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Stratton warns of tax hike on all if tax hike on upper-income earners fails

Thursday, Sep 24, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Pearson at the Tribune

Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton warned Thursday that Illinoisans could face an across-the-board income tax hike of at least 20% if voters reject a proposed constitutional amendment to shift the state from a mandated flat-rate tax to a graduated-rate tax based on income.

For weeks, Democratic Gov. J.B. Pritkzer’s administration has cautioned that severe budget cuts could be on the way if voters don’t approve the proposed amendment to overhaul Illinois’ income tax system. But Stratton’s threat that all taxpayers, regardless of income, could face a tax hike unless the amendment passes on Nov. 3 appeared to represent a new shift in strategy for the Pritzker administration.

“To adequately address the budget crisis under our current tax system, lawmakers will be forced to consider raising income taxes on all Illinois residents by at least 20% regardless of their level of income,” Stratton said during a virtual rally on behalf of the pro-amendment Vote Yes for Fairness group that marked the start of voting in Illinois. […]

A 20% increase would raise the state’s current 4.95% flat-rate personal income tax by nearly 1 percentage point to 5.94%. It would raise an estimated $4 billion a year, even more than the projected $3.4 billion that would be generated under a graduated-rate levy enacted if the amendment is ratified, said professor David Merriman, a longtime expert on state finances at the University of Illinois at Chicago.

* React from the Coalition to Stop the Proposed Tax Hike Amendment on Tax Hike…

“If you need more proof Springfield has too much power and can’t be trusted look no further than telling voters to support a tax hike amendment or politicians will continue to raise them for you.

“It’s clear there’s only three words the Springfield politicians understand: Raising your taxes.”

Lissa Druss
Spokesperson for the Coalition to Stop the Proposed Tax Hike Amendment

…Adding… Illinois Republican Party Chairman Tim Schneider…

Governor Pritzker’s team is so worried that his massive tax hike won’t pass that they have resorted to threatening taxpayers with…an even more massive tax hike. I believe the people of Illinois are too smart to be fooled by these outrageous scare tactics.

We deserve a state government that makes the same hard choices families make every day - to cut costs and live responsibly within our means. It’s clear that state government under the direction of Governor Pritzker and Speaker Michael Madigan are not capable of doing that. We shouldn’t reward their terrible decision-making with more of our hard earned money.

…Adding… HGOPs…

MEDIA ADVISORY: Illinois House Republicans Respond to Pritzker Administration Threats to Illinois Residents for Graduated Tax Amendment

WHO: Illinois House Republican Leader Jim Durkin (R-Western Springs) and Deputy Minority Leader Tom Demmer (R-Dixon)

WHAT: House Republicans respond to the Pritzker Administration’s threat to raise income taxes on every Illinoisan by 20 percent if the unfair tax amendment does not pass in November.

WHEN: 11:00am CT on Friday, September 25, 2020

  39 Comments      


*** UPDATED x1 *** ComEd official to testify at House investigative committee hearing next week

Thursday, Sep 24, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Dan Mihalopoulos and Tony Arnold at WBEZ

A special Illinois House committee’s hearings next week on the Springfield bribery scandal should begin with testimony from executives of Commonwealth Edison, the company at the center of the federal corruption probe, WBEZ has learned.

In a letter Thursday to the Democratic lawmaker heading the legislative inquiry, House Republican Leader Jim Durkin of Western Springs said he or his lawyer, the former federal prosecutor Ron Safer, “will be questioning” the ComEd executives at the special panel’s meeting on Tuesday. […]

Durkin told [committee chairman Chris Welch] he “will be presenting an opening statement” at the committee meeting Tuesday, and he added that “a representative” of ComEd has confirmed the company’s executives will appear at the session to testify.

ComEd CEO Joe Dominguez and other executives from the power company – which serves 4 million homes and businesses across northern Illinois – already have testified and taken questions about the scandal at the state board that regulates utilities and at the Chicago City Council. […]

A ComEd spokesman said the company would comment on its participation in the hearings later Thursday. Welch did not immediately respond to requests for comment Thursday morning.

ComEd has not yet commented, but I’ll post it when they do. I have been able to confirm that a ComEd official will testify.

*** UPDATE *** Tribune

“ComEd has pledged to respect the legislative process that has been initiated and accepted the invitation to provide testimony at the hearing next week,” company spokesman Paul Elsberg said in a statement.

  20 Comments      


Today’s must-read

Thursday, Sep 24, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Joe Mahr and Robert McCoppin at the Tribune

Six months into the pandemic, the new virus has infected more than 28,000 Illinois long-term care residents and killed more than 4,000. It’s also fueled debate over the Illinois Department of Public Health’s oversight of a mostly for-profit industry. That includes how the agency cut back inspections, at times breaking state law, as the virus raced through facilities.

Although far fewer residents are testing positive now than in the spring, no radical medical breakthroughs are yet in sight. The arrival of fall brings fear of a deadly virus resurgence, continued struggles over testing and protective gear, and restrictions that — in an effort to protect residents — rob them of life’s small joys, from hugging relatives to sharing a meal. […]

The number of facilities inspected dropped from roughly 100 or more a week to less than a dozen, according to a Tribune analysis of available state and federal data. When reviews picked up in mid-April, for weeks they were mostly phone calls to facilities, not on-site visits where problems could be spotted. […]

Pritzker on May 1 also temporarily stopped some state inspections of nursing homes. The order didn’t stop inspections by the U.S. Centers for Medicare & Medicaid (known as CMS). Regardless, government data shows state and federal reviews had largely been stopped by then and did not return to pre-pandemic levels until June.

Ezike and her top aides forced out two IDPH administrators after learning July 8 that their unit — against state law — stopped investigating abuse and neglect complaints, according to IDPH.

Go read the rest.

  11 Comments      


Question of the day

Thursday, Sep 24, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

* The Illinois Environmental Council is hosting a silent auction as part of its annual gala. One of the items

>

* Just so you don’t get the wrong idea…

* The Question: Your suggested brand names for Rep. Cassidy’s home-baked cookies?

  34 Comments      


The Millers visit the White House, Trump disses Pritzker and Lightfoot

Thursday, Sep 24, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Earlier this month…


* Yesterday at the White House…

* Miller’s husband, Rep. Chris Miller (R-Oakland) was also in attendance. He’s in the second row on the far right (of course)…

* The three posed together as well…

I’m told when President Trump found out that Rep. Miller (no relation) is in the General Assembly, he talked to Miller for a bit about the governor and Chicago’s mayor.

* From a Miller spokesperson…

Chris and Mary Miller were at the White House for about two hours. President Trump talked to Chris personally for a few minutes about Illinois. The President noted to Chris that “Lori Lightfoot and JB Pritzker are failing the people of Illinois.”

They discussed how sad it is that Illinois has such an abundance of natural resources such as coal, oil and gas, water ways, agriculture products and other resources, and hard-working men and women that just want a chance to thrive. Because of years of mismanagement, the state is in shambles and losing population.

Trump noted that Illinois has a terrible business climate and despite the fact that the state has everything it needs to be successful – Illinois is failing because of the poor leadership of Lightfoot and Pritzker and the Democrats in the Legislature who are pushing businesses away with their anti-business policies.

  39 Comments      


Illinois Lawmakers, Please Seize This Moment On Clean Energy And New Jobs

Thursday, Sep 24, 2020 - Posted by Advertising Department

[The following is a paid advertisement.]

Cleaner, greener energy. Fewer emissions. More jobs. That’s what Springfield lawmakers can deliver, thanks to Gov. Pritzker’s leadership in reviving clean energy legislation and putting forward thoughtful, ambitious principles to guide its progress.

As one of Illinois’ diverse energy providers, bp applauds Gov. Pritzker’s vision for a clean, renewable economy and urges state legislators to seize the moment for a comprehensive climate bill that includes a price on carbon.

Why? Because as Gov. Pritzker points out, “implementing a carbon price makes dirty energy less competitive, reduces emissions, creates room for renewable energy development, and raises revenue for the state.”

It’s fair to ask: why is an integrated energy company like bp advocating for carbon pricing? Because it aligns with our own low carbon ambition. Because we see business opportunity. Most of all, because we believe this is the right thing to do.

Read more about the Governor’s clean energy plan in our op-ed: https://thesouthern.com/opinion

  Comments Off      


2,257 new cases, 30 additional deaths, 1,713 in the hospital, 3.5 percent positivity rate

Thursday, Sep 24, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Press release…

The Illinois Department of Public Health (IDPH) today reported 2,257 new confirmed cases of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) in Illinois, including 30 additional confirmed deaths.

    • Bond County: 1 female 90s
    • Cook County: 1 female 50s, 1 female 60s, 1 male 60s, 2 females 70s, 1 male 80s, 1 male 90s
    • Crawford County: 1 female 70s
    • DuPage County: 1 female 80s, 2 males 80s
    • Edgar County: 1 female 80s
    • Lake County: 1 male 70s
    • Macon County: 1 male 80s, 1 female 100+
    • Madison County: 1 male 50s, 2 males 70s, 1 female 80s, 1 male 80s
    • McLean County: 1 female 30s, 1 female 60s
    • Rock Island County: 1 male 60s
    • St. Clair County: 1 female 70s
    • Will County: 1 male 70s, 1 female 80s
    • Williamson County: 1 female 70s, 1 male 70s, 1 female 90s

Currently, IDPH is reporting a total of 281,371 cases, including 8,538 deaths, in 102 counties in Illinois. The age of cases ranges from younger than one to older than 100 years. The preliminary seven-day statewide positivity for cases as a percent of total test from September 17 – September 23 is 3.5%. Within the past 24 hours, laboratories have reported 62,071 specimens for a total of 5,293,678. As of last night, 1,713 people in Illinois were reported to be in the hospital with COVID-19. Of those, 400 patients were in the ICU and 155 patients with COVID-19 were on ventilators.

Following guidance from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, IDPH is now reporting separately both confirmed and probable cases and deaths on its website. Reporting probable cases will help show the potential burden of COVID-19 illness and efficacy of population-based non-pharmaceutical interventions. IDPH will update these data once a week.

*All data are provisional and will change. In order to rapidly report COVID-19 information to the public, data are being reported in real-time. Information is constantly being entered into an electronic system and the number of cases and deaths can change as additional information is gathered. For health questions about COVID-19, call the hotline at 1-800-889-3931 or email dph.sick@illinois.gov.

* Meanwhile…

Every year the flu sickens millions of Americans, hospitalizes hundreds of thousands, and kills tens of thousands. This season, in addition to flu, we are battling COVID-19. We have already seen almost 7 million Americans confirmed with COVID-19, hundreds of thousands hospitalized, and more than 200,000 deaths.

“This season more than ever, it is critical that Illinoisans get our flu shots,” said Illinois Department of Public Health Director Dr. Ngozi Ezike. “Flu and COVID-19 each can cause serious respiratory illness and co-infection could possibly lead to more severe illnesses, hospitalization, and even death. While a vaccine for COVID-19 is still in development, a vaccine for flu already exists and is your best protection against flu. The choice is yours, but I urge you to not risk co-infection of two potentially deadly viruses. Please try and protect yourself and the people around you by getting the flu vaccine, which has been proven over the years to be safe and effective.”

Everyone six months of age and older should get the seasonal flu vaccine. The vaccine is available in either a flu shot, or in a nasal spray. Talk with a health care provider about what type is most appropriate for you. More information on the types of flu vaccine can be found on the CDC website.

In addition to getting your flu vaccine, IDPH recommends following the 3 W’s for both COVID-19 and influenza.

    Wash your hands
    Watch your distance
    Wear your mask

Viruses spread when people who are infected cough, sneeze, or talk. Flu usually comes on suddenly. Many of the symptoms of flu and COVID-19 are the same, such as fever and cough, but there are some differences. If you have symptoms of either flu or COVID-19, self-isolate and contact a health care provider. They can talk with you about testing and other measures you should be taking.

  1 Comment      


Rate the new Ives ad

Thursday, Sep 24, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

* This ad is running on cable and social media

This morning, Jeanne Ives released a new ad contrasting Sean Casten’s record of self-dealing with her record of leading by example. The ad is entitled Peanuts.

After his inauguration, Congressman Sean Casten (IL-06), lobbied for Congressional pay increases, saying it’s “horrible” that they “work for peanuts” ($174,000 per year). As a state legislator, Ives refused a taxpayer funded pension, health benefits and voted against pay hikes for legislators.

Prior to running for Congress, Casten was a registered lobbyist. During the 2008 Great Recession, he became a wealthy man on the backs of hard working Americans when he got his own company $8 million in taxpayer-funded subsidies that should have gone to provide relief to struggling Americans.

But that wasn’t enough for elitist Sean Casten. Since arriving in Washington, he has advocated and voted to send more of your money to Washington DC to fund his big government ideas at every turn.

At $174,000, the families of IL-06 are not getting the representation they’re paying for, and Sean Casten wants more.

* The ad

* Script…

While Americans weathered tough times…

Sean Casten put on wingtips.

To beg Congress for a bailout.

Now, the shoe’s on the other foot.

Congressman Casten makes $174 Grand per year;

Which he calls “peanuts.”

We need leaders like Jeanne Ives, who traded her Army boots for heels to champion Illinois taxpayers in the Statehouse;

Refusing taxpayer-funded healthcare and pension;

And never voting to raise taxes.

Jeanne Ives for Congress.

  31 Comments      


Madigan breaks record with $2 million transfer to DPI

Thursday, Sep 24, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Second-largest campaign contribution of September so far…

That’s the single largest transfer of money into DPI in history, according to the State Board of Elections’ website.

Much of that money is likely for direct mail expenses since the state party receives a significant postage discount. It’s one of the biggest reasons why Madigan retains control of the party. He saves a ton of money on mail.

The largest contribution of the month was the $20 million Ken Griffin sent to the Coalition To Stop The Proposed Tax Hike Amendment.

House Republican Leader Jim Durkin, by the way, has reported raising just $1.463 million since the start of the calendar year.

  8 Comments      


The latest outrage

Thursday, Sep 24, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Center Square headline

Some Illinois mail-in ballot request reminders sent to out-of-state addresses

* Scroll down, though, and you’ll see why

“If someone had previously requested a [vote by mail] ballot at an out-of-state address, or if the election authority for some other reason has that address on file, the election authority was required under the new law to send an application there,” said Matt Dietrich, a spokesperson for the Illinois State Board of Elections. […]

Sangamon County Clerk Don Gray said some reminders may be to so-called “snowbirds” who’ve requested absentee ballots for out-of-state addresses in the past, but the updated law breeds confusion.

“I wish this wasn’t happening,” Gray told WMAY radio. “It’s kind of frustrating all of this additional other measures on top which I think are well intentioned but they’re really just confusing people more and it’s eroding the confidence in the system.”

Not sure how this is confusing or bad for the Illinoisans spending their fall in Florida, Arizona or wherever. Most of the folks I know who do that are Republicans, by the way. But some people just love to spin conspiracy theories these days and look for every evil intent possible.

  19 Comments      


Senate Republicans roll out ethics package

Thursday, Sep 24, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Press release…

As indictments, charges, and investigations into state legislators continue to make headlines, today members of the Senate Republican Caucus have introduced a package of bills seeking to root out government corruption among members of the General Assembly.

The legislative package focuses on two main objectives: enhancing investigative authority within existing laws and ensuring legislators are serving the public’s interest.
While Illinois already has some strong anti-corruption laws in place, Senate Republicans say many of them are rendered toothless because the appropriate authorities aren’t given adequate ability to investigate wrongdoing.

To address these shortcomings, the legislative package proposes the following enhancements:

    * Senate Bill 4012: Allows the Attorney General to impanel a statewide grand jury to investigate, indict and prosecute bribery and misconduct by members of the General Assembly.
    * Senate Bill 4013: Provides states attorneys with wiretap authority.
    * Senate Bill 4014: Grants the Legislative Inspector General the ability to investigate members of the General Assembly without first receiving approval from the Legislative Ethics Commission, and changes the composition of the Legislative Ethics Commission to make them all members of the general public rather than legislators.

“It’s no secret that Illinois is among the most corrupt states in the nation, so to continue to drag our feet on this issue is an insult to the people of Illinois,” said State Senator John Curran (R-Downers Grove). “The laws currently on the books aren’t enough. We need to provide the appropriate authorities with greater tools to investigate legislator misconduct. In a time when the actions of corrupt elected officials have undermined the public’s confidence, continued inaction only further erodes public trust.”

The Senate Republican anti-corruption legislative package also includes measures to ensure that legislators serve the public’s interest and not their own pocketbooks.

Proposals include:

    * Senate Bill 4015: Bans legislators from lobbying other branches of state government or units of local government for compensation.
    * Senate Bill 4016: Creates a revolving door legislator-to-lobbyist prohibition for one year after leaving office, or until the end of the current term, whichever is longer.
    * Senate Bill 4017: Prohibits a legislator from leaving office and continuing to use their campaign fund to support lobbying activities. Also prevents an appointee to a board or commission that is confirmed by the Senate from fundraising for or donating from their campaign committee while serving as an appointed public official.
    * Senate Bill 4018: Updates the Statement of Economic Interests to enhance the disclosure of potential conflicts of interest.

“These are common-sense reforms that will help ensure that legislators are representing the people’s interests instead of their own,” said State Senator Jil Tracy (R-Quincy). “The recent scandals involving legislators are clear examples that we need ethics reform now. We can’t wait any longer.”

“These aren’t new ideas. In fact, many of these concepts have been supported by legislators on both sides of the aisle for years and yet here we are still fighting for real reform,” said State Senator Dan McConchie (R-Hawthorn Woods). “There is no good reason to continue to delay addressing government corruption.”

“Within the last year, four legislators have recently been indicted, and another one is under investigation, yet there have been zero anti-corruption bills signed into law,” said State Senator Dale Righter (R-Mattoon). “It makes us wonder what exactly it will take for Democrats to get serious on the issue.”

* John Patterson with the Senate Democrats…

They’ve got some interesting ideas. We look forward to them working with us to pass and enact meaningful ethics reform for the people of Illinois.

  5 Comments      


Two QAnon followers running for Congress here as Republicans

Thursday, Sep 24, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

* These folks have zero chance of winning, but here’s a Tribune editorial

QAnon is a sprawling internet conspiracy theory as ugly as it is unfathomable. It weaves together anti-government fever dreams into an absurd narrative that portrays President Donald Trump as waging a secret battle against Satan-worshiping pedophiles who run a global child sex-trafficking ring. Allegedly Hillary Clinton, Tom Hanks and the Dalai Lama may somehow be in on it. (They’re not.)

The QAnon theory centers in part on the discredited notion that there is a “deep state” anti-Trump cabal within the U.S. government. QAnon has links to an earlier loony tale known as “Pizzagate,” which claimed a Washington, D.C., pizzeria was the headquarters of a sex trafficking ring involving Clinton. Pizzagate compelled a North Carolina man to fire a rifle inside the restaurant in a misguided attempt to free imprisoned children, so there is danger connected to these hoaxes.

Ideally, Illinois voters could spend their lifetimes never hearing about this except that QAnon talk is spreading this election season, and two Chicago-area Republicans seeking U.S. House seats have promoted the movement on social media and declined to denounce it. Philanise White of Chicago, running against Rep. Bobby Rush in the 1st Congressional District, and Theresa Raborn of Midlothian, running against Rep. Robin Kelly in the 2nd Congressional District, both have promoted QAnon by tweeting a recognized QAnon slogan as a hashtag.

Not included in the editorial was a demand that the state GOP address this issue.

* A quick explainer

“QAnon” is a baseless internet conspiracy theory whose followers believe that a cabal of Satan-worshipping Democrats, Hollywood celebrities and billionaires runs the world while engaging in pedophilia, human trafficking and the harvesting of a supposedly life-extending chemical from the blood of abused children. QAnon followers believe that Donald Trump is waging a secret battle against this cabal and its “deep state” collaborators to expose the malefactors and send them all to Guantánamo Bay.

* A longer explanation from Wired

The core of the QAnon theory is that Donald Trump is waging a war against a Satanic, child-molesting cabal of top Democrats. QAnon dovetails with the more secular “deep state” narrative, which claims that holdovers from the Obama administration are secretly conspiring to destroy Trump’s presidency from within. Deep-state theories—whether or not the term “deep state” is used—animate the false claim that Democrats and public health experts are in cahoots to exaggerate or outright lie about the Covid-19 threat in order to tank the economy and ensure Biden’s victory. Recently Trump has been tinkering with this narrative as a post-election incendiary device: If he loses, he’s almost certain to blame the deep state for his administration’s failures.

QAnon has spun off the “Save the Children” movement, too, which purports to be opposed to child sex trafficking. In some cases, QAnon believers have been organizing Save the Children rallies and Facebook groups as a way to launder the more extreme elements of the conspiracy theory into mainstream circles. In other cases, such rallies and groups aren’t knowingly tied to QAnon but still draw narrative threads and other information from the QAnon mythology. Either way, Save the Children has made the work of professional child welfare advocates much more difficult.

Beliefs in QAnon and the deep state are unified by one basic factor: their reliance on deep memetic frames. As Ryan Milner and I have explained, these are sense-making orientations to the world. Everyone, regardless of their politics, has a set of deep memetic frames. We feel these frames in our bones. They shape what we know, what we see, and what we’re willing to accept as evidence. In the context of conspiracy theories, deep memetic frames establish the identity of the bad “them,” as opposed to the valiant “us,” and prescribe what can or should be done in response. QAnon and deep-state theories don’t magically transform nonbelievers into believers; they’re not viral in that sense. People are drawn to these theories, instead, because the narratives line up with their deep memetic frames. QAnon and the deep state feel familiar for those already inclined to believe.

Those believers are steeped in a particular kind of distrust: of the mainstream news media, of the scientific establishment, of any other institution claiming specialized expertise. This is where they plot against us. Such distrust has a long history within right-wing evangelical circles, where QAnon and deep-state beliefs have been spreading quickly. But wariness of institutions isn’t restricted to the MAGA orbit. People with a wide range of political views can be deeply mistrustful of the press, science, and “liberal elites,” and at least open to QAnon’s assertions of a shadowy, string-pulling cabal. (Anti-vaxxers are especially susceptible.)

* BuzzFeed News is now calling QAnon a “collective delusion”

QAnon is not something to joke about. The mere concept — a global Satan-worshipping cabal led by prominent Democrats, under the eye of Hillary Clinton, who are kidnapping, abusing, and eating children and drinking their blood in order to live forever — is cartoonish on its face. But it’s not to be underestimated, and it can’t be treated simply as an online phenomenon. The real-world effects of QAnon have already been made clear: In 2018, a Q believer engaged in an armed standoff at the Hoover Dam. Recently, they’ve worked to hijack legitimate attempts to fight child sex trafficking.

Not everyone who subscribes to parts of the QAnon mass delusion believes in all of it. Some people could be sharing the material in ignorance of its true depth. Others could be using it to carry out identity signaling — disenfranchised people seizing on a bizarre narrative to show that they are “Patriots,” regardless of the content of the messages. And with such a mess of entry points, someone could very well pass along parts of the QAnon narrative without realizing what the whole entails — just look at the recent false rumors that Wayfair was involved in sex trafficking. […]

But delusion does illustrate the reality better than conspiracy theory does. We are discussing a mass of people who subscribe to a shared set of values and debunked ideas, which inform their beliefs and actions. The impact of QAnon is an example of “the real-world consequences of our broken information ecosystem,” the New York Times recently wrote. The proliferation of this delusion is in part a media literacy problem — which has become a reality problem.

* More info…

* FBI document warns conspiracy theories are a new domestic terrorism threat: The document specifically mentions QAnon, a shadowy network that believes in a deep state conspiracy against President Trump, and Pizzagate, the theory that a pedophile ring including Clinton associates was being run out of the basement of a Washington, D.C., pizza restaurant (which didn’t actually have a basement). “The FBI assesses these conspiracy theories very likely will emerge, spread, and evolve in the modern information marketplace, occasionally driving both groups and individual extremists to carry out criminal or violent acts,” the document states. It also goes on to say the FBI believes conspiracy theory-driven extremists are likely to increase during the 2020 presidential election cycle.

* The conspiracy theory-based movement poses a different type of terrorist threat: But unlike jihadists and white supremacists, many followers of QAnon aren’t ideologues or interested in violence. As game designer Adrian Hon argues, much of their participation resembles play in an alternate reality game, with a large cast of characters and clues to decipher with your friends. A common type of QAnon believer is a 60-something white, church-going woman who’s retired, or a full-time mom whose kids are grown. In QAnon Facebook group chats, many participants come across as lonely, not fanatical. But the movement is so large that a small percentage of violent adherents would present a national security problem.

* QAnon Is Like a Game—a Most Dangerous Game - The conspiracy theory has the best attributes of a multiplatform game, except that it can cause harm in the real world: QAnon poses a mystery that feels so big it can only be solved by crowdsourcing. It’s thrilling to be involved with other people in something bigger than yourself. Plus, it turns one’s armchair-warrior Googling into a heroic quest for truth. “They’re all saying, ‘I’ve done my research,’” Hon told me of Q followers. “They’re looking for signals in the noise.” There’s also the thrill of creativity, of adding to a canon. QAnon followers “don’t just passively receive Q drops. They create new videos and texts,” notes Marc-André Argentino, a public scholar at Concordia University who researches QAnon. Q’s followers behave like religious devotees who pore over their faith’s central texts, crafting interpretations that become part of the official creed.

* The Dark Virality of a Hollywood Blood-Harvesting Conspiracy - A centuries-old anti-Semitic myth is spreading freely on far-right corners of social media—suggesting a new digital Dark Age has arrived.

* QAnon believers think there’s a vast cabal snatching up children in kidnappings, but almost every child reported missing turns out to be a runaway

* QAnon Followers Are Hijacking the #SaveTheChildren Movement: Sometimes, QAnon followers spin factual information in a way that serves their aims. Last week, an Associated Press article about a $35 million Trump administration grant to organizations that house trafficking survivors became one of the most-shared stories on Facebook, after QAnon groups picked it up and cited it as evidence that President Trump’s secret crusade against elite pedophiles was underway.

* Mothers for QAnon: “I do think that there is something about the intense focus on harm being done to children and the graphic nature of the images and videos associated with Q” — including photos of children with black eyes or badly bruised bodies — “that is catered toward evoking shock and empathy, and it’s possible that these are chiming with a lot of women in particular,” said Blyth Crawford, a research fellow at the International Center for the Study of Radicalization in London.

* Facebook Tried to Limit QAnon. It Failed.

* The men behind QAnon - Experts and researchers said the key to “Q” is hiding in plain sight.

* Under Tom Emmer, NRCC embraces QAnon-affiliated candidates - While publicly disavowing the QAnon conspiracy, Emmer and the National Republican Congressional Committee are still backing candidates that have publicly promoted the fringe theories.

  22 Comments      


*** UPDATED x1 *** 870,000 new unemployment benefit applications filed last week, 23,113 in Illinois

Thursday, Sep 24, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

* AP

The number of people seeking U.S. unemployment aid rose slightly last week to 870,000, a historically high figure that shows that the viral pandemic is still squeezing restaurants, airlines, hotels and many other businesses six months after it first erupted.

The figure coincides with evidence that some newly laid-off Americans are facing delays in receiving unemployment benefits as state agencies intensify efforts to combat fraudulent applications and clear their pipelines of a backlog of jobless claims.

California has said it will stop processing new applications for two weeks as it seeks to reduce backlogs and prevent fraudulent claims. Pennsylvania has found that up to 10,000 inmates are improperly receiving aid.

The Labor Department said Thursday that the number of people who are continuing to receive unemployment benefits declined to 12.6 million. The steady decline in that figure over the past several months reflects that some of the unemployed are being re-hired. Yet it also indicates that others have exhausted their regular jobless aid, which last six months in most states.

* Duncan Black

Peak new claims in the Great Recession was 665K. Every weekly report since March 26 has been higher than that.

* CBS 2

The U.S. Department of Labor estimates 23,113 new unemployment claims were filed during the week of Sept. 14 in Illinois, according to the DOL’s weekly claims report released Thursday.

While this number is based on advanced estimates, the Illinois Department of Employment Security (IDES) will be releasing a final number later Thursday. […]

There were 27,384 new unemployment claims were filed in Illinois during the week of Sept. 7.

* WalletHub looks at where Illinois stands in relation to other states. 1 equals the quickest recover and 25 is the average…

• 253.52% Change in Unemployment Claims (Latest Week vs Last Year)

    o 23,113 the week of September 14, 2020 vs 6,538 the week of September 16, 2019
    o 19th quickest recovery in the U.S.

• 96.22% Change in Unemployment Claims (Latest Week vs Start of 2020)

    o 23,113 the week of September 14, 2020 vs 11,779 the week of January 1, 2020
    o 26th quickest recovery in the U.S.

• 762.89% Change in Unemployment Claims (Since Start of COVID-19 Crisis vs Last Year)

    o 1,671,157 between the week of March 16, 2020 and the week of September 14, 2020 vs 219,055 between the week of March 18, 2019 and the week of September 16, 2019
    o 4th quickest recovery in the U.S.

More here.

*** UPDATE *** IDES…

The number of nonfarm jobs decreased over-the-year in all fourteen Illinois metropolitan areas in August, with five metro areas at record low payrolls for that month, according to preliminary data released today by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) and the Illinois Department of Employment Security (IDES). The unemployment rate increased over-the-year in all metro areas and to record highs for the month of August in two metros. The official, BLS approved sub-state unemployment rate and nonfarm jobs series begins in 1990. Data reported prior to 1990 are not directly comparable due to updates in methodology.

“With the state’s COVID-19 mitigation plan in place, we are working hard to keep people safe while restoring confidence in and strengthening our economy,” said Deputy Governor Dan Hynes. “IDES is continuing to work tirelessly to support working families by connecting them to job training and workforce matching programs and ensuring benefits get to those impacted by this pandemic.”

The number of nonfarm jobs decreased in all fourteen Illinois metropolitan areas. Total nonfarm jobs were down in Peoria (-11.0%, -19,000), Elgin (-9.7%, -25,300) and Decatur (-8.4%, -4,300). In Chicago-Naperville-Arlington Heights, jobs were down -7.6% (-291,600). No industry sector saw job gains in a majority of metro areas.

Not seasonally adjusted data compares August 2020 with August 2019. The not seasonally adjusted Illinois rate was 10.9 percent in August 2020 and the highest August unemployment rate since 1983, when it was 11.3 percent. The official, BLS approved, statewide unemployment rate series begins in 1976. Nationally, the not seasonally adjusted unemployment rate was 8.5 percent in August 2020 and the highest August unemployment rate since 2011, when it was 9.1. The unemployment rate identifies those individuals who are out of work and seeking employment.

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It’s just a bill

Thursday, Sep 24, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Illinois Policy Institute

U.S. Rep. Darin LaHood, the Republican representative from Illinois’ 18th Congressional District, introduced the Taxpayer Protection Act in the U.S. House of Representatives on Sept. 24. The bill would create a “Taxpayer Protection Program” to prevent blank-check bailouts of state and local governments.

Similar to the Paycheck Protection Program — which required businesses to use the funds to maintain their workforce in order to receive forgiveness on federal loans— the Taxpayer Protection Program authorizes state and local governments to seek forgivable loans from the federal government, with loan forgiveness available only to states with sound pensions, truly balanced budgets and sufficient rainy-day funds. Both programs implement basic financial safeguards to ensure federal aid is used to support those in need.

States with unsustainable pension debt and a history of fiscal mismanagement would be required to implement reforms to protect their residents and ensure federal money achieves its intended purpose of supporting essential government services during the COVID-19 pandemic.

The requirements for loan forgiveness are:

    1. Sound pensions: States and counties with populations of 500,000 or more and local governments with populations of 250,000 or more must be able to eliminate 100% of pension debt over no more than 25 years, using best practices for funding schedules and realistic accounting assumptions. States such as Illinois and New Jersey with unsustainable levels of pension debt must reduce pension debt to the level they can truly afford, without increasing taxpayer costs.
    2. Truly balanced budgets: States would be required to have a constitutional or statutory requirement for “end of year” balanced budgets. Only actual revenue, such as from taxes and fees, would count toward the balancing requirement. States would not be able to count borrowing or money swept from other government accounts toward the requirement, preventing the budget gimmicks that have allowed Illinois politicians to avoid balancing the budget for 20 years.
    3. Sufficient rainy-day funds: States would be required to save for emergencies and recessions on their own going forward, holding 5-10% of their annual revenue in a rainy-day fund. Rainy-day funds allow states to cover revenue shortfalls without resorting to essential service cuts or tax hikes. The average state held 8% of its budget in reserve before the COVID-19 pandemic, but Illinois had virtually nothing saved.

The bill prohibits states from using federal money to bail out legacy debt and deficits that are unrelated to the COVID-19 pandemic. The bill also guarantees no state or local government would receive more revenue than they actually lost as a result of the pandemic, limiting quarterly payments to the difference between current own-source revenue collections and collections during the same period in fiscal year 2019. It allows for up to $186 billion in federal and state aid, with $100 billion for states, $75 billion for local governments, $8 billion for tribal governments and $3 billion for the District of Columbia and U.S. territories.

States that fail to achieve the conditions for sound finances will need to repay the loans with an interest rate that goes up as a state’s credit rating goes down. Illinois, which holds the worst credit rating in the nation, would face a “spread” or interest rate penalty of 3.3% compared to 1% for top-rated states.

On Sept. 16, Illinois Gov. J.B. Pritzker wrote a letter to members of Illinois’ Congressional delegation urging them “to come together in a bipartisan fashion to provide critical support to states and local governments facing disastrous budgetary consequences stemming from unanticipated revenue losses due to the COVID-19 pandemic.”

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Open thread

Thursday, Sep 24, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Local stuff only, please.

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Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Supplement to today’s edition and a campaign update

Thursday, Sep 24, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today’s edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)

Thursday, Sep 24, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

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*** LIVE COVERAGE ***

Thursday, Sep 24, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Follow along with ScribbleLive


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« NEWER POSTS PREVIOUS POSTS »
* Reader comments closed for the weekend
* Isabel’s afternoon roundup
* The Waukegan City Clerk was railroaded
* Whatever happened, the city has a $40 million budget hole it didn't disclose until now
* Manar gives state agencies budget guidance: Cut, cut, cut
* Roundup: Ex-Chicago Ald. Danny Solis testifies in Madigan corruption trial
* Open thread
* Isabel’s morning briefing
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today's edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)
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