Capitol Fax.com - Your Illinois News Radar
SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax      Advertise Here      About     Exclusive Subscriber Content     Updated Posts    Contact Rich Miller
CapitolFax.com
To subscribe to Capitol Fax, click here.
“A parent’s worst nightmare”

Tuesday, Aug 5, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Rat droppings and roaches found in an opponent’s daycare center? No background checks for staff? Open electrical outlets? Wet and soiled bedding for infants and toddlers?

Oof.

It’s not the most professionally made, but it is surely the hardest-hitting YouTube campaign video I’ve seen since the primary. And it’s from the Madison County Treasurer’s race. Watch it

If they can improve the production and get that on cable, it’ll be a killer spot.

  16 Comments      


Question of the day

Tuesday, Aug 5, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Gov. Quinn, speaking about Bruce Rauner, et al…


* The Question: Is the governor becoming desperate by attacking his opponent’s patriotism or should he continue with this line of assault? Take the poll and then explain your answer in comments, please.


survey solutions

  49 Comments      


Feeling a bit peevish today

Tuesday, Aug 5, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Umm…


The time stamp on Sirota’s story is August 4th at 3:11 pm The time stamp on my own story about the video is August 4th at 11:30 am.

“Scoop” means you have something “first.” I wasn’t first because it was the IFT’s video that the union was promoting, but I was surely ahead of that guy.

* Let’s move along. Here was Rauner’s quote as a refresher

“I apologize. We may have to go through rough times. We may have to do what Ronald Reagan did with the air traffic controllers. Sort of have to do a do-over and shut things down for a little while. That’s what we’re gonna do.”

* Now, on to the CNN story

Critics are pouncing on remarks Bruce Rauner, the Republican nominee for governor in Illinois, made to supporters earlier this year that a government shutdown was an option to help the state deal with its financial troubles. […]

In response to the outcry, Rauner’s campaign said their candidate “has put forth a detailed plan for reviving Illinois, and shutting down state government is not among those plans.”

“But if the choice is between that and four more years of failed leadership, higher taxes, and high unemployment from Quinn and Madigan, a whole lot of Illinoisans might think less government is a pretty good idea,” spokesman Mike Schrimpf told CNN.

So, it’s not actually in the written plans that the campaign has already released, but they could still do it. And “less government” is equated with actually shutting down government? He basically said nothing, which I assume means the idea is still viable.

* Back to Sirota…


Follow the link and you get this

Another video has surfaced today showing Rauner making a similar comment in a March 2013 speech to Illinois Republicans. In that video, Rauner says: “I may have to take a strike and shut down the government for a few weeks and kinda redo everybody’s contract. That’s a possibility…I will do it proudly.”

The video didn’t “surface” yesterday. I posted it to YouTube on March 19th last year.

If you’re gonna write about Illinois, dude, learn a little about Illinois first.

  24 Comments      


Today’s best comment

Tuesday, Aug 5, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* VanillaMan

I’m tired of reading comments from bloggers who believe if voters don’t agree with them, it means they are low information, ignorant people.

If you want people to agree with you, if you are tired of the partisan bickering and really want government to work for all - you have to respect people.

You cannot support democracy and badmouth voters. You cannot have democracy without them.

If you can only explain your candidate’s losses by claiming voters are not smart enough to understand the issues, where the candidates stand, or that they can be fooled, bought off, they are lazy or corrupted - then you suck as a political observer. Candidates lose because they didn’t convince enough citizens to support them on an election day.

If you don’t believe in voters and election day, then you should move to a place where other people like you don’t believe in voters and election day - there are plenty of hell on Earths that will welcome your opinion with open arms and agree with you.

We’re getting more and more of this sort of crud in comments as the election nears (on both sides, actually) and it’s really been bothering me. VMan captured my feelings exactly.

I would only add that too often this loaded “low information voters” phrase is used as racial code - against poor blacks or, to a lesser extent, poor whites. Enough, already.

Deletions will commence immediately. Banishments will be next.

  94 Comments      


Rothenberg tips race slightly to Rauner

Tuesday, Aug 5, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* From Stu Rothenberger’s outfit

Democrats’ best strategy appears to be to turn GOP nominee Bruce Rauner, a wealthy businessman, into “Mitt Romney on steroids.” It could work, but to call this race a tossup right now would be understating Quinn’s standing in the race.

We’re changing the Rothenberg Political Report/Roll Call rating of the race from pure Tossup to Tossup/Tilts Republican, giving the GOP a narrow advantage to capture the state in November.

  31 Comments      


Nybo back in the GA

Tuesday, Aug 5, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* No surprise

Republican Chris Nybo was appointed Monday to fill a state Senate seat he unsuccessfully sought two years ago.

Nybo will replace Sen. Kirk Dillard, who resigned Sunday in order to accept his appointment as chairman of the RTA. […]

Nybo had challenged Dillard two years ago for the seat, but Dillard easily defeated him. Dillard did not seek re-election this year, choosing instead to run for governor, where he lost to Bruce Rauner in the primary. Nybo defeated state Rep. Chris Reboletti in the March primary.

“It is an honor to be succeeding Sen. Dillard. Though no one can fill his shoes, he leaves a legislative legacy to be admired and emulated,” Nybo said in a statement. “I will do my best to make the transition from this respected senator as seamless as possible.”

Shall we welcome Nybo back to the General Assembly with a caption contest?…

  42 Comments      


Swings and misses?

Tuesday, Aug 5, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* From the union-backed Illinois Freedom PAC…

Less than 2 in 10 senior level positions at Rauner’s firm are held by women. Someone who can’t see talent among women and minorities is a poor choice to the run a state as well as a business

GTCR Is 70% Male: There Are Only 25 Female Employees At GTCR Out Of The 82 Total Employees. [gtcr.com]

Almost 90% Of GTRC Male Employees Are Mid-Level Or Senior Level But Only 36% Of Female Employees At GTCR Are Mid-Level Or Senior Level. [gtcr.com]

Only 14% Of Senior Level Positions At GTCR Are Held By Women. [gtcr.com]

Only 15% Of The Combined Senior And Mid-Level Positions At GTCR Are Held By Women. [gtcr.com]

Women Hold 73% Of The Entry-Level/Administrative Positions At GTCR. [gtcr.com]

Ah, the ole war on women thing. There is a problem, though. From a March, 2014 report by Preqin

The average proportion of senior positions held by women in North America- and Europe-based private equity firms is 11.0% and 9.7% respectively. North America saw a rise from 2013 when women held 10.3% of senior roles

So, Rauner’s firm employs women in senior level capacities at a higher than average rate.

* The campaign dispatched running mate Evelyn Sanguinetti…

“Unfortunately, females have long been underrepresented in private equity and Bruce certainly would have liked to see GTCR hire more females, but GTCR does exceed national averages for the industry.”

* Meanwhile, from the Windy City Times

Equality Illinois and other LGBT organizations announced Aug. 4 that during Market Days they would be continuing their effort to call attention to what they call GOP gubernatorial candidate Bruce Rauner’s anti-gay activities and social conservative agenda.

Among the efforts planned for the two-day festival, which takes place on Halsted Street Aug. 9-10, are flyers, voter registration booths and a new social media campaign, according to a statement.

Equality organizations and activists say that Rauner, who has claimed not to be running on a socially conservative agenda, has contributed to anti-gay candidates, as his wife, Diana. The Market Days flyers, made up to look like voided marriage certificates, point to $95,400 in contributions the Rauners gave to anti-LGBT candidates. Among those candidates the organizations named are John D. Anthony, Sheri Jesiel, Liz Doody Gorman, Jim Durkin, Christine Radogno, Joe Sosnowski, Mark Batinick, Keith Wheeler, Heidi Holan, Neil Anderson and Margo McDermed.

Street teams will also be calling attention to Rauner’s running mate Evelyn Sanguenitti and his association with the DeVos family, who have been major funders of anti-marriage equality activities and donated $13,000 to his campaign, the statement said.

* The voided marriage certificate…

The rest of the flier…

Everyone who truly thinks that Bruce Rauner will actually void gay marriage licenses, please raise you hand.

But, hey, it’s politics and Rauner won’t come out and actually say he’d protect gay marriage rights, so he probably deserves the hit.

  34 Comments      


Illinois Education Association endorses Rodney Davis

Tuesday, Aug 5, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* This is pretty big news. From a press release…

The Illinois Education Association’s political action committee, IPACE, the Illinois Political Action Committee for Education, and the National Education Association’s political action committee, the NEA Fund for Children and Public Education, today endorsed the reelection of United States Representative Rodney Davis.

“Congressman Rodney Davis has the right values and vision to continue to speak up in Congress for educators and students,” said Cinda Klickna, president of the Illinois Education Association. “As a lawmaker who puts Illinoisans first, he understands the pressing issues facing our schools. He knows the important role education plays in preparing students for the jobs of tomorrow so that America can compete in the global marketplace. We look forward to continuing to work with Rep. Davis in Washington.”

“Representative Rodney Davis shares our values and the values of the working families of Illinois’ 13th Congressional District,” said NEA President Dennis Van Roekel. “A proud product of Illinois’ public schools, he is a relentless advocate for students and educators and understands that the road to economic prosperity and security starts in our nation’s public schools. He’s a champion of working families, and if reelected, he will continue to work hard to make our economy work for all of us. That’s why we are proud to endorse Rep. Davis’ reelection to Congress.”

That’s a big blow to Democrat Ann Callis’ campaign. Big.

…Adding… Callis was previous endorsed by the IFT.

  31 Comments      


Connecting some ranch dots

Tuesday, Aug 5, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* A November 26, 2013 Tribune report on Bruce Rauner’s ranch on the Wyoming-Montana border

Some of the Western sites are working farms, his campaign has said, where Rauner grows barley for a beer producer along with other crops. Rauner has dismissed some of the Western properties as little more than double-wides and old cabins.

“They’re falling down,” he told the Tribune. “It’s a good place to burn a steak and have a beer.”

* From today’s Tribune

Sitting between two snowcapped mountain ranges, with the Yellowstone River running through wide expanses of ranchland, Bruce Rauner’s spread in Montana lies in the middle of one of the most awe-inspiring spots in the American West.

While the Republican nominee for governor owns opulent properties in several locations across the country — from the Florida Keys to Manhattan — it is the tens of thousands of acres he owns in southern Montana and northern Wyoming that most sharply define his persona as a savvy investor who knows his way around bird guns and fly tackle.

Land records show that Rauner owns land in five Montana counties and in northern Wyoming, totaling about 23,000 acres. But friends and acquaintances say he spends most of his time on the property he has assembled south of Livingston, in an area called Paradise Valley at the northern entrance to Yellowstone National Park.

His 6,000-square-foot home on the banks of the Yellowstone River, widely regarded as one of the greatest trout-fishing rivers in the world, is a showpiece property where he has entertained Mayor Rahm Emanuel and other friends from Chicago.

Yep, burn a steak and have a beer amidst falling down rubble. The very definition of roughing it, in a gorgeous, 6,000 square foot ranch mansion.

* From a November 25, 2013 Tribune story

[Rauner’s house] has five bedrooms and four baths and is currently valued by the Park County, Mont., assessor at $2.2 million.

The front gate to the shack…

* Ah, but there’s much more to this ranch topic. From a July 02, 2014 Tribune story

Rauner’s tax returns report a payment of $15,777 of self-employment tax in 2012 but no payments in 2010 or 2011. He said he and his wife didn’t owe the tax in those two years because it is applied to only certain types of income — in his case the category that showed multimillion-dollar losses in regular business income. […]

Asked to explain those losses, Rauner said he couldn’t recall details but speculated that a portion was likely connected with large ranching operations he owns in Montana and Wyoming. “Some of it’s farm and ranch income or losses,” he said. “That goes up and down year to year. Some of it’s operating losses from other investments that I have made.”

That shack pays some real dividends. Burn a steak, drink a beer, cut your tax payments.

* From today’s Sun-Times

Republican gubernatorial candidate Bruce Rauner has headed to his opulent, 6,000-square-foot, $2.2 million ranch in Montana, where he will spend time away from the stump in Illinois.

The news comes after Rauner has faced questions about investments he holds in the Cayman Islands, following a Sunday Sun-Times story revealing the investments. That disclosure reignited calls for the multi-millionaire to release his 2013 tax records. Rauner has filed for an extension and his campaign said he would release them by October 15.

  61 Comments      


*** UPDATED x2 - Quinn response - Scripts *** Rauner launches two new TV ads

Tuesday, Aug 5, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* “It’s Time”

Script…

The 2nd highest property taxes in America. And Pat Quinn wants to make his 67% income tax increase permanent. Pat Quinn he just doesn’t get it. Bruce Rauner has a plan to grow jobs not taxes. Repeal all the Quinn-Madigan tax increase. Stop corporate welfare giveaways. Freeze runaway property taxes and require voter approval to raise them. It’s time to turn Illinois around. Bruce Rauner, shake up Springfield bring back Illinois.

* “Ever”

Script…

BRUCE RAUNER: Pat Quinn raised taxes on everyone. Took about one full week’s pay from each middle class family every year. Now he wants to make it permeant. My plan will repeal the Quinn-Madigan tax, and get rid of corporate welfare, and no taxes on social security ever.

AD: Bruce Rauner

BRUCE RAUNER: I’ll freeze runaway property taxes. No more property tax increases without voter approval period.

AD: Shake up Springfield bring back Illinois

*** UPDATE *** From the Quinn campaign…

MISLEADING AD CLAIM: Bruce Rauner says he wants to let the income tax increase expire in January.

FACT: Here is a real headline from the Chicago Tribune: “Rauner opens door to higher income tax rate.” Rauner expressed openness to raising the income tax rate this year.

MISLEADING AD CLAIM: Rauner is suddenly opposed to taxing Social Security.

FACT: Bruce Rauner has said he is open to taxing retirement income earlier this year and to this day has not ruled it out. During a GOP primary debate on WTTW, Rauner said he wouldn’t rule out taxing retirement income, according to the Chicago Tribune. Rauner said he would consider every tax before making a judgement. Other GOP candidates immediately ruled out the tax. But not Rauner. [VIDEO - at 00:32:20]

(This is not to mention the fact that he himself used exotic accounting methods to avoid paying Social Security and Medicare tax.)

MISLEADING AD CLAIM: Bruce Rauner SAYS he wants to freeze property taxes.

FACT: First, the Governor does not have the power to freeze or raise local property taxes. Second, Rauner has proposed blowing an $8 billion hole in the budget that would decimate funding for public schools, which would leave local governments with NO CHOICE but to raise property taxes to protect funding for schools. The best way to reduce property taxes is by properly funding education. That’s why Governor Quinn has proposed viable property tax relief for homeowners in addition to properly funding schools to reform the system and reduce the burden on property taxpayers.

MISLEADING AD CLAIM: Bruce Rauner is now opposed to corporate welfare.

FACT: Rauner has benefited to the tune of hundreds of millions of dollars over the years from corporate welfare. A mere few examples include, PrivateBancorp, which received $244 million in federal bailout money and Zenta Inc., which received $8.5 million in corporate welfare from the State of North Carolina. Governor Quinn by contrast has proposed closing corporate tax loopholes that Rauner has been jumping through to give himself hundreds of thousands of dollars for his own financial benefit.

  42 Comments      


Today’s number: 51 percent

Tuesday, Aug 5, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Sun-Times

How much worse could things get for Congress? Not only do Americans say the best way to fix Congress is to fire everyone (but it rarely happens), a new poll reveals just how fed up voters are with Congress. Specifically, they’re pointing the finger directly at their own member like never before.

The Washington Post-ABC poll shows that 51 percent of voters disapprove of their own member of Congress. In the quarter-century that the Post-ABC has been asking the question, this is the first time it’s ever eclipsed the 50-percent mark. Only 41 percent approve of their own member.

That poll is here.

* But

A recent Pew poll, for instance, showed 69 percent of people wanted to unseat most members of Congress, but just 36 percent said the same of their own member.

Even so, that 36 percent is significantly higher than the 29 percent who said the same about their own members in 1994 and two points above the rate in 2010.

  16 Comments      


Marin: Feds back off on ruining a good man’s life

Tuesday, Aug 5, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Carol Marin writes about Rep. LaShawn Ford

In the Great Recession, the Obama Justice Department has sent no Big Bankers to jail for the billions they plundered, but it went after a lone black state representative for 17 counts of felony bank fraud? The charge: improperly using a $1.5 million line of credit from ShoreBank in his struggling real estate business, with some of the money going to pay personal debts.

Amazingly, not a single soul from ShoreBank responsible for lending Ford the money, nor a single other customer — many white — was charged with making bad loans or defaulting on loans.

Only La Shawn Ford was bagged by the government. What set him apart? He was an elected official, though the charges had nothing to do with his performance in office.

* I’m excerpting too much for Fair Use, but whatever. More

First elected in 2006, Ford went up against the regular Democrats who endorsed the incumbent hack, Calvin Giles. It took Ford three tries, but he finally won.

The Machine was stunned.

Life has always been against the odds for La Shawn Ford. The son of a drug-addicted mother, he was raised by his grandmother and sent to Catholic schools. And then to the seminary.

Ultimately, his path took him to teaching and business. And politics.

At his 2012 arraignment in federal court, the lobby of the Dirksen Federal Building filled with people from his neighborhood. Unlike when fellow state Rep. Derrick Smith was indicted on bribery charges, there was an outpouring on behalf of Ford that is seldom seen in the granite courthouse.

* Sun-Times

The surprise plea deal on Monday comes less than two months after Durkin in June accused prosecutors of unfairly targeting Ford because he is a black elected official — a charge they angrily rejected.

But evidence from a separate civil case showed that white defendants who engaged in identical behavior to Ford’s at ShoreBank were not criminally charged, Durkin argued in court papers at the time.

“There is no doubt that Defendant’s status as an African-American elected state public official drives this case,” Durkin wrote. “As counsel have argued in detail, but for his status as an African-American elected state public official, Defendant would not have been indicted.”

Though Pallmeyer refused to throw out the case on those grounds, it’s an argument that could have caused a political problem for prosecutors at trial.

Subscribers know more about that motion.

* Tribune

Under federal sentencing guidelines, Ford could be sentenced to up to 6 months in prison, but probation is the most likely outcome in part because he is first-time offender.

In pleading guilty to the misdemeanor, Ford admitted that in his 2007 tax return he over-reported what he spent to rehab a single-family house in Chicago’s Austin neighborhood, reducing his capital gain from the sale of the home. The deception cost the Internal Revenue Service a tax loss of $3,782, according to the plea deal.

Keep in mind that those original 17 felony counts carried a maximum total penalty of 510 years in prison and $17 million in fines. But he probably won’t do any time now and just pay four grand or so to the government.

  25 Comments      


Today’s quotable

Tuesday, Aug 5, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* David Ormsby

On Friday, Governor Pat Quinn reappointed most members of the Budgeting for Results Commission for one-year terms ending on July 31, 2015, including Lt. Gov. Sheila Simon whose relationship with Quinn has cooled on its slow descent into Hell.

  22 Comments      


*** UPDATED x1 - Rauner campaign responds *** Rauner denied knowing about Cayman investments in June

Tuesday, Aug 5, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

*** UPDATE *** From Rauner campaign spokesman Mike Schrimpf…

When Bruce spoke with the Tribune, he said he wasn’t aware of GTCR Funds in the Caymans - that’s because all of their main funds are indeed based in the U.S. Nonetheless, the campaign followed up twice with the Tribune making that same point and offering to help determine what the discrepancy was. They never followed up on it, despite repeated inquiries.

So, apparently, the Trib reporters were asking about Cayman Islands investments and yet didn’t circle back to hear the Rauner explanation for any discrepancies between the original comment and what the Tribune supposedly found.

If true, then this could very well be a “gotcha” story.

[ *** End Of Update *** ]

* Oops

During a June interview, the Tribune asked Rauner about the SEC documents that listed GTCR’s Cayman investments. “I don’t think that’s true,” Rauner said at the time. “No GTCR fund that I’m aware of has its base in the Cayman Islands.”

On Sunday, however, Rauner offered a different answer when asked about the firm’s Cayman investments: “GTCR has its own structure for just a couple of investments. When they invest in overseas companies, they set up that particular structure.”

* From the Quinn campaign…

This is not the first time that Rauner has changed his story after being confronted with evidence to the contrary. Earlier this year, Rauner denied using clout and making a call to the then-head of Chicago Public Schools to get special treatment at the exclusive Walter Payton Prep High School. After Rauner changed his story several times, the outgoing Inspector General of CPS confirmed last month that special treatment is exactly what Rauner got.

In addition, Rauner is running television attack ads that feature false headlines that his campaign either made up or doctored.

* But let’s get back to the Tribune article

The GTCR Cayman investments appear to be in financial instruments typically referred to as blocker funds or alternative investment vehicles that are legally walled off for tax purposes from related investments based in the United States. The arrangement helps non-profit institutional investors avoid taxes.

But experts say it typically provides no tax advantage for individual American investors like Rauner, who are required by U.S. law to pay taxes on all income earned worldwide.

“It’s a common structure that in my view is not abusive in the way that people might think when they see the name Cayman Islands,” explained Victor Fleischer, a professor who teaches tax law at the University of San Diego and has written extensively about tax avoidance strategies.

Even so, the New York Times reported in 2012 that Romney, who publicly released two years worth of complete tax returns during his presidential run, may have used offshore investments to avoid some special taxes in a different way. The newspaper said it involved debt financing that could have been levied against Romney’s normally tax exempt Individual Retirement Account.

We’d know a lot more if Rauner would do as Romney did and release all of his tax forms - which is probably exactly why he’s refusing to do so.

  50 Comments      


Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Supplement to today’s edition

Tuesday, Aug 5, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

This post is password protected. To view it please enter your password below:

  Comments Off      


Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today’s edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)

Tuesday, Aug 5, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

This post is password protected. To view it please enter your password below:

  Comments Off      


Caption contest!

Monday, Aug 4, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* From a press release…

BATH, IL — More than 7,000 invasive carp were removed from the Illinois River this past weekend and hundreds of people watched Asian carp cooking demonstrations during the 9th Annual Redneck Fishing Tournament.

“Every year I’m amazed at how many people turn out,” said Betty DeFord, who organizes the tournament. “More and more people are being made aware of the problems these fish create.”

Four, 2-hour fishing heats spread over Friday and Saturday netted 7,126 fish. The Sushi Slayer team from Washington, IL took first place with 531 Asian carp. Schafer Fisheries hauled away the fish to process into fertilizer.

Tournament proceeds will help homeless veterans through the Veterans Affairs hospital in Danville. More than $1,700 was raised through raffles. The Sushi Slayers and other top finishers donated their winnings to help the cause.

* The Senate Democrats’ communications director John Patterson was part of a team that caught over 300 flying carp. He’s posted a video of the experience

Man, that place was fragrant on Sunday. Whew. I met some cool people, though, and traveled there with an old friend who texted me this morning…

Thanks again for an epic unrepeatable weekend!

Ain’t that the truth. Still dragging today. Oscar is worn out too.

* On to the caption contest. Yes, it’s late in the day, but hopefully we’ll still get some solid entrees. I mean, how many times do we get to mess with Patterson? Here he is holding a giant flying carp that a member of his team netted right before it flew into somebody else’s face…

  77 Comments      


Confidential memo reveals hostilities, hurt feelings

Monday, Aug 4, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* We’re coming really late to this Kurt Erickson column, but I wanted to make sure you saw this

Among the more than 2,000 emails turned over to a legislative panel investigating Gov. Pat Quinn’s failed anti-violence program is a confidential note from the governor’s liaison with the Legislature.

In it, Jessica Brushkin shines a spotlight on how individual lawmakers view the governor.

It is not a pretty view.

Let’s take state Rep. Bill Mitchell for example.

Brushkin wrote that the Republican from Forsyth was upset the governor did not invite him or state Rep. Adam Brown, R-Champaign, to events with the governor in Decatur.

At the time the email went out in September 2012, Quinn had just been in Decatur for an event honoring veterans.

* Ah, but there’s more. With many thanks to Kurt, the full e-mail…

From: Bruskin, Jessica
Sent: Wednesday, September 26, 2012 10:48 AM
To: [Redacted by me]
Subject: Noteworthy information from roll call
Sensitivity: Confidential

· Rep. Cabello (Repub) is is supportive of all of our veto action except for assault weapons ban, budget and gaming. He has not made a decision on Leucadia yet.

· Rep. E Jackson - had other concern regarding one particular program that got funded, the Neighborhood Recovery Initiative Program; which was funded $14 million. His concern is why all the funding got sent up to the Chicago area. He wants to know: -Why did none of those dollars come down to the East St. Louis area? -How was the process determined? -What is the process to apply? -Is it to late to apply? -Wanting a list of contacts who in charge of this program? He also spoke about the Safety Recovery Program which funding was cut. Rep. Jackson stated he would like to have someone get back with him regarding these questions before next Wednesday (September 26).

· Rep. Lang - The Gov’s office had better not think they can negotiate a [gaming] compromise without me at the table, or just Link and Cullerton at the table without me, they are wrong and will not succeed.

· Rep. Lyons - Joe is extremely upset with the Governor’s office at this time. He professionally and politely refused to answer any questions about legislation.

· Rep. Mitchell, B - Rep. Bill Mitchell was upset that the Governor did not invite him (nor Rep. Brown) to events the Governor was at in Decatur. He stated he was only agreeing to listen to the Governor’s point of view on these issues because I requested the meeting. He would not have met with anyone else.

· Sen. Delgado - He wants this to be shared with the Governor: he is tired of the Gov blaming legislators for issues and problems in the state. When he bashes legislators, he is trageting ALL of them. If Gov. Quinn has issues with certain legislators he should single them out & not blame allof them. Delgado says he is a Democrat, just like Quinn & that they should work together as a team & team members–don’t bash each other. He said he expects an apology from the Gov and the Gov should understand that they are allies & will get so much more done when they work together. He apologized to the caller for having to go thru her to relay this message, but the Gov and his leadership have not responded to him & his requests to discuss issues.

* One of the staff replies was pretty snarky…

Cabello’s is interesting — he is supportive of all our veto action except for 4 out of 7 of them?

I like Lang’s too, it sounds like something out of The Avengers.

  21 Comments      


Rauner paying canvassers

Monday, Aug 4, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Bruce Rauner’s campaign manager sent out an e-mail to supporters over the weekend…

Well, we’ve tried to keep under wraps the grassroots machine we’ve built as a counterpoint to the insiders’ powerful political machine that’s been around for decades. We’re work horses, not show horses. But what we’re doing is so big and so unprecedented that reporters and the political class have taken notice. Below is an article that highlights our historic grassroots effort.

Thousands of volunteers are walking doors, making calls, and reaching out to their friends and neighbors.

The “ground game,” as campaigns call it, has long been the domain of the insider’s powerful political machine. They’ve invested in people and elbow grease while we’ve too often limited ourselves to the “air war” of ads. They’ve also cleaned our clock.

Not this time. We’re all-in.

Thousands of “volunteers”? Maybe not. Illinois Review

Perhaps there are thousands of Rauner volunteers elsewhere, but in at least two southwest Cook County townships, Rauner is paying people to walk precincts.

Both Palos Township GOP Chairman Sean Morrison and Worth Township GOP Chairman Shaun Murphy sent out emails this past week, telling their members about opportunities to be paid to walk precincts for Rauner.

The program offers limited opportunities, beginning immediately, Murphy wrote in his email.

“The program will continue for the next several weeks, up to the election,” he said. “The positions will be filled on a first come bases, with productivity the determinate factor for its continuation. The compensation will be $1000 for 100 hours a month or $500 for 60 hours a month.”

Morrison’s email offered a similar opportunity to walk for Rauner in Palos Township.

“Due to available funding, in a joint coordination effort of the Palos Organization and the Rauner for Governor campaign, we are pleased to announce that we are able to offer a paid precinct walker program,” Morrison wrote.

  65 Comments      


*** UPDATED x1 *** Question of the day

Monday, Aug 4, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* From a press release

State Senator Kirk W. Dillard stepped down from his seat as state Senator for the 24th District, ending a prolific legislative career.

Dillard will begin work immediately as Chairman of the Regional Transportation Authority, which oversees the nation’s second largest mass transit system, over 2 million riders daily.

“It has been a true privilege to serve the people of the 24th District,” said Dillard. “It has been a tremendous honor to work side by side so many great people in my district serving them to make our communities better places to live and work.”

Senate Republican Leader Christine Radogno (R-Lemont) adds, “Sen. Dillard is a respected legislator in the Capitol, a statesman recognized by both chambers and both parties. We will truly miss his experience.”

“I began my career as an intern right out of Western Illinois University in 1977 on the Senate Republican staff and then attended law school at DePaul while living in my parents house and taking Metra to school daily,” said Dillard.

“I was called to public service at a young age,” he said. Dillard served with distinction as Chief of Staff for Gov. Jim Edgar (from 1990 to 1993) and as a Legislative Director for former Gov. Jim Thompson (from 1983 to 1987). He was a Judge on the Court of Claims from February 1987 to December 1990.

“I’ve greatly enjoyed my work as a lawmaker.” Dillard said. “I respected the process and worked hard to honor the wishes of those who elected me and sent me to the General Assembly to work humbly on their behalf. I’ve worked with many outstanding lawmakers and community leaders over the years and I am grateful for the opportunity to have served the state of Illinois.”

“Among my accomplishments legislatively, I’m very proud to have sponsored a bill to create the Amber Missing Child Alert System here in Illinois,” said Dillard. And we bolstered public access to Internet information about sexual predators, said Dillard, who was first elected to the Senate in 1995.

“I am proud to have worked in a bipartisan fashion, without ever giving up my Republican principles of less government, lower taxes and individual liberties.”

The rest is here.

I know that many of y’all had some hard feelings about Sen. Dillard during the primary campaign. I did, too, and I gave Dillard a piece of my mind. But he’s leaving the Senate after a long and pretty darned distinguished career, so…

* The Question: Your thoughts on Dillard’s retirement? And be kind, please.

* I’ll start: Too many legislators will look for a way to disagree with their colleagues. Dillard built a reputation for trying to find a way to agree with a colleague in order to make a bill better. I admired that in him.

He also listened, even if he totally disagreed with you. He heard you out.

Your turn…

*** UPDATE *** From Bruce Rauner…

“Senator Dillard has devoted years to public service on behalf of the people of the state of Illinois. His constituents were fortunate to have him working on their behalf in Springfield. The Regional Transportation Authority is gaining a wonderful leader who’s knowledge and experience will bring value as chairman. I wish him all the best in his new endeavor.”

  26 Comments      


*** UPDATED - Arrangements announced *** Gene Callahan

Monday, Aug 4, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* From a Cheri Bustos press release…

Congresswoman Cheri Bustos’ (IL-17) office released the following statement upon the passing of her father, Gene Callahan:

“Early this morning, Congresswoman Bustos received word that her beloved father passed away overnight at his home in Springfield. Congresswoman Bustos and her family thank everyone for their thoughts, prayers and the outpouring of support on this difficult day.”

Gene was one heck of a man. A true gentleman. And he always made it a point to return all his calls, no matter how mighty or tiny the caller.

From his bio

For over 40 years Gene Callahan worked in the political arena, first as a journalist with the Illinois State Register (Springfield) from 1957 to 1967, then as assistant press secretary for Gov. Sam Shapiro, and Lt. Gov. Paul Simon’s press secretary until 1972. In 1974 he began his long association with Alan Dixon, when Dixon served as Illinois state Treasurer, then Illinois Secretary of State. When Dixon moved to the U.S. Senate in 1981, Callahan became his chief of staff and most trusted political advisor. After Dixon lost a reelection bid to Carol Mosley Braun in 1992, Callahan worked for several years as the chief lobbyist for Major League Baseball, fighting to preserve its exemption from the Sherman Antitrust Act. His long friendship with Senator Dick Durbin dates back to the days when both worked for Lt. Gov. Simon.

First Al, now Gene. We’re witnessing the end of an era.

I’ll update this post today with what I’m sure will be a flood of statements.

* Comptroller Judy Baar Topinka…

“Illinois lost a true statesman this morning with the passing of Gene Callahan. Gene was passionate about public service. Although he worked in government and politics for decades he was able to rise above partisanship and work with anyone for the good of the order. He was truly one of the good ones. My thoughts and prayers are with his family at this difficult time.”

* Lt. Gov. Sheila Simon…

“Illinois will miss Gene Callahan. And the Simon family in particular has lost a dear friend.

“Gene served as chief of staff for my dad, a mentor for my brother, and a trusted advisor for me. He was always focused on what was best for the people of our state, not short-term political advantage. His ethical standards were the highest – standards I try to live up to daily.

“My thoughts and prayers are with Gene’s family and all whose lives he touched.”

* Gov. Pat Quinn…

“Gene Callahan was one of those rare fixtures in the political world – a true gentleman who could work with anybody, any time, to get things done.

“It is hard to believe the 40-plus-year ‘Callahan era’ has come to a close. Few of us can remember a time when Gene was not involved in public service. Thankfully, he has instilled those same values in his daughter Cheri Bustos, who has taken his ethic of hard work and honesty to the U.S. Congress.

“Illinois has suffered two huge losses recently – first former Senator Alan Dixon, and now the Senator’s long-time friend and advisor, Gene Callahan. Our thoughts and prayers go out to his family and the thousands of people whose lives Gene touched during his long and storied life.”

* US Rep. Rodney Davis…

“Gene Callahan was truly a role model for anyone involved in government or politics. His work ethic was the stuff of legend, including his first rule: always return your phone calls, no matter the caller. Gene was most certainly a proud Democrat, but he also is one who believed that in order to accomplish great things, we need to work across the aisle to get things done. His passing is truly a loss for the state of Illinois and our thoughts and prayers go out to his wife, Ann, and his family, including my friend and colleague Congresswoman Cheri Bustos.”

* Class move by Bobby Schilling, who’s running against Bustos…

“Illinois lost a great statesman today. Gene Callahan admirably dedicated his life to public service and had a positive impact on the State of Illinois. My prayers go out to Congresswoman Bustos and her entire family.”

*** UPDATE *** From the family…

Era Eugene “Gene” Callahan, 80, of Springfield, formerly of Washington, D.C., passed away Monday, August 4, 2014, at his residence. Gene was born November 5, 1933, in Milford, IL to Joe and Helen Meyer Callahan. Joe Callahan, an active Democrat and Illinois state representative, introduced Gene to politics and his way of life. Gene served his country in the U.S. Army, stationed in Germany from 1956-1957. He was a graduate of Illinois College in Jacksonville, where he played baseball and met his future wife. On October 26, 1957, Gene married Antoinette “Ann” Hammond. He was preceded in death by his parents, brother, Fran, sister, Jody Pruitt, and son, Daniel “Coach Cal” Callahan.

Gene began his career as a political reporter for the Illinois State Register, the predecessor to the State Journal-Register. He wrote a daily political column called Callagrams for many years. He left journalism to become deputy press secretary to Governor Samuel H. Shapiro and later Governor Otto Kerner; eventually serving to Lt. Governor Paul Simon. He was director of communications for City Water Light and Power (CWLP) for the city of Springfield. He was U.S. Senator Alan Dixon’s Chief of Staff during his years as Illinois State Treasurer, Secretary of State and U.S. Senator. Senator Dixon just passed away last month. Gene also integrated his passion for baseball and was the director of Government Relations for Major League Baseball. In retirement, Gene served on the board of trustees for Southern Illinois University, where his late son, Dan, was the head baseball coach for 16 seasons. It was his and Ann’s passion to follow Dan’s baseball career. He remained active politically throughout his lifetime, although behind the scenes as advisor to many. In fact, his family is pleased that on his last day of life, he was at a political event at Norb Andy’s Tavern for his daughter, Cheri Bustos, a Congresswoman representing the 17th district for Illinois. Almost his entire immediate family was all together. Gene had many friends and enjoyed life to its fullest.

He is survived by his wife, Ann, of Springfield, IL; daughters, Lynn (Al) Riddley of Springfield and Cheri (Gerry) Bustos of East Moline; daughter-in-law, Stacy Callahan of Carterville; grandchildren, Brad and Chrissy Ruppert, Tony, Nick and Joey Bustos; Alexa, and Carly Callahan, sister Neta (Myron) Erdman of Chenoa.

Gene wanted his family and friends to celebrate his life, not mourn it. A party, complete with Gabatoni’s pizza, in Gene’s honor will be held at Norb Andy’s, 518 East Capitol Ave., Springfield, on Friday, August 8 from 2-6pm.

Staab Polk Memorial Home, 8855 State Route 4, Chatham, IL 62629 is serving the Callahan family. In lieu of flowers, please vote on November 4th.

Please visit www.staabpolk.com to offer your condolences. [Emphasis added.]

“In lieu of flowers, please vote.” Heh.

* More

Springfield lobbyist Tim McAnarney, a longtime friend, said Callahan’s final day was spent doing what he loved.

“He was in a saloon talking politics, surrounded by his family,” McAnarney said.

  30 Comments      


Shooting for viral

Monday, Aug 4, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Gov. Pat Quinn’s campaign posted its new TV ad on YouTube on July 29th. It’s so far received 1,731 views

* Two days later, on July 31st, Bruce Rauner’s campaign uploaded a paradoy of the Quinn TV ad. Check out the view count

Neither one of these videos has gone viral, but the Quinn ad is its most-watched YouTube video of the year. Rauner has at least 30 videos which have garnered more views so far.

Rauner is the challenger, and there’s always lots of interest in a challenger, and as we get closer to the election we’ll see Quinn’s viewcounts rise. Four years ago, one of Quinn’s videos got national attention and received over 174,000 views.

But when your TV ad is being out-viewed online by a parody ad, that’s probably not a great sign.

* Meanwhile, the Illinois Federation of Teachers is hoping this video of Rauner saying last year that he may have to shut down government will get hot online

The Rauner quote…

“I apologize. We may have to go through rough times. We may have to do what Ronald Reagan did with the air traffic controllers. Sort of have to do a do-over and shut things down for a little while. That’s what we’re gonna do.”

From the video explanation…

In this clip, Illinois gubernatorial hopeful Bruce Rauner proposes that Illinois fire public employees (apparently without cause) because he felt “things” need to be “shut down for a while” to fix government.

Rauner will probably believe he has ample “cause” if he ever decides to take that step, but I see their point. Full speech is here.

* And the Rauner campaign is trying to put words into Quinn’s mouth with its latest video

Quinn Disagrees with Tribune, Falsely Claims No Federal Funds Were Used in NRI

Governor intentionally misleads public when asked to respond to congressional delegation concerns

On Friday, the Chicago Tribune reported for the first time that federal disaster funds were misused in Gov. Pat Quinn’s Neighborhood Recovery Initiative.

When confronted with the front page story at a press conference in southern Illinois later that day, Gov. Quinn pretended that no federal funds were ever misued in NRI, despite a front page Tribune story laying out the facts and members of the Illinois congressional delegation calling for an investigation.

Um, not quite. The video

Quinn’s quote…

“No, I haven’t misused any funds like that. I don’t agree with that at all. You know we take safe-guarding of any of the funds we receive,” he says.

To which the Rauner campaign responds…

Quinn doesn’t agree that federal disaster funds were used in NRI?

A bit of a stretch.

* But while this political video posted by a state legislative candidate has no views as of yet, it does have perhaps the best chance of catching some fire if we give it a little nudge today

Heh.

Keep it short, keep it simple, add a bit of humor.

  24 Comments      


Sun-Times uncovers Cayman Islands investments by Rauner, Rauner’s firm and Rauner’s charity

Monday, Aug 4, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* The front page of the Sunday Sun-Times

* From the story

Multimillionaire Republican Bruce Rauner has channeled at least part of his fortune into the Cayman Islands, a Caribbean paradise long criticized as a tax haven for American investors, the Chicago Sun-Times has confirmed.

A Rauner spokesman insisted that the former private equity investor has met his legal tax obligations and properly disclosed to the federal government information regarding at least five investments by him or his firm in a country that has no income tax and a financial system cloaked in secrecy.

Rauner’s campaign has refused so far to release a full set of his most recent tax returns to corroborate that and perhaps show the extent and value of those investments in offshore companies. No one has suggested Rauner has done anything illegal. In fact, offshore investments among the wealthy have been a common practice in recent years.

For Rauner, consistently leading Gov. Pat Quinn in mid-summer polling, it’s the same political issue that President Barack Obama used to his advantage against uber-rich Republican Mitt Romney in the 2012 presidential campaign.

Three of the five Cayman investments were done through GTCR, Rauner’s former firm

“Bruce’s personal tax rate and state tax obligations are not impacted by where the GTCR subsidiary funds are located” [said campaign spokesman Mike Schrimpf].

The other two

A fourth Cayman Islands-linked investment was The Overlook Partners Fund LP, from which Rauner disclosed receiving a capital gain of at least $5,000 in 2012 on his state economic-interest statement. The Overlook Partners Fund is a non-GTCR-related investment fund for which Rauner’s personal funds were used, his campaign said.

On his economic-interest statement, Rauner also declared having at least $5,000 worth of stock holdings or deriving $1,200 or more in dividends from a fifth Cayman Islands-based entity, HSBC Holdings PLC. A campaign aide said that investment belongs to Rauner’s family foundation.

One other point from the story

In addition to their tax advantages, Cayman Islands investments typically aren’t accessible to most Americans because they can require minimum $500,000 or $1 million deposits, [ Richard L. Kaplan, a University of Illinois law professor] said.

* From the Quinn campaign…

“Republican billionaire Bruce Rauner doesn’t just use exotic methods to dodge taxes - he even uses exotic, offshore locations.

“Who ever heard of a candidate for Governor of Illinois stashing millions of dollars in the Cayman Islands to avoid paying Illinois and U.S. taxes?

“Whether Mr. Rauner’s tax dodge is legal is beside the point. It’s wrong.

“Mr. Rauner has a duty to disclose how much of his fortune he has hidden in the Cayman Islands and explain why he chose to send his wealth to a notorious tax haven that is shrouded in secrecy and available only to corporations and the uber-wealthy.

“These revelations also demand new scrutiny of his finances. Not only must Mr. Rauner reveal his full tax information - he must reveal whether he has any other foreign investments and just with whom he is investing overseas.”

Rauner is running millions of dollars in negative attack ads that are financed by money he obtained by jumping through elite loopholes to avoid taxes.

Sheltering his money in the Cayman Islands to avoid taxes isn’t the first time that Rauner has been caught gaming the system to enrich himself while the rest of us play by a different set of rules. In July, the Chicago Tribune reported that Rauner used elite tax strategies to avoid Social Security and Medicare taxes in previous years and drastically lower his own tax burden. For more information, visit www.RealRauner.com.

* The DGA has eight questions…

1. Why did Bruce Rauner park his money there if not to game the system for his own financial benefit?

2. How much money does Bruce Rauner have in the Cayman Islands?

3. What kind of tax obligations did Bruce Rauner dodge or withhold from Illinois and the United States by sheltering cash overseas?

4. Why won’t he release his complete income tax records with schedules for full transparency and disclosure?

5. What other types of investments or financial interests is Bruce Rauner hiding?

6. Will Bruce Rauner fully disclose the amounts, the locations, and the partners of his foreign investments or holdings?

7. Does Rauner have foreign business partners that do business with the state of Illinois?

8. Would these wealthy foreign investors stand to benefit if Rauner were elected governor of the state?

* And from the Quinn campaign this morning…

Following new revelations that Bruce Rauner has been stashing millions of dollars in the Cayman Islands to avoid U.S. and Illinois taxes, Democratic nominee for Lt. Governor Paul Vallas will discuss why it is more important than ever that Rauner disclose his full tax records.

WHEN: 10 a.m.

WHERE: 12th Street Beach – Northerly Island

  208 Comments      


*** UPDATED x3 - One count of “delivering a false federal income tax return” - Report: All felony charges dropped *** Rep. LaShawn Ford to change plea agreement

Monday, Aug 4, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* From the US Attorney’s office…

The change of plea was just scheduled this morning for 11 a.m. The previously scheduled 9 a.m. status hearing was cancelled. Details will be made available during and after court.

The hearing change today is “by agreement.” I’m told “it is related to, but different from, what he was originally charged with.”

I’ll update this post as soon as I know more.

Rep. Ford was indicted on 17 counts of bank fraud and making false statements to a financial institution in November of 2012. The original indictment is here. He has steadfastly denied the charges and pled not guilty.

*** UPDATE 1 *** The feds had a lousy case, so it’s good to see them reportedly backing off…


*** UPDATE 2 *** From the feds…

Attached is a superseding information filed this morning charging State Rep. LaShawn Ford with one count of delivering a false federal income tax return for 2007, a misdemeanor, which carries a maximum sentence of a year in prison and a $100,000 fine.

The new “superseding information”…

On or about August 29, 2008, in the Northern District of Illinois, Eastern Division, and elsewhere, LASHAWN FORD, defendant herein, willfully delivered and disclosed, and caused to be delivered and disclosed, to the Internal Revenue Service a U.S. Individual Income Tax Return (Form 1040 with schedules and attachments) for calendar year 2007, which return was false as to a material matter in that the return falsely stated that the total cost or other basis for the property at 5700 W. Erie in Chicago was $166,979, when in fact, as FORD knew, the total cost or other basis for that property was materially lower than $166,979;

In violation of Title 26, United States Code, Section 7207.

*** UPDATE 3 *** From the plea deal…

One of those investment properties was a single-family home located at 5700 W. Erie in Chicago. The defendant sold that property on or about March 20, 2007, for $275,000.

On or about August 29, 2008, the defendant signed and filed with the Internal Revenue Service an income tax return (Form 1040) for calendar year 2007. On that return, the defendant stated that the cost or other basis for the property at 5700 W. Erie was $166,979, a figure that included $74,226 in purported rehabilitation costs, yielding a capital gain of $124,278. As the defendant knew, the rehabilitation costs for that property were in fact approximately $51,160. This resulted in a $3,782 tax loss.

Man, they really backtracked there. Wow.

From the feds…

U.S. District Judge Rebecca Pallmeyer set sentencing for 11 a.m. on Nov. 7, 2014.

Ford faces a maximum sentence of a year in prison and a $100,000 fine. The court must impose a reasonable sentence under federal statutes and the advisory United States Sentencing Guidelines.

  32 Comments      


An Illinois budget fix politicians won’t touch

Monday, Aug 4, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* My Crain’s Chicago Business column… [fixed link]

Big Jim Thompson and I disagree.

The former 14-year Illinois governor says he has no regrets about pushing legislation in the 1980s that exempted retirement income from state taxation.

I think it’s crazy. Illinois is facing a $4 billion hole in its 2015 budget when the 2011 income tax increase automatically starts to roll back on Jan. 1. That’s a huge headache for whoever wins the Nov. 4 election, Gov. Pat Quinn or Republican nominee Bruce Rauner.

Illinois is leaving $2 billion on the table by not taxing retirement income, studies have shown. That missed revenue is escalating every year. Total retirement income in Illinois is growing by 6.5 percent a year, compared with just 1.9 percent annual growth for personal income that is taxed, according to a study by the Civic Federation.

Illinois is one of just three states that exempt pension income from taxation, according to the Chicago Metropolitan Agency for Planning.

Shouldn’t we get in line with all those other states? Mr. Thompson says no.

Click here to read the rest before discussing, please [fixed link]. Included in the story are exclusive results from a new poll of Illinois senior citizens on this issue.

  56 Comments      


Can a positive message work?

Monday, Aug 4, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* My weekly syndicated newspaper column

Gov. Pat Quinn’s new TV ad is 60 seconds of one positive message after another.

“Pat Quinn sees problems, takes action and gets the job done,” the ad claims. “Now, Illinois is making a comeback,” it continues.

But the spot is being slammed by longtime campaign insiders in both parties as “spitting in the wind.”

For instance, a Paul Simon Public Policy Institute poll in June found that a mere 30 percent of Illinoisans thought the state was on the right track, while a a very strong 60 percent majority thought Illinois was on the wrong track.

And an infamous poll taken by Gallup in April found that 50 percent of Illinoisans would move to a different state if given the chance. We were first in the country on that response, according to Gallup. Just 25 percent of Minnesotans, by contrast, felt the same way.

In other words, a positive TV ad campaign is not very likely to change many minds. Way too many people simply hate the way things are going here.

Instead, Democratic critics have been arguing behind the scenes to abandon positivity in the very near future and launch a full-on, brutal assault against Bruce Rauner as soon as possible. And quite a few experienced Republican operatives were scratching their heads at the ad, saying they highly doubted it would move any numbers at all.

The Quinn campaign obviously tested that initial message with focus groups and polling. So, hey, maybe they’re right. But when’s the last time you heard someone say they were proud to live in this state or that things were really starting to turn around?

Meanwhile, the Quinn folks are reportedly hoping to drive up turnout by more than 200,000 votes with the non-binding minimum wage referendum this fall, which asks voters if they support a $10 per hour minimum wage.

That turnout projection has long caused much consternation behind the scenes among people who believe it’s entirely unrealistic. What the Quinnsters are hoping to do has never been done before, critics point out. The Quinn campaign’s projections rely heavily on a record off-year turnout, even though the national and state headwinds are rapidly nearing hurricane force levels and Democratic interest is quite low.

Democrats are hoping to spend as much as $5 million on the minimum wage project to drive otherwise non-motivated “base” voters to go to the polls. US Sen. Dick Durbin’s campaign is reportedly in full agreement and pressure from both Durbin and Quinn has for now forced the Chicago City Council to delay a vote on its own $13 minimum wage ordinance. The cold calculation was that a $13 per hour ordinance passed in September would undermine the Democrats’ $10 per hour efforts in the fall campaign.

On the other side of the fence, Bruce Rauner’s campaign has calculated a more than 300,000 voter turnout increase just to be on the safe side. After Rauner’s unexpectedly narrow GOP primary win (despite internal Rauner polls showing the candidate with a well over twenty-point lead), the Republicans want to be extra sure that they plan for every possible contingency.

To some Democrats, that Rauner internal turnout projection validates their theory of a turnout spike. They believe that early voting, same day registration and other new “tools” will assist them in reaching their goal.

To others, it’s just smart politics by Rauner and overly dangerous optimism by Quinn. In other words, if the spike happens, Rauner will have prepared himself. If it doesn’t happen, Quinn is likely toast.

At least in public, however, Rauner is making some pretty darned inflated claims himself. He reportedly told a group of African-American small businessmen last week that he will get 28 percent of the black vote in Chicago - something that hasn’t been done there in a very long time.

But he’s certainly trying hard. ABC 7’s Charles Thomas reported last week that Rauner committed at that same meeting with black small businessmen to deposit $1 million of his own personal money into a Chicago credit union to be used for small business loans.

The Rauner campaign confirmed the story with Thomas, calling the pledge “one of many steps Bruce will take to reinvigorate our communities that have suffered under the failed policies and broken commitments of politicians.”

That “one of many” phrase has got to send chills up the Quinn campaign’s collective spine.

  18 Comments      


« NEWER POSTS PREVIOUS POSTS »
* News coverage roundup: Entire Chicago Board of Education to resign (Updated x2)
* Mayor to announce school board appointments on Monday
* Reader comments closed for the weekend
* Isabel’s afternoon roundup
* Question of the day (Updated)
* Ahead of mass school board resignation, some mayoral opponents ask Pritzker to step in, but he says he has no legal authority (Updated x5)
* Governor’s office says Senate Republicans are “spreading falsehoods” with their calls for DCFS audit (Updated)
* Meanwhile… In Opposite Land
* Open thread
* Isabel’s morning briefing
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Supplement to today’s edition and some campaign and court-related stuff
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today's edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)
* Live coverage
* Selected press releases (Live updates)
* Yesterday's stories

Support CapitolFax.com
Visit our advertisers...

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............


Loading


Main Menu
Home
Illinois
YouTube
Pundit rankings
Obama
Subscriber Content
Durbin
Burris
Blagojevich Trial
Advertising
Updated Posts
Polls

Archives
October 2024
September 2024
August 2024
July 2024
June 2024
May 2024
April 2024
March 2024
February 2024
January 2024
December 2023
November 2023
October 2023
September 2023
August 2023
July 2023
June 2023
May 2023
April 2023
March 2023
February 2023
January 2023
December 2022
November 2022
October 2022
September 2022
August 2022
July 2022
June 2022
May 2022
April 2022
March 2022
February 2022
January 2022
December 2021
November 2021
October 2021
September 2021
August 2021
July 2021
June 2021
May 2021
April 2021
March 2021
February 2021
January 2021
December 2020
November 2020
October 2020
September 2020
August 2020
July 2020
June 2020
May 2020
April 2020
March 2020
February 2020
January 2020
December 2019
November 2019
October 2019
September 2019
August 2019
July 2019
June 2019
May 2019
April 2019
March 2019
February 2019
January 2019
December 2018
November 2018
October 2018
September 2018
August 2018
July 2018
June 2018
May 2018
April 2018
March 2018
February 2018
January 2018
December 2017
November 2017
October 2017
September 2017
August 2017
July 2017
June 2017
May 2017
April 2017
March 2017
February 2017
January 2017
December 2016
November 2016
October 2016
September 2016
August 2016
July 2016
June 2016
May 2016
April 2016
March 2016
February 2016
January 2016
December 2015
November 2015
October 2015
September 2015
August 2015
July 2015
June 2015
May 2015
April 2015
March 2015
February 2015
January 2015
December 2014
November 2014
October 2014
September 2014
August 2014
July 2014
June 2014
May 2014
April 2014
March 2014
February 2014
January 2014
December 2013
November 2013
October 2013
September 2013
August 2013
July 2013
June 2013
May 2013
April 2013
March 2013
February 2013
January 2013
December 2012
November 2012
October 2012
September 2012
August 2012
July 2012
June 2012
May 2012
April 2012
March 2012
February 2012
January 2012
December 2011
November 2011
October 2011
September 2011
August 2011
July 2011
June 2011
May 2011
April 2011
March 2011
February 2011
January 2011
December 2010
November 2010
October 2010
September 2010
August 2010
July 2010
June 2010
May 2010
April 2010
March 2010
February 2010
January 2010
December 2009
November 2009
October 2009
September 2009
August 2009
July 2009
June 2009
May 2009
April 2009
March 2009
February 2009
January 2009
December 2008
November 2008
October 2008
September 2008
August 2008
July 2008
June 2008
May 2008
April 2008
March 2008
February 2008
January 2008
December 2007
November 2007
October 2007
September 2007
August 2007
July 2007
June 2007
May 2007
April 2007
March 2007
February 2007
January 2007
December 2006
November 2006
October 2006
September 2006
August 2006
July 2006
June 2006
May 2006
April 2006
March 2006
February 2006
January 2006
December 2005
April 2005
March 2005
February 2005
January 2005
December 2004
November 2004
October 2004

Blog*Spot Archives
November 2005
October 2005
September 2005
August 2005
July 2005
June 2005
May 2005

Syndication

RSS Feed 2.0
Comments RSS 2.0




Hosted by MCS SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax Advertise Here Mobile Version Contact Rich Miller