SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax      Advertise Here      Mobile Version     Exclusive Subscriber Content     Updated Posts    Contact
CapitolFax.com
To subscribe to Capitol Fax, click here.
Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Quinn audio

Saturday, Jan 31, 2009

This post is password protected. To view it please enter your password below:

- Posted by Rich Miller   Comments Off      


Saturday Update: 5th CD poll results and other news

Saturday, Jan 31, 2009

* 5th Congressional District Democratic underdog Paul Bryar has released a a poll taken earlier this month which shows himself at 0 percent support. I’ve never seen a candidate do that before now. If you think it’s odd, you’re right.

The point, however, is after the respondents are informed of various candidate stances Bryar ends up with 15 percent, “within striking distance” of the other frontrunners, according to the campaign, which claims to have raised well over $200,000 so far. More on that later this week.

* The poll of 401 likely voters was taken Jan. 14-15 and has a margin of error of +/- 4.89 percent. This is a Fako Associates poll, so it’s a good one.

However, the poll was conducted before Justin Oberman dropped out of the race, so it’s not nearly as useful as it could be for our purposes. Also, Oberman’s numbers are far different than the results he got in Mike Quigley’s poll.

* Here are the initial head-to-heads, with Cook County Commissioner Mike Quigley’s poll numbers from Jan. 8-13 in parentheses…

Quigley - 15 (14)
Feigenholtz - 12 (10)
O’Connor - 11 (8)
Oberman - 1 (2) [Dropped out]
Fritchey - 6 (7)
Annunzio - 5
Geoghegan - 4
Wheelan - 1
Forys - 1
Bryar 0
Other - 3
Undecided - 39

* Respondents were also read position statements for all candidates, with half hearing one Bryar message and half hearing another. The messages were not revealed, and only one of the halves was shared in the polling memo. These results have a +/- 6.91% margin of error…

Quigley - 20
Feigenholtz - 17
Bryar - 15
Fritchey - 10
Oberman - 10 [Dropped out]
Geoghegan - 9
Wheelan - 4
Other - 2
Undecided - 13

Notice, however, that Ald. Pat O’Connor doesn’t seem to be included in this round. Kinda weird.

* From the Fako polling memo…

Quigley (59% Name ID), Feigenholtz (41%), O’Connor (55%) and Fritchey (41%) hold only modest levels of name recognition. Their recognition is not deep or intense, with most of their ratings derived from soft, passive responses.

Their ratings are driven by geography. Their name ID and ratings diminish outside of their home areas, keeping a significant share of the vote up for grabs. […]

40% of the electorate is undecided, which is concentrated in the NW, outhern and suburban areas, all outside the more established candidates’ home bases.

Regional support can be seen in a graph from the polling memo by clicking here.

* Meanwhile, Mike Quigley’s first mailer went out this week. It features the Forrest Claypool endorsement and highlights Quigley’s battles against Cook County Board President Todd Stroger. Click on the pics for larger images…

* And Democrat Charlie Wheelan has a new and visually striking campaign ad…


…Adding… The ad will barely run on TV. $1500 on the news on Super Sunday, and then $6K on cable for one week, according to a rival campaign.

- Posted by Rich Miller   Comments Off      


PREVIOUS POSTS »
* Reader comments closed for the weekend
* Question of the day
* Emanuel blames state for phony school budget
* AFSCME: Cullerton plan "looks like extortion"
* BGA sues IHSA over FOIA
* Michelle Obama pledges "everything in our power" to help Quinn
* The consequences of budget cuts
* Meza wants to become involved in patronage lawsuit
* "Instant responders"
* Cullerton mulls a solution while the savants incite panic
* Here comes teh crazy - for real
* Caption contest!
* Today's quotable
* Adventures in state-funded stupidity
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today's edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)
* Yesterday's blog posts

Support CapitolFax.com
Visit our advertisers...

...............

...............


Search This Blog...

Search the 98th General Assembly By Bill Number
(example: HB0001)

Search the 98th General Assembly By Keyword

          
        * Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles movie tie-in game now on Android
        * Did Facebook leak on Instagram a new photo sharing app?
        * Samsung Galaxy Alpha, NFC tattoos, & a drool-worthy Moto X+1 leak | Pocketnow Weekly 106 (Hangout)
        * iPhone 6 clone functions, Moto X+1 leaks, Samsung Gear VR app & more – Pocketnow Daily
        * How I Crowdsource My Grocery Shopping With Instacart
        * Unlocking bill passes both houses of Congress: well on its way to becoming law
        * OneNote makes its way to Amazon Android devices

        * Xiaomi Mi4 Pre-orders Goes Live in Italy, Expected To Launch in August
        * NASA Releases Files So We Can 3D Print Space Stuff
        * Spotify Now Lets You Use One Device as a Remote for Another
        * Stephen King and 900 Other Authors Oppose ‘Thuggish’ Amazon
        * How to Enhance Your Netflix Experience With Third-Party Programs
        * Congress Makes Phone Unlocking Legal in the U.S.
        * Report: Facebook May Add Uber Integration to Messenger

        * Sale gets call as White Sox look to clinch series
        * Rodon, Kolek join $6 million club
        * Abreu's MLB-best 30th HR leads White Sox
        * Reinsdorf OK after episode of lightheadedness
        * Abreu, Viciedo lead outburst vs. Twins
        * Rodon, Kolek join $6 million club
        * Emotions building for large Hall of Fame class


        Main Menu
        Home
        Illinois
        YouTube
        Pundit rankings
        Obama
        Subscriber Content
        Durbin
        Burris
        Blagojevich Trial
        Advertising
        Updated Posts
        Polls

        Archives
        July 2014
        June 2014
        May 2014
        April 2014
        March 2014
        February 2014
        January 2014
        December 2013
        November 2013
        October 2013
        September 2013
        August 2013
        July 2013
        June 2013
        May 2013
        April 2013
        March 2013
        February 2013
        January 2013
        December 2012
        November 2012
        October 2012
        September 2012
        August 2012
        July 2012
        June 2012
        May 2012
        April 2012
        March 2012
        February 2012
        January 2012
        December 2011
        November 2011
        October 2011
        September 2011
        August 2011
        July 2011
        June 2011
        May 2011
        April 2011
        March 2011
        February 2011
        January 2011
        December 2010
        November 2010
        October 2010
        September 2010
        August 2010
        July 2010
        June 2010
        May 2010
        April 2010
        March 2010
        February 2010
        January 2010
        December 2009
        November 2009
        October 2009
        September 2009
        August 2009
        July 2009
        June 2009
        May 2009
        April 2009
        March 2009
        February 2009
        January 2009
        December 2008
        November 2008
        October 2008
        September 2008
        August 2008
        July 2008
        June 2008
        May 2008
        April 2008
        March 2008
        February 2008
        January 2008
        December 2007
        November 2007
        October 2007
        September 2007
        August 2007
        July 2007
        June 2007
        May 2007
        April 2007
        March 2007
        February 2007
        January 2007
        December 2006
        November 2006
        October 2006
        September 2006
        August 2006
        July 2006
        June 2006
        May 2006
        April 2006
        March 2006
        February 2006
        January 2006
        December 2005
        April 2005
        March 2005
        February 2005
        January 2005
        December 2004
        November 2004
        October 2004

        Blog*Spot Archives
        November 2005
        October 2005
        September 2005
        August 2005
        July 2005
        June 2005
        May 2005

        Syndication

        RSS Feed 2.0
        Comments RSS 2.0
        WordPress

        Loading


        * NJ Gov. Christie campaigns for Rauner in Chicag.....
        * Christie campaigns for Rauner in Chicago - Asbu.....
        * Chris Christie brings $2.5 million gift for Rau.....
        * More transparency will be required of Illinois .....
        * Quinn signs distance, online learning law..
        * Quinn signs higher education legislation at the.....


        * 1 dead, 6 others wounded on Chicago street
        * Feds' immigration figures may not give full story
        * Durbin hails new Chicago gun intelligence effort
        * Bulls' Noah releases PSA in fight against violence
        * NJ Gov. Christie campaigns for Rauner in Chicago
        * Illinois sets nonconference schedule
        * Man accused of taking computers from foot lockers
        * Illinois man gets 1 year in grant fraud scheme
        * Man, 18, charged in child death held without bond
        * Fast food workers prepare to escalate wage demands

        * Rauner continues push for Illinois term limits
        * Quinn 'deeply concerned' about immigrant children
        * Quinn anti-violence spending didn’t pull big votes
        * Gov. Christie to campaign for Rauner in Chicago
        * Business, labor: Speed up Illinois’ fracking rules
        * Teen collapses at Quinn campaign event
        * Quinn to OK marijuana use for children with epilepsy
        * Coalition: State must move faster on fracking
        * Illinois law a boost to ex-offenders seeking jobs
        * Statehouse Insider: Details, details. Rauner finally has details

        * House Ethics panel investigating Bobby Rush
        * Cook County health board selects new leaders
        * Chicago-Indianapolis Amtrak line losing subsidy
        * Living wage group says it's signed up 11,000 new Chicago voters
        * Obama aide says White House ready for Republican impeachment attempt


        * 1 dead, 6 wounded in East Garfield Park shooting
        * A humane approach to the border
        * 3-year-old boy shot on Southwest Side
        * ‘I have faith and hope,’ Lisa Stebic’s sister says
        * Stebic, Peterson families seek answers as ‘missing’ cases hit 7-year mark
        * Man, 26, charged with murder in killing of Gary police officer
        * Beleaguered Concept Charter finds new school site in Chatham
        * North Riverside puts plan to privatize fire department on hold
        * NAMUS offers way to share missing persons data
        * Prosecutor: Man argued with prep athlete before having him killed


        * Boy, 13, dead, young boy critically hurt among 9 wounded in city shootings
        * Christie brings $2.5 million for Rauner, springs for hot dogs
        * Christie brings $2.5 million for Rauner, springs for hot dogs
        * 2nd man charged in 2013 cabbie slaying
        * 13-year-old boy killed, 6 others shot on West Side
        * City Hall watchdog launches sweeping probe into red light camera program
        * 1 questioned, 1 sought in Orange Line robbery
        * chi-scene-of-the-crime-16yearold-killed-after-day-of-neighborhood-conflict-20140725_storylink
        * Fixed gear bicycle race planned for Saturday


        * Seven Months And Two Storms Later, Executive Mansion Gets Mini-Fix
        * State Police Cancels New Trooper Training, Citing Budget
        * Feds' Immigrant Numbers For Illinois May Not Tell Whole Story
        * Listen to State Week - July 25, 2014
        * Inspector General Discloses Political Hiring Investigation
        * Man Robbed By Fake Police On I-55
        * Illinois Sees Growth In Tax Revenue, But It Won't Last Long
        * Business, Labor Leaders Urge Quinn Administration To Finish Fracking Rules
        * Pullman to get an indoor sports facility
        * Board of Education approves "stop-gap" budget for 2015


        * Diane Lopez Hughes: Where is the compassion for children at the border?
        * Quinn 'deeply concerned' about immigrant children
        * Gov. Christie to campaign for Rauner in Chicago
        * Business, labor: Speed up Illinois’ fracking rules
        * Neal Waltmire: Rauner inconsistent, irresponsible on taxes
        * E.J. Dionne: Blind ideological justice
        * Esther Cepeda: Tough calls on border kids
        * Teen collapses at Quinn campaign event
        * GOP Rauner's campaign ad used made-up headlines
        * Lawyers will push to speed up pension reform ruling


        * Robert Stubblefield
        * Eva Tunnell
        * Mildred Vowels
        * Harvey Short
        * Burrell Davis
        * Sarah Ortiz
        * Rodney Lipe
        * Helen Foster
        * Earl Myers
        * Sharon Brown


        * Abreu's 30th homer blasts Sox past Twins 9-5
        * Audience moved by Mundelein teen's performance
        * Reinsdorf hospitalized in Cooperstown
        * Rockin' The Blocks continues Saturday in Palatine
        * These siblings splitting $20 million 17 ways

        * Measure to permanently prohibit internet t...
        * Illinois representatives bring issue of hu...
        * Shimkus, Davis to host human trafficking s...
        * Shimkus wearing two hats during election y...
        * Shimkus Praises Burwell v. Hobby Lobby Sup...
        * Shimkus to visit Marion veterans' hospital...
        * Shimkus Praises Burwell v. Hobby Lobby Dec...
        * Shimkus tours Marion VA Medical Center - T...
        * Congressman Shimkus Tours Marion VA - WSIL TV
        * US Representative to visit southern Illino...

        * Sen. Durbin Responds to Mideast Ceasefire ......
        * Sen. Durbin Responds to Mideast Ceasefire ......
        * Sen. Durbin Responds to Mideast Ceasefire ......
        * Sen. Durbin Responds to Mideast Ceasefire ......
        * Sen. Durbin Responds to Mideast Ceasefire ......

        * Feds' immigration numbers might not list a......

        * Group Kicks Off 4 Weekends Of Red Light Camera Protests, Events
        * The Big Lebowski
        * Woman participates in candlelight vigil for immigration reform near President Obama's Kenwood neighborhood home
        * "Keep the kids, deport the racists" sign at immigration reform protest near President Obama's Kenwood neighborhood home
        * Congressmen, Immigrant Advocates Call On Obama Administration To Allow DREAMers In Military
        * Vote Postponed On Privatization Of North Riverside Fire Department
        * Southeast Side Petcoke Company Seeks Exemptions From City Regulations
        * Foster To DoD: Let DREAMers Serve In Military
        * William McNary, of Citizen Action/Illinois, speaks Friday at a protest against Republican gubernatorial candidate Bruce Rauner
        * Roughly 100 people protested against a Republican gubernatorial candidate Bruce Rauner fundraiser on Friday


        * Governor Quinn Statement on Unaccompanied Children Crossing the US Border
        * Governor Quinn Welcomes New Class of Illinois State Police Troopers - 37 Police Academy Graduates Assigned Across the State
        * July 30 Hiring Event to Maximize Veterans' Non-Profit Job Opportunities - IDVA, IDES and U.S. Chamber Partner in first-of-kind event
        * Governor Quinn Signs Legislation to Ensure Quality Distance Learning and Online Education Programs - Also Signs Legislation to Streamline School Financial Processes and Extend Task Force on Civic Education
        * Governor Quinn Signs Legislation to Improve Charter School Fairness and Accountability - New Law Makes Lottery Process Transparent and Helps Prevent Conflicts of Interest




            Hosted by MCS SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax Advertise Here Mobile Version Contact Rich Miller