SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax      Advertise Here      Mobile Version     Exclusive Subscriber Content     Updated Posts    Contact
CapitolFax.com
To subscribe to Capitol Fax, click here.
Politico report: Enyart slipping fast, Callis dumped

Tuesday, Sep 2, 2014

* Politico’s Alex Isenstadt says Bill Enyart could be dumped soon

Despite the GOP’s troubles, Democrats remain anxious that the political environment could deteriorate still further before Election Day. They say two of their vulnerable incumbents, New Hampshire Rep. Carol Shea-Porter and Illinois Rep. Bill Enyart, may soon be lost causes and are scrambling to prevent that list from growing.

We’ll see. That’s certainly a tough district for Enyart in an off year with Pat Quinn’s numbers in the tank. But only one occupation polls lower than a sitting congressman: Illinois state legislator. Mike Bost has taken lots and lots of votes over the years.

* By the way, Bost is airing his first TV ad

* Back to the Politico article. Most of the chatter I heard over the weekend was about Ann Callis

Democrats have gradually narrowed their focus to protecting jeopardized incumbents and are likely to seriously invest in only the dozen or so candidates seen as realistic contenders for Republican-held seats. At the start of the cycle, for instance, national Democrats had been talking up the candidacies of Ann Callis, a former county judge running for an Illinois seat, and Amanda Renteria, a former Capitol Hill aide seeking a California seat. Neither candidate is now seen as likely to win, and neither is receiving as much attention.

The DCCC’s only evidence that they haven’t yet jettisoned Callis is their media buy reservations haven’t been canceled. Kinda thin soup.

* Meanwhile

Katie Prill, a spokeswoman for the National Republican Congressional Committee, said the GOP’s Illinois strategy has changed from defense to offense. The NRCC has spent a half million dollars on television ads to support Dold against Schneider, and a total of $1.4 million to support Mike Bost, who is facing the Democrat Enyart, and Davis in their races.

Prill singled out the Dold-Schneider race as a “huge pickup opportunity” for Republicans. Dold lost to Schneider in the independent-leaning district by about one percentage point in 2012.

The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee has spent $800,000 on ads so far in the Dold-Schneider race, and about $3.5 million in the other two districts. U.S. House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi recently appeared in Chicago to rally with Callis and Schneider, and push the Democratic campaign themes of equal pay for women and raising the minimum wage.

- Posted by Rich Miller        


24 Comments
  1. - Big Debbie - Tuesday, Sep 2, 14 @ 12:08 pm:

    Ummm…, the DCCC has field offices throughout the 13th, including here in Champaign. Might that not also be further evidence?


  2. - Oswego Willy - Tuesday, Sep 2, 14 @ 12:08 pm:

    Callis is sinking in the minds of those following this, but not sinking enough to see visible surrender yet.


  3. - train111 - Tuesday, Sep 2, 14 @ 12:26 pm:

    Callis was a no go from the beginning. No way the Dems were going to win in that district in an off year. DCCC is just starting to get around to reality.

    train111


  4. - Truth Squad - Tuesday, Sep 2, 14 @ 12:29 pm:

    Instead of asking to prove that something is not happening, we could have proof that it is happening?


  5. - Steven - Tuesday, Sep 2, 14 @ 12:41 pm:

    Davis has been doing what any moderately-conservative Republican should be doing in 13. He has run to the center on most issues and stayed conservative on abortion rights. The student centers in the district (Bloomington, Champaign, Edwardsville) are not coming out this year. Democratic support among young people is down thanks to Obama’s intelligence programs. That’s not to say young people are Republican suddenly, but it certainly doesn’t help the Democrats.


  6. - Formerly Known As... - Tuesday, Sep 2, 14 @ 12:42 pm:

    If the DCCC or other groups dump you at this stage, there is rarely a clear “breakup” moment. There is no long note, no dramatic fight, and no teary-eyed phone call.

    You may hear rumors, but that’s about it for now.

    The ad cancellation doesn’t come for another few weeks. After they have moved on.


  7. - Truth Squad - Tuesday, Sep 2, 14 @ 12:56 pm:

    I still see zero evidence of a “dumping.” I see one article that says she is not “seen” as winning, and is not getting as much “attention.” It definitely does not say the DCCC has pulled out from the race. It is pretty irresponsible to say that without pointing to any evidence. Without a poll or data or anything to point to, those are just unsupported opinions.


  8. - wordslinger - Tuesday, Sep 2, 14 @ 1:04 pm:

    The “Politico” article contradicts itself.

    –Democrats have gradually narrowed their focus to protecting jeopardized incumbents..–

    It seems Enyart would qualify.

    “Politico” is more DC gossip sheet than journalism.


  9. - LincolnLounger - Tuesday, Sep 2, 14 @ 1:17 pm:

    Agree with Formerly. Staff will be quietly re-assigned by DCCC and ad time eventually canceled. It doesn’t help Callis that the gubernatorial ad buys are going to drive the prices up sky high.

    In the end, I don’t think this one will be particularly close.


  10. - VanillaMan - Tuesday, Sep 2, 14 @ 1:20 pm:

    They have been written off by Washington insiders, so they will need to win locally.

    It can be done, and when it happens those same Washington insiders marvel.


  11. - Winning with Sheen - Tuesday, Sep 2, 14 @ 1:21 pm:

    They will go all in at the end to save Enyart. Callis is done.


  12. - Truth Squad - Tuesday, Sep 2, 14 @ 1:24 pm:

    Evidence? Facts? This conversation is lacking in anything substantial to point to other than unsupported opinions of anonymous posters


  13. - Arthur Andersen - Tuesday, Sep 2, 14 @ 1:38 pm:

    Once they see Callis’ terrible teevee ad a few times, that should do it.


  14. - Ahoy! - Tuesday, Sep 2, 14 @ 1:51 pm:

    Davis has just out worked Callis by such a large margin I can only assume that Callis doesn’t have the fire in the belly to run.

    I’m not as familiar with Enyart’s race, but if I remember correctly, he wont by much larger margins than he was polling and Boost not only has a lot votes, do people really want a paper throwing pre-madona over a National Guard general for congress? I definitely wouldn’t count Enyart out.


  15. - Proud - Tuesday, Sep 2, 14 @ 2:03 pm:

    The taxpayers have shelled out $350,000 salary and millions more for support staff and travel! Congressman Bill Enyart discussed his proudest moment since being elected in 2012. What was it? Being the only NO vote on a measure that would have allowed military chaplains to do their jobs during the government shutdown last year. So all we got was a NO vote against chaplains volunteering, to hold services. If you wonder why congress has such a low approval rating. This is one of the answers.


  16. - Team Sleep - Tuesday, Sep 2, 14 @ 2:09 pm:

    Ahoy - you do know that Mike Bost is a retired Marine and business owner, right?! He’s not just some “paper-throwing Prima donna”.


  17. - Team Sleep - Tuesday, Sep 2, 14 @ 2:11 pm:

    I never have understood Callis vacating her prime judicial spot to run for Congress. She would have been first in line to run for Supreme Court of Appellate Court when a true opening became available. Instead, she’s now (figurative) damaged goods going forward.


  18. - Yep - Tuesday, Sep 2, 14 @ 2:27 pm:

    The Enyart polling numbers tanking was foreseen for awhile. Until this calendar year he was MIA in the vast majority of his district so he did not build up sufficient goodwill district-wide to withstand a serious GOP challenger with GOP-affiliated PACs behind him. Plus, Enyart has probably been through at least 6 “campaign managers” in the last 12 months. Does this all mean that Enyart loses? Not yet, but if the current trends continue and the Democrats’ brand is so bad that Durbin has to eke out a victory against Oberweis, Enyart could have big trouble (as could Bustos and others I suppose).
    And if Durbin’s polling lead doesn’t improve markedly and soon it seems at least conceivable that some of those national GOP PAC’s could dump some money in IL against Durbin to see if they can pull an upset against Reid’s #2 or at least force the DSCC to dump money in IL rather than in some of the competitive U.S. Senate races elsewhere in the country. That could be fatal to Enyart, Bustos, and Schneider and could really hurt Dems up and down the ballot in Illinois as well as help deliver the US Senate to the GOP. The plot thickens.


  19. - Summerwind - Tuesday, Sep 2, 14 @ 2:55 pm:

    Before long, a poll will come out on Davis-Callis. If Davis is meaningfully over 50%, then the DNCC probably pulls back, not before.


  20. - Almost the Weekend - Tuesday, Sep 2, 14 @ 3:39 pm:

    With Callis I do wonder why she has not put her own money into the campaign. If the race was close, I’m sure she would have dumped $500K of her own money to solidify her media buys. I would love to see Pat Quinn’s number in the 13th, they have to be hovering around the high teens.

    Rodney Davis gets a second term, but I think 2016 he is KO’d. If Hillary runs, I can see Callis going back at it again. However, watch out for Manar, the guy is a relentless campaigner, and can raise some serious cash.


  21. - Ahoy! - Tuesday, Sep 2, 14 @ 4:04 pm:

    Team Sleep,

    No, like I said in the post, I’m not that familiar with that district, I’m going to guess that you know a lot more about it than I do. Also, It looks like he served 3 years in the Marine corp and according to his own website was honorably discharged, he did not retire as a Marine. Also, not entirely sure what kind of business he owns (although I think it’s a beauty salon), but neither of those things prevent someone from being a “paper-throwing Prima donna.” It’s America, you can be a lot of things and that’s a good thing.

    Like I said, I’m not familiar with the district or the candidates that much, but I’m going to go on a limb and say that video gets brought up quite a bit along with about 20 years of state voting records. I highly doubt the dems pull out of that district.


  22. - Johnny Justice - Wednesday, Sep 3, 14 @ 1:44 am:

    Don’t count Callis out. She is a great candidate. When you put their current TV ads side to side, there’s no question Callis wins that one. Who cares that Davis coaches his son’s football team?


  23. - T.J. - Wednesday, Sep 3, 14 @ 3:10 am:

    I live in IL-13 and have never heard of Manar anywhere but here, repeatedly. It’s cute but weird, like if a Leif Garrett fan club were still active.


  24. - Rolo Tomasi - Wednesday, Sep 3, 14 @ 2:58 pm:

    Still not sure why this is a tight race other than voter turn out. IL-12 would be downgrading from someone with 2 years as a politician compared to 20 years in Springfield.

    3 Year military career compared to Enyart with 35 years and rank as a 2 star.

    Did Bost attain a degree other than a certificate as a fireman? Enyart has 2 post graduate degrees, one from the War College in Pennsylvania and a J.D.

    “Beltway Bill” after two years. Give me a break.


TrackBack URI

Sorry, comments for this post are now closed.


* US judge orders hiring monitor at IDOT
* Underdog endorsements
* Birth control, millionaires and the minimum wage
* Good morning!
* Yesterday's blog posts

Support CapitolFax.com
Visit our advertisers...

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............


Search This Blog...

Search the 98th General Assembly By Bill Number
(example: HB0001)

Search the 98th General Assembly By Keyword

          
        * Samsung Galaxy Note 4 teased with Android 5.0 Lollipop
        * Pandora Now Offers Audience Data To Musicians
        * Fantastical for iPhone and iPad Go iOS 8-Only With Widgets, Extensions, and More
        * Excited for Android TV? Try it unofficially on the OUYA
        * Minuum keyboard update: better language switching, more languages
        * Camels, sleds, and fishing boats: 7 wacky Google Street View vehicles
        * Groupon Goes After Yelp And Google With Millions Of Individual Business Pages

        * How to Tap Your Network and See Everything That Happens On It
        * Go Camping For a Week to Learn Your Body's Natural Sleep Cycle
        * Microsoft Stops Surface Pro 2 Tablet Sales From Its Online Store
        * Avi-on Wireless Light Switch Offers A 100ft Range And 3yr Battery (video)
        * UK Launch of Google Nexus 6 Delayed (Rumor)
        * In Palo Alto, Even the Hummus Guy Has an E-Commerce Startup
        * Draw a Perfect Circle with a Speed Square

        * 23 potential MLB free agents as SkyMall items
        * World Series Game 1: Notes and discussion
        * The e-gus off-season plan
        * Reading Room: A wild card of a World Series
        * Following same path as '59 White Sox, KC eyes title
        * larry's Offseason Plan
        * Abreu wins Sporting News' AL Rookie of the Year honors


        Main Menu
        Home
        Illinois
        YouTube
        Pundit rankings
        Obama
        Subscriber Content
        Durbin
        Burris
        Blagojevich Trial
        Advertising
        Updated Posts
        Polls

        Archives
        October 2014
        September 2014
        August 2014
        July 2014
        June 2014
        May 2014
        April 2014
        March 2014
        February 2014
        January 2014
        December 2013
        November 2013
        October 2013
        September 2013
        August 2013
        July 2013
        June 2013
        May 2013
        April 2013
        March 2013
        February 2013
        January 2013
        December 2012
        November 2012
        October 2012
        September 2012
        August 2012
        July 2012
        June 2012
        May 2012
        April 2012
        March 2012
        February 2012
        January 2012
        December 2011
        November 2011
        October 2011
        September 2011
        August 2011
        July 2011
        June 2011
        May 2011
        April 2011
        March 2011
        February 2011
        January 2011
        December 2010
        November 2010
        October 2010
        September 2010
        August 2010
        July 2010
        June 2010
        May 2010
        April 2010
        March 2010
        February 2010
        January 2010
        December 2009
        November 2009
        October 2009
        September 2009
        August 2009
        July 2009
        June 2009
        May 2009
        April 2009
        March 2009
        February 2009
        January 2009
        December 2008
        November 2008
        October 2008
        September 2008
        August 2008
        July 2008
        June 2008
        May 2008
        April 2008
        March 2008
        February 2008
        January 2008
        December 2007
        November 2007
        October 2007
        September 2007
        August 2007
        July 2007
        June 2007
        May 2007
        April 2007
        March 2007
        February 2007
        January 2007
        December 2006
        November 2006
        October 2006
        September 2006
        August 2006
        July 2006
        June 2006
        May 2006
        April 2006
        March 2006
        February 2006
        January 2006
        December 2005
        April 2005
        March 2005
        February 2005
        January 2005
        December 2004
        November 2004
        October 2004

        Blog*Spot Archives
        November 2005
        October 2005
        September 2005
        August 2005
        July 2005
        June 2005
        May 2005

        Syndication

        RSS Feed 2.0
        Comments RSS 2.0
        WordPress

        Loading


        * Attorneys due in court for Quinn hiring lawsuit.....
        * Haine calls on Gov. Quinn to deny clemency to c.....
        * Attorneys due in court for Quinn hiring lawsuit.....
        * Attorneys due in court for Quinn hiring lawsuit.....
        * Attorneys expected in court for lawsuit over hi.....
        * Today in Politics..


        * Vice President Joe Biden to return to Illinois
        * Indiana man was violent long before 7 killings
        * Vice President Joe Biden to campaign in Illinois
        * NY man gets 130 years in prison for 2 killings
        * Self, Weber expected at Wayne McClain funeral
        * Durbin, Oberweis to meet in 1st US Senate debate
        * Attorneys due in court for Quinn hiring lawsuit
        * Vice President Joe Biden to campaign in Illinois
        * Man convicted in officer's killings paroled
        * No trick: Across US, Halloween bumped for football

        * Rep. Raymond Poe to undergo stem cell transplant
        * Bill Clinton campaigns for Quinn, Durbin
        * Quinn, Rauner spar over jobs, taxes
        * Election 2014: Learn about all the candidates
        * What to watch for in third governor debate tonight
        * U of I sees turning point as election nears
        * Chicago Sun-Times endorses Rauner for governor
        * Sun-Times, Belleville, Champaign, Peoria newspapers endorse Rauner for governor
        * Bill Clinton to address workers at pro-Quinn rally
        * Body camera use concerns Illinois police officers

        * Abbott beats Wall Street estimates
        * Boeing beats estimates, raises forecast
        * Social Security checks to get only a little bigger again
        * Social Security checks to bigger — but only a little
        * What's next for Tribune, Sun-Times in burb paper deal


        * Sparse crowd at CPS HQ before Board of Ed vote on Hancock school
        * Indiana officials identify fourth body found after arrest of suspected serial killer
        * Jail guard smuggled weed in sandwiches, feds say
        * Father Bob Botthof, teacher who became priest after losing wife, dies at 85
        * Back to the past with mayor’s move
        * Court officials suggest ISIS wannabe could be released from jail on bond
        * Tentative deal at U of I hospital averts threatened nurses’ strike, union says
        * Unemployment rates fall in 31 states, including Illinois
        * 3 Daley scandals cost Chicago taxpayers over $6 million
        * Dr. Lawrence Solomon: Renowned dermatologist, book collector loved a mystery


        * After days of talking to police, suspected serial killer refuses to speak to judge
        * Police: Motorist charged after trying to strike police with vehicle
        * 2 under observation at hospitals after falling ill during flights from Liberia to O'Hare
        * Chicago Public Schools enrollment drops again
        * Waukegan schools remain closed Wednesday
        * 12 New Trier students sent to peer jury in sexting case
        * Fire fighters battle blaze in Logan Square
        * Downers Grove blaze sends firefighter to hospital
        * Woman killed in Park Manor car crash
        * Two injured in Warrenville car crash


        * 13th Dist. Candidates Talk NAFTA, Ebola During Springfield Debate
        * Attorneys Due In Court For Quinn Hiring Lawsuit
        * Business Report: Former Restaurant Near Statehouse Up For Auction; Downtown Springfield Inc. Update
        * Small Campaign Contributions Amount To Chump Change
        * Civic Fed: Lawmakers Once Again Taking Illinois Down Bad Budget Path
        * Cheddar's Leaves Springfield WUIS-SJR Business Report
        * Area Cub Scouts Burned In Explosion
        * Notes On The Final Governor Debate
        * Task Force Hopes To Help Turn Students Into Good Citizens
        * Digging up the history of a Civil War camp on Chicago's South Side


        * Our Opinion: Choice for Illinois comptroller comes down to experience
        * Rep. Raymond Poe to undergo stem cell transplant
        * Bill Clinton campaigns for Quinn, Durbin
        * Joanna McQuillan Weeks: Cheese balls deserve more respect
        * Our Opinion: White, Madigan for another term
        * Quinn, Rauner spar over jobs, taxes
        * Our Opinion: Say yes to Magro’s project
        * John Schick: Letter confirmed aggression toward bicyclists
        * Election 2014: Learn about all the candidates
        * U of I sees turning point as election nears


        * Daily Digest 10/22/14
        * Beardstown closer to E911 agreement
        * Victims' rights advocates promote upcoming ballot question
        * Who's That Illini? Pride of Peoria still contributing
        * Gang of car thieves leads police pursuit through metro-east
        * Daily business briefing: Johnson and Johnson to test Ebola vaccine
        * Three A-J football players face expulsion for alleged bullying
        * Ed Kelly 10/22/2014
        * 3 dead in another violent day in St. Louis
        * Thieves hit the fields to swipe farmer's soybeans


        * Bartlett traffic gets glowing review despite residents' complaints
        * 'Girlfriend' crack makes Obama voting all laughs
        * Judge reviews mental state of stabbing suspect
        * Asian carp DNA found in Green Bay's Fox River
        * Lawsuit: Mom, daughter assaulted by clowns with sex toys at haunted house

        * Patrick Cannon defense strategy rare but n...
        * Feds fine Jesse Jackson Jr.'s campaign com...
        * Ex-Congressman Jesse Jackson Jr. faces sen...
        * Representative Jan Schakowsky Sends Letter...
        * Rep. candidate pushes to uphold marriage b...
        * Reps. Schakowsky and Waxman Introduce Bill...
        * Statement by Representative Jan Schakowsky...
        * U.S. House Passes Resolution Condemning An...
        * FAA Rejects Call For New O'Hare Noise Stud...
        * Representatives Quigley, Duckworth, Schako...

        * Durbin, Oberweis to meet in 1st US Senate ......
        * Durbin, Oberweis to meet in 1st US Senate ......
        * Durbin, Oberweis to meet in 1st US Senate ......
        * Durbin, Oberweis to meet in 1st US Senate ......
        * Durbin, Oberweis to meet in 1st US Senate ......

        * Online Marketplace for Sex Led Indiana Ser......
        * Alleged Serial Killer Used Online Advertis......
        * Ill. wants US help to clean up West Chicag......

        * Cook County Voting Machine Miscasts Candidate's Vote
        * Our College Guidance Will Just take You To The Leading
        * Robling: Time to Defeat Dick Durbin
        * Illinois Watchdog Radio - Live on IR
        * Clinton hails Durbin and Quinn as "the future"
        * University of Chicago Endowment Reaches $7.5 billion
        * Ryan T. Anderson and the Future of Marriage [video]
        * Oberweis Releases New Testimonial Video
        * Former Labor President Backs Schilling
        * Sun-Times defends itself and its reporter in Rauner/Quinn controversy


        * New TV Ad: Endorsed
        * Governor Quinn Statement on Positive Economic News - Illinois Led the Midwest in Job Creation in September and Had Second Best Growth in Nation; Unemployment Rate Has Dropped More Than Any Other State in the Last Year
        * Rauner Campaign Statement on Final Debate
        * What They’re Saying About Pat Quinn
        * What They’re Saying About Bruce Rauner




            Hosted by MCS SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax Advertise Here Mobile Version Contact Rich Miller