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Election results live blog, Part 3 - AP declares Kirk winner - Giannoulias to concede - Kilbride wins - Brady won’t concede - Dold declared victor

Tuesday, Nov 2, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* 10:19 pm - Cook County has 203 precincts left to count. They’ve tallied 1,734 out of 1,937. Chicago has counted 2,330 out of 2,570 precincts, meaning there are still 240 precincts left to count there.

According to the AP, there are 1,377 precincts left to count in Illinois. That means about a third of those precincts are in either overtly hostile or somewhat hostile Brady territory. Quinn is leading by just 35,988 votes.

By the way, DuPage has just 24 precincts left to tally.

You can take a look at where the counties are in their counting by clicking here.

* 10:34 pm - Check out CNN’s county map of the governor’s race. Click the pic for the interactive version…

Bill Brady is stomping the tar outta Pat Quinn in traditionally Democratic Rock Island, Macon and Madison counties. Quinn is winning St. Clair, Jackson and Alexander. And Cook, of course.

If Quinn wins this, it’s all due to the Cook/Chicago ground game.

* Gov. Pat Quinn’s lead
is now less than 13,000 votes. There are just 138 precincts left to count in Cook and 170 in Chicago. 933 are left statewide.

* 10:45 - With 93 percent of the state counted, Quinn is leading by 19,134.

* I’m only going to say this once. David Orr better not go to bed early tonight.

* 10:53 pm - CNN now has the governor’s race margin at 17,139 for Quinn. That’s with 94 percent of the vote tallied.

* 10:55 pm - Rep. David Miller has conceded to Judy Baar Topinka.

* 10:57 pm - Republican Mark Kirk’s lead is now 1,662,617 to 1,582,429 - an 80K+ margin.

* 11:00 pm - Quinn’s lead is now down to 11,967.

* 11:03 pm - And now Quinn is down to a 10,280 vote lead.

* 11:06 pm -
Keep in mind that absentee votes are still coming in by the droves. Many of those are Democratic absentees because the coordinated campaign screwed up and sent its mailers so late. Those late absentees won’t be counted tonight. Some weren’t even received by today. If Quinn does somehow lose this lead, he could still regain it later in the week.

* 11:10 pm -
Quinn is now down to a lead of just 8,807 votes.

* 11:13 pm - Some close congressional races…

U.S. House - District 8 - General
Illinois - 492 of 503 Precincts Reporting - 98%
Walsh , Joe GOP 95,576 49%
Bean , Melissa (i) Dem 94,727 48%
Scheurer , Bill Grn 6,359 3%

U.S. House - District 10 - General
Illinois - 478 of 511 Precincts Reporting - 94%
Name Party Votes Vote %
Dold , Robert GOP 101,805 51%
Seals , Daniel Dem 97,768 49%

*** 11:15 pm *** My intern Barton Lorimor just told me that NBC, via the AP, has just declared Mark Kirk the winner of the US Senate race. From the AP…

Republican Mark Kirk has captured the Senate seat once held by the president defeating Illinois Treasurer Alexi Giannoulias.

*** 11:17 pm *** WGN is reporting that Giannoulias will concede soon.

* Meanwhile, Gov. Quinn is ahead of Bill Brady by 10,516 votes.

*** 11:22 pm *** Cook County still hasn’t counted 107 precincts. Chicago hasn’t counted 92. There are 454 precincts out there. So, slightly less than half are from Quinn Country. And don’t forget the late absentees.

* 11:27 pm - Quinn’s lead is now down to 4,372 votes.

* 11:28 pm - I told you that Kilbride was winning his retention race, but I didn’t tell you he won. Oops.

* 11:30 pm - OK, Quinn’s lead is now back up to 11,148.

* 11:49 pm - Quinn’s margin is now 11,291.

* 11:55 pm - OK, now Quinn’s at 8,155.

*** 12:06 am *** Bill Brady just said the election won’t be decided tonight, so that’s it for him.

*** 12:10 am *** The AP has declared Republican Bob Dold the winner in the 10th CD.

* 12:33 am - The Quinn margin is now 10,933.

* 12:39 am - This is odd. Here is the AP total for Speaker Madigan’s district

November 03, 2010 - 01:30AM ET
State House - District 22 - General
Illinois - 43 of 87 Precincts Reporting - 49%
Madigan , Michael (i) Dem 8,294 81%
Ryan , Patrick GOP 1,889 19%

Notice that less than half the precincts are reported as counted. But the city and the county both have MJM’s district as completely counted.

So, either somebody forgot to update a single district. Or, the AP isn’t including those MJM district totals in their grand totals. I strongly suspect it’s the former, not the latter. But one never knows.

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Protected: *** UPDATED x1 *** SUBSCRIBERS ONLY: How it looks now

Tuesday, Nov 2, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Election results live blog, Part 2 - Claypool concedes - Topinka wins - Recall winning - Kilbride winning - Hare to concede - Hultgren declares victory

Tuesday, Nov 2, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* From the Tribune

Independent Forrest Claypool conceded to Democrat Joe Berrios tonight in the hard-fought contest for Cook County assessor, Claypool’s campaign manager said.

Berrios had about 46 percent to 32 percent for Claypool with about 75 percenut of the vote in.

Claypool led in the suburbs, but Republican Sharon Strobeck-Eckersall was doing well enough as an alternative to Berrios to erode Claypool’s vote count. About 64 percent of the overall vote had been counted.

Meanwhile, in an unexpected development, Democrat Brendan Houlihan was trailing Republican Republican Dan Patlak in a race for the county’s tax appeals board that Berrios now sits on. Houlihan currently holds the post in the mostly suburban district, one of three on the board.

* 9:24 pm - Somebody needs to call this one, so I will. Topinka wins

Comptroller - General
Illinois - 6850 of 11209 Precincts Reporting - 61%
Baar Topinka , Judy GOP 1,070,958 51%
Miller , David Dem 895,645 43%
Schafer , Erika Grn 67,637 3%
Fox , Julie Lib 67,024 3%

* The recall amendment has been hovering above the required 60 percent all night

Amendment - Recall of Governor - Ballot Issue
Illinois - 6899 of 11209 Precincts Reporting - 62%
Yes 1,277,366 66%
No 650,206 34%

* With 50 percent of the vote in, Supreme Court Chief Justice Tom Kilbride is at 66 percent in his retention race. He needs 60 to be retained.

* A gaggle of federal judges forced Illinois to hold a special election to replace Roland Burris, but if this thing stays as close as it is now, the outcome might not be decided for weeks. So that extra cost will be for naught. But, hey, the lawyers who sued won. Hooray.

* 9:42 pm - Phil Hare is conceding

U.S. Rep. Phil Hare’s spokesman says the congressman has accepted he will lose the election. Hare is expected to make his concession speech in the next few minutes.

* 9:47 pm - It’s gonna be tough to close this gap…

72% of precincts reporting
Updated 9:42 p.m.
Quinn (D) 1,228,944 48.2%
Brady (R) 1,133,414 44.4%
Cohen (I) 93,233 3.7%
Whitney (G) 69,937 2.7%
Green (L) 24,410 1.0%

This one could be closed, however…

77% of precincts reporting
Updated 9:42 p.m.
Kirk (R) 1,299,347 47.4%
Giannoulias (D) 1,290,899 47.1%
Jones (G) 86,223 3.1%
Labno (L) 63,279 2.3%

* 9:49 pm - Or not…

76% of precincts reporting
Updated 9:45 p.m.
Quinn (D) 1,305,113 47.5%
Brady (R) 1,242,652 45.2%
Cohen (I) 100,358 3.7%
Whitney (G) 74,807 2.7%
Green (L) 26,373 1.0%

And Kirk moves ahead slightly…

77% of precincts reporting
Updated 9:48 p.m.
Kirk (R) 1,309,868 47.6%
Giannoulias (D) 1,293,276 47.0%
Jones (G) 87,233 3.2%
Labno (L) 64,175 2.3%

* 9:52 pm - Since a lot of the uncounted ballots are Downstate, this one looks good for Rutherford…

Treasurer - General
Illinois - 8636 of 11209 Precincts Reporting - 77%
Rutherford , Dan GOP 1,329,272 49%
Kelly , Robin Dem 1,240,257 46%
Summers , Scott Grn 86,841 3%
Pauly , James Lib 50,540 2%

* 9:56 pm - Republican Randy Hultgren has just declared victory

Going forward, I want to reaffirm my commitment and vow to you and the people of the 14th Congressional District that this is your seat, and you’re my boss. I look forward to working for you. I will listen to you. And when you express your opinion and counsel and make your voice heard, I won’t just hear, I’ll listen. Public service is a sacred trust, and I will always expect to be held accountable.

Congressman Foster won’t concede

With about 80,000 votes counted in Kane County, Incumbent U.S. Rep. Bill Foster, D-14th, is trailing Republican challenger Randy Hultgren by more than 5,000 votes.

And with 52 percent of precincts reporting in the entire district, Foster is trailing about 11,000 votes.

But Foster spokeswoman Shannon O’Brien is still optimistic given the campaign’s internal polling.

Latest numbers…

75% of precincts reporting
Updated 9:54 p.m.
Hultgren (R) 87,079 51.4%
Foster (D) 76,291 45.0%
Kairis (G) 6,112 3.6%

Strike that. Foster has conceded, according to Hultgren’s campaign.

* 10:09 pm - It’s getting closer...

82% of precincts reporting
Updated 10:03 p.m.
Quinn (D) 1,399,705 47.3%
Brady (R) 1,341,258 45.4%
Cohen (I) 107,814 3.6%
Whitney (G) 80,206 2.7%
Green (L) 28,286 1.0%

* Can Bean hold on?

88% of precincts reporting
Updated 10:03 p.m.
Bean (D) 82,970 48.6%
Walsh (R) 82,512 48.3%
Scheurer (G) 5,335 3.1%

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Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY: Results - House appears decided

Tuesday, Nov 2, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Election results live blog, Part 1 - Exit poll has Quinn up by 2.5, Kirk and Giannoulias tied - Peraica way down

Tuesday, Nov 2, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* 7:00 pm - And here we go.

Election results can be found here. Exit polling can be found here.

* CNN has the gubernatorial exit polls up

Since they’re evenly divided between the genders, those numbers mean Pat Quinn is up by 2.5 points over Bill Brady. Wow. [Corrected stupid math error]

* On to the Senate…

That would mean Kirk up by half a point, but there’s rounding in there, so it’s essentially tied. [Corrected stupid math error]

* Vote by region, governor

Looks like Quinn just barely hit his targets.

* Vote by region, Senate…

* Keep in mind that this is a poll. It’s a big poll, but it’s still a poll. So both election results are well within the margin of error. There’s no guarantee of a Quinn win just yet.

*** 8:04 pm *** From the Chicago elections board…

We’re seeing 50.36% turnout in the City of Chicago from the first 919 precincts of the City’s 2,570 precincts that now have unofficial totals.

The unofficial totals we report tonight represent Election Day voting, Early Voting, Grace Period Voting and Absentee ballots received through Saturday. Absentee ballots received more recently (Monday, Tuesday, etc.) will be added in supplemental counts to be conducted later this week.

By the time later-arriving absentee ballots, provisionals and other ballots arrive and are counted, the City turnout number is likely to move closer to 51-52%.

*** 8:16 pm *** With slightly over half the precincts reporting, Tony Peraica is losing badly…

Tony Peraica (REP) 39.38% 12,153
Jeffrey R. Tobolski (DEM) 53.11% 16,389
Alejandro Reyes (GRN) 7.51% 2,318

There’s only one precinct in the city and it hasn’t reported yet.

*** 8:19 pm *** With over half the vote counted, Joe Berrios has the lead…

*** 8:24 pm *** With half the vote in, Republican Bob Dold is leading Dan Seals…

* Let’s take a look at some congressional races. Congressman Phil Hare is behind…

55% of precincts reporting
Updated 9:02 p.m.
Schilling (R) 51,212 53.0%
Hare (D) 41,093 42.5%
Davis (G) 4,363 4.5%

Dold is ahead…

81% of precincts reporting
Updated 9:02 p.m.
Dold (R) 76,481 51.6%
Seals (D) 71,595 48.4%

As is Bean…

66% of precincts reporting
Updated 9:02 p.m.
Bean (D) 54,600 50.3%
Walsh (R) 50,732 46.7%
Scheurer (G) 3,273 3.0%

Lots of votes left to count…

31% of precincts reporting
Updated 9:02 p.m.
Hultgren (R) 41,522 52.0%
Foster (D) 35,454 44.4%
Kairis (G) 2,804 3.5%

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*** UPDATED x4 - Drudge numbers wrong? *** More turnout projections, exit polls, polling place trouble and final precinct reports

Tuesday, Nov 2, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

*** UPDATE 1 *** You can find Illinois exit polling data by clicking here when the polls close at 7.

*** UPDATE 2 *** The White House is telling people that Drudge’s US Senate result is wrong. They claim it’s “in the margin.” Drudge has Kirk up by 6. I’ve taken down his result while I check.

*** UPDATE 3 *** OK, from what I can gather, Drudge was using the first round of exit polls. The second round, combined with the first round, shows Kirk up by 3. We’re now waiting on Round 3.

*** UPDATE 4 *** More reason to distrust even that second round. From a commenter…

The early votes and mail votes will be counted after today’s votes, which will skew any such exit polling numbers

Keep in mind that we have two weekend polls showing that the Democrats did better with people who’ve already voted.

[ *** End Of Updates *** ]

* Normal turnout everywhere? So says the state board

“Most of it seems to be what we’ve expected,’’ says Rupert Borgsmiller of the Illinois State Board of Elections. “We haven’t heard of any overwhelming numbers anywhere. You certainly can’t blame it on the weather.” […]

In the Metro East, election officials are predicting their normal off-year turnouts. Madison County Clerk Mark Von Nida said absentee and early voting figures as of Monday indicated the county will about 40 percent (or about 80,000 votes), which is considered normal for an off-year election.

* If Chicago and Cook County have a normal turnout and aren’t depressed by the national mood, it could be because of people like this


All those nasty TV ads beating up on Democrats and the unfavorable news coverage of the tea partiers was bound to keep them motivated.

* The AP reports on national exit polling

About a third say their household suffered a job loss in the past two years, but that didn’t give a clear direction to their voting. They divided over which party to support in Tuesday’s House races.

About four in 10 say they are worse off financially than they were two years ago. More than 80 percent said they were worried about the direction of the economy over the next year.

Only about a quarter of voters in Tuesday’s House races blamed Obama for the nation’s economic troubles. But about half think Obama’s policies will hurt the country.

About four out of 10 voters said they support the tea party movement, and they overwhelmingly voted Republican.

Mark Ambinder

A Word Of Advice On Leaked Exit Polls

You’re going to start to see them. A lot of them. Here in Studio 47 at the CBS Broadcast Center in New York, I’m looking at all of them right now, and I can tell you that there is NOT much you can say about the major questions of the night based on the data we have now. That’s because, for the most part, the third wave of numbers, which incorporates a new tranche of voters, hasn’t been processed. Do not believe your eyes… yet. This blog will neither leak nor refer to exit polls until polls in states are closed.

* Attorney General Lisa Madigan sent out an advisory to local election authorities today warning them to follow the law. Apparently, the AG’s office was worried that people would bring their completed absentee ballots to the polls (remember that problem with the Democrats’ coordinated committee mailing out the ballot apps late?) or don’t bring their ballots ballots and could be told that they need to vote with a provisional ballot. State law says they can vote with their completed absentees, and if they don’t have one they can sign an affidavit and vote like everybody else. Click here to read Madigan’s letter.

I asked the AG’s office for more information about how widespread this problem is. They said they had a handful of calls, did the research and decided to put out an advisory.

Nicely, um, coordinated.

* A Kane County blogger tried to vote without a photo ID today and the polling judges insisted he needed one. After a long rigmarole, he was finally allowed to vote, but claims that this is happening in more than just his precinct

Foster campaign was sending an attorney over to that polling place. I advised them that they just might have a county-wide problem, since there was general agreement at that polling place that they had all been trained in this fictitious new federal law.

They thanked me, called me back again to say they had a subsequent complaint of the same problem from another polling place, also in Kane County, but in another community.

* The President gets into the act

President Obama was interviewed on Chicago hip hop station WGCI Tuesday morning, urging young voters to get out to the polls.

In an interview with WGCI’s Loni Swain, Obama explained how important Tuesday’s election was to him, and how it will effect the lives of young people in Chicago and beyond.

“The truth of the matter is that even though we had 30,000 people come to the [Chicago] rally, there are a lot of folks out there who still haven’t got the message that this is a really important election,” Obama said. “Making sure that folks have health care when they need it, making sure that young people are able to get college scholarships, all those things that we’ve worked on so hard for the last couple years are at stake, and the key is going to be everybody turning out to vote.”

* Zorn doubles down on his Brady prediction

Read the Quincy Herald-Whig endorsement in the governor’s race. It’s well researched, serious, dispassionate. The editorialist basically praises the job Gov. Pat Quinn did under awful circumstances, eviscerates Brady’s vague, hollow “plans,” notes disagreement with his positions on social issues, then shrugs and says:

Brady is being endorsed because we cannot change the direction of this state without a change in leadership.

And this is what I predict at least a plurality if not a majority of voters are going to tell us today: They’re not happy with the way Illinois’ ship of state is listing and heading for the rocks, so it’s time to give someone else a chance to grab the helm.

* What? No big jobs announcement tomorrow? Hmmm…

* Here’s your opportunity to give us your final precinct reports. What’s going on out there? Some of us are in bubbles and need to know. Thanks much for all you do!

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Tuesday, Nov 2, 2010 - Posted by Capitol Fax Blog Advertising Department

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Protected: *** UPDATED x2 *** SUBSCRIBERS ONLY: Coulson, Sente

Tuesday, Nov 2, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Afternoon caption contest!

Tuesday, Nov 2, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* The first one went so well, let’s do another.

Alexi votes…

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*** UPDATED x2 *** Turnout predictions and late afternoon precinct reports

Tuesday, Nov 2, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

*** UPDATE 1 *** From Crain’s

City turnout was 49.75% in 2006. This time, turnout seems to be particularly good on the North Side lakefront and in scattered areas of the South Side, like the 8th Ward, but weak on the West Side.

In suburban Cook County, Clerk David Orr and aides are saying they, too, look like they’ll hit the 50% mark and perhaps go a bit higher.

House GOP Leader Tom Cross reported a good turnout Downstate, even perhaps “historic high” levels in Central Illinois, the backyard of GOP gubernatorial nominee Bill Brady.

Other Republican sources said turnout in two collar county areas is “about average.”

*** UPDATE 2 *** The Illinois Coalition for Immigrant and Refugee Rights has a GOTV program and is tracking their results. I asked for an update. Here it is…

Hi Rich. Our goal is to increase turnout 3% over 2006 levels in our targeted precincts. We are on track in some of the Chicago Latino areas and in the Asian / mixed areas, and light in some of the city Latino areas. We are light in Aurora, on track in the SW suburban Arab areas, and very heavy in the mixed Muslim / white parts of Dupage we are working in. Overall not horrible news for the Dems, but not good news either. I was reading the blog and this does not clear up the turnout mystery, but it confirms some of what is being stated.

Hope this is helpful. By the way, we will have made close to 500,000 live calls when all of this is done, between Illinois Immigrant Action and ICIRR. I don’t know how many got answered (will eventually have a report) but it looks from your blog that this puts us up pretty high in terms of people doing actual real work. We have GOTV in 17 communities.

[ *** End Of Updates *** ]

* Dan White of the State Board of Elections prognosticates about statewide turnout

“We’re expecting an average turnout,” White said of today’s vote. “It’s good. It’ll be a little bit above 50 percent.”

White said Chicago and Cook County are projecting a turnout of about 53 percent at mid-day. White said turnout also is higher in some downstate areas, including Sangamon County, where Springfield is located.

* I just spoke with Jim Allen at the Chicago Board of Election Commissioners.

“Right now,” Allen said. “it looks like we’re heading into the low 50s” for city turnout.

However, Allen added a huge caveat. “The big question is whether we’re heading into an evening rush.” The city hasn’t had an evening voter rush in the last two elections, the 2010 primary and the 2008 general. The city board was a bit redfaced two years ago when they declared morning turnout indicated an 80 percent rate, but the lack of an evening rush led to a 71.5 percent turnout. And the ‘08 primary’s evening rush wasn’t that significant, either, Allen said.

There are a lot of factors at play here. Grace period voting, early voting, absentee voting, people don’t have jobs or they have jobs that they can’t leave, etc.

If history repeats itself and there’s no evening rush, Allen says the city is looking at “barely” 50 percent, or maybe even 49 percent.

As noted below, most prognosticators believe that Pat Quinn and Alexi Giannoulias need at least a 50 percent turnout in the city.

* Another silly lede

Voter turnout at some precincts in the South Side neighborhood of Englewood appears down considerably from the presidential election two years ago.

You can’t compare presidential elections to off-year elections. Sheesh. However, this next graf is interesting…

Tyrone Blanton, a poll worker at the 21st precinct in the 3rd Ward, said 308 of the 341 registered voters turned out during the election that put President Barack Obama in office. But today, as of 1 p.m., only 67 people had cast ballots.

That’s low. Very low.

Yet, Toni Preckwinkle’s people are projecting a city/county turnout akin to 2006, which is what the Democrats need. As a good friend of mine just said when we were discussing all the conflicting turnout reports…

God I hate election day

Heh.

* I think WLS Radio is trying to be Drudge bait. Their stories and, especially, their headlines lately are just off the wall. Check out their latest headline

Many problems reported at polls, precincts opening late

The actual story

There have been scattered problems reported this morning. The Cook County Clerk’s Office says five precincts did not open on time, so the Clerk will be asking a judge to allow them to stay open past 7 tonight. Three of those late opening precincts are in Proviso Township in the Western suburbs and two in Northfield Township in the Northern suburbs.

“Scattered” problems in a few suburban precincts ain’t “many” problems.

* Tell us more about your precincts, towns, etc. How’s it going out there? We’ve had the best, most widespread field reports in comments than you’ll find anywhere else. Keep them coming!

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Protected: *** UPDATED x1 *** SUBSCRIBERS ONLY: Midday report

Tuesday, Nov 2, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

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*** UPDATED x1 *** Early afternoon precinct reports

Tuesday, Nov 2, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

*** UPDATE *** These are very good bellwethers

Just about every strategist I’ve spoken with says that Chicagoans, particularly African-Americans, have to turn out [at least 50 percent] for Democrats Alexi Giannoulias and, particularly, Gov. Pat Quinn to have a shot against Republicans Mark Kirk and Bill Brady in the U.S. Senate and governor races, respectively.

A 50% turnout would be about 660,000 voters. The Chicago Board of Elections traditionally gives turnout projections during the day, so look to see what they report. And, of course, they’ll be putting totals on the board’s website. […]

The [58th House District has] a Democratic incumbent, Karen May. The [17th House District] is an open seat now held by Republican Beth Coulson, who gave up her job to stage an unsuccessful race for Congress.

If Republicans are serious about knocking out House Speaker Michael Madigan, they almost certainly have to hang onto the 17th while taking a dozen other seats. And if they snag the 58th, a Republican rout likely is under way.

The Cook County Clerk’s Office should provide the best up-to-the-minute vote totals in the 17th, with Cook and the Lake County Clerk’s Office covering the 58th.

If the HGOPs take out May, this thing is over. If they take out Biss, it’s gonna be close.

…Adding… I posted this in comments…

Chicago turnout four years ago was 49.25 percent. The state as a whole averaged 41.4 percent.

The city’s turnout in 2002 was 53.1 percent. Statewide average was 40.2 percent.

[ *** End Of Update *** ]

* This AP story tells us nothing

A spokesman for the Chicago Board of Elections said there appears to be a stronger interest in Tuesday’s elections than in the spring primaries.

That’s a pretty darned low bar, considering how miserable the turnout was in the primary.

* This tells us almost nothing

[Mark Kirk] said he had spoken with officials in New Trier who said turnout “was extremely heavy,” and had heard that turnout in parts of Chicago wasn’t as strong.

Careful what you believe on election day.

* This tells us a wee bit more

Willard Helander, the Lake County Clerk, told PI this morning that the polls in her county were “not crazy, but busy.” She said it was “extremely probable” that turnout would be “higher than 52 percent.” One of the reasons: voter referendums, such as the historic effort to recall Buffalo Grove Trustee Lisa Stone. Over in Kane County, Clerk John Cunningham said he expected roughly 90,000 and 100,000 of the 213,000 eligible voters in his county to cast a ballot by day’s end.

* An absentee ballot report

Chicago and Cook County election officials said they are continuing to receive a flood of absentee ballots, some delivered by mail this morning.

“We still have thousands of them coming in,” said Courtney Greve, a spokeswoman for Cook County Clerk David Orr. “We received 4,500 (Monday).”

Greve did not have an estimate for how many total absentee ballots would be cast in suburban Cook County. Through Monday, the number stood at 14,000. […]

In Chicago, about 20,000 absentee ballots had been cast so far, said Langdon Neal, executive director of the board, who said hundreds more arrived by mail this morning. Absentee ballots had to be postmarked by Monday to be tallied in the election.

A lot more absentee ballots are still out there. Here are the IMA numbers for absentee requests for the city and the county…

Chicago – 28,984
Suburban Cook – 33,351

* Latest headline from the Washington Post

In Illinois, all eyes on Obama’s former Senate seat

All eyes? If you ask the city’s editors, all eyes are on Mayor Daley’s job.

* Speaking of the city, Rahm sends out an e-mail and Politico covers it

Former White House chief of staff Rahm Emanuel used a new list of supporters from his recently launched Chicago mayoral campaign to help Democratic Senate nominee Alexi Giannoulias get out the vote Tuesday.

Emanuel, once the head of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, wrote in an e-mail blast that Chicago voters need to show up at the polls to ensure Republicans “don’t derail the president’s agenda.

* Speaking of headlines

Confident Gov. Quinn votes, says he has no regrets

Some of us do.

* The Southern Illinoisan sold an unusual ad to Bill Brady’s campaign yesterday. The entire front page of the newspaper’s website was wrapped with a Brady campaign message. Click the pic for a larger image…

My brother asked…

What if a local news channel had a campaign graphic surrounding the newscast the night before elections?

Don’t give ‘em any ideas, man.

* One 47th Ward denizen used his/her yard sign collection to frighten the kids but good on Halloween…

* Make sure to tell us what’s going on in your precinct.

  62 Comments      


*** UPDATED x1 *** Be careful out there - Brother of state Sen. Munoz hit by car

Tuesday, Nov 2, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

*** UPDATE *** From Sen Munoz…

Statement from Illinois State Sen. Antonio Munoz regarding the condition of his brother Martin, who was hit by a vehicle Tuesday morning.

“I want to thank everyone for calling and texting and sending along their thoughts and prayers,” said Munoz.

His brother Martin was struck by a vehicle and injured Tuesday morning as he walked to a local polling place. Martin Munoz, 40, suffered a broken leg and head lacerations. His injuries required surgery Tuesday to put screws and a rod in his leg.

“He’s out of surgery and doing very well,” Munoz said, again thanking well wishers.

* This is just horrible

The brother of a state senator was seriously injured this morning when he was struck by a hit-and-run driver who sped through an intersection outside a South Side polling station, officials and witnesses said.

Martin Munoz, 40, the brother of State Sen. Antonio Munoz, (D-Chicago), was taken to Mt. Sinai Hospital, where he was undergoing surgery.

John Patterson, acting as spokesman for the senator, said Martin Munoz suffered head lacerations and serious leg injuries but was conscious after the accident. He had been on his way to vote, he added. […]

The accident happened just before 6 a.m. outside Balzekas Motor Sales, 4030 S. Archer Ave., where a polling location was being set up, said Robert Balzekas, an employee of the Brighton Park neighborhood dealership. It had not yet opened to voters.
Balzekas said Munoz was crossing Archer when a 1994 or 1995 Nissan barreled down the diagonal street heading southeast. He said the car was traveling between 30 and 40 mph when it struck Munoz.

My thoughts are with Sen. Munoz and his family.

…Adding… Some have asked me to post this

Arthur “Ron” Swanson, 84, a former Republican state senator and lobbyist whose insider deals played a key role in the conviction of former Illinois Gov. George Ryan, died of kidney failure Saturday, Oct. 30, in his Homer Glen home, said his son, Ronald Jr.

Mr. Swanson, who served as state senator from 1963 to 1971, was sentenced in July 2006 to eight months of home confinement for lying to a grand jury when he claimed to have performed work as part of a $180,000 lobbying assignment at McCormick Place arranged by Ryan.

Although the prosecution recommended that Mr. Swanson be sentenced to prison, the judge cited his elderly age and health problems, saying prison would have been “cruel and unusual punishment.” He was 80 at the time.

  Comments Off      


Question of the day

Tuesday, Nov 2, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* From Saturday’s Fox News poll of those who have already voted…

* Brady 34
* Quinn 52
* Whitney 7
* Cohen 4
* Other 3

From PPP’s Saturday-Sunday poll of those who have already voted…

* Brady 45
* Quinn 49
* Whitney 2
* Cohen 4
* Green -
* Undecided 3

* From the Fox News poll of people who have not yet voted…

* Brady 47
* Quinn 35
* Whitney 3
* Cohen 7
* Other 2

PPP’s results for those who have not voted…

* Brady 45
* Quinn 39
* Whitney 5
* Cohen 5
* Green 3
* Undecided 4

* The Question: Have you changed your mind on any of your election day predictions? Explain now or forever hold your peace. Comments will be closed at 7 o’clock.

  58 Comments      


*** UPDATED x1 *** Fun election day stuff and more reader precinct reports

Tuesday, Nov 2, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* From a pal…

Hi buddy. What is the best site to monitor results tonight. Where will u be?

This will be the best site, of course. And I’ll be right here, posting away. We’ll have election returns, video, links to live video, etc., etc.

* Can Mike Madigan be blamed for this? It’s probably too late for the Tribune to try

Candidates across Illinois are trying to make the most of their last day before Tuesday’s election. But a leading contender in a tight Cook County race had to step off the campaign trail for a few hours.

Assessor candidate Forrest Claypool said his “emergency” began last night after Halloween trick-or-treating. “I made the mistake of stealing my 9-year-old daughter’s Tootsie Roll,” he said. “It was like a hydraulic lift on my cavity filling, and just pulled it right out.”

Before he knew it, Claypool was in a Hyde Park dentist’s chair. The repair on Tooth No. 18 forced Claypool to cancel a Monday afternoon appearance at Manny’s Deli, a frequent stop for politicians before Election Day. He hoped the Novocain would wear off in time to meet rush-hour commuters at the Roosevelt stop of CTA’s Red Line.

* Tony Peraica has ruined it for everybody. From a press release…

At approximately 11:30 PM last night, an automobile registered in Maryland, was involved in the alleged theft of Joe Walsh for Congress campaign signs in Hainesville, Illinois. The theft occurred at the intersection of Illinois Route 120 and Illinois Route 134.

Steve Tucker, a volunteer in the Joe Walsh for Congress campaign, and another volunteer, were sitting in a car at the 7-11 gas station across the street, and observed the passenger of a car with Maryland License Plate (8 MD 1526) remove three Joe Walsh for Congress campaign signs from the shoulder of the road and replace them with campaign signs for Melissa Bean.

The getaway car was registered with a specialty license plate issued by the State of Maryland for the Maryland Democratic Party.

*** UPDATE *** I didn’t even see Walsh’s video link. Thanks to a commenter for pointing it out. First of all, the Walsh video doesn’t show the alleged operative actually touching the sign. At the very beginning she appears to be standing next to a Bean sign. And lastly, the Walsh sign appears to be posted in a public right of way, which is illegal. Is not stealing or even touching an illegally posted sign illegal? No. Watch it for yourself


Lamest. Allegation. Ever.

[ *** End Of Update *** ]

And more silliness: He said. She said.

* From the RNC’s spokesperson…

Thank you for putting up with my endless stream of emails.

No. Thank YOU for your endless streams of mob banker references.

* A new record! From the Illinois Campaign for Political Reform…

Supreme Court Chief Justice Tom Kilbride’s retention election has set a record as the most expensive retention election in the state’s history and the second most expensive in our nation’s history. Kilbride’s committee and his opponents have raised more than $3.2 million. The previous Illinois record for a retention race was in the low six figures. Kilbride had $2.6 million compared to nearly $700,000 for his opponents. Nearly $1.5 million of Kilbride’s money came from the Democratic Party of Illinois. The opposition JUSTPAC is the political committee of the Illinois Civil Justice League, which has the financial support of insurance companies and health care providers who support limits on medical malpractice and other personal injury lawsuits.

* From a buddy in Decatur…

* Today’s front page…

Yep. Even on election day, they have to get something in there about the mayor’s race.

Here’s a more interesting headline: Meeks never did endorse Pat Quinn.

…Adding… People, don’t be silly. If you see vote fraud, call the attorney general, the state’s attorney, the FBI. Don’t call WLS Radio. What’re they gonna do? Send Roe over to heckle? Sheesh.

* What’s going on at your precincts?

  44 Comments      


Morning Shorts

Tuesday, Nov 2, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Treasury estimates $362B in borrowing for quarter

* Illinois CFOs mull cutting health benefits, survey says

* Autopsies in 2 high-profile suicides released

* Pekin manufacturing program seen as an example

* City posts ‘no parking’ in front of GOP HQ — starting Election Day

* New hires in ‘11 won’t make up for departing cops, city concedes

* Weis: Fewer Cops Will Be On Streets

* Stone: Ald. Munoz ‘Playing With’ Himself

* Panel moves on city takeover of Harold Washington Cultural Center

* Chicago alderman may vote on affordable housing ordinance

* Peraica Sues Village of McCook, Mayor Over Weekend Arrest

* Tony Peraica files wrongful arrest lawsuit

* Charges Concocted to Smear Me: Tony Peraica

* Gurnee Village board to vote on wind energy ordinance

* Mt. Prospect eyes cutting 34 village jobs

* Aurora decides against lawsuit over Election Commission

* Chicago Heights sends voting rights agreement to judge; awaits today’s vote

* Dist. 204 excels on school report card

* Indian Prairie shows gains in test scores

* Library systems check in $2.8 million in state funds

* Park Forest seeks state grants for public projects

* Frankfort bans video gambling

* Rockford City Council approves Tapco building purchase

* Quincy council to modify lease agreement with QU

* Morton to seek downtown plan

* Decatur council turns attention to long-term projects

* No furloughs for Springfield city workers in November; revenue up

* Reckamp won’t seek re-election

* O’Fallon hires consultant to organize budget

* Gerald Fitzgerald, banking figure, has died

* Father of former Sen. Fitzgerald dies

* Meeks would leave pulpit if elected Chicago mayor

* Meeks hands off some ministry duties for mayoral race

* State Sen. James Meeks Leaves Church Duties to Campaign

* Meeks makes a mayoral move

* Ald. Fioretti has throat cancer, won’t run for mayor

* Ald. Fioretti Has Cancer, Won’t Run For Mayor

  9 Comments      


Election day caption contest!

Tuesday, Nov 2, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* This man could very well be our next governor…

  113 Comments      


Morning election report

Tuesday, Nov 2, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

*** Comments closed. Let’s move the conversation to a fresh post. ***

* 6:28 am - How are things going at your polling place this morning? What’s the weather? What’s the vibe? Fill us in.

* Roundup…

* Brown: Victorious or not, Illinois GOP back in the fight - Threat of ‘extinction’ has passed as backlash has stung Democrats

* Election day: Close races, big spenders and unhappy voters

* Voters head to polls for mid-term election

* State GOP Predicts Big Smiles Wednesday Morning

* GOP sees opportunities up and down Ill. ballot

* Poll buoys Illinois Republicans in U.S. Senate, governor races - But margin or error could mean both are still dead heats

* Third-Party Options Could Save Democrats

* Day of decision - Will national Republican wave drown state’s Democratic strength?

* Can Obama Save Alex Giannoulias, Pat Quinn in His Home State?

* Lynn Sweet: Dems can blame Blago for their mess - Senate race might have been a lot easier for their party

* Senate, gov foes make final campaign swings - More bitterness and name-calling as candidates try to lock up votes

* U.S. Senate, governor hopefuls end busy day in Chicago, suburbs

* ‘Trash-talking’ candidates turn off suburban voters

* Brady, Quinn, Kirk & Giannoulias Campaign for One Last Night

* Candidates Make Last Minute Stops

* GOP sees opportunities up and down Ill. ballot

* Republican candidates visit UI before the races

* Candidates make their last push in Illinois

* Candidates Make a Final Push

* Sneed: Mother Quinn The Quinn Bin

* Dems brace for GOP wave

* Senate “Big Six” will determine fate of parties on Election Day

* Factbox: Twelve Senate races to watch

* Today’s election at a glance

  56 Comments      


Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today’s edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)

Tuesday, Nov 2, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

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« NEWER POSTS PREVIOUS POSTS »
* Reader comments closed for the holiday weekend
* Isabel’s afternoon roundup
* Jack Conaty
* New state law to be tested by Will County case
* Why did ACLU Illinois staffers picket the organization this week?
* Hopefully, IDHS will figure this out soon
* Pete Townshend he ain't /s
* Open thread
* Isabel’s morning briefing
* Live coverage
* Selected press releases (Live updates)
* Yesterday's stories

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