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Good news and not so good news

Monday, May 3, 2021 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Marni Pyke

Illinois could ease more COVID-19 restrictions as soon as next week, Gov. J.B. Pritzker said Monday if health metrics continue in a positive direction.

That would mean the state shifts to a “Bridge Phase,” that increases capacity at festivals, social events, concert and other activities.

“It looks to me like we’re on a decent trajectory. I can’t say exactly what day that is,” Pritkzer said. “It looks to me, if you look at all the hospitalization admissions data, we’re in decent shape and moving exactly as I would hope toward the Bridge Phase.”

After a decline in COVID-19 infections in February through mid-March, cases and hospitalizations started to climb bringing fears of a significant surge although metrics have been inching back down.

* Peter Hancock

The Illinois economy shrank by 4% in 2020 as the COVID-19 pandemic wreaked havoc on many of its sectors, although there were signs of a recovery taking place late in the year.

Those preliminary numbers, released last week by the U.S. Department of Labor’s Bureau of Economic Analysis, showed that the leisure, hospitality and food service sector was the hardest hit by the pandemic, reporting a nearly 30% drop in economic output for the year. […]

According to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, real gross domestic product decreased in all 50 states and the District of Columbia in 2020. Utah, with a 0.1% shrinkage rate, fared the best, while Hawaii’s state economy shrank 8%. The average shrinkage rate for the U.S. as a whole was 3.5%. […]

When the numbers are broken out on a quarterly basis, however, the biggest drop in economic output occurred during the 2nd quarter, April-June, when Illinois was under the most severe economic restrictions. The economy began to pick up in the 3rd quarter, and by the 4th quarter was growing at an annualized rate of 3.5%.

  6 Comments      


Buffett will run for sheriff while Effingham County sheriff retires, citing state laws as one reason

Monday, May 3, 2021 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Brenden Moore

Even as the 2018 Macon County sheriff’s election between incumbent Tony Brown and challenger Jim Root remains unsettled, the focus could soon turn to 2022 as another familiar name appears to be eyeing the office.

Howard G. Buffett, the 66-year-old Decatur philanthropist, businessman and former sheriff, has formed a candidate political committee to support a possible run for sheriff, according to campaign finance documents filed with the Illinois State Board of Elections last October.

According to the documents, Buffett plans to run as a Republican, which could set up a head-to-head matchup with incumbent Brown, a Democrat who won by a single vote in 2018.

Buffett is Brown’s direct predecessor, serving out the final 14 months of former Sheriff Thomas Schneider’s term. Schneider is listed as chairman of the “Committee to Elect Buffett for Sheriff.”

Buffett has been the main reason why Decatur has sworn off cannabis dispensaries.

* Effingham Daily News

Effingham County will be looking for a new sheriff after Effingham County Sheriff David Mahon announced his June 1 retirement during the quarterly Effingham County Public Safety meeting this week.

Mahon ran as a Republican for Sheriff in 2014, defeating Darren Feldkamp, John Gardner and Mike Schutzbach – all Republican candidates in the 2014 primary election. He became Sheriff in December of 2014. […]

“I was wanting to run one term and wasn’t sure about running the second,” Mahon said. “When I signed my petitions for a second term, I had no grandchildren and none on the way.”

“Now, two and a half years later, I have two grandchildren in East Missouri – 500 miles away. And my son has one on the way in Oregon,” Mahon added. “I turned 60 this last year and I think it’s a good time to bring some new people up.”

In a Letter to the Editor, Mahon said, “While my decision to retire is based on my personal life changes, this decision is reaffirmed by the pending anti-law enforcement legislation coming out of Springfield.”

Darren Bailey on Facebook

Thank you Sheriff Mahon for your service!

In a Letter to the Editor, Mahon said, “While my decision to retire is based on my personal life changes, this decision is reaffirmed by the pending anti-law enforcement legislation coming out of Springfield.”

Friends, we are seeing a lot of law enforcement retire due to what’s coming out of Springfield. I will continue working to restore respect to law enforcement and keep our communities safe, and as your next Governor, I’ll work to reverse Pritzker’s radical agenda against law enforcement!

Yeah, I’m thinking there won’t be a shortage of candidates to replace Sheriff Mahon.

  23 Comments      


Question of the day

Monday, May 3, 2021 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Two House Democrats talk to the Daily Herald about the budget

“In the governor’s introduced budget, he is not putting in the $350 million for K-12, but that’s not going very well with both Democrats and Republicans,” [Rep. Fred Crespo, D-Hoffman Estates] said. “(Republicans and Democrats) coalesced over that and agreed that’s not a good idea.”

While members of the House plan to push for the education funding, they also recognize the state will face a $1.4 billion revenue shortage and cuts need to be made somewhere. Where exactly those cuts happen will be a source of debate among Democrats, Republicans and Pritzker in the weeks before the legislature’s scheduled May 31 adjournment.

“We need to look at: ‘Where do we cut?’ and ‘Can we cut enough to close that hole?’” Crespo said.

Pritzker’s proposal also calls for a 10% cut to what towns get from the state’s Local Government Distributive Fund, a pool of income tax money. Crespo and Kifowit also oppose that proposal.

“I am strongly against it,” Crespo said. “Any cuts to the local distributive funds could very easily result in an increase in property taxes, and in my mind and my constituents’, our biggest problem and our biggest issue is property taxes.”

Keep in mind, the American Rescue Plan is sending $5 billion to Illinois’ K-12 schools, $2.3 billion to counties, $2.4 billion to larger cities and $681 million to smaller municipalities. The General Assembly could also impose a temporary property tax freeze on municipalities.

* The Question: Should the Local Government Distributive Fund be left alone in the state budget this year? Make sure to explain your answer.

  21 Comments      


Pritzker issues RFP for Thompson Center sale

Monday, May 3, 2021 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Press release…

Governor JB Pritzker and the Illinois Department of Central Management Services (CMS) today announced the issuance of a Request for Proposals (RFP) for the sale of the James R. Thompson Center (JRTC) at 100 West Randolph Street. Information on the RFP can be viewed at www.illinois.gov/ThompsonCenter4Sale and www.bidbuy.illinois.gov.

“The sale of the Thompson Center has been discussed for nearly 20 years and we are taking another important step to making it a reality,” said Governor JB Pritzker. “Selling the property provides a unique opportunity to maximize taxpayer savings, create thousands of union jobs, generate millions of dollars in real estate taxes to benefit the City of Chicago and spur economic development. My team looks forward to working with the city as we move forward.”

At the beginning of his administration, Governor Pritzker directed CMS to optimize the State’s real estate portfolio, reduce operating expenses, and enhance workforce and workplace performance and efficiency. As part of its due diligence, CMS determined the sale of the JRTC was in the State’s best interest as the facility is oversized, outdated and expensive to operate.

Due to prolonged deferred maintenance and delayed capital projects, it is estimated that the cost to bring the JRTC into a state of good repair exceeds $325 million and is projected to increase to over $525 million by 2026. By selling the facility, the State can relocate its core services to more appropriate and efficient replacement spaces. This strategic relocation effort has already begun, with the below-asking price purchase of 555 W. Monroe, and will reduce operating costs, increase productivity, and better serve constituents.

“Issuing this RFP moves the State a step closer to selling the JRTC and actualizing more sustainable and efficient governance practices on behalf of Illinois residents,” CMS Director Janel L. Forde. “The sale of this prime property will not only save millions in annual operating costs but also makes way for significant economic opportunities in Chicago’s Central Business District.”

The State has been reviewing its downtown Chicago real estate portfolio to identify opportunities for efficiency improvements, space consolidation, and other strategies that produce real savings while maintaining a productive workforce. In January 2021, the State acquired 555 West Monroe and announced its intent to relocate over 1,000 employees to this new facility, including employees who work in nearby leased facilities as well as those currently located at the JRTC. The State leases office space in seven properties in the Loop, at a cost of $21.3 million in annual base rent and operating costs and will continue to seek consolidation and savings opportunities into State-owned real estate.

Opened in 1985, the JRTC is a 17-story building, encompassing approximately 1.2 million square feet of enclosed area of which the State occupies nearly 780,000 square feet. Comprised of a full city block in the heart of the Chicago Loop, the JRTC site represents a rare and exciting development opportunity. The site is unique in its combination of size, transit connectivity, and adjacency to world-class amenities. The site’s central location affords close proximity to numerous world-class amenities, including world-renowned museums and parks, the Chicago Theater District, the Chicago Riverwalk and Lakefront.

Redevelopment of the property would spur economic activity on the LaSalle Street corridor and is estimated to create up to 5,500 union jobs during the development and more than 15,000 jobs after completion.

Responses to the RFP for the sale of the James R. Thompson Center are due at 3 p.m. on August 16, 2021. A copy of the RFP is available on the General Services Illinois Procurement Bulletin, also referred to as the Bulletin or BidBuy at www.bidbuy.illinois.gov. Additional information on JRTC and the amenities of the City of Chicago are provided at www.illinois.gov/ThompsonCenter4Sale.

The Pre-proposal conference meeting will be held on May 18, 2021. Interested parties must register for the event at: https://illinois.webex.com/illinois/onstage/g.php?MTID=edfeebde1b8deacf9fc430c309574456e

In April 2019, Governor Pritzker signed SB 886 (Public Act 100-1184) that outlines the process for the sale of the property. The bill provides for the sale of the JRTC by a competitive request for proposals process within two years. This bill was amended due to COVID-19 and the revised timeline is April 5, 2022.

Keep your fingers crossed for a water park. /s

  14 Comments      


It’s just a bill

Monday, May 3, 2021 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Heidi Stevens

Illinois schools may soon dramatically alter the way they perform active shooter drills, leading the way for other states to adopt methods that, ideally, leave students and staff less traumatized by a process intended to protect them.

A bill amending the state’s School Safety Drill Act recently passed the Illinois House unanimously and now awaits a vote in the Senate. It calls for parents or guardians to be notified prior to an active shooter drill, for the school to announce drills ahead of time, for the drills to avoid simulations that mimic an actual school shooting incident and for mental health professionals to be included in the planning of the drills.

Yes, yes, yes, yes and one more yes for good measure.

“This sounds like a really good bill,” said Melissa Reeves, associate professor of psychology at Winthrop University in South Carolina and past president of the National Association of School Psychologists. “If it passes, I’m definitely going to be using that as an example of what other states can do.”

* Chicago Tribune editorial

…House Speaker Emanuel “Chris” Welch should free House Bill 2994 from his Rules Committee. Sponsored by Tim Butler, R-Springfield, the bill would allow a vote on government consolidation in his district. Last week, when the bill appeared to be dying in committee, he chastised Welch for sitting on the bill for political reasons.

Move the bill, Mr. Speaker. Voters in Butler’s district should be able to decide whether to combine their governments.

The elimination of any one of these tiny entities doesn’t amount to much by itself. But a sustained drive to reduce their number would pay off in the long run. It brings to mind what Nobel Peace Prize winner Desmond Tutu of South Africa said: “There is only one way to eat an elephant — a bite at a time.”

* But here’s a counter-point in an SJ-R op-ed by Bill Houlihan

Sangamon County is home to twenty-six townships, each with their own elected township officials. Representative Butler’s bill only targets the most diverse township with Sangamon County, Capital Township. Under the pretense of “eliminating bureaucracy and inefficiency,” Butler and local Republicans seek to disenfranchise a significant number of voters within our county. For the decades-long total control local Republicans have held on Capital Township, there were never any issues with the services provided and dissolving this essential level of government was never mentioned.

What has changed since 2016 when Representative Butler and local Republicans started their self-serving crusade? Where is Representative Butler’s bill to dissolve Ball, Fancy Creek, or Rochester Townships in Sangamon County? I cannot help but think that part of Representative Butler’s newfound interest in eliminating Capital Township may stem from the fact that after three decades of total Republican control over Capital Township, voters have overwhelmingly elected a young, dynamic black woman not once but twice, Democrat Lakeisha Purchase.

While I question Representative Butler’s intent with this legislation, what is not in question is what will happen if this bill is enacted. Unlike in every other township in Sangamon County, voters in Capital Township will not have the same rights to elect the people that serve them and guide how their township tax dollars are used. Instead, county government Republicans will be given unchecked access to Capital Township tax dollars that will be used to pad their own budgets and personal paychecks. All while not having to be concerned about Capital Township voters being able to hold them accountable in the next election. Simply put, this is taxation without representation.

* Center Square

A lawmaker’s long-sought resolution to create a new state by separating the rest of Illinois from Cook County was the subject of an Illinois House hearing this week.

State Rep. Brad Halbrook, R-Shelbyville, has for years filed resolutions at the statehouse to create a new state out of all the counties with the exception of Cook County. He had his first hearing on HR 102 Wednesday, saying predictions of a state being controlled by a major urban center have come true in Illinois.

“There are different needs, there are different interests, different cultures, different economy,” Halbrook told the House State Government Administration Committee on Wednesday. “A one-size-fits-all and a top-down approach does not work.”

The committee chair asked Halbrook to come back with more data and support from the 101 counties outside of Cook. Halbrook noted that a separate movement has produced such support from nearly a third of the counties.

* The school bus lobby (including local school districts) is quite strong here. I’ve seen safety measures come and go for decades

There are two bills making their way through the Illinois General Assembly, with the main focus of making sure drivers can see the stop signs on school buses better.

Senate Bill 1808 and House Bill 2584 are similar. The goal is to give schools the option to make stop signs on buses easier to see.

The bills would allow the Illinois Department of Transportation (IDOT) to create a pilot program to test the safety of equipment like extended stop arms, which currently aren’t allowed to be used.

Emphasis added. Safety devices are currently allowed to project only “up to 14 inches beyond each side of a bus.”

* Other bills…

* Pritzker budget seeks to net state $932M by eliminating ‘corporate loopholes’

* Illinois bill managing $700 million in rental assistance poised for governor

* Illinois could incentivize employers to give living organ donors 30 days paid time off

* Lawmaker wants to limit third party delivery apps

  13 Comments      


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Monday, May 3, 2021 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Afternoon interlude

Monday, May 3, 2021 - Posted by Rich Miller

* I bought a new mobile phone the other day and set it up over the weekend. It takes some pretty good pictures…

* The phone didn’t have the same ringtone choices as my old phone, so I decided to create one for text notifications. As you’ll recall, the House conducted session last May at Springfield’s convention center. The setup didn’t include the loud ringing bell to announce that voting was open, so Rep. Will Davis would say “Ding!” at the appropriate moment when he was in the Speaker’s chair. I isolated Davis’ sound effect for my new ringtone

Thanks to John Amdor for the video clip.

* The phone’s alarm tones were also different, and the one I chose sounded a lot like King Harvest’s “Dancing In the Moonlight,” or at least it sounded like that in the morning fog. As a result, I’ve been humming that song all day today. So I just decided to make the actual song into an alarm

You can’t dance and stay uptight

Hope you’re having a good day today.

  12 Comments      


2,049 new confirmed and probable cases; 28 additional deaths; 1,963 hospitalized; 479 in ICU; 3.4 percent average case positivity rate; 4 percent average test positivity rate; 78,440 average daily doses; Only 16,920 doses reported administered Sunday

Monday, May 3, 2021 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Press release…

SPRINGFIELD – The Illinois Department of Public Health (IDPH) today reported 2,049 new confirmed and probable cases of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) in Illinois, including 28 additional deaths.

    - Cook County: 1 female 50s, 2 female 60s, 2 males 60s, 4 females 70s, 1 male 70s, 4 males 80s, 1 female 90s, 2 males 90s
    - DuPage County: 1 male 60s, 1 male 70s
    - Kane County: 1 male 70s
    - Knox County: 1 male 80s
    - Lake County: 1 male 80s
    - Mason County: 1 male 30s, 1 female 60s
    - Peoria County: 1 male 60s, 2 females 70s, 1 male 90s

Currently, IDPH is reporting a total of 1,341,777 cases, including 22,047 deaths, in 102 counties in Illinois. The age of cases ranges from younger than one to older than 100 years. Within the past 24 hours, laboratories have reported 49,473 specimens for a total of 22,872,035. As of last night, 1,963 individuals in Illinois were reported to be in the hospital with COVID-19. Of those, 479 patients were in the ICU and 249 patients with COVID-19 were on ventilators.

The preliminary seven-day statewide positivity for cases as a percent of total test from April 26-May 2, 2021 is 3.4%. The preliminary seven-day statewide test positivity from April 26-May 2, 2021 is 4.0%.

The total number of COVID-19 vaccine doses for Illinois is 11,802,395. A total of 9,410,057 vaccines have been administered in Illinois as of last midnight. The seven-day rolling average of vaccines administered daily is 78,440 doses. Yesterday, 16,920 doses were reported administered in Illinois. Data from this weekend from several pharmacies (Walgreens, Albertsons, CVS) is not yet available so the doses administered yesterday are likely to be low. The missing doses from this weekend will be reflected in numbers in the next couple days.

*All data are provisional and will change. In order to rapidly report COVID-19 information to the public, data are being reported in real-time. Information is constantly being entered into an electronic system and the number of cases and deaths can change as additional information is gathered. For health questions about COVID-19, call the hotline at 1-800-889-3931 or email dph.sick@illinois.gov.

  10 Comments      


A maddening story of incompetence and chaos at every level

Monday, May 3, 2021 - Posted by Rich Miller

* My weekly syndicated newspaper column

An inspector general’s report on the deadly COVID-19 outbreak at the Illinois Department of Veterans’ Affairs LaSalle Veterans’ Home is a maddening story of incompetence and chaos at every level.

The IG report, released Friday, tells the story of an allegedly AWOL agency director; an in-over-his-head chief of staff; a crucial failure to fill an important upper management position; an unconscionably delayed IDVA management response at all levels to a clearly and rapidly deteriorating situation both in the surrounding communities outside the home and when the virus inevitably spread inside the facility; an unprepared and woefully uninformed management on multiple issues, including basics about personal protection equipment; an abject failure to properly train and equip staff; multiple failures to ask for outside help and accept it when offered; and staff infighting and managerial timidity.

Thirty-six veterans died during the LaSalle catastrophe last year, a quarter of the facility’s population. Frankly, after reading the report, I was surprised more people didn’t die. It’s that bad.

The trouble started with Gov. J.B. Pritzker’s hasty appointment of a state legislator to fill the IDVA director job after his initial appointee abruptly dropped out — a mystery that he has not explained to this day.

According to the report, after state Rep. Linda Chapa LaVia became IDVA director, she apparently “abdicated” her responsibilities to her chief of staff, Tony Kolbeck. Kolbeck’s heart was in the right place but he should not have been given that job, partly because he didn’t have the requisite knowledge and experience, but also because the administration never appointed a Senior Homes Administrator for the agency. That administrator would’ve had the “medical understanding to provide meaningful leadership,” according to the IG report.

Kolbeck essentially served as the director, the chief of staff and the Senior Homes Administrator all at once, a near impossibility during “normal” times, let alone during a deadly crisis.

After Director Chapa LaVia finally quit under pressure, Pritzker brought in a new acting director.

Terry Prince is a buttoned-down 31-year Navy man with an abundance of healthcare management experience in the Navy and in his last job running Ohio’s veterans homes. One of those homes, the fifth largest in the country, had an outbreak last year, but it was contained and the fatality rate was a fraction of what it was at LaSalle and at many private nursing homes in the country. Like everyone in that sector, he’s not unblemished, but he’s never been accused of incompetence that I could find.

Prince’s extensive management experience is something the IDVA has lacked for years. But he is also a student of management theory and mentioned several management training models he admires.

I asked Prince about an item in the IG report that the LaSalle home managers refrained from disciplining workers out of fear of retaliation. I pointed out that this is prevalent in state government here because upper management too often won’t back up lower management in personnel disputes. Prince said he created a program in Ohio called “I got your six” to address that very issue. “The management team has to know that their director, assistant director has their backs,” he rightly said.

Prince wants to subject the veterans’ homes to accreditation and the federal government’s Medicaid rating system. “I want evaluations from anybody who will come and evaluate our buildings because I believe that the more inspections we have, the better,” he said.

He’s a military veteran and these are veterans’ homes, and Prince says he intends to put employees through regular training drills to make sure they are up to dealing with emergencies.

But he also talked about trying to work more cooperatively with AFSCME, something he claimed to have had success with in Ohio. Prince said Illinois Department of Human Services Secretary Grace Hou recommended that he make himself “crazy available” to union personnel, which he says he’s doing. Hou has had significant success in dealing with AFSCME. The IDVA, on the other hand, has been notable for its hostility toward the union.

“I want our veterans in our veterans’ homes to live their best possible life,” Prince said. “I want their star to shine bright in our facilities. I know we have the teams to do it. We just have to make sure that we’re training them and holding them accountable and saying, ‘Here’s our expectations.’”

Prince is no doubt an impressive person, but there is no longer any room for failure at that agency. He gets zero slack. To put it bluntly, if we can’t stop killing our veterans, then we as a state need to get out of this business.

* Meanwhile, here’s a press release…

U.S. Senate Majority Whip Dick Durbin (D-IL) and U.S. Senator Tammy Duckworth (D-IL), a combat Veteran and former Director of the Illinois Department of Veterans’ Affairs (IDVA), today urged the U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) to assist the IDVA following a Illinois Department of Human Services Office of Inspector General’s (OIG) report released last week, which documents a number of failures within IDVA leadership in addressing and preventing a fatal COVID-19 outbreak at the Illinois Veterans Home (IVH) LaSalle. In a letter to VA Secretary McDonough, Durbin and Duckworth asked the VA to ensure that IDVA has the appropriate protocols in place, as well as training and support it needs in order to continue to protect Illinois Veterans from COVID-19 or any future infectious disease outbreaks.

* The letter

Dear Secretary McDonough:

We write to request urgent assistance for the Illinois Department of Veterans’ Affairs (IDVA) in light of an Illinois Department of Human Services Office of Inspector General’s (OIG) report released last week, which documents a number of failures within IDVA leadership in addressing and preventing a fatal COVID-19 outbreak at the Illinois Veterans Home (IVH) LaSalle. During the time of the outbreak last fall, the Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) participated in inspections alongside the Illinois Department of Public Health (IDPH), helping to identify a myriad of problems and detailing a full-time VA staffer to provide technical assistance to the State on pandemic concerns and protocols. We urge the VA to return to Illinois once again to ensure that IDVA has the appropriate protocols in place, as well as training and support it needs in order to continue to protect Illinois Veterans from COVID-19 or any future infectious disease outbreaks.

We understand that the risks associated with the deadly coronavirus are only increased in long-term care facilities. However, as the OIG report indicates, the proper implementation and execution of infectious disease protocols can help control outbreaks. By fall 2020, the potential effect of COVID-19 on such facilities was well-documented, and as the pandemic surged across the State, including in LaSalle County, more than 200 Veterans and staff at IVH LaSalle had tested positive for COVID-19, resulting in 36 Veteran deaths.

The OIG report ultimately found a lack of preparation, poor communication and training, and a serious lapse in infectious-disease protocols. The report also noted that IDVA failed to implement a number of basic Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) recommendations, including formalizing a COVID-19 preparedness and response plan, resulting in actions that were “inefficient, reactive, and, at times, chaotic.” The report also notes that IVH Manteno and IVH Quincy faced related, fatal outbreaks. While the death tolls were smaller at these two facilities, the urgency to take corrective action remains the same.

We appreciate that the VA has provided technical assistance to the State of Illinois over the years, including during a deadly Legionnaires’ outbreak that took place at IVH Quincy between 2015 and 2018. Today, while we recognize that Governor Pritzker has taken a number of proactive steps—including personnel changes to replace the IDVA Director and oversight efforts such as requiring this OIG investigation—we remain worried about IDVA’s future preparedness against both the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic and other infectious disease outbreaks.

Countless families have entrusted the care of their loved ones—Veterans who have served and scarified for this country with honor, and deserve the highest standards—to the State of Illinois. We urge the VA to help ensure that our State is up to the task in the face of challenges such as the COVID-19 pandemic.

* And from the ILGOP…

“The Governor ran for office in 2018 blaming his predecessor for the Legionnaires outbreak at the Quincy Veterans’ Home that tragically took the life of 14 American heroes. Pritzker said the incident revealed a callous regard for human life and a fatal lack of leadership,” reminded ILGOP spokesman Joe Hackler. “36 dead veterans later at LaSalle and the Governor is on record as now saying ‘these things can happen’ and has refused to take full responsibility for this tragedy on his watch. The IG report makes clear that candidate Pritzker in 2018 would think Governor Pritzker’s administration is fatally incompetent and responsible for the deaths of 36 American heroes.”

  19 Comments      


COVID-19 roundup

Monday, May 3, 2021 - Posted by Rich Miller

* One of these is an Illinois Policy Institute headline/lede and the other is a Sun-Times headline/lede. Wanna guess which is which?…

* Illinois public health officials considering ‘vaccine passport’: Days after Chicago officials floated the idea of requiring vaccine passports, Illinois public health officials revealed they’re also considering a “vaccine passport” for residents.

* Vaccine passports not arriving — or required — in Illinois, Pritzker says: Gov. J.B. Pritzker is taking a pass on the “Vax Pass.” Days after Chicago public health officials teased the idea of a COVID-19 vaccine passport that residents would need for admission to select concerts and other crowded summer events, Pritzker on Friday said the state won’t be implementing any mandatory system for Illinoisans to prove they’ve been fully immunized against the coronavirus.

* NPR

The mass inoculation of millions of American children against polio in 1955, like the vaccinations of millions of American adults against COVID-19 in 2021, was a triumph of science.

But the polio vaccine had overwhelming public acceptance, while stubborn pockets of vaccine hesitancy persist across the U.S. for the COVID-19 vaccine. Why the difference? One reason, historians say, is that in 1955, many Americans had an especially deep respect for science.

“If you had to pick a moment as the high point of respect for scientific discovery, it would have been then,” says David M. Oshinsky, a medical historian at New York University and the author of Polio: An American Story. “After World War II, you had antibiotics rolling off the production line for the first time. People believed infectious disease was [being] conquered. And then this amazing vaccine is announced. People couldn’t get it fast enough.”

* Peoria Journal Star

Now that the rush to get vaccinated has slowed to a trickle, health officials are shifting gears to convince the rest of Central Illinois to roll up their sleeves.

At this point, about 60% of Tri-County residents have not received even a single dose.

Reasons for this are numerous. Some people simply haven’t gotten around to it yet, and some have transportation issues or, lacking computer skills, aren’t sure how to get an appointment.

Others distrust vaccines, a long-standing issue that has been exacerbated in recent years by widening political divisions and a plethora of misleading and downright false information online. There are also concerns about a vaccine that was developed so quickly; some people are waiting to see what happens to others before they get vaccinated.

The problem is that time is of the essence. The longer COVID-19 circulates through the population, the greater the chance it will mutate into a vaccine-resistant form. Health officials want to tamp down the fire now.

Last Week Tonight with John Oliver ran a pretty good piece on the vax resistance topic last night. Click here to watch it, but some of the language is NSFW.

As Oliver noted, the hardcore anti-vaxxers and careless (or worse) news media outlets are successfully sowing doubt in about a quarter of the population.

* And the Sun-Times looks at the costs of running vaccine sites

The bigger the site, the cheaper the per-unit cost of the vaccine dose. Megasites can average $62 per dose per day, while the smallest sites, averaging 2,500 square feet, approach nearly $200 per dose.

Then there’s the one-time costs, assuming the vaccine sites are open for three months: the freezers, the message boards in the parking lots, chairs and tables, Internet hotspots. For a megasite, the one-time costs can reach nearly $1.5 million. For the smallest sites, $140,000.

And finally the materials: needles, syringes, alcohol prep pads, Band-Aids, gloves, masks, shields, oxygen, Epi-Pens, antihistamines. The range from small to mega, each day: $3,000 to $22,000.

What the spreadsheet and the Adams County figures underscore: It can be considerably expensive, on a per-shot basis, to vaccinate those in more rural or underserved areas of the country.

* Tribune live blog headlines

COVID-19 risk greater if passengers board plane back to front, study shows

Reaching herd immunity to COVID-19 in US unlikely due to variants, resistance to vaccines, experts say

Public transit hopes to win back riders after crushing year

  9 Comments      


U of I’s economic tracker shows largest one-month Illinois growth since 1981

Monday, May 3, 2021 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Institute of Government and Public Affairs

The April University of Illinois Flash Index jumped to 101.5 from its 97.8 level in March, roaring past the 100-level that divides growth and decline.

This increase was the largest in the history of the index, although the declines of March and April 2020 at the beginning of the COVID-19 crisis were larger in absolute terms. See the full Flash Index Archive.

As with last month, the strong April reading was the result of both a strong economy and certain technical factors. “The index’s monthly inputs are now being compared to the depressed numbers of last year, indicating marked growth,” said University of Illinois economist J. Fred Giertz, who compiles the monthly index for the University of Illinois System’s Institute of Government and Public Affairs (IGPA). “In fact, the April index may underestimate growth because some of the various federal stimulus payments are not directly included in the index’s components.” In constructing the index, individual Illinois income tax collections are used as a surrogate for income, but many of these federal payments are not taxable and do not directly impact tax receipts.

Notwithstanding these technical issues, the Illinois and national economies are exhibiting real strength. Analysts are nearly unanimous in their optimism for the remainder of 2021. First-quarter GDP increased at a 6.4% annual rate. The unemployment rate continues to decline, although it is still more than two percentage points above pre-crisis levels. The unprecedented magnitude of federal income support programs may be slowing the decline.

Illinois’ unemployment rate is still more than one percentage point above the national rate. All three components of the index (individual income, corporate and sales tax receipts) were up strongly from the same month last year.

The Flash Index is normally a weighted average of Illinois growth rates in corporate earnings, consumer spending and personal income as estimated from receipts for corporate income, individual income, and retail sales taxes. These are adjusted for inflation before growth rates are calculated. The growth rate for each component is then calculated for the 12-month period using data through April 30, 2021.

Even though more than a year has passed since the advent of the crisis, ad hoc adjustments are still needed to deal with the timing of the tax receipts resulting from state and Federal changes in payment dates both this and last year.

* Recent history

Note the caveat, however: “the declines of March and April 2020 at the beginning of the COVID-19 crisis were larger in absolute terms.”

  18 Comments      


Today’s quotable

Monday, May 3, 2021 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Deep within a Tribune story about the Senate’s new ethics bill (subscribers were given more details last week) is a little nugget

While the bill wouldn’t give the legislative inspector general the full level of autonomy those who’ve held the office say is necessary, it would make the position a full-time job with posted office hours — which [Legislative Inspector General Carol Pope] said would be a waste of taxpayer money. She now works on an as-needed basis.

“Even if you had office hours, there would be a person sitting in the office with nothing to do,” Pope said at a recent Senate hearing “The demand for hours is just simply not there, which is a good thing in my opinion.”

Lawmakers argue that having a full-time inspector general would an important signal to the public.

“While it may not be a good perception to have an office of people that aren’t working full time, I also don’t think it’s a good perception, visual, to have an office that’s closed, that the lights are out, that nobody knows when it’s open either,” Gillespie said at the hearing. “I think it’s important for our residents of Illinois to start to establish trust in their legislature if they know that this is something we’re taking this seriously.”

  12 Comments      


Remap stuff

Monday, May 3, 2021 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Wall St. Journal editorial

After this week’s release of decennial Census apportionments, the 2022 redistricting battles are underway. If you’ve been reading the press, you know what to expect: Republicans will gerrymander relentlessly to squeeze more GOP House seats out of red and purple states, while Democrats will model high-minded good governance and draw maps without regard to politics.

OK, maybe not exactly. The post-2010 liberal zeal for nonpartisan map-drawing seems to be abating in places where Democrats are in power. See how the political winds are blowing in two blue states, Illinois and New York, that each lost a congressional seat in the latest Census count.

Illinois Gov. J.B. Pritzker campaigned in 2018 against partisan gerrymandering, saying he would “pledge to veto” any 2022 map drawn by the state Legislature. He insisted on “an independent commission to handle creating a new legislative map.” Last month Republicans in the Legislature proposed to create a redistricting commission appointed by the state’s Supreme Court.

But as the partisan pens meet paper, Gov. Pritzker now says he’ll be satisfied with a map drawn by his legislative allies. In a recent press conference he walked back his veto pledge and scored Republicans for objecting to Democratic-controlled redistricting. “I hope the Republicans will choose to work with Democrats on the map. Right now it looks like they’re just saying no,” he said.

* But the Journal is just being the Journal. The bottom line for Kyle Kondik at Sabato’s Crystal Ball

All told, this adds up to a possible 6-1 Republican edge among the new House seats being drawn. Combine that with the loss projections laid out above, and Republicans come out of this hypothetical reapportionment scenario with a net two-seat gain: They lose four seats to the Democrats’ three, but they win six of the seven new seats.

* And this person at Sabato’s Crystal Ball claims that Illinois Democrats made a colossal mistake with their map-making ten years ago…


What saved them was the suburbs and exurbs, which reacted strongly against President Trump’s election. The Dems picked up two seats that they’d actually created for Republicans.

* Politico on what comes next after Cheri Bustos’ announcement last week that she won’t run again

Political insiders say lawmakers will likely redraw Bustos’ 17th District to include all of Rockford and more of Peoria, two cities that are split between Bustos and Rep. Adam Kinzinger (16th) in Rockford, and Bustos and Rep. Darin LaHood (18th) in Peoria. Here’s the current map for reference.

Rockford and Peoria are two urban areas that already lean blue, and pulling them into one district (except for the part of Peoria where LaHood lives) would solidify it as a Democratic district.

At least two Rockford Democrats have already fielded calls about possibly running. Rockford Mayor Tom McNamara told Playbook his focus is “solely on the city of Rockford.” McNamara, who is being sworn in to his second term today, said, “We need someone like Cheri who stands up for cities and towns and the everyday people who live there, not just companies.”

And state Rep. Maurice West II said, “we’ll see.” He said, “It would be smart” to see Rockford represented by one person.

Probably best not to make too many plans before the map is drawn, however. Lauren Underwood’s district needs more Democrats to shore her up, so it’s possible they could move her 14th District 30 miles west to Rockford.

* Dan Vock at the Center for Illinois Politics takes a look at Democratic hints here they they could use ACS number to draw the new district maps

If Democrats try to redraw their districts with a different set of data, that data will most likely come from the American Community Survey (ACS). The U.S. Census Bureau also produces the ACS, a survey that gives researchers a glimpse of what America looks like in the years between the decennial headcounts.

“The decennial census is designed to capture, in a snapshot, all of the people living in the country on April 1st,” Young says. “The American Community Survey is designed to tell folks how people live in that neighborhood, not who lives there, but how they live.”

Their different purposes mean the Census uses different methods to conduct them.

Census workers fan out into neighborhoods, knock on doors, send postcards and ask neighbors to get an accurate population number for the once-a-decade Census.

But the ACS is essentially a massive poll. It uses sampling to estimate the number of people in an area and many characteristics about them. To do that, the Census Bureau sends surveys to about 3.5 million addresses every month of every year. Those surveys cover many topics not covered by standard Census questionnaires.

* And finally…


I told you not to expect much.

  25 Comments      


Before Attorney General was hit with ransomware attack, Auditor General’s office warned the office was sorely lacking in cybersecurity

Monday, May 3, 2021 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Dan Petrella at the Tribune

A state audit released earlier this year warned that Illinois Attorney General Kwame Raoul’s office had a “weaknesses in cybersecurity” that potentially left sensitive information on the agency’s computer network “susceptible to cyberattacks and unauthorized disclosure.”

Three weeks ago, a hack resulted in data being stolen from the attorney’s office in a ransomware attack, Raoul acknowledged in a statement Thursday.

A ransomware gang known as DoppelPaymer is believed to be behind the attack, in which some data from the attorney general’s office was posted online.

Ransomware is malicious software that infects a computer system. Those behind ransomware then demand money to allow the system to work properly again.

* From the audit

Office management indicated a comprehensive internal cybersecurity risk assessment was not performed due to competing priorities within the Information Technology (IT) Bureau. In addition, the coronavirus pandemic further delayed IT initiatives since March 2020.

The lack of adequate cybersecurity programs and practices could result in unidentified risk and vulnerabilities which ultimately leads to the Office’s confidential and personal information being susceptible to cyber-attacks and unauthorized disclosure.

  18 Comments      


Open thread

Monday, May 3, 2021 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Heh…


Anyway, what else is on your mind today?

…Adding… Had somebody checking out a leak in my roof this morning. I’ll be posting soon.

  48 Comments      


Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Supplement to today’s edition

Monday, May 3, 2021 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today’s edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)

Monday, May 3, 2021 - Posted by Rich Miller

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*** LIVE COVERAGE ***

Monday, May 3, 2021 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Follow along with ScribbleLive


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« NEWER POSTS PREVIOUS POSTS »
* Isabel’s afternoon roundup
* ComEd Four defendants claim prosecution was built on a 'rotten foundation'
* Amy Jacobson resigns from CPS coaching position after uproar
* Report: Heat deaths are underreported
* Showcasing The Retailers Who Make Illinois Work
* Illinois opens contest to redesign state flag (Updated)
* Open thread
* Isabel’s morning briefing
* Live coverage
* Selected press releases (Live updates)
* Yesterday's stories

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