I can finally stop answering my Pro-Raja friends who keep telling me, “nice Julianna ads…or wait.” Prediction: by Valentine’s Day she’ll be in the lead in this race.
There are still so many undecides and Raja has not yet moved the needle on them. Stratton has a window, but only if her team is thinking outside of the box on messaging. The “I’ll fight Trump” message can only get you so far.
=Prediction: by Valentine’s Day she’ll be in the lead in this race.=
That must be one heck of an ad she’s planning on running. I suppose better late than never. Julianna’s got a big hole to dig herself out of and not a lot of time to do it.
On the air since the summer…and barely moved in the polls.
- very old soil - Wednesday, Jan 14, 26 @ 4:56 pm:
Been on the air since summer and I saw my first ad this week.
- Downstate Dem - Wednesday, Jan 14, 26 @ 5:06 pm:
==On the air since the summer…and barely moved in the polls.==
I’d take high-30s to low-40s in a 3-way race with two months to go. Stratton has a lot of catching up to do, even after 7 years as LG. This might be too little, too late.
Julia Who- anyone ever look at Stratton’s X efforts?- she typically has fewer then 10 comments- just think- she could have stayed on at Lt Gov- a year from now she may be like Lightfoot struggling to pay her Visa bill
An ad buy is good, better late than never. Even better still would be having a serious, unabashedly progressive populist candidate running in this race. I remain puzzled as to why Stratton hasn’t stepped into that lane.
- Dotnonymous x - Wednesday, Jan 14, 26 @ 7:13 pm:
Polling shows Raja with a 21 pt lead on Stratton and 23 pt on Kelly. Absent Kelly dropping out it’s hard to see Stratton narrowing the gap. And even with the number of undecideds, if the polls are right, she’d need about 2/3rd of those voters to pull it off. Something dramatic is going to need to happen to tip the scales in Stratton’s favor. Because up until now her campaign has been lackluster at best.
Nothing says independent voice like running your campaign so poorly that outside groups have to come in and run a “uncoordinated” campaign on your behalf.
===I’d take high-30s to low-40s in a 3-way race with two months to go===
Sure. But if you’d already spent $16 million and undecideds were still way in the lead, I’d be more than a bit concerned that voters were looking for someone else.
- Downstate Dem - Wednesday, Jan 14, 26 @ 11:36 pm:
=== undecideds were still way in the lead, I’d be more than a bit concerned that voters were looking for someone else. ===
Look at undecideds in your final poll in the ‘18 Gov race, Rich. How much did JB spend and how did that race end up? You know as well as anyone undecideds end up splitting multiple ways or staying home. Not swinging wildly in one direction.
March 2018…
JB 35%
Kennedy 16%
Biss 15%
Undecided 31%
===Look at undecideds in your final poll in the ‘18 Gov race, Rich===
Dummy, the undecideds were lower than JB’s numbers. In this US Senate race, they’re much higher than Raja’s. Also, JB had a whole lot more money than Raja has now. Raja’s cash is finite. Pritzker’s was not. And is not.
You ain’t gonna school me on this stuff, so don’t even try.
- New Day - Wednesday, Jan 14, 26 @ 4:07 pm:
I can finally stop answering my Pro-Raja friends who keep telling me, “nice Julianna ads…or wait.” Prediction: by Valentine’s Day she’ll be in the lead in this race.
- NIU Grad - Wednesday, Jan 14, 26 @ 4:31 pm:
There are still so many undecides and Raja has not yet moved the needle on them. Stratton has a window, but only if her team is thinking outside of the box on messaging. The “I’ll fight Trump” message can only get you so far.
- Pundent - Wednesday, Jan 14, 26 @ 4:40 pm:
=Prediction: by Valentine’s Day she’ll be in the lead in this race.=
That must be one heck of an ad she’s planning on running. I suppose better late than never. Julianna’s got a big hole to dig herself out of and not a lot of time to do it.
- Mike - Wednesday, Jan 14, 26 @ 4:44 pm:
It looks like the JB bucks are starting to come in, but it may be a tough uphill climb since Raja has been on the air since the summer.
- West Sider - Wednesday, Jan 14, 26 @ 4:52 pm:
On the air since the summer…and barely moved in the polls.
- very old soil - Wednesday, Jan 14, 26 @ 4:56 pm:
Been on the air since summer and I saw my first ad this week.
- Downstate Dem - Wednesday, Jan 14, 26 @ 5:06 pm:
==On the air since the summer…and barely moved in the polls.==
I’d take high-30s to low-40s in a 3-way race with two months to go. Stratton has a lot of catching up to do, even after 7 years as LG. This might be too little, too late.
- Been There - Wednesday, Jan 14, 26 @ 5:37 pm:
==== Been on the air since summer and I saw my first ad this week.====
We must watch totally different TV stations. I have seen at least 50.
- Sue - Wednesday, Jan 14, 26 @ 5:40 pm:
Julia Who- anyone ever look at Stratton’s X efforts?- she typically has fewer then 10 comments- just think- she could have stayed on at Lt Gov- a year from now she may be like Lightfoot struggling to pay her Visa bill
- I-55 Fanatic - Wednesday, Jan 14, 26 @ 5:53 pm:
An ad buy is good, better late than never. Even better still would be having a serious, unabashedly progressive populist candidate running in this race. I remain puzzled as to why Stratton hasn’t stepped into that lane.
- Dotnonymous x - Wednesday, Jan 14, 26 @ 7:13 pm:
Breaking news…Money continues to ruin everything.
- New Day - Wednesday, Jan 14, 26 @ 7:27 pm:
“…but it may be a tough uphill climb since Raja has been on the air since the summer.”
Yep. Spent $14 million and undecideds went from 38 to 46%. This race is wide open.
- Pundent - Wednesday, Jan 14, 26 @ 8:43 pm:
=This race is wide open.=
Polling shows Raja with a 21 pt lead on Stratton and 23 pt on Kelly. Absent Kelly dropping out it’s hard to see Stratton narrowing the gap. And even with the number of undecideds, if the polls are right, she’d need about 2/3rd of those voters to pull it off. Something dramatic is going to need to happen to tip the scales in Stratton’s favor. Because up until now her campaign has been lackluster at best.
- Neef Jr. - Wednesday, Jan 14, 26 @ 9:04 pm:
Nothing says independent voice like running your campaign so poorly that outside groups have to come in and run a “uncoordinated” campaign on your behalf.
- Rich Miller - Wednesday, Jan 14, 26 @ 9:08 pm:
===I’d take high-30s to low-40s in a 3-way race with two months to go===
Sure. But if you’d already spent $16 million and undecideds were still way in the lead, I’d be more than a bit concerned that voters were looking for someone else.
- Downstate Dem - Wednesday, Jan 14, 26 @ 11:36 pm:
=== undecideds were still way in the lead, I’d be more than a bit concerned that voters were looking for someone else. ===
Look at undecideds in your final poll in the ‘18 Gov race, Rich. How much did JB spend and how did that race end up? You know as well as anyone undecideds end up splitting multiple ways or staying home. Not swinging wildly in one direction.
March 2018…
JB 35%
Kennedy 16%
Biss 15%
Undecided 31%
- Rich Miller - Thursday, Jan 15, 26 @ 1:44 am:
===Look at undecideds in your final poll in the ‘18 Gov race, Rich===
Dummy, the undecideds were lower than JB’s numbers. In this US Senate race, they’re much higher than Raja’s. Also, JB had a whole lot more money than Raja has now. Raja’s cash is finite. Pritzker’s was not. And is not.
You ain’t gonna school me on this stuff, so don’t even try.