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Rising electricity costs starting to dominate campaigns
Monday, Dec 1, 2025 - Posted by Rich Miller
* AP…
* Illinois’ electricity costs have also been rising fast, and were a major component of the recent energy omnibus bill…
* Illinois has a strong subsidy program for data centers, which is backed by powerful construction unions. Worker demand is pushing wages up, but a massive labor shortage is growing. Wall St. Journal…
* Gov. Pritzker has long been a strong supporter of the subsidy program. From last year…
* But the future looks dicey. The Economist…
* The country got a taste of how reliant business has become on centralized data centers when a key Aurora center went down. Crain’s…
* Related… * Endeavour Energy, behind proposed 560-acre DeKalb data center, won’t use water to cool servers, plans show: According to the city, Edged has proposed a data center build that uses air instead of water to cool its servers. Natural gas instead of diesel would fuel the generators that spin and create electrical energy to run the operation, according to the project proposal. * Potential data center in Illinois village raises local concerns: At the meeting, residents fear their local infrastructure cannot support a large industrial facility. “We are in a very dry area in terms of the groundwater,” Raney said. She noted that when a fire broke out at the High Point Golf Course, land later acquired by Constellation, crews had to haul water from multiple towns. “They actually had to drive to get water from like 10 other municipalities near us because we do not have the fire hydrant system,” she said. * Opinion: Illinois consumers can’t foot the bill for runaway data-center demand: While there’s a lot we can do here in Illinois to protect consumers from data center costs, we can’t do it alone. PJM — a little-known organization that has a tremendous impact on how affordable and clean electricity is for 67 million customers across 13 states — has been struggling to manage runaway data center energy demand. Current PJM policy socializes the costs of those centers across all customers, which means everyday consumers — you and me — are paying big electric bills to cover the wealthiest companies in the world. At a recent media briefing hosted by the Citizens Utility Board, representatives from the Natural Resources Defense Council warned that if nothing is done to manage the estimated 30 gigawatts of data centers seeking to connect to the grid, the PJM region could face rolling blackouts and bill spikes averaging $70 a month. … Although no plan gained decisive support, an advisory vote from members produced striking results: The comprehensive proposal that won the most votes called for the toughest standards. That plan — from the Independent Market Monitor — took a wise “Bring Your Own Generation” approach that would prohibit data centers from connecting to the grid until they brought their own new electricity resources to power their facilities. * AI data centers’ massive demand for aluminum is crushing the US aluminum industry: But data centers guzzle enormous amounts of power, and electricity prices are skyrocketing. In the US alone, electricity demand is expected to grow five to 10 times faster over the next 10 years than it did in the previous decade, per Bank of America. For aluminum smelters, this is a problem. Producing aluminum is incredibly energy-intensive, and without cheap power, those smelters can’t operate. * Flood of AI Bonds Adds to Pressure on Markets: Companies were able to complete their sales. But some had to pay unexpectedly high interest rates. Prices of bonds from the companies have also been sliding—a sign that investors were caught off guard by the sheer quantity of bonds entering the market and of growing concern about the worsening credit metrics of the businesses. Stock investors, already nervous about the sky-high valuations of AI businesses, have taken note of the weakness in the bond market. Meanwhile, the cost of insuring those bonds using credit-default swaps also has climbed, with negative sentiments from different groups of investors feeding into each other. * Trump’s push for more AI data centers faces backlash from his own voters: Political leaders across the U.S. are urging a rapid expansion of data-center capacity and new power production to keep the country competitive in AI. Trump, a Republican, is promoting the build-out as an economic and national security priority and has directed his administration to bypass environmental rules and permitting that give local communities a voice. In Pennsylvania, Democratic Governor Josh Shapiro and Republican Senator Dave McCormick are courting developers with incentives and infrastructure upgrades to attract investment in the fast-growing industry. * Critics scoff after Microsoft warns AI feature can infect machines and pilfer data: Microsoft’s warning on Tuesday that an experimental AI agent integrated into Windows can infect devices and pilfer sensitive user data has set off a familiar response from security-minded critics: Why is Big Tech so intent on pushing new features before their dangerous behaviors can be fully understood and contained? … Both flaws can be exploited in attacks that exfiltrate sensitive data, run malicious code, and steal cryptocurrency. So far, these vulnerabilities have proved impossible for developers to prevent and, in many cases, can only be fixed using bug-specific workarounds developed once a vulnerability has been discovered. * Health care AI will generate real value in 2026: West Monroe: A multisite survey of physicians revealed lower rates of self-reported clinician burnout and less after-hour documentation. A second study of a UChicago Medicine pilot compared ambient AI scribe users to a “look-alike” group of non-users. That study found clinicians using the ambient clinical documentation tool spent 8.5% less total time in the electronic health records, with more than 15% less time spent composing notes.
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- Sue - Monday, Dec 1, 25 @ 12:16 pm:
JB claiming any ground on electric rates is humorous- his admin has stood in the way of numerous efforts to expand both new generation facilities and nuclear power in general- only recently as the issue of capacity and rates have become urgent has he relaxed his opposition- you can’t placate the environmentalist crazies while also promoting added capacity and its kind of late to now focus attention- one of the reasons Amazon is investing in our neighboring states as is Microsoft is both Indiana and WI are leaps ahead of Illinois on energy
- Excitable Boy - Monday, Dec 1, 25 @ 12:44 pm:
- both Indiana and WI are leaps ahead of Illinois on energy -
Illinois is one of the top 3 electricity producing states. Our neighbors are all middle of the pack.
Once again you have no idea what you are talking about.
https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=64104
- Think again - Monday, Dec 1, 25 @ 12:56 pm:
Pritzker’s 2022 CEJA bill may have been good politically at the time. But with the data center boon, the brick that the bill puts on anything but “green” power and SMRs will really keep IL from generating new capacity.
- Notorious JMB - Monday, Dec 1, 25 @ 12:57 pm:
Data center are certainly necessary infrastructure for the 21st century but they are also a major resource suck and we need to have the infrastructure to support them. They use more water than the entire population of some Illinois counties as well as a lot of electricity. We have incentivized wind and solar production to transition from coal and natural gas. The problem though according to the engineers that I work with/talk to is that wind/solar can only account for about 1/3 of your production to provide a reliable baseload and that the battery storage technology doesn’t exist to make up the difference for when the sun isn’t shining and the wing isn’t blowing. I think the recent incentivization of nuclear is a step in the right direction. Just have to address the understandable NIMBYs and waste storage issues and hope the power chickens don’t come home to roost beforehand.
- Excitable Boy - Monday, Dec 1, 25 @ 1:04 pm:
- To make those investments worthwhile, they will need on the order of $650bn a year in AI revenues, according to JPMorgan Chase, a bank, up from about $50bn a year today. -
These companies do not have a plan to make this happen, and it’s unclear if those figures are even enough. One problem is they don’t seem to be able to predict how much computing power different users are going to take up. In one case a $250/month business subscriber was costing $15,000 in computing power.
There are many other examples but long story short I believe there is an AI bubble and it could burst far sooner than most expect.
- TheInvisibleMan - Monday, Dec 1, 25 @ 1:09 pm:
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Data centers don’t employ many workers once they are actually built.
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That’s an understatement.
Years ago, when visiting the Equinix data center downtown to rotate backup tapes once a month there were at best four employees in the hundreds of thousands of square foot worth of data center. Two security guards at the check in, and two ‘remote hands’ employees to perform simple requests like physically power cycling a remote customers equipment on request.
I can’t think of anything with a lower employment to square foot ratio.
- Cool Papa Bell - Monday, Dec 1, 25 @ 1:22 pm:
=During construction, though, they are a hive of workers=
The amount of work and money to be made by union electricians in the northern part of the state is almost limitless right now. A family member will work the boom and then retire a much more wealthy individual because of data centers.
But it’s always the economy. And now its prices in that economy. Win the conversation on the price of things and a party can dominate the upcoming election cycle.
- Friendly Bob Adams - Monday, Dec 1, 25 @ 1:43 pm:
Electricity prices are perhaps second to grocery prices in terms of customer concerns. You are paying much more and getting nothing extra for your trouble.
Knowing that the primary reason is supporting vast corporate interests further angers people.
- Sue - Monday, Dec 1, 25 @ 2:07 pm:
Exciteable- everyone else here seems to disagree
- Excitable Boy - Monday, Dec 1, 25 @ 2:33 pm:
- everyone else here seems to disagree -
Define everyone.
- Chicagonk - Monday, Dec 1, 25 @ 2:58 pm:
Pritzker should put pressure on other states in MISO and PJM to repeal Right of First Refusal laws in building transmission lines. Also focus on batteries paired with renewables - Support those industries and then require data centers to bring their own renewable power.
- ArchPundit - Monday, Dec 1, 25 @ 3:05 pm:
===battery storage technology doesn’t exist to make up the difference for when the sun isn’t shining and the wing isn’t blowing
This is quickly becoming not true. We look to hit at least 50GW storage nationally this year and that may well double next year. On top of that Sodium based batteries which are good for grid applications only are coming by 2030. It would be wise to look at nuclear, but it cannot be on the old model of utilities building and blowing through cost estimates as even the new Georgia plant is doing.
–I believe there is an AI bubble and it could burst far sooner than most expect.
Oh, it’s happening. It’s going to hurt an already stagnant economy.
I would expect the Chinese models and those not affiliated with the large tech companies to be far more efficient as well. Sam Altman tried to brute force AI instead of following the research. We’ll still need more data centers, but not on the scale that big tech in the US is trying to force through.
It’s also why the focus on quantum computing is a smarter long-term bet for making those models work.
- OneMan - Monday, Dec 1, 25 @ 3:12 pm:
TBH, Excitable Boy has a point.
No one knows how AI will play out in the medium or even long term. There has been real progress in models that use less energy (in part by using less powerful processors and more energy-efficient chips out of necessity). Over time, the incentives to use less power will only grow. Some systems will need significant compute power for specific applications and uses, but at some point, many of the things using AI will be ‘good enough,’ and the current need for speed and improved models will taper off. There are plenty of folks saying they are going to spend big money, but entities talk big about capital investment plans all the time, which don’t always come to fruition. There have already been some supply chain issues with components, and these may get worse before they get better.
Over time, fewer folks are going to want one of these data centers in their back yards, and the first time it becomes public that part of the grid had to go down so Facebook could keep computing how to show you better stuff to make you angry, the backlash is going to get worse.
There will also be incentives to figure out how to design your data centers with lower grid impact. Data centers next to landfills using the methane to generate electricity, anyone?
There are plenty of people working on how to make this stuff less dependent on the grid, either by using off-grid/private power and/or models and hardware that require less energy.
If anyone tells you they know how this is going to play out, at least IMHO, they are guessing.
https://www.nbcnews.com/tech/innovation/silicon-valley-building-free-chinese-ai-rcna242430
- Mason County - Monday, Dec 1, 25 @ 3:30 pm:
Targeting AI or super computing centers is not going to solve the overall issue. It might have an effect in certain areas where those centers are- not an expert so I don’t really know.
=In New Jersey, Governor-elect Mikie Sherrill promised to declare a state of emergency on utility costs and freeze rates.= OK , maybe for a few months but otherwise this is mere political grandstanding.
More energy has to be produced and at an effective cost. This is where are politicians need to work together with experts in the field. Making this a partisan political hot potato will work for a while but when no solutions to controls costs are seen that will get old to all but the most partisan of voters.
Too often Republicans back whatever industry wants. But Democrats do not have a particularly stellar record in controlling costs on much of anything.
- Think again - Monday, Dec 1, 25 @ 3:48 pm:
=battery storage=
Hard to overcome round-trip efficiency of 80% - or in other words, storage systems drop 20% of their energy before any actual electrical use by customers.
- RNUG - Monday, Dec 1, 25 @ 5:44 pm:
I was in the data center business for almost 40 years. Assuming the data centers are properly designed with both backup power sources and backup cooling systems, they will require 24/7/365 staffing by building engineers and electricians. Those are high paying jobs. And that is on top of any required security and general operations staff.
Yes, they don’t have the job density per square foot that manufacturing or warehouses do, but you can expect there are more people physically on site than you might expect. Even with all the advances in computer automation and remote operation, it still takes x number of people to run a data center. Yes, there are economies of scale, but proper operation requires you have excess human presence in order to cover multiple failures. There will be more people than you might think hiding in unseen offices.
Speaking of the power consumption and possible grid shortages, the centers I worked with had their own backup sources … and were on the list of places that the power plants could shed if necessary to ensure service to everyone else. I don’t know if it is still true today, but at the time I was involved the biggest site typically had capacity to run 10 - 14 days without outside power. During that same period, a number of other services deemed critical, like hospitals and LE/EMS dispatching centers, also had their own backup generating capability.
From my perspective, the biggest question is will all these new data centers be properly designed (which costs lots of dollars) or will they be rushed builds without sufficient contingency planning?
- Excitable Boy - Monday, Dec 1, 25 @ 7:39 pm:
- will all these new data centers be properly designed -
I’m somewhat involved in a couple of these and the answer is no. Construction is moving forward well before design is anywhere near complete.
- Michael McLean - Tuesday, Dec 2, 25 @ 12:15 am:
If we can’t figure out how to power data centers, how will we power electrified heat and transportation for our homes and businesses? At scale, those will dwarf data centers demand. We should use this as an opportunity to enable rapid scaling of energy infrastructure