At the end of a brief online video promoting an Illinois agency’s training summit, the picture faded to black and, several second later, a pornographic clip appeared.
Emails obtained by The Associated Press show the Illinois Emergency Management Agency scrambling in late August to disable the video, and its chief of staff ordering an investigation into how the salacious footage was added.
Officially, the agency, whose conference last month included a session on cyber security, insists no one “hijacked” the website to tag the lewd material onto the end of director James Joseph’s video invitation promoting the summit in Springfield. Agency spokeswoman Patti Thompson blames the foul-up on an unfortunate but random circumstance created by YouTube, the platform storing the IEMA clip, which was ultimately viewed more than 900 times.
Initially, Thompson said under YouTube’s design, the pornographic feature automatically loaded as the random “next choice” following the IEMA video. Later she said that when Brooks responded to Ricker’s order, he found that what followed IEMA’s video was a choice of four other videos, featured in “thumbnail” photos.
Thompson said Brooks didn’t review the offerings for lewd material. Rather, he unchecked a box allowing suggested follow-up videos and set the system to return the IEMA video to its beginning, Thompson said.
* As anybody who has ever posted a YouTube video embed knows, you’re offered a few choices…
I almost always uncheck the “show suggested video” feature whenever I post a video.
So the real story here is the hilarious cluelessness of some folks at IEMA.
The Citizens United ruling paved the way for the rise of superPACs and so-called social welfare groups, like the Illinois Policy Institute’s advocacy wing, and they’ve both steadily proliferated.
Now, Citizens United is shorthand for the U.S. Supreme Court decision that lifted restrictions on what businesses and unions could spend on campaigns. But the case stems from a nonprofit corporation, Citizens United , which showed its 90-minute anti-Hillary Clinton documentary in theaters in 2008, and then wanted to make it available in voters’ homes as a video-on-demand. It was that that eventually resulted in the landmark campaign finance decision.
[Kristina Rasmussen, the President of Illinois Policy Action] says she believes this is the first time a political documentary like this has been done on the state level.
Already, she says people are pitching ideas for future documentaries.
* The Question: Your pick for the next “documentary” subject?
The death of a Mount Prospect mother of five who was struck and killed by an SUV while riding her bike in a local crosswalk is prompting the Illinois Secretary of State’s Office to add a new entry to the 2017 publication of the official “Rules of the Road.”
While the entry has yet to be written, it will explain to drivers that when the crosswalk signal is activated and the lights are flashing, they need to stop until pedestrians and bicyclists have safely crossed the road.
Joni Beaudry, 55, was hit on June 9 while riding her bike at Central Road and Weller Lane. In the wake of Beaudry’s death, some Mount Prospect residents have alleged the new crosswalk signal being used in Illinois and across the U.S. is confusing and dangerous.
That prompted one state representative to seek its inclusion in the free “Rules of the Road” manual, generally used by driver’s education students or those studying for an Illinois driver’s license. It is available in print and online.
Dave Drucker, a spokesman for the Illinois Secretary of State’s office, confirmed the new entry for 2017 and says the office is grateful to Illinois State Rep. David Harris for making the request for change.
Harris, who passes the crosswalk twice daily on his way to his office, said the new entry is a must for drivers to be aware of the crosswalk signal.
“I thought, ‘my gosh.how are drivers supposed to know about it?’” Harris said.
Since the death of Mount Prospect resident Joni Beaudry, 55, on June 9, residents of the area have found the current crosswalk signal to be confusing and argued it’s dangerous and should be removed.
Shaun Dawson, AFSCME Local 2073 president for Logan Correctional Center, said that an average of 24 assaults on employees take place there each month and that some have resulted in employee hospitalization and long-term injuries.
Logan has a total population of 1,808 female inmates at minimum-, medium- and maximum-security levels.
The union claims that 340 attacks have taken place there in the last 20 months and that those incidents make the prison the second-most-dangerous corrections institution in the state. They attribute the violence to an increased number of inmates with severe mental illnesses housed there.
Correctional officer Chelsea Wilshusen, 25, of Springfield said that she has seen issues with inmate behavior worsen in the course of her two years at the prison. […]
Wilshusen added that disciplinary tickets issued in incidents involving inappropriate inmate behavior have often “disappeared” without resulting in corrective action.
The Department of Corrections denies claims that staff assaults aren’t taken seriously.
* A new AFSCME ad that I’ve seen on social media features an injured DoC employee talking about the problems at prisons and how inmates attacked her…
That video has over 200,000 views, and as we’ve discussed before, YouTube is far more reliable about tracking its video views than Facebook.
*** UPDATE *** Provided on background by IDoC…
· The IDOC has graduated 1,536 new cadets since Governor Rauner entered office. There are an additional 135 in the Academy right now.
· The IDOC has hired 53 additional security staff and 20 additional mental health professionals at Logan CC since October 2015.
· When you account for attrition, from September 2015 to September 2016, the IDOC full time employee count is UP by 185 employees; and UP by 40 employees at Logan CC.
· While the staffing numbers are going up, the IDOC offender population is decreasing. There were 48,214 on January 12, 2015, the day Governor Rauner was sworn in. The offender population as of yesterday, October 17th, 2016 was 44,126.
· As for Alanea’s story, in the ad, please refer to the attached memo, which explains what prompted the staff assault at Pontiac CC, which she is referring to. It is protocol for staff to leave the shakedown slip on the offender’s bed when they remove contraband from his or her cell. This particular lieutenant decided to hand the offender his shakedown slips, identifying the items that were removed from his cell, face-to-face, while he was unrestrained.
* Steve Daniels at Crain’s takes a look at ComEd’s highly controversial proposal to charge consumers based on high-demand usage…
ComEd and parent Exelon are hoping for passage next month of wide-ranging energy legislation that would include ComEd’s new delivery-rate system, as well as subsidies for two Exelon-owned nuclear plants that it otherwise will close, and a host of environmental provisions.
That measure has been the subject of behind-the-scenes talks between the power industry, consumer groups, environmental groups and renewable-energy developers. A compromise bill hasn’t yet surfaced.
“The burden will be even greater if you live paycheck to paycheck or on a fixed income,” the letter said. “A single hour’s careless electricity use can cause an unexpected bill spike that puts energy or other essential expenditures out of reach.”
In an interview, ComEd Senior Vice President Val Jensen said the utility is negotiating with consumer groups and others on changes that should prevent many consumers from seeing unanticipated monthly spikes in their electric bills. As proposed, the measure would set delivery charges based on a household’s usage during the highest-demand day of the previous month. ComEd has agreed to set rates based on a household’s average usage during the highest-demand hours of business days over the previous month, he said.
The new system should result in lower rates for nearly 80 percent of low-income customers in ComEd’s territory, even if they do nothing at all, Jensen said. That, of course, leaves more than 20 percent who would see higher rates—not a small percentage.
And therein lies the political problem. Such a dramatic change by definition creates winners and losers, and lawmakers (along with the utility) will be the ones whom the losers blame for their higher bills. […]
So how can consumers keep their bills low if their rates aren’t set based on how much juice they consume in a month?
They must take greater care to use fewer appliances and devices that run on electricity when the weather is really hot or really cold during the day, he said. For example, it would be wise not to wash clothes or run dishwashers or leave lights on while air conditioners are running in the middle of the day.
I gotta figure that people will really hate this idea.
* Related…
* Nuclear Power: What it means in Illinois: NPRE and the American Federation of Labor and Congress of Industrial Organizations, North America’s Building Trades Unions, are co-sponsoring the informational forum, Nuclear Power: What it means in Illinois, to be held Tuesday, October 18, 2016, in Chicago’s Bilandic Building. A host of national policy leaders will outline the sustainability and economic impacts of nuclear energy in the state, particularly in light of recent proposed closures of Illinois-based nuclear generation plants. Viewing of the event as it takes place will be made possible through a live webcast. The forum is partially suppported by the NSF PIRE: “Nuclear Energy Systems and Materials under Extreme Conditions.”
Today, Democrat Brad Schneider released a new television advertisement featuring and narrated by Barack Obama.
Speaking straight into the camera, Obama reminds viewers of the high stakes in this election and urges them to vote for Schneider to protect Medicare and Social Security, pass commonsense gun safety legislation, and protect women’s rights.
“It is a true honor to have the support of Barack Obama and I am incredibly grateful for his help communicating our message,” said Schneider. “From equality to expanding healthcare, I am committed to protecting the progress we have made over the last eight years, and I look forward to working with Hillary Clinton to build on Obama’s legacy by finally passing comprehensive immigration reform and commonsense gun safety legislation.”
The ad begins airing widely this week on broadcast television and online.
Barack Obama: This is not your typical election. It’s not just a choice between parties or policies. It’s about who we are as a people.
Vote for Brad Schneider and the Democrats. So we can keep America’s promise to our seniors. Protect our kids and our cops from gun violence. And preserve a woman’s right to choose.
Join me. Reject cynicism and fear. Reach for what we know is possible. Support Brad Schneider and the Democrats.
* Gov. Rauner was asked by a social services provider yesterday what will happen when the stopgap budget expires…
First, the governor repeated his long-standing pledge that “what I won’t do is raise taxes and have no reforms and no changes. I won’t do it.”
Then he pushed back on what he called “spin . . . that I’m heartless, I don’t care about the most vulnerable.”
“Baloney,” Rauner said. “Many, many of the agencies that have been hurt, including my wife’s work, I personally have donated, I’m a huge supporter, huge advocate. I don’t want to cut your service. I’m just trying to bring some principle and some discipline to the process.”
Next, Rauner said he had offered up a number of reform ideas and was looking for agreement on some combination of those ideas in exchange for a broader budget deal.
“Pick your reforms. I would do it for just a few. How about term limits and fair maps and workers’ comp reform?” Rauner asked. “Pick two or three. I’ve laid out 15. Pick any of them. But let’s pick something.”
Incumbent State Rep. Peter Breen, R-Lombard, didn’t seem eager to talk about Trump.
“I have not gotten involved in this presidential election,” Breen told the crowd. “I’ve really stuck to more of my local races. I usually only endorse when I can make a difference in the race and when I know the folks.”
The question also came up in the state senate race in DuPage County, in which Republican Seth Lewis is challenging incumbent State Sen. Tom Cullerton, D-Villa Park. Lewis had a similar answer to Breen.
“I believe our state problems are far different than our national problems, so I’m just going to refrain and say I’m focused on Illinois and becoming our next elected state senator here in Illinois,” Lewis said.
President Obama won DuPage in 2008 and 2012, and Trump likely isn’t going to outperform the two previous candidates. But because Trump’s been doing his best Charlie Sheen impersonation lately, candidates are asked about the top of the ticket far more than they were during the last two cycles.
And, as Tony points out, it’s not an easy question for GOP incumbents and candidates (and the governor) because some of Trump’s fiercest supporters could turn against anybody on the ballot who won’t get in line and because some Republicans just don’t like the man.
* This seems like a reasonable move by the clinic, considering the position it’s been put in by this impasse…
Several thousand Springfield Clinic patients who are insured through the state’s health plans will be asked to pay hundreds of dollars in co-payments, deductibles and other out-of-pocket costs that the clinic hadn’t tried to collect the past 1½ years.
The clinic normally waits to bill patients their share of the total cost after it receives payment for the majority of the cost from the State Employee Group Insurance Program.
But with payments for certain plans at a virtual standstill during the ongoing state budget crisis, and with Springfield Clinic owed a $68 million, the clinic has decided to ask patients to pay their share of bills regardless of whether the state’s share has been paid.
The clinic’s requests for payment will apply to medical services provided from this point forward, as well as for Springfield Clinic claims that have remained unpaid by the state for the past 12 to 18 months, according to a letter the clinic sent to about 5,000 patients last week.
As Democrats aim to capitalize on this year’s Republican turmoil and start building back their own decimated bench, former Attorney General Eric Holder will chair a new umbrella group focused on redistricting reform — with the aim of taking on the gerrymandering that’s left the party behind in statehouses and made winning a House majority far more difficult.
The new group, called the National Democratic Redistricting Committee, was developed in close consultation with the White House. President Barack Obama himself has now identified the group — which will coordinate campaign strategy, direct fundraising, organize ballot initiatives and put together legal challenges to state redistricting maps — as the main focus of his political activity once he leaves office.
Though initial plans to be active in this year’s elections fell short, the group has been incorporated as a 527, with Democratic Governors Association executive director Elisabeth Pearson as its president and House Majority PAC executive director Ali Lapp as its vice president. They’ve been pitching donors and aiming to put together its first phase action plan for December, moving first in the Virginia and New Jersey state elections next year and with an eye toward coordination across gubernatorial, state legislative and House races going into the 2018 midterms.
“American voters deserve fair maps that represent our diverse communities — and we need a coordinated strategy to make that happen,” Holder said. “This unprecedented new effort will ensure Democrats have a seat at the table to create fairer maps after 2020.”
What epitomized that swagger? All of us old enough to recall know the answer: The prescient “Super Bowl Shuffle” was released three months before the Bears walloped the New England Patriots 46-10 in the Superdome. Walter Payton, Jim McMahon and the other Shufflers rapped, and while they lacked Snoop Dogg’s vibe, they had enough groove to make it to No. 41 on Billboard’s top singles chart.
The Cubs, now entering the National League Championship Series with the Los Angeles Dodgers, also have been doing more than just winning — and winning a lot. There’s a style to their triumph. It’s buoyant confidence, of course, and the team’s talent justifies that confidence. But it’s also a playfulness that reminds us that the game should never be only about signing bonuses and eight-digit salaries. Manager Joe Maddon’s mantra says it all: “Never let the pressure exceed the pleasure.” The Cubs have carved out an identity that makes us forget about the goat and the fan and the black cat.
If there’s something missing in the Cubs’ swagger, it’s a song that, like the Shuffle, predestines winning it all. It’s not too late, Chicago lyricists. And why not a dance as well? “The World Series Dab?” “The Fall Classic Nae Nae?”
After imposing more than $1.1 billion in new taxes last year, Emanuel apparently has decided not to push the limits of the public’s patience any further. His negotiators largely caved to the Chicago Teachers Union, particularly on the mayor’s previous insistence that teachers contribute more to their pensions. Sources involved in the negotiations tell Crain’s political columnist Greg Hinz that CPS teacher costs over the four years covered in the tentative contract will rise 3.7 percent—twice the 1.75 percent hike proposed in the deal teachers rejected early this year.
Meanwhile, Emanuel’s $3.72 billion budget proposal draws down $175 million in cash from the city’s tax-increment financing kitty, a far bigger diversion than the mayor has allowed in recent years. That drawdown represents almost 40 percent of the $460 million the city is taking in from all TIF districts this year.
Emanuel is dipping into the same TIF honeypot that his predecessor, Richard M. Daley, liked to raid when he needed fast dough. The trouble is, TIF funds exist for a reason: to finance needed infrastructure and neighborhood improvements. And yet, time and again, TIF proceeds are treated like a convenient mayoral rainy-day fund, a place to look for extra money when tougher choices prove politically unpalatable.
With that TIF money in hand, Emanuel’s CPS team didn’t have to really squeeze teachers. And with that TIF money in hand, Emanuel didn’t have to force Chicagoans to face facts: Our government still costs more than it brings in.
The mayor may have rehabilitated his re-election prospects, but Chicago’s financial rehabilitation remains very much incomplete.
Governor Bruce Rauner today announced a comprehensive plan to promote economic growth and job creation by cutting the red tape in Illinois. He signed Executive Order 16-13 to review all agency rules and regulations by the newly-created Illinois Competiveness Council.
“For years, Illinois has added layers and layers of burdensome rules and regulations to a never-ending bureaucracy,” Governor Rauner said. “It’s an endless line of red tape that creates a barrier for small businesses and entrepreneurs. By cutting the red tape, we are creating an environment where they can succeed.”
The Illinois Competitiveness Council will be comprised of a representative of each of Illinois’ regulatory state agencies. Its goal is to save Illinoisans at least $250 million in direct license fee costs over the next decade, and save Illinois taxpayers and business owners at least 4 million pages in paperwork. It will work to ensure current regulations are up to date and relevant to today’s industries and practices; ensure the language in rules are easy to understand; reduce the amount of unduly burdensome requirements on businesses, social service providers, and citizens through both time and cost; and ensure there is a clear need for the regulation.
“Illinois is currently a patchwork of duplicative, contradictory and outdated regulations,” said U-Jung Choe, Chairwoman of the Illinois Competitive Council. “The Illinois Competitiveness Council will take an all-encompassing look at the state’s policies, rules and regulations to cultivate an atmosphere that makes it easier for small businesses and entrepreneurs to grow and flourish.”
In addition, the Illinois Competitiveness Council will look for recommendations to improve Illinois’ licensing environment to promote job growth and job creation. Currently, the Illinois Department of Financial and Professional Regulation (IDFPR) has more than a million active licenses in more than 200 license categories, however for nearly a third, IDFPR has issued fewer than 100 licenses. The growth of these licenses has increased 184 percent in the last 20 years.
“Clearing out red tape liberates everyone — teachers, doctors, small businesses, and public servants,” said Philip Howard, founder of the Common Good, a nonpartisan reform coalition. “It’s hard to compete in a fast-moving world when hacking through a bureaucratic jungle. Modernizing regulation will make government better and Illinois more competitive.”
Kentucky, Indiana, Colorado, and Massachusetts have all successfully reviewed their rules and cut red tape to give their citizens a more competitive advantage over Illinois citizens. Burdensome and unnecessary regulations, policies and licensing requirements disproportionately impact small businesses, particularly minority-owned businesses.
In order to have the greatest impact, the Illinois Competitiveness Council is seeking input from the public on which rules and regulations are the biggest hindrance to people and businesses. Anyone can submit feedback to cut the red tape at www.illinois.gov/cut.
Illinois may demonstrate that the current process of partisans drawing districts produces uncompetitive elections.
Of Illinois’ 18 congressional districts, only the 10th is certain to be competitive. In that North Shore district, Republican incumbent Robert Dold faces Democrat Brad Schneider for the third consecutive time. The candidates have alternated electoral victories since 2012.
Democrat Tammy Duckworth vacated her seat to run for U.S. Senate, making the 8th district the only open seat in the state. Although an open seat theoretically could be competitive, the northwest Chicago district still leans Democratic. According to the latest reports at OpenSecrets.org, Democrat Raja Krishnamoorthi is outspending Republican Pete DiCianni nearly 100 to 1.
Four districts feature candidates running unopposed. Democrats held a monopoly drawing districts after the 2010 U.S. Census. However, two of those districts are held by the GOP. Republican John Shimkus, for instance, is running unopposed and his seat covers one of the larger geographic areas in the country.
Um, actually the Republicans currently hold two congressional seats that were drawn for Democrats (Rodney Davis and Mike Bost). So, it can be done.
And those four unopposed incumbents are Lipinski, Gutierrez, Shimkus and Kinzinger.
* Most politicians would run away from this idea so fast you’d miss it if you blinked. One mistake and, poof, there goes the career. So, kudos to Sheriff Dart for asking for this authority…
Cook County Sheriff Tom Dart plans to push for legislation allowing his office to seek lower bails for financially strapped detainees.
State Rep. La Shawn Ford, D-Chicago, says he’ll work to amend Illinois law to add the sheriff’s office to the list of parties that can seek a reduction in bail — which already includes prosecutors and defense attorneys. […]
Ford called the current bail system unfair because those with access to money can post the necessary bond to go free while awaiting trial but indigent people can’t.
He said he thinks the courts should support the legislation because “it still leaves it up to the discretion of the judges.”
Cara Smith, the sheriff’s policy chief, said 1,024 “turnarounds” were held in the jail last year — people who’d spent so much time in custody that, once they were sentenced to state prison, they already had served every day of their prison sentence. In fact, on average, they each served 2½ months of extra time, according to Smith. Most of them had been jailed for nonviolent crimes.
Caterpillar said Monday that CEO and Chairman Doug Oberhelman will retire from the company next year and will be replaced as CEO by Jim Umpleby, an executive who has worked at the construction and mining equipment company for more than three decades. […]
Caterpillar has been dealing with falling sales because its customers have been hurt by falling oil prices and slower economic growth around the world, causing them to buy less equipment from Caterpillar.
* The Wall St. Journal has amounts to a career obituary today. The title is “How Caterpillar’s Big Bet Backfired” and it’s not all that kind…
Doug Oberhelman spent his first years as Caterpillar Inc.’s chief executive plowing billions of dollars into factories to build more of its familiar yellow machines and move the company deeper into mining equipment.
It was a bold bet, spectacularly mistimed. On Monday, Mr. Oberhelman announced plans to step down as chief executive by year’s end.
In 2010, when he took charge, the world was gripped by a global commodities boom, along with strong postrecession demand from developing markets and the energy industry. The world was ordering excavators and bulldozers and giant dump trucks at a rapid clip.
Mr. Oberhelman bet he could grab an outsize share if he could just make more equipment. He spent almost $10 billion world-wide on plants and equipment from 2010 through 2013.
* From the West Central Mass Transit District’s website…
The West Central Mass Transit District announced today that all of its transportation services in the six county area including Morgan, Scott, Cass, Schuyler, Brown and Pike will be suspended as of the end of the business on Saturday, October 15, 2016. Suspension of services comes after the notification by the Illinois Comptroller’s office that State Grant fund payments will not be made before December 2016. Public transportation services will not be reinstated until such time that funds owed to the system by the State of Illinois Department of Transportation are received. West Central Mass Transit District is awaiting payment of two IDOT approved requisitions currently at the Comptroller’s office totaling $696,620.00.
All 57 employees of the district have been issued layoff notices effective at the end of business Saturday, said executive director R. Jean Jumper.
Jumper said the agency is owed over $696,000 from downstate transportation grants for the first two quarters of the fiscal year that started July 1. The Jacksonville-based agency also gets some federal money, but that hasn’t arrived either because the Illinois Department of Transportation hasn’t processed contracts that would allow the district to collect the money, Jumper said. […]
Money for the grant comes from a portion of the state sales tax, part of the state’s general revenue fund that is stretched beyond its limits trying to cover all of the state’s bills. […]
The district serves Morgan, Scott, Cass, Schuyler, Brown and Pike counties. It is a demand-and-response district where riders call for appointments to receive transportation. Jumper said the district provides 190,000 to 200,000 trips a year.
I happen to know somebody who relies on that particular service. She’s an elderly woman who had a massive stroke and her wheelchair won’t fit into her daughter’s car, so she is reliant on the transit district for rides to her doctor appointments.
* As I told subscribers today, this is a growing issue all over the state. 53 Downstate transit systems are owed a combined $156 million. But instead of doing some triage and preventing the most vulnerable systems from shutting down, the comptroller is taking a hands-off approach…
Connect Transit [which serves the Bloomington-Normal area] is one of many transit systems, especially downstate, facing major budget issues because the state is behind on payments to them. Rural provider Show Bus, which serves seven Central Illinois counties, including McLean, DeWitt, Ford and Livingston, also is in danger of suspending service, at an undetermined date.
Rich Carter, a spokesman for Comptroller Leslie Munger, said transit payments are behind due to the state’s ongoing general fund bill backlog, currently $9.3 billion, and low revenue, especially in October and November.
“Payments right now are averaging about four months in arrears,” he said.
Downstate transportation money is generated by state sales tax that flows into the general fund. It’s then transferred to a fund specifically for transportation, but that transfer is overdue.
Transit systems are expected to be paid quarterly, but Connect Transit and Show Bus weren’t paid in July or October. Both draw about two-thirds of their total revenue from the state.
If they’re four months behind, those July payments should’ve arrived already. But they haven’t. In fact, it’s been far longer than four months.
The River Valley Metro bus system will provide its last ride Nov. 18 if the Illinois comptroller’s office doesn’t release the badly-needed sales tax revenue dedicated to the downstate transportation fund.
An estimated 2,643 rides are provided through the 12-daily routes and two-commuter routes the system maintains each day of the week.
Of the district’s $7 million general budget, more than 65 percent of it comes from the state.
The state has been holding back sales tax money since January, said Rob Hoffmann, River Valley Metro director. In all, the state owes the downstate public transportation system — which includes all the systems outside of the Regional Transportation Authority boundary — about $135 million.
River Valley alone is owed about $3.7 million, said Ken Munjoy, Metro’s general manager. About $2.3 million of that total is from the 2016 fiscal year.
Lots of people depend on that transit system to get them to the nearest Metra stop several miles north of Kankakee.
The bus system says it will be out of cash by Thanksgiving. The district filed a lawsuit Thursday in the Kankakee County Circuit Court against the state seeking operating money. […]
“The money is simply not available. The only way to stop this free fall is to pass a balanced budget that provides funding to make these payments,” [Rich Carter, spokesman for Illinois Comptroller Leslie Munger] said.
C’mon. You’re telling me there aren’t a few bucks in the couch cushions to keep some of the more vulnerable systems alive for a couple of months?
*** UPDATE 1 *** Apparently, the system currently requires the comptroller to do an “all or nothing” payment to those Downstate transit systems. IDOT can’t break up the vouchers into smaller amounts to keep some of these systems afloat.
This should’ve been addressed in the stopgap legislation. It wasn’t and so here we are. Instead of being on the verge of starving, the hostages just die - or lapse into a coma until December when sales tax money spikes up again.
We need some more revenue, people.
*** UPDATE 2 *** From the comptroller’s office…
Rich,
The months of October and November are very weak revenue months. Our high priority expenditures such as debt service, schools, payroll, foster care, child care, pensions etc. utilize all of the revenue in these weak months and leave us no room to pay anything else. The last time we transferred money into the Downstate Public Transportation Fund was on June 21st and that transfer enabled us to pay all vouchers from that fund. The oldest voucher currently in the Downstate Public Transportation Fund is August 8th which is a little more than two months behind.
The biggest individual Democratic donors in Illinois have joined with pro-Democratic unions to pump jumbo dollars into a new super PAC to punch at Republican Gov. Bruce Rauner, the Chicago Sun-Times has learned.
The latest Federal Election Commission filings show $2,316,863 has been spent since Oct. 11 on an ad blitz to oppose Rauner by strongly linking him to GOP presidential nominee Donald Trump. […]
According to the first LIFT donor FEC filing, disclosed on Saturday, the first wave of union donors are: the Fight Back Fund, $262,500; the International Association of Fire Fighters, $60,000; Ironworkers Political Education Fund, $50,000; International Union of Operating Engineers Local 399, $40,000; SEIU HealthCare Illinois, $3,000; and United Food and Commercial Workers Local 881, $30,000. […]
Those publically disclosed donations total $470,500 — yet FEC expenditure records show $1.032 million in ad spending reported on Oct. 11 and an additional $1.284 million in spending on Oct. 14.
The Sun-Times has learned that the additional funders include four of the major donors and fundraisers in Illinois: Fred Eychaner, Michael Sacks, J.B. Pritzker and Bill Brandt. Eychaner and Pritzker are among the biggest donors to Democratic candidates and causes in the nation.
Most Illinois voters say they have a favorable overall opinion of labor unions, but their policy preferences are less like those of union leadership, according to the results of the latest poll from the Paul Simon Public Policy Institute at Southern Illinois University Carbondale.
Among the 1,000 Illinois registered voters surveyed, more than half (57 percent) say they have at least a somewhat favorable view of labor unions, more than 20 points ahead of the 36 percent who have an unfavorable view.
However, voters are split on how much influence they would like unions to have – 30 percent support them having more influence, 29 percent think unions should maintain the influence they have, and 36 percent wish they had less influence.
The survey was conducted Sept. 27-Oct 2. It has a margin for error of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points.
Wages and benefits for public sector unions have been an issue in Springfield, with Governor Bruce Rauner blaming them in part for the state’s budget deficit. He has also advocated for workers to be able to opt-out of paying unions for the work they do negotiating in the private and public sectors. Unions have said the wages and benefits they negotiate strengthen the state’s middle class. They also say even workers who don’t belong to a union should pay their fair share of the costs the union incurs representing and bargaining for non-members.
Self-described liberals (75 percent), Democrats (73 percent), and members of union households (75 percent) were most likely to have favorable views of unions. Only among conservatives and Republicans (37 percent each group) did fewer than half hold a favorable view.
Historically marginalized groups tend to desire that unions have more influence than they do today. Notably, 49 percent of African Americans want unions to have more influence compared to only 26 percent of whites.
Similarly, 40 percent of people with household incomes below $50,000 would like to see unions have more influence compared to only 24 percent of those with incomes over $100,000.
* But then we get to this…
Asked about their positions on right-to-work or “open shop” laws, respondents favored them by two-to-one, 48 percent to 24 percent. Notably, more than a quarter (28 percent) answered “other/don’t know,” suggesting a significant portion of the electorate is ambivalent or uninformed on the issue.
Most likely to favor right-to-work were conservatives and Republicans (64 percent and 63 percent, respectively). Most likely to oppose it were liberals and Democrats (36 percent and 32 percent), and members of labor union households (38 percent).
However, opinion shifted when interviewers explained “fair share” laws. Respondents were asked to choose between two statements: “When everyone in the workplace shares the gains won by the labor union, all workers should have to contribute to the union’s costs for negotiating those gains” or “No American should be required to pay dues to a private organization like a labor union against their will.”
There were 50 percent who supported the right to work description and 44 percent backing the fair share statement. Only 4 percent said they “don’t know.”
The fair-share position was most strongly favored by liberals and Democrats (61 percent and 55 percent), African Americans (52 percent), those in households earning less than $50,000 per year (51 percent), and members of union households (55 percent). Conservatives and Republicans (65 percent and 67 percent) were most likely to favor the right to work position.
“The disconnect between Illinoisans’ favorable view of unions, and preferences for policies the unions dislike is interesting,” said Charlie Leonard, a visiting professor at the Institute and one of the designers of the poll. “I think this has to be in part because declining membership in unions leaves fewer people with the experience of the gains they’ve won for workers. And opposition to union influence has been a drumbeat message from business groups and Chamber of Commerce organizations.”
That’s part of it. But part of it is also the way the questions were asked. “Do you favor or oppose right-to-work or open-shop laws?” may seem straightforward, but do people really know what that means? Perhaps a differently phrased question next time?
* Also, this seems overly broad…
· When everyone in the workplace shares the gains won by the labor union, all workers should have to contribute to the union’s costs for negotiating those gains OR
· No American should be required to pay dues to a private organization like a labor union against their will.
* Mary Ann Ahern caught up to Speaker Madigan, who talked briefly about the negative attacks against him, Donald Trump, Gov. Rauner and last week’s Wikileaks-based report on moving the primary…
Many years ago, I asked House Speaker Michael Madigan why he didn’t play golf during his campaign golf outing fundraisers.
Madigan explained that he was a lousy golfer. He said he had this reputation of being a powerful man, so if political types saw him out there pathetically hacking away, people might start to get the idea that he wasn’t so formidable after all.
I use that story in a lot of my public speeches because it perfectly shows
Presidential candidates set the turnout. That’s the race voters care about the most by far, so everybody else who’s running down-ballot essentially has to work within the structure of that year’s presidential turnout numbers.
Some organizations can fiddle around with the margins here and there and get some voters out who might not have bothered voting, but down-ballot candidates mainly have to find a way to win with the hand they are dealt by the top of the ticket. So, if one presidential candidate crashes and burns, that’s almost always the ballgame.
That’s just something to keep in mind while watching top Republicans abandon their presidential nominee Donald Trump after that ghastly “hot mic” tape surfaced and he, in turn, lashed out at those turncoat Republicans and promised a nuclear attack on the Democratic nominee whom he has pledged to prosecute if elected.
Yes, there’s still time for Trump to get his act together. The election is still a few weeks away - usually considered an eternity in politics. But, man, just look at this mess. Miracles do happen in politics, but miracles ain’t plans.
It goes without saying that the impact of a possible implosion in Illinois will be felt the most in the suburbs where more moderate voters were less receptive to Trump’s candidacy to begin with. Rep. Sam Yingling (D-Grayslake) has been under constant, withering attack from the Republicans for months, so he could really use some help from the top.
The Democrats recently sent more than $200,000 to Cynthia Borbas’ DuPage County race against Rep. Christine Winger (R-Wood Dale). That’s about half of all the money they’ve given her since July. President Barack Obama lost the district by two points in 2012, so it’s worth watching if this weirdness at the top continues.
The Republicans maintain that their expensive and meticulously concocted plan, centered around tying Democratic candidates directly to the horribly unpopular House Speaker Michael Madigan, will get people to the polls and convince them to support Republican legislative candidates even if some of them vote for Hillary Clinton.
But the Republicans have also said for months that their plan depends on Trump not completely falling apart. He just has to run a “normal” race, which obviously isn’t happening.
It’s hard to see how this will work out well for the Republicans in the suburbs, where moderate women voters are undoubtedly appalled at what’s going on with Donald Trump.
But it’s a bit trickier in Downstate districts, where Trump has been the most popular here.
For example, just a couple of short weeks ago, Mike Mathis’ Democratic supporters were proudly pointing to the number of homes that had their guy’s yard signs planted next to Trump’s signs. Mathis is up against appointed Rep. Avery Bourne (R-Raymond) is a district just south of Springfield and has run a credible race.
trump-illinois.jpg
Photo by Bloomberg
Presidential candidates set the turnout. That’s the race voters care about the most by far, so everybody else who’s running down-ballot essentially has to work within the structure of that year’s presidential turnout numbers.
Some organizations can fiddle around with the margins here and there and get some voters out who might not have bothered voting, but down-ballot candidates mainly have to find a way to win with the hand they are dealt by the top of the ticket. So, if one presidential candidate crashes and burns, that’s almost always the ballgame.
That’s just something to keep in mind while watching top Republicans abandon their presidential nominee Donald Trump after that ghastly “hot mic” tape surfaced and he, in turn, lashed out at those turncoat Republicans and promised a nuclear attack on the Democratic nominee whom he has pledged to prosecute if elected.
-
Yes, there’s still time for Trump to get his act together. The election is still a few weeks away - usually considered an eternity in politics. But, man, just look at this mess. Miracles do happen in politics, but miracles ain’t plans.
It goes without saying that the impact of a possible implosion in Illinois will be felt the most in the suburbs where more moderate voters were less receptive to Trump’s candidacy to begin with. Rep. Sam Yingling (D-Grayslake) has been under constant, withering attack from the Republicans for months, so he could really use some help from the top.
The Democrats recently sent more than $200,000 to Cynthia Borbas’ DuPage County race against Rep. Christine Winger (R-Wood Dale). That’s about half of all the money they’ve given her since July. President Barack Obama lost the district by two points in 2012, so it’s worth watching if this weirdness at the top continues.
The Republicans maintain that their expensive and meticulously concocted plan, centered around tying Democratic candidates directly to the horribly unpopular House Speaker Michael Madigan, will get people to the polls and convince them to support Republican legislative candidates even if some of them vote for Hillary Clinton.
But the Republicans have also said for months that their plan depends on Trump not completely falling apart. He just has to run a “normal” race, which obviously isn’t happening.
It’s hard to see how this will work out well for the Republicans in the suburbs, where moderate women voters are undoubtedly appalled at what’s going on with Donald Trump.
But it’s a bit trickier in Downstate districts, where Trump has been the most popular here.
For example, just a couple of short weeks ago, Mike Mathis’ Democratic supporters were proudly pointing to the number of homes that had their guy’s yard signs planted next to Trump’s signs. Mathis is up against appointed Rep. Avery Bourne (R-Raymond) is a district just south of Springfield and has run a credible race.
The Mathis campaign’s boast about attracting Trump supporters has also happened in most every other contested Downstate district, as what remains of the Democratic blue collar white male vote surged away from Clinton to Trump. Simply put, the Democrats recognized early on that they needed those votes to win.
In Mathis’ case, President Obama lost the 95th House District by 13 points four years ago, so the only way he can defeat Rep. Bourne is with support from people who normally lean Republican.
Mathis was asked about who he was supporting for president at a candidates’ forum last week. After much hemming and hawing and complaining about how bad the choices were, he finally said, reluctantly, that he’d be voting for Hillary Clinton.
Trump has become so toxic that maybe Mathis’ position won’t hurt him too badly. Then again, lots and lots of Trump supporters believe Clinton is the Devil incarnate (I’m not kidding, do a Google search). They may not like what their guy is doing, but that won’t push them toward her.
Trump polled a mere 29 percent in a statewide Democratic poll taken the middle of last week and careened downward to an unheard-of 27 percent in a Republican tracking poll earlier last week. He bounced back to above 30 in that GOP tracker, but… oh, man that’s still bad.
To be clear, a Trump implosion will undoubtedly help Democrats. The fewer people who lean Republican who actually vote on election day or switch parties means Democratic voters will make up a greater share of the November 8th pie.
But after positioning themselves as Trump-friendly for months, Downstate Democrats now have to navigate a minefield for the next few weeks.
You’ll recall that a week ago today, Ken Griffin gave Durkin $2 million. Rauner’s Turnaround Illinois PAC busted the caps for the unopposed Durkin by spending a bit over $100,000 on a radio ad.
Songs move through time, seeking their final form. What happens on that path is only partly up to the writer, the singer, the musicians. It may be partly up to the audience hearing the songs, watching them as they are performed, with the response of the audience, even of a single member of the audience, coming back to the performers and, in ways that can be felt but never determined, reshaping the song. That is why, perhaps, it is the fact of Bob Dylan’s songs moving through time, and the way they have taken on elements of those times as they moved through them, that matters most on this interesting occasion.
Lights flicker from the opposite loft
In this room the heat pipes just cough
The country music station plays soft
But there’s nothing really nothing to turn off
Just Louise and her lover so entwined
And these visions of Johanna that conquer my mind
* Rep. Kate Cloonen (D-Kankakee) is one of the House Democrats whacking her opponent for wanting cuts in Social Security and Medicare. Politifact made the obvious ruling here…
In a campaign ad posted on Facebook, Cloonen said, “Lindsay Parkhurst wants to take away programs like Social Security and Medicare that seniors have earned throughout their lifetimes.”
With Social Security and Medicare being federal programs, state lawmakers have no say in setting benefit levels for these programs.
Additionally, Parkhurst has not previously held elected office and therefore has no public voting record on Social Security or Medicare. Nor has she talked about her position on Medicare or Social Security benefits in her campaign.
Ironically, Parkhurst is a defense attorney whose law firm has helped clients obtain Social Security disability benefits. She believes both Social Security and Medicare are part of a contract the federal government must honor.
Cloonen’s campaign did not respond to multiple emails and messages for comment, and the articles cited in the ad contain no mention of Parkhurst.
There is no evidence to back Cloonen’s claim, nor can we find any statement or action by Parkhurst that would have, even indirectly, elicited it.
We rate Cloonen’s claim Pants on Fire.
The Democrats have been doing this for years and they’ve always gotten away with it.
* You may have noticed that the Chicago Sun-Times endorsed Comptroller Leslie Munger this week. An excerpt…
Ask Munger what she thinks about Rauner’s agenda of pro-business reforms and she’ll tell you she likes it. But, unlike the governor, she has never argued those reforms should be a condition of passing a budget.
During remarks to the press and social service leaders, Munger repeated Rauner’s familiar refrain on the budget issue and how to solve it.
“We need to ask the governor and the General Assembly to get a balanced budget in place. I cannot emphasize (enough) the importance of the word ‘balanced,’” she said. “(It) must include some reforms. … We have very high cost for businesses and send businesses and jobs out of state.”
The bottom line is, the governor isn’t ever going to agree to a “balanced” budget (meaning new revenues) until he gets some of his reforms. And Munger has never once to my knowledge urged the governor to set aside those economic demands and work out a budget deal.
The cost of the proposed teachers’ contract with the city’s public school system amounts to about $8.9 billion over four years — a deal that would cost taxpayers at least $100 million more than the one teachers rejected in January, the Chicago Sun-Times has learned.
“I would say this deal has about $100 million more in it,” said Robert Bloch, a longtime attorney for the Chicago Teachers Union who was at the bargaining table late Monday when a strike was averted minutes before a midnight deadline.
The additional cost of the four-year contract proposal compared to the previous offer might even go beyond that, Bloch noted, saying the Chicago Public Schools’ “finances are so opaque, it’s hard to know exactly what they’re spending, what the cost is. […]
Questioned by the Sun-Times about the potential for the new contract to cost more than the one the teachers rejected in January, a mayoral confidant confirmed there would be an increase but contextualized it as relatively small given that the four-year deal would cost about $8.9 billion — or about $2.2 billion a year.
That is relatively small, but since Bloch is right about the opaqueness of CPS finances, we may never really know for sure.
And, by the way, the $100 million figure is just about the size of the district’s pension pickup, which the union mostly maintained in its new contract.
They also have spurred questions over whether or not the [TIF surplus] revenue represents a non-recurring revenue stream that can’t be counted annually to cover an annual operating expense, a position Emanuel seemed to previously back in statements.
That position has now changed.
“I don’t see TIF surplus at this stage as a one-time revenue,” city budget director Alexandra Holt said when asked about the issue during a meeting with Crain’s Chicago Business’ editorial board. “I see it as an ongoing revenue.”
Much of the surplus funding being freed up comes from frozen, canceled, and expiring TIFs as well as the “declared” amount.
Holt projected that surpluses will be available for well over a decade, and therefore should not be considered a so-called one-shot.
Chicago Public Schools CEO Forrest Claypool is “unfit” to lead the district, Chicago Teachers Union Vice President Jesse Sharkey told DNAinfo Chicago Thursday.
Three days after the teachers union reached a tentative agreement on a new contract with the district, Sharkey, the union’s second in command, said Claypool had “run the system off the edge of a cliff.”
“He is unfit to be CEO,” Sharkey said. “He has earned the contempt of teachers and parents across the city” by threatening mass layoffs and deep program cuts to schools.
Sharkey, however, stopped short of calling for Claypool’s ouster.
The Illinois Executive Mansion will close to public tours in January for what is expected to be a year-and-a-half restoration project.
Gov. Bruce Rauner and and his wife, Diana Rauner, plan to live at the Director’s House on the Illinois State Fairgrounds during the work, according to an announcement from the governor’s office Thursday. A separate announcement from the Illinois Executive Mansion Association said Springfield contractor O’Shea Builders had been selected as managing contractor for the restoration.
Diana Rauner is leading a private fundraising campaign to pay for the estimated $15 million cost of the work. The mansion association had raised $4.5 million as of July.
“When it reopens, the Illinois Executive Mansion will feature art exhibits that showcase Illinois artists, and an educational visitors center for school groups, along with some much needed updating,” Diana Rauner said in a statement.
* A pic of the director’s house on the fairgrounds…
Rauners to live at fairgrounds during Executive Mansion closure - News - The State Journal-Register - https://t.co/2wOtIUjtVn
* Earlier today, we talked about how Democratic House candidate Tony DelGiorno said “I have no intention to at this point in time” of voting for Michael Madigan for Speaker if he’s elected.”
“My district does not like the leadership of Speaker Madigan,” DelGiorno added.
* Well, GOP Rep. Sara Jimenez has a new TV ad that features audio of DelGiorno praising Madigan and pledging his vote…
* Script…
ANNOUNCER: On the Sangamon County Board, Tony DelGiorno doesn’t fit in. DelGiorno cast the only vote against a bipartisan balanced budget, denying critical funds for infrastructure, law enforcement, even veterans, while blocking a balanced budget. No wonder DelGiorno’s running for state Representative as Mike Madigan’s candidate.
DELGIORNO: “I admire the leadership that Speaker Madigan has. That means I’m voting for Madigan.”
ANNOUNCER: Tony DelGiorno, he’s for Madigan, not Sangamon County.
Those quotes were obviously from two different audio sources, but still.
* You use what works in campaigns, so, apparently, the Republicans tying Gov. Bruce Rauner around Democratic Sen. Gary Forby’s neck is something they think will work…
LOL on @ILAFLCIO call it's mentioned @ilgop put out mail saying that Gary Forby supports @GovRauner to drive down support in #Union homes.
* I’ve been surprised at the number of people who think Bob Dylan didn’t deserve his Nobel Prize for Literature. But here’s Rolling Stone’s take…
This is easily the most controversial award since they gave it to the guy who wrote Lord of the Flies, which was controversial only because it came next after the immensely popular 1982 prize for Gabriel García Márquez. Nobody can read the minds of the Nobel committee – it’s not that kind of award. You can’t argue that Dylan jumped the line in front of more deserving candidates, because there’s no internal logic to the process. Like most literary Nobels, except much more so, it comes out of the blue, giving Dylan fans a whole new glorious enigma to battle over. So settle in. This argument will take us years. If you’re looking to get silly, you better go back to from where you came.
According to the Swedish Academy, Dylan won “for having created new poetic expressions within the great American song tradition.” Of course it’s not poetry, not even sung poetry. It’s songwriting, it’s storytelling, it’s electric noise, it’s a bard exploiting the new-media inventions of his time (amplifiers, microphones, recording studios, radio) for literary performance the way playwrights or screenwriters once did…. He won for inventing ways to make songs do what they hadn’t done before.
The best argument for Dylan’s Nobel Prize comes from Ralph Waldo Emerson, even though he died a century before Shot of Love. His 1850 essay “Shakespeare; or the Poet,” from the book Representative Men, works as a cheat sheet to Dylan. For Emerson, Shakespeare’s greatness was to exploit the freedoms of a disreputable format, the theater: “Shakespeare, in common with his comrades, esteemed the mass of old plays, waste stock, in which any experiment could be freely tried. Had the prestige which hedges about a modern tragedy existed, nothing could have been done. The rude warm blood of the living England circulated in the play, as in street-ballads.”
This is a key point – Shakespeare was a writer/actor/manager hustling in the commercial theater racket for live crowds. He didn’t publish his plays – didn’t even keep written copies. Once it was onstage, he was on to the next one. (After his death, his friends had to cobble the First Folio together, mostly from working scripts, hence the deplorable state of his texts.) Low prestige meant constant forward motion. The theater was becoming a national passion, “but not a whit less considerable, because it was cheap.” He aimed his poetry at the groundlings: “It must even go into the world’s history, that the best poet led an obscure and profane life, using his genius for the public amusement.”
Dylan didn’t write many books either – his songs came out of that same “rude warm blood.” He makes sure you can’t reduce his songs to their verbal content
Today, about 11.5 percent of men between the ages of 24-54 are neither employed nor looking for a job [up from 3.3 percent in 1948]. Economists say that these people are “out of the labor force” — and they don’t figure into statistics like the unemployment rate. […]
In a recently released draft of his paper, which he will present at a Federal Reserve conference in Boston on Friday, [Princeton professor Alan Krueger, a former chief economist at the Department of Labor and former chairman of Obama’s Council of Economic Advisers] finds that 44 percent of male, prime-age labor force dropouts say they took pain medication the day prior — which is more than twice the rate reported by employed men. […]
In a follow-up survey focusing on these male labor-force dropouts, Krueger found that these were serious habits. About two-thirds of the people taking pain medication were using prescription drugs, not over-the-counter remedies like Tylenol or aspirin. […]
About 20 percent of these men say they have difficulty walking or climbing stairs; about 16 percent say they have memory or concentration problems; over a third say they have a disability of some kind, and nearly 18 percent say they have multiple disabilities. […]
Declining health is becoming a major reason prime-age men are working less and less. The Bureau of Labor Statistics regularly asks people why they aren’t in the labor force. Of the 11.5 percent of prime-age men who aren’t employed or looking for a job, over half blame illness or disability. The rest are either retired, going to school, or performing housework.
In other words, fully 6 percent of American men between the ages of 25-54 feel that their minds or their bodies are too broken for them to work. This rate has nearly quadrupled since 1968, when only 1.6 percent of men felt the same way.
While a stroke by no means disqualifies anyone from public office, we cannot tiptoe around the issue of Kirk’s recovery and readiness. His health is a fundamental component of this race — a hotly contested matchup that could return control of the U.S. Senate to Democrats.
We aren’t physicians; Kirk’s doctor attests to his good cognitive health.
But we are voters. And our reluctant judgment is that, due to forces beyond his control, Kirk no longer can perform to the fullest the job of a U.S. senator. We are unable to endorse him for another six-year term.
We endorse Duckworth with the expectation that she stay focused on cost cutting as the nation navigates a debt crisis that much of official Washington recklessly ignores. We endorse her with the expectation she will challenge her party’s leaders. We endorse her with the realization that Illinois already has one fierce Democratic loyalist in the Senate, Dick Durbin. If she’s elected, it will be Duckworth’s job to also represent the many Republican and independent Illinoisans who won’t have voted for her but who deserve a voice.
*** UPDATE *** From Kirk’s campaign manager Kevin Artl…
A low-blow and cheap shot by the Chicago Tribune that is not based on fact or reality. The indisputable truth is that while Cong. Duckworth has been rated as one of the least effective members of Congress, Senator Mark Kirk has been one of the most successful. Kirk created bi-partisan support to keep the Export-Import Bank open, saving over 40,000 Illinois jobs, he secured millions in funding for law enforcement to crack down on gang violence and he is viewed as a national leader when he bucked his own party and said he could not support Donald Trump. Illinois families want results–not rhetoric–and that’s what Sen. Kirk delivers.
Maybe if Kirk had talked about Speaker Madigan instead of foreign policy at the editorial board debate he would’ve been endorsed. (No snark.)
Today, Illinois is taking another step to reform our criminal justice system.
First, our administration will be closing Stateville Correctional Center’s F House, one of the state’s oldest and most costly prison housing units. Built in 1922, F House is the only remaining “roundhouse” in use in the United States. It’s Panopticon layout is antiquated and creates safety and operational hazards for both staff and offenders. The structure itself is labor-intensive for staff and promotes a loud, chaotic environment for offenders.
When also taking into account the $10.3 million in deferred maintenance costs for F House, Illinois is better served by investing its limited resources into housing units and community-based programs that meet current national best practices and help reduce recidivism.
Second, in the coming months, we will reopen and repurpose the Illinois Youth Center at Murphysboro, which was built in 1993 and opened in 1997. A critical piece of our reform efforts is to help offenders gain valuable skills that will enable them to re-enter society as productive citizens. With that goal in mind, the Department of Corrections will reopen Murphysboro as a Life Skills and Re-Entry Facility, which is a minimum security facility with a focus on preparing offenders for a successful transition back into society through educational, vocational and life skills training.
By closing F House and repurposing Murphysboro, Illinois is taking another important step to reform our criminal justice system. Our administration will continue working with members of the legislature, the Illinois Criminal Justice Information Authority and other stakeholders so that we can continue to make meaningful progress on these reforms to accomplish our goal of improving outcomes and dramatically reducing Illinois’ prison population.
A majority of registered voters in Illinois believe the earth is getting warmer because of human activity rather than natural patterns, according to the latest poll from the Paul Simon Public Policy Institute at Southern Illinois University Carbondale.
There are 57 percent who believe human activity causes global warming while 25 percent believe in natural causes. Only 12 percent claim there is no evidence the earth is getting warmer, while 7 percent haven’t formed an opinion.
The survey of 1000 registered voters was taken Sept. 27-Oct. 2. It has a margin of error of 3.1 percentage points.
Another question asked whether to prioritize environmental protection or economic growth. Sixty-four percent believe that the environment should be given priority even at the cost of economic growth, while 27 percent believe that economic growth should be prioritized.
Shiloh Deitz, a researcher at the Institute, said “Voters understand environmental issues and are willing to prioritize them.”
Among the poll’s findings:
• Opinions differ about the environment across party and ideological lines: 82 percent of liberals believe climate change is due to human activity, only 28 percent of conservatives believe the same.
• While most liberals (80 percent) would prioritize the environment over economic growth, conservatives are split with 44 percent wishing to prioritize the environment and an almost equal 43 percent who want to focus on economic growth.
• Sixty-six percent of respondents under 50 see climate change as the result of human activity, compared to 55 percent of people age 51 to 65, and 47 percent of those over 66 years.
Deitz said “there is a stark contrast of these opinions across age groups. Gen X-ers and millennials have grown up with environmental awareness campaigns and this is clear in the results,” she said. “Younger people are most likely to see climate change as a result of human activity and want to prioritize environmental preservation even at the cost of economic growth.”
Only 7 percent of millennials believe that there is no evidence the earth is getting warmer, compared to 16 percent of adults over 66. Seventy-nine percent of those under 35 would prioritize the environment, while 61 percent of those over 66 would do the same.
One trend in the data indicates the Republican Party may soon grow more environmentalist. Nearly half (49 percent) of Republicans or conservatives under age 50 believe human activity can be blamed for the earth getting warmer compared to only a quarter of those over 50. Sixty-two percent of Republicans or conservatives under 50 would prioritize the environment even at the cost of economic growth compared to only 41 percent of Republicans or conservatives over 50.
* Let’s take a look at two charts based on that last paragraph above about the age split among Republicans/conservatives…
To: Interested Parties
From: Dan Judy and Jon McHenry
Date: October 12, 2016
Re: Highlights of IL 10 Congressional Survey
North Star Opinion Research conducted a survey of 400 registered voters in Illinois’ 10th congressional district October 8-11, 2016. Congressman Bob Dold remains well-positioned to win reelection, despite the headwinds of an unpopular presidential nominee. Highlights of the survey are:
1. The district retains its Democratic tilt. Democrats hold a 6-point advantage in self- identified party, 34 to 28 percent, and a 3-point advantage on the generic ballot for congress, 44 to 41 percent.
2. Donald Trump is unpopular in the district, while Hillary Clinton has a net positive image. Trump has a 28 to 64 percent favorable to unfavorable rating, compared to a 50 to 44 percent rating for Clinton. Clinton leads 53 to 31 percent on the ballot, with 7 percent for Gary Johnson and 2 percent for Jill Stein.
3. Bob Dold continues to have a positive image in the district. Dold has a 45 to 32 percent favorable-unfavorable rating, superior to both Trump’s and Mark Kirk’s ratings.
4. Dold has expanded his lead since the summer. Dold now leads Brad Schneider by 50 to 43 percent, up from a lead inside the margin of error in August. Looking at likely voters – those who say they are absolutely certain or very likely to vote in November – his lead remains 50-43. Dold receives 53 percent of independent voters, one-fourth of Hillary Clinton voters, and two- thirds of 3rd-party candidate voters.
As the national political environment deteriorates, many Republican candidates in swing districts will need to run well ahead of Donald Trump to win their races. Bob Dold has consistently out- polled Trump by 20 points, and a campaign emphasizing his independence and record of accomplishment for the 10th district has him in a solid position with under four weeks to go. A strong and well-funded campaign will keep him on track to win reelection on November 8.
Methodology
The sample for this Survey of Registered Voters in IL 10, conducted October 8-11, 2016, consists of 400 respondents selected randomly from a list of registered voters in the district who were contacted by live interviewers. All respondents confirmed that they are registered to vote in the county in which they live, and 36 percent of respondents were interviewed on a cell phone. Demographic quotas were set to ensure the sample matches registration statistics in the district.
* The DCCC begs to differ…
Newsflash: Republican Bob Dold’s “Poll” is a Joke
The NRCC’s new “poll,” released this morning, has Republican Congressman Bob Dold at a laughable 7-point lead over Democrat Brad Schneider. This “poll” flies in the face of multiple public polls released over the past year showing Schneider with consistent leads over their Republican incumbent:
Furthermore, the NRCC’s results simply defy intelligence, as their presidential nominee Donald Trump continues his death spiral in the polls, and traditionally Republican or swing states start to move over to the Democratic column. No candidate with an “R” next to their name on the ballot will be resistant to this toxic Trump Effect. A recently-released DCCC online survey conducted after the leaked Access Hollywood tapes, and after more recent allegations that Trump made inappropriate sexual advances toward many other women, found that the political environment is shifting in the favor of Democrats. These results are consistent with other public polling released since the debate.
“It’s clear that National Republicans had to cook up a poll to make their incumbent candidate Republican Bob Dold feel better,” said Sacha Haworth. “There’s no other reason why this poll exists, since it flies so blatantly in the face of everything else that’s out there.”
* We’ll circle back to this story about last night’s legislative candidate forum later today, but for now let’s talk about this angle…
One person [Democrat Tony DelGiorno of Springfield, who is running against Rep. Sara Jimenez] said he won’t vote for is Illinois House Speaker Michael Madigan, D-Chicago, for another term as speaker. Republican Party mailers against DelGiorno have depicted him as a mere puppet for Madigan. […]
“If you want an answer to the question ‘will I vote for Speaker Madigan?’ I have no intention to at this point in time,” DelGiorno said.
He’s criticized Jimenez for casting votes that didn’t reflect the 99th district, he said, so it wouldn’t be appropriate for him to then vote for Madigan as speaker.
“My district does not like the leadership of Speaker Madigan,” DelGiorno said, adding that he would vote for any alternative who rejects an agenda that hurts the middle class.
As we’ve already discussed, DelGiorno released a poll yesterday showing him trailing Rep. Jimenez by just 5 points. But he’s sitting at 38 percent, which is a long way to 50 plus one, so he may need lots more money to put him over the top. He hasn’t taken any cash from Madigan’s operation so far.
Your thoughts on whether this was the right move considering his current position and Madigan’s unpopularity? Also, do you believe him?
* From the Illinois Policy Institute’s radio network…
One central Illinois congressman thinks Illinois voters can differentiate between GOP presidential candidate Donald Trump and Illinois House Speaker Mike Madigan, D-Chicago.
U.S. Rep. Rodney Davis, R-Dist. 13, said GOP voters across downstate Illinois may have questions about Trump, but Davis said the voters he’s talked to have no doubt about Madigan and what is happening in Springfield.
“It would be a travesty if what’s happening at the presidential level went down to down-ballot races to give Mike Madigan more power in Springfield,” Davis said.
But Davis said if local candidates have been meeting with voters, talking about issues and, most importantly, listening, then voters will be able to differentiate between national and local races.
