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Oppo dump!
Tuesday, Feb 3, 2026 - Posted by Rich Miller * I’m not sure who commissioned this Democratic US Senate poll, but I have my suspicions since one of these topics (post offices) was used in a debate. Anyway, I can’t vouch for many of these accusations, but it’s definitely worth noting because this is likely where we are heading…
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The “happiness and joy” comment is here. The stuff about her cutting out on the 2019 session is here. To the newbies: Polls like this one are standard. Campaigns need to know if their attacks will work and if their opponents’ anticipated onslaughts will succeed. They’re important to us because they give us an idea about where the race might go. I shouldn’t have to explain this, but campaign season always brings out the novice experts.
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- ChicagoBars - Tuesday, Feb 3, 26 @ 8:47 am:
If anyone in 9th CD has gotten oppo testing polling I would love to know what the questions were like from any pollster trying to figure out angles in that crowded field.
- DuPage Saint - Tuesday, Feb 3, 26 @ 9:00 am:
According to the Google thing Raj does not believe in a ban on congress buying stock and if he got rich in office it would think that might hurt him. Although I think he wins
- suburban mom 2 - Tuesday, Feb 3, 26 @ 9:05 am:
According to Raj’s FEC filing he owns just mutual funds. The market has done well in the last 15 years and I think he’s married to a doctor.
- Candy Dogood - Tuesday, Feb 3, 26 @ 9:18 am:
=== Campaigns need to know if their attacks will work and if their opponents’ anticipated onslaughts will succeed===
I would want to see polling on the Madigan stuff specifically because I think that line of attack has dwindling returns. Folks have been running ads talking about links to Madigan and how terrible he is for a couple of decades. The Democratic electorate especially is used to ignoring it.
I would also want to see whether or not going negative is going to help much before spending significant sums going negative. I don’t know what folks expect from their members of congress, but a lot of members of congress show up as co-sponsors to someone else’s bill.
I would also not enjoy having to respond to complaints about the candidate’s net worth tripling over the course of a decade since the expectation is that someone’s investments should at least double every 7 years and trying to explain, “hey, it is normal for a person with wealth to see it triple in a decade” is not exactly something I would want to be educating voters about right now.
- Katie - Tuesday, Feb 3, 26 @ 9:20 am:
I actually did just get polled for the 9th CD over the weekend – here’s the stuff I took screenshots of. IIRC I got nutshell biographies of 5-6 of the candidates, polling for my first and second choices, oppo on Laura Fine, Kat, and Biss, and finally it asked what the chances were that I would vote for Kat:
Laura Fine has refused to take a forceful stance against Israel’s genocide in Gaza, has accepted hundreds of thousands of dollars from AIPAC donors, and is trying to lie about their support. We can’t trust her to stand up to Trump when we don’t know what she stands for.
Kat Abughazaleh is a YouTuber who moved to Chicago for her boyfriend’s job last year and has no connections to the district. Most of her donors are from outside the state, and she has skipped local forums to fundraise in LA.
She can’t truly represent the people here.
Daniel Biss is a career establishment politician who won’t be the brave leader we need. Recently leaked texts from a Democratic donor said, “I know Biss well. If the wind blows the wrong way, he will throw you under the bus.”
Biss wrote the controversial 2013 pension reform law that unconstitutionally stripped hundreds of thousands of teachers, nurses, and state workers of their retirement benefits. Biss even admitted on the Senate floor that his law broke a promise to workers.
- Harrison - Tuesday, Feb 3, 26 @ 9:43 am:
Anyone invested in an index fund tracking the S & P 500
ten years ago the return is roughly 300%.
Raj didn’t need any insider info to achieve that level of return on his investments.
- NIU Grad - Tuesday, Feb 3, 26 @ 9:47 am:
Those post offices weren’t going to name themselves.
- Think Again - Tuesday, Feb 3, 26 @ 10:21 am:
= I can’t vouch for many of these accusations, but it’s definitely worth noting =
I’m sure the Tracy campaign is taking note