SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax      Advertise Here      Mobile Version     Exclusive Subscriber Content     Updated Posts    Contact
CapitolFax.com
To subscribe to Capitol Fax, click here.
Rose colored glasses

Friday, Apr 19, 2013

* The Department of Employment Security has been trying very hard to put the best spin on Illinois’ economic picture for months. Let’s start with IDES’ press release announcing the September, 2012 jobs report, which was not great compared to the national numbers, but still good for Illinois…

Illinois Adds 13,800 Jobs and Rate Falls to 8.8 Percent
Rate Drops for 10th time in 13 Months

CHICAGO – Illinois added +13,800 jobs in September and the unemployment rate fell for the 10th time in the past 13 months to reach 8.8 percent, according to preliminary data released today by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics and the Illinois Department of Employment Security (IDES). The data is seasonally adjusted.

“Today’s news is encouraging because it reinforces the trend of continued job growth,” IDES Director Jay Rowell said. “What we don’t know is how federal decisions regarding the fiscal cliff will impact Illinois’ economy.”

* The unemployment rate stopped falling in October of last year, but IDES trumpeted the new jobs added…

Illinois Adds 4,800 Jobs and Rate Holds at 8.8 Percent

CHICAGO – Illinois added +4,800 jobs in October and the unemployment rate held at 8.8 percent for the second consecutive month, according to preliminary data released today by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics and the Illinois Department of Employment Security (IDES). The data is seasonally adjusted. One year ago, the October unemployment rate was 10 percent.

“Job growth and an unemployment rate significantly lower than one year ago shows steady economic progress,” IDES Director Jay Rowell said. “Our eyes now turn toward Congress. Decisions must be made regarding the fiscal cliff so that Illinois’ economy can continue to recover.”

* November’s unemployment rate clicked back down again…

Illinois Adds 16,400 Jobs and Rate Falls to 8.7 Percent
November Monthly Job Gain Largest of the Year

CHICAGO – Illinois added +16,400 jobs in November and the unemployment rate fell to 8.7 percent, according to preliminary data released today by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics and the Illinois Department of Employment Security (IDES). The data is seasonally adjusted. One year ago, the November unemployment rate was 9.8 percent.

“November’s job growth is encouraging because it reinforces the trend of positive economic momentum,” IDES Director Jay Rowell said “The most immediate threat to that momentum is the fiscal cliff. If Congress does not work together to craft a solution, our economic progress will slow and we will risk another recession.”

* December’s unemployment rate held steady, despite a payroll decrease of 7,600. But it was a good month, according to IDES…

December Unemployment Unchanged at 8.7 Percent
Private Sector Job Growth Up 167,000 During the Recovery

CHICAGO – The December 2012 unemployment rate was unchanged at 8.7 percent, according to preliminary data released today by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics and the Illinois Department of Employment Security (IDES). The data is seasonally adjusted. One year ago, the December rate was 9.7 percent. Total payrolls decreased -7,600 in December 2012, nearly one-third of which were temporary layoffs with return-to-work dates in January, 2013.

“Illinois’ long-term trend is that of moderate growth punctuated by monthly up-and-down movement in the unemployment rate and the number of people working,” IDES Director Jay Rowell said. “This positive trend still is threatened by Congress and its continuing deliberations on the debt ceiling and the fiscal cliff.”

* The unemployment rate rose in January, but that was good news because more people were returning to their job searches, IDES told us…

January Unemployment Rate at 9.0 Percent
Private Sector Growth Up 222,100 During Recovery

CHICAGO – More people resuming their job search and entering the workforce pushed the January 2013 unemployment rate to 9.0 percent, according to preliminary data released today by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics and the Illinois Department of Employment Security (IDES). The data is seasonally adjusted. One year ago, the rate was 9.1 percent. Employers added 7,100 jobs in January 2013.

“An economic recovery naturally includes monthly up-and-down movement in the unemployment rate as individuals suspend and renew their job search,” IDES Director Jay Rowell said. “As cuts from sequestration are implemented during the next few months, we will have a better idea on how federal fiscal policy will impact Illinois.”

* The unemployment rate zoomed up to 9.5 percent in February, but that was no big deal either because the state’s employers added thousands of jobs…

Illinois Adds 12,400 Jobs in February
Job Growth Encourages More People to Look for Work

CHICAGO – Illinois added 12,400 jobs in February, continuing a three-year pattern of job growth that has intensified in the past seven months. Job growth has encouraged more people to look for work, especially those who gave up during the recession. Their re-entry into the labor force pushed the February unemployment rate to 9.5 percent, according to preliminary data released today by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics and the Illinois Department of Employment Security (IDES). Data is seasonally adjusted.

“This is the counter-intuitive part of an economic recovery. If job creation is picking up, how can unemployment be picking up as well?” IDES Director Jay Rowell said. “Job growth gives workers who previously gave up their job search hope that they, too, will be hired. As such, they re-energize their work search, jump back into the labor force and push up the unemployment rate.”

* March had more bad news, wiping out all of February’s job gains plus most of January’s. And the unemployment rate held steady. No matter, we’re better off than we were last year…

March Unemployment Rate Holds at 9.5 Percent
Job Growth Up Over Year Yet Down Over Month

CHICAGO – The March unemployment rate was 9.5 percent, unchanged from February, according to preliminary data released today by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) and the Illinois Department of Employment Security (IDES). As expected, Illinois recorded -17,800 fewer jobs compared to February even as it added +36,600 over March 2012. The data is seasonally adjusted.

“Illinois employers were expected to report fewer positions in March. Economic uncertainty nationally and abroad dampened our country’s job growth. When that happens, Illinois’ share tends to be a negative number,” IDES Director Jay Rowell said. “Monthly snapshots capture a moment in time. When those moments are evaluated together, we see progress away from a global recession and through a stubborn economic growth cycle marked by volatile swings in monthly data here and across our country.”

Discuss.

- Posted by Rich Miller        


22 Comments
  1. - WOW - Friday, Apr 19, 13 @ 11:48 am:

    What? The Quinn admin is misleading us, no way. LOL


  2. - Responsa - Friday, Apr 19, 13 @ 11:49 am:

    sell the chump a lump


  3. - OneMan - Friday, Apr 19, 13 @ 11:53 am:

    On the plus side IDES has hired an additional press aid, that kid for NIU who when NIU only scored 4 points in the first half of a basketball game instead led with NIU holds opponent to fewest points all season…


  4. - Norseman - Friday, Apr 19, 13 @ 11:54 am:

    CMS PIOs doing their best to make Lemonade out of Lemons.


  5. - RNUG - Friday, Apr 19, 13 @ 12:05 pm:

    liars, damn liars, and statisticians …

    Seriously, back in the day when I did track the IL unemployment numbers, the big driver was manufacturing. The big companies have cut back and continue to cut back. Think it wa slast week that both Decatur and Peoria got hit big time. Those jobs ain’t coming back.

    The other big economic driver was construction, especially housing … and that hasn’t really recovered.

    These days the IL economy has shifted to more of a service economy but that doesn’t do much for the numbers. More and more companies are convincing their customers that “self serve” is the way to go. Just pay attention as you go through your day. Pump your own gas. Use an ATM. Just a few items so you hit the self checkout at the grocery store. Look up the parts yourself in the catalogs in the auto parts store. Even gambling now is self service at a machine. You get the idea. All those activities used to be a job for someone. The compoanies are dojing more business but they aren’t hiring because they found a source of ‘free’ labor - us!

    It’s pretty much become a self-fulfilling result. The more money that gets diverted to paying unemployment, food stamps, past debt, etc., the less money government has to spend on big infrastructure constrution projects that might stimulate the economy in a positive fashion.

    Maybe I’m just in a pessimistic mode today, but I don’t see any end to the downward spiral … especially in IL.


  6. - HaroldVK - Friday, Apr 19, 13 @ 12:06 pm:

    Next month I expect that they will finally come clean and say “After year’s of analysis, this month’s numbers show that the people of Illinois are just not very good at governing ourselves. If there is a benevolent dictator or maybe a philosopher king that would like to give it a try, he/she should give us a call.”


  7. - HaroldVK - Friday, Apr 19, 13 @ 12:09 pm:

    Typo in the last post — “years” plural was intended. I may have started talking about a year’s worth of events and then edited part of it but forget to change that word. At least that’s my story. I’m not just another commenter who can’t distinguish plural from possessive. I can distinguish, but not type, the difference.


  8. - Arthur Andersen - Friday, Apr 19, 13 @ 12:14 pm:

    Who knew that “Baghdad Bob” found a job in Illinois?


  9. - Juvenal - Friday, Apr 19, 13 @ 12:26 pm:

    IDES is in a Catch-22. They are correct, monthly ups and downs in jobs numbers are not what matters, it is the trend line. And the “unemployment rate” IS a misleading number.

    At the same time, the feds and the state release monthly data, so you have to issue a press release that says something.

    Catch-22.

    My mom would be proud of them: “Find something nice to say about everybody.”


  10. - Meaningless - Friday, Apr 19, 13 @ 12:27 pm:

    RNUG brought up some really good points about unemployment stats, but in my opinion, this would also offer a good argument for our politicians to update our sales tax to include more services or self services. I don’t think our politicians have quite figured this out yet, but the additional revenue could go along way towards helping our state’s overall financial condition.


  11. - wordslinger - Friday, Apr 19, 13 @ 1:17 pm:

    The unemployment rate gives me a headache.

    When it goes down, some say it’s because people gave up looking. When it goes up, some say it’s because people are getting back in the market.

    You don’t have to be a weathermen to see which way the wind blows in my usual happy hunting grounds.

    A few years ago, there were cranes all over the city and the bars, lunch spots and trains were packed with ironworkers, electricians, etc.

    These days, I don’t see any building going on downtown.

    Things are still pretty good up on the North Shore corporate campuses, though. Their trains, shuttle bugs and parking lots are packed. Good work up there, if you can get it.


  12. - Cincinnatus - Friday, Apr 19, 13 @ 1:35 pm:

    Interesting by-county map:

    http://www.ides.illinois.gov/custom/library/statistic/LAUS/countymap.pdf

    Data at a glance:

    http://www.bls.gov/eag/eag.il.htm#eag_il.f.1

    Feb March

    6,639.7 6,611.9 Civilian Workforce

    6,012.2 5,982.7 Employed


  13. - Just Me - Friday, Apr 19, 13 @ 1:36 pm:

    Yup, our State’s employment situation is so awesome that we can easily raise taxes on job creators right now without any problem.


  14. - reformer - Friday, Apr 19, 13 @ 1:48 pm:

    Just me
    Before the temp income tax hike in 2011, IL had the lowest income tax rate of any of the 41 states with an income tax. IL still had a higher unemployment rate than average.


  15. - Robo - Friday, Apr 19, 13 @ 1:49 pm:

    I guess Illinois is a red state after all!


  16. - George Orwell - Friday, Apr 19, 13 @ 2:13 pm:

    Now that’s some serious spin doctoring gov speak…worthy of a shout out from yours truly.


  17. - Juvenal - Friday, Apr 19, 13 @ 2:18 pm:

    @wordslinger -

    Cranes and commercial construction are a lagging ecomic indicator, not a leading economic indicator.

    Folks don’t start building new buildings until the economy gets a full head of steam.

    If you want to know how the economy is doing and you’re looking for hard data, try retail sales, especially home appliances.


  18. - Colossus - Friday, Apr 19, 13 @ 2:24 pm:

    AA- of all placed, I did not expect Baghdad Bob to pop up here. Thank you.


  19. - Caveman - Friday, Apr 19, 13 @ 2:33 pm:

    @ reformer- Individual income taxes are only one factor in a states effective tax rate. Don’t forget corporate taxes, sales taxes, real estate taxes and unemployment insurance taxes. When you combine those Illinois ranks 29th in the nation. We are 47th in Corporate taxes.
    http://taxfoundation.org/article/2013-state-business-tax-climate-index


  20. - Cincinnatus - Friday, Apr 19, 13 @ 2:45 pm:

    Caveman,

    Don’t forget to add workers compensation burden and regulatory environment to your list!


  21. - Just Me - Friday, Apr 19, 13 @ 2:56 pm:

    @Reformer: so Illinois employment situation is great. I guess I missed that memo. (Oh wait, no, Pat Quinn gave it to me!)


  22. - Just The Way It Is One - Friday, Apr 19, 13 @ 4:34 pm:

    Boy, that Mr. Rowell and/or whatever member of his staff write those press releases could EASily pick up some part-time gigs as DJs, ‘cuz they sure know how to “spin” things! The sad, cruel reality is that no matter how much somebody is SMILING when they’re delivering tough news that’s hard to swallow, it’s still bad news, and it IS painful to clearly note that in 3 measly months Illinois Unemployment rate has INcreased 8/10 of a percent…!

    And despite any tunes on in the background being spun by some part-time DJs, pretty much the most honest reaction of Illinois citizens would have to fall AT LEAST somewhere between “Dang it!” and “OUCH!”


Sorry, comments for this post are now closed.


* Reader comments closed for the weekend
* No pension bump for Stermer, MJM still not persuaded on special session
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - More comptroller stuff
* 1:30 comptroller announcement expected - Stermer appointed, says he will resign January 12th
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Comptroller stuff
* Golden Horseshoe Awards
* Bears open thread
* More adventures in misgovernance
* Question of the day - Golden Horseshoe Awards
* Petulance all around
* Yesterday's blog posts

Support CapitolFax.com
Visit our advertisers...

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............


Search This Blog...

Search the 98th General Assembly By Bill Number
(example: HB0001)

Search the 98th General Assembly By Keyword

          
        * Google releases Android 5.0.2 for Nexus 7 (2012) tablet
        * Announcement timing is everything
        * Galaxy Note Edge Review
        * Oppo R5 vs HTC One M8: Thin vs. Powerful
        * Bring Back the Old School with the NES30 Bluetooth Controller [DEALS]
        * OnePlus One mini, BlackBerry Classic, Windows Phone ups & downs | Pocketnow Weekly 127
        * Get off the fence and go get a smartwatch

        * Verizon LG G Pad 8.3 Receives Minor Update
        * Intel Easy Migration App Announced
        * Microsoft Band Availability Point To Early 2015 Timeline
        * Mophie Powerstation Plus is the Smartest Battery Pack We’ve Ever Seen
        * Re/wind: Man, Things Are Not Looking Up For Sony, Bezos Gets Grilled and More
        * Creative Aurvana Live 2 Over-Ear Headphone Review
        * Nexus 4 Will Miss Out On Some Of Android 5.0′s New Camera Features

        * The year in injuries: White Sox have been better, could've been worse
        * Williams: Make protesting voices heard through vote
        * Williams: Make protesting voices heard through vote
        * White Sox also had a December to remember 100 years ago
        * Terrerobytes: Future of Cuban baseball complicated on both sides
        * White Sox sign George Kottaras to a minor league deal
        * Kottaras to join White Sox with Minor League deal

        ...............


        Main Menu
        Home
        Illinois
        YouTube
        Pundit rankings
        Obama
        Subscriber Content
        Durbin
        Burris
        Blagojevich Trial
        Advertising
        Updated Posts
        Polls

        Archives
        December 2014
        November 2014
        October 2014
        September 2014
        August 2014
        July 2014
        June 2014
        May 2014
        April 2014
        March 2014
        February 2014
        January 2014
        December 2013
        November 2013
        October 2013
        September 2013
        August 2013
        July 2013
        June 2013
        May 2013
        April 2013
        March 2013
        February 2013
        January 2013
        December 2012
        November 2012
        October 2012
        September 2012
        August 2012
        July 2012
        June 2012
        May 2012
        April 2012
        March 2012
        February 2012
        January 2012
        December 2011
        November 2011
        October 2011
        September 2011
        August 2011
        July 2011
        June 2011
        May 2011
        April 2011
        March 2011
        February 2011
        January 2011
        December 2010
        November 2010
        October 2010
        September 2010
        August 2010
        July 2010
        June 2010
        May 2010
        April 2010
        March 2010
        February 2010
        January 2010
        December 2009
        November 2009
        October 2009
        September 2009
        August 2009
        July 2009
        June 2009
        May 2009
        April 2009
        March 2009
        February 2009
        January 2009
        December 2008
        November 2008
        October 2008
        September 2008
        August 2008
        July 2008
        June 2008
        May 2008
        April 2008
        March 2008
        February 2008
        January 2008
        December 2007
        November 2007
        October 2007
        September 2007
        August 2007
        July 2007
        June 2007
        May 2007
        April 2007
        March 2007
        February 2007
        January 2007
        December 2006
        November 2006
        October 2006
        September 2006
        August 2006
        July 2006
        June 2006
        May 2006
        April 2006
        March 2006
        February 2006
        January 2006
        December 2005
        April 2005
        March 2005
        February 2005
        January 2005
        December 2004
        November 2004
        October 2004

        Blog*Spot Archives
        November 2005
        October 2005
        September 2005
        August 2005
        July 2005
        June 2005
        May 2005

        Syndication

        RSS Feed 2.0
        Comments RSS 2.0
        WordPress

        Loading


        * Quinn to deliver Christmas cards to wounded sol.....
        * Illinois Temporary Income Tax expires soon..
        * Quinn set to go to Maryland to visit soldiers..


        * 4 people including 2 children killed at Rockford home
        * 4 found dead, including 2 children, in Rockford
        * Quinn set to go to Maryland to visit soldiers
        * Illinois to get $1.6M for Heart of Dallas Bowl
        * Report: Illinois treasurer OK'd raises for dozens
        * 1 dead, many injured in shooting at suburban party
        * Milestone in osprey program as birds migrate
        * Raising juror pay, reducing juries gets mixed reviews
        * Police looking for suspect in Effingham shooting
        * Firefighters battle grain bin fire for 9 hours

        * Gov. Quinn set to go to Maryland to visit soldiers
        * State treasurer employees get raises, stipends as Rutherford’s term comes to end
        * Springfield-based U.S. attorney’s investigations nab 13; race questions raised
        * 2nd Illinois prison with possible chickenpox
        * Quinn signs bill increasing juror pay
        * Quinn names longtime aide Jerry Stermer comptroller until Jan. 12
        * Quinn signs law to nix deadline for asbestos lawsuits
        * Quinn to name comptroller replacement this afternoon
        * Madigan says T-Mobile settlement shields consumers
        * Quinn calls legislature back to Springfield to approve special election to replace Topinka

        * Can Garcia's run for mayor fire up independents?
        * Chicago's newest workout (and personal statement) options
        * A photo shop for photographers
        * The Life of Patrick Ryan: Act II, Scene 2
        * Office conversions kick small firms to the curb


        * Lakeview pot dispensary on hold; Tunney opposes Halsted location
        * Despite community pleas, CPS puts Dyett HS out for proposals
        * Quinn to appoint new Illinois Comptroller today
        * Gov. Quinn appoints longtime aide as Illinois comptroller
        * Watch: President Obama's year-end press conference
        * Rewriting the Sony cyberattack script
        * time for new course in Cuba
        * Are Rahm's numbers creeping up? New internals show him near 50
        * Obama guidance, press schedule, Dec. 19, 2014. Press conference
        * A whole lot of nothing from the City Council


        * Chicago-based Cards Against Humanity doles out pieces of Maine island
        * 1 dead, 5 wounded in separate West, South side shootings
        * Man killed at house party shooting was headed to Army
        * Bronzeville man held on $300K in Loop convenience store robbery
        * Borman Expressway closed in both directions
        * Operation Santa delivers cheer to fallen or injured officers' families
        * Mayoral challengers call for suspension of red light camera program
        * Cops warn of attempted child luring on West Side
        * Mother, her 2 young children among 4 found dead in Rockford


        * Listen to State Week - December 19, 2014
        * Quinn Picks Budget Chief To Be Temporary Comptroller
        * 'Uber-gentrification' a force in Chicago's West Loop
        * Durbin leaving Congressional roommates behind
        * Worries rise in Russia as ruble falls
        * Improviser finds purpose in Chicago police mental health crisis trainings
        * Chicago 'petcoke' handler says it'll enclose piles
        * Waukegan woman seeks to trademark 'I can't breathe'
        * Obama re-establishing US relations with Cuba
        * Teaching hospitals hit hardest by medicare fines for patient safety


        * Gov. Quinn set to go to Maryland to visit soldiers
        * Quote of the day: Sunday, Dec. 21, 2014
        * Bernard Schoenburg: Rauner talks of dogs, housing and the work ahead as governor
        * State treasurer employees get raises, stipends as Rutherford’s term comes to end
        * Cathy Becker: Because it’s the right thing to do
        * T. Ray McJunkins: Justice, righteousness descend to fulfill dream
        * Springfield-based U.S. attorney’s investigations nab 13; race questions raised
        * 2nd Illinois prison with possible chickenpox
        * Sen. Dick Durbin: Clean water access bill honors Simon
        * Charles Krauthammer: How to fight the lone wolf


        * Mount Vernon man arrested in shooting
        * Champaign police investigate armed robbery
        * Service observes winter solstice with quiet music and messages
        * 12-21-14 Illini Football Bowl Preview Show from Learfield Sports
        * UI Football Send Off Party
        * Dozens gather to remember the homeless
        * Mediacom customers affected by email outage
        * Upcoming Services
        * Unfair labor practice finding results in $300,000 settlement with St. Clair sheriff’s deputies
        * Unfair labor practice finding results in $300,000 settlement with sheriff’s deputies


        * QB Jameis Winston cleared in conduct hearing
        * Women's Top 25 Capsules
        * Stafford, Suh lead Lions over Bears 20-14
        * Powers, No. 18 Michigan State beat No. 19 Syracuse 89-76
        * Longtime Nashville radio personality Teddy Bart dead at 78

        * Ready for ABLE - Effingham Daily News
        * Shimkus discusses ABLE Act - Journal Gazet...
        * Rauner: 'I look forward to working very cl...
        * Rauner in D.C., backs state term limits, n...
        * US Republican congressman to work for bipa...
        * US Rep. Gregg Harper (R-MS) to Serve as Vi...
        * Climate deniers need the boot - Idaho Moun...
        * It's business as usual for election-tested...
        * John Shimkus Defeats Eric Thorsland In Ill...
        * Congressman John Shimkus wins 15th Distric...

        * Obama Takes a Page From Reagan's Trade Book...
        * Are Academics Limited When It Comes To Fre......

        * Illinois Teen Accused Of Trying To Join IS......

        * Rahm says SEIU 73’s Boardman can bargain away employee pensions. I don’t think so.
        * Elected retired delegates are on a watch list at the IEA RA.
        * Tollway Testing Apps To Let Drivers Pay Tolls, Get Travel Info
        * Rubio.
        * Sunday reads.
        * Mayor Emanuel continues getting cash from firms managing Chicago's pension money
        * Islamic State Mocks US With Photoshopped Santa Held Hostage
        * Islamic State Mocks U.S. With Photoshopped Santa Held Hostage
        * Politically Connected Profit From United Center Parking Scam
        * Ready Aim Fire


        * Governor Quinn Appoints Jerry Stermer as Illinois Comptroller
        * Governor Quinn Calls Legislative Special Session - Governor Urges Legislature to Set Up 2016 Special Election for Comptroller
        * Governor Quinn Announces Illinois’ Unemployment Rate Hits New Low - Illinois’ Economic Comeback Continues; Unemployment Rate Falls to Lowest Level in More than Six Years
        * Illinois Ranks #1 in Volunteer Rate Among the Country’s 8 Largest States - 2.57 Million Illinoisans Give $7.2 Billion in Service
        * Law Enforcement, IDOT Make Final Push to Save Lives in 2014, Roadside Safety Checks Planned Over Holidays - New Episode of “The Driving Dead” Premieres Friday as Holiday Travelers are Reminded to Drive Sober and Buckle Up




            Hosted by MCS SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax Advertise Here Mobile Version Contact Rich Miller