Capitol Fax.com - Your Illinois News Radar » Not even half the story
SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax      Advertise Here      About     Exclusive Subscriber Content     Updated Posts    Contact Rich Miller
CapitolFax.com
To subscribe to Capitol Fax, click here.
Not even half the story

Wednesday, Feb 11, 2009 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Today’s Tribune poll story is misleading. There’s no other way to put it. For instance…

Only 34 percent of Illinois voters had a favorable impression of Burris, compared with 18 percent who viewed him unfavorably. A total of 43 percent of voters said they had no opinion of the new senator.

Actually, that’s about a two-to-one favorable rating, which isn’t bad at all. And it’s much better than the last statewide poll by a different outfit which showed that Burris had both a 35 percent favorable and unfavorable rating.

The poll found that Chicago residents had the highest favorable impression of Burris at 51 percent while fewer than half of Democrats statewide—46 percent—shared that view.

Notice that the Tribune doesn’t tell you what his unfavorables are with those two demographics. Since they haven’t put the poll online, we’re supposed to just trust them. Don’t.

[O]nly 43 percent of Democratic voters in Illinois said he should make a bid in 2010. Voters who called themselves political independents, a key voting bloc, were split 36 percent to 33 percent on whether he should or shouldn’t run.

Again, they tell you that independents are split about whether he should run again, but don’t tell you what the “shouldn’t run” numbers are for Democrats.

And check this out…

Nearly half of the voters—48 percent—said they would like to see Quinn on next year’s ballot for governor, compared with 15 percent who said they would not like to see him run. More than one-third of the voters—37 percent—said they didn’t know if he should seek election to the post. […]

A Quinn bid for election as governor in 2010 was welcomed by nearly two-thirds of voters in the collar counties—significantly greater than by voters in Chicago and Cook County, where he has previously held city and county government posts.

That second graf is actually pretty astounding. Far more collar county voters want him to run than Chicago and Cook voters? That at least shows you the Republican attacks on Quinn haven’t worked so far and might even backfire. But the last graf was buried at the very end of the story.

…Adding… The Progress Illinois hed is: “Tribune Poll Finds Only 6% View Quinn Unfavorably.” The Tribune buried that result and instead puzzled over why 40 percent of Illinoisans don’t have an opinion about a lieutenant governor.

* Related…

* Carol Marin: It’s official. William M. Daley is no longer a candidate for governor in 2010.

* Giannoulias ‘Probably’ Leaning Toward US Senate Bid

       

11 Comments
  1. - Pat collins - Wednesday, Feb 11, 09 @ 9:59 am:

    t 51 percent while fewer than half of Democrats statewide—46 percent

    5 percent, two years before the election? I am not sure I’d sweat this too much if I were Sen. Burris.

    A Quinn bid for election as governor in 2010 was welcomed by nearly two-thirds of voters in the collar counties

    I read this as “we can trust him to keep the Chicago Ds in check”. Which is not something they think the “get along” Rs will do.


  2. - Stuck with Sen. CPA - Wednesday, Feb 11, 09 @ 10:11 am:

    A Rick Pearson story misleading? Shocking.


  3. - wordslinger - Wednesday, Feb 11, 09 @ 10:24 am:

    If both Alexi and Burris run, perhaps Roland can persuade Blago to return the favor and be a stalking horse for him this time (I’m assuming Blago’s ban does not apply to federal offices from Illinois).


  4. - ConservativeVeteran - Wednesday, Feb 11, 09 @ 10:33 am:

    I read that Attorney General Madigan might run for U.S. senator or governor and that Treasurer Giannoulias might run for the U.S. Senate. She should run for governor, and he should run for the Senate. Comptroller Hynes should run for lt. gov.


  5. - Niles Township - Wednesday, Feb 11, 09 @ 11:10 am:

    Pearson has never liked Quinn, and it is obvious in his writing over many years.


  6. - Phineas J. Whoopee - Wednesday, Feb 11, 09 @ 11:24 am:

    In this case polls really are misleading because Burris is easy pickens and anyone with any campaigning know how could take him out in his sleep. I can’t imagine what Alexi would do to him in a primary, especially, if he is parading around with his pal Obama.


  7. - Bill - Wednesday, Feb 11, 09 @ 11:51 am:

    The President should, and I believe, will stay out of local and state Democratic primaries.


  8. - Yellow Dog Democrat - Wednesday, Feb 11, 09 @ 11:52 am:

    === Republicans can’t wait to see Democrats cannibalize each other in the upcoming election. Not just in the gubernatorial race where Quinn is the accidental incumbent, but in the U.S. Senate race where Roland Burris is as well. ===

    How can Marin forget Stroger?


  9. - wordslinger - Wednesday, Feb 11, 09 @ 12:03 pm:

    –How can Marin forget Stroger?–

    Maybe she’s just trying harder than the rest of us.


  10. - Phineas J. Whoopee - Wednesday, Feb 11, 09 @ 1:24 pm:

    I don’t think Obama or Emannual were too keen on having Burris stuffed down their throats by Blago and Bobby Rush and I believe they will need to make and example or statement to deter others from embarrassing them.


  11. - Bill - Wednesday, Feb 11, 09 @ 1:49 pm:

    Stroger is not an accidental incumbent. He was elected to office.


Sorry, comments for this post are now closed.


* Your moment of zen
* Isabel’s afternoon roundup
* Illinois receives $430 million federal pollution reduction grant
* Today's quotable
* The Internet is forever, Rodney
* Edgar Fellows Class of 2024 unveiled
* Uber Partners With Cities To Expand Urban Transportation
* Governor Pritzker endorses Kamala Harris for president (Updated)
* Mayor Johnson's actual state ask is $5.5 billion, and Pritzker turns thumbs down
* Open thread
* Isabel’s morning briefing
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today's edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)
* Selected press releases (Live updates)
* Pritzker, Durbin, Duckworth so far keeping powder dry on endorsing VP Harris (Updated x7)
* Biden announces withdrawal from reelection (Updated x3)
* Yesterday's stories

Support CapitolFax.com
Visit our advertisers...

...............

...............

...............

...............


Loading


Main Menu
Home
Illinois
YouTube
Pundit rankings
Obama
Subscriber Content
Durbin
Burris
Blagojevich Trial
Advertising
Updated Posts
Polls

Archives
July 2024
June 2024
May 2024
April 2024
March 2024
February 2024
January 2024
December 2023
November 2023
October 2023
September 2023
August 2023
July 2023
June 2023
May 2023
April 2023
March 2023
February 2023
January 2023
December 2022
November 2022
October 2022
September 2022
August 2022
July 2022
June 2022
May 2022
April 2022
March 2022
February 2022
January 2022
December 2021
November 2021
October 2021
September 2021
August 2021
July 2021
June 2021
May 2021
April 2021
March 2021
February 2021
January 2021
December 2020
November 2020
October 2020
September 2020
August 2020
July 2020
June 2020
May 2020
April 2020
March 2020
February 2020
January 2020
December 2019
November 2019
October 2019
September 2019
August 2019
July 2019
June 2019
May 2019
April 2019
March 2019
February 2019
January 2019
December 2018
November 2018
October 2018
September 2018
August 2018
July 2018
June 2018
May 2018
April 2018
March 2018
February 2018
January 2018
December 2017
November 2017
October 2017
September 2017
August 2017
July 2017
June 2017
May 2017
April 2017
March 2017
February 2017
January 2017
December 2016
November 2016
October 2016
September 2016
August 2016
July 2016
June 2016
May 2016
April 2016
March 2016
February 2016
January 2016
December 2015
November 2015
October 2015
September 2015
August 2015
July 2015
June 2015
May 2015
April 2015
March 2015
February 2015
January 2015
December 2014
November 2014
October 2014
September 2014
August 2014
July 2014
June 2014
May 2014
April 2014
March 2014
February 2014
January 2014
December 2013
November 2013
October 2013
September 2013
August 2013
July 2013
June 2013
May 2013
April 2013
March 2013
February 2013
January 2013
December 2012
November 2012
October 2012
September 2012
August 2012
July 2012
June 2012
May 2012
April 2012
March 2012
February 2012
January 2012
December 2011
November 2011
October 2011
September 2011
August 2011
July 2011
June 2011
May 2011
April 2011
March 2011
February 2011
January 2011
December 2010
November 2010
October 2010
September 2010
August 2010
July 2010
June 2010
May 2010
April 2010
March 2010
February 2010
January 2010
December 2009
November 2009
October 2009
September 2009
August 2009
July 2009
June 2009
May 2009
April 2009
March 2009
February 2009
January 2009
December 2008
November 2008
October 2008
September 2008
August 2008
July 2008
June 2008
May 2008
April 2008
March 2008
February 2008
January 2008
December 2007
November 2007
October 2007
September 2007
August 2007
July 2007
June 2007
May 2007
April 2007
March 2007
February 2007
January 2007
December 2006
November 2006
October 2006
September 2006
August 2006
July 2006
June 2006
May 2006
April 2006
March 2006
February 2006
January 2006
December 2005
April 2005
March 2005
February 2005
January 2005
December 2004
November 2004
October 2004

Blog*Spot Archives
November 2005
October 2005
September 2005
August 2005
July 2005
June 2005
May 2005

Syndication

RSS Feed 2.0
Comments RSS 2.0




Hosted by MCS SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax Advertise Here Mobile Version Contact Rich Miller