me” button so we can set up a time and place. Congratulations. And thanks much to everyone for playing. We had over 200 comments, which was pretty amazing.

* How about we try another one? Potential mayoral candidate Sheriff Tom Dart loves him some puppies…

  71 Comments      


Question of the day

Friday, Sep 10, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* We haven’t had a whole lot of news about the state treasurer’s race, but things have heated up since Democratic nominee Robin Kelly accused Republican state Sen. Dan Rutherford of violating state law

According to state campaign records, Rutherford this year received two contributions worth $3,000 from Fred Drake, the chief executive officer of Bloomington-based Heartland Bank & Trust Co.

He also received a $500 contribution from Pan American Bank.

Kelly, who is a top aide to state Treasurer Alexi Giannoulias, said since Heartland is a depository for state funds over $50,000, Rutherford is in violation of newly enacted pay-to-play laws aimed at cracking down on businesses getting lucrative state contracts by doling out campaign dollars. Pan American, she said, bid on a contract that would have been worth more than the $50,000 cap.

“Given the scandal and controversy surrounding Illinois politics, I am extremely troubled and disappointed that my opponent would take political money from banks that are doing more than $1 million in state business with the Treasurer’s Office,” said Kelly.

Rutherford said neither bank is technically a contractor, meaning they do not fall within the 2009 changes to the state’s campaign finance laws.

“Dan Rutherford has followed the law,” said spokesman Brad Hahn. “She forgot to check her facts.”

Kelly’s campaign has a new campaign video about the dustup. Watch it.

* The Question: Setting aside the legalities, do you think Sen. Rutherford should reverse his decision to accept campaign contributions from banks that have state deposits? Explain.

  22 Comments      


Mother Tribune’s ignorance shines again

Friday, Sep 10, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* This is what happens when ignorance rules the roost at the state’s largest newspaper. Today’s Tribune editorial lauds the House Republicans for proposing a series of reforms…

The state would move to a performance-based budgeting process, requiring state agencies to defend their requests based on how effectively they’d spent the previous year’s funding.

This idea was actually signed into law on July 1st. A member of the Tribune editorial board was told back in May that this bill was in the hopper. The bill’s original sponsor even sent the Tribune an op-ed in May which the paper never published. From that op-ed

Budgeting for Outcomes (BFO) gives us the chance to change the rules of the Illinois budget game. Also known as “Results Budgeting,” BFO starts with identifying what revenue is actually available and defining spending priorities (for example, job creation, education, healthcare, transportation, public safety). It then requires measurable outcomes for money spent and encourages creative ways of achieving these goals within the limited resources available.

Recently adopted by The Government Finance Officers Association (GFOA) as a “recommended practice,” BFO allows taxpayers to be better informed and to get a better return on their investment in Illinois government. It also will ensure greater accountability and transparency in the budget process by requiring annual reports on results achieved from dollars spent. This will give us the necessary information to cut, eliminate or reform programs that are not producing in the future.

Former Washington Gov. Gary Locke introduced BFO in 2002 when his state faced a $2.5 billion shortfall in its budget. The state of Washington’s fiscal situation turned around so dramatically after implementing this initiative that many other states, municipalities and other levels of government converted to this budgeting method and realized immediate results and cost savings. We want Illinois to be the next success story.

You can read the budgeting for outcomes (which is also called performance based budgeting) language by clicking here

In addition, the amounts recommended by the Governor for appropriation shall take into account each State agency’s effectiveness in achieving its prioritized goals for the previous fiscal year, as set forth in Section 50-25 of this Law, giving priority to agencies and programs that have demonstrated a focus on the prevention of waste and the maximum yield from resources.

Back to the Tribune

[Under the House Republican reforms] the Appropriations Committee would monitor and adjust spending year-round.

From the new law

Appropriations may be adjusted during the fiscal year by means of one or more supplemental appropriation bills if any State agency either fails to meet or exceeds the goals set forth in Section 50-25 of this Law.

This is also extremely helpful

For fiscal year 2012 and thereafter, [the Commission on Government Forecasting and Accountability shall] develop a 3-year budget forecast for the State, including opportunities and threats concerning anticipated revenues and expenditures, with an appropriate level of detail.

* More Tribune ignorance about the proposed HGOP reforms

It takes a unanimous vote of the House to override the committee, impossible by definition. Republicans say they’d change that to a three-fifths vote. The idea is to stop party leaders from setting the state agenda unilaterally; an added plus is that it would strip lawmakers of their favorite excuse for enabling the status quo. They’d all vote for reform, they insist, if only they had a chance to vote. The Republicans’ plan would empower them to demand that chance.

What the Republicans are proposing is mere semantics. Right now, it does, indeed, require unanimous consent to pop a bill out of committee and onto the floor. But there’s almost always another immediate vote taken to overrule the presiding officer. That vote requires a three-fifths majority. The Republicans would just skip a step and go right to the three-fifths vote. And if you think that the environment would change because we’d no longer be looking at a simple up or down vote on the Speaker’s prerogative, you’re wrong. It would still be a party-line vote. Bet on it.

Some of the reforms the HGOPs are proposing are good ones. Some, like the committee discharge thing, are just window-dressing. Most don’t go far enough. For instance, one way to free members from the Speaker’s power is to elect committee chairs and forbid the Speaker from controlling their staffs. They’re appointed right now and their staffs all report to the chief of staff, not the chairpersons.

* State roundup…

* Road funds not likely to fill holes in budget

* Quinn Within Days of Privatizing State Lottery

* Northwest Herald: Hypocrisy 
of lottery bid

* State looks for health-care help

* Report urges fixing Illinois’ economy with more transit investment

  9 Comments      


*** UPDATED x1 *** Sun-Times Poll: Chicago voter interest high, but no clear frontrunner

Friday, Sep 10, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* A new poll commissioned by the Sun-Times shows lots of interest in the coming mayoral primary, but probably not quite as much as political reporters

And according to this poll, there is no clear frontrunner…

From the story

But with a margin of error of plus or minus 4.3 percentage points, the poll essentially put the nine contenders it included all in a statistical dead heat. […]

The survey relied on 600 personal interviews with randomly selected registered Chicago voters. It was conducted Wednesday evening, just a day and a half after Mayor Daley made his stunning announcement that he would not seek a seventh term.

* And there’s not nearly as much fear of the future out there as one might suspect, at least, not yet…

* The pollster the paper used was once brutally slammed by its late political columnist Steve Neal, so the Sun-Times’ choice was odd, to say the least.

From the story

Perhaps not surprisingly, the poll did find evidence of votes breaking along racial lines. Dart’s strongest support was among white voters, Meeks’ among black voters, and clearly Gutierrez benefitted the most from his base of Hispanic voters.

Emanuel, who is white, curiously also found his largest base of support among Hispanic voters — conceivably because “Emanuel” can also be read as a Hispanic name.

Voters who said they were most eager to vote were most likely to give their support to Dart or Gutierrez.

The survey did not include every possible candidate but focused on those most often mentioned as likely contenders.

*** UPDATE *** Your exclusive advance copy of this week’s WBEZ program “The Best Game in Town” can now be downloaded. Click here. From the producer…

No offense to the home opener for the Bears, but the best game in town this week is at City Hall. In this episode, it’s Daley, Daley, Daley.

UIC Professor and former Alderman Dick Simpson talks about how the Daley machine occupied the 4th floor of City Hall for 42 years.

WBEZ’s Sam Hudzik parses and analyzes the political rhetoric coming from alderman, jockeying for position.

And we host a roundtable discussion from Schaller’s Pump in Bridgeport, featuring Cheryl Corley (NPR), Salim Muwakkil (In These Times) and Carol Felsenthal (Chicago magazine).

Subscribe to the iTunes podcast by clicking here.

* Roundup…

* Daley more concerned with being respected than loved

* Daley wants respect, not love, in retirement

* Huntley: What qualities make a good mayor?

* Sheriff Tom Dart would have ‘head start’ if chose to run for mayor

* Dart considers run for mayor

* Candidates for Mayor Begin to Throw Hats in Ring

* Zorn: February mayoral election will see no clowning around

* Schmich: Imagine when Daley told Oprah

* ‘Daley’ isn’t going anywhere

* Will next mayor keep focus on classroom?

* Rep. Luis Gutierrez Considering Mayoral Run

* Latinos predict big impact on mayoral race

* Pantagraph: Chicago mayoral race has statewide impact

* News-Gazette: Daley steps down, others will step up

* Barton Lorimor: SIU prof Greer recalls covering Mayor Daley (VIDEO)

  14 Comments      


Rahmbo vs. The Velvet Hammer

Friday, Sep 10, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* My Sun-Times column today uses current events to talk about history and one man’s control of state government

I think I’d pay to see Rahm Emanuel elected mayor of Chicago.

Because I cover state politics, I don’t much care how he’d run the city. I’d love to see Emanuel elected just to watch him fight with House Speaker Michael Madigan.

To say that both men are accustomed to getting their own way and to accumulating massive amounts of power would be a horribly naive understatement. Stand between them and what they want, and you’re gonna get mowed down. They don’t call them “Rahmbo” and “The Velvet Hammer” for nothing.

Mayor Daley also falls into this category, of course. But he and the most powerful speaker in the history of Illinois practically grew up together. Daley’s father was Madigan’s second father. The two are like brothers.

There’s always tension between the brothers, as one fights to outdo the other in the never-ending battle to be the favorite son, but they almost always wind up on the same side. That’s something Rod Blagojevich never understood about them, even after I warned him. Blagojevich thought he could triangulate the two, and I told him he would be strangled instead. He was.

Emanuel has generally gotten his way by outworking, out-thinking and out-muscling his opposition. So has Madigan. And the pile of political corpses outside Madigan’s Statehouse door of those who tried to beat him one way or another is a mile high and a mile wide. There’s a smaller pile outside Emanuel’s door, but only because he hasn’t been around as long.

People who know Emanuel tell me that he can’t stand Madigan.

“He’ll end up strangling the guy,” cracked one longtime pal of Emanuel’s about what will happen if the fiery Rahmbo and Madigan go at it.

Madigan’s usual play is to let newbies come to him, and then make them stew endlessly while he decides what, if anything, he’ll give them. He has always worked with mayors, but there’s only so much he’ll do for anybody, including his brother by a different mother Daley.

Daley spent enough time in Springfield as a state legislator and around Madigan to know that he’d rather not deal with the state Capitol. You’ll be hard-pressed to find any Chicago state legislators who’ve been lobbied personally by Daley. That’s one reason why his grandiose schemes like the downtown casino never came to fruition. He knew the game was rigged, and he didn’t want to be shaken down by the players.

That has also been the case with Cook County Sheriff Tom Dart, who is gearing up for a possible mayoral bid himself.

The sheriff and the speaker never got along when Dart was in the House, and they still don’t. He avoids Springfield like the plague. If he were elected, Dart would likely continue Daley’s general aversion to Springfield, but he wouldn’t have the longtime personal relationship to fall back on in a pinch.

Maybe he’d surprise me, but I just can’t imagine Emanuel letting Springfield — and, by extension, Madigan — do whatever it wants. The man who’s best known for regularly letting his partially amputated middle finger do his talking and who was widely ribbed for reportedly threatening a congressman while naked in the Capitol Hill gym shower just doesn’t appear to be built that way.

So, we’ll probably get a big showdown, at least at first as they test each other’s wills, and those piles of bodies will grow exponentially. Like I said, I’d pay to see that fight.

Of course, I’d rather that we not have a House speaker with so much concentrated power that he runs literally everything. But that’s life in Illinois.

* Rahmbomania roundup…

* Before Emanuel Looks at Mayor’s Job, He Should Look in Mirror: Notably, his managerial record, as opposed to his legislative record, is spotty, according to multiple White House sources without axes to grind. They cite a perceived lack of internal communication; a short attention span; political infighting, notably with Valerie Jarrett, a senior adviser to the president; a limited set of loyalties (many to Clinton-era colleagues); and a surprising lack of decisiveness on personnel matters.

* Obama: Emanuel would be a ‘terrific mayor’

* Obama all but endorses Mayor Rahm, but…

* Obama says aide is focused on job

* Potential mayoral rivals play down Obama’s praise for Rahm Emanuel

* Rep. Jackson: Emanuel Has Baggage In Mayoral Field

* Jackson says no decision yet on mayoral run, slams Emanuel

* Emanuel would be best-known mayoral candidate

  36 Comments      


New negative ad from Giannoulias uses old headline

Friday, Sep 10, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Mark Kirk isn’t the only one who said he’d go positive and then ran a negative ad. Alexi Giannoulias is doing the same thing. Rate it


This is mostly a remake of an earlier ad, but with a new twist. At the end of the ad, the announcer says: “Now Mark Kirk is lying about Alexi Giannoulias in ads denounced as smears.” You may think they’re referring to Kirk’s latest hit, but they use a Sun-Times editorial headline from July. That editorial was about Kirk’s attempt to claim one of Alexi’s advisors was a BP lobbyist.

* Roundup…

* Burris to high court: Let me run

* Many top local Republicans won’t be at Right Nation rally

* What the Latest Polls Told Us

* Kirk shifts gears, attacks Giannoulias on taxes

* Feeling IL

* How Should We Close That State Deficit, Mr. Kirk?

* Giannoulias, Durbin rouse local Democrats

* Giannoulias: U.S. should leave Afghanistan quickly

* Obama Approval Ratings Not Helping Illinois Dems

  19 Comments      


Morning Shorts

Friday, Sep 10, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* McCormick Place Reforms May Be Working

* Audit: Tollway can’t explain ‘hardship’ breaks

* State audit finds flaws in tollway accounting

* Twelve states warned about faulty propane

* Illinois AG announces sweepstakes settlement terms

* White House to honor slain Wheaton soldier

U.S. Army Staff Sgt. Robert Miller took over when his commander was wounded during a 2008 attack in Afghanistan, directing return fire and intentionally putting himself in the most dangerous position to protect his men.

His heroic actions helped save more than 20 fellow soldiers and Afghan army allies but cost the 24-year-old former Wheaton man his own life.

* Fallen Wheaton soldier to be awarded Medal of Honor

* Wheaton Soldier Receives Posthumous Medal of Honor

* Son of peace activist dies in Chicago shooting

* Student’s slaying may be tied to school fight

A cafeteria fight may have led to the murder of a 16-year-old Bowen High School student who was shot as he walked home Wednesday, the boy’s family said Thursday.

Sophomore Deantonio Goss became the first Chicago Public Schools student to be killed this school year, just two days after classes resumed at Bowen.

Goss and an 18-year-old friend were shot half a mile from the school — and just a couple of blocks from Goss’ home — around 3 p.m. in an alley in the 8600 block of South Saginaw, police said.

* CPS report card shows many schools struggling

An analysis of the grades shows that a disproportionate number of schools scored in the D range or worse, including 48 percent of elementaries and 68 percent of high schools.

* Many Public Schools Failing To Make Grade

* Illinois traffic fatalities drop 13 percent

* Illinois about average for eating fruit, veggies

* Pay decline for college grads easing, study shows

The highest average and median pay offers went to engineering majors. As a group, the average pay offer fell 1.7 percent to $58,669.

The average pay offer for liberal arts graduates fell 3 percent to $35,508. For sociology majors, it climbed 3.1 percent to $35,357. English majors saw a drop of 1.8 percent to $35,946, and for psychology majors, the average offer fell 6.7 percent to $32,260.

The average offer for business majors dipped to $46,672 from $46,735. For economics majors, it rose 4.2 percent to $51,698.

* 30-year mortgage rates rise slightly

* Attorney says Ryan’s wife has terminal lung disease

Lura Lynn Ryan isn’t expected to live more than a few years, attorney Dan Webb told Judge Rebecca Pallmeyer. […]

Pallmeyer set a Nov. 1 date to hear arguments on both the bail request and the primary legal question - whether a U.S. Supreme Court ruling that curtailed laws barring public officials from denying taxpayers honest services should nullify some of Ryan’s convictions.

If the convictions are tossed, Ryan could be let out for good - well short of his current release date of 2013.

* Lawyers pleading for George Ryan’s freedom

* Gov. Ryan Renews Appeals to get out of Prison

* George Ryan’s freedom bid cites Supreme Court ruling, wife’s health

* Prosecutors Oppose Ryan’s Request For Release

* Sun-Times: Crooked pols deserve tough punishment

* New Blagojevich Jury

Attorneys for Rod Blagojevich have yet to figure out exactly who will be representing the former Illinois governor in his next trial.

* Steger: The challenge of cleaning up Illinois politics

* Shakman: Stroger violated hiring ban 157 times

* Bevy of Stroger hiring violations: petition

* Two teens charged with burglarizing Ald. Freddrenna Lyle’s home

* FOP says cops eager to see Weis leave

“When he first came in, a lot of guys said, ‘This guy has potential to be a breath of fresh air.’ He had a contract. He could have run this department the way it’s supposed to be run. He didn’t. The impression of most officers is this department is run by the fifth floor (mayor’s office),” said Bill Dougherty, first vice president of the Fraternal Order of Police.

* Daley Hears from Public on $655M Budget Shortfall

Mayor Daley said budget cuts begin with all of the managers present at the hearing. They are taking a 10 percent pay cut, including Mayor Daley.

He said the city would not raise taxes or fees because people can’t afford it.

But according to some reports, he’s considering privatizing many more services and tapping into the city’s reserves.

* Cool view! Hancock ice skating rink opens Jan. 1

* Kadner: Maher should try truth in campaign

* Aurora may hike planning, engineering fees

* Crude oil leak is stopped in Romeoville

* Oil Spill May Cause Supply Problems Nationwide

* Mokena residents gear up for SD 159 referendum push

* Palatine officials fed up with state’s delayed payments

* DuPage water panel projects rate hikes

* DuPage zoning board delays prayer center vote

* Kane County 2011 budget hopes may rest with union negotiations

* Kane Co. juvenile jail needs new security gear

* Still work to do on Navistar plan

* Daily Herald: A business decision worth cheering

* Belvidere council OKs payment plan for liquor license

* [Freeport] Fire union ratifies deal

* [Stephenson County] Tax revenue down

* Elmwood celebrates fall

* 2 of 11 Danville schools meet state test standards

* Mattoon officials still weighing impact of employee union contracts

* District 150 moves to reduce overtime

* Decatur Township assessor seeks more money to retain temporary workers

* Macon County Board revamps planning commission

* Springfield welds shut five manhole covers after woman’s drowning

* Springfield financial health questioned

* Schoenburg: Former Williamsville president for Springfield mayor?

* Wife: Former school superintendent died doing what he loved best, educating

* Belleville alderman recovering from Moonlight Ramble bike crash has message to deliver

* To save $2,800, O’Fallon aldermen delay action on new office park

* Carbondale police receive award

* Johnston City discusses home rule with public

* In the ‘Newsroom’

* NIU enrollment falls slightly, applications up

* EIU says economy leads to drop in enrollment

* ISU enrollment remains stable

* UIS enrollment tops 5,000

* UIS provost Berman suggested for interim chancellor

* Southern Illinoisan: Tougher speeding fines don’t go far enough

* U of I Extension reorganizing programs

  1 Comment      


« NEWER POSTS PREVIOUS POSTS »
* Pritzker says amount of threats received in past few days has been an 'enormous multiple' of those that were received in the days before
* Rep. Smith won't run for reelection
* Pritzker on political violence, impeachment, Nazis, National Guard, ICE shooting, Gov. Jim Edgar
* No end in sight
* RETAIL: The Largest Employer In Illinois
* Isabel’s morning briefing
* Good morning!
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Supplement to today’s edition and a campaign update
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today's edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)
* Selected press releases (Live updates)
* Live coverage
* Jim Edgar (Updated and comments opened)
* Porter McNeil (Updated and comments opened)
* Yesterday's stories

Support CapitolFax.com
Visit our advertisers...

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............


Loading


Main Menu
Home
Illinois
YouTube
Pundit rankings
Obama
Subscriber Content
Durbin
Burris
Blagojevich Trial
Advertising
Updated Posts
Polls

Archives
September 2025
August 2025
July 2025
June 2025
May 2025
April 2025
March 2025
February 2025
January 2025
December 2024
November 2024
October 2024
September 2024
August 2024
July 2024
June 2024
May 2024
April 2024
March 2024
February 2024
January 2024
December 2023
November 2023
October 2023
September 2023
August 2023
July 2023
June 2023
May 2023
April 2023
March 2023
February 2023
January 2023
December 2022
November 2022
October 2022
September 2022
August 2022
July 2022
June 2022
May 2022
April 2022
March 2022
February 2022
January 2022
December 2021
November 2021
October 2021
September 2021
August 2021
July 2021
June 2021
May 2021
April 2021
March 2021
February 2021
January 2021
December 2020
November 2020
October 2020
September 2020
August 2020
July 2020
June 2020
May 2020
April 2020
March 2020
February 2020
January 2020
December 2019
November 2019
October 2019
September 2019
August 2019
July 2019
June 2019
May 2019
April 2019
March 2019
February 2019
January 2019
December 2018
November 2018
October 2018
September 2018
August 2018
July 2018
June 2018
May 2018
April 2018
March 2018
February 2018
January 2018
December 2017
November 2017
October 2017
September 2017
August 2017
July 2017
June 2017
May 2017
April 2017
March 2017
February 2017
January 2017
December 2016
November 2016
October 2016
September 2016
August 2016
July 2016
June 2016
May 2016
April 2016
March 2016
February 2016
January 2016
December 2015
November 2015
October 2015
September 2015
August 2015
July 2015
June 2015
May 2015
April 2015
March 2015
February 2015
January 2015
December 2014
November 2014
October 2014
September 2014
August 2014
July 2014
June 2014
May 2014
April 2014
March 2014
February 2014
January 2014
December 2013
November 2013
October 2013
September 2013
August 2013
July 2013
June 2013
May 2013
April 2013
March 2013
February 2013
January 2013
December 2012
November 2012
October 2012
September 2012
August 2012
July 2012
June 2012
May 2012
April 2012
March 2012
February 2012
January 2012
December 2011
November 2011
October 2011
September 2011
August 2011
July 2011
June 2011
May 2011
April 2011
March 2011
February 2011
January 2011
December 2010
November 2010
October 2010
September 2010
August 2010
July 2010
June 2010
May 2010
April 2010
March 2010
February 2010
January 2010
December 2009
November 2009
October 2009
September 2009
August 2009
July 2009
June 2009
May 2009
April 2009
March 2009
February 2009
January 2009
December 2008
November 2008
October 2008
September 2008
August 2008
July 2008
June 2008
May 2008
April 2008
March 2008
February 2008
January 2008
December 2007
November 2007
October 2007
September 2007
August 2007
July 2007
June 2007
May 2007
April 2007
March 2007
February 2007
January 2007
December 2006
November 2006
October 2006
September 2006
August 2006
July 2006
June 2006
May 2006
April 2006
March 2006
February 2006
January 2006
December 2005
April 2005
March 2005
February 2005
January 2005
December 2004
November 2004
October 2004

Blog*Spot Archives
November 2005
October 2005
September 2005
August 2005
July 2005
June 2005
May 2005

Syndication

RSS Feed 2.0
Comments RSS 2.0




Hosted by MCS SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax Advertise Here Mobile Version Contact Rich Miller