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This just in… Madigan says he’ll show up tomorrow

Monday, Nov 14, 2016 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Got whiplash yet?…


  36 Comments      


State GOP: “Madiganizing” the message worked

Monday, Nov 14, 2016 - Posted by Rich Miller

* From Illinois Republican Party Executive Director Nick Klitzing…

The Democrats’ First Big Test

After losing six legislative seats as a result of his obstructionism, House Speaker Mike Madigan doubled and tripled down on his politically-failing strategy of trying to block all efforts to reform state government and balance the budget.

On Tuesday, Madigan issued a scathing statement in response to the election results. Last night, he backed out of meeting with Governor Rauner and other legislative leaders. If Madigan continues to dig in, Illinois Democrats face a critical choice: they can either let Madigan bury them or they can prove their independence.

A Losing Position
Throughout the summer and fall, internal polling showed that Illinois voters overwhelmingly blamed Mike Madigan for the condition of the state and the budget impasse. And relentlessly “Madiganizing the message” worked.

In a Presidential election year, with Hillary Clinton winning at the top of the ticket by over 15 points, Republicans dealt Madigan’s Democrats a significant blow down ballot by localizing races and focusing on his leadership.

Among the Democrats’ losses were top Madigan Lieutenants John Bradley and Kate Cloonen. Both handily outspent their opponents, but lost because of their deep ties to Madigan.

Madigan also spent millions and deployed his top political operatives trying to defeat Rep. Michael McAuliffe, the only Republican legislator whose district is in Chicago. Rep. McAuliffe trounced his opponent by 13 points by tying her to Madigan.

Voters understood that electing Democrats to the General Assembly in down ballot races meant strengthening Madigan’s power. They rejected Madigan, handily breaking Madigan’s supermajority.

The Test
Soon, the remaining Illinois Democrats will face their own critical test as they decide beginning this week whether to re-elect Mike Madigan as Speaker and unquestioned leader of their Party.

Will Democrats risk their own political futures by standing by the most unpopular political leader in Illinois?

If you want to know who the targeted Democrats will be in 2018, you can start by watching who continues to support Mike Madigan as Speaker.

Then, Democrats must also follow through on their promises. In races across the state, winning Democratic candidates co-opted Republican legislative proposals - backing term limits, redistricting reform and a property tax freeze - in their messaging. Now, it’s time for them to deliver – or be held accountable by voters in 2018.

Thoughts?

  48 Comments      


“We are at a tipping point”

Monday, Nov 14, 2016 - Posted by Rich Miller

* From a letter to the governor and the four leaders from the Illinois Council of Community College Presidents

We write to each of you today to ensure that you are fully aware of the damage that has been and continues to be inflicted on the students and communities that rely on the State’s Community College system.

The lack of a budget over the course of the last two fiscal years has caused hundreds of layoffs of valued staff and faculty, closure of programs, and divestment of services that our system has slowly, dutifully, and methodically built over the last half century. Understand that the ultimate victims of this budget impasse are the students, the families, and the communities that are no longer served as they should be and as they once were. The damage is both real and measureable.

We are at a tipping point. If this impasse continues, the consequence will be profound and lasting. Payrolls will not be met, programs will be closed, staff and faculty will be reduced to mere shells. To be clear, we are far beyond the point of reducing administrative costs, and suspending travel.

Without a reliable and consistent budgeting process, Colleges will close and students will be turned away. We can’t use regulatory relief nor the repeal of unfunded mandates to pay our employees.

We urge cooperation and resolution to this matter as soon as possible.

Emphasis added to show that the presidents apparently don’t care about getting anything out of the Turnaround Agenda. They just want their funding.

  33 Comments      


*** UPDATED x1 *** Mendoza wants to delay swearing in for a month

Monday, Nov 14, 2016 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Tina Sfondeles

Illinois Comptroller-elect Susana Mendoza — who could have been sworn in as soon as Dec. 5 per special election rules — on Monday notified Leslie Munger that she’ll take the oath on Jan. 3, and she asked for regular meetings with Munger until then. […]

Because Mendoza was elected during a special election, following the death of Judy Baar Topinka, she could have assumed the position on December 5. However, Mendoza chose to take more time to transition into the post. December 5 is the first date in which she could be sworn in because the law states that once her election results are certified by the Illinois State Board of Elections, she could then take office. The results should be certified on Dec. 5.

Um, did she not know that she’s supposed to take office on the 5th? I’ve texted and called her spokesperson, but haven’t yet heard back.

* Here’s the statute

In the case of a special election pursuant to this Section, the appointed officer shall serve until the election results are certified and the person elected at the special election is qualified.

Those results will be certified on December 5th.

There’s also a question (in my mind, anyway) about when Comptroller Munger’s official bond expires. The governor might have to reappoint her for a month.

I’ve asked the attorney general’s office for comment. They said this is the first they’d heard about it, but they’d check and get back to me.

…Adding… I didn’t notice this before, but this is from Mendoza’s letter to Munger

Except for your gracious call on election night, we haven’t met or discussed next steps.

So, Munger’s not returning calls?

…Adding More… Maybe not. Munger was on vacation, I’m told.

*** UPDATE ***  The Mendoza people say that Munger’s official bond doesn’t expire until Mendoza is sworn in and gets her own bond. The idea, I’m told, is to allow for a more smooth transition during the holidays, particularly for Munger’s employees.

  68 Comments      


Radogno says Madigan “derelict” in his duties, slams Cullerton for walking in Madigan’s shadow

Monday, Nov 14, 2016 - Posted by Rich Miller

* House GOP Leader Jim Durkin emerged from the governor’s office this afternoon to ask that the Democrats not take up any veto overrides during the veto session and instead spend all their time on resolving the impasse.

“Let’s take care of the biggest issue that we have and that’s the budget,” Durkin said. “Let’s use all of our good will and our capital at solving the budget crisis.”

…Adding… The House Republican spokesperson is actively walking back Leader Durkin’s comments. He didn’t mean to say that no vetoes should be acted on, he meant to say that the GA could add days to deal with everything.

* Senate Republican Leader Christine Radogno said after the brief meeting in Rauner’s office that she was “disappointed” that Senate President John Cullerton chose not to attend because Speaker Madigan decided against going to the meeting. Radogno said that Cullerton had once again chosen to “walk in his shadow.”

She also claimed that Speaker Madigan had agreed to go to the leaders meeting “and then came up with a conflict.”

“It’s game playing,” Radogno said. Madigan, she said, is “trying to stymie the governor.” When asked about Madigan’s possible negative reaction to all the campaign commercials run against him, she said that was no excuse and claimed Madigan was “derelict” in his duties for not showing up.

“It’s completely inexcusable for the Democrats not to be here,” she said.

* Full video from BlueRoomStream.com is here.

  49 Comments      


When America needs a better future, America turns to manufacturers

Monday, Nov 14, 2016 - Posted by Advertising Department

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The numbers are startling.

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Question of the day

Monday, Nov 14, 2016 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Your caption?…


  82 Comments      


Madigan says “we’ll reschedule” leaders meeting

Monday, Nov 14, 2016 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Interesting…


He’s at the Statehouse, the other leaders are meeting at one o’clock, but he has a scheduling conflict. Hmm.

* From a top Rauner administration official…

The Speaker’s arrival in the Capitol is a hopeful sign that the Democratic leaders have reconsidered their decision to boycott today’s four leaders meeting. We will hold the meeting at 1pm remaining hopeful they will attend.

Gov. Rod Blagojevich called Speaker Madigan on election night in 2006. He never heard back. And by “never,” I mean Madigan didn’t call him back for over two years.

But if Madigan says he’ll reschedule we should take him at his word. Let’s hope he doesn’t put off a meeting until 2019, however.

* Either way, you can watch the leaders come and go today on BlueRoomStream by clicking here. I’ll probably do a ScribbleLive thingy on another post at the appropriate time.

  27 Comments      


Democratic hopes dashed at state level

Monday, Nov 14, 2016 - Posted by Rich Miller

* An Atlantic article about Jessica Post, the executive director of the Democratic Legislative Campaign Committee, “a party organization tasked with winning back state legislatures”

Groups like the DLCC saw the 2016 presidential election as a critical point to turn statehouses and governorships blue, and ride that momentum into the 2018 midterms—so that by 2020, the eventual redistricting process would take place under Democratic oversight. (No less important, Democratic chambers could put a stop to conservative, state-level legislation like transgender bathroom laws and rollbacks of reproductive-health services). Speaking to my colleague Russell Berman this past August, Post was downright bullish about the prospects of doing this: At that point, the DLCC hoped to flip at least 10 state chambers, and as many as 13. […]

One week ago, the DLCC’s target list included flipping seats in critical states: the Michigan House, the North Carolina House, the Pennsylvania House, the Florida Senate, both the Senate and House assemblies of Ohio, as well as Wisconsin’s State Assembly and Senate.

But on November 8, all of these states—Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Florida, Ohio, Wisconsin—ended up being the ones that ultimately destroyed Clinton’s chances of winning the presidency. The DLCC’s attempts to make Democratic inroads met with a similar end.

Of the 32 seats the organization had targeted in those states, Democrats won only eight. Ohio’s targeted seats remained solidly red, as did those in Wisconsin. In Michigan—once a reliably blue state—just one seat was turned. In Pennsylvania and Florida, both states that Clinton had been projected to win, two out of the four targeted senate district seats turned blue. In the end, it was only in North Carolina, a newly purple state that had been showered with significant attention, thanks to Clinton’s campaign, where the DLCC made real inroads: Three of its four House seats turned blue.

Post pointed out that the DLCC had also managed to flip three other state chambers into Democratic control—the Nevada Assembly, the Nevada Senate, and New Mexico House—both in states, not coincidentally, that Clinton won, whether because the state was reliably blue (New Mexico) or because of an extraordinary amount of resources directed there to target a changing electorate (Nevada).

* Overall, the Democratic picture is grim…


Obama’s presidency disguised the fact that the Democratic Party was getting hollowed out at the state level. They haven’t been this decimated since the 1920s.

  40 Comments      


Not gonna be a Rome “reset” for Rauner and Madigan

Monday, Nov 14, 2016 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Tribune

Republican Gov. Rauner said he is hoping a trip to the Vatican will help him push “reset” with Democratic leaders he has spent the last two years battling with over the state’s finances.

Rauner said Friday that he and his wife, Diana, accepted an invitation from Mayor Emanuel to travel to Rome later this week as Chicago Archbishop Blase Cupich is elevated to the rank of cardinal.

Rauner said other members of the traveling party will include House Speaker Michael Madigan and his wife, Shirley; Senate President John Cullerton and his wife, Pam; as well as Democratic Comptroller-elect Susana Mendoza, who defeated Republican Comptroller Leslie Geissler Munger in last week’s election.

“This is a big deal. I am very excited,” Rauner said. “It will be an opportunity to spend time together for, I think, four days, which will be great.”

Apparently, the governor spoke too soon. Madigan’s spokesman Steve Brown told me this morning that Madigan and Shirley aren’t going on the trip. But Brown repeatedly emphasized that he didn’t want the no-show to reflect negatively on Cupich’s big event.

  28 Comments      


*** UPDATED x1 *** Emanuel defiant on sanctuary city status

Monday, Nov 14, 2016 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Sunday afternoon press release…

Mayor Rahm Emanuel today reiterated Chicago’s commitment to being a sanctuary city for immigrants and announced the city’s 311 operators have been given special instruction to assist anyone with concerns or questions about their status in Chicago or the United States.

“Since the Presidential Election, there has been a sense of uncertainty among many immigrant communities in Chicago and across the nation. I want to assure all of our families that Chicago is and will remain a Sanctuary City,” said Mayor Emanuel. “Chicago has been a city of immigrants since it was founded. We have always welcomed people of all faiths and backgrounds, and while the administration will change, our values and our commitment to inclusion will not.”

Residents are encouraged to call 311 for information about legal resources, as well as other supportive services. Families can also learn more about Chicago’s upcoming Municipal ID program by calling 311. Under a provision in the Mayor’s recently announced budget, the City will begin issuing Municipal IDs in late 2017 to ensure all Chicago residents have access to official identification. Community meetings will be scheduled throughout next year to provide more information.

* Greg Hinz

The statement neither mentions Trump by name nor his suggestions on the campaign trail that “sanctuary cites” such as Chicago that do not help him crack down on illegal immigration could lose billions of dollars in federal spending. Nor does the statement mention the political reality that, as Emanuel begins to consider whether to run for a third term, being perceived as championing the rights of one of the city’s key voting blocks could be helpful.

New York and Los Angeles took similar steps a few days ago.

Adam Collins, the mayor’s spokesman, said the statement should be read as meaning that all city services will be provided to residents regardless of their immigration status, and that the city will not collect or furnish information to federal immigration authorities.

“This is less about anyone in Washington than ensuring people who live in Chicago feel safe,” Collins told me. “The mayor personally and many people in Chicago have certain values. Those values need to be defended.”

Collins said he did not immediately know how the policy would apply to those arrested for committing crimes.

* Politico

In sanctuary cities, local law enforcement officials aren’t required to alert U.S. Immigration and Customs authorities about the immigration status of individuals with whom they come in contact.

On Monday, Chicago’s elected officials, including Mayor Rahm Emanuel, are expected to hold a news conference to formally discuss how the city will retain its sanctuary status. Aldermen are expected to call on Republican Gov. Bruce Rauner to pressure Trump to back off his vow to interfere with funding. […]

Illinois Comptroller-elect Susana Mendoza, whose parents are Mexican immigrants, called on Rauner to take a stand on the issue.

“As a leader of this state, the governor, and everyone in a leadership position, should be saying it’s wrong,” Mendoza told POLITICO Illinois on Sunday. “I would expect that the governor would say, ‘that’s ridiculous.’ Besides moral bankruptcy, it’s bad fiscal policy for the city or any city.

* Tribune

Democratic U.S. Rep. Mike Quigley worries President-elect Donald Trump could use Chicago’s status as a sanctuary city for undocumented immigrants to cut off funding to the city.

Quigley addressed the issue on WLS-AM 890’s “Connected to Chicago” show after host Bill Cameron asked whether he’s concerned about Trump trying to cut off the federal funding spigot to Chicago.

“The president-elect said he would cut off all federal funding to sanctuary cities — an extraordinary thing to say, particularly for someone who says the federal government should stay out of the local governing of states and cities,” Quigley said.

“Am I concerned about it from that point of view? Absolutely,” Quigley added. “In the final analysis, though, I think if the president wants to do what he talks about, for example with a big infrastructure package, he’s going to need support across the aisle. And if he says none for Chicago, he’s not going to get any support from anybody in Chicago, frankly in the Chicagoland area.”

* NBC 5

Mental health hotlines across the state have received an influx of calls since Trump was elected to be the nation’s 45th president, according to the Illinois Business Immigration Coalition.

“It’s scary,” said one concerned resident, Leslie Alcantar. “It feels like they could take my mom, my dad, my family.” […]

“Us hard workers, we come in illegally but we do work and that’s what he doesn’t understand,” said Tanya Govea, who lives in Chicago’s Little Village neighborhood. “If we’re not doing the jobs Americans don’t want to do, who’s going to do it?”

*** UPDATE ***  Press release…

Throughout this year’s presidential campaign, Governor Rauner never officially endorsed Donald Trump as the Republican nominee, and did not attend the Republican National Convention. Less than forty percent of Illinois voters supported Mr. Trump, a clear rejection of his anti-immigrant proposals. Now, Illinois Coalition for Immigrant and Refugee Rights (ICIRR) members are calling on Governor Rauner to listen to his state’s voters, reject the President-elect’s anti-immigrant rhetoric and policies, and use his executive authority and leadership to actively advance protections for immigrants before Mr. Trump is inaugurated on January 20, 2017.

“The country just elected the most dangerous and racist president in recent history. Now is the time for local leadership to show that Illinois stands for something different,” said ICIRR board president Mony Ruiz-Velasco. “Voters in Illinois rejected Donald Trump’s anti-immigrant, misogynistic, anti-LGBTQ and xenophobic rhetoric. The governor now has a responsibility to act against Trump’s racist agenda, and advance the best interests of Illinois residents.

ICIRR members established an “Illinois Is Safe” agenda for Illinois. The Coalition is calling on the Governor to take the following actions immediately as the General Assembly reconvenes for its veto session this week:

    Immediately issue an executive order designating public schools and universities “sanctuary spaces” for undocumented individuals in Illinois. Such an order would restrict officers from the Department of Homeland Security from entering “sensitive locations” included schools, places of worship and hospitals. (See https://www.ice.gov/doclib/ero-outreach/pdf/10029.2-policy.pdf)
    Endorse and encourage support for House passage of the Student Access Bill (SB 2196) and sign the bill when it reaches his desk. The bill provides legal authority to four-year public universities in Illinois to provide financial aid to undocumented students who enroll at their institutions. This bill addresses educational access, a centerpiece issue of his administration. SB 2196 passed out of the Senate, and is expected to come up for a vote during veto session in the House
    Use his national leadership within the Republican Party to call on President-elect Trump to maintain the Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals (DACA) executive order. DACA protects over 740,000 young people from deportation, including over 41,000 in Illinois with many more immigrants eligible for the program who have yet to apply. DACA grants recipients work permits and allows them to contribute to the country’s tax base. Studies have concluded that the DACA program would increase the country’s Gross Domestic Product by hundreds of billions of dollars. The Social Security Administration has estimated that the program would increase tax revenue by billions of dollars. The policy is good for Illinois’ residents and economy.

ICIRR also calls on the Governor to work in good faith with Senate and House legislatures to seek bipartisan support to protect Illinois immigrants by taking the following steps in response to the Trump administration’s priorities as soon as possible:

    Support legislation to ensure that Illinois law enforcement officials are not involved in immigration enforcement. Such legislation would ensure that local law enforcement agencies do not honor burdensome and legally suspect requests from U.S Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) to detain people for deportation who have otherwise been granted release by the state and municipal courts.
    Propose legislation to ban private immigration detention centers in Illinois. Private prison companies have made several proposals to build in Illinois, most recently in Kankakee County. Each such proposal has been met with vociferous local resistance due to the long history of abuse, neglect, and profiteering among private facilities. Legislation is needed to bar these prisons altogether.
    Work with our member organizations and other criminal justice reform allies to craft and enact sentencing reforms that limit the deportation consequences of interactions with the criminal justice system in Illinois.

“Governor Rauner has publicly supported a national immigration reform agenda,” observed ICIRR Executive Director Lawrence Benito. “He refused to join other GOP governors in suing the Obama administration regarding its pro-immigrant executive actions. On November 9, we entered a new era where more is required of all of us. Now is the time for the Governor to meet this moment and act on the principles that Illinois voters unequivocally supported in this year’s elections”

ICIRR members will be in Springfield throughout the fall veto session to advance these priorities.

  57 Comments      


The ties that bind

Monday, Nov 14, 2016 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Tribune

On Halloween, just eight days before the election, Donald Trump made a quiet visit to the edifice that bears his name in Chicago, where he held private meetings with his top staff as well as one-on-one talks with some Chicago businessmen.

The identities of those who met with Trump aren’t known. But it is known who orchestrated the event: Ronald Gidwitz.

As the nation readies itself for a Trump presidency, it’s clear that the one person in Illinois who can get the president-elect’s ear is Gidwitz, a businessman and entrepreneur who also is a mainstay of Republican politics.

The list of Illinoisans who will have ready access to the new president is very short indeed. Much longer is the list of Illinois Democrats who were hoping for connections with a Hillary Clinton White House and were left hanging like a 2000-era ballot chad. […]

“I’m not looking for anything,” said Gidwitz, who also has run his own political action committees but whose lone direct foray into politics was an unsuccessful bid for the Republican nomination for governor in 2006.

Um, OK.

* The Tribune may have forgotten about this guy

One of Rauner’s top advisers outside his administration — Nick Ayers — is now heading Mike Pence’s strategy.

Pence is now running the transition team, so Ayers will have a huge influence on that. And lots of folks in Rauner World are close to the guy.

* And

Trump named Republican Party National Chairman Reince Priebus White House Chief of staff on Sunday. Priebus is a partner on leave from the Michael Best law firm, which has legal and lobbying offices across the nation, including in Illinois. Leading Michael Best’s Illinois’ lobbying practice is Chip Englander, who headed up Gov. Bruce Rauner’s 2014 successful gubernatorial bid.

  13 Comments      


Rauner kicks off yet another attempt at resolving the impasse

Monday, Nov 14, 2016 - Posted by Rich Miller

* I was chatting with a suburban Democratic legislator yesterday who asked if I’d seen the new Crain’s Chicaog Business op-ed by Gov. Bruce Rauner. I was on the road, so I said I hadn’t gotten to it yet. To her eyes, she said, Rauner hit just the right notes and came off sounding almost liberal.

Here it is

This has been a long, grueling campaign cycle, both nationally and locally. Now that the election is over, we have the opportunity to put the past behind us, come together and focus on the future.

The people of Illinois deserve prompt bipartisan action to solve problems and get good things done—to make Illinois more competitive so we can be more compassionate, to enact truly balanced budgets along with reforms that grow our economy and protect taxpayers. By working together we can fundamentally improve the future for the people of Illinois through term limits, lower property taxes and more jobs.

Throughout the spring and early summer, our team worked vigorously with members of the General Assembly from both parties to reach a grand bargain. In order to ensure our schools remained open and state government operations continued, we worked out a bridge funding plan to get us past the election. While a short-term fix was not our preferred option—we wanted that grand bargain—in the spirit of compromise we accepted the commitment from Democratic leaders that we would negotiate a solution following the election. This election is in the past, and it’s now time to focus on the future together.

This week the Illinois General Assembly will return to the state Capitol for its annual veto session. This is our opportunity to come together and pass a balanced budget, which is why I have invited the four legislative leaders to meet and immediately begin negotiations on an agreement containing a balanced budget and reforms.

We must include reforms that the people of Illinois are calling for—economic reform to spur job growth, education reform to ensure that every child has access to a quality education, political reform to return power back to the people, property tax reform to give homeowners and business owners much needed relief, and pension reform to get our state’s financial footing back on the right track.

Illinois is on an unsustainable path, and simply raising taxes to attempt a balanced budget will not solve our long-term structural deficits. For decades our rate of economic growth has been low and our rate of government spending growth has been very high. We must increase our growth rate for jobs and lower spending in government. We should do that not by focusing primarily on cuts to human services, but by curbing the cost of our government bureaucracy.

Go read the rest.

  52 Comments      


Out of date and out of touch

Monday, Nov 14, 2016 - Posted by Rich Miller

* My weekly syndicated newspaper column

There’s been a lot of spin from the Illinois House Democrats about how last Tuesday’s losses were not that big of a deal. Don’t believe it.

During the national Republican electoral wave two years ago, Democratic Gov. Pat Quinn lost by four points to Republican Bruce Rauner and Quinn won no counties at all outside Cook. The Democrats lost the 10th and 12th Congressional District races and just barely managed to regain the state treasurer’s office. Through all that partisan turmoil, the House Democrats lost no seats and the Senate Democrats lost just one. The Democrats’ legislative district map, which produced a 7-seat net gain in the House two years earlier, was a great firewall.

This year, Democrat Hillary Clinton won Illinois by 16 points, taking ten counties outside Cook. The Democrats regained a US Senate seat (winning by 14 points), the comptroller’s office (by a four-point margin) and the 10th Congressional District seat (by 5 points).

Even so, state Democrats lost a net of four Illinois House seats.

Losing state legislative seats in a presidential year is rare. The House Democrats lost a net of one seat twelve years ago and five seats 24 years ago.

However, 1992 was the first election under a new Republican-drawn district map, so the Democrats were at a disadvantage. And it was a different era. Bill Clinton was the first Democratic presidential candidate to win Illinois in 20 years, but he took it with less than 49 percent of the vote, compared to Mrs. Clinton’s 55 percent last week.

Yes, Donald Trump’s Downstate margins certainly played a key role on Tuesday. Counties don’t vote, but he won more Downstate counties than any Republican presidential candidate since 1984.

House Speaker Michael Madigan blamed Trump and Gov. Bruce Rauner’s money for his losses. He was right on both counts. But Rauner’s money was used to craft a powerful anti-Madigan message, and there is no doubt that the message contributed heavily to Madigan’s losses. It really isn’t rocket science. Madigan is, by far, the most unpopular politician in Illinois. It doesn’t take a genius to figure out that tying Democratic candidates to him with tens of millions of dollars in disciplined messaging will work.

Clinton overwhelming won suburban Cook County 65-30, took Lake County 57-37 and romped in DuPage with a 53-39 score. But the Republicans lost no suburban incumbents this year. Why? Most likely it was because they tied all Democratic challengers as closely as they could and as often as they could to Madigan.

Ask anyone who walked a precinct this year and they’ll tell you that Madigan was a major issue at the doors, even in districts that weren’t in play.

Illinoisans don’t care much for Gov. Rauner, either, but Madigan didn’t make any sort of real effort to attach GOP candidates directly to the guy, choosing to stick mainly to his tired, old issues of accusing Republicans on the flimsiest of evidence of being soft on sexual predators and warning that Republicans wanted to take away Social Security benefits, even though that’s a federal, not a state issue.

The last time Madigan truly innovated was when the Republicans took the majority away from him in 1994. His operation is now out of date and out of touch.

The Democrats’ one Downstate bright spot this year was GOP Rep. Dwight Kay’s loss in the Metro East. But the pro-choice Personal PAC’s heavy involvement in that contest probably had as much to do with Kay’s loss as anything else. During a House floor debate, Kay essentially equated birth control with promiscuity. Not good.

Plenty of Democrats view this year’s contest as basically a wash because they figure they’ll pick up seats during President Trump’s first midterm race. That may happen, but if the Democrats couldn’t pick up suburban seats this year with Clinton’s big boost, 2018 won’t be easy, either. They’ll probably have to depend on Trump’s white working class base turning against him Downstate.

But the historical record shows that once a Downstate district moves from the Democrats to the Republicans it almost never goes back to being Democratic. The Democrats used to rule southern Illinois. They are now down to just one true, totally non-Metro East southern Illinois legislator: Rep. Brandon Phelps (D-Harrisburg). Rep. Phelps caught a break this year because his Republican opponent turned out to be seriously flawed.

The bottom line is Madigan has led his party into an endless war with a kabillionaire and it wound up costing him four seats in a year when his people should’ve been coasting.

* Related…

* Western Illinois county reveals the Land of Lincoln’s electoral divide: In Henry County, the results underscore the diversity that makes the Land of Lincoln a place many consider an authentic microcosm of the U.S. This year’s unofficial vote totals in Henry County show almost 14,000 people cast ballots for Trump, while about 9,000 voted for Clinton. In the previous two presidential elections, Henry County chose Democrat Barack Obama. In 2004, the county went red for Republican George W. Bush.

* Tide turns in Illinois: Trump leads GOP charge in counties: On Trump’s coattails, Gov. Bruce Rauner and the GOP eroded a Democratic supermajority in the Illinois House. But with Clinton atop the ticket, fellow Democratic women won statewide offices for U.S. Senate and comptroller.

* Election did little to alter Illinois’ political landscape: Unsurprisingly, each party had its own interpretation of the election results.

  40 Comments      


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Monday, Nov 14, 2016 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Madigan won’t attend leaders meeting - Cullerton asks for delay until Tuesday

Sunday, Nov 13, 2016 - Posted by Rich Miller

[Comments are now open on this post.]

* From Steve Brown…

STATEMENT OF SPEAKER MADIGAN ON PROPOSSED MEETING.

A short time ago, I determined a schedule conflict will prevent a meeting with the Governor and other legislative leaders.

We will continue to work to schedule a meeting and look forward to getting an agenda for the meeting from the Governor

* From John Patterson…

The Senate President is looking forward to meeting with the governor and Republican leaders. But it would not be productive if we don’t have a full complement there. Hopefully we can reschedule for Tuesday. The Senate President is available.

…Adding… From Catherine Kelly…

Hi, Rich -

The meeting is still on.

In addition, we hope the Speaker reconsiders. At no time since invite went out has potential scheduling conflict been brought to anyone’s attention until now. On the same token, we hope the Senate President reconsiders as well.

Best,
ck

  59 Comments      


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