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Lightfoot is out, Johnson and Vallas head to runoff

Wednesday, Mar 1, 2023 - Posted by Isabel Miller

* Here’s your Chicago election night roundup…

* From the bird app…

       

28 Comments
  1. - Nick - Wednesday, Mar 1, 23 @ 10:34 am:

    Probably the highest contrast runoff combination possible. It’s gonna be an interesting…


  2. - 48th Ward Heel - Wednesday, Mar 1, 23 @ 10:36 am:

    The “lakefront liberals” closer to downtown voted for Rauner in 2014 (against Vallas as LG, natch), so this isn’t exactly new:

    https://www.chicagomag.com/city-life/november-2014/where-bruce-rauner-won-in-chicago/

    ==Yep, Bruce Rauner won the 42nd Ward, which covers Streeterville, River North, the Loop, and parts of the Near West Side. Not by much, but he did it…And he just barely lost the 43rd Ward (which includes Lincoln Park), by a mere 0.7 percent.==


  3. - Oswego Willy - Wednesday, Mar 1, 23 @ 10:37 am:

    Just for openers, and it should be noted.

    Lori Lightfoot’s concession speech was extremely gracious, heartfelt, thoughtful, and “how it’s done” when you lose an election, or in this case, lose an opportunity in a runoff.

    That said,

    So much of the analysis of her tenure, the campaign, her style, her quotes…

    She never governed like Candidate Lightfoot and never sounded like the defeated Mayor Lightfoot.

    Combative stylings in a “small town” like Chicago is worse than junior high, as the anger and enemies pile up against someone far quicker than the effort needed to make friends and build bridges, things necessary in a small town governing.

    That concession speech showed she learned a lesson, it was just too late


  4. - Chumbolone - Wednesday, Mar 1, 23 @ 10:37 am:

    Chuy’s campaign was a joke. loved the shot at Proco Joe Moreno…


  5. - lake county democrat - Wednesday, Mar 1, 23 @ 10:37 am:

    It’d be funny if the anti-Lightfoot Vallas crowd wound up with Johnson as mayor, but I think it’s more likely the reverse: “Lakefront Liberals” turn out not to be Lakefront DSA’ers and a good chunk of Chuy voters don’t opt for Johnson (either voting for Vallas or staying home).


  6. - The Truth - Wednesday, Mar 1, 23 @ 10:37 am:

    I do fear this’ll be much nastier than the Governor’s race, attack ad-wise. Surrogates are going to make this straight-up racial in nature, if not the campaigns themselves hinting at it. Congratulations on being mostly-spared by the ads, downstaters.


  7. - MisterJayEm - Wednesday, Mar 1, 23 @ 10:40 am:

    Ms Cherone’s first tweet reads like a response to Mr. Bowen’s tweet about progressive “bullying.”

    – MrJM


  8. - Amalia - Wednesday, Mar 1, 23 @ 10:41 am:

    “Today is about Vallas getting Wilson on his side and the CTU/progressive world bullying Chuy into supporting Johnson.” Tom Bowen, you know that the progressives who supported Chuy are reading what you said, right? And, yeah, it would be fantastic to have Wilson next to Vallas so they could talk about hunt them down like rabbits and we could all re watch the vid of that San Antonio shooting. jeez.


  9. - Arsenal - Wednesday, Mar 1, 23 @ 10:42 am:

    One interesting dynamic to watch: it’d be very dangerous for Vallas to get pegged as a de facto Republican, and it’s not entirely who he is, anyway. I want to see how he maneuvers around that.


  10. - Early voter - Wednesday, Mar 1, 23 @ 10:46 am:

    “Racial in nature”? Brandon Johnson’s strong showing is due to white voters. Those voters aren’t going to abandon him because they didn’t realize they were voting for a Black man.


  11. - Hot Taeks - Wednesday, Mar 1, 23 @ 10:49 am:

    I think its time to prepare for a Mayor Vallas. He’s in pole position right now.

    I think the campaign to call him a Republican is dumb and hasn’t worked. Brandon Johnson has tacked to the right by becoming a liberal saying Paul Vallas supported January 6th. That is possibly the dumbest attack line ever.


  12. - Oswego Willy - Wednesday, Mar 1, 23 @ 10:54 am:

    ===prepare for a Mayor Vallas===

    65+% didn’t chose Vallas

    Vallas has some work to do, how low Vallas’ ceiling will be is the biggest question to building to 50% +1

    I’m preparing to be inundated with divisive campaigning while in same breaths “reaching across” to build.


  13. - Arsenal - Wednesday, Mar 1, 23 @ 11:01 am:

    ==I think the campaign to call him a Republican is dumb and hasn’t worked.==

    Has it not?

    ==Brandon Johnson has tacked to the right by becoming a liberal==

    Do what now?

    ==a liberal saying Paul Vallas supported January 6th==

    Is that the definition of “liberal”?

    ==That is possibly the dumbest attack line ever.==

    Is it? The November results indicate that Trump-ist election denial is a very risky position.


  14. - Donnie Elgin - Wednesday, Mar 1, 23 @ 11:05 am:

    Brandon Johnson won the battle but may lose the war. What got him to the run-off will work against him in a one-on-one. Brandon Johnson as cook county commissioner was the sponsor of a resolution. That would defund the police …
    “shall redirect money from the failed and racist systems of policing, criminalization, and incarceration that have not kept our communities safe, and will instead invest that money in public services not administered by law.”

    His self-proclaimed “Investor in Chief” role as a future mayor would be funded by some very unpopular revenue sources. Including a big business head tax, a mansion tax, a jet fuel tax, and the big banks securities and speculation tax.

    Look for some series spend by Vallas on these


  15. - Grandson of Man - Wednesday, Mar 1, 23 @ 11:06 am:

    The way Vallas is handling his Twitter account’s racist and homophobic likes should a real problem. His staffers did it, then he was hacked. But somehow he wound up as guest speaker for Awake, where he openly encouraged their leader to run for high public office in Illinois. He gives the appearance of a terrible liar.


  16. - Benjamin - Wednesday, Mar 1, 23 @ 11:10 am:

    Yeah, I think OW is right: Vallas has a high floor but a low ceiling. I think a lot of people settled on voting for Johnson becasue they absolutely didn’t want a runoff between Vallas and Lightfoot, and he seemed like the strongest alternative.

    I have trouble imagining any of the runners up endorsing Vallas (except perhaps Wilson). Johnson’s path to 50% is longer, but it’s probably the easier one.


  17. - Oswego Willy - Wednesday, Mar 1, 23 @ 11:14 am:

    If the battle is… “Defund the Police” vs. “FOP Favorite”… that’s an outcome that can’t be measured, yet.

    Will Catanzara be an issue?

    I dunno. It’s hours after the primary.

    (Tips cap to - Benjamin -)


  18. - Amalia - Wednesday, Mar 1, 23 @ 11:14 am:

    sights seen…and heard…last night. the tv said that at Vallas’ election night event, Former SA Anita Alvarez and former Chi police chief Garry McCarthy. Seen on the tv behind Brandon Johnson Alder Matt Martin of N. Side 47th Ward and Alder Pat Dowell S. Side 3rd Ward. Interesting.


  19. - Arsenal - Wednesday, Mar 1, 23 @ 11:16 am:

    == What got him to the run-off will work against him in a one-on-one.==

    Eh, same thing for Vallas, though. Appealling to the conservatives is a great strategy to get 1/3 of the vote, which is all he needed, but it’s a lot harder to get to 50%+1. The questions are who can pivot from where they’re at now, who can force their opponent to fail to pivot, and who can vote their plusses in April.


  20. - Arsenal - Wednesday, Mar 1, 23 @ 11:18 am:

    ==I have trouble imagining any of the runners up endorsing Vallas (except perhaps Wilson)==

    And given the racial dynamics of the runoff, Wilson’s endorsement hardly guarantees all of his votes.


  21. - MisterJayEm - Wednesday, Mar 1, 23 @ 11:29 am:

    Fun fact: The historical average temperature for April 4 is nearly identical to yesterday’s weather, i.e. Sunny and 54°

    – MrJM


  22. - Chicagonk - Wednesday, Mar 1, 23 @ 11:36 am:

    If Brandon Johnson wins, he would likely be the most liberal big city mayor ever elected (help me if I’m missing someone obvious). He made a definite political misstep with his initial tax plan (looking at the map, a lot of his base would get hit by the 3.5% tax for incomes over $100K - and yes I know that he walked that back, but you don’t get redos in politics).


  23. - Rudy’s teeth - Wednesday, Mar 1, 23 @ 11:39 am:

    Time for Darren Bailey to keep Chicago out of his mouth. During his failed campaign for governor, Bailey labeled the city a hellhole and disparaged the city at every opportunity.

    Now that the election for mayor is in the forefront, Bailey grabs coattails and offers commentary on the race for mayor. Anything to stay relevant and speak into a microphone. No one cares what Bailey has to say about the election. Time to go away.


  24. - MisterJayEm - Wednesday, Mar 1, 23 @ 11:44 am:

    “If Brandon Johnson wins, he would likely be the most liberal big city mayor ever elected (help me if I’m missing someone obvious)”

    Johnson would need to dethrone Boston’s Michelle Wu.

    – MrJM


  25. - Responsa - Wednesday, Mar 1, 23 @ 11:45 am:

    Don’t many of you think that LL is secretly relieved that this is over and that she is completely OK with the outcome? I certainly do. She has not been having a good time as mayor and her demeanor and frequent mistakes and mis-steps reflected that.


  26. - Suburban Mom - Wednesday, Mar 1, 23 @ 12:09 pm:

    I’m so depressed that you guys were right about Paul Vallas leading.

    (Not that I didn’t believe you. Just that it’s depressing.)


  27. - Keyrock - Wednesday, Mar 1, 23 @ 12:35 pm:

    This has the potential to be one of the most negative campaigns we’ve seen around here in a while.


  28. - Pundent - Wednesday, Mar 1, 23 @ 1:51 pm:

    I wouldn’t redeem any winning tickets yet. Roughly 65% of the voters cast votes for somebody other than Paul Vallas and roughly 80% for someone other than Brandon Johnson. Claiming that either individual holds an advantage based on those numbers is pure speculation. And if we compare “the field” to the remaining candidates we could conclude that their political leanings are closer to Johnson’s than those of Vallas.


Sorry, comments for this post are now closed.


* Reader comments closed for the weekend
* Isabel’s afternoon roundup
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