Capitol Fax.com - Your Illinois News Radar » Daily Herald/ABC7 poll: 48-32-12 *** Updated x1 ***
SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax      Advertise Here      Mobile Version     Exclusive Subscriber Content     Updated Posts    Contact
CapitolFax.com
To subscribe to Capitol Fax, click here.
Daily Herald/ABC7 poll: 48-32-12 *** Updated x1 ***

Monday, Oct 30, 2006

Even more so than with the Daily Herald’s congressional polling, all of these gubernatorial numbers are postively ancient, since the poll was conducted Oct. 16-22, according to the paper. In other words, they sat on these results for eight days and some of the numbers are over two weeks old.

The governor led Topinka by 16 percentage points, 48 percent to 32 percent, in the poll. And in a sign voters view this as the proverbial “None-of-the-Above” election, little-known Green Party candidate Rich Whitney polled 12 percent support, likely an unprecedented showing for a third-party candidate in Illinois. […]

In this campaign, though, women voters backed Blagojevich by a nearly 2-to-1 margin. And the governor led Topinka by 13 percentage points, 45-32 percent, in suburban Cook, and by 12 percentage points, 47-35 percent, in the DuPage, Lake, Kane, McHenry and Will collar counties.

That campaign is working, the poll shows. Asked to rate Topinka on a 1-10 scale, those surveyed rated her a 4.0 - lower than any statewide candidate this fall and even lower than President Bush, who rated a 4.2. Topinka was rated a 5.6 just two years earlier.

Blagojevich’s own rating stood at 4.6, dropping a full point from two years ago, a likely indication the seemingly endless stream of stories about corruption allegations in his administration is taking a toll.

*** UPDATE *** The Tribune/WGN poll isn’t on the Web yet, but I’m told the results are: 44-29-13

- Posted by Rich Miller        

27 Comments
  1. - Garp - Monday, Oct 30, 06 @ 6:20 pm:

    In my own polling, which constitutes going door to door, I also have found that women do not like JBT and I really don’t think there is anything she can do about it. A very strange election. Every time a bad story comes out about Blago, JBT drops 2 points.


  2. - Squideshi - Monday, Oct 30, 06 @ 6:38 pm:

    I wish that the pollsters would do head to head matchups between Whitney and his opponents, like they do for for Blago and Topinka. I think that we would see some very interesting results.


  3. - Little Egypt - Monday, Oct 30, 06 @ 6:39 pm:

    Rich, if the numbers are so ancient, why post them?


  4. - HRH Weezer - Monday, Oct 30, 06 @ 6:42 pm:

    If Judy’s camp were smart they would get more air time with Joe Birkett in the next week. Put that man in front of the cameras — he’s far more likable than Judy and could help sway some of the undecideds and none-of-the-abovers.


  5. - Rich Miller - Monday, Oct 30, 06 @ 6:43 pm:

    LE, ABC7 is the number one news station in Chicago. When they run these numbers, it’s news. Somebody has to point out the age of the numbers, however, and that’s what I did.


  6. - Southern Illinois Democrat - Monday, Oct 30, 06 @ 6:49 pm:

    JBT is done. Now the thing to watch is how high will Whitney go? Can he reach 15 or 20 percent? Can he actually win a county? This could be the biggest story of the night.


  7. - NoGiftsPlease - Monday, Oct 30, 06 @ 6:52 pm:

    The people I know would be indifferent between JBT and Blago,and would like to vote Blago out. Unfortunately the Quinn vs. Birkett angle makes JBT unelectable for moderates. She really shot herself in the foot with that choice.


  8. - DOWNSTATE - Monday, Oct 30, 06 @ 7:06 pm:

    Why do the Chicago polls show higher numbers than other polls.


  9. - GOPGal - Monday, Oct 30, 06 @ 7:25 pm:

    If you watched the interviews on ABC7 with some of the voters polled, you would see that their opinions are timeless. There was very little in their reasoning behind their vote that would suggest they would have changed their opinion over this past week.

    Let’s face it, if the numbers were favorable for Topinka would there be any mention of the fact the poll was 8 days old. No. Of course not.


  10. - Lovie's Leather - Monday, Oct 30, 06 @ 7:29 pm:

    SID, to paraphrase John Candy from the movie Plains, Trains, and Automobiles… “We would have a better chance playing pick-up sticks with our butt-cheeks” than Rich Whitney winning a county….


  11. - DOWNSTATE - Monday, Oct 30, 06 @ 7:48 pm:

    Research 2000 on Realclear ran 800lv from 10/23 to 10/26 and came up with 9+ for Blago and about the same timeline Survey came up with 10+.So if we are to beleive the Herald Blago has lost 6 to 7 points.


  12. - elginite.org - Monday, Oct 30, 06 @ 8:15 pm:

    Is it too late for a write-in campaign for Jim Edgar?


  13. - Real Clear - Monday, Oct 30, 06 @ 8:42 pm:

    Now that Topinka’s on the defensive with the revelations about her pals Kjellander and Cellini, she’ll keep dropping. Judy fans should be careful what they wish for. Newer polls will show her doing even worse. Count on it.

    Just 5 more points to drop by election day and she’ll be down to Alan Keyes’ 27%!


  14. - Southern Illinois Democrat - Monday, Oct 30, 06 @ 8:44 pm:

    Lovies, Illinois voters gave a county or two to Keyes and Blago lost several in the primary. I dont think it will happen either, but stranger things have happened.


  15. - steve schnorf - Monday, Oct 30, 06 @ 8:59 pm:

    I think Keyes won four, all in southeatern part of the state.


  16. - politicaljunkie - Monday, Oct 30, 06 @ 9:27 pm:

    Real Clear…..JBT IS NOT buddies with Kjellander and Cellini. Yes, she did try to cut a deal to bring in some money for the hotel. The idea was hatched by Marty Kavorik (I believe he was her first Deputy Treasurer or something like that). The esteemed Mr. Jim Ryan put the kabosh on it for purely political reasons. In retrospect, it would have been a good deal. The money could have been invested 11 years ago. As it is, I don’t believe the state has received $0 and probably never will. The original hotel loan was OKed by Jim Thompson’s administration. Trust me on this….if JBT, Kjellander and Cellini were that great of friends the big money Republicans (50-60 year old white guys) would have dumped a ton of cash into her election. They were a no show. And it is what it is.


  17. - Cassandra - Monday, Oct 30, 06 @ 9:48 pm:

    Well, it’s not over til it’s over.

    And voters are gonna do what they’re gonna do.

    But if JBT loses, the next day Repubs should be planning for 2010. Because it’s going to be a really bad four years for the Dems. Investigations, big financial problems, chickens coming home.


  18. - Anon - Monday, Oct 30, 06 @ 9:58 pm:

    Zogby has a new poll out that has the race 39-33. Even better, the poll wasn’t taken when Jesus was a kid (like the Daily Herald’s).


  19. - Confused Republican - Monday, Oct 30, 06 @ 10:31 pm:

    Must be another homerun for Topinka huh?


  20. - Where's the Leadership??? - Monday, Oct 30, 06 @ 10:51 pm:

    It is amazing that I travel the state from Cairo to dang near Cheeseland, and I have spoken to people and outside the city of Chicago, I can’t find hardly ANYONE who is voting for the Gov…..They are not happy with Judy, but they say she is better that what is in there??? Yet all the polls have her way down.


  21. - JakeCP - Monday, Oct 30, 06 @ 11:06 pm:

    I believe that these polls are very misleading and that the only polls we should follow are on election day. If only Jim Oberweis wouldn’t act so bitter and support Topinka and gover her tons of cash then it would be neck and neck because of all the ads she would eb airing. This is why the ILGOP is so messed up because they don’t support each other.


  22. - GOPGal - Monday, Oct 30, 06 @ 11:06 pm:

    The latest Tribune/WGN poll has Topinka down 15.


  23. - JakeCP - Monday, Oct 30, 06 @ 11:09 pm:

    For some reason I think Topinka is going to win. I know that sounds ironic at this point.


  24. - steve schnorf - Tuesday, Oct 31, 06 @ 1:34 am:

    I read this earlier and then went out and had dinner, but I couldn’t get something out of my mind. So, I came back and re-read it.

    This poll has the Governor leading JBT by 15%, and the Governor’s head-to-head at 44%. But, if I read it correctly, built into those numbers is a finding that the Governor will win women 2-1. He won’t. No matter the good or the bad, I can’t imagine him winning that cohort more than 60-40, which would be a total blowout, but it’s far from 2-1.

    And, built into those numbers is a finding that he will win the collars by 12%, for all practical purposes the margin he is leading in suburban Cook. I may be completely out of touch, but I think he won’t win the collars by 12%. I can’t imagine a scenario much worse than approximately 50-50, and I suspect that JBT will carry the collars.

    I have neither the time nor the willingness to do the math, but it appears to me that if you back out of the Governor’s numbers the overestimates among women and in the collars, and add those back into JBT’s, the head-to-head is probably pretty close in this poll.

    Unless, of course, the poll understates the Governor’s lead in the city, in which case you would have to do the reverse math.


  25. - Squideshi - Tuesday, Oct 31, 06 @ 9:20 am:

    I have been pretty pleased with ABC7 Chicago.

    This is unlike CBS2 Chicago, which has been blatently biased against Rich Whitney, explicitly REFUSING to include him in their “Straight 2 The Issues” segment, airing every day between now and election day.

    Considering that the last Glengariff Group poll showed that 70% of Illinois voters want Whitney included, this is an incredibly BAD business decision by CBS2 Chicago; and it only demonstrates that they are out of sync with what their viewing audience wants. I will be doing my best to bring that message to their investors and advertisers.


  26. - Burbs - Tuesday, Oct 31, 06 @ 10:52 am:

    JakeCP - Monday, Oct 30, 06 @ 11:06 pm:

    Oberweis has urged voters to vote for Topinka.


  27. - Angie - Tuesday, Oct 31, 06 @ 12:12 pm:

    JakeCP wrote, “I believe that these polls are very misleading and that the only polls we should follow are on election day.”

    I have to concur with Jake. Maybe the kid will get some decent textbooks soon after all? lol

    As far as, “This is why the ILGOP is so messed up because they don’t support each other.”

    No, the Illinois GOP was left in an absolute shambles because Ryan was an absolute crook. This party needs to reform and rebuild into a viable party (aka one that can get candidates elected in what has generally been a blue state).

    JBT was one of the few left standing after the Ryan fiasco, so if anyone is griping about their choices, just stop it, because you’re lucky to have someone with as much experience in state government as she does who was actually still left standing and untainted by investigations.

    Rod had his shot at reform and has been a failure. The clear choice is a no-brainer come November, and if help is not forthcoming from JBT, then she, too, will be a one term governor. In fact, perhaps Illinois ought to just stick to one term governors so we can get any crooks who want to run locked up faster!

    Best solution is to clone Fitz, of course, but that opens up an ethical can of worms. But one can dream.;-)


Sorry, comments for this post are now closed.


* Caption contest!
* Federal rules protecting net neutrality have expired! Support House Bill 4819
* Harmon says he has votes in Senate for gun shop licensing override, but future still unsure
* It's just a bill
* Rauner makes "official" trade show announcement seven months after it was announced
* *** UPDATED x1 *** Biss says he wants more details about Pritzker's progressive tax plan, Rauner campaign agrees
* Question of the day
* *** UPDATED x1 *** Why was Travis Reinking allowed to keep his guns?
* Comptroller: State racked up "two decades worth of late payment interest penalties in just over two years"
* Madigan says he hasn't made up his mind on legalizing marijuana
* Illinois Legislators: Make Health Coverage Fair by Supporting HB 4146
* Rauner's new website slams Pritzker-Madigan "corruption"
* Today's must-listen: Madigan and lone chairmanship "No" vote together on Joravsky's show
* *** LIVE *** Session coverage
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today's edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)
* Yesterday's stories

Support CapitolFax.com
Visit our advertisers...

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............
<


Loading


* Area Libraries Awarded State Grant Funds Totali.....
* White's legislation to strengthen drunk driving.....
* Moline Library gives veterans a chance to tell .....
* Rauner makes “official” trade show announcement.....
* Biss says he wants more details about Pritzker'.....
* Biss says he wants more details about Pritzker'.....
* QC area libraries to receive Public Library Per.....
* QC area libraries among to receive Public Libra.....
* Rauner has yet to respond to lawmakers' request.....
* Illinois' late fees skyrocket over past 3 years..


* St. Louis group for women entrepreneurs expands to 6 cities
* Prosecutor: No more testimony allowed from 10 Chicago cops
* The Latest: Co-workers said shooting suspect was 'paranoid'
* 4th death reported in Illinois linked to synthetic marijuana
* Lawmakers honor man hailed as hero in Waffle House attack
* The Latest: Lawmakers honor man who snatched shooter's gun
* Masseuse accuses Marvel's Stan Lee of fondling himself
* Court to rule on Illinois village's right-to-work ordinance
* Excerpts from recent editorials in newspapers in Illinois
* Mental health and guns an issue after Waffle House attack

* 4th death reported in Illinois linked to synthetic marijuana
* Google aims at Illinois' privacy law after Facebook lobbying failed
* Illinois Lottery sells tickets for instant games after top prizes are gone
* Michael Madigan wins re-election as Democratic Party leader
* Champaign-area bus company faces harassment lawsuit
* Illinois' late fees skyrocket over past 3 years
* State paying bills, but not late-payment interest
* Legislators push Rauner for Quincy veterans home improvement plan
* Michael Madigan expected to win re-election as Democratic Party leader
* Statehouse bills would increase drivers' awareness of bike safety

* Chicago law firms beat national average on revenue growth
* Ex-Sears exec: 'This is all a sham'
* Ex-Sears exec: 'This is all a sham'
* Inside the McDonald's at the company's new HQ


* McDonald’s ‘one-of-a-kind’ restaurant set to open Wednesday in West Loop
* Rare baseball card of Angels two-way star Shohei Ohtani is worth at least $60K
* Bears GM Ryan Pace: Injury a factor in Cam Meredith decision
* Man, 69, missing from Hanover Park last seen near Springfield
* NFL Draft 2018: Translating 5 things GM Ryan Pace said about Bears’ plans
* Chicago Tribune Guild: More than 85 percent of newsroom employees want union
* Plan to put electronic billboard in middle of Jefferson Park street resurrected
* First lady Melania Trump greets the Macrons with bold, white hat
* Man, 23, critically wounded in Roseland shooting
* ‘The world wouldn’t be the world without the newspaper’ — so subscribe


* OTTO manufacturing bumps hourly wages by 40 percent, plans May 5 job fair
* Kris Bryant out of Cubs lineup tonight vs. Indians
* Alderman wants tougher fines for people caught with weapons near nursing homes
* A Pennsylvania golf club called the cops on black members for taking too long
* Tennessee lawmakers honor Waffle House hero; bond revoked for shooting suspect
* Victims of sexual assault add stories to Ivy Tech survivors wall
* Ryan Pace on the Bears' Cameron Meredith evaluation: ‘Every organization’s different’
* Many of us expect the Trump-Kim summit to flop. What if it's a success? 
* Hot-Takes on guns after the Waffle House killings
* Tribune announces Food Bowl, a weeks-long festival of Chicago's diverse food landscape


» Immigrants Shine In New CPS Varsity Sport
» State Legislature Considers Tougher Penalties on Texting While Driving
» April 20, 2018 - Full Show
» April 23, 2018 - Full Show
» Madigan Elected For 6th Term As Democratic Party Chairman
» Illinois Case Argues Bullet Analysis Is ‘Basically A Guess’
» Mayor Rahm Emanuel Unveils Anti-Sexual Harassment With The Help Of A 'Friend' (Hint: David Schwimmer)
» Mayor Rahm Emanuel Unveils Anti-Sexual Harassment Campaign With The Help Of A 'Friend' (Hint: David Schwimmer)
» Student Walkouts; Science And Business At Argonne; Back Pay For State Employees; Illinois Politics
» Illinois Legislators Have History Of Bringing Babies To Work


* 4th death reported in Illinois linked to synthetic marijuana
* Google aims at Illinois' privacy law after Facebook lobbying failed
* Guest View: A nation at risk
* Illinois Lottery sells tickets for instant games after top prizes are gone
* Michael Madigan wins re-election as Democratic Party leader
* Champaign-area bus company faces harassment lawsuit
* E.J. Dionne: Where are the conservatives we need?
* Illinois' late fees skyrocket over past 3 years
* State paying bills, but not late-payment interest
* Legislators push Rauner for Quincy veterans home improvement plan


* Twenty-one area hoops coaches honored by IBCA
* Westville police investigate armed robbery
* Collinsville's World's Largest Catsup Bottle Festival comes to an end
* Through the years: Davenport school superintendents
* Rock Island County to vote on administrator
* Two men injured in drive-by shooting while standing on street corner in East St. Louis
* Street closures listing
* The Quad-Cities' first mac and cheesery set to open this summer
* Old Forest Grove School gets new floor
* A positive change in weather ahead


* Man has 15 DUI convictions. Now he faces 30 years in prison.
* Woman charged in bitcoin murder-for-hire case to live with parents while waiting for trial
* Caterpillar forecast sends stocks plunging; Dow down 500
* Plan resurrected for electronic billboard in Jefferson Park street
* Police seek Hanover Park man missing since Monday

* Spreading a message of bipartisanship
* Bike Bald's Spin-a-thon/Kids Fest to have ...
* House Democrats talk to Cambridge Analytic...
* Are Illinois Congressmen safe in wake of D...
* It's official: If you prepaid your propert...
* A quick look at a few congressional races ...
* Underwood hopes winning primary formula ca...
* LaHood among sponsors of opioid addiction ...
* Democrats aim to turn Obamacare into asset...
* Lamar Smith visited Galápagos, where warmi...

* FDA Cracks Down On Juul E-Cigarettes Popul......
* A tough re-election climate tests the chum......
* Senators Cling to a Fading Custom Trump's ......
* Sen. Durbin warns educators of risks of fo......
* County official: Anti-poverty services wou......

* The Senate celebrates Sen. Tammy Duckworth......
* Editorial: Up to the task...
* I'm a legislator and a mom. Tammy Duckwort......
* Tammy Duckworth is uniquely privileged, bu......
* Tammy Duckworth makes fertility after 50 l......

* The [Tuesday] Papers
* Looking more at the 2018 Associate Judge finalists - part 1
* Trump’s war on medical marijuana putting Illinois dispensaries at 'risk'
* Improvising horn trio Spectral play with the colossal reverb in an abandoned munitions bunker
* Joe Rode wasn't a great artist, but he lived a great Chicago life
* No lunch plans today? Vanguard Awards Luncheon starts at 11:30 at the Standard Club
* What a sad story that occurred over the weekend in Chatham
* Five classic films by Latin American women
* Record Store Day 2018: here's what Chicago area shops are doing to celebrate
* On winning wars and losing memories


* IEMA Highlights Role of Volunteers in Disasters
* Governor Rauner activates State Emergency Operations Center in Springfield
* February Flooding Information
* IEMA Urges People to Prepare for Severe Weather
* Governor issues state disaster proclamation for flooding in Iroquois, Kankakee, Vermilion Counties

  
* 50% off the world’s most acclaimed anti-virus suite (limited)
* Google says, “No changes to Inbox by Gmail,” so relax
* Facebook updates developer platform, shuts down some APIs
* Check out our Huawei P20 video review
* Uber’s tech jobs still go to predominantly white men under new CEO
* The EPA’s deputy chief may be an even bigger threat to the environment than Scott Pruitt
* Instagram update lets you upload your Stories all at once

* Garcia lands on DL; Palka recalled
* South Side Sox Roster Ranking: Round 19
* South Side Sox Prospect Vote: Round 19
* After early work, elusive feat escapes Moncada
* After early work, elusive feat escapes Moncada
* Beck up from Triple-A as Gonzalez hits DL
* White Sox relish in runs revival to bust slump


Main Menu
Home
Illinois
YouTube
Pundit rankings
Obama
Subscriber Content
Durbin
Burris
Blagojevich Trial
Advertising
Updated Posts
Polls

Archives
April 2018
March 2018
February 2018
January 2018
December 2017
November 2017
October 2017
September 2017
August 2017
July 2017
June 2017
May 2017
April 2017
March 2017
February 2017
January 2017
December 2016
November 2016
October 2016
September 2016
August 2016
July 2016
June 2016
May 2016
April 2016
March 2016
February 2016
January 2016
December 2015
November 2015
October 2015
September 2015
August 2015
July 2015
June 2015
May 2015
April 2015
March 2015
February 2015
January 2015
December 2014
November 2014
October 2014
September 2014
August 2014
July 2014
June 2014
May 2014
April 2014
March 2014
February 2014
January 2014
December 2013
November 2013
October 2013
September 2013
August 2013
July 2013
June 2013
May 2013
April 2013
March 2013
February 2013
January 2013
December 2012
November 2012
October 2012
September 2012
August 2012
July 2012
June 2012
May 2012
April 2012
March 2012
February 2012
January 2012
December 2011
November 2011
October 2011
September 2011
August 2011
July 2011
June 2011
May 2011
April 2011
March 2011
February 2011
January 2011
December 2010
November 2010
October 2010
September 2010
August 2010
July 2010
June 2010
May 2010
April 2010
March 2010
February 2010
January 2010
December 2009
November 2009
October 2009
September 2009
August 2009
July 2009
June 2009
May 2009
April 2009
March 2009
February 2009
January 2009
December 2008
November 2008
October 2008
September 2008
August 2008
July 2008
June 2008
May 2008
April 2008
March 2008
February 2008
January 2008
December 2007
November 2007
October 2007
September 2007
August 2007
July 2007
June 2007
May 2007
April 2007
March 2007
February 2007
January 2007
December 2006
November 2006
October 2006
September 2006
August 2006
July 2006
June 2006
May 2006
April 2006
March 2006
February 2006
January 2006
December 2005
April 2005
March 2005
February 2005
January 2005
December 2004
November 2004
October 2004

Blog*Spot Archives
November 2005
October 2005
September 2005
August 2005
July 2005
June 2005
May 2005

Syndication

RSS Feed 2.0
Comments RSS 2.0
WordPress




Hosted by MCS SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax Advertise Here Mobile Version Contact Rich Miller