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Rauner’s turn to be triangulated

Thursday, Jul 23, 2015 - Posted by Rich Miller

* House Speaker Michael Madigan doesn’t exactly love Forrest Claypool, so when the mayor hired him as his chief of staff things got a bit icy on the 3rd Floor. Eileen Mitchell was Madigan’s Issues (campaign) Director and, once in that organization, always in that organization

Mayor Rahm Emanuel on Thursday named Eileen Mitchell as his next Chief of Staff. Ms. Mitchell currently serves as Vice President of External Affairs for AT&T Illinois. Since 2003, she has been responsible for leading the company’s initiatives in public policy, community relations and charitable giving in Illinois. She previously served as Issues Director and Special Assistant to the Speaker in the office of the Illinois Speaker of the House of Representatives in Springfield.

“During her time in public service and the private sector, Eileen has demonstrated a unique ability to help pass important legislation and manage complicated issues – a critical skill set for any Chief of Staff,” said Mayor Emanuel. “Eileen has a passion for public service that will benefit the residents of Chicago as we continue our work to right the City’s financial ship while creating jobs and spurring neighborhood development.”

* Sun-Times

Republican Gov. Bruce Rauner has been trying to isolate Madigan — and drive a wedge between the mayor and the Speaker — to resolve a state budget stalemate over Rauner’s demands for pro-business, anti-union reforms.

The mayor’s decision to put Mitchell in City Hall’s hottest seat only serves to underscore the futility of Rauner’s strategy.

Yep.

Eileen is also a lifelong White Sox fan. Good people.

  58 Comments      


Anti-BDS bill signed into law

Thursday, Jul 23, 2015 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Press release…

A measure that adds companies that boycott Israel to the state’s existing divestiture requirements was signed by Governor Rauner today, making Illinois the first state in the country to enact anti-BDS legislation.

Sponsored by state Rep. Sara Feigenholtz (D-Chicago), Senate Bill 1761 creates the Illinois Investment Policy Board, which will maintain a list of restricted companies for the state-funded pension systems and Illinois State Board of Investments (ISBI).

“Israel is one of our closest allies, and we have a responsibility to protect the economic wellbeing of all of our friends,” said Feigenholtz. “This law ensures that our state invests in a way that is aligned with our interests and moral obligations.”

The pension systems and ISBI could not invest in any restricted company, which includes companies that boycott Israel or have relations with Iran or Sudan. Pension systems currently investing in companies on the restricted list would be required to divest. Divestment is not required if the total investment in a restricted company is less than 0.5% of the market value of all assets of the pension system or ISBI.

“With every investment we’re making a statement about the kind of society we want to live in,” said Feigenholtz. “This legislation uses taxpayer dollars in a conscious, responsible manner and makes it clear that Illinois stands with Israel.”

…Adding… From the governor’s office…

Flanked by bipartisan legislators, Jewish community leaders and the Consul General of Israel to the Midwest, Gov. Bruce Rauner today signed historic legislation making Illinois the first state in America to divest its public pension funds from companies that participate in the Boycott, Sanctions, Divestment (BDS) movement targeting Israel.

The Illinois law is the first state-based measure to take specific concrete action against boycotts of Israel. The legislation, which was modeled after past measures relating to Iran and Sudan, requires state pension systems to terminate direct investment in companies that boycott Israel and issue warnings to fund managers when such companies are held indirectly inside larger portfolios. The statute defines “boycotting Israel” as “engaging in actions that are politically motivated and are intended to penalize, inflict economic harm on, or otherwise limit commercial relations with the State of Israel or companies based in the State of Israel or in territories controlled by the State of Israel.”

“We need to stand up to anti-Semitism whenever and wherever we see it,” Gov. Rauner said. “This historic legislation is an important first step in the fight against boycotts of Israel and I hope other states move quickly to follow our lead. I want to thank Sen. Silverstein, Rep. Feigenholtz and all the sponsors of this legislation for working with our Administration to take a stand against BDS.”

The anti-BDS measure, SB 1761, was initiated by Gov. Rauner and sponsored by Sen. Ira Silverstein (D-Chicago) and Rep. Sara Feigenholtz (D-Chicago). It passed 49-0 in the Senate and 102-0 in the House.

  29 Comments      


Remove your tinfoil hat, please

Thursday, Jul 23, 2015 - Posted by Rich Miller

* WUIS

As a candidate last year, Rauner talked a lot about term limits. Now that he’s governor, he’s pushing for lawmakers to sign on. The governor often repeats his goal of removing power from what he calls the “political class” — in particular from, House Speaker Michael Madigan whom he charges “controls” legislators.

The governor’s also calling for changes to redistricting, the process for determining what neighborhoods will comprise a legislative district.

Madigan, a Democrat, says Rauner’s plans are pure politics.

“They were Republican Party campaign issues, designed to be used in Republican campaigns. They haven’t changed. That’s the purpose of the Rauner advocacy of those two issues: Republican Party campaign purposes.”

* Today…


The biggest contribution reported today was $100K from Sam Zell, a bigtime Rauner backer.

But Robert Judelson was also listed as contributing $20K. Judelson and his company have given to Republicans over the years, but also to some Democrats, including the Illinois Senate Democrats.

* It would be nice if, for once, the Democrats could finally get themselves out in front of a “reform” idea. I get why they don’t want to do term limits. But remap reform is long overdue in this state. Calling it a Republican plot is just plain silly.

  35 Comments      


AFSCME: Rauner plans to force strike or lockout, but union has no strike fund

Thursday, Jul 23, 2015 - Posted by Rich Miller

* From an AFSCME Council 31 handout, scanned and then pasted below. Emphasis added for obvious reasons…

After more than six months at the bargaining table, the Rauner Administration continues to hold to its demands that would drive down the standard of living of state employees and drastically weaken union rights. While there has been agreement reached on a few issues, the Administration still has a large number of proposals on the table, including:

    • No wage increases or step increases for the entire term of the contract
    • Eliminate longevity pay (including for all those currently receiving it)
    • Eliminate maximum security pay and reduce call-back pay, stand-by pay and roll call pay
    • Restructure the group health plan to drastically shift costs to employees-with employees paying as much as 500% more for out-of-pocket costs.
    • Increase dental premiums by more than 100%.
    • Eliminate all restrictions on subcontracting or personal service contracts.
    Require all employees hired before July 1, 2011 to “voluntarily” agree to reduce their pension benefits to the Tier 2 level.
    • Eliminate the Upward Mobility Program in its entirety, as well as a other forms of tuition reimbursement, continuing education, and licensure reimbursement.
    • Eliminate any restrictions on forced overtime.

The AFSCME Bargaining Committee has made very clear that state employees will not accept the drastic decline in family income and union rights that these demands represent.

When the union contract expired on June 30, AFSCME proposed that the contract terms be ex­tended until negotiations on a new contract are completed. The Administration refused, agreeing only to sign a so-called “tolling agreement” which keeps the contract’s terms and conditions in place until July 31st. As that date approaches, AFSCME has again proposed that the expired contract be extended. Management has not responded.

AFSCME members want to reach a fair contract settlement at the bargaining table-as we’ve been abl e to do with governors of both political parties for nearly forty years now. For us, a strike is a last resort, a step we wi ll take only if absolutel y necessary to protect our rights and our standard of living.

That’s why we are working to enact SB 1229, legislation that would provide an alternative to a strike or lockout by relying on an ind e­ pendent arbitrator to resolve outstanding contract issues. We’re calling our legislators to urge them to stand with us and pledge to vote to override the governor’s anticipated veto of this important measure.

But we also know that the Rauner Administration still appears to be planning to try to force a strike or lockout. The Union has received information that the Administration is recruit­ing retirees to come back to work on contract; hiring temporary workers to ’shadow’ state employ­ees and learn their jobs; and trying to get the Illinois National Guard to perform state employees’ work.

So we have to be prepared as well. AFSCME local unions are beginning now to develop their own plans should a strike be necessary-and many AFSCME members are beginning to plan financially too.

Even in the midst of the current budget uncertainty, state employees are on the job providing the vital services on which citizens depend. We go the extra mile–and then some–to keep Illinois working. Coming together through our union over many years, we’ve gained the fairness and re­spect that are essential to getting the job done even under the most difficult circumstances. Now we’re at a crossroads. If the Rauner Administration values state employees and the work we do, then we can continue to work constructively toward a fair contract settlement without any disrup­tion in state services. But if the Administration is hostile to state employees and seeks confronta­tion, then we will be prepared to respond.

This much we know for certain-If we continue to stand together, united and determined, we can preserve the decent standard of living and fair treatment on the job that are so essential to us all.

Click here to read more details.

* One other item of note

AFSCME does not have a fund that pays out a stipend when employees are locked out or on strike. However, the Union has a Solidarity Fund that can help in grave emergencies. The Fund will coordinate assistance from other unions that want to support locked out or striking workers and will also work with community organizations that provide emergency assistance.

No strike fund.

Sheesh.

  107 Comments      


A truly historic year

Thursday, Jul 23, 2015 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Charlie Wheeler has today’s must-read

As Illinois government slogged into uncharted territory — weeks into a new fiscal year with no budget agreement in sight — one might be tempted to wonder whether the warring camps ever will find common ground to agree on much of anything.

Looking beyond the harsh partisan rhetoric and trashed civility that so far has been the norm for legislative overtime, though, across-the-aisle cooperation and give-and-take compromise produced significant results earlier on, before the budget stalemate.

The most notable achievements came in the area of criminal justice, including a far-reaching measure proponents said would become a national model for law enforcement reform. A product of intense, months-long negotiations among police groups, community leaders and civil rights organizations like the NAACP: Senate Bill 1304 cleared both chambers by wide margins — 107 to 3 in the House, 45 to 5, with 6 present votes, in the Senate. As of press time, the legislation awaited action by Gov. Rauner.

Go read the whole thing, please.

  10 Comments      


Rauner’s GOTV gift cards

Thursday, Jul 23, 2015 - Posted by Rich Miller

* From the governor’s most recent quarterly campaign report, filed under “Other receipts”

From the campaign’s January, 2015 D-2…

* The Tribune explains what’s going on

In the critical days leading up to Republican Gov. Bruce Rauner’s election last fall, his campaign handed out thousands of $25, $50 and $75 gift cards to people helping get the vote out for him. […]

Asked about the gift cards by the Chicago Tribune, the Rauner campaign said in an email that it bought 5,145 of them in denominations of $25, $50 and $75. A source close to Rauner’s 2014 bid said the campaign office was “awash” in the debit cards, some of which were then passed along to township and county GOP operations. The cards were distributed to people who worked on phone banks as well as those who walked streets to canvass for votes, the campaign said. […]

But the Rauner campaign has not disclosed who got the prepaid gift cards, including anyone who may have received multiple cards worth $150 or more — the threshold in state campaign finance law for reporting compensation to workers. […]

“If they’re giving them a debit card with value on it, that’s payment to these people. You can’t get around it,” said Noble, now senior counsel at the Washington-based Campaign Legal Center, a nonpartisan, nonprofit group involved in campaign finance legal issues. […]

“The campaign reported the gift cards correctly,” Sarah Clamp, a spokeswoman for Rauner’s campaign, said in an email statement. “The campaign is only responsible for reporting when the campaign makes an expenditure and did this by reporting the purchase of gift cards.”

The Rauner folks say this wasn’t compensation, just “property.”

I don’t hugely care about the reporting issue.

* What does interest me is that they used those cards in their GOTV efforts. According to the story, they were handing them out willy nilly, including to township parties. And they had so many that they returned 20 percent of them for refunds.

Your thoughts?

  71 Comments      


Question of the day

Thursday, Jul 23, 2015 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Should the General Assembly vote to repeal its cost of living increase? Take the poll and then explain your answer in comments, please.


web survey

  36 Comments      


Sherman report leads to Trib story on Rauner appointments

Thursday, Jul 23, 2015 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Illinois’ Gender Balanced Appointments Act

All appointments to boards, commissions, committees and councils of the State created by the laws of this State and after the effective date of this Act shall be gender balanced to the extent possible and to the extent that appointees are qualified to serve on those boards, commissions, committees and councils. If gender balance is not possible, then appointments shall provide for significant representation of both sexes to boards, commissions, committees and councils governed by this Act and Section 5-510 of the Departments of State Government Law (20 ILCS 5/5-510). If there are multiple appointing authorities for a board, commission, committee, or council, they shall each strive to achieve gender balance in their appointments.

Appointments made in accordance with this Act should be made in a manner that makes a good faith attempt to seek gender balance based on the numbers of each gender belonging to the group from which appointments are made.

* From Rob Sherman News “Brought to you by: Rob Sherman Airplanes - Builder Assist Center for builders of Zenith Kit Airplanes”…

Rob Sherman is challenging illegal sex discrimination by Illinois Governor Bruce Rauner.

The Governor has chosen to nominate only men to the Illinois Toll Highway Authority Board of Directors and to the Secure Choice Savings Board in violation of Illinois’ mandatory Gender Balanced Appointment Act, which requires that all Boards and Commissions be gender balanced to the greatest extent possible.

Rauner has nominated 6 men to the Tollway Board, thus creating an all-male 11-person board.

Yes, that Rob Sherman.

* Anyway, he managed to get the attention of a national feminist group

The National Council of Women’s Organizations, a coalition of over 200 national, regional and local organizations, has joined Rob Sherman in opposing illegal sex discrimination by Illinois Governor Bruce Rauner in his nominations to State government boards. […]

In a letter that was intended to be dated yesterday, July 21, 2015, but which was dated June 21st due to an inadvertent typo, Martha Burk, the NCWO’s director of their sex discrimination project, urged “that these nominations be withdrawn, as they are in violation of Illinois law as well as basic principles of fairness and good government. Our organization stands ready to publicly oppose any nominations that do not adhere to both the letter and spirit of the law.”

I will be speaking at tomorrow’s (July 23, 2015) Tollway Board meeting, at which time I will ask that the illegally nominated Tollway Directors submit a letter to Governor Rauner, asking that their nominations be withdrawn so that the Governor can present a gender balanced set of nominees to the Illinois Senate for confirmation. I will tell the Board that their nominations are doomed, anyway, because the Senate is dominated by the Democratic Party, which is known for embracing and advocating for diversity. There is no chance that the Democratic Senate or the Democratic controlled Senate Executive Appointments Committee will confirm a Republican slate of nominees that illegally contains zero gender diversity.

The National Council of Women’s Organizations is most famous for its protests against the Augusta National Golf Club’s all-male policy.

* Anyway, the Tribune picked up on the story today

The National Council of Women’s Organizations is charging that Rauner is violating the Illinois Gender Balanced Appointments Act. The 1991 law is aimed at equalizing representation on state panels “with a good faith attempt to seek gender balance.” It makes no mention of consequences for failing to comply.

The organization urged the nominations be withdrawn. The nominations “are in violation of Illinois law as well as basic principles of fairness and good governance,” the group said in a letter to Rauner.

Rauner administration response

“Fifty percent of the members the governor has appointed or reappointed to the Tollway board are minorities, so to insinuate that the administration hasn’t made diversity a priority is misguided,” Kelly said Wednesday.

Rauner’s appointments bring the number of African-Americans on the Tollway board to two. Two members have Hispanic surnames.

Diversity isn’t the issue here, it’s the state statute on women.

We’ll see if this gets any legs. If past is prologue, Sherman may do something to step on the story and screw it up.

  30 Comments      


Rauner won’t reveal who he’s talking to

Thursday, Jul 23, 2015 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Mick Dumke has had no luck obtaining Gov. Bruce Rauner’s unredacted meeting calendar. He has history and the law on his side, however

Five years ago I went through a similar battle with lawyers for the city of Chicago over schedules for then-mayor Richard M. Daley. They argued that releasing them would be too “burdensome” and could endanger the mayor.

But the attorney general’s office eventually rejected those claims and determined that the mayor’s schedule and meeting calendar were indeed public records. “The public has a legitimate interest in learning of its Mayor’s public meetings held in City Hall,” wrote an assistant attorney general.

I cited the ruling in a lawsuit against the city over its FOIA denials. City officials now cough up Mayor Rahm Emanuel’s schedule when asked. […]

And last month I requested a list of private-sector law firms hired to do state work—that is, firms paid with taxpayer money. McClernon refused to provide that information either, saying it too was protected by attorney-client privilege.

Is the governor really claiming that the public doesn’t have the right to know how taxpayer funds are spent? Public contracts are among the classic and longstanding examples of “information regarding the affairs of government” meant to be disclosed under the Illinois FOIA.

* And there was a follow up this week

During a press conference Tuesday, he said that he and his administration are as open with the public as they need to be, and he doubled down on his claim that he has the right to conceal who has access to his office.

“It’s very clear where I’m going, and we do much more than other elected officials and much more than is required by law,” Rauner told reporters in Springfield. (You can see the video here; these comments start at the 8:40 mark).

The governor made the statement after Illinois Public Radio reporter Amanda Vinicky asked him about my story detailing his efforts to keep his daily meeting schedules a secret. The calendars involve state business, but Rauner doesn’t think the public should get to see whom he’s consulting, even weeks or months after the meetings occur.

“Why are you blocking so much of your public schedule?” Vinicky asked.

Rauner smiled and shook his head. “Boy, I don’t agree with your supposition,” he said.

  34 Comments      


Memory lane

Thursday, Jul 23, 2015 - Posted by Rich Miller

* October 17, 2014, just days before the November election

“Pushing any specific labor regulation is not my priority at all,” Rauner said.

* Brian Mackey takes a look at this quote and more in his story: Governor’s Top Priorities? Message, Message, Message

In an interview, my public radio colleague Amanda Vinicky asked Rauner when he changed his mind about that. Rauner pointed to early campaign statements: “We talked about it all through. Now, I don’t remember a particular timing of emphasis. Obviously there a lot of issues to talk about.”

From a politician as disciplined about adhering to his talking points as Rauner, that answer required a bit too much credulity. That’s particularly true because the “timing of emphasis” was so clear: Before he won the Republican primary, Rauner was rabidly anti-union in his rhetoric, so frequently villifying “government union bosses” that his repetition of the phrase approached the realm of farce. Then, after he won the primary, Rauner was virtually silent on the subject until after the general election. You say timing of emphasis, I say obfuscation, let’s call the whole thing off.

Go read the whole thing.

  28 Comments      


Candidates start to emerge

Thursday, Jul 23, 2015 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Paul Schimpf has the Rauner/SGOP backing in this race

Murphysboro attorney Sharee Langenstein threw her hat into the ring to run for the 58th Senate District seat.

That seat is currently held by Sen. Dave Luechtefeld, R-Okawville, who announced he is not seeking re-election in 2016.

Langenstein, a constitutional law attorney specializing in First Amendment rights, ran unsuccessfully for Jackson County State’s Attorney in 2012. She also specializes in elections and government relations. […]

Langenstein is a registered lobbyist, whose clients include Family PAC and Eagle Forum.

Also having expressed an interest in the seat are former Lt. Gov. Sheila Simon of Carbondale and former attorney general candidate Paul Schimpf, a former military lawyer, of Waterloo.

* Bernie

A Springfield native and assistant state’s attorney in Sangamon County is considering a run for state Senate against incumbent SAM McCANN, R-Plainview, in the 50th Senate District.

“Several people have approached me about running for state Senate,” said STEVE McCLURE, 31. “It is something that I am seriously considering, and I’ve reached out to a lot of really intelligent people that are more politically astute than I am to get their advice.” He said he doesn’t expect to make a decision until at least September.

McClure says he’s a conservative Republican. He has history and political science degrees from Arizona State University, and he was vice chairman of the College Republicans in Arizona. He also was president of Valparaiso University Law School Republicans when he attended there, graduating in 2011.

He has a master’s degree in political studies from the University of Illinois Springfield, was a legislative intern and worked on the appropriations staff for Senate Republicans.

Sangamon County types have never really gotten over the fact that they’re represented by a non-Sangamon County type.

But McCann could very well be vulnerable in a GOP primary. It’ll be interesting to see how the union issue plays out here as well. McCann started off as a tea partier, but has moved to the left on some economic issues.

  14 Comments      


The math doesn’t add up

Thursday, Jul 23, 2015 - Posted by Rich Miller

* From Gov. Bruce Rauner’s State of the State Address

Empowerment means giving governments the ability to lower costs by reforming project labor agreements and prevailing wage requirements that block true competitive bidding. These requirements can increase the costs of taxpayer funded construction projects by 20 percent or more.

As we all know by now, Gov. Rauner has since made getting rid of the prevailing wage a key demand of his “Turnaround Agenda.”

* But

That’s not mathematically possible, according to Frank Manzo of the Illinois Economic Policy Institute.

He points out that wages only account for 20 to 25 percent of the cost of public construction projects, so reducing costs by that amount solely through wage cuts would require paying workers something close to zero.

The range may be more like 20-30 percent, but point taken.

* There are also studies showing that low wage states have higher total costs. For instance

While the hourly wage rate for the high wage states was 73 percent more than the low wage, labor hours were 35 percent less and total cost per mile was 4 percent less. Again, not only was hourly wage rate a poor predictor of total highway cost per mile, but there were cost per mile savings associated with construction in the average high wage state

And

Economic research that is summarized in this report indicates that the use of skilled construction labor is very sensitive to wage rates. As wages decrease, less productive employees replace more skilled craft workers. Manual labor is also used instead of productivity - enhancing capital equipment. In a comparison of states with “ weak ” or no prevailing wage laws to states that have “average” or “strong” laws (like Michigan’s), value added per construction worker is 11 percent higher in the states with effective wage policies. .

  64 Comments      


Another pressure point removed

Thursday, Jul 23, 2015 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Interesting…


As of yesterday, about 60 percent of the state budget was being spent without specific FY16 appropriations. This’ll add another big chunk.

…Adding… Background from WBEZ

Some hospitals serving low-income communities are in imminent danger of closing, according to Shriver Center’s court filing. The filing further states that If those hospitals close because of the state’s failure to pay bills, it would violate a decade-old court order. The Shriver lawyers argued that order requires the state to complete Medicaid payments to hospitals in Cook County, even though Gov. Bruce Rauner and lawmakers have not approved a spending plan authorizing the state to reimburse those hospitals.

The court filing specifically named The New Roseland Community Hospital. It said delayed payments “will force Roseland Community Hospital, in less than a week, to begin the process of closing its hospital.” Roseland Community Hospital is dependent on the Medicaid program for 71 percent of its funding and it anticipates a $2 million shortfall in July and a $2.4 million shortfall in August, according to the Shriver Center’s filing.

Roseland Hospital said in a written statement that it has enough funding to make payroll on July 31st and it will be implementing a voluntary furlough, layoffs and service line suspensions before August 1.

“The families of those who are going to die because of this political budget impasse will not give a damn about party lines,” said Tim Egan, New Roseland President and CEO, in an emailed statement. “Just as bullets don’t recognize political boundaries, grieving families, critically injured patients and an abandoned community will not care about Republicans or Democrats. They will just know that the State of Illinois failed them. And the State of Illinois will have failed the New Roseland Hospital, its patients and its employees over a political stalemate.”

The Illinois Department of Healthcare and Family Services is a named defendant in the lawsuit. John Hoffman, a spokesperson for the department, said in response to the filing, “While we believe this motion incorrectly interprets the consent decree, this does highlight the importance of the General Assembly passing a balanced budget so our most vulnerable citizens will know they can continue receiving the care they need in the long run.”

…Adding More… Illinois Hospital Association…

“IHA and the hospital community appreciate the action taken by the Shriver Center seeking to assure access to health care services for Illinoisans who are insured by the Medicaid program – children, seniors, families and persons with disabilities. Access to health care should not be a bargaining chip in the budget debates in Springfield. Just like state employees, physicians, nurses, pharmacists, aides and other health care workers need to be paid during the budget impasse. IHA continues to urge legislators on both sides of the aisle and the Governor to find a reasonable and workable state budget solution so Illinoisans are able to receive the health care they need.”

  63 Comments      


It’s a feature, not a bug

Thursday, Jul 23, 2015 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Jim Nowlan

To get an assessment of how the fight is playing out, I meandered from my home office in Toulon down the main drag to Connie’s Country Kitchen, the fount of all wisdom.

The farmers start coming into Connie’s about 5 a.m., sitting communally at the big back table near the kitchen. The ladies come in later and sit at an equally big table in a small side room.

I asked about 20 at the two tables what they thought of the budget stalemate in Springfield. After making sure they wouldn’t be quoted, the caffeine addicts opened up.

One in this Republican-oriented café said he thought, “Rauner is trying to do what’s right.” Then came the torrent of general criticisms:

“I think we should fire the whole bunch,” and “They need to act like grownups,” and “We should put them in a room, lock the doors and not let them out ’til they solve this thing,” and, “I wish they could just get along.”

Then the comment that got everyone’s heads nodding in agreement: “They’re both to blame. I’m disgusted with the whole lot!”

* Jim believes that the situation isn’t yet “ripe” and that people will eventually settle on who won and who lost.

But I think his admittedly small sample is saying what Speaker Madigan has been shooting for all along.

Speaker Madigan knows he’s grossly unpopular and that most editorial boards, columnists, etc. will pile on him. And he likely has no illusions that he can increase his popularity in any way during this mess.

* So the object from the beginning, I believe, has been to drag Gov. Rauner down with him.

And I think Rauner understands this, which is why he’s fought so hard to project a good guy image in this battle. He’s the guy pushing to get state employees paid. He’s the reasonable guy who can work with Mayor Emanuel and Senate President Cullerton. He’s the guy in the white hat (literally) pushing popular “reforms” like term limits. And don’t forget that his TV ads featured him in a highly positive light.

According to Jim’s informal little coffee klatch focus group, the governor’s strategy may not be working. But I have yet to see any credible polling on this matter, so we’ll have to wait and see.

  42 Comments      


S&P warns of another downgrade “within the next two months”

Thursday, Jul 23, 2015 - Posted by Rich Miller

* The Senate President referenced this early July Standard & Poors report yesterday. It’s worth a read

Because the state has a backlog of payments (estimated at $4.25 billion as of May), it is paying its vendors several months in arrears. Illinois’ ability to continue making payments owed from fiscal 2015 will delay the cash flow impact on vendors, at least while these vendors continue to collect back payments from fiscal 2015. However, to the extent that budget adoption is delayed, the state will continue to build on its payables as payments that require appropriations cannot be made.

Furthermore, protracted budget negotiations could have a detrimental effect on the state’s economy due to reduced and delayed spending and investment. Illinois already ranks 48th in year-over-year change in personal income in first-quarter 2015, 49th in year-over-year population change as of July 1, 2014, and 38th in year-over-year employment change as of May 2015.

I made that same economic impact argument in my recent Crain’s Chicago Business column.

* Stating the obvious

In our view, the absence of a budget, while not affecting debt service, reflects a failure in the fiscal policymaking process. The legislature is looking for the governor to propose tax increases to close the budgetary gap. Gov. Rauner has indicated his willingness to increase income taxes and expand the sales tax base to tax services, but only in exchange for several reforms he is proposing and which haven’t garnered significant support from the legislature. These measures include worker’s compensation and tort reform, and a property tax freeze tied to limits on prevailing wage requirements and collective bargaining. We have yet to see either side exhibit flexibility on their core policy objectives.

* A September pressure point

And while an extended legislative session can sometimes result in an improved structural alignment or adoption of substantive policy reforms, it can also lead states to resort to budgetary gimmicks. On May 8 we placed our Illinois ratings, including our ‘A-‘ GO rating on the state, on CreditWatch with negative implications. In our view, the outcome of the fiscal 2016 budget deliberations will be pivotal to the state’s credit trajectory given the magnitude of structural imbalance, pension spending burden, and overall liquidity.

As we indicated in our CreditWatch, we could take a rating action within the next two months, even in the absence of an adopted budget if, in our view, there is limited progress in budget deliberations or if credit fundamentals weaken.

  66 Comments      


The reviews are in

Wednesday, Jul 22, 2015 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Kim Geiger

Senate President John Cullerton stepped to the microphone Wednesday at the Thompson Center in the Loop and tried to play statesman in the Springfield stalemate, calling for a do-over on negotiations and suggesting that approving a budget is the most important task at the Capitol.

Before Cullerton had even finished, Republican Gov. Bruce Rauner’s aides had fired off an email to reporters ripping the Northwest Side Democrat as a politician who wants to raise taxes and take Illinois backward. A visibly frustrated Cullerton, in turn, blasted Rauner, saying the first-year governor has missed the “nuanced” nature of governing and is stuck on campaign talking points.

“This is a supermajority of Democrats and a bunch of pro-union Republicans in this state,” Cullerton said. “This isn’t, you know, Oklahoma or Kansas. And so he’s got to understand, he ran for governor of Illinois.” […]

The continued bickering is another sign of how far apart Rauner and Democrats are, even as the new governor has tried to isolate Madigan as the only person standing in the way of a compromise. On Tuesday, Rauner told reporters that if he and Cullerton could negotiate a deal on their own, “we would have this done.”

Asked about that Wednesday, Cullerton said: “I don’t know what he’s talking about.”

* AP

Rauner wants business-related reforms before a budget and largely blames Madigan for the impasse, saying he could negotiate better if only dealing with Cullerton.

But Cullerton dismissed that notion at a Chicago news conference Wednesday, saying Rauner isn’t negotiating with him.

* Greg Hinz

Referring to the governor’s anti-union agenda, Cullerton declared that his state “is not Oklahoma. He’s got to understand, he was elected in Illinois.”

Another example: the president’s comment that the governor “has spent his time in office prioritizing a corporate agenda that will make his corporate supporters happy.”

* Finke

Rauner has insisted that the legislature adopt his “reform” measures before he will discuss higher taxes to help balance the budget. They include workers compensation reform, limits on civil lawsuits, a property tax freeze, term limits and redistricting changes. Rauner has said lawmakers only need to pass a handful of bills to break the logjam.

“The handful of bills are pretty radical bills,” Cullerton said. “This anti-union agenda is just not supported not only by (Democrats), but by a number of (Republicans). He seems to be unaware of the fact we passed a major workers compensation bill four years ago.”

Cullerton said he is still willing to work with Rauner on components of his reform agenda. He said he last met with the governor two weeks ago.

* Mark Brown

Senate President John Cullerton, who would like to be seen as the reasonable man in the state budget battles, suggested Wednesday that Gov. Bruce Rauner and legislators go back to square one and start over.

“His plan is dead. Our plan is dead. Let’s acknowledge that and start moving forward,” Cullerton said.

Cullerton’s overture was promptly rejected by the governor’s office as more of the same from Democrats, so promptly in fact that Cullerton had yet to finish speaking before Rauner’s dismissive response landed in the inboxes of reporters covering the event.

Cullerton appeared surprised but undeterred by the rapid rebuff of his suggestion that Rauner submit a new budget — with the proviso the governor actually make sure it is a balanced budget this time.

Admittedly, this wasn’t a particularly helpful approach, because Rauner has always pretended his budget WAS balanced. Starting over would require the governor to be truthful, which isn’t his strong suit.

  63 Comments      


The “solution” doesn’t fit the crimes

Wednesday, Jul 22, 2015 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Some Heritage Foundation folks insist in a Sun-Times op-ed that there is rampant vote fraud in the US. Some of their examples

1. Kentucky

In eastern Kentucky, Ross Harris and Loren Glenn Turner funneled $41,000 to the 2002 county judgeship campaign of Doug Hays for what the defendants claimed was a lawful operation to pay more than 1,200 people $50 each to drive voters to the polls.

But a jury determined that this alleged vote-hauling program was just a disguise for what was in reality a vote-buying scheme. The punishment reflected the severity of the fraud: Hays was sentenced to six months behind bars, and Harris was hit with a $100,000 fine.

2. Mississippi

Not to be outdone, William Greg Eason of Tallahatchie County, Mississippi bribed voters with beer and money to cast fraudulent absentee ballots for a district supervisor candidate in a 2003 run-off election. A jury found him guilty, and he was sentenced to two years in prison. […]

5. Iowa

Martia Yvonne Phillips and eight others in Iowa pleaded guilty to voting in the 2008 election despite being convicted felons who had not had their voting rights restored. She was subsequently sentenced to five years in prison, a sentence that was suspended to two years’ probation.

They provide a few other similar examples.

* Their solution

That is why it is important for state legislatures to enact commonsense legislation designed to combat voter fraud before it can distort an electoral result. Voter ID laws — which many liberals love to criticize, but which a majority of Americans across ideological lines support — are an answer to many types of voter fraud, including fraudulent use of absentee ballots.

But other measures are also needed, such as requiring proof of citizenship to register and verification of the accuracy of voter registration information.

I don’t know how the vote-buying cases listed above would’ve been prevented by any of these so-called reforms.

The absentee fraud in the Mississippi case, for instance, was about how duly registered voters were told to lie about being out of town on election day and then were given a few beers for their troubles. An ID is gonna prevent that? C’mon, man.

And are governments supposed to do a criminal background check before issuing all voter ID cards? Any idea what that could cost?

Plus, they’ve documented less than 250 cases going back 15 years. And most of those cases had zero to do with their proposed reforms.

Back to the spinning wheel, kids.

  40 Comments      


The story changes again

Wednesday, Jul 22, 2015 - Posted by Rich Miller

* AP

Senate Republican Leader Christine Radogno (ruh-DOHN’-yoh) says the budget stalemate could be easily resolved with Democratic engagement on reform issues, not another document.

She spoke to reporters Wednesday after Senate President John Cullerton called on Republican Gov. Bruce Rauner to submit a new budget for the July 1 fiscal year after he rejected most of what legislative Democrats sent him. Cullerton says it’s time to press the “reset button.”

But Radogno says Democrats haven’t been willing to negotiate. She says there can’t be a “reset” on the budget if Democrats haven’t “moved an inch.”

Wait, how does she know they haven’t moved an inch if Rauner hasn’t even met with the leaders in two weeks?

* Also, the governor himself just said this yesterday

At a Springfield press conference, the governor said the budget would have been done by now if he were working solely with Senate President John Cullerton and Chicago Mayor Rahm Emanuel.

  41 Comments      


Today’s bipartisan agreement

Wednesday, Jul 22, 2015 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Rep. David Harris (R-Arlington Heights) on the House floor yesterday

“We ought to slap (Donald Trump’s) ass in a fighter jet, send him up over enemy territory, have him get shot down, spend five and a half years in the Hanoi Hilton (while) suffering deprivation, suffering torture and let him find out what it is to be a hero.”

* Rep. Jack Franks (D-Marengo) on the House floor yesterday

“I just want people to know that I hate Donald Trump.”

  44 Comments      


Question of the day

Wednesday, Jul 22, 2015 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Korecki

It’s clear that former Gov. Rod Blagojevich­­ and his legal team believed that after an 18-month wait, an appellate court ruling on his case would not only bring good news — but could even bring Blagojevich home.

Instead, the U.S. Seventh Circuit Court of Appeals delivered a decision that on the one hand threw out Blagojevich’s 14-year prison sentence, but on the other, suggested that if he’s sentenced to that term again, they’d uphold it.

The 23-page ruling at one point even suggested that prosecutors had the right to ask for more prison time for the former governor. […]

“He’s going to get a sentence reduction in my opinion,” said Chicago defense attorney Ed Genson. “It’s just logical. He’s been in a long time. The braggadocio isn’t there, he’s very humble from what I see. . . . If they really wanted to give him the same time, they should retry him. Therefore, I think there’s a justification in reducing the sentence.”

* The Question: Should time be knocked off Blagojevich’s sentence? Take the poll and then explain your answer in comments, please, including what amount of reduction, if any, should happen.


survey solution

  83 Comments      


By the numbers

Wednesday, Jul 22, 2015 - Posted by Rich Miller

* From President Cullerton’s press release today

$23.5 billion of state spending is already in motion. That leaves $15 billion in anticipated costs left to budget. That responsibility, however, is balanced against revenue projections that give the governor only $10 billion to spend.

* His chart breaks it down


Click here for a larger version.

Discuss.

  75 Comments      


After solely blaming Madigan for impasse, Rauner bashes Cullerton

Wednesday, Jul 22, 2015 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Lance Trover…

“President Cullerton made clear today that his view of a balanced budget is a budget that makes no spending reforms, no pension reform and only raises taxes. Rather than moving our state backward to the failed tax-and-spend policies of the past, we urge President Cullerton to work with us to pass meaningful structural reforms to change the fiscal trajectory of our state.”

This was sent out before Cullerton even finished speaking to reporters, by the way.

And Cullerton did say that he would work with the governor on structural reforms. What he suggested was that the governor finally introduce a balanced budget so they could get moving. Perhaps disingenuous, I agree, but this statement was truly unhelpful.

…Adding… “We’re not calling for a tax increase,” Cullerton said when told that the governor had sent out a statement while he was talking with the media, adding that he simply wanted the governor to send them a balanced budget. He repeated that he wants to work with the governor on the property tax freeze, workers’ comp, etc.

…Adding More… Cullerton said Rauner was “totally unaware” of the workers’ comp bills that had been passed. He also claimed the governor didn’t know about the report released by his own workers’ comp commission which showed progress was being made on costs.

…Adding Still More… From yesterday

Weeks into the budget impasse, Gov. Bruce Rauner on Tuesday said the whole mess would be solved if not for one powerful man: Illinois House Speaker Michael Madigan.

At a Springfield press conference, the governor said the budget would have been done by now if he were working solely with Senate President John Cullerton and Chicago Mayor Rahm Emanuel.

“We would have this done,” Rauner said, adding: “The speaker doesn’t want to deal with it right now.”

So, either the governor was flat wrong yesterday about Cullerton, or he went out of his way today to sabotage whatever relationship he had with Cullerton.

…Adding Still Still More… Cullerton’s spokesperson Rikeesha Phelon reacts to Gov. Rauner’s apparent flip-flop from yesterday…

Oh. Now I’m sad. I thought we were friends. Bummer.

In my mind, this was a big mistake by Rauner because it totally undercuts a message he’s been trying to build for weeks. We’ll see if the Chicago media can actually comprehend this.

…And Adding Even More… Cullerton’s full remarks…

* Press release…

Senate President John J. Cullerton today called on Gov. Bruce Rauner to reset the budget process by submitting a new balanced budget plan that can end the state’s immediate fiscal crisis.

Three weeks into the new fiscal year, neither the governor’s original plan nor the budget passed by the General Assembly is law. Cullerton called on the governor and members of his party to acknowledge that both plans are dead and that it’s time to reset and move toward a real resolution.

“The budget process traditionally starts with the governor submitting a balanced plan that allows the legislature to review and respond appropriately – something that Governor Rauner never did,” President Cullerton said. “He now has an opportunity to restart negotiations by submitting a new plan to the General Assembly. That balanced plan should reflect the budgetary lessons we’ve learned the past few months.”

Rauner’s budget balancing task may be simpler this time around given the fact that $23.5 billion of state spending is already in motion. That leaves $15 billion in anticipated costs left to budget. That responsibility, however, is balanced against revenue projections that give the governor only $10 billion to spend.

President Cullerton encouraged the governor to focus on priorities outlined by credit rating agencies rather than a corporate class agenda that doesn’t address the current budget crisis and hurts the middle class. Credit rating agencies have made it clear that we must address our structural deficit, pass constitutional pension reform and lower the backlog of bills to change Illinois’ status as the state with the lowest credit ratings in the country.

“The governor has spent all of his time in office prioritizing an agenda that will satisfy the corporate class. While some of those ideas are worthy of debate, he has been unable to provide one shred of evidence that his agenda adds one cent to the ledger for our budget crisis in the short term or elevates our credit rankings in the long term,” Cullerton said.

President Cullerton remains hopeful that the governor will accept this challenge and that a budget resolution can be reached before Aug. 4, when the Senate is scheduled to return to Springfield.

  132 Comments      


Fitzgerald’s bank does bigtime political biz

Wednesday, Jul 22, 2015 - Posted by Rich Miller

* If you’ve ever wondered what former state and US Senator Peter Fitzgerald is up to these days, well, now you know

Chain Bridge Bank’s single ­location is next to a wine store and a café on the ground floor of a luxury condo building in suburban McLean, Va., about a half-hour outside downtown Washington. It looks like any small-town bank. Tellers keep bowls of candy at their windows, and staff members talk to customers about no-fee checking accounts. But right now, Chain Bridge, which has about 40 employees, is responsible for more of the hundreds of millions of dollars flooding into the 2016 presidential race than any other bank in the country.

According to the most recent Federal Election Commission filings, Chain Bridge is the sole bank serving Jeb Bush’s presidential campaign, which reported raising $11.4 million as of June 30, and his allied super-PAC, Right to Rise, which says it’s raised $103 million so far. Donald Trump’s campaign banks at Chain Bridge, and it’s listed as the primary financial institution for the campaigns of Kentucky Senator Rand Paul and former Texas Governor Rick Perry. It’s also the only bank used by super-PACs supporting neurosurgeon and author Ben Carson, South Carolina Senator Lindsey Graham, former technology executive Carly Fiorina, Louisiana Governor Bobby Jindal, and Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker, all Republicans.

Founded in 2007, Chain Bridge served John McCain’s presidential campaign in 2008 and Mitt Romney’s in 2012. House Speaker John Boehner keeps ­fundraising accounts there; so does the Republican National Committee. It’s also served political action committees for Altria Group, the National Association of Convenience Stores, and the Outdoor Advertising Association of America. “The largest issue that we would always have with people is that they’d be like, ‘Why would we use this Podunk little bank in McLean, Virginia?’ ” says Bradley Crate, Romney’s 2012 chief financial officer. He routinely refers clients of his consulting firm Red Curve Solutions to the bank, including both Florida Senator Marco Rubio and Trump. Chain Bridge offers services tailored to the idiosyncrasies of campaigns, which deposit and then spend enormous sums quickly, with no credit history to lean on. “I know I can call my contacts at Chain Bridge Bank and have an account open in like 15 minutes,” Crate says. “If you go to a much larger bank, you have a ­bureaucracy you have to deal with.”

The bank requires employees to list cell phone numbers on their business cards so clients can reach them after hours. It will greenlight credit cards immediately for campaign staffers scattered across the country without waiting for credit checks, and it will let campaigns make large wire transfers as soon as their accounts are open. It will also send and receive wire transfers until the Federal Reserve window closes, usually around 5 p.m.—more than two hours later than most banks. That extra time can make a difference. “If you’re a presidential campaign and you need to be up on the air in Iowa tonight, then you need your wire to go to television stations in Des Moines this afternoon,” says Peter Fitzgerald, the bank’s founder and chairman. “That’s a big deal for campaigns.”

Go read the whole thing.

  23 Comments      


Comptroller: Legislators will get raises

Wednesday, Jul 22, 2015 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Finke

Rauner on Tuesday again complained that lawmakers are in line for a pay raise while the budget impasse continues. Lawmakers are entitled to an automatic cost of living adjustment, although they have voted to reject it in recent years.

The raise this year is 2 percent, which will increase their annual pay by $1,300 at least. Lawmakers make a base salary of $67,836, although most earn more because they hold top committee or leadership posts.

“If they are going to take a $1,300 pay hike for themselves, they should start earning that pay,” Rauner said. […]

“The governor is attempting to divert attention away from solutions to the problem of the budget,” Madigan said, noting that the budget sent to the governor did not include money for the raises.

* AP

Madigan says the spending plan approved by the General Assembly that Rauner vetoed in June did not appropriate money for the raises.

He said he couldn’t answer whether the raises will take effect even though there was no action to nix them.

OK, well this shouldn’t be too difficult to figure out.

I checked with the comptroller’s office this morning and was told that Comptroller Munger “regrettably” will be including the raises in upcoming legislative paychecks because of the law passed last year that makes legislative salaries a continuing appropriation.

  36 Comments      


On logrolling

Wednesday, Jul 22, 2015 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Greg Hinz

The good news for Blagojevich—and, frankly, for politicians everywhere—is that horse-trading, the exchange of one government favor for another, not only is not illegal but is at the core of how democratic government works.

“A proposal to trade one public act for another, a form of log-rolling, is fundamentally unlike the swap of an official act for a private placement,” the three-judge panel ruled. “Political log-rolling has never before been condemned as extortion.” […]

“A proposal to appoint a particular person to one office (say, the cabinet) in exchange for some else’s promise to appoint a different office (say, the Senate) is a common exercise in log-rolling,” the decision states. “We asked the prosecutor at oral argument if, before this case, log-rolling had been the basis of a criminal conviction in the history of the United States. Counsel was unaware of any earlier conviction for an exchange of political favors.” […]

Adds the decision, “Suppose that Blagojevich had asked, instead, that Sen. Obama commit himself to supporting a program to build new bridges and highways in Illinois as soon as he became president. Many politicians believe that public-works projects promote their re-election.”

Under the prosecution’s argument, the court reasoned, “If a governor appoints someone to a public commission and proclaims that appointee ‘the best person for the job,’ while the real reason is that some state legislator had asked for a friend’s appointment as a favor, then the governor has committed wire fraud. That’s not a plausible understanding” of the law.

* From Common Cause Illinois…

“Logrolling may not be illegal but it certainly is unethical. In a state that has been mired with corruption and back room deals, we need to aspire to a political culture that breaks down voter disenfranchisement and special interest control.”

”For too long the people of Illinois have been victims of ineffective and inefficient government that has resulted in crumbling schools, poor healthcare, and high unemployment.”

“I hope that the ruling today is a reminder to everyone that we need ethical elected officials that work for the people to solve our state’s important problems. And we need this now more than ever as we are in the midst of a grave fiscal crisis in Springfield and in communities across our state.”

Thoughts?

  57 Comments      


Illinois Issues to be digital only

Wednesday, Jul 22, 2015 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Illinois Issues is abandoning its print version

Gov. Bruce Rauner has called for a 30 percent cut to state funding for higher education. The state does not a have a budget for the current fiscal year. As long as lawmakers and the governor fail to come to terms on a spending plan, all we have to work with are estimates of what our final budget might look like.

We are modeling a 20 percent cut in our state support, which is passed through the University of Illinois Springfield. This results in a $120,000 projected deficit for Illinois Issues and a $70,000 projected deficit for WUIS.

We cannot wait to see what will happen. We must make contract decision for the new fiscal year, which is already upon us. And we must make tough choices now to avoid what could be potentially deeper cuts later in the fiscal year, depending on the level of funding we eventually receive.

After much evaluation, we have decided to go digital only. This will be the final print edition of Illinois Issues. When this reality first became apparent, it was difficult for us to accept. Those who have been with the magazine for years are proud of its history and where it stands today. But we have also watched subscription numbers steadily decline in the recent past. We had to ask ourselves: What are the best ways to use our resources and keep the mission of Illinois Issues alive? After consulting with the advisory board and others with longstanding ties to the magazine, the answer became obvious. While it may be difficult to let go of the print edition, it allows us to focus our efforts online, where we have the potential to bring important stories to more people. It also allows us to offer those stories for free — with the support of donors who believe that good public policy journalism is for everyone.

Eliminating print will not close our budget gap, but the choice protects us from having to consider staff cuts. It will also hopefully position us to eventually expand our online offerings to an app that would include news and a version of our Roster of State Government Officials.

  31 Comments      


You’ve gotta be kidding me

Wednesday, Jul 22, 2015 - Posted by Rich Miller

* SJ-R

Backers of keeping the Illinois State Museum open rallied outside the Statehouse Tuesday, attacking the potential closure of the facility by Gov. Bruce Rauner during the ongoing state budget impasse.

About 300 people, most wearing “Save the Illinois State Museum” T-shirts, heard some strong statements, including from Jonathan Reyman, retired curator of anthropology at the museum.

“There is a right side and a wrong side to history,” Reyman said. “The Taliban and ISIS are bent on the destruction of the cultural heritage of Afghanistan, Syria, Iraq and elsewhere. … Governor Rauner, do you want your legacy to be … akin to that of the Taliban and ISIS?”

Look, I get that emotions can run high at times. But if this guy is representative of the sort of staff that the museum has been hiring over the years, then maybe it ought to close.

  129 Comments      


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Wednesday, Jul 22, 2015 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Wednesday, Jul 22, 2015 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Good morning!

Wednesday, Jul 22, 2015 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Prince’s smoking hot solo alone is worth the watch

With every mistake we must surely be learning

  25 Comments      


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