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Reader comments closed for the holiday weekend

Friday, Jan 14, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Mavis Staples will play us out

And in the march for peace
Tell them I played the drum
When I
Have to meet my day

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Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Another campaign update

Friday, Jan 14, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Emptying my in-box ahead of the holiday weekend

Friday, Jan 14, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Running out of time, so I’m lumping a ton of stuff together…

* As schools battle Omicron, billions of federal relief dollars remain unspent: Some schools are struggling to remain open for in-person learning due to the latest coronavirus surge — but a lack of money isn’t the problem.Much of the $190 billion that Congress authorized for schools earlier in the pandemic has yet to be used. In a majority of states, less than 20% of the federal money had been spent by the end of November, according to the latest US Department of Education data.

* DCFS director cleared in two of three contempt of court rulings, fines vacated: “The matters related to these orders are fully resolved,” said spokesman Bill McCaffrey in an email.

* Editorial: Only bold action will keep the momentum going to reform DCFS: State Rep. Maurice West (D-Rockford) plans to introduce legislation to streamline hiring so that DCFS can eventually have two people go out on calls — a good safety measure, in our view. State Rep. Kelly Cassidy (D-Chicago) has plans for legislation to give DCFS workers benefits in line with emergency responders, such as better pensions.

* Lawmakers call for DCFS review after deaths of 6-year-old boy, caseworker: WGN News reached out to the Governors’ press office for comment regarding criticism directed at Pritzker. In a statement, the Governors’ press office wrote, “Since taking office, the Governor increased DCFS’ budget by over $340 million with DCFS launching aggressive hiring efforts to bring on 860 additional staff. These investments passed without the support of the Republicans in General Assembly.”

* Jonathan Jackson eyes Rep. Bobby Rush’s seat: The scion of a noted Chicago political family is pondering whether to enter the race to succeed retiring U.S. Rep. Bobby Rush. If he does, Jonathan Jackson would shake up the contest.

* Mark Brown: With end of Shakman in sight, court monitor burrows in on new Illinois political hiring probe: In a subsequent court filing, the Shakman plaintiffs said they support Pritzker’s efforts to free the state from the consent decree, though not his timetable. They argue that Pritzker could wrap up all of this by April by taking six more steps to reform state employment practices, including completing a switchover to an electronic hiring system.

* Ald. Burke was secretly videotaped inside his City Hall offices as part of federal corruption probe: The document also quotes Burke as allegedly saying, “I am a believer that if you’re making money, that you should share the wealth. So you and I’ll never have . . . we’ll just figure out a way that’s gonna be above board, legal, etc. Because you and I are not gonna . . . get in trouble over this . . . at this stage in the game.”

* To give parents options, Illinois lawmakers should preserve tax credit scholarship program

* Editorial: Apparently, it’s up to the legislature to clarify roles in township government

* Ulta, Walgreens shorten hours due to omicron surge: The retailers cite staff shortages and safety concerns over the latest COVID spike.

* This officer is trying to fix the relationship between Chicago police and families of murder victims: But Page’s mission to ease their suffering is a nearly impossible task. Of the city’s 800 homicides in 2021 the department had solved only 179 cases by the end of the year, leaving more than 600 families still hurting for justice. The department’s failure to close murder cases leaves families scared for their safety as killers remain free, undermines public trust that murderers will face justice and convinces some citizens to seek retribution outside of the law, further inflaming violence in the city. These are the dynamics Page and about 20 other police officers are trying to fight against in a new unit tasked with building relationships, and trust, with the families of murder victims.

* New Illinois law removes tax credit cap when you trade in car while buying new vehicle: If you’re in the market for a new car and will be trading in your old one, a new law eliminates a $10,000 credit cap that was set in 2020 as part of the Rebuild Illinois capital plan.

* Bill would pay $100 for home surveillance video: Representative Mike Zalewski (D-Riverside) filed a House bill that rewards residents $100 if they submit a home surveillance video that helps police prosecute a crime.

* State senators want car insurers to give pandemic refunds: A letter signed by 16 Democratic senators urges the Insurance Department to collect and share data on the excess profits car insurers reaped in 2020 and early 2021 when driving levels plummeted.

* Illinois lawmakers may not return to Springfield until Groundhog Day

* Student Loan Company Reaches $1.85B Settlement With Illinois, Other States: Tens of thousands of borrowers in Illinois and across the country will see their student loan debt canceled following a $1.85 billion settlement between several states and one of the nation’s largest collecting companies.

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COVID-19 roundup

Friday, Jan 14, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Cases are up about 3 percent in the past week, but deaths are up 66 percent. The seven-day rolling average of daily hospitalizations is now +0.32 percent, down slightly from yesterday’s +0.57 percent. We’ve been on a prolonged hospitalization plateau. No sign yet of abatement. IDPH

The Illinois Department of Public Health (IDPH) today reported 207,203 new confirmed and probable cases of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) in Illinois, including an increase of 738 deaths since January 7, 2022.

Currently, IDPH is reporting a total of 2,589,640 cases, including 29,099 deaths, in 102 counties in Illinois. The age of cases ranges from younger than one to older than 100 years. Since January 7, 2022, laboratories have reported 1,956,972 specimens for a total of 47,949,094. As of last night, 7,320 individuals in Illinois were reported to be in the hospital with COVID-19. Of those, 1,148 patients were in the ICU and 657 patients with COVID-19 were on ventilators. Updated data analysis shows almost 90% of COVID-19 hospitalizations in Illinois are unvaccinated.

The preliminary seven-day statewide positivity for cases as a percent of total test from January 7 – 13, 2022 is 10.6%. The preliminary seven-day statewide test positivity from January 7 – 13, 2022 is 15.6%.

A total of 19,893,424 vaccines have been administered in Illinois as of last midnight. The seven-day rolling average of vaccines administered daily is 51,070 doses. Since January 7, 2022, 357,487 doses were reported administered in Illinois. Of Illinois’ total population, almost 74% has received at least one COVID-19 vaccine dose, 65% of Illinois’ total population is fully vaccinated, and more than 42% boosted according to data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC).

All data are provisional and will change. Additional information and COVID-19 data can be found at https://dph.illinois.gov/covid19.html.

Vaccination is the key to ending this pandemic. To find a COVID-19 vaccination location near you, go to www.vaccines.gov.

* From The Atlantic

What we can say is that the higher a wave crests, the longer and more confusing the path to the bottom will be. We need to prepare for the possibility that this wave could have an uncomfortably long tail—or at least a crooked one. “I do think the decline is unlikely to be as steep as the rise,” Saad Omer, an epidemiologist at Yale, told me. […]

What lies beyond the peak isn’t out of our control either. The decline can be sped up by the same mitigation behaviors that temper the rise, Majumder said. Curves can get flatter. They can also get shorter. And minimizing cases on the wave’s far side will still blunt the impact on the health-care system, and lessen the variant’s social toll. The key here, then, is to avoid seeing “past the peak” as a cue to relapse into riskier behavior. “The start of a decline is not sufficient to think we’re out of the woods,” Georgetown’s Bansal said. Every step we take now will determine how long we stay high up on this curve and, eventually, where we land—as well as what condition we’ll be in when we arrive at the bottom.

* Same publication

Before the new variant reared its head, people were already leaving the service sector in droves. Now the Omicron surge is laying bare how few protections workers have retained from the scant services given to them earlier in the pandemic, and just how little safety and stability this kind of work provides to the people who do it. Omicron is making many of America’s bad jobs even worse.

* Block Club Chicago

The Center for COVID Control, a locally based chain of testing sites, is under national scrutiny and has been cited at the highest level by a federal agency as reports come in from across the country of chaos at testing sites and confusion over results.

Amid the heightened scrutiny, the center announced Thursday it will close for a week starting Friday. […]

Again and again, people going to Center for COVID Control sites have reported getting negatives there — only to get a positive elsewhere. Others have never gotten results, or gotten them so late the test was effectively useless. Some people who didn’t even test at the sites were still sent results.

* A Florida TV station was all over the story earlier this week. It’s just crazy

Finding a COVID-19 test in a short time can be challenging. WINK News met a mom and dad who, while on the hunt for a test, came upon a test site at a Bonita Springs strip mall. They stopped, got in line, and registered for a test, but they got an email saying they were negative before they took it.

WINK News looked into the test site and found out the company that runs this site is racking up complaints, not just in Southwest Florida but nearly everywhere. […]

While they were in line waiting for a test, they got a notification that their results were ready. Results for a test they were still in line to take.

Erin Kates said, “We got an email for each of us all, all five of us, both of us and our and our three kids saying that our rapid test came back negative.”

…Adding… Press release…

Governor JB Pritzker announced today the federal government has granted the state’s request for medical staffing assistance for Javon Bae Hospital-Riverside in Rockford. Under the agreement, a 22-person team including clinical staff from a Healthcare Medical Task Force will be deployed to support Javon Bae doctors and nurses as they treat COVID-19 patients and other patients. This surge staffing will be available for 14-days to help reduce the strain on the hospital’s Emergency Department and help other hospitals in the region who may transfer patients to Javon Bae Hospital-Riverside.

You’d barely know there was a problem in Rockford if you relied on the local newspaper website for your news.

* More…

* Kankakee schools to extend remote, hybrid learning options: Kankakee School District 111 will extend its remote and hybrid learning options through Jan. 28 instead of returning to fully in-person learning next week as previously planned, Superintendent Genevra Walters said Thursday.

* Return to work note requests overwhelm health care system: Macon County Health Department is also asking for employers not to require release letters anymore.

* Why N95, KN95 masks are much more effective than cloth versions

* UI handing out N95 masks ahead of start of semester

* For Chicago’s frustrated restaurant workers, life will never be the same

* Omicron driving more service cuts for Champaign-Urbana Mass Transit District

  12 Comments      


Question of the day

Friday, Jan 14, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

* From Rep. Theresa Mah’s Facebook page

Petition-gathering at the doors went pretty well today—I filled two 20-line sheets. Only thing was I suffered a mishap. Tripped up a step (who does that?) and landed all sprawled on the ground. I’m ok except for a possibly sprained wrist and took quite a jolt to my bag of bones.

Be careful out there.

* The Question: What’s your best story about going door-to-door?

…Adding… Rep. Nick Smith (D-Chicago) was on Rep. Mike Zalewski’s podcast this week and had this to say about the obstacles to knocking on doors today

Smith: Because of all those challenges, I’m asking people ‘Just do your block.’ It’s a thousand signatures. If I get 50 people to do a sheet, there you go. Because people are more hesitant, even before the pandemic and not in the bitter cold. We’ve been doing this a long time. We’ve been knocking doors for decades now. And it’s not the same as it was 20 years ago. People do not answer their doors. ‘Ring’ doorbells, you know, cameras, … I don’t answer my door, typically, if I’m not expecting anybody. Now, I was thinking, maybe I should ride around in a FedEx truck. And people will answer their doors because they think they have a package coming. And that’s the only reason people are answering their doors right now. They’re looking for a package.

Zalewski: It’s the ultimate organization election cycle and there’s no more organizations. That’s the thing I keep saying to myself. Twenty years ago, I had the 23rd Ward, the 13th Ward, the 10th, the 8th Ward Organization and we don’t have that.

Smith: It’s a very small number of ward organizations that still exist. And then you know, you have suburbs, I have suburbs. Township organizations are nothing like it used to be. I mean, Thornton Township was one of the strongest in the state, top vote getter in the state in terms of townships. And now with the leader [Frank Zuccarelli] gone, I don’t know what to expect. So, I have to take things in my own hands and talk to the folks that we have relationships with individually, and hope that they can help us out. But it’s an interesting time, Mike, and I just, you know, I just want to get it over with. [Laughs]

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Protected: *** UPDATED x1 *** SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - More campaign updates

Friday, Jan 14, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Oppo dump!

Friday, Jan 14, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Tribune

Last July, Republican candidate for governor Darren Bailey took to Facebook to denounce both the extension of federally-enhanced state jobless benefits and Democratic President Joe Biden’s visit to Crystal Lake to promote his coronavirus relief agenda.

“Here’s the dangerous slope that we are on in America,” the state senator and farmer from downstate Xenia said, while discussing Biden’s visit. “That’s exactly what we heard: Free stuff. Handouts. Don’t worry about it, the government’s going to take care of you.”

“Friends,” he said, “that’s socialism.”

But only months before, on Feb. 26, Bailey received the latest of a series of payments from the federal government’s coronavirus business relief Paycheck Protection Program under the Small Business Administration — $231,475 to support 11 jobs at the family farm he owns with his sons.

Less than a month later, on March 22, Bailey reported a personal loan of $150,000 to his campaign for governor, listing “Self-Employed (Bailey Family Farms)” as his employer on the required state campaign finance disclosure form. […]

All told, records compiled in a database produced by investigative news agency ProPublica show Bailey’s family farm and two other entities he owns, Bailey Family Freight and the Virtue House Ministries Christian school run by his wife, received $569,045 in so-called PPP loans from April 2020 to February 2021.

Bailey’s campaign says they abided by all the rules.

…Adding… Maybe he should just embrace and celebrate it like Rickey Hendon did

Friends, I need my rona money.

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Protected: *** UPDATED x3 *** SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Campaign updates

Friday, Jan 14, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

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*** UPDATED x1 *** Huge construction project at the Statehouse

Friday, Jan 14, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Jeremy Gorner at the Chicago Tribune on the new Statehouse remodeling project

It will be the second major construction project on the building in a decade and will force some legislative sessions to find new locations for the next few years, while also being a temporary inconvenience for school groups and other tourists who won’t get to see the historic structure’s full grandeur.

The project also presents a hefty price tag for Illinois taxpayers: $224.3 million.

The renovation is focused on the building’s north wing and will include an underground parking garage and an underground conference center, and a two-level welcome center for visitors.

In addition, there will be updates of everything from heating and cooling systems to plumbing and ventilation.

I looked around a bit for renderings and couldn’t find anything. If you have some, please send them to me. Thanks. Kinda curious about that conference center and the welcome center.

…Adding… Center Square has a renderings slide show at the top of this article. Pretty cool.

* The SJ-R ran a similar story last year

But [Capitol architect Andrea Aggertt] said the public needs to keep in mind that the north wing renovations, which will employ hundreds of construction workers over the 2 1/2 year life of the project, will include historical details costing much more than a typical home or building renovation.

“We don’t have a retail building or a hospital,” she said. “We have a statehouse that we need to be proud of, and therefore the quality of the materials that we put into our one and only statehouse need to reflect the quality and the craftsmanship that happened in the late 1880s, when the building was built.”

A State Journal-Register columnist’s story in 2013 about $670,000 spent on copper-clad wooden doors at three west entrance doorways resulted in a wave of attention from the news media and the public. In response, then-Gov. Pat Quinn called the work “excessive” and compared it to the Palace of Versailles in France.

State Rep. Tim Butler, R-Springfield, wasn’t in the General Assembly at that time but said the west wing project is necessary and will contribute to the tourism industry in Springfield and central Illinois.

* On a related note

Governor JB Pritzker and the Illinois Department of Commerce and Economic Opportunity (DCEO) today announced $9.6 million in grant funding to support construction pre-apprenticeship programs, which will help create a qualified talent pipeline of diverse candidates as part of the groundbreaking Illinois Works initiative. This grant is being awarded to 23 organizations that will provide pre-apprenticeship training and wraparound supportive services to more than 1,000 participants, the vast majority of whom are underrepresented in the construction industry.

Comprehensive pre-apprenticeship programs can help participants gain admission to apprenticeship programs, which provide a greater opportunity to obtain employment in the construction trades. According to a 2020 report from the Illinois Department of Labor, only four percent of Illinois apprentices are women and only 29 percent are people of color. By supporting pre-apprenticeship training programs that primarily serve these groups - while also providing the needed wraparound supports for participants to succeed - these grants will help participants break barriers to enter into apprenticeships while simultaneously creating a sustainable pipeline of qualified, diverse candidates for the future economy.

Grant recipients

Bethel Family Resource Center, Chicago Heights $400,000
Chicago Women in Trades, Chicago $500,437
Children First Fund, Chicago $250,000
Community Assistance Programs, Chicago $493,794
Community Development Institute, Chicago $500,000
EDDR Foundation Chicago, Chicago $500,000
EDDR Foundation Rockford, Rockford $400,000
Evanston Rebuilding Warehouse, Evanston $535,514
HIRE 360, Chicago $550,000
Hispanic American Construction Industry Association, Chicago $500,000
IL Foundation of SkillsUSA-VICA, Pekin $500,000
Lumity, Chicago $170,673
Macon County, Decatur $499,832
Metropolitan Family Services, Chicago $500,000
Quad County Urban League, Aurora $397,978
Revolution Workshop, Chicago $400,777
Safer Foundation, Chicago $500,000
Sista Girls & Friends, Inc, Decatur $500,000
South Suburban Community Services, South Holland $436,000
Southwestern Illinois College, Belleville $240,000
St. Paul Church of God in Christ Community Ministries, Chicago $250,000
Tools Up Foundation, Chicago $326,587
YBLC, Inc, North Chicago $250,000

*** UPDATE *** I should’ve included this Cook County Record story since we’re talking about infrastructure

With potentially billions of tax dollars every year on the line, the Illinois Supreme Court will soon decide whether Illinois’ so-called transportation lockbox constitutional amendment can be used to force Cook County and other local governments in Illinois to spend money from local transportation-related taxes on actual transportation projects, or if the money can still be used to fund county operations.

On Wednesday, Jan. 12, attorneys for a coalition of road and transportation contractors squared off against attorneys for Cook County, presenting oral arguments over how best to interpret and apply the language of the Illinois constitution’s Safe Roads Amendment to money raised under certain taxes imposed by Cook County and other local governments.

On one hand, a coalition of road construction contractors assert the amendment, formally known as the Safe Roads Amendment, states plainly that transportation-related tax money raised by Illinois governments must be actually used to pay for roads, bridges, mass transit, passenger railroads, airports and other transportation infrastructure. […]

On the other side, Cook County says the amendment’s language is not as clear as the road builders let on, and should be read to apply to Illinois state government alone, and not units of local home rule government, like Cook County.

…Adding… Another one that should’ve gone here

Illinois will receive $1.4 billion to help upgrade its deteriorating bridges under the federal infrastructure law approved in November.

The state’s Democratic congressional delegation said Friday that the funding over five years will include $274.8 million in Fiscal Year 2022.

The delegation says in a news release that Illinois is home to “more than 2,374 bridges in poor condition.”

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Another day, another failed appeal: “This suit is over”

Friday, Jan 14, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

* United States Court of Appeals for the 7th Circuit, judges Easterbrook, Kanne and Hamilton

Two churches sued the Governor of Illinois after he issued an executive order limiting to ten the number of persons who could attend any particular religious service during the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic. The district court denied the churches’ motion for a preliminary injunction. By the time the appeal was argued in June 2020, the Governor had rescinded his order and there was no longer any limit on the number of persons who could participate in religious ceremonies. We held that the possibility of restoring the original order, should the pandemic become more serious, meant that the case is not moot, but that the order did not violate the Free Exercise Clause of the First Amendment.

Plaintiffs asked the district court to issue a permanent injunction notwithstanding our decision. They observed that the Supreme Court recently has made the law more favorable to them by concluding that states must treat religious bodies at least as well as any secular comparator, not just as well as the most similar secular organization. The district court did not reach the merits, ruling instead that the litigation is moot. The judge expressed confidence that limits on attendance will not be reinstated. The churches have filed a second appeal.

The district court’s decision is questionable because it is inconsistent with our opinion, plus the further reason that the Governor continues to say that orders may be amended as the pandemic continues. With the Omicron variant spreading, more people have COVID-19 now than ever before. Trying to predict what executive orders may be adopted in response to which potential changes in the course of the disease is a mug’s game and not a firm ground for resolving this case.

Still, it does not follow that plaintiffs are entitled to an injunction. More than 19 months have passed since they were last subject to an attendance limit, and the Governor has not suggested that another is likely. A legal conclusion that a rescinded order violated the Constitution would not entitle anyone to an injunction. So we held in Cassell v. Snyders, 990 F.3d 539 (7th Cir. 2021), about the very subject now before us - whether churches are entitled to an injunction forbidding the Governor of Illinois to reinstate the sort of capacity limit that was in force for about ten weeks ending in spring 2020. In addition to stressing that an injunction is a discretionary remedy, which new developments may make unnecessary (if not imprudent), we observed that the Governor likely will take account of legal developments when issuing any new orders. A federal court ought to give state officials the respect of predicting that they will accept and follow the Supreme Court’s analysis. Just as in Cassell, we hold that the district court did not abuse its discretion in turning down plaintiffs’ request for injunctive relief.

The complaint requests damages, but that prospect does not keep this case alive. The only defendant is the Governor, in his official capacity. Will v. Michigan Department of State Police holds that 42 U.S.C. §1983, on which this suit is based, does not allow awards of damages against states-and that official-capacity suits against state agents are suits against the states themselves. It follows that damages are unavailable.

And if we were to ignore the “official capacity” language that the complaints used to describe Governor Pritzker’s status, the churches still could not obtain damages, because the Governor would be entitled to qualified immunity. Recall that the Governor won on the merits on the first appeal, which makes it impossible to describe as “clearly established” in the spring of 2020 a rule that a capacity limit on religious services during a pandemic violates the Constitution. Roman Catholic Diocese of Brooklyn was not decided until November 25, 2020, six months after the Governor rescinded the order imposing capacity limits on in-person religious events, and Tandon, decided on April 9, 2021, shows that there were (and are) still debatable issues about how public officials may regulate religious gatherings during a pandemic.

If Illinois imposes an objectionable order in response to new developments in the pandemic, the churches may file a new suit. But this suit is over.

“A mug’s game” was a nice touch.

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US Rep. Krishnamoorthi wants Census review of faulty ACS data

Friday, Jan 14, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Here we go again. Capitol News Illinois last month

New estimates from the U.S. Census Bureau suggest Illinois is continuing to lose population.

The latest estimates, released Tuesday, pegged the state’s population at 12,671,469 as of July 1, 2021, down by 113,776, or 0.9 percent, from the official 2020 census. […]

The Census Bureau routinely estimates national, state and county populations each year following a decennial census using a variety of data sources. But those estimates have been off in the past.

In 2019, for example, the Census Bureau estimated that Illinois had lost more than 51,000 people since the 2010 census while the official 2020 census showed the state had lost about only 18,000.

This was from the American Community Survey, which has been wrong about Illinois’ population for a decade. The General Assembly used ACS numbers in its first legislative remap, but that was tossed out by the courts for being woefully unconstitutional. The GA had, by that time, already passed a new map using decennial Census data, and that map was upheld.

* US Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi sits on the Oversight and Reform Committee, which has jurisdiction over the Census Bureau. I chatted with him over the break about the latest ACS numbers and he followed through with a letter to Census Bureau Director Robert Santos this week

January 13, 2022

Director Santos,

In light of the statistical gaps between the 2019 American Community Survey (ACS) and 2020 Census results, I’m writing to ask that you expand the Census Bureau’s review of the 2020 ACS methodology beyond the impact of the coronavirus pandemic to a broader review of modernizing, updating, and improving the ACS to provide data more reflective of reality on the ground and more closely aligned with the decennial census.

As you know, the ACS is crucial for collecting yearly information on the American public to help local governments make policy decisions to best improve communities across the country and to help businesses adequately serve their customers while planning for the future. I know the U.S. Census Bureau is committed to the integrity and accuracy of both the ACS and the decennial Census and had that belief reaffirmed through the agency’s difficult decision last year to delay the release of 2020 ACS data before releasing it in an “experimental form” and announcing plans for a methodological review to ensure that “the resulting data meet our quality standards.”

In the interests of reaffirming that longstanding commitment to data quality, I am writing to request that you extend your agency’s methodological review of the ACS beyond the COVID-19 pandemic-impacted results to the general practices employed in generating the ACS. As you know, your work is vitally important to our country and while perfect data is impossible, even small errors and margins of error can carry enormous consequences, demanding an aggressive, continuous pursuit of improvement.

The impact of ACS data on public understanding and policymaking is significant, and in recent years, the challenges of inconsistencies between those projections and the Census have sown doubt, confusion, and overreaction. For example, over the course of the last decade, my home state of Illinois’ population decline has been a major story, driving a range of policy debates and disagreements based on ACS projections. However, 2020 Census results suggested that those reports of population decline may have been notably overstated.

Last month, your agency again reported that Illinois’ population was in a state of decline, but the experience of the previous ten years of reports followed by the census has led this result to be met with a degree of skepticism and some diminishment of trust in ACS data. While statistical projections carry the inevitable margins of error and those populations also vary substantially month to month and year to year across the country, your agency’s data is essential to the function of our democracy and economy and so is public trust in that data.

A new methodological review that can address potential shortcomings in general ACS function, analysis, and collection would not only strengthen the quality of ACS data but also highlight areas of need or investment by which Congress can help the Census Bureau meet the data needs of this century. In this interest, I request that the U.S. Census Bureau conduct such a review beyond the scope of the challenges of this pandemic while highlighting avenues through which the agency can improve, and Congress can help it improve, to ensure Americans have access to the highest quality data about our nation.

  14 Comments      


*** UPDATED x1 *** Campaign notebook: Irvin; Frerichs; Griffin; Rush

Friday, Jan 14, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Paris Schutz at WTTW

The Republican gubernatorial primary field is about to get a new entrant who could potentially have hundreds of millions of dollars in campaign cash to spend.

Multiple sources tell WTTW News that Aurora Mayor Richard Irvin is currently planning to announce his candidacy for governor on Jan. 17, Martin Luther King Jr. Day. According to previous media reports, Irvin could have the financial backing of the state’s wealthiest resident, Citadel founder and CEO Ken Griffin.

Griffin, who has not publically confirmed his chosen candidate, previously said he would “go all in” on financing someone who could defeat the incumbent Democratic governor, adding that he believes Pritzker “doesn’t deserve to be governor of our state.” Griffin has been particularly critical of Pritzker’s handling of rising crime numbers in Chicago and throughout Illinois.

Although a spokesperson for Irvin did not respond to multiple requests for comment, sources say the current plan has the Aurora mayor announcing his candidacy alongside state Rep. Avery Bourne (R-Morrisonville) for lieutenant governor. Bourne did not return a request for comment.

…Adding… Paris just updated his story with this revelation about Pat Brady and Gary Rabine

Former Illinois Republican Party Chairman Pat Brady said a slate venture is a “very risky strategy.”

“It’s very odd for a group to try and present a slate. Republicans don’t do slates, and Republican activists don’t like being told what to do or who to vote for,” Brady said.

Brady is an informal adviser to another Republican candidate for governor, businessman Gary Rabine.

So, Rabine is being advised by a never-Trumper? Interesting.

* It seems doubtful that the legislature will ultimately be in session that day, but, yeah, this was a mistake…


* More from Mark…


* Politico

Retiring Rep. Bobby Rush has endorsed Karin Norington-Reaves in the Dem primary for his House seat: “Rush and Norington-Reaves first met in 2014, after a local teacher, Betty Howard, was killed by ‘random gunfire’ in Chatham, her campaign said. Norington-Reaves worked with Rush in establishing the Chatham Education and Workforce Center,” by Sun-Times’ Lynn Sweet. […]

State Sen. Jacqueline Collins has officially joined the race. “I have a record of activism and legislative accomplishments that most mirror the 1st Congressional District’s progressive profile of civic engagement,” she told Playbook in a text.

But, but, but… Along with gathering signatures for the IL-01 seat, Collins will also pass out petitions for the state Senate seat she holds. She told Playbook she’d have “a formal announcement in the near future” about which contest she’ll ultimately pursue in the primary.

State Sen. Robert Peters, who considered running for Rush’s seat, is running for reelection instead. “I really didn’t want to risk it to go to D.C. right now, where there’s a risk of being in the minority party,” he said,” he told Hyde Park Herald’s Aaron Gettinger

*** UPDATE *** From the Kane County Democrats…

Following the news that Aurora Mayor Richard Irvin plans to run as a Republican for governor with the backing of billionaire Ken Griffin and Bruce Rauner’s campaign team, local Aurora leaders are expressing their disappointment in the mayor and standing firmly behind Governor JB Prtizker.

“As a lifelong resident of Aurora, I’ve experienced some of the highest highs and lowest lows right here in our city,” said Casey Cuevas, a 40-year-resident of Aurora who was appointed by Irvin to serve on the City of Aurora Hispanic Heritage Advisory Board. “I appreciate Governor Pritzker’s support and commitment to our people. I remember what Aurora was like when Bruce Rauner was governor. I cannot support Mayor Irvin’s bid for our state’s highest office, particularly if he is financed by the very folks that brought us some of the worst days in Illinois history.”

“Bruce Rauner disinvested in, and overlooked Aurora,” said Brooke Shanley, a local Spanish teacher and vice chair of her teacher’s union.“Social services were cut and our most vulnerable neighbors were left with nowhere to turn. To align yourself with the people that brought our communities that much hurt is contrary to everything I believe in. I am disappointed in Mayor Irvin’s decision and will support Governor Prtizker next fall.”

“JB’s leadership has been invaluable for Aurora,” said Regina Brent, lifelong activist and founder and president of Unity Partnership. “I am proud to support the governor in his bid for reelection and reject any candidate, like Richard Irvin, who would seek to drag Illinois backwards. Republicans have shown us their true priorities for Illinois and we cannot allow them to enact their anti-choice, anti-worker, anti-science agenda.”

“I’m disappointed to see Mayor Irvin compromising his values for a blank check from Ken Griffin,” said Gautam Bhatia, who was appointed by Irvin to serve on the Indian American Outreach Advisory Board and served on the Aurora Planning and Zoning Commission during Irvin’s tenure. “I vividly remember the pain of the Rauner years, and a real leader would denounce anyone who supported his time in office, not cozy up to them.”

“My community remembers the destruction and devastation Bruce Rauner’s administration left us in,” said Eddie Bedford, Naperville Township Supervisor. “We cannot afford to go backwards like that again, and I cannot support any candidate who aligns themself with budget stalemates and painful cuts to critical services.”

The Aurora community has made clear they do not want to see Bruce Rauner and Ken Griffin’s leadership return to Springfield.

* More…

* Aurora Mayor Richard Irvin to announce run for governor Monday, sources say: According to multiple sources, Griffin picked Irvin, a moderate in his second term as mayor of the state’s second largest city. Griffin also wants downstate conservative Republican state representative Avery Bourne to be Irvin’s running mate, the sources said. She did not return calls seeking comment. Griffin spent more than $50 million of his own money to defeat Pritzker’s progressive income tax referendum, and pledged earlier this year to do whatever it takes to defeat the governor in the next election.

* Pritzker, Stratton kick off ballot petitioning with Chicago supporters: Illinois Governor JB Pritzker visited a CTA Red Line stop on Chicago’s South Side Thursday morning to collect signatures. His running mate, Lieutenant Governor Juliana Stratton, and supporters were also at his side at the 95th/Dan Ryan stop collecting petition signatures to get Democrats on the ballot.

* Republican Steve Kim launches bid for Illinois attorney general, vowing to battle crime, corruption, Pritzker and Madigan: Launching his campaign on the first day candidates can start gathering signatures for nominating petitions, Kim became the third Republican in as many days to announce a run for statewide office in the June primary. Like the other two, he made former House speaker Mike Madigan a chief campaign target. … Democrats too have raised a name repeatedly, and it’s that of billionaire hedge fund founder Ken Griffin, who is widely believed to be building a slate of Republican candidates that Democrats say includes Demmer, Teresi and former U.S. Attorney John Milhiser, who is running for Illinois secretary of state.

* Steve Kim tries again as GOP attorney general candidate; US Rep. Bobby Rush endorses Karin Norington-Reaves as his successor: Kim is the latest addition to a slate of Republican candidates being assembled to try to gain the backing of Ken Griffin, founder and CEO of Citadel and the state’s wealthiest man, who has vowed to go “all in” to defeat first-term Democratic Gov. J.B. Pritzker. Griffin’s office has had no comment on the slate’s formation.

* GOP candidate for Illinois AG hits law and order as his big theme: With Kim announcing for AG—following state Rep. Tom Demmer for treasurer, McHenry County Auditor Shannon Teresi for comptroller and ex-prosecutor John Milhiser for secretary of state—Republicans are awaiting only the official word that Aurora Mayor Richard Irvin is running for governor to complete a slate that is expected to get huge financial backing from Chicago hedge-fund mogul Ken Griffin.

* Press release: Former Illinois Lieutenant Governor Evelyn Sanguinetti has officially launched her campaign for DuPage County Clerk. Evelyn’s professional background as an attorney, Human Rights Activist, Assistant Attorney General, Wheaton City Councilwoman and Illinois Lieutenant Governor gives her the experience needed to effectively run the Clerk’s Office. Evelyn’s bipartisan track record makes her the ideal candidate to lead the Clerk’s Office and safeguard DuPage County’s elections.

* Subcircuits simply wrong and unjustified

* Jim Dey: Can indicted officials tap campaign funds to pay lawyers?: “Allegations of misconduct in the discharge of an officeholder’s official duties would not exist independent of the individual’s status as an elected official,” wrote appellate Justice Thomas Hoffman.

* ‘Mancow’ Muller Running For Illinois Governor, Vows More Freedoms: Muller said he is yet to officially file paperwork to get his name on the ballot and understands the process of making himself a viable candidate. Muller said Thursday night he has not spent “one penny” on his efforts to run and declined to specify how he will fund his campaign until the necessary paperwork is filed.

  71 Comments      


Chicago-based violence interruption program appears to be working in St. Louis

Friday, Jan 14, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

* St. Louis had the highest per capital murder rate in the country in 2019. So, this is good news

St. Louis Mayor Tishaura Jones is crediting an intervention program known as Cure Violence for helping to reduce the city’s homicides by more than 25% in 2021.

“We all want to feel safe in our neighborhoods,” Jones said Thursday at a press conference trumpeting the program. “The Missouri Legislature prevents our city from making common-sense gun laws. So we have to look at other tools at our disposal to prevent violent crime.”

Despite the big drop, at least 195 people were still killed in the city, a number that Jones acknowledged is unacceptable.

“Cure Violence isn’t a silver bullet. It was never built to be a silver bullet,” she said. “But it is one piece of a larger holistic strategy.”

The Chicago-based program trains people who live in areas with high crime rates to intervene in conflicts. The goal is to prevent disagreements from escalating to violent crime, and to provide social services such as job training to neighborhood residents. […]

Overall, homicides were down 26% in the city from 2020 to 2021. In four of the five Cure Violence locations, homicides dropped at a rate higher than the overall decrease: 42% in Hamilton Heights, 70 percent in Wells-Goodfellow, 50% in Walnut Park East and 80% in Walnut Park West.

* Meanwhile, here’s the Tribune

At the end of a year that saw at least 800 homicides in Chicago, Mayor Lori Lightfoot last month wrote to the Cook County chief judge with a request: Judges should immediately stop ordering certain defendants to await trial at home with an electronic-monitoring ankle bracelet.

It would be a sweeping policy change intended to keep violent offenders securely behind bars, albeit with implications for thousands of people who would likely be kept in custody as their cases took months if not years to proceed.

But many of the claims and statistics related in her letter and repeated at a press conference earlier this month are misleading — and some are simply inaccurate, the Tribune has found after examining the cases highlighted by the mayor.

Her letter cites data showing that 15 people were arrested and charged with murder last year while they were on electronic monitoring, commonly known as EM. But in at least five of those cases, the homicides actually occurred before the defendant was on an ankle bracelet, according to the Tribune’s review. And in at least one of the 15 cases, the defendant was not actually charged with murder at all.

There’s more, so go read the rest.

* Related…

* Civic Federation: What the Data Tell us about Bail Reform and Crime in Cook County: Electronic monitoring should not be used as a replacement for high money bond amounts. In current practice, judges across the United States use high dollar amounts as a barrier to a criminal defendant’s pretrial release. In the new cashless system that takes effect in Illinois next year, there may be a potential for overreliance on imposing home electronic monitoring in cases where judges feel reluctant to release a defendant. However, based on the mixed research and lack of evidence of the effectiveness or appropriateness of electronic monitoring programs, electronic monitoring orders should be limited to only those cases that warrant close monitoring. Instead, judges should use other options available, such as pretrial supervision (periodic check-ins with a pretrial officer), which have been linked to more positive outcomes on defendants’ court appearances and not committing new crimes while on release.

  23 Comments      


Open thread

Friday, Jan 14, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Happy Friday (exclamation point)

  32 Comments      


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Friday, Jan 14, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Friday, Jan 14, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

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