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DSA gains ground in aldermanic races

Wednesday, Feb 27, 2019 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Sun-Times

If their success on Tuesday carries over to the April runoff elections, there could be as many as five card-carrying democratic socialists on the City Council this Spring — which would be the most on the Chicago governing body in more than a century.

Members’ victories in two aldermanic races and ballot success putting them in three runoff contests have already led to talk of an incoming socialist caucus. […]

[Ald. Carlos Ramirez-Rosa] is one of the members of the Chicago Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) who won outright on Tuesday: New member Daniel La Spata upset Ald. Proco “Joe” Moreno in the Near Northwest Side’s 1st Ward. […]

Socialist Rosanna Rodríguez-Sánchez will head to April’s runoff against incumbent Ald. Deb Mell in the 33rd Ward. Rodríguez-Sánchez broke into tears of joy several times at her watch party at Chief O’Neils in Avondale after hearing she’d earned the most votes in the three-way race. […]

Byron Sigcho-Lopez, who heads the Pilsen Alliance, credited the party for helping him in the race for the seat vacated by retiring Ald. Danny Solis (25th). Sigcho-Lopez will face Alex Acevado in April.

* Sigcho-Lopez faced allegations of shenanigans in the closing days. From Friday

Byron Sigcho Lopez, a candidate for 25th Ward alderman, denounced allegations that his supporters engaged in ballot theft at a Chinatown senior center.

Earlier this week, candidate Hilario Dominguez, a former teacher and activist, along with State Rep. Theresa Mah, whose 2nd District seat includes Chinatown and Pilsen, leveled the allegations at Sigcho Lopez’s supporters.

They alleged his supporters took incomplete vote-by-mail ballots from seniors at the Chinatown Elderly Apartments, 300 W. 23rd St. They were then told their ballots would be filled out for Sigcho Lopez because they had previously received a free meal at Phoenix Restaurant from Sigcho Lopez’s campaign, the state representative and the aldermanic challenger alleged.

* Yesterday

The Illinois Attorney General’s office and the Cook County State’s Attorney’s office are investigating a complaint that alleges supporters of candidate Byron Sigcho Lopez were buying votes in the 25th Ward Tuesday.

A complaint was filed with the agencies after voters were seen requesting gift cards after casting ballots at Barbara Jean Wright Court Apartments, 1354 S. Morgan St., in the 25th Ward’s 4th precinct.

Chicago Lawyers’ Committee for Civil Rights, which staffs a hotline where voters can report electoral abuse, initially sent poll watchers to the site after receiving complaints that the precinct was refusing to let people register to vote, said Ami Gandhi, an attorney with Chicago Lawyers’ Committee for Civil Rights.

During the visit, poll watchers observed what they described as “strange” behavior — voters entering one room, casting their ballot and then entering a separate room across the hall where they allegedly received $20 gift cards in exchange for a vote for Sigcho Lopez, said Matt Owens, an attorney and field captain for election protection with Chicago Lawyers’ Committee for Civil Rights.

Results for that race are here.

…Adding… Related…

* Hours after historic election, Lori Lightfoot and Toni Preckwinkle each argue they’re more progressive than the other: Preckwinkle attempted to take what has been a political weakness — her ties to party establishment amid strong calls for change at City Hall — and turn it on its head by noting that Mayor Rahm Emanuel and former Mayor Richard M. Daley had appointed Lightfoot to positions. “While my opponent was taking multiple appointments in the Daley and Emanuel administrations, I fought the power elite who have been trying to hold this city back,” Preckwinkle said during her election night speech.

  54 Comments      


Question of the day

Wednesday, Feb 27, 2019 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Your one-word reaction to yesterday’s mayoral election? One word only, please.

  78 Comments      


The battle begins

Wednesday, Feb 27, 2019 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Capitol News Illinois

State Sen. Don Harmon, an Oak Park Democrat who is carrying the [progressive income tax] amendment in the Senate, said he expects the Legislature to begin its role in the process soon – and he expects a fight.

“I’m hoping to start talking about this in earnest when we’re back in Springfield next week,” Harmon said. “This is certainly going to require a full-fledged campaign to convince voters to ratify the amendment. I expect we’ll be joined on both sides of the debate with vigor and resources.”

* WEEK TV

Illinois House Republicans are signing on to a resolution opposing a graduated income tax in Illinois.

Democratic Gov. J.B. Pritzker campaigned on implementing a graduated income tax in Illinois to replace the current flat income tax, and made getting the measure passed in 2020 a lynchpin of his wider fiscal plan for the state.

All 44 House Republicans are co-sponsoring House Resolution 153, which opposes any shift to a graduated income tax.

“If my colleagues on the other side of the aisle are serious about helping the middle class, we need to take a serious look at our regressive property tax system. Property taxes are rising year after year, making it more difficult for working families to make ends meet and further driving jobs and opportunity across the border,” said state Rep. Tony McCombie (R-Savanna).

* From their resolution

WHEREAS, A move by the General Assembly to amend the constitution to impose a graduated income tax would mean turning our backs on the residents of this State and the spirit of bipartisanship

Um, the General Assembly’s vote is only the first step. Illinoisans of all stripes and political persuasions will have the final word at the ballot box. So, you could say that giving people the opportunity to vote on this isn’t such a horrible idea.

But a retort could be: “OK, then why not let Illinoisans vote on changing the pension clause, or term limits, or redistricting reform?” Agreed, but you gotta pass that stuff through the General Assembly first. And the people who run that place aren’t willing to put those ideas up for floor votes.

So, in the end, I can understand opposing a binding referendum on the income tax until some of those other issues are also put before the voters, even knowing that the other side will never, ever agree to those terms.

* Just have at it. Everybody take their best shots. If the constitutional amendment fails to get out of the General Assembly, such is life. If a referendum is eventually held, engage in a robust debate. See what the voters decide. That’s America.

But try to stay at least a little truthful. This “turning our backs on the residents of this State” stuff is totally unsupported by the facts because Illinoisans will be the ultimate arbiters.

  72 Comments      


Musical interlude: “I’m a loser”

Wednesday, Feb 27, 2019 - Posted by Rich Miller

* From Politico’s “losers” list

—The Ricketts, who tried to boot Ald. Tom Tunney from the 44th Ward only to see him run away with 64 percent of the vote. He teared up during his victory speech.

— U.S. Rep. Jesus “Chuy” Garcia, whose aldermanic candidates lost in the 14th Ward (against Burke) and 25th (against the strident Byron Sigcho-Lopez). Garcia also backed Jessica Gutierrez, the daughter of former Congressman Luis Gutierrez, in the 30th Ward. She made it to a runoff against Ariel Reboyras.

The Ricketts spent a bunch of money on that race, bad-mouthed the alderman every chance they could and got their clocks cleaned on election day. Welcome to Chicago.

Chuy’s organization got a very late start against Burke and while Tanya Patino raised about $150K she only received 30 percent of the vote to Burke’s 54. Beating the alderman turned out to be a whole lot more difficult than beating the alderman’s legislator brother.

* More losers

In the 1st Ward, Daniel La Spata held a commanding early lead against Ald. Proco “Joe” Moreno. La Spata had 61 percent of the vote with 98 percent of precincts reporting.

Meanwhile, in the 45th Ward, Jim Gardiner led Ald. John Arena. Gardiner had 51.8 percent of the vote with 98 percent of precincts reporting.

Proco, you’ll recall, had some, um, issues

Chicago Ald. Proco “Joe” Moreno said his car was stolen. He filed a police report last month declaring the alleged theft. Now, Moreno says it was all just a big misunderstanding.

WGN’s Meghan Dwyer spoke to the woman behind the wheel — a single mother who said she was shocked to be arrested after Moreno loaned her the car.

And Arena ginned up some furious backlash in his ward

Arena is a member of the City Council’s progressive caucus and has faced fierce opposition in his Northwest Side ward for promoting affordable housing, including his support of a planned affordable housing development at 5150 N. Northwest Highway.

The 45th Ward includes Jefferson Park, Gladstone Park, Old Irving Park and parts of Portage Park and Forest Glen on the city’s Northwest Side.

The winner is a Chicago Fire Department EMT.

* And then there’s Ald. Joe Moore

In the Far North Side 49th Ward, Moore, the third-longest tenured council member, trailed Chicago Teachers Union-backed challenger Maria Hadden. With 85 percent of precincts in, Hadden had 64.5 percent of the vote to 35.5 percent for Moore.

Moore said he figured his long career as an alderman was coming to an end.

“I don’t think we can overcome it,” Moore said. “The handwriting is on the wall as the fat lady waits to take the stage.”

Moore, who often opposed former Mayor Richard M. Daley, became a close ally of Emanuel, which lost him a good deal of support in his historically independent-minded ward.

Um.

* And

In the 33rd Ward, Ald. Deb Mell was headed to a run-off, as she trailed Rossana Rodriguez-Sanchez by 66 votes. Rodriguez-Sanchez had 42 percent of the vote with all the precincts reporting Tuesday.

* Madigan haters lost big in the 13th Ward

Ald. Marty Quinn appeared to be headed to an easy victory over David Krupa, election results indicated Tuesday night, poised to defeat the DePaul University freshman in a landslide in Chicago’s 13th Ward.

Quinn won 85 percent of the vote with 75 percent of precincts reporting by 8 p.m., compared to Krupa’s 15 percent of the vote, according to the Chicago Board of elections.

Krupa, a recent Fenwick High School grad and part-time FedEx forklift operator, cashed in savings bonds and used graduation gift money to open a campaign office. But he wasn’t taking on just any alderman - setting his sights set on powerful House Speaker Mike Madigan’s hand-picked alderman. Quinn is perhaps Madigan’s most senior political operative and has represented the 13th Ward on the city’s Southwest Side since 2011.

But, did they really “lose”? I’ve always just assumed this race wasn’t ever about winning, but about making life difficult for Team Madigan with the potential for lawsuits, etc.

* On to the tune

What have I done to deserve such a fate?

  58 Comments      


It’s just a bill

Wednesday, Feb 27, 2019 - Posted by Rich Miller

* From the twitters

* More legislation on this topic…

As a legislative committee digs into the issue, Illinois House Democrats are pushing a package of bills this spring that aim to make prescription drugs more accessible, affordable and accountable.

Led by state Rep. Will Guzzardi, chairman of the new House Prescription Drug Affordability and Access Committee, several lawmakers discussed their proposals for prescription drug reform Wednesday at a Statehouse news conference.

Among the ideas being championed are:

    * House Bill 1441, sponsored by Rep. Anna Moeller, to create a path for Illinois to be a licensed wholesaler of imported drugs from regulated Canadian suppliers
    * HB 56 and HB 156, sponsored by Rep. Mary Flowers, to require drug manufacturers to notify health insurers, providers and lawmakers when they plan to increase prescription drug prices, and to require health insurers to disclose to the state where Illinois spends significant health care dollars on prescription drugs and which costs have increased over time
    * Legislation from Rep. Guzzardi that would create a new tax on some prescription drugs on price increases beyond inflation that cannot be passed on to consumers (HB 2880); and create a Prescription Drug Affordability Board in state government to regulate prescription drugs similar to how the state now regulates electric utilities through the Illinois Commerce Commission (HB 3493)

* And…

State Representative Allen Skillicorn (R-East Dundee) has filed a workers’ compensation reform package consisting of legislation to address this major area impeding job growth in Illinois.

“Workers’ compensation costs in Illinois are among the highest in the country and it is driving job creators of all sizes out of the state,” said Skillicorn. “A couple of weeks ago, I heard from a small business owner in my district who has been forced to move his business out of Illinois because all the costs from the state are too much. This is another 50 good paying jobs we are losing.”

The workers’ compensation reform package consists of House Bills 2634 and 2635. It focuses on reducing workers’ compensation costs by reforming cost driving rates and fees. HB 2634 targets excessive attorney’s fees by reducing them from 20% to 15%, while HB 2635 targets accident rates and medical fees by lowering them to levels similar to other states and those authorized by Medicare.

“Last week, Gov. Pritzker added more cost to the price of doing business in Illinois by signing Senate Bill 1 into law, but if he is serious about making our state more business friendly, then he seriously needs to take up workers’ compensation reform,” said Skillicorn. “If we don’t reform workers’ compensation and other cost drivers, the small business owner I heard from will only be one of many more to leave Illinois.”

* Related…

* A plea for rent control

  19 Comments      


Can you update the names, please?

Wednesday, Feb 27, 2019 - Posted by Rich Miller

* If you’ve ever been to the 2nd Floor of the Stratton Building, you know that House members’ names are painted on the glass doors of the main hallway outside their respective offices.

For whatever reason, the House clerk’s office has been glacially slow to remove the names of former members and update them with new members. Elaine Nekritz resigned her House seat in October of 2017, but her name is still on her old door.

* These two names, however, are quite problematic. Former Rep. Jerry Long, you will recall, was abandoned by the House Republicans when he was accused of harassing a female staffer and lost his race last November. And former GOP Rep. Nick Sauer resigned in August of 2018 after being accused of using nude photos of a woman to catfish men on the Internet. He’s since been indicted on 12 counts for alleged “nonconsensual dissemination of private sexual images.” I took this photo yesterday…

How difficult is it to tell somebody to scrape the names off the doors? It’s embarrassing.

* Meanwhile

A least one House committee hearing had to be relocated Wednesday morning after a leak in a first floor restroom in the Illinois Capitol spread water through parts of the west wing.

The House Executive Committee was moved from its normal hearing room in 118 because of water on the floor outside of the room. The hearing was moved to 114 in the Capitol’s south wing.

Oy.

  20 Comments      


Should the cheeseheads back off Kinzinger?

Wednesday, Feb 27, 2019 - Posted by Rich Miller

* AP

Wisconsin National Guard officials said Tuesday they’re looking into whether to punish an Illinois congressman who belongs to the Wisconsin detachment for criticizing Gov. Tony Evers’ decision to withdraw troops from the U.S. southern border.

Republican Rep. Adam Kinzinger is a Wisconsin Air National Guard pilot with the rank of lieutenant colonel. He ripped Evers Monday on Twitter and on Fox News for ordering Wisconsin troops to pull out of Arizona.

Wisconsin statutes state that any commissioned officer who uses “contemptuous words against the president, the vice-president, members of congress, the secretary of defense, the secretary of a military department, the secretary of homeland security, or the governor or legislature of the state of Wisconsin shall be punished as a court-martial may direct.”

Evers is a Democrat. His position as governor automatically makes him the commander-in-chief of the Wisconsin National Guard. Asked if Kinzinger might be disciplined for his remarks, Guard spokesman Capt. Joe Travato said the Guard and Evers’ office are looking into the matter.

The statute is here.

* But

A spokeswoman for Kinzinger said the Lieutenant Colonel was off duty when he made his remarks about Evers.

“The Congressman is off-duty and has the right to exercise his freedom of speech as he so chooses, just as he has done when critical of the current President and the President before him,” spokeswoman Maura Gillespie said.

My first reaction to this story yesterday was that the National Guard is for citizen soldiers. Citizens have a fundamental right and duty to speak their minds. If Kinzinger had made his remarks while on duty, that’s one thing. He did not do that. Gov. Evers, I believed, should grow some thicker skin.

* However, this is from the Military Times

University of Wisconsin-Madison law and political science professor Donald Downs, who studies free speech issues, said he knows of no exceptions in state law that would allow off-duty National Guard personnel to criticize the government.

However, it’s unclear whether the First Amendment’s free speech guarantee would trump state statutes in such cases, Downs said. The First Amendment protects an employee’s speech if he or she is speaking as a citizen, not as an employee, but the scales still likely would tilt toward the military if the soldier was criticizing a specific lawful order, he said.

“I doubt that the fact the guardsman was off duty would matter,” Downs said.

Kinzinger did, indeed, criticize a lawful order from his commander in chief.

I do not want this post to devolve into a debate on the wall or whatever, so do your utmost to stick to the topic at hand or I’ll delete you and maybe even ban you.

  97 Comments      


Never tweet

Wednesday, Feb 27, 2019 - Posted by Rich Miller

* How’s that Latino outreach going, ILGOP?…



Oof. The ratio.

* They eventually offered up an explanation…



It didn’t work.

…Adding… From comments…

“We doubled down on the thing we said was a jerk move”

Yep.

  66 Comments      


Tuesday’s biggest loser: Arizona-style pension reform

Wednesday, Feb 27, 2019 - Posted by Rich Miller

* From a recent Chicago Tribune editorial entitled “4 closing arguments: The case for Bill Daley”

Daley is the only leading mayoral candidate who talks candidly about the city’s and state’s pension systems. The only way to keep high local and state taxes from skyrocketing and to save pensions for retirees is to amend the Illinois Constitution’s rigid pension clause. That requires action in Springfield. It’s a big lift, but Daley is the only candidate willing to try. “Our pension system is broke,” Daley says. “We cannot tax our way out without making Chicago unaffordable. We can’t cut our way out without compromising our quality of life.”

Daley supports a mix of new taxes to prop up pensions — but he also understands that loosening the language of the Illinois Constitution is the only route to long-term stability. No gimmicks. Real change. We’re hopeful Daley would persuade other leading Democrats, Gov. J.B. Pritzker included, to put pension reform on the ballot.

Daley was by far the best hope for Illinois proponents of an Arizona-style pension reform plan. He supported a similar constitutional amendment to Arizona’s that would ostensibly allow this state to reduce all benefits moving forward. But the plan was never remotely feasible here, and Arizona’s amendments have not yet been tested by the courts. Even so, Daley would’ve been the highest profile mouthpiece for the Tribune, the Illinois Policy Institute, the Civic Committee and others who have been banging the drum on this topic for years.

Now, with Daley’s loss, they’re gonna have to find somebody else.

And, by the way, the pundits can blame Jerry Joyce all they want for Daley’s loss. But Daley got smoked in the wards best known for being populated with city workers and retirees. That was no coincidence.

…Adding… Greg Hinz

Daley got clobbered in sections of Northwest and Southwest Side that are home to many police, firefighters and other city workers by attorney Jerry Joyce. Daley should have done well in such areas in the same way that his brother and father did when they ran for mayor, but the pension issue hurt. Ironically, all of those cops will have to live with a new mayor in Lightfoot or Preckwinkle, both of whom strongly back tough police reforms and increased accountability. But in Springfield, where pension reform already is a very tough sell, Tuesday’s totals will make it even tougher. The message will be: don’t fight the unions. You can’t win.

  84 Comments      


Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today’s edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)

Wednesday, Feb 27, 2019 - Posted by Rich Miller

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*** LIVE COVERAGE ***

Wednesday, Feb 27, 2019 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Follow along with ScribbleLive


  1 Comment      


A return to a semblance of normalcy

Tuesday, Feb 26, 2019 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Normally, this would barely be newsworthy

U.S. Sen. Dick Durbin (D-IL) hosted Illinois Gov. JB Pritzker (D-IL) and 16 members of congress for a reception and dinner on Monday, Feb. 27.

The dinner was held to discuss the state’s priorities in the 116th Congress.

* But this sort of thing never happened under the previous governor

Former GOP Gov. Bruce Rauner never once, as governor, met with the Illinois delegation. And they noticed.

On Monday night, at Pritzker’s request, Sen. Dick Durbin, D-Ill., hosted a dinner for Pritzker and delegation members in his Capitol office, signaling a new era in Springfield-Washington cooperation. The office of Rep. John Shimkus, R-Ill., the dean of the Illinois House Republicans, said he was co-hosting.

You don’t get a medal for just doing your job, but it’s nice that somebody is finally doing at least part of their job.

The last four years were so bizarre on so many levels.

  35 Comments      


Ayala named new state school superintendent

Tuesday, Feb 26, 2019 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Press release…

With the strong support of Gov. JB Pritzker, the Illinois State Board of Education today named Dr. Carmen I. Ayala as the 30th State Superintendent of Education, making her the first woman and first person of color to serve as the permanent superintendent.

Dr. Ayala has more than 30 years of education experience, most recently serving as the Superintendent of the Berwyn North School District. She previously served as an Assistant Superintendent in Plainfield District 202, Director in Community Consolidated School District 300, and as an Assistant Superintendent, Director of Bilingual Services, and a teacher at the Aurora East School District. She began her career at Chicago Public Schools, serving as a teacher for five years. Dr. Ayala received her Bachelor of Arts from Mundelein College, her MBA from Dominican University, and her Ph.D. in educational leadership and policy studies from Loyola University of Chicago.

“For decades, Dr. Ayala has worked to ensure her students receive a high-quality public education, and I’m thrilled that families across Illinois will now benefit from her leadership,” said Governor JB Pritzker. “There is nothing more important to the future of our state and our economy than providing a quality public education, and I know that Dr. Ayala will be a strong partner in ensuring students in all of our communities receive the education they deserve. My focus will be continuing to invest in education, even during budget challenges, so that school districts receive the support they deserve, including with the largest-ever increase in early childhood education.”

“I’m honored to serve as our state’s Superintendent of Education and grateful to the board members for placing their trust in me,” said Dr. Ayala. “Governor Pritzker has made it clear that education will be a top priority for the new administration, and I look forward to our work ahead. Together, I know we can break down barriers to opportunity and ensure that students of all races, backgrounds, income levels and zip codes receive a strong education in Illinois.”

Dr. Ayala was also on Pritzker’s transition team.

  7 Comments      


Question of the day

Tuesday, Feb 26, 2019 - Posted by Rich Miller

* The setup

In a recently launched digital ad, Ideas Illinois — a conservative 501(c)(4) group — has positioned itself as “on a mission” to put Illinois on a “sustainable” path through job creation, spending cuts and economic growth.

On the other side of the spectrum is Think Big Illinois, a left-leaning 501(c)(4) group which includes Pritzker on its list of donors, according to CEO Quentin Fulks, a former deputy manager of the Pritzker campaign.

Think Big’s recently launched digital ad touts a “fair tax” and equates Ideas Illinois’ “mission” with former Republican Gov. Bruce Rauner’s “stubborn” leadership. Fulks said Think Big will be closely monitoring the fight for a graduated tax.

“I think we’re going to do whatever it takes to get the job done and to make sure that we’re getting the word out there that the graduated income tax is the best way to solve the problems in Illinois,” he said. “At this moment, we don’t have plans like a TV ad ready to go, but it is something that is in our arsenal if we need to use it. … As long as we’re able to sustain it, we’ll stay up on TV and on digital doing everything we can.”

Interesting that Q decided to go after the other side so early.

* The digital ad

* The Question: Your thoughts on this spot? And, remember, this is an online ad, not a TV ad. They’re very different animals.

  23 Comments      


Belvidere’s loss and Michigan’s gain

Tuesday, Feb 26, 2019 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Rockford Register-Star

The Belvidere Assembly Plant will lay off up to 1,371 workers starting May 2, Fiat Chrysler Automobiles said Tuesday.

The company said a slowing global market is causing the reduction.

Starting May 6, the plant will return to a more traditional work schedule, with employees working two shifts. Now, three crews work 10-hour days four days a week.

The company “will make every effort to place indefinitely laid-off hourly employees in open full-time positions as they become available based on seniority,” spokeswoman Jodi Tinson said.

* But FCA is putting more money into some Michigan plants, where larger Jeeps will be made

Fiat Chrysler Automobiles NV said on Tuesday it will invest $4.5 billion in five plants to build new models of Jeeps to compete in the lucrative market for full-size, three-row SUVs currently dominated by rivals General Motors Co and Ford Motor Co. […]

The new investments announced on Tuesday will create 6,500 jobs in Michigan, Fiat Chrysler (FCA) said in an announcement about three months after GM said it would not allocate new products to five plants in North America that mostly produce less-popular sedan models. […]

[FCA Chief Executive Officer Mike Manley] added that 60 percent of SUV sales are for three-row models “and we don’t have a three-row offering… and this is a segment that I’ve been very interested in for some time.”

  20 Comments      


Pardon my rant

Tuesday, Feb 26, 2019 - Posted by Rich Miller

* The SALT deduction was designed to prevent double-taxation. You’re not paying taxes on the taxes you’ve already paid. It also gave people a break if they lived in states that weren’t federal spending freeloaders

Illinois Gov. J.B. Pritzker wants federal lawmakers to lift a cap on a tax deduction that he said helps lower-income people.

One tax expert said the deduction actually benefits wealthy people.

Pritzker joined with governors from other high-debt, high-tax states like New Jersey and New York on Friday to call for removing the $10,000 cap on the State and Local Tax deduction, or SALT. Lawmakers capped the SALT deduction as part of President Donald Trump’s tax overhaul.

“In Illinois, it affects nearly 2 million people in a very negative way and 85 percent of those people make $200,000 or less a year,” Pritzker said.

Jared Walczak, with the nonpartisan Tax Foundation, said the unlimited SALT deduction benefited high-income earners the most. The cap included in the overhaul limited the savings for wealthy homeowners in states with high property taxes.

“It is subsidizing high-income people in high-tax states,” Walczak said. “What it’s really doing is subsidizing the higher taxes in those states.”

Yes, it does subsidize higher taxes in those states. And most of those states were already net federal tax exporters.

* More

Illinois U.S. Representative Rodney Davis, R-Taylorville, said it is unlikely the SALT cap will be lifted as he said his constituents are now paying less to the federal government because of tax changes he said Republicans brought together.

Davis said SALT incentivizes the states like Illinois to raise taxes on its citizens.

“That’s wrong,” Davis said. “We took that incentive away. Illinois Democrats need to learn to live within their means.”

Dude who voted for tax breaks that caused huge federal deficits telling Illinois to live within its means. That’s super-duper rich, Rodney.

And, by the way, Davis probably has more state facilities/universities in his district than any other member of the delegation. Wanna tell the state which ones to close, Congressman?

/rant

  85 Comments      


Fitch warns Pritzker budget could lead to downgrade

Tuesday, Feb 26, 2019 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Fitch Ratings

The fiscal 2020 executive budget plan recently introduced by Illinois’ governor would not materially address the state’s structural budget issues in the current fiscal year or the next, says Fitch Ratings.

Illinois’ ‘BBB’ Issuer Default Rating (IDR) reflects an ongoing pattern of weak operating performance and irresolute fiscal decision-making. The Negative Rating Outlook reflects our assessment that near-term fiscal challenges will pressure the rating.

Fitch has indicated that we would lower the state’s IDR if Illinois returned to a pattern of deferring payments for near-term budget balancing. Elements of the governor’s proposal, including a $1.5 billion GO bill backlog borrowing that reduces but leaves largely unresolved the 2019 deficit and numerous one-time measures in fiscal 2020, appear to do that without a clear path toward long-term balance. The legislature will take up the executive budget, a multi-part pension proposal, and a possible capital improvements bill over the next several months, with the goal of enacting a final budget by June 30. Fitch plans to review the state’s rating and Negative Outlook following passage of a final budget for fiscal 2020.

A return to single-party control could ease the legislature’s budget review and adoption process this year, but unified control is not a panacea for Illinois. It also would not mean the end of the state’s credit challenges, which have persisted regardless of the political make-up of the state government. Illinois faces significant fiscal problems that will likely take multiple years to fully address, but the executive budget does not provide enough clarity on how the state will deal with them.

The governor’s fiscal 2020 budget plan relies heavily on non-recurring revenues and large savings from an uncertain pension proposal that poses risks for the state. The budget plan could also be challenged from the start if the sizable fiscal 2019 gap is not adequately addressed. The governor framed the $38.7 billion general funds ($77 billion all funds) plan as a bridge budget that would buy time until the state is able to implement his proposed graduated income tax and then achieve more substantive fiscal progress. This new tax requires a state constitutional amendment that must be approved by legislative super-majorities (which Democrats have in both chambers) and then by voters, also by a super-majority. Fitch estimates the earliest it could be approved would be in the November 2020 general election and notes that prospects for passage at both levels are uncertain.

Fiscal 2019’s gap, estimated at $1.1 billion in the general funds, poses a particular challenge for the state, and the administration’s budget plan leaves it largely unresolved. The governor proposes a $1.5 billion general obligation (GO) bond sale to reduce backlogged bills. $600 million of the proceeds would be deposited directly in the general revenue fund to pay down remaining interest accruing bills. After accounting for other adjustments to the budget, the general funds deficit declines modestly to an estimated $900 million. The remaining $900 million from the GO sale would be deposited in the Health Insurance Reserve Fund (outside of the general funds) to cover unpaid employee health insurance bills.

While potentially beneficial economically by trading high-interest backlogged bills for likely lower-cost GO debt, the state’s liability profile would be essentially unchanged with the proposed GO sale. The administration’s $1.1 billion fiscal 2019 deficit estimate reflects elimination of several items from the enacted budget that Fitch previously noted as questionable, including the sale of the Thompson Center and savings from pension buyouts.

Fitch anticipates the administration will continue working with agencies and the legislature to seek additional measures to address the fiscal 2019 general funds deficit. But those measures have not been articulated, and only four months remain in the year.

For fiscal 2020, the executive budget includes an estimated $1.1 billion in new revenues, with roughly one-third ($370 million) coming from non-recurring sources. Initial licensing fees from legalization of cannabis ($170 million) and sports wagering ($200 million) are assumed to accelerate into fiscal 2020 supported by related tax credits included in the budget plan. Separately, the governor also proposes a delinquent tax payment incentive (amnesty) plan estimated to generate $175 million in one-time revenue.

On a recurring basis, the most significant revenue source proposed by the governor is nearly $400 million from a new assessment fee levied on healthcare managed care organizations that should generate additional federal matching revenues under Medicaid. The combined revenues would be deposited outside of the general fund into the Healthcare Provider Relief Fund and used for Medicaid, thereby reducing the general funds support of Medicaid. The governor noted that other states including California and Ohio use similar fees.

Separately, the governor estimates sports wagering could generate between $77 million and $136 million annually in future years from a 20% tax on gross wagers - only $12 million of tax revenue is included in the fiscal 2020 budget. The governor did not provide an estimate of ongoing cannabis tax revenue.

The only material expenditure reduction is in the state’s pension contributions which the governor proposes to decrease from the current year by $400 million to a general funds total of $7.1 billion, by implementing a five-part pension proposal outlined earlier this month (see “Fitch Ratings: IL Pension Plan Frames the Rating Picture; Budget Details Still Key,” Feb. 19, 2019). This would also be $1.1 billion below the required contribution based on the 26-year closed amortization to 90% funding set out in current law.

$878 million in savings comes from a potentially costly extension of the pension amortization by seven years to 2052, while maintaining the comparatively weak 90% funding target. Without committing to full actuarially determined contributions, the re-amortization could cost the state more over time by perpetuating an already inadequate funding approach. $125 million derives from the administration’s estimate of savings by extending the pension buyout programs permanently.

Over the long term, Fitch considers the proposed open-ended buyouts as indirect pension benefit changes that could gradually reduce the long-term pension liability but would require an ongoing funding source. The enacted fiscal 2019 budget anticipated issuance of up to $1 billion in GO bonds to fund pension buyouts and the governor proposes issuing the first tranche of $300 million by April. Absent a constitutional amendment, Illinois’ ability to more directly reduce already-accrued retiree benefits appears sharply limited.

Education funding is a key area of growth in the governor’s budget plan. K-12 funding under the evidence-based formula increases by $375 million (a robust 5.5%) to $7.2 billion. The minimum wage increase recently signed into law by the governor drives more than $100 million in proposed spending growth (combined state and federal) for providers paid through the state’s Departments of Human Services and Aging. Like Pennsylvania’s executive budget, Illinois’ assumes $25 million in individual income tax revenue growth tied to increased economic activity supported by the higher minimum wage.

The governor also called for a capital improvements bill to fund new infrastructure projects but did not offer a specific plan or revenues to support new issuance. The state maintains between $3 billion and $4 billion in unused GO authorization for various capital projects, and the governor proposes using $1.1 billion over the next year. Illinois also has roughly $370 million in remaining authorization for the Build Illinois sales tax-backed bonding program.

The budget plan also does not make material progress on reducing liabilities as it trades accounts payable for GO debt to repay bills. By the end of fiscal 2020, the governor projects reducing year-end general funds accounts payable by 10% from fiscal 2018, or $900 million over two years, while issuing $1.5 billion in GO bonds to repay bills.

Fitch currently rates Illinois two notches above junk status, so the state has a tiny bit of breathing room, but not much.

  29 Comments      


Afternoon precinct reports

Tuesday, Feb 26, 2019 - Posted by Rich Miller

…Adding… Hmm…



But…



* Seniors dominating morning vote [updated with noon totals]…


* More

So far the 19th Ward on the South Side has seen the highest turnout, with 26 percent of voters turning in a ballot. That’s followed by the 41st Ward (23 percent), the 47th Ward (22 percent) and the 13th Ward (20 percent).

The 22nd Ward (8 percent) and the 24th Ward (8.1 percent) have seen the lightest turnout so far.

* Early voting stats as of yesterday…


* Things are a bit different in the 13th Ward…

* Magnanimity (or total indecision, or a very large and diverse family) in the 19th Ward…



* What’s happening out there?

  59 Comments      


The state’s neglect of higher education

Tuesday, Feb 26, 2019 - Posted by Rich Miller

* From my weekly newspaper column which we discussed yesterday

And while universities are receiving a 5 percent increase in operating assistance, the total appropriation is still just 96.4 percent of what they were appropriated in the Fiscal Year 2015 budget – the last one approved before the two-year impasse began.

* The CTBA puts this in historical context

But Illinois’ investment in higher education is even more inadequate when viewed over the long term. Even with the Governor’s proposed increase in funding, Illinois would be providing less support for higher education in FY2020 than it did in FY2000 in both nominal and inflation-adjusted terms. In fact, the proposed FY2020 appropriation is just over half of the inflation-adjusted appropriation two decades earlier.

The numbers

  29 Comments      


The next public health problem from the opioid epidemic: Congenital Syphilis

Tuesday, Feb 26, 2019 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Pew Trusts

Some of the communities hit hardest by the opioid epidemic and a related methamphetamine spike also are facing another health crisis: a steep rise in syphilis.

It isn’t a coincidence.

Many opioid users have started to use meth, either in combination with opioids or as a cheaper, more accessible alternative. Stimulants such as meth are even more likely than opioids to promote risky sexual behavior that increases the likelihood of contracting syphilis and other sexually transmitted diseases.

Women are increasingly susceptible as their drug use continues to rise, and more of them are passing on the disease to their infants — with deadly results.

Many addicted pregnant women forgo prenatal visits for fear of being drug tested and losing custody of their babies, doctors say. And mothers with untreated syphilis have an 80 percent chance of infecting their unborn babies, contributing to a growing crisis that many states have tried to combat in recent years.

In adults, syphilis can be cured with a course of antibiotics. But syphilis among newborns, called congenital syphilis, can cause deformities, severe anemia, an enlarged liver and spleen, jaundice or brain and nerve problems such as blindness or deafness.

Up to 40 percent of babies born to women with untreated syphilis may be stillborn or die as a newborn, according to the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

The number of congenital syphilis cases climbed by 154 percent between 2013 and 2017. More than 900 cases were reported in 37 states in 2017 — the highest number of cases in the past two decades.

* Congenital Syphilis rates per 100,000 live births in 2017

California 58
Illinois 14
Indiana 10
Michigan 9
Minnesota 3
Missouri 13
New York 7
Ohio 13
Pennsylvania 4
Texas 44
Wisconsin 5

The national average is 23.

  9 Comments      


Support House Bill 1613

Tuesday, Feb 26, 2019 - Posted by Advertising Department

[The following is a paid advertisement.]

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Pritzker replaces Meeks as ISBE chairman, appoints several other members

Tuesday, Feb 26, 2019 - Posted by Rich Miller

* This was released late yesterday afternoon, just hours before today’s ISBE board meeting…

Gov. Pritzker Appoints New Members of Illinois State Board of Education

Springfield, Ill. — Building on a strong team of diverse experts in their fields, Governor JB Pritzker announced his appointments serve on the Illinois State Board of Education:

Darren Reisberg will serve as chair of the Illinois State Board of Education.* Reisberg currently serves as the vice president for strategic initiatives and deputy provost at the University of Chicago. He served the university as vice president and secretary, and the first executive director of the university’s Institute of Politics, where he currently serves on the Institute’s Board of Advisors. Prior, Reisberg served as general counsel and deputy superintendent of the Illinois State Board of Education. In those roles, he counseled the State Superintendent of Education and State Board of Education on legal, policy, and operational matters. He also was an employment and labor attorney at the Chicago law firm Sidley Austin LLP and worked as a judicial law clerk for U.S. District Court Judge Rebecca R. Pallmeyer. Reisberg received his Juris Doctor from Yale Law School and his Bachelor of Arts in political science at Duke University.

Christine Benson will serve as a member of the Illinois State Board of Education.* Benson has 35 years of teaching and administrative experience in Illinois public schools ranging from elementary, middle and high school. She served as central office administrator for seven years, focusing on budget management, curriculum development and grants. Benson served as superintendent for six years at Mendota High School, five years at Ottawa Elementary School District and six years at Streator Elementary School District. She received her Doctor of Education from Northern Illinois University and her Master of Science in education administration and Bachelor of Music Education from Illinois State University.

Cynthia Latimer will serve as a member of the Illinois State Board of Education.* Latimer has over 33 years of administrative and classroom experience in Aurora school districts. Beginning her career as a special education teacher at East Aurora District 131 and later West Aurora School District 129 for 10 years, Latimer went on to serve as principal of W.S. Beaupre Elementary School from 1990 to 1993 and Abraham Lincoln Elementary School from 1993 to 2000. She then served as chief officer for special populations at District 129, working closely with social workers, psychologists, speech and language pathologists, teachers and nurses throughout the district. In 2006, Latimer was promoted to Assistant Superintendent in the Division of Student Services, and in 2008, she became the Assistant Superintendent in the Division of Teaching & Learning, which included oversight of all aspects of PK-12 instruction including those of the former Student Services Division. She held this role until her retirement in 2014. Latimer received her Master of Science in educational leadership and policy study from Northern Illinois University and her Bachelor of Science in special education from Illinois State University.

Donna Simpson Leak will serve as a member of the Illinois State Board of Education.* Leak currently serves as superintendent of Community Consolidated Schools District 168. She has trained thousands of teachers and presented at more than 200 conferences worldwide. Previously, Leak served as assistant superintendent and superintendent of schools in Rich Township High School District 227, where she oversaw all functions of the district including curriculum and instruction, federal and state grants, district improvement, and campus restructuring initiatives. During her tenure in Rich Township, the district’s high schools received the distinction of Best High Schools in America from U.S. News & World Report. Leak has been a member of the National Council of Supervisors of Mathematics Board for several years and is a lead instructor with the Professional Learning Community academies. Leak has also been an active member of the American Association of School Administrators for the past decade, recently receiving her National Certification Certificate. Leak received her PhD in administration and supervision from Loyola University, Master of Arts in educational administration from Governor’s State University and Bachelor of Science in mathematics from University of Illinois at Chicago.

David Lett will serve as a member of the Illinois State Board of Education.* Lett has spent more than 35 years teaching and leading K-12 school and in higher education. He currently is an adjunct professor on the Education Leadership Department at the University of Illinois at Springfield. From 2001 to 2017, Lett served as superintendent for Pana Community Unit School District 8. Prior, he serves as the middle school principal at Seneca Grade School and assistant principal at Ottawa Township High School. He taught social sciences at Seneca, Morrison High School and Reddick Junior High/High School at the beginning of his career. Lett received his Doctor of Education and Master of Education Administration from Illinois State University and his Bachelor of Science in economics from Illinois Wesleyan University.

Susan Morrison will serve as a member of the Illinois State Board of Education.* Morrison has worked as an Illinois educator and advocate for children for almost 40 years. She began her career as a social studies teacher, working for 10 years in Homer and Girard. Morrison taught middle and high school social studies and had administrative experience as a building principal and director of curriculum and instruction. She was also selected as the first state director for AdvancED at the University of Illinois. Morrison’s statewide leadership responsibilities have included positions as state director of School Improvement, state director of Gifted Education, state director of Education to Careers, and program director for many state and federal programs. She had oversight for state accountability, standards and assessment, teaching and learning, educator effectiveness, special education, early childhood education, bilingual education, and career and technical education prior to retiring as deputy superintendent/chief education officer at ISBE in June 2015. Morrison received her Master of Arts in educational administration from the University of Illinois Springfield, her bachelor’s degree from Cornell College, and a specialist degree in superintendency from Eastern Illinois University. She holds a Professional Educator License endorsed for teacher, principal and superintendent. Two of Morrison’s four children are public school teachers in Illinois. Morrison was appointed to the Illinois State Board of Education in July 2017 by Governor Bruce Rauner.

Cristina Pacione-Zayas will serve as a member of the Illinois State Board of Education.* Pacione-Zayas currently serves as the director of policy at Erikson Institute where she generates systemic solutions leading to equitable opportunities and positive outcomes for young children, families, and communities. Her work is informed by over a decade of experience leading education policy and community education initiatives in Illinois’s Latinx communities. Previously, Pacione-Zayas led the Latino Policy Forum’s Education Department with a focus on improving education policy in the birth-to-third-grade continuum that will produce positive outcomes for Latinx and immigrant children. During her two years as the culture of calm coordinator for Roberto Clemente Community Academy, a public high school in Chicago, she cultivated a 29 percent reduction in serious disciplinary infractions. As the community schools director at Enlace Chicago, she managed a network of eight community schools in the Little Village neighborhood, representing more than 1,500 youths and 650 adults. She received her doctorate in educational policy studies, Master of Education in educational policy studies and dual Bachelor of Arts degrees in sociology and Spanish from the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign.

Jane Quinlan will serve as a member of the Illinois State Board of Education.* Quinlan currently is regional superintendent for the Champaign-Ford Regional Office of Education 9, where she previously was the assistant regional superintendent. She served as the vice president of the Illinois Association of Regional Superintendents of Schools from 2011-13. She previously served as director of ROE SchoolWorks, the professional development division of Champaign-Ford ROE and Vermilion ROE. Quinlan also has worked as a reading and language arts specialist at Education Service Center 13, where she later became assistant director and director. She received her Ph.D. in educational organization and leadership and her M.Ed. in reading from the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign and her B.S.Ed. in elementary education from Eastern Illinois University in Charleston.

Jacqueline Robbins will serve as a member of the Illinois State Board of Education.* Robbins served as UniServ Director for Region 53 and 35 at Illinois Education Association from 2007 to 2017. She previously taught at Dunlap High School, served as community relations manager and instructor of 28 programs at Hult Health Education Center and as program coordinator and instructor at Illinois Central College. She received her Master of Arts from Bradley University and Bachelor of Arts from Millikin University.

All appointments are pending confirmation by the Illinois Senate.

  29 Comments      


What real leadership looks like

Tuesday, Feb 26, 2019 - Posted by Advertising Department

[The following is a paid advertisement.]

State Rep. Marcus Evans, D-Chicago, just showed Springfield what real leadership looks like.

State lawmakers are often criticized for not listening to voters. But the reality is most voters assume lawmakers don’t listen, and never contact them.

That wasn’t the case for House Bill 2864, which would have established a pilot program for a per-mile driving tax in Illinois. More than 30,000 Illinoisans in one week signed a petition opposing the tax.

“If people don’t like a bill, you stop it and you go back to the drawing board,” Rep. Evans said. He tabled HB 2864.

Not only did Rep. Evans listen to his constituents and taxpayers across the state, he took action. That’s leadership.

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*** UPDATED x1 *** Pritzker visits southern Illinois flood zones

Tuesday, Feb 26, 2019 - Posted by Rich Miller

* From last Tuesday

Flooding along the Ohio River forced crews to close roads in Hardin County Tuesday. They shut down Route 1 where the road is submerged.

“The last couple days, the water really started coming up on both side of Route 1,” said Hardin County Deputy Sheriff Joe Jenkins. “It’s completely over the road.” […]

The high water levels along the Ohio River are expected to last at least through the rest of the week.

But the river didn’t recede.

* Saturday

Massac County officials have declared a state of emergency as the Ohio River continues to rise.

The county’s Emergency Management Agency says they are over extending their resources.

The river is currently less than a foot away from major flood stage and is expected to rise two more feet and crest at 53.5 feet on Saturday, March 2.

* Sunday

The Ohio River is now at a major flood stage and is continuing to rise.

The National Weather Service predicts the river will crest Saturday, March 2, making it one of the top five historic crests.

As water levels continue to rise, volunteers in Brookport and Metropolis continue to fill sandbags to give to residents.

* Monday

High flood waters have left residents at six units with no choice but to evacuate a Metropolis, Illinois apartment complex. […]

White says volunteers will be out all-night sandbagging. The residents who evacuated will stay at the hotel until Friday unless conditions get worse.

* Also from Monday

Senator Dale Fowler said a meeting between lawmakers, first responders, IEMA, and the Army Corps of Engineers will take place Wednesday. They’ll be working to figure out if and when state resources can be deployed to help with damage.

* The governor apparently decided not to wait for Wednesday’s meeting…

Daily Public Schedule: Tuesday, Feb. 26, 2019

What: Gov. Pritzker to hold media availability after surveying flooding and receiving an emergency response briefing in Metropolis. The governor will then depart to Cairo to survey flooding.
Where: Metropolis Fire Department, 213 West 7th Street, Metropolis
When: 11:30 a.m.

* Harrah’s Casino closed on the 18th. The governor’s folks sent me this pic today…

* And here’s one of Pritzker with Sen. Fowler and others…

More often than I care to remember, I’ve brow-beaten governors into traveling to flood zones. I didn’t even know about this flood until today.

*** UPDATE *** Press release…

Governor JB Pritzker has directed the State Emergency Operations Center (SEOC) in Springfield to monitor flood conditions in southern Illinois and quickly deploy state assets and personnel if local officials request assistance as they battle floodwaters.

Gov. Pritzker and Illinois Emergency Management Agency Acting Director Alicia Tate-Nadeau met with local officials and emergency management officials in Massac and Alexander County today as the communities continue to prepare for significant river crests this weekend.

“I want all of our communities that have been impacted by recent flooding, from northern Illinois to southern Illinois, to know we are taking this very seriously,” said Governor JB Pritzker. “The state will do everything we can to help communities experiencing these extreme conditions this upcoming weekend and beyond. It’s important we work together in the days and weeks ahead to keep families safe and protect our communities.”

On Tuesday, a crew from the Illinois Department of Correction’s Shawnee Correctional Center began sandbag operations to aid the flood fight in Alexander County. Additional sandbags and pumps have also been deployed to Massac County and Alexander County. IEMA staff have been deployed to southern Illinois to help local emergency management officials assess the need for state assets or personnel. The American Red Cross is also working throughout the area assisting residents and attending to the needs of volunteers.

Public safety officials also want to take this time to remind motorists to be on the lookout for road closure postings. Residents are urged to avoid areas already flooded and never cross any barriers that are put in place by local emergency officials.

“Each year, more deaths occur due to flooding than from any other thunderstorm related hazard,” said IEMA Director Alicia Tate-Nadeau. “Over half of all flood-related drownings occur when a vehicle is driven into hazardous flood waters. Please heed the warning from your local officials. Turn around, don’t drown. It is never safe to drive or walk into flood waters.”

  16 Comments      


A very troubling DCFS statistic

Tuesday, Feb 26, 2019 - Posted by Rich Miller

* We talked about this yesterday

Nearly 100 Illinois children who died within the last two years were involved with the state’s Department of Children and Family Services. That’s according to a recent Inspector General report. […]

Past Inspector General reports reveal the seemingly-high number to be average by comparison. Within the last 10 years, between 84 and 113 children have died while being supervised in some capacity by DCFS.

* But that’s not the most worrisome number, as Hannah Meisel points out today

However, the number of children who died after a DCFS caseworker investigated a claim of abuse or neglect, but was not able to substantiate the claim, continued to rise in 2018, as in years past.

Thirty-seven children died after a caseworker had investigated either their parent, guardian, home or other situation related to the child but classified the complaint as “unfounded,” according to the report.

Oy.

* Also from Hannah’s report

[Inspector General Meryl Paniak] pointed to a memo sent anonymously from the agency’s Joliet field office to Gov. JB Pritzker, Paniak, the agency’s former acting director, Beverly “BJ” Walker, several other administration officials and members of the Chicago news media describing a severe understaffing in the office.

The unsigned two-page letter, which is dated “February 2019,” describes the Joliet field office as in a “major crisis,” and says caseworkers who live within miles of the Joliet office are so “stressed and overwhelmed” with their jobs, they’ve found other jobs much further from their homes.

The letter says the Joliet office should have 30 child protection investigators, but in reality has “less than half” the staff needed.

“We are continuing to lose investigators weekly,” according to the letter. “This is a safety concern and unfair to the current staff.”

* This isn’t the first time the Joliet office has been in the news. From 2017

As state child welfare investigators probed allegations of abuse in the Joliet Township home where 17-month-old Semaj Crosby would later be found dead, their supervisor was launching a contest that awarded $100 gift cards to the two workers who closed the most cases in a month, according to agency interviews and internal emails examined by the Tribune.

The 3rd place winner would get a $50 gift card.

Evidence of the Joliet office contest emerged as the Illinois Department of Children and Family Services faces mounting criticism from state lawmakers that it is quickly closing abuse and neglect investigations even when basic information has not been gathered and children are left in harm’s way.

If you promote an atmosphere like this, then you can’t be surprised when more kids die every year after their cases were deemed unfounded.

…Adding… More from Hannah…



  17 Comments      


A third of Pritzker’s revenue proposals comes from one-off sources

Tuesday, Feb 26, 2019 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Bond Buyer

The budget would raise $1.1 billion of fresh revenue from a new tax on plastic bags, license fees from legalized cannabis and sports betting, closing a corporate tax loophole, taxing e-cigarettes, raising the existing cigarette tax, assessing a tax on Medicaid, changing the existing tax structure on video gambling and capping a retailers’ discount.

About one-third of the new revenue is one-shots, Fitch analyst Eric Kim said.

Another $175 million would be raised from a delinquent tax amnesty and while there’s no new interfund borrowing from non-general fund accounts the budget defers repayment of $320 million previously borrowed. Both are one-shots.

A projected $155 million end-of-year balance would go to pay down the now $8.3 billion backlog of the state’s unpaid bills. A $1.5 billion borrowing to pay down the backlog would generate an estimated $110 million of savings for fiscal 2020.

  54 Comments      


Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today’s edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)

Tuesday, Feb 26, 2019 - Posted by Rich Miller

This post is password protected. To view it please enter your password below:

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Morning precinct reports

Tuesday, Feb 26, 2019 - Posted by Rich Miller

* What are you seeing out there so far?

  51 Comments      


*** LIVE COVERAGE ***

Tuesday, Feb 26, 2019 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Follow along with ScribbleLive


  1 Comment      


Question of the day

Monday, Feb 25, 2019 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Finke with tongue firmly in cheek

As some of you may be aware, there’s been a minor tempest floating around the state’s news media on the proper spelling of the governor’s initials. What’s in an initial, right?

But it has to do with the question of do you use periods (J.B.) or not (JB). Pritzker prefers his initials appear without periods. However, many publications, including this one, have a style policy that says use periods. And the administration doesn’t get to dictate all media policy.

The crisis stemmed from the ceremony Pritzker had last week to sign into law the hike in the minimum wage. Lots of people attend these ceremonies, including the one for the minimum wage. Most of them expect to walk away with a souvenir pen that was used to sign a portion of the governor’s name. The more people who want pens, the tinier the part of the signature the pen is part of.

Pritzker felt the stress of making everyone happy and apparently rued his choice of spelling.

“Now is when the periods would have come in handy,” he said.

* The Question: J.B. or JB? Take the poll and then explain your answer in comments, please…


find bike trails

  58 Comments      


It’s just a bill

Monday, Feb 25, 2019 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Daily Herald

A suburban state representative has proposed a law that she and her youth advisory group believe would help protect the mental stability of students during interrogations about behavior by requiring a parent or mental health professional to be there.

The proposal originated from the January 2017 death of 16-year-old Corey Walgren, a Naperville North High School student who took his life after being questioned by school officials and police about an allegation of wrongdoing.

But the attorney for Corey’s parents, Douglas and Maureen Walgren of Naperville, said the bill as written could do the opposite of protecting student mental health because of the word “or,” which could allow a mental health professional instead of a parent to be present during questioning, potentially leading to very different advice. […]

“The police and the school personnel are already required to notify the parents prior to any interrogation of a student by the police or where the police are involved,” Ekl said. “That is something that I believe Naperville North and perhaps other school districts routinely violate.”

Ekl said the proposed law’s requirement of “the presence of the student’s parent or guardian, a school social worker or a licensed mental health professional” weakens the previous mandate.

* The Illinois News Network runs at least its third story about this House resolution in eleven days

One of the four state lawmakers behind a bill that would split Chicago off from the rest of Illinois says that while the measure was designed to spark conversation, support for a split could gain support if policymakers continue to push Windy City policies on the rest of the state. […]

State Rep. Darren Bailey, R-Louisville, said policies implemented in Chicago are being forced on the rest of the state.

“People in our area, southern Illinois, they’re mad,” Bailey said. “Fifteen [dollars an hour], a tax on plastic bags? We’re headed to some serious problems in Illinois if this does not stop.”

Bailey said he hopes to host several Chicago-area lawmakers at his family farm to show them the differences between Chicago and the rest of the state.

Bailey is one of four lawmakers signed on to House Resolution 101, which would ask the U.S. Congress to make Chicago its own state. He said he signed on to the measure to start a conversation.

* Perennial bill surfaces yet again

Illinois motor vehicles would only need one license plate if a bill sponsored by a Chicago-area lawmaker is passed.

Rep. Allen Skillicorn, R-East Dundee, introduced House Bill 1623, which states that the Secretary of State would issue only one license plate to cars, motorcycles, trailers, semi trailers, motorized pedalcycle or truck tractors, instead of two. […]

[Dave Druker, press secretary for the Secretary of State Jesse White] said this has traditionally been a law enforcement issue.

The reason for this, Druker said, is that if an officer is out on the street, they have an increased chance of catching someone’s license plate number if they can see it from both sides.

  25 Comments      


There’s no time like the present

Monday, Feb 25, 2019 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Wouldn’t you think that before the governor unveiled his budget he’d brief the chief sponsors of an integral part of his proposal about what he intended to do? Or, you know, maybe do it right after?

It just seems so odd to me that the chief sponsors are being kept in the dark about the governor’s plan

Gov. J.B. Pritzker’s proposed budget for the 2020 fiscal year includes $170 million in new revenue from licensing fees for legalized recreational marijuana, but the details of the legislation are not yet finalized. […]

[Sen. Heather Steans, the chief Senate sponsor] said she would hope to have language filed for a Senate bill “in the next month or so,” and both said they would like to see it passed by May 31, provided they can iron out the final details.

“I haven’t gotten the details behind (the governor’s $170 million projection). So I really can’t comment on that yet,” Steans said. “It seems like a reasonable approach. All the revenue estimates we’ve had so far, when you have a fully mature program in place, have been around $500 million. So this is clearly well below that and based much more on up-front licensing fees, not from receipts based on sales tax.”

I checked this afternoon and, five days after the governor’s budget address, the sponsors have still not been briefed.

Today is February 25th. May 31st is in 95 calendar days. There are 41 scheduled Senate session days and 44 scheduled House session days until the scheduled adjournment.

* There’s no reason to panic yet because there’s still plenty of time to get this done, but time flies fast around these parts and the sponsors have been asking for gubernatorial guidance for over a month to almost no avail. Also, the sponsors have other things to do before adjournment besides this one project. They’re both approp committee chairs, for instance.

  18 Comments      


Counting all votes is not a “nightmare scenario”

Monday, Feb 25, 2019 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Lots of people love mail-in ballots. But as we all clearly saw last November, that means we won’t necessarily know all the results on election night. So, news outlets need to make sure they don’t repeat their mistakes from last fall and publicly declare winners before ascertaining whether tens of thousands of uncounted ballots could change the final scores

With 37,000 mail-in ballots not yet returned, Chicago election officials on Monday talked openly about a nightmare scenario that suddenly looks real: a mayoral election so close, it drags on for days and even includes a possible recount.

Election Board spokesman Jim Allen is not predicting that will happen. But he’s at least acknowledging that possibility with 63,000 mail-in ballots requested, only 26,000 returned, 1,000 not counted because of defects and a crowded field of 14 mayoral candidates that has left voters confused.

Mail-in ballots can be counted later, so long as they are postmarked on Tuesday — or even Wednesday, if they were mailed on election day.

If the margin separating the top few finishers is smaller than the number of outstanding ballots, we may not know until days or even weeks after Tuesday’s election which candidates will advance to the April 2 runoff.

Also, please stop calling it a “nightmare scenario.” It’s the legal voting process and it’s been around awhile now. I mean, remember the 2014 race when we didn’t know who the next state treasurer would be for a couple of weeks?

Instantaneous results are a fantasy of the media’s own construction.

  31 Comments      


Trump appears to forget Pritzker’s name, but still calls him “my friend,” promises help

Monday, Feb 25, 2019 - Posted by Rich Miller

* The president met with several governors at the White House today and gave a speech

Near the end of his address, Trump noted that there were 17 new governors at the event in the State Dining Room. “Very smart ones, like my friend,” Trump said, turning to Pritzker, who has frequently criticized the president.

“Congratulations. It’s a great — you’re going to have — you have such an easy state. That’s so easy. Great state of Illinois. What an easy state. I don’t know. Huh? Have you found it to be easier or tougher than you thought?”

“Well, you’re going to help us out,” Pritzker responded, drawing a laugh from his fellow chief executives.

“I’ll help you out. I help everybody out. I’m going to help you,” Trump said.

The video is here in case you don’t believe your eyes.

* Meanwhile…


  17 Comments      


Martire: “We don’t want to see a new ramp with new high payments down the road”

Monday, Feb 25, 2019 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Carol Marin last week asked Ralph Martire, executive director of the Center for Tax and Budget Accountability, whether the governor’s proposed restructuring of the pension ramp is “just another pension holiday”

Well, yeah. An incomplete on the pensions. Look, he didn’t publish enough material for us to weigh in on those pensions and either support or not support what he did.

One major concern we have is they reamortized, changed the ramp, the payment schedule, but they didn’t point out what the new payment plan looks like, so I don’t see what that new ramp is and we want the state to go to a level dollar, so it doesn’t always have this increasing payment obligation. That’s what strains the fiscal resources. We don’t want to see a new ramp with new high payments down the road.

Remember, the governor wants to extend the ramp by seven years. But he has yet to say how much money the state will “save” during those seven years and how much more it will cost taxpayers in the long term. Until we know that, we will have no idea if his other pension proposals (asset transfer, permanent buy-out, $200 million per year from graduated tax, $2 billion pension bond) are enough to close the gap.

  37 Comments      


The intolerable mess at DCFS

Monday, Feb 25, 2019 - Posted by Rich Miller

* WICS TV

A total of 98 children died last year in cases involving the Illinois Department of Children and Family Services, according to the Office of the Inspector General.

This more than 200-page report documents almost 100 children who died after some kind of connection to DCFS. […]

Of the 98 deaths, 18 were ruled homicides, 26 undetermined, 27 accidents, and 27 natural causes.

Of the 18 homicides, eight from blunt force trauma, six from a gunshot wound, one from stab wounds, one from blunt trauma due to a vehicle striking a bicyclist, and two from dehydration and starvation, similar to Ta’Naja Barnes’ case.

Each of these cases involves children whose families were involved in the child welfare system in the preceding 12 months.

The full report is here.

* Claire Stewart, Staff Counsel at the ACLU of Illinois…

This report makes clear one thing - DCFS is broken. The past administration believed that problems in the agency could be covered by platitudes and public relation stunts. All the while, DCFS was failing at its core mission to protect children in our state.

There can be no more time wasted. We need new leadership in the Department, leadership that is unafraid of doing the hard work and taking advice from experts to avoid a full collapse by this agency.

Nearly 100 children died who were somehow connected to DCFS – nearly 100. This is not tolerable and must be fixed.

* Meanwhile

Pritzker asked the General Assembly to give DCFS an extra $73 million.

Roughly $11 million of that would go toward hiring 126 additional DCFS service staff.

That would include child protection and welfare specialists as well.

He also proposed $10.5 million for foster home care - that’s due to caseload growth.

* Related…

* Police: Mother left 2-year-old daughter to starve and freeze to death in Decatur home: Police accuse a Decatur mother, Twanka L. Davis, of leaving her 2-year-old daughter to starve and freeze to death amid filthy, rodent-infested conditions in their home, according to a sworn affidavit. The affidavit states that Davis was arrested Wednesday afternoon and booked on preliminary charges of murder, involuntary manslaughter and endangering the life and health of a child. Preliminary charges are subject to review by the Macon County State Attorney’s Office. The child was taken from her mother in 2018 during an investigation of child abuse and placed in foster care, police said. She was returned to her mother in August.

* DCFS takes custody of second child after toddler’s death: Davis and her boyfriend allowed police to search the two-story home. The home had a strong smell of urine and rotten garbage and signs of rodent and insect infestation. The plumbing under the sink was not connected and the water main to the home was shut off from the inside. In the bathroom, they reported finding a toilet filled to the brim. In the bathtub, they found a box filled with liquid and debris. In the child’s room, they found only a toddler bed with no sheets or blankets, empty bottles, debris apparently chewed by rodents and feces.

* Lawmakers react to DCFS’s twisted timeline of Ta’Naja’s death: So we called DCFS spokesperson Jimmie Whitelow back on Tuesday, February 19 and asked if the timeline they had given was accurate. He responded by saying they don’t get into case specifics. Which is different from what he said when we spoke to him on Friday, February 15 and he was giving us specific information.

* What happens to the DCFS report related to child deaths after it’s filed: “Since 2003, DCFS has changed directors eight different times and each of the directors has had a different vision. So, because of this, the core mission of this agency got lost,” Feigenholtz said. In fact, the current interim director, Debra Dyer Webster, has been on the job less than two weeks.

  34 Comments      


Reign of terror?

Monday, Feb 25, 2019 - Posted by Rich Miller

* The very top entry in the Sunday Chicago Tribune letters to the editor section

Letter: Caught in Illinois’ ‘Bermuda Triangle’

Is there anything more frightening to the citizens of Illinois than a picture of Illinois’ Bermuda Triangle — Gov. J.B. Pritzker, House Speaker Michael Madigan and Senate President John Cullerton — at the dais? Brace for impact, my fellow Illinoisans, the reign of terror has begun.

— Mark Zavagnin, La Grange

Well, at least we know the Trib won’t ever be lecturing anyone on civility.

  38 Comments      


If you want this done, you probably have to get involved

Monday, Feb 25, 2019 - Posted by Rich Miller

* From Gov. Pritzker’s budget address

This budget also includes the legalization and taxation of sports betting. Expansion of gambling is a perennial effort in this state, and often these proposals get bogged down in regional disputes and a Christmas tree approach. But in those instances, we were talking about adding more riverboats or adding into other regions. Sports betting is different – this is a new market created by a recent U.S. Supreme Court decision. Every day we argue about “who’s in and who’s out” is money that goes to other states and to the black market. I am calling on the legislature to take this up immediately so that Illinois can realize hundreds of millions of dollars, create new jobs, and bring sports betting into a regulated environment that will protect citizens from bad actors. If we do it this year and become the first state in the Midwest to move on this initiative, we can realize more than $200 million from sports betting fees and taxes in FY 2020.

* The Tribune takes a look at the huge number of interest groups vying for a piece of that pie. This is accurate

“The history is that it’s hard to keep these (gambling bills) clean,” said Kent Redfield, an emeritus professor of political science at the University of Illinois at Springfield. “But the history is also that, more often than not, when they become a Christmas tree, they collapse under their own weight.”

That mainly happens when the four legislative leaders and the governor are not all pulling in the same direction.

* So, keep an eye on this

Who would be eligible for a license remains open for negotiation, Pritzker spokeswoman Jordan Abudayyeh said.

If the state creates 20 licenses as the governor has proposed, each of Illinois’ 10 casinos and three horse tracks could be licensed to take bets on sporting events. Video gaming terminal operators, existing sportsbooks in other states and sports teams also could vie for licenses.

* From the House sponsor

While Pritzker has put down “a reasonable marker” for what he’d like to see, “I do get the sense he’s very willing to let us try to work it out for him and try to get to a place where we’re comfortable and he’s comfortable and we can get a bill on his desk,” [Rep. Mike Zalewski] said.

Using history as a guide, if the governor punts the details to the General Assembly he’s probably gonna wind up with a huge bundle of messy nothing.

  8 Comments      


Tribune: Automatically issue arrest warrants for those who should, but don’t turn in guns

Monday, Feb 25, 2019 - Posted by Rich Miller

* This isn’t a bad idea

Ensuring that guns don’t remain in the possession of unauthorized owners is a challenge. Illinois allows police to get search warrants to confiscate these firearms, but they rarely do so.

On Friday, Cook County Sheriff Tom Dart said law enforcement agencies should go after owners who have lost their FOID cards, as his department does. Over the past five years, he said, it has seized about 1,000 guns. But even that is a small share of the total: Last year alone, there were 3,610 revocations in Cook County. Dart also proposed a fee for gun licensing to finance gun recovery efforts by police.

Illinois may not be ready for Dart’s approach, which would involve not only expense but danger to both cops and the individuals they would have to confront. But there is another sensible option: Issue arrest warrants for anyone whose FOID is revoked but who fails to relinquish his guns and file a Firearm Disposition Record.

Police wouldn’t necessarily go after those who don’t comply, but they could arrest anyone they stop who has an outstanding warrant. That policy would be simple and inexpensive to administer, and it would serve as an incentive for compliance. If it had been in effect, it could have stopped Martin, who was arrested several times in Illinois, most recently in 2017.

Thoughts?

  64 Comments      


February inaction is no grand conspiracy

Monday, Feb 25, 2019 - Posted by Rich Miller

* WBEZ

Rep. Robert Martwick, D-Chicago, the House sponsor of one elected school board bill, said he told Gov. JB Pritzker that his No. 1 priority is to get Chicago an elected school board. Martwick said he sees no reason why the bill can’t be passed this spring, with board members selected as soon as next spring. […]

But the bill isn’t being fast-tracked like the $15 minimum wage bill just signed by the governor. The governor’s office did not respond to questions about why the bill doesn’t appear to be moving quickly.

Um, huh?

It’s February 25th. Committees have barely started meeting. Only five House bills have made it out of committee and are currently awaiting floor action.

Just one bill got the super-fast-track treatment since Pritzker was sworn in. Martwick’s bill is in the hopper with literally every other bill.

There’s no need for conspiracy theories here - at least not at this point in the session.

* And there’s good reason for avoiding a fast-track. As the story itself notes, there’s no real agreement yet on how to move forward

Among the top candidates vying to replace Emanuel, about half want a fully elected school board and the other half want a hybrid board where the mayor appoints some members and others are elected.

* And even Martwick isn’t sure of the specific language he wants to push

The bill introduced in the House would create an elected school board as soon as 2020, while the one introduced in the Senate doesn’t call for implementation until 2023. However, Martwick said he is willing to move back the date, and a separate bill has been filed in the House to hold elections starting in 2023.

Martwick, by the way, passed an elected school board bill out of the House in 2017, but never publicly tried to move it once the Senate amended it and sent it back to him (inconveniently enough, on May 31st). The bill then sat in House Rules for over a year.

Both chambers have played lots of games with this concept because Mayor Emanuel wanted to keep appointing school board members. So, conspiracy theories have been justifiable in the past and they likely will in the future. Just not today.

  20 Comments      


Nice words, but numbers matter more

Monday, Feb 25, 2019 - Posted by Rich Miller

* My weekly syndicated newspaper column

Give Gov. J.B. Pritzker some credit, the man can give a good speech.

Last week’s budget address was well-written and respectful of its audience and effectively used Illinois history to make its points. The governor delivered the address like … well … a governor. Unlike some previous occupants of that office, he didn’t try to make himself look better at the General Assembly’s expense. He didn’t propose totally outrageous revenue or spending ideas that had zero chance of passage.

In other words, it was one of the more effective budget addresses I’ve seen since perhaps George Ryan was in office – the last governor who (love him or hate him) actually knew how to get things done.

But speeches, in the end, are just words. What matters most about a budget address is what’s actually in the budget. And it seemed to me like the governor may have oversold the doom and gloom during the past couple of weeks by warning of a $3.2 billion deficit. Pritzker did utter the word “austere,” but focused mainly on how he planned to spend hundreds and hundreds of millions of dollars on programs near to his heart.

The coming year’s pension “holiday” is bigger than initially advertised – $878 million versus the $800 million figure previously floated by the governor’s office. And they’re looking at $390 million for an “assessment” on managed care organizations for Medicaid programs.

Pritzker wants to reduce interfund borrowing repayments by $315 million, incentivize the payment of delinquent taxes for an estimated $175 million, decouple from the federal repatriation tax cut to bring in $94 million, slap a progressive tax structure on video gaming to bring in $89 million and cap the amount retailers can keep from collecting the sales tax to $1,000 a month to bring in another $75 million.

Licensing fees for sports wagering and recreational cannabis would bring in $212 million and $170 million, respectively. He didn’t book any usage tax revenues.

There were some surprises. We knew Pritzker would ask to impose an e-cigarette tax to bring in $10 million, but we didn’t know he wanted to increase the cigarette tax by 30 cents a pack to bring in $55 million. Revenues from both taxes will be used for Medicaid spending.

We also hadn’t heard about a potentially controversial plastic bag tax that will supposedly bring in $20 million. Between the minimum wage hike, the retailer sales tax discount cap and the plastic bag and two cigarette-related taxes, Pritzker may make it even more difficult for the Illinois Retail Merchants Association to justify working with him after being the only business organization not to endorse Bruce Rauner last year.

The governor’s revenue projections for both this fiscal year and next are a combined $1.4 billion higher than the previous administration’s admittedly gloomy forecast, but that includes the $1.1 billion in additional revenues from his tax and fee list.

Pritzker’s projected expenditures for this fiscal year and next are a combined $660 million lower than Rauner’s, and that’s mainly because of the pension payment “holiday.”

You have to look hard to find proposed program cuts, but they do exist. Not many, but some. There’s a million-dollar cut to expenses for the Park and Conservation Program, for example. School district consolidation incentives are reduced by $1.5 million. A $4.6 million grant to the RTA for paratransit is eliminated. The Department of Natural Resources will see a 1.2 percent reduction because of a cut in Other State Funds that’s partially offset by new federal money.

But the expansions vastly outweigh the cuts. Most have already been widely reported, but the highest percentage increase is for the governor’s own office, at 155 percent. The state has a new law that for the first time ever requires all employees of the governor’s office to be paid out of his office’s budget, not offshored to other state agencies. For decades, governors have used offshoring to mask the actual costs of operating their offices by putting their staff on other agencies’ payrolls. So, while eye-popping, it’s reasonable.

And while universities are receiving a 5 percent increase in operating assistance, the total appropriation is still just 96.4 percent of what they were appropriated in the Fiscal Year 2015 budget – the last one approved before the two-year impasse began. That’s perhaps the best illustration in the entire budget about how far the state has to go to repair the damage caused during Gov. Rauner’s tenure – not to even mention the damage from the previous 15 years.

  52 Comments      


*** LIVE COVERAGE ***

Monday, Feb 25, 2019 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Follow along with ScribbleLive


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