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Study: ‘data centers will account for up to 64% of electricity demand growth by 2030′ in Illinois

Monday, Jan 26, 2026 - Posted by Rich Miller

* From the Union of Concerned Scientists

Data centers are coming to Illinois, requiring massive amounts of electricity at a time when household bills are already on the rise. A new report released today by the Union of Concerned Scientists (UCS) highlights the effects of data centers’ growing electricity demand on Illinois’ power grid and how decisionmakers can mitigate harmful impacts on people and businesses by driving more clean energy development and adopting stronger ratepayer protections in the state. […]

A state-specific fact sheet shows that in Illinois, data centers will account for up to 64% of electricity demand growth by 2030 in the UCS mid-level data center demand growth scenario. Without better ratepayer protections, over the next 25 years such data center growth could put Illinoisians at financial risk of $24 billion in electricity systems costs, UCS reports. Absent stronger policies, data center load growth will also lead to worsening pollution from Illinois’ fossil fuel power plants and rapidly escalate the state’s reliance on out-of-state electricity.

Conversely, the UCS analysis shows that by adopting more robust state and federal clean energy policies to meet this demand, Illinois would see the economic benefits of more clean energy development and deliver up to $2.8 billion in health savings and avoid $112 billion in global climate damages between now and 2050.

“As the AI boom is already reshaping the energy landscape, modernized polices specific to data centers are urgently needed to protect Illinois’ clean energy future and its electricity ratepayers,” said James Gignac, report author and Midwest policy director for the Climate and Energy Program at UCS. “Without taking steps like requiring data centers to pay for building new renewable energy sources rather than gas plants, their electricity demand will increase pollution and dramatically escalate Illinois’ reliance on imported power from other states. Common-sense measures to protect ratepayers and grow clean energy in Illinois is the path we need.”

The full report is here.

* The Daily Herald has a good story on the study. You should read the whole thing, but here’s an excerpt about other perspectives

ComEd is an electricity provider, not a producer, but its Director of Economic Development Max Leichtman said the company is already taking steps that could make legislation unnecessary regarding the financial aspect of the UCS proposal.

The utility has introduced “Transmission Security Agreements” for large electricity users like data centers to protect other customers and ensure fairness.

These would provide more financial security, such as a letter of credit, if a developer didn’t follow through after expensive electricity infrastructure is built. […]

[Data Center Coalition Director of State Policy Brad Tietz] felt a mandate could diminish the benefits flexibility has brought developers in providing their own clean energy. […]

“You don’t want to make yourself an outlier,” [Tietz] added. “There is recognition that Illinois is starting to lose its position in the top five and we don’t want that.”

       

7 Comments »
  1. - Oklahoma - Monday, Jan 26, 26 @ 9:20 am:

    Electricity, water, noise, privacy, killing jobs…


  2. - very old soil - Monday, Jan 26, 26 @ 9:24 am:

    https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2026/jan/26/georgia-datacenters-ai-ban


  3. - Who else - Monday, Jan 26, 26 @ 9:31 am:

    ==“You don’t want to make yourself an outlier,” [Tietz] added. “There is recognition that Illinois is starting to lose its position in the top five and we don’t want that.”==

    What if I told you we actually do want that?


  4. - 4 percent - Monday, Jan 26, 26 @ 9:45 am:

    @who else

    Ridiculous argument. Data centers are going to be built whether in Illinois or elsewhere. The need for data centers will not be decreasing so either Illinois is in line for construction jobs, tax revenue and more - or we lose to other states.

    We have regional energy grids. So power generated in Illinois will still be used for data centers even if not located here.

    Water is not an issue - rather a red herring - as most data centers are closed loop systems.

    Always love all the folks that are opposed to things like data centers or fossil fuels but then rely on them when using their cell phones or heating their homes in a polar vortex. /s


  5. - Tom - Monday, Jan 26, 26 @ 9:45 am:

    The enviros are making this their new fracking. I think the data centers should pay higher rates and residential should not subsides them, but they are needed and Illinois should court them.


  6. - cognitive dissonance - Monday, Jan 26, 26 @ 9:52 am:

    On the UCS report, it’s worth noting that the latest California load forecast projects new demand from EVs and building electrification to be roughly three times larger than demand from data centers—despite California being, for obvious reasons, a major hub for data center development. Electrification is a central objective of CEJA and will significantly increase overall electricity demand. It will be interesting to see how this tension is addressed going forward by UCS and others.


  7. - Steve - Monday, Jan 26, 26 @ 10:06 am:

    Northern Illinois is a very good place to have data centers because of the temperature and geography. Whether they get built here is up to investors. Other states are right to work states with less regulation. Only time will tell.


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