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Obamarama - House moves primary date *** Updated x1 ***

Wednesday, Mar 28, 2007

Not a huge surprise, except possibly the overhwhelming majority. From the AP

The Illinois House today approved making the presidential primary election earlier to favor favorite son Barack Obama. Lawmakers voted 110-to-four to move the primary from March 20th to February Fifth next year.

House Speaker Michael Madigan sponsored the measure.

He says moving the date would benefit Obama — a freshman U-S senator and fellow Democrat. He says presidential nominations often are decided by the time Illinois voters get to choose.

The Senate still has to take up the measure before it gets to the governor’s desk. The governor has promised to sign it.

The bill’s status and full text can be found here and the rollcall will eventually be posted at this page.

*** UPDATE *** Off topic, but related to the 2008 campaign, the highlight of today’s House Government Reform Committee’s grilling of General Services Administration chief Lurita Doan was a PowerPoint presentation prepared by the White House political office which was allegedly shown at a GSA meeting.

The presentation was about upcoming 2008 political targets in the US House and Senate. A Democratic committee member claims two GSA witnesses say the director asked at the end of the presentation what could be done to help these candidates.

Setting aside the fact that doing something like this at a government office in Chicago or Springfield would probably result in an immediate FBI raid (slight exaggeration), check out the video below starting at “5:14.”

The title of the slide is “Battle for the Senate 2008.”

Illinois’ upcoming US Senate race between Dick Durbin and an as yet undetermined Republican candidate is listed as “non competitive” by Karl Rove…

Not surprising at all, of course, but food for thought.

Also, if you enlarge the image you’ll see that no Illinois Congressional races are listed in another slide (at 8:05) of the top 20 House targets for 2008.

- Posted by Rich Miller   22 Comments      


Local polls *** Updated x1 ***

Wednesday, Mar 28, 2007

AFSCME Organized labor paid for polls in some aldermanic races two weeks ago. The polls were conducted by Mark Penn. Remember, however, that turnout is probably going to be extremely low in next month’s runoff election, so the biggest question is who will actually vote. Polls will have a tough time guaging that right now.

Here are some quick, topline results…

* 2nd Ward - Fioretti 50, Haithcock 24

* 3rd Ward - Dowell 53, Tillman 35

* 16th Ward - Thompson 45, Coleman 40 (After negative “push” questions about Ald. Coleman’s vote against “living wage” ordinance and other stuff, Thompson leads 52-32)

* 21st Ward - Jones 41, Brookins 40

* 32nd Ward - Waguespack 47, Matlack 33 (Tons of Machine hacks deployed to this ward for Ald. Matlack, but other polls also show the incumbent in very serious trouble)

* 35th Ward - Colon 52, Colom 47 (Ald. Mell is reportedly in big for Vilma Colom)

* 49th Ward - Joe Moore 47, Gordon 42 (I’m hearing from lots of sources that Ald. Moore is in big trouble there, with Gordon signs popping up all over the place)

* 50th Ward - Dolar 48, Stone 44 (Biggest question is who turns out to vote in an extremely low turnout election, with the betting that Ald. Stone’s base will vote. He also has a top-notch campaign manager now.)

*** UPDATE *** Naisy Dolar’s own poll has her leading Ald. Stone 47-40. From the executive summary…

This [Goodwin Simon Victoria Research] memorandum reports on the findings of a poll taken in the 50th Ward of Chicago March 18-20, 2007. Four hundred registered, likely voters for the April 17 municipal runoff election were interviewed. […]

* Stone’s… job rating is 43% positive to 55% negative… A majority of voters (53%) agree that “Bernie Stone has been around for too long and it is time to give someone new a chance.” Only 38% choose the alternative, “Bernie Stone has done a good job as Alderman for the last 33 years and deserves to be re-elected.”

* In contrast, Naisy Dolar’s name recognition is climbing steadily and her ratings are overwhelmingly positive. Currently about six in ten voters recognize and can rate Dolar, and those ratings are a very strong 52% favorable to only 6% unfavorable. […]

* The initial trial heat is 47% for Dolar, 40% for Stone, and 13% Undecided. […]

* On a list of eight local issues, when voters are asked whether they think Bernie Stone or a “new Alderman like Naisy Dolar” would be better on each issue, there is not one single issue where 33-year veteran Bernie Stone is viewed as the better choice.

- Posted by Rich Miller   42 Comments      


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Wednesday, Mar 28, 2007

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Question of the day

Wednesday, Mar 28, 2007

Last Friday, I told you that the Illinois Press Association has formally come out against the governor’s gross receipts tax. The IPA has also “instructed staff to encourage all IPA members to publish stories focusing on the community or local impact of the proposed GRT.”

Except for my syndicated column and a very brief mention in a Decatur Herald & Review editorial (”The Illinois Chamber of Commerce and the Illinois Press Association have stated they are opposed to the tax.”), I can’t find any other mention of the development in Illinois newspapers.

Some questions must have been raised internally, however, because the IPA sent out another press release yesterday…

In deciding to oppose the GRT the IPA board was careful not to mix the business interests of newspapers with the editorial responsibilities of reporting on the proposed tax plan. However, the board believes that it is important that newspapers provide the public with the necessary information to make an informed decision about the potential financial impact of the GRT on the State of Illinois.

IPA Board President Carter Newton expressed the board’s sentiment. “We are very worried about the long-term effect this tax will have on the businesses and citizens in our communities. We think it will result in higher prices for all goods and services, and ultimately cost jobs. We believe our newspapers are in a unique position to explore this story better than anyone,” he said.

Newton added that newspapers are the premier voice for community information and have an ethical responsibility to tell as many of the people’s stories as possible. Consequently, the IPA board is encouraging member newspapers to write news stories that focus on “the community or local impact of GRT.”

Newspaper pundits are often quick to write about their own perceived intent of politicians, so today’s question is: Why do you think newspapers in this state appear to be so reluctant to publish anything about their own association’s declarations?

- Posted by Rich Miller   7 Comments      


Will nothing be done?

Wednesday, Mar 28, 2007

* I’m hearing this possibility - that nothing major might be done on anything this year - more and more at the Statehouse….

Despite widespread consensus in Springfield about the need to provide more money to Illinois schools, disagreement over where those funds should come from is growing deeper and has education advocates scrambling to avoid a stalemate that could mean no new funding at all. […]

With the two plans so fundamentally different, and with both sides digging in their heels, there appears to be a real danger that the common goal of giving more money for schools could become bogged down on the issue of how to do it. […]

“Political infighting can’t become an excuse for not getting anything done,'’ [said IFT spokesman Dave Comerford].

That’s a frequent danger with controversial issues lately in Springfield, where the Democrats who control all levers of state government have been fractured by in-party showdowns, often between Madigan and Jones.

* The Tribune has a he said-she said piece today about the tax hikes, with both business and the Blagojevich administration claiming the other side is distorting the GRT issue. It also notes that both business and the governor have created websites to promote their tax agendas.

* The very end of the Tribune piece notes that a group called the Illinois State Black Chamber of Commerce has endorsed the governor’s plan. Not much is known about the organization, but the governor’s press release touting the endorsement was issued after Crain’s reported that a much better known African-American biz group had come out against the proposal.

A group that represents African-American businesses has given what its president describes as a “thumbs down” to Gov. Rod Blagojevich’s proposed $6.3-billion gross-receipts tax.

Echoing concerns of other, larger business organizations, members of the Alliance of Business Leaders and Entrepreneurs (ABLE) posed sharp questions and fired a series of rhetorical shots when two senior gubernatorial aides met with the group earlier this month.

While ABLE formally decided to further review the matter and to examine a possible “alternative solution” to the state’s financial needs, President Hermene Hartman says the organization in fact opposes the proposal.

Looks like they’re running a rapid response operation over at the guv’s office.

* More budget stories…

* Official: Governor ties tax to airport

* Business group ads rap governor’s tax plan

* Richards: Gov is serious about his budget plan: “If I don’t get health care and education, there will be nothing else,” he said.

* Illinois pension systems severely underfunded

* State pension debt, in the end you pay

* Director says IMRF remains solvent

* Audits underscore pension debt

- Posted by Rich Miller   28 Comments      


Smoking ban altered, supported

Wednesday, Mar 28, 2007

* I’ve heard that casinos were probably the biggest stumbling block to passing a statewide smoking ban. That situation may be changing, but casino-area legislators may still not be on board yet…

Calling it a strategic move, the co-sponsor of a Senate bill to ban smoking in all public, indoor workplaces in Illinois, said a new amendment would push back the compliance date for casinos.

“We expect to pick up some votes,” Sen. John Cullerton, D-Chicago, said. “If you don’t pass the bill then the whole thing is a delayed effective date.”

Sen. Terry Link, D-Vernon Hills, sponsor of the legislation, said the amendment is a compromise for members who expressed concern about unfair competition for casinos that border other states. When Senate Bill 500 was debated in committee, several senators said those casinos would face unfair competition from states that do not have smoking bans, he said.

“We’re answering the concerns,” Link said. “They all feel that within a three-year period the other states will be non-smoking, too. So then, it’ll be an even playing field.”

* And the Sun-Times editorializes today in favor of a statewide smoking ban.

But though we wish the act included a provision similar to the one in Chicago’s ordinance permitting smoking in tobacco shops/bars where 65 percent of the sales are of tobacco or tobacco accessories, we believe its time has come and urge its passage. Twenty-one other states have responded to popular consensus on this issue. It’s time Illinois did, too.

- Posted by Rich Miller   5 Comments      


Senate deal nears on rates

Wednesday, Mar 28, 2007

* I had a piece on this in today’s Capitol Fax, but it turns out Crain’s is also on the story…

Exelon Corp., Ameren Corp. and other power plant owners in Illinois are negotiating with key state senators on a package of up to $150 million to help low-income consumers and others hardest hit by recent electric rate hikes.

Both sides hoped to wrap up talks by late Tuesday or early Wednesday, people familiar with the discussions say. If an agreement is reached, Senate President Emil Jones would not call for a floor vote later this week on legislation that would return Ameren and Commonwealth Edison Co.’s rates to last year’s levels and freeze them there for at least a year, these people say.

But they caution that the discussions may not ultimately lead to a compromise as companies haggle over how much each should give to the effort — or whether to contribute anything at all.

If the package of concessions is finalized, the money would go for rebates to Downstate customers hit with increases of as much as 200% because they use electric heat. Utilities gave those who heat their homes with electricity heavy rebates that expired this year. Others targeted for assistance include low-income users and seniors on fixed incomes.

* The Citizens Utility Board’s blog responds to the story

But if rate relief is appropriate for a group of customers, why isn’t it appropriate for ALL customers. This proposal kind of reminds me of a bank robber who admits he took the money, but doesn’t give it all back.

* Meanwhile, Speaker Madigan has a new plan

House Speaker Michael Madigan offered a new twist in the electric rate debate Tuesday, proposing that Illinois get into the electricity business to help cash-strapped consumers.

Madigan, D-Chicago, introduced a measure to create a not-for-profit Illinois Power Authority that could buy, generate or sell electricity. Madigan spokesman Steve Brown says that setup could spur competition to drive down electric rates.

The measure could ratchet up pressure on utilities Ameren and ComEd as they negotiate with state lawmakers on relief for consumers. Brown said it might “change their perspective.”

The full legislation can be found here.

* And rate shock hits the Beverly Arts Center

Higher electricity costs could bankrupt the Beverly Arts Center, the executive director of the South Side nonprofit told the City Council’s energy committee Tuesday.

Michael Nix said ComEd’s higher rates could more than double the center’s electric bill this year.

“Like everyone else, we anticipated a 24 percent increase, which is what I read about,” Michael Nix said after testifying before the committee.

- Posted by Rich Miller   8 Comments      


Morning Shorts

Wednesday, Mar 28, 2007

* NEW Tribune Editorial: Why Chicago needs charter schools

* Four takes on civil unions

* The Statehouse Reeder: On young pols, WIU and gays

* Illegal immigrant driving bill likely called for House floor vote today

* Rockford mayor favors new Springfield lobbying effort

* Editorial: Keep the schools’ physical education class waivers

* Ryan and co defendants pay up on fines

* Zorn: Mandatory silence sends loud message

Constitutional issues aside, that’s a decision for their classroom teachers, not a crew of idle moralists in Springfield with their one-size-fits-all fantasies and their ill-concealed pro-prayer agenda.

* CPS expects to cut 270 teachers

* Duckworth: I’d consider cabinet job

With a Democrat in the White House, Duckworth would likely have sufficient clout to get a job in Washington, possibly even in the Cabinet. Illinois’ senators Democrats Barack Obama and Dick Durbin — one a candidate for president, the other a key Senate leader — were major backers of her unsuccessful suburban congressional campaign.

* Senate passes more training and curfew for teen drivers; more here

* Kadner: AG Madigan calls loan scam ‘just evil’

* Allegations Health Facilities Planning Board members’ of meeting sent to panel

* McLaughlin: Cash and sunshine needed for transportation network

The Illinois Department of Transportation has a system for rating and funding infrastructure projects, but the public and most elected officials have no idea how the process works — which means they would be hard-pressed to explain how the state is spending their money.

* Pace to overhaul Will and Cook Co. services

* Some protest comments of Cook Co. health bureau chief

* Chicago eyes transportation deal for seniors

* Sweet: Chicagoan on popular Obama youtube ad: I ‘own’ rights to 1984:

Rosenblum attorney William R. Coulson — whose wife is state Rep. Beth Coulson (R-Glenview) — said they have not taken any legal action — “yet” but are “monitoring” the situation, serving “notice to the world the Orwell novel is still under copyright.”

* Cool reception for Stroger when he shows up for jury duty

* 50th ward runoff: A battle of extremes

* Détente for Dolar and Brewer

* Haithcock, Fioretti jab over pay raises in 2nd ward

- Posted by Paul Richardson   7 Comments      


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