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Evanston Roundtable’s PPP poll has Biss over Abughazaleh and Fine 24-17-16; Plus a congressional campaign roundup

Wednesday, Feb 25, 2026 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Evanston Roundtable

Evanston Mayor Daniel Biss leads the Democratic primary for Illinois’ 9th Congressional District seat with 24% support, holding single-digit leads over top opponents content creator Kat Abughazaleh at 17% and state Sen. Laura Fine (9th District) at 16%, as nearly a quarter of voters remain undecided, according to a new poll commissioned by the Evanston RoundTable.

Public Policy Polling, a professional polling firm affiliated with the Democratic Party, surveyed 501 likely Democratic primary voters across the district on Feb. 20 and 21, asking who they plan to vote for in the congressional primary along with other related questions. This is the first independent poll of the race released by a news organization rather than a political group, and the first of two polls of the 9th District race that the RoundTable plans to publish before Election Day on March 17.

The poll reached voters through text-to-web messages and automated landline calls using “interactive voice response,” or IVR. Responses were weighted to more accurately reflect the 9th District’s demographics.

As somebody said yesterday, local Evanston news media has really run circles around the big dogs this cycle. Click here and scroll down to read the full poll.

* Head-to-heads

>

* Biss has strong favorables compared to everyone else. Fine is just +1 after millions…

* “Threats to democracy” far and away the number one issue among voters, according to the poll…

* Let’s look at some crosstabs. Before I do, keep in mind that these responses will have a higher margin of error than the full poll. Also, the smaller demographics have very high MoE’s, so you have to look for the bigger spreads on answers for them. According to the poll, Biss leads among women and is tied with Abughazaleh on men, and women put significantly more emphasis on “Threats to democracy”


* 21 percent of respondents identified themselves as independents, so take those numbers for what you will. Just 2 percent said they were Republicans, so ignore those responses because there just aren’t enough to evaluate..


* Race/ethnicity...

* Age

* The crosstabs also show Sen. Fine losing her own 9th Senate district to Biss by three points, but those folks were 30 percent of the full sample

* OK, let’s move on. This is pretty darned despicable…

Several small businesses on Chicago’s Devon Ave. have condemned political attacks against them by supporters of an opponent of Congressional candidate Bushra Amiwala.

The restaurant owners regularly see many candidates and elected officials come through to their businesses.

“As people of faith and culture who are taught to open our doors and tables to all guests, we welcomed them in that spirit,” the business owners wrote in an open letter. “We welcome everyone who walks through our doors, despite not knowing them personally.”

Following Laura Fine’s recent visit to Devon Ave., supporters of Kat Abughazaleh’s campaign began calling for a boycott against many of the businesses. In doing so, Abughazaleh’s supporters publicly attacked some of the most long-standing, and beloved, small businesses in our district. […]

Amiwala affirmed her support to local small businesses on Devon Ave. and across the district. Read the business owners’ complete statement here.

* From Isabel

    * Politico IL | Some numbers: We got a list of ad buy spending by super PACS.

    * Sun-Times | Crowded primary for Krishnamoorthi’s suburban House seat underscores Democrats’ generational divide: “People of the district want someone who would stand up to Donald Trump,” said Junaid Ahmed, who’s making a comeback bid of his own after being soundly defeated by Krishnamoorthi in a 2022 primary challenge. Ahmed, a South Barrington tech entrepreneur who organized protests against the use of the McHenry County Jail as a federal Immigration and Customs Enforcement detention center under the Biden administration, closed 2025 with more than $835,000 in his campaign fund. “People have seen me standing shoulder-to-shoulder with them,” said Ahmed, who’s endorsed by progressive Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders. “That’s what differentiates me.”

    * Laura Washington | Will Black voters care about AIPAC’s role in Chicago congressional races?: Will Black voters care about AIPAC’s role in these races? The issue of Israel support, I suspect, won’t resonate in districts that are grappling with far more salient concerns, such as the dire need for economic development, adequate health care and affordable housing, for starters. Yet hundreds of thousands of dollars in dark money can buy a powerful perch in Congress, regardless of those concerns, and add a deep fracture to the historic Black-Jewish alliance.

    * Oak Park Journal | Defiant Ford responds to misleading crypto PAC attack ads: Ford, the video intones, “was indicted on 17 counts.” Waiting a moment for effect, they repeat, “17 counts” over a graphic of “17 counts” handwritten on a piece of cardboard. “The verdict? Ford convicted of tax fraud.” But Ford was not charged with tax fraud in the 17-count indictment. That single charge was in a superseding indictment. […] “I am not a felon,” Ford said. “I am a state legislator, I am a real estate broker, I am licensed to be a teacher.” Had he been convicted of any felony, he said he would not be able to be any of those things. 

    * Fox Chicago | US House 9th Dist. primary debate: Multiple candidates for the Democratic nomination in the 9th Congressional District in Illinois will participate in Fox Chicago’s debate on Wednesday night. Evanston Mayor Daniel Biss, State Sen. Laura Fine, Kat Abughazaleh, State Sen. Mike Simmons, Phil Andrew, and Bushra Amiwala are slated to appear.

    * Evanston RoundTable | Biss leads by single digits over Abughazaleh, Fine in congressional primary: Biss’ campaign manager George Lundgren wrote to the RoundTable that the mayor’s lead “reflects what we’re hearing from voters every day” and argued that Biss is “in the best position to win undecided voters” over the rest of the campaign. “With three weeks to go until Election Day, we’ll keep fighting to expand our grassroots-powered movement and ensure right-wing special interests don’t buy this seat.” Abughazaleh spokesperson Ramiro Sarmiento argued in a separate statement that she and her campaign still “have the momentum” after entering the race as an underdog last March.

    * Phil Andrew | Phil Andrew, Candidate for Congress, on How Crisis Shaped His Approach to Public Service: I, Phil Andrew, am running for Congress because I know, firsthand, the cost of violence and the power of prevention. Gun violence is more than a statistic. It’s a moment that can destroy a life, a family, a community. And I know this because on a sunny May morning in 1988, that moment found me. I was just 20 years old, a student athlete home for the summer, when Laurie Dann, a shooter who had just attacked a nearby elementary school and killed an 8-year-old boy, fled into my family’s home. She took my parents and me hostage at gunpoint. I negotiated my parents’ safe release, but when I moved to disarm her, she shot me in the chest at point-blank range. The bullet pierced both my lungs and grazed my heart.

    * Sun-Times | Crowded field of 15 Democrats jockey to succeed U.S. Rep. Jan Schakowsky: Voters in one of the most Democratic districts in the state will see 16 names on the March 17 ballot. Bruce Leon’s name will be on there too, although he dropped out of the race and endorsed another candidate: former FBI agent Phil Andrew. Leon, a pro-Israel Democrat, blamed “tremendous political pressure from Washington, D.C., interests” — referring to the American Israel Public Affairs Committee — for dropping out. AIPAC is indeed playing a role in the race — with Fine accepting donations associated with the pro-Israel lobbying group. AIPAC hasn’t endorsed Fine, but an AIPAC-affiliated super PAC is running ads to support her bid.

    * Loyola Phoenix | Congressional Catch-Up: Daniel Biss: Biss said the Democratic party has poorly communicated in a broadcast television way suited to older audiences. To attract young voters, Biss said his campaign focuses on communication online. He said he doesn’t want to communicate “at” people online, but rather listen, organize and lift up the voices of others. He said having an agenda which responds to the realities faced by young voters is critical.

    * Press release | Queer Union Vet Keturah Johnson Endorses Mike Simmons for Congress: State Senator Mike Simmons’ campaign for Congress in Illinois’ 9th District has been endorsed by Keturah Johnson in her personal capacity. Johnson is a combat veteran, flight attendant, and International Vice President of the Association of Flight Attendants (AFA-CWA). As the first queer woman of color and veteran to be elected to this role, her voice is a uniquely powerful one that advocates for workers’ rights, trans rights, and dignity for our veterans. “It’s simple: we need leaders who show up for workers. That’s who Mike is, and who he’ll be in Congress: I am proud to stand with him on the picket line and in this race.” said Johnson.

    * Press release | Want to Run as an Independent to Replace Congressman Chuy García? You’ll Need 10,816 Signatures vs. the 697 His Anointed Successor Needed: In the state’s 4th Congressional District, Chicago City Council Alderman, 25th Ward Democratic Committeeman, and Democratic Socialist Byron Sigcho-Lopez is running as an Independent to replace current Congressman Jesús “Chuy” García, who made a deal with his chief of staff to hide his retirement until the last minute possible so she could run unopposed in the Democratic primary. “True democracy means people get a choice in our elections – not a backroom deal, a handpicked successor, and a political system that shuts them out of the decisions that shape their lives,” Sigcho-Lopez said. “We need someone in Congress who takes our fight from the streets to the halls of government so we can finally stop Trump’s destruction of our civil rights, hold the Epstein class accountable, and give working families relief by ending tax breaks for corporations and billionaires on both sides of the aisle.”

    * Press release | Independent Candidate Mayra Macías Kicks Off Petition Drive to Put Her Name On November Ballot: Mayra Macías, independent candidate for Illinois’s 4th Congressional District, will host an event on Saturday, February 28, for the official petition launch to put her name on the election ballot in November. Despite being a lifelong Democrat, Macías launched her congressional campaign in December as an independent candidate after outgoing-Congressman Chuy García cleared the way for his Chief of Staff, Patty García, to be the only Democrat on the ballot. While those in power have tried to decide who should represent the district in Congress instead of allowing Chicagoans to choose for themselves, Macías aims to push back by providing voters with a choice.

       

14 Comments »
  1. - Tony Kane - Wednesday, Feb 25, 26 @ 11:24 am:

    Just popping in to say I love the Evanston Roundtable, and I don’t even live in Evanston. They’ve done great work for years and their hard work shows in their coverage. Kudos to them.


  2. - AlabamaShake - Wednesday, Feb 25, 26 @ 11:29 am:

    This is a wild reaction:

    “A spokesperson for Fine’s campaign initially declined to comment on this story over text, then without prompting questioned the RoundTable on “who financed or paid for the poll” and whether “someone else” paid Public Policy Polling.”


  3. - Think Again - Wednesday, Feb 25, 26 @ 11:30 am:

    =Following Laura Fine’s recent visit to Devon Ave., supporters of Kat Abughazaleh’s campaign began calling for a boycott against many of the businesses=

    I absolutely love the food and staff at Italian Express ( one of the restaurants called out by Kat’s team). The owner is wonderful, and the food is great - pizza and gyros are top-notch. This is the type of thing that can really snowball against a candidate.


  4. - Rahm’s Parking Meter - Wednesday, Feb 25, 26 @ 11:39 am:

    Not going to comment on the poll.
    But boycotting businesses over people stopping in is low.
    Forget the politics, Bushra is right to call out Kat and her motivations.


  5. - Jibba - Wednesday, Feb 25, 26 @ 11:46 am:

    ===supporters of Kat Abughazaleh’s campaign began calling for a boycott ===

    The fringe (often young) often takes a “with us or against us” approach to everything, which leads to zero coalition building and zero accomplishments even if they get elected.


  6. - Chris - Wednesday, Feb 25, 26 @ 11:48 am:

    Yeah I really can’t believe that Laura Fine’s response to that poll was to insinuate that an outside group against her funded it.

    Really the sign of a confident campaign there


  7. - Ricky Ledee - Wednesday, Feb 25, 26 @ 11:54 am:

    - AlabamaShake - Wednesday, Feb 25, 26 @ 11:29 am:

    This is a wild reaction:

    “A spokesperson for Fine’s campaign initially declined to comment on this story over text, then without prompting questioned the RoundTable on “who financed or paid for the poll” and whether “someone else” paid Public Policy Polling.”

    This is both a crazy and terrible way of working with media.


  8. - Kayla - Wednesday, Feb 25, 26 @ 12:03 pm:

    IDK implying Fine is bought is paid for works for her opponents if the post is legit. No wonder her campaign would try it.


  9. - Former Downstater - Wednesday, Feb 25, 26 @ 12:04 pm:

    ==The fringe (often young)==

    Yes, Kat Abughazaleh, the fringe candidate whose is in second place despite AIPAC’s best efforts.

    I have reservations about Kat and her motives. These reservations only grew after I saw one of her speeches in person vs. how it was cut up for social media.

    That said, her campaign was initial panned by media, including a lot of commenters on this site, as unserious. She likely won’t win, but her campaign has been anything but unserious.

    She has done a good job showing how out of touch the so-called “experts” are about how successful campaigns can and should be run. I remember how many people laughed at her and said “voters don’t care about AIPAC.”

    As for the restaurants, people in a capitalist society have the right to spend or not spend their money however they choose. That includes boycotts.

    To a lot of these young voters, Fine, through her actions and positions, supports genocide. I get a lot of people don’t agree. And that’s their right.

    But if you did, wouldn’t you also have a problem supporting an establishment that welcomed genocide supporters?

    I mean, would you have the same reaction if people boycotted a business that supported ICE agents?


  10. - Cole - Wednesday, Feb 25, 26 @ 12:12 pm:

    One consistent thing that I think hurts Kat us that they are often rude and weirdly confrontational. I haven’t seen that behavior much in Kat herself, but I cannot imagine her supporters acting this way is doing her any favors. Her supporters calling for a boycott of those businesses is not a shock to me.

    The poll also mentioned second choices for all the voters going with each candidate. It does not paint a pretty picture for Kat even though she comes second in this poll. Plurality of Biss voters have Fine as their second choice and plurality of Fine supporters have Biss as their second choice. There’s not enough Kat could gain from the lower ranked candidates to win and with her net favorables also being kind of low it is hard to imagine her gaining more from undecideds than Biss.

    Alex Harrison said that they plan to run another poll in early March. It will be interesting to see how the field moves.


  11. - ZC - Wednesday, Feb 25, 26 @ 12:26 pm:

    PPP is the firm that called Mamdani winning in the NY mayoral primary.

    They are not perfect (they are kind of the bargain-basement polling option, for people who want “pretty good polls” on the cheap) but they are a serious outfit with some major correct calls (see above).


  12. - Responsa - Wednesday, Feb 25, 26 @ 12:46 pm:

    My head hurts for the poor people of the 9th congressional district. It was formed to be a solid no-question-about-it Democratic district. which it is. But it turns out there are many diverse Democratic communities with strongly held differences and interests among them squished into this unwieldy Democratic district. Undecideds and apparently even bad behavior has ensued. Whoever wins this contest in the end will likely be trying to represent a divided constituency comprising many Democrats who are deeply unhappy with the result. Should be interesting.


  13. - TKMH - Wednesday, Feb 25, 26 @ 12:48 pm:

    ==One consistent thing that I think hurts Kat us that they are often rude and weirdly confrontational. I haven’t seen that behavior much in Kat herself, but I cannot imagine her supporters acting this way is doing her any favors. Her supporters calling for a boycott of those businesses is not a shock to me.==

    This was a chief complaint many people, myself included, had of the Sanders campaigns of 2016 and 2020. Highly ideological, terminally online believers developed a parasocial relationship with the candidate and turned any criticism into a hanging offense.


  14. - I'm a Jan Fan - Wednesday, Feb 25, 26 @ 12:53 pm:

    Jan says Dan is The Man. That is good enough for me. And it will be good enough for the voters of the Illinois 9th Congressional District.


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