Campaign notebook
Friday, Oct 28, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller
* For whatever reason, RCP has moved the Illinois governor’s race from Likely Dem to Lean Dem, with a projection for Dem Hold. The RCP poll list did not include either the Proft or Bailey polls, which had the race tight, but also didn’t include the Civiqs poll, which had it as a blowout.
* Halloween…
* I posted this yesterday…
Tommy Hanson is a rather interesting fellow. Click here for the oppo book.
* Late oppo from the Casten campaign…
Recently uncovered public records indicate that, since Keith Pekau became Mayor in 2017, Orland Park Police have been sent to Pekau’s home over 260 times for “extra watch”, including the day of an armed robbery at the Orland Square Mall.
Taking hours of police time and costing taxpayer resources, these calls are unprecedented in Orland Park history and pull officers away from keeping the rest of their community safe.
“From his self-interested misuse of law enforcement to being investigated for using taxpayer money to enrich himself, Keith Pekau has shown us who he prioritizes as mayor – himself”, said Casten for Congress campaign spokesman Trevor Nyland.
“As voters and constituents grow increasingly concerned about crime and safety, Mayor Pekau wasted police resources to check on him more than 260 times. Meanwhile, Congressman Sean Casten was fighting for local law enforcement in Congress, bringing home millions of dollars in police funding through the American Rescue Plan & sponsoring the Invest to Protect Act, which provides local law enforcement the resources they need to fight crime,” Nyland continued.
* Illinois early vote totals…
* Chicago early vote totals…
The most up-to-date Early Vote and Vote By Mail totals in Chicago, night of Thursday, October 27, 2022.
The Early Vote total stands at 32,657 ballots cast.
Additionally, 49,428 Vote By Mail ballots have been returned to the Board – total VBM applications stands at 198,073.
The grand total is 82,085 ballots cast so far in Chicago for the November 8th General Election.
* Sun-Times…
A federal judge Friday ordered a southern Illinois couple to each spend 14 days in jail for their role in the Jan. 6, 2021, attack on the U.S. Capitol.
U.S. District Senior Judge Thomas Hogan said he would allow Christopher and Tina Logsdon, of Sesser, to serve their sentences intermittently, on weekends. He said Tina Logsdon could start serving her time after her husband finished his sentence.
But the judge also put both of them on probation for three years — noting that it would last until after the next presidential election. […]
Tina Logsdon plans to serve as an election judge in November, according to her husband’s letter. She told the judge Friday that she has “no ill will toward any of our government.”
Sure, Jan.
* Isabel’s roundup…
* Facebook’s parent is fined nearly $25M for violating a campaign finance disclosure law: Washington’s transparency law requires ad sellers such as Meta to keep and make public the names and addresses of those who buy political ads, the target of such ads, how the ads were paid for and the total number of views of each ad. Ad sellers must provide the information to anyone who asks for it. Television stations and newspapers have complied with the law for decades. But Meta has repeatedly objected to the requirements, arguing unsuccessfully in court that the law is unconstitutional because it “unduly burdens political speech” and is “virtually impossible to fully comply with.” While Facebook does keep an archive of political ads that run on the platform, the archive does not disclose all the information required under Washington’s law.
* Residents to vote on eight candidates in race for five seats on Kendall County Board in District 2: The Kendall County Board consists of 10 members, with five elected from District 1 and five from District 2 on a partisan basis, with four-year, staggered terms. However, this year all seats are on the ballot, which is required every 10 years by Illinois statute.
* Resumes, hometowns, politics vary more than three secretary of state candidates’ plans for job-rich office: A former banker, an embalmer and a longtime professional wrestler each want your vote to replace the paratrooper-turned-minor league baseball player and teacher who ended up becoming one of the most popular elected officials in Illinois history.
- Ron Burgundy - Friday, Oct 28, 22 @ 2:11 pm:
If there is such a thing as a DINO, Russia-loving Tulsi Gabbard was it.
On the Mayor Pekau thing, 260 police visits to his home puts him in the category of “get over yourself.”
- Ares - Friday, Oct 28, 22 @ 2:12 pm:
Has Mayor Pekau taken a position on US aid to Ukraine? There are at least two rapidly growing Ukrainian churches right by Mayor Pekau’s village which have had an influx of Ukrainian immigrants, accelerating after the Russian invasion. A number of the parishioners have family members fighting the Russians. Will Mayor Pekau support aid, or follow Kevin McCarthy’s goal (as potential Speaker) to stop the aid and weapons? Is Mayor Pekau opposed to taking in the Ukrainian immigrants? That would be of much greater interest than Mayor Pekau’s views on the SAFE-T Act or States Atty Foxx, as Ukrainian aid is within the purview of a Member of Congress.
- Oswego Willy - Friday, Oct 28, 22 @ 2:14 pm:
===The Kendall County Board consists of 10 members, with five elected from District 1 and five from District 2 on a partisan basis, with four-year, staggered terms.===
It’s very interesting out here in the Hamlet.
It’s not going to be the typical “vote for 5”, there’s quite the spread of candidates and partisan thoughts, it might see Kendall seeing red if blue candidates outshine even the establishment republicans.
- Roadrager - Friday, Oct 28, 22 @ 2:18 pm:
==If there is such a thing as a DINO, Russia-loving Tulsi Gabbard was it.==
She has finally quit the party, a few weeks after she was a fill-in host for Tucker Carlson on Fox News. Doesn’t matter though, as all the worthwhile echo chambers will push “Democratic Senator and presidential candidate endorses Darren Bailey at campaign event,” and the local TV news will make no mention of Gabbard’s words or deeds in their coverage, just her (former) party with an unchecked sound bite.
Mary Ann Ahern’s already been pushing “Is this race getting closer?” all this week.
- Amalia - Friday, Oct 28, 22 @ 2:23 pm:
for some it’s a good story. for women, especially, it would be a horror show for Bailey to win. don’t be complacent.
- Donnie Elgin - Friday, Oct 28, 22 @ 2:31 pm:
“Fullerton CTA station…we are working hard every day to meet new people no matter where they are at.”
Good to see Bailey walk into the lion’s den.
- low level - Friday, Oct 28, 22 @ 2:42 pm:
- Fullerton El stop : Darren Bailey supports CTA funding now?
-Tulsi who? From Hawaii?
- Oswego Willy - Friday, Oct 28, 22 @ 2:42 pm:
===lion’s den===
The guy is living *in* the city… in a landmark building… above a Cheesecake Factory.
That’s embarrassing to think it’s the Lion’s Den… lol
- low level - Friday, Oct 28, 22 @ 2:49 pm:
Wait I thought that was a “hellhole”? Could have fooled me.
- Natty_B - Friday, Oct 28, 22 @ 2:50 pm:
Real Clear Politics is pretty much total right wing now: https://www.nytimes.com/2020/11/17/us/politics/real-clear-politics.html
- Leap Day William - Friday, Oct 28, 22 @ 2:50 pm:
== Good to see Bailey walk into the lion’s den. ==
They have one of those in the Hancock now? I thought they just operated in old Stuckey’s restaurants off the interstate in rural areas…
- Donnie Elgin - Friday, Oct 28, 22 @ 2:57 pm:
“That’s embarrassing to think it’s the Lion’s Den… lol”
43 ward voted 81.3% for Biden - so yeah he’s in enemy territory seeking R votes.
- Independent - Friday, Oct 28, 22 @ 2:57 pm:
Did Bailey ask commuters which train would take him to the Chicago Cracker Barrel?
- Donnie Elgin - Friday, Oct 28, 22 @ 3:01 pm:
“Lions Den… I thought they just operated in old Stuckey’s restaurants off the interstate in rural areas”…
I log many interstate miles. See those signs often. I just fell off my seat laughing - great comment.
- Nick - Friday, Oct 28, 22 @ 3:11 pm:
I’d be shocked if its within ten, but we don’t have to wait long to find out
- Henry Francis - Friday, Oct 28, 22 @ 3:12 pm:
So on the holiday where people put on masks and pretend to be something else in an effort to get treats from their neighbors, that’s the night Tulsi comes to town?
- Dupage parent - Friday, Oct 28, 22 @ 3:28 pm:
What an awful take by the Casten campaign given todays attack on Pelosi.
- Pundent - Friday, Oct 28, 22 @ 3:35 pm:
=What an awful take by the Casten campaign given todays attack on Pelosi.=
Huh? Hard to see how a small town mayor calling on the police 260 times has anything to do with what happened to Nancy Pelosi’s husband. Pekau seems to think that the Orland PD is somehow his private security detail.
- Oswego Willy - Friday, Oct 28, 22 @ 3:36 pm:
===enemy territory===
So those who disagree with you are enemies?
Huh.
- low level - Friday, Oct 28, 22 @ 3:56 pm:
==What an awful take by the Casten campaign given todays attack on Pelosi.==
Somehow I doubt that Keith Pekau gets the same number of threats as the Pelosi’s.
- Anon324 - Friday, Oct 28, 22 @ 4:14 pm:
==What an awful take by the Casten campaign given todays attack on Pelosi.==
Are you comparing the mayor of Orland Park (who very few even in Orland care about based on the last election vote totals) to the Speaker of the USHOR who has been vilified by people like said mayor for the past decade plus as a threat to the country?
From Pekau’s campaign homepage:
“Politicians like…Nancy Pelosi…have put special interests, party politics, and extreme far-left agendas ahead of doing what’s best for the people they’re supposed to represent.”