Capitol Fax.com - Your Illinois News Radar » 2012 » October
SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax      Advertise Here      About     Exclusive Subscriber Content     Updated Posts    Contact Rich Miller
CapitolFax.com
To subscribe to Capitol Fax, click here.
Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY: This just in…

Tuesday, Oct 23, 2012 - Posted by Rich Miller

This post is password protected. To view it please enter your password below:

  Comments Off      


Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Supplement to today’s edition, crosstabs, campaign ads and a roundup

Tuesday, Oct 23, 2012 - Posted by Rich Miller

This post is password protected. To view it please enter your password below:

  Comments Off      


Question of the day

Tuesday, Oct 23, 2012 - Posted by Rich Miller

* A photo from Mayor Rahm Emanuel’s office…

* The Question: Caption?

  70 Comments      


Bloomberg to run ads for Dold

Tuesday, Oct 23, 2012 - Posted by Rich Miller

* I’m coming a bit late to this, but New York Mayor Mike Bloomberg is about to dump some big cash into the 10th Congressional District

Seeking to reshape a national political debate he finds frustratingly superficial, Mayor Michael R. Bloomberg of New York is plunging into the 2012 campaign in its final weeks, creating his own “super PAC” to direct millions of dollars in donations to elect candidates from both parties who he believes will focus on problem solving.

Mr. Bloomberg, a billionaire and a registered independent, expects to spend from $10 million to $15 million of his money in highly competitive state, local and Congressional races. The money would be used to pay for a flurry of advertising on behalf of Republican, Democratic and independent candidates who support three of his biggest policy initiatives: legalizing same-sex marriage, enacting tougher gun laws and overhauling schools.

Among those whom Mr. Bloomberg will support are former Gov. Angus King, an independent running for the United States Senate in Maine; State Senator Gloria Negrete McLeod, who is challenging a fellow Democrat, Representative Joe Baca of California, who the mayor believes has been weak on gun-control; and Representative Bob Dold, a Republican from Illinois who has backed gun-control measures.

* Bloomberg explains

Mr. Bloomberg suggested [Obama and Romney] were cowed by the National Rifle Association, which has endorsed Mr. Romney.

The point of his super PAC, he said, was to provide “spine” for politicians under that sort of pressure, which is why, for instance, it is supporting the re-election of Representative Robert J. Dold, a Republican from Illinois. Mr. Dold got a “D” from the National Rifle Association for backing some gun restrictions.

“You’re not going to beat the N.R.A. overnight,” Mr. Bloomberg said. “As you get going, people start realizing that there’s a sane group of people out there that want them to do intelligent things, and that that’s where their support is going to come from.”

* More

“We’ll win some races, we’ll lose some of these, but it’s sort of to get our feet wet,” Mr. Bloomberg said during his weekly appearance on John Gambling’s radio show. “Two years from now, when I don’t have to worry about just what’s good for New York City–I’m going to live here for the rest of my life, my kids are going to live here, I’m going to live in New York State, I’m going to live in America, so I care about all of these levels of government–I’ll be freer to do more.”

Discussing his motivation for the move, Mr. Bloomberg said he’s “complained about this partisanship and lack of cooperation” in Washington, and he finally decided to step up and try to fix things.

“I don’t respect people who complain and don’t try and do something about it,” he said. “Just complaining is not something I think is very productive, so I’m going to try and support candidates–and you can do it with $1, or $10, or voting–but I want to support candidates who believe as I do. Marriage equality and common-sense gun laws and educational reform, people who can work across the aisle.”

* Progress Illinois looked at Bloomberg’s decision last Friday

Dold, who did not return calls for comment today, says on his campaign Web site that “I have worked with organizations like Mayor Bloomberg’s group, Mayors Against Illegal Guns” and “I support reasonable restrictions on gun ownership.”

But Schneider has similar gun control rhetoric on his Web site and goes a step further by laying out specific legislation he would support as a member of Congress. This includes reinstating the federal assault weapons ban, a bill that President Bill Clinton signed into law in 1996, which expired in 2004.

Dold has not given his position on the assaults weapon ban. In an interview with the Vernon Hills Review this August, campaign spokesman John McGovern answered a question about the assault weapons ban by noting that Dold “supports closing gun show loopholes” and “has worked with New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg to support legislation to keep firearms out of the hands of potential terrorists.”

* In another race, Democrat Bill Foster has a new TV ad. Rate it

* Other stuff…

* Our View: 17th Congress: Schilling

* Chuck Sweeny: Bobby Schilling, Cheri Bustos talk farms, roads, rail

* A Conversation With Illinois 12th Congressional Candidate Jason Plummer

  10 Comments      


When “reformers” hurt themselves and their causes

Tuesday, Oct 23, 2012 - Posted by Rich Miller

* The State Journal-Register editorial board wrote about something today which has been on my mind for the past week or so

Candidates who try to be too goody-two-shoes about their campaign funding often run into the same problem as 13th Congressional District Democrat David Gill: Explaining how the money they said was dirty seeped into their campaign.

Gill spent Thursday trying to explain how the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, which doesn’t have any scruples about taking cash from corporate political action committees and Wall Street banks, ended up paying for a television advertisement proclaiming Gill’s political purity.

The disclaimer at the end of the ad says it was paid for by the DCCC and Gill’s campaign.

Reporters and Republican opponent Rodney Davis rightly pounced on Gill’s inconsistency and it has dominated news coverage of the race.

The same type of thing happened in the 1998 gubernatorial campaign to Democrat Glenn Poshard, a fundamentally decent public servant who lost to the now-imprisoned George Ryan.

The lesson is clear: While the campaign finance laws may be rotten, by creating another set of rules for yourself, you set yourself up to fail. Change the system when you get elected.

Every time Poshard bent or broke his self-imposed ban on PAC contributions, the media - especially the Tribune - pounced on him. George Ryan was able to cast himself as the clean candidate in that race because Poshard was always so desperate for cash that he had to constantly try to find a way to get around his own contribution limits.

* First, you win. Then, you can change the laws. Poshard didn’t think that through when he ran for governor. It cost him dearly. Gill has made the same problem for himself.

When Gill was the lone wolf out on his own, decrying big DC and New York money was fine because he was never gonna get any of that loot. Now that he’s in the big show and in a race that appears to be going down to the wire, Gill needs every dollar he can find. But he can’t tap it because he’s tied one hand behind his back.

The SJ-R dismissed the controversy and went ahead and endorsed Gill anyway.

* I really doubt that this particular issue itself will lose the race for Gill. But what it very well may do is prevent Gill from spending the kind of money he needs from now until election day.

And if Gill loses to Rodney Davis by a handful of votes in a district that was drawn to elect a Democrat, that pledge of his will likely be pointed to as the reason. And if he can’t take New York money and still vote against New York money, then maybe he doesn’t deserve to win anyway. It’s not like Davis will be tougher than him on Wall Street. Win first, change second.

* Related…

* Davis refuses to sign anti-tax pledge

* Tom Kacich: Sources of funding for 13th District candidates

* Davis, Gill both back concealed-carry, agree on little else

  11 Comments      


Rush, Davis defend Jackson

Tuesday, Oct 23, 2012 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Congressmen Bobby Rush and Danny Davis defended their colleague Jesse Jackson, Jr. yesterday

Rush said that Jackson’s absence from Congress has not harmed his district because the legislative body has been in session only 32 days since Jackson took his leave.

“Nothing really occurred in those 32 days, that his constituency has suffered,” Rush said.

And until his illness, Jackson had “an almost impeccable voting record,” according to Rush.

“It’s kind of paradoxical to me to see someone who has one of the best voting records in Congress now he’s being accused of being a loafer and not showing up for work,” Rush said.

Davis noted that Congress’ next lengthy session won’t be until January.

Rush was also critical of recent media reports about Jackson drinking in bars. “These accusations about bar-hopping and that kind of thing are ludicrous, it was not only disrespectful it had no basis in the truth. The man was not in a bar carousing with any women.”

* But, as to be expected when it’s Rush and Davis speaking, they went over the top

But as both congressmen defended Jackson, once a rising Democratic prospect, the theme of the wounded innocent was ever-present.

“I remember a fella named Job who got sick during the Biblical days,” Davis said. “And Job’s friends went to see him because they thought that he must have done something that was terrible to have this illness heaped upon him. Turned out that Job had not done anything!”

Rush, meanwhile, likened Jackson’s situation to that of Bulls star Derrick Rose, who is recovering from a knee injury.

“Nobody is clamoring for Derrick Rose to come back before the doctors say he should come back,” Rush said.

Oh, please. Derrick Rose hasn’t mysteriously disappeared from public view and sent surrogates out to speak for him. Quite the opposite.

And Job? You’re gonna compare J3 with Job?

Sigh.

* Also, this

Confirming reports that Jackson planned to return to the Mayo Clinic this week for further treatment, Rush said the lawmaker left for Mayo by car later Monday.

He’s apparently driving to avoid the media.

Definitely NBA style, that.

  15 Comments      


*** UPDATED x2 - Walsh son quotes *** Walsh’s son to speak out

Tuesday, Oct 23, 2012 - Posted by Rich Miller

* I told you yesterday that Republican Congresman Joe Walsh was furious with a new TV ad by Tammy Duckworth which brings up his back child support issues...

“For Tammy Duckworth to bring up this private family matter that was resolved and dismissed is nothing short of graceless. It shows how desperate her campaign has become since polls have shown me ahead and it represents the worst in our political system. Ms. Duckworth has demonstrated she will do and say anything to win this campaign.”

* Duckworth’s response

Duckworth said [yesterday] that Walsh has attacked just about everyone in this district, whether it was Latinos, African Americans, women who want access to their contraception….He’s attacked me from everything from the clothes that I wear to my military service.”

“I think for him to now cry foul is very typical of a bully,” she said. “They bully other people and when you point out their own problems, then they cry foul.”

* Walsh is now planning to turn up the heat in what will surely be a high-profile press conference with his son. From a press release…

Congressman Walsh and his son Joe Walsh (speaking on behalf of his siblings) will hold a press conference today to respond to the recent attack ads on Congressman Walsh and his family currently being aired by the Duckworth Campaign.

WHAT: Joe Walsh press conference

WHO: Congressman Joe Walsh and Joe Walsh Jr.

WHEN: TODAY, October 23 - 2:30PM

WHERE: 55 West Monroe, 5th Floor Conference Room, Chicago, IL

This will get intense. Stay tuned.

*** UPDATE 1 *** This Walsh presser puts me in the mind of 1996. Democrat Terry Link was not given a chance in heck of winning a Senate seat that year. But then the Republicans blasted him for not paying child support. Link held a press conference with his ex-wife, who praised him up and down for being a great father.

Link won.

This could be a very dramatic turn of events, campers. Watch closely.

*** UPDATE 2 *** From a press release quoting Walsh’s son…

“Our Mom and Dad didn’t agree on everything, but even during the divorce they made it clear to us we were their top priority. After the divorce, they continued to do their best to provide for us financially and emotionally. Most of all, they both made us their priority during the public child support dispute last year by not discussing the case or us in public and this past April, they privately resolved their issues once again keeping us out of the news.”

Walsh Jr. continued, “We understand that politics is a rough business, but these ads are wrong and very hurtful to us. It’s wrong you’re saying these untrue things about our Dad. Please, Ms. Duckworth, try to win this campaign on the issues where you disagree with our Dad. But don’t attack him as a Father. He was and is a wonderful Father.”

“Please pull these TV ads. It’s just not right to be doing what you’re doing,” Walsh Jr. concluded.

The full letter from Walsh’s kids can be read by clicking here.

  56 Comments      


Morning thread

Tuesday, Oct 23, 2012 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Thoughts on last night’s Bears, Cardinals and presidential debate extravaganza?

  63 Comments      


STOP THE SATELLITE TV TAX!

Tuesday, Oct 23, 2012 - Posted by Advertising Department

[The following is a paid advertisement.]

The cable industry is asking lawmakers to place a NEW 5% tax on satellite TV service. HB 5440 is not about fairness, equity or parity – it’s a tax increase on the 1.3 million Illinois families and businesses who subscribe to satellite TV. They cannot afford another NEW tax – not now and not in this economy!

HB 5440 Will Hurt Illinois Families and Small Businesses

    • Satellite TV subscribers will see their monthly bills go up 5%.
    • This tax will impact every bar, restaurant and hotel that subscribes to satellite TV service, which will translate into higher prices, decreased revenues, and fewer jobs.
    • Rural Illinois has no choice: In many parts of Illinois, cable refuses to provide TV service to rural communities. Satellite TV is their only option.

HB 5440 Is Not About Parity or Fairness

    • Cable’s claim that this discriminatory tax is justified because satellite TV doesn’t pay local franchise fees could not be further from the truth. Cable pays those fees to local towns and cities in exchange for the right to bury cables in the public rights of way—a right that Comcast and Charter value in the tens of billions of dollars in their SEC filings.
    • Satellite companies don’t pay franchise fees for one simple reason: We use satellites—unlike cable, we don’t need to dig up streets and sidewalks to deliver our TV service.
    • Making satellite subscribers pay franchise fees—or, in this case, an equivalent amount in taxes—would be like taxing the air It’s no different than making airline passengers pay a fee for laying railroad tracks.

Tell Your Lawmakers to Stop The Satellite TV Tax

Vote NO on HB 5440

  Comments Off      


Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today’s edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)

Tuesday, Oct 23, 2012 - Posted by Rich Miller

This post is password protected. To view it please enter your password below:

  Comments Off      


Evening open thread

Monday, Oct 22, 2012 - Posted by Rich Miller

* For Bears and Cardinals fans and preznit debate watchers. A veritable potpourri of whatever’s on your mind.

Keep it clean. And please try to avoid drive-by comments and bumper-sticker slogans.

Thanks.

  129 Comments      


Today’s number: $23 million

Monday, Oct 22, 2012 - Posted by Rich Miller

* From the Tribune

She is among 68 workers placed on continuous leave for at least one year during that period, at a total cost in salary of more than $5 million, a Tribune investigation found.

The paper found the state regularly pays employees not to work, even as it faces gaping budget gaps and service cutbacks. Between 2007 and September of this year, the 2,033 employees put on paid leave have cost the state $23 million, according to a Tribune analysis of state data.

Paid administrative leave prevents an employee from going to work — typically, during an investigation into alleged wrongdoing — and is considered a serious sanction. But there is wide leeway for supervisors to impose such an action. In one instance, the paper found, a mental health technician was put on leave for allegedly driving her car too fast in her agency’s parking lot. […]

Under union rules, most of the state’s 60,000 employees can be dismissed only for cause, meaning they must first be investigated and their future decided at a disciplinary hearing. […]

“The duration of leave and the lengthy investigative process is a problem and takes far too long,” said Anders Lindall, spokesman for the American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees. “It’s an issue that our members and our union have raised with the state time and again through labor management discussions for years.

Discuss.

  25 Comments      


Democratic polls show five candidates leading, silent on one

Monday, Oct 22, 2012 - Posted by Rich Miller

[Headline changed to reflect info at bottom of post.]

* From Hotline On Call

Rep. Joe Walsh, R-Ill., trails Democratic nominee Tammy Duckworth by double digits in his race for reelection, according to a new live-caller poll released Friday by an outside group involved in the campaign against him.

The League of Conservation Voters commissioned the survey, which shows Duckworth leading Walsh 54 percent to 39 percent in Illinois’s 8th Congressional District. President Obama leads Mitt Romney 53 percent to 41 percent in the district’s presidential vote; Obama carried the suburban Chicago seat with over 61 percent in 2008.

Anzalone Liszt Research conducted the poll for LCV and surveyed 400 likely voters from Oct. 16-18. The poll’s margin of error is plus-or-minus 4.9 percentage points. The League of Conservation Voters recently began a mobile billboard advertising campaign against Walsh and has also done robocalls in the 8th District. […]

LCV’s poll throws cold water on the idea of a Walsh revival. More voters viewed Walsh unfavorably (44 percent) than favorably (35 percent), while Duckworth was viewed favorably by 49 percent and unfavorably by 36 percent in the poll.

* From The Hill

Physician David Gill (D) leads former Republican House staffer Rodney Davis in their race by 41 to 39 percent, according to a new poll from the pro-Democrat House Majority PAC. The two are running for a newly redrawn seat left open by Rep. Tim Johnson’s (R-Ill.) retirement.

* From the Cheri Bustos campaign…

Monday, Cheri Bustos’s campaign released a new poll showing Bustos with a 4 point lead over Congressman Bobby Schilling. The poll conducted Oct. 16-18, show Bustos ahead 49-45 and comes on the heels of 3 recent polls which showed a statistical tie.

“Our campaign continues to gain momentum as we enter the final two weeks. Voters understand that Cheri Bustos will protect Medicare and Social Security and make job creation her No.1 priority,” said Bustos Campaign Manager Allison Jaslow. “Congressman Schilling has the wrong priorities and voters are rejecting his plan to end Medicare’s guaranteed benefit”.

The campaign’s polling memo is here.

* From the House Majority PAC…

Democrat Bill Foster is leading Republican Judy Biggert by a margin of 49-45 percent in Illinois’ competitive 11th District, according to a new House Majority PAC poll.

Importantly, Foster is ahead of Biggert with independents by 10 points, 49-39 percent, and is seen more favorably by voters compared to Biggert, whose negative ratings have increased dramatically.

President Obama leads Mitt Romney 51-46 percent in this district.

An analysis memo from the polling firm, Garin-Hart-Yang Research, is available here: http://www.thehousemajoritypac.com/images/IL-11-Poll-Memo.pdf.

* The Democrats have been noticeably silent today on polling for the Bill Enyart campaign. But Plummer released some numbers late last week

Jason Plummer, the GOP nominee for the 12th U.S. House District, released the results Friday of an internal poll that showed Plummer leading Democratic nominee Bill Enyart by 5 points, or 46 to 41 percent.

Paula Bradshaw, the Green Party candidate, drew 4 percent of the vote in a poll with a margin of error of 4.9 percent, according to research conducted by Public Opinion Strategies, a Republican-leaning polling and public relations firm based in Alexandria, Va.

* Also, no numbers have yet been released by the Democrats today on 10th District candidate Brad Schneider, who is up against freshman Republican Bob Dold.

…Adding… The DCCC did some polling last week in the 10th CD and had Scheider up by a point.

…Adding More… A recent poll taken by Bob Dold showed he had a big lead

A survey completed Oct. 12 by the Dold campaign shows the North Shore Congressman with a 10 point lead

  51 Comments      


Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Supplement to today’s edition, crosstabs, new ads, new mail and more

Monday, Oct 22, 2012 - Posted by Rich Miller

This post is password protected. To view it please enter your password below:

  Comments Off      


Caption contest!

Monday, Oct 22, 2012 - Posted by Rich Miller

* A flyer posted at the Capitol Complex…

Um. OK. That’s kind of a difficult invitation to turn down. And “selling” votes? How, uh, ethical of them.

Just kidding, of course.

Caption?

  40 Comments      


Question of the day

Monday, Oct 22, 2012 - Posted by Rich Miller

* The Chicago Bears play the Detroit Lions tonight at 7:30 pm Central. The presidential debate starts at 8 o’clock Central.

* The Question: Da Bears or the presidents? Take the poll and then explain your answer in comments, please.


  65 Comments      


Duckworth’s new TV ad slams Walsh over child support

Monday, Oct 22, 2012 - Posted by Rich Miller

* The mud is really starting to fly, campers

Tammy Duckworth’s campaign is also using Joe Walsh’s child support issue in its direct mail program.

The only question now is whether the ads are too little, too late. We’ll see soon enough.

* Walsh’s reaction…

In April, a suit filed against Congressman Joe Walsh for delinquent child support payments was dismissed by a judge and Congressman Walsh along with his ex-wife issued a statement that he is not and never was a “deadbeat dad”. Despite the issue being amicably resolved in private by the family, Tammy Duckworth began airing a new TV ad in addition to a mail campaign accusing Walsh of being a “deadbeat”. Congressman Walsh released the following statement:

“For Tammy Duckworth to bring up this private family matter that was resolved and dismissed is nothing short of graceless. It shows how desperate her campaign has become since polls have shown me ahead and it represents the worst in our political system. Ms. Duckworth has demonstrated she will do and say anything to win this campaign.

“Because of my children, it has always been my priority to keep this a private matter. I’ve always campaigned as an open book and have been honest with voters about my life. But for Ms. Duckworth to drag my family into this campaign by running on a case that was dismissed months ago, shows that she and her campaign have no limits to the lows they will achieve. This is Chicago machine politics at its worse, but it is what is expected from a Blago protege like Ms. Duckworth. I will not stand for it, and I call on the Duckworth campaign to stop these untrue and offensive attacks on my family.

“It’s Ms. Duckworth’s hope to distract voters from the fact she is currently being sued by two Illinois Veterans Affairs whistleblowers that she tried to fire and humiliate. I think we deserve better from our candidates than what Ms. Duckworth is resorting to in this campaign, and we deserve better from public officials than what Ms. Duckworth did to two whistleblowers when she ran the Illinois VA.”

Discuss.

* On another topic, an unusual Joe Walsh fan video

  31 Comments      


The bottom line on Fitzgerald’s new job

Monday, Oct 22, 2012 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Former US Attorney Patrick Fitzgerald has been named a partner in the Chicago office of Skadden, Arps, Slate, Meagher & Flom

Fitzgerald will focus on “internal corporate investigations as well as civil litigation and arbitration,” according to a law firm news release.

* Fitz said he had no interest in defending criminals

In an interview, Fitzgerald said he is not interested in defending the sort of accused criminals he once prosecuted, a line of work that many former prosecutors move into after leaving government. Rather, he said, he will focus on corporate investigations, an increasingly lucrative area for law firms.

“I’m not changing who I am,” Fitzgerald said. “I’m just changing who my client is.”

* But this is what he’ll actually be doing

Scandal is big business for the country’s biggest law firms. Companies that investigate internal wrongdoing often receive lighter penalties for cooperating with authorities.

So, he won’t help human beings charged with corruption or whatever, but he will be helping corporations avoid tougher penalties.

  19 Comments      


Media needs to get in the game

Monday, Oct 22, 2012 - Posted by Rich Miller

* By far, the most unreported story of this campaign season is how various interests are getting around the state’s campaign contribution caps. I’ve written about it several times this year, but nobody else really has.

Why? I don’t know. Maybe the media is so invested in its support of the reformers that editors and reporters can’t bring themselves to cover the myriad ways that money has found a way around the caps. Maybe they just don’t care. Here’s a press release that just arrived in my e-mail in-box of another example of this stuff…

Arie Friedman’s Shadow PAC

Maximum contributors to Republican state Senate candidate Dr. Arie Friedman are beginning to shuffle money into a Friedman allied PAC to circumvent campaign contribution limits. Democratic candidate for state Senate, Julie Morrison, is calling on Friedman to close his Doctors-Patients Alliance PAC.

“Dr. Friedman should close his shadow PAC now,” Morrison said. “This is not the type of closed door, dishonest politics that the voters of the 29th District want.”

According to the State Board of Elections, The Doctors-Patients Alliance PAC was opened in May 2011 and listed Dr. Friedman as its chairman. In January, the PAC amended its filing to list Friedman campaign manager, Paul Miller, as its chairman. In just a few days, the Doctors-Patients Alliance PAC received maximum contributions from major Friedman supporters, including the self described “First and Oldest member of the Tea Party” Jack Roeser’s Otto Engineering.

In a July, 2011 web posting, Dr. Friedman even suggested that the PAC could be used to bolster his campaign. According to Dr. Friedman, “As an Illinois state political committee, DPAI will directly support state legislative candidates – maybe even me…”

The Doctors-Patients Alliance website still lists Dr. Friedman as the organization’s chairman.

* Right now, this maneuvering is only happening with legislative campaigns, but you can bet this will be a big issue in 2014, when Gov. Pat Quinn stands for reelection and the stakes are higher and the media’s attention is more focused.

Legislative races get short-shrift in the media, which is why I’ve been able to create my lovely little niche. But that doesn’t mean I like this sorry state of affairs.

Either way, it’s high time that the media started covering this issue.

  18 Comments      


It ain’t easy outside the two-party system

Monday, Oct 22, 2012 - Posted by Rich Miller

* My weekly syndicated newspaper column

I published a poll last month showing indicted former state Rep. Derrick Smith (D-Chicago) leading third-party candidate Lance Tyson in the 10th House District race by a mind-boggling 47 percent to 9 percent.

Since then, there’s been a lot of grumbling about how Chicago voters ought to know better. After all, Smith was indicted for allegedly taking a bribe and was expelled from the House by his colleagues. It was all over the news. People should know that, for crying out loud.

At the time the poll was taken, however, Tyson hadn’t spent much, if any, money on his campaign. He isn’t a known quantity in the district. And he’s not a Democrat, at least not on the ballot.

The poll of likely voters presented a choice between Smith and Tyson and gave their party affiliations. Smith won the Democratic primary election in March, while Tyson belongs to the newly created “10th District Unity Party.”

Persuading voters to take a look at third-party or independent candidates is never easy. Go back to 1986 when members of Lyndon LaRouche’s cultish organization won some statewide Democratic primary races in Illinois.

Democrat Adlai Stevenson’s running mate was beaten by one of those candidates, and Stevenson had to form a third party to run for governor. Stevenson, who had nearly defeated Republican Gov. Jim Thompson four years earlier, got just 40 percent of the vote as the Solidarity Party candidate in 1986.

This in a year when Democrat Neil Hartigan won the attorney general’s race with 62 percent and Democrat Alan Dixon won the U.S. Senate race with 65 percent. But Stevenson’s Solidarity Party candidate for secretary of state received just 17 percent against the LaRouche Democrat’s 15 percent.

Voters are hard-wired to look at party affiliation. If you say “Democrat” or “Republican” to a voter, he or she knows what you’re talking about. If you say “10th District Unity Party” to a voter, you’ll likely get a blank stare and plenty of suspicion, especially if that candidate is completely unknown.

And the same goes for independents. Just ask Forrest Claypool, who was a well-known Cook County politician and ran as an independent candidate for county assessor two years ago. Claypool spent a pile of money, yet received just 32 percent of the vote against Democrat Joseph Berrios.

So, it should’ve been little surprise when polling last month showed that independent candidate Dee Beaubien was getting only 26 percent against Republican David McSweeney in the 52nd House District battle. Beaubien has a pretty well-known name because her late husband served in the House.

Unlike Lance Tyson, she had spent a considerable amount of money by last month. But that “independent” label was hurting her, even in an area where voters pride themselves on their independence.

Beaubien recently put $100,000 of her money into her campaign, which means that the state’s campaign contribution limits are gone in this race. Once a self-funder breaks the $100,000 mark, all caps are off.

McSweeney countered with $70,000 of his own cash, plus Jack Roeser’s Otto Engineering put $100,000 into the contest for McSweeney. It’s now a free-for-all. Well, not free, exactly.

It’s going to be a financial bloodbath if the House Democrats stay in the race, the pro-choice Personal PAC goes all in against the pro-life McSweeney and Beaubien keeps her checkbook open.

Lance Tyson, on the other hand, is still struggling to raise money. He’s reported receiving or loaning himself just $33,000 in contributions since Sept. 28.

Beaubien and Tyson really have two opponents on the ballot — their actual opponents and the legions of voters who can’t get past party labels.

Beaubien is better positioned financially to overcome both, but she’s being matched at least dollar for dollar so far by McSweeney. Tyson will have the media behind him and presumably some ground troops. But both candidates are running straight uphill because it’s hugely difficult to undo decades of voter behavior.

That doesn’t mean it’s impossible. The Rev. James Meeks ran as an independent against a Democratic incumbent and won a state Senate seat from Chicago in 2002.

But Meeks was extremely well-known in the district because his church has tens of thousands of members. He also spent more than $400,000 to win the race and got big help from some major unions and area politicians.

So it can happen. Independents and third-party candidates can win. But it’s awfully rare.

* Former Chicago Ald. Ed Smith sums up Lance Tyson’s problem

“Right now [Derrick Smith] is the only Democrat on the ballot,” Ed Smith said. “The other candidate is running under a different party. So you would have to go outside of the Democratic Party to vote for [Tyson].” […]

“If Derrick Smith was a guilty candidate, I would not be working for Derrick Smith. But he is not guilty,” Ed Smith said. “He has not had a court trail. He has not been tried by his peers. He is a qualified and bonified candidate who is on the ballot as a Democrat.”

* Meanwhile

Gov. Pat Quinn on Sunday became the latest high-profile Illinois Democrat to back the candidate running against expelled state Rep. Derrick Smith.

Quinn and Secretary of State Jesse White — who was once a Smith supporter — appeared at a news conference on the city’s West Side to back Chicago attorney Lance Tyson, a candidate chosen by Democrats after Smith was indicted on federal bribery charges and refused to step down.

“When we elect someone to office they must have an ethic of service, and that’s what Lance Tyson is all about,” Quinn said at the event held at a senior center. […]

Speaking to a crowd of about 50 people Sunday, Tyson called himself “the real Democrat” in the race. He said the nation is watching to see whether voters in a state known for political corruption will “step up” for character and integrity.

“I have faith, and I believe that all the other Democrats have faith we’re going to do the right thing here,” Tyson said.

* Ben Joravsky got a call from someone who claimed that former Rep. Smith had campaigned at his door...

“You’ll never guess who just showed up at my house,” Johnny said.

“Michael Jordan?” I said.

“No, Derrick Smith.”

Pause.

“I don’t believe you,” I said.

“It’s true. About 15 minutes ago—he rang the doorbell and everything.”

“You mean, the guy’s actually campaigning?”

“I’m telling you—he’s going door to door, up and down the block.”

“Did you ask him why he hasn’t called me back?”

“No, but I told him, ‘You about to go to jail, man.’ He told me, ‘I didn’t do nothing.’ I said, ‘I heard they caught you on tape.’ And he said, ‘They didn’t catch me doing nothing, man.’ That’s not a bad campaign slogan, when you think about it.”

“What?”

“‘They didn’t catch me doing nothing, man.’ He should put it on his billboards.”

* And Cal Skinner has been documenting House Speaker Michael Madigan’s support for Dee Beaubien. Ms. Beaubien not only has to fight the problems associated with being an independent, she also has to deal with the fact that her “independent” candidacy is backed by the House Democratic machine

Dee Beaubien Contributions from Democratic organizations and special interests through October 18, 2012:

    * Friends of Michael J. Madigan – $66,000
    * Lou Lang – $5,500
    * Barbara Flynn Currie – $1,500
    * Democratic Party of Illinois – $150,771.51
    * Democratic Majority – $89,171.80
    * Personal PAC – $106,223.59
    * Planned Parenthood – $500
    * Equality Illinois – $418
    * Fred Eychaner $5,000.00
    * Labor PACs $50,750.00

Total – $475,834.90

Discuss.

  18 Comments      


Poll: Jackson still has strong majority, most voters “happy” with ballot choices

Monday, Oct 22, 2012 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Many news reports on Congressman Jesse Jackson, Jr.’s mysterious disappearance have included comments from constituents about their supreme frustration with their US Rep. But a new We Ask America poll found that he still has a strong majority of support

Keep in mind when reading these numbers that Jackson’s new remapped district is much less African-American than his old district. It’s 53.8 percent African-American, compared to 67.7 percent under the old map.

Also, Marcus Lucas is a write-in candidate. I’m not sure he’ll end up with that many votes come election day. Oops. Got my candidates mixed up. Lucas is on the ballot. Sorry.

* Respondents were then asked “Do you AGREE or DISAGREE with this statement: ‘I am happy with the congressional candidates on the ballot. I do not wish someone else was running instead.’” The results

* From the pollster

Clearly, Jackson enjoys the support of the voters he represents, and perhaps its time for those who continue to express incredulity to get over it. Jesse Jackson Jr. is safe at home.

* Meanwhile, in other Jackson news

U.S. Rep. Jesse Jackson Jr., D-Ill., who is dealing with mental health issues, will return to the Mayo Clinic “soon” for further care, his father said Sunday.

The Rev. Jesse Jackson Sr. told the Chicago Tribune his son would go to the clinic Rochester, Minn., for re-evaluation and to seek to “regain his equilibrium.” The newspaper said a source close to congressman said he would head to the Mayo early this week, but the elder Jackson said it would not happen Sunday. […]

The elder Jackson said his son had been seeing doctors daily in Washington since leaving the clinic early last month as he attempted to return to work while dealing with his health issues, the newspaper said.

The father said his son’s condition does not lend itself to an “artificial schedule.”

* And Jackson has paid for a robocall to his constituents

Embattled United States Rep. Jesse Jackson, Jr. says he’s “anxious to return to work,” but gave no timeline for ending his months-long medical leave from Congress, instead asking for constituents’ “patience” in a 90-second automated call sent out to his south suburban 2nd Congressional District Saturday.

In the robocall, first reported by WBEZ and confirmed by a Jackson family spokesman, the congressman explains he’s been undergoing medical treatment to address “several serious health issues.”

“Like many human beings, a series of events came together in my life at the same time and they’ve been difficult to sort through,” said Jackson, who has been on leave since June and is reportedly also dealing with legal and personal problems.

“I am human. I’m doing my best. And I’m trying to sort through them all,” Jackson said.

* The robocall

  18 Comments      


Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today’s edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)

Monday, Oct 22, 2012 - Posted by Rich Miller

This post is password protected. To view it please enter your password below:

  Comments Off      


« NEWER POSTS PREVIOUS POSTS »
* Isabel’s afternoon roundup (updated)
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Fundraiser list
* Feds approve Medicaid coverage for state violence prevention pilot project
* Question of the day
* Bost and Bailey set aside feud as Illinois Republicans tout unity at RNC delegate breakfast
* State pre-pays $422 million in pension payments
* Dillard's gambit
* Isabel’s morning briefing
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Supplement to today’s edition
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today's edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)
* Live coverage
* Selected press releases (Live updates)
* Illinois react (Updated and comments opened)
* Yesterday's stories

Support CapitolFax.com
Visit our advertisers...

...............

...............

...............

...............


Loading


Main Menu
Home
Illinois
YouTube
Pundit rankings
Obama
Subscriber Content
Durbin
Burris
Blagojevich Trial
Advertising
Updated Posts
Polls

Archives
July 2024
June 2024
May 2024
April 2024
March 2024
February 2024
January 2024
December 2023
November 2023
October 2023
September 2023
August 2023
July 2023
June 2023
May 2023
April 2023
March 2023
February 2023
January 2023
December 2022
November 2022
October 2022
September 2022
August 2022
July 2022
June 2022
May 2022
April 2022
March 2022
February 2022
January 2022
December 2021
November 2021
October 2021
September 2021
August 2021
July 2021
June 2021
May 2021
April 2021
March 2021
February 2021
January 2021
December 2020
November 2020
October 2020
September 2020
August 2020
July 2020
June 2020
May 2020
April 2020
March 2020
February 2020
January 2020
December 2019
November 2019
October 2019
September 2019
August 2019
July 2019
June 2019
May 2019
April 2019
March 2019
February 2019
January 2019
December 2018
November 2018
October 2018
September 2018
August 2018
July 2018
June 2018
May 2018
April 2018
March 2018
February 2018
January 2018
December 2017
November 2017
October 2017
September 2017
August 2017
July 2017
June 2017
May 2017
April 2017
March 2017
February 2017
January 2017
December 2016
November 2016
October 2016
September 2016
August 2016
July 2016
June 2016
May 2016
April 2016
March 2016
February 2016
January 2016
December 2015
November 2015
October 2015
September 2015
August 2015
July 2015
June 2015
May 2015
April 2015
March 2015
February 2015
January 2015
December 2014
November 2014
October 2014
September 2014
August 2014
July 2014
June 2014
May 2014
April 2014
March 2014
February 2014
January 2014
December 2013
November 2013
October 2013
September 2013
August 2013
July 2013
June 2013
May 2013
April 2013
March 2013
February 2013
January 2013
December 2012
November 2012
October 2012
September 2012
August 2012
July 2012
June 2012
May 2012
April 2012
March 2012
February 2012
January 2012
December 2011
November 2011
October 2011
September 2011
August 2011
July 2011
June 2011
May 2011
April 2011
March 2011
February 2011
January 2011
December 2010
November 2010
October 2010
September 2010
August 2010
July 2010
June 2010
May 2010
April 2010
March 2010
February 2010
January 2010
December 2009
November 2009
October 2009
September 2009
August 2009
July 2009
June 2009
May 2009
April 2009
March 2009
February 2009
January 2009
December 2008
November 2008
October 2008
September 2008
August 2008
July 2008
June 2008
May 2008
April 2008
March 2008
February 2008
January 2008
December 2007
November 2007
October 2007
September 2007
August 2007
July 2007
June 2007
May 2007
April 2007
March 2007
February 2007
January 2007
December 2006
November 2006
October 2006
September 2006
August 2006
July 2006
June 2006
May 2006
April 2006
March 2006
February 2006
January 2006
December 2005
April 2005
March 2005
February 2005
January 2005
December 2004
November 2004
October 2004

Blog*Spot Archives
November 2005
October 2005
September 2005
August 2005
July 2005
June 2005
May 2005

Syndication

RSS Feed 2.0
Comments RSS 2.0




Hosted by MCS SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax Advertise Here Mobile Version Contact Rich Miller