Capitol Fax.com - Your Illinois News Radar » Question of the day
SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax      Advertise Here      About     Exclusive Subscriber Content     Updated Posts    Contact Rich Miller
CapitolFax.com
To subscribe to Capitol Fax, click here. To inquire about advertising on CapitolFax.com, click here.
Question of the day

Thursday, Mar 19, 2026 - Posted by Rich Miller

* What were your biggest election result surprises on Tuesday? Make sure to explain your answer. Thanks.

       

22 Comments »
  1. - Oldtimer - Thursday, Mar 19, 26 @ 9:04 am:

    Chatham School District in Sangamon County was able to pass a large building referendum, even with a separate sales tax measure for mental health also on the ballot. Both measures passed about 53-47.


  2. - Someone You Should Know - Thursday, Mar 19, 26 @ 9:04 am:

    ook County Commissioner Bridget Gainer. I Hear she just checked out. I don’t understand it. I know her attendance was not stellar so maybe she was as I said checked out.


  3. - NIU Grad - Thursday, Mar 19, 26 @ 9:05 am:

    Two shockers for me:
    -Not necessarily that Stratton won, but decisively enough to be called so early.
    -Two Cook County Commissioners losing reelection. Those races seemed to fly under the radar (at least for Bridget Gainer, who seemed to be checked out the last few years).


  4. - Someone you should know - Thursday, Mar 19, 26 @ 9:06 am:

    Wow, Great Minds :)


  5. - NIU Grad - Thursday, Mar 19, 26 @ 9:10 am:

    She has been barely visible in a community full of neighborhood festivals and events where it’s very easy to show up with a table/tent at the minimum. A non-controversial incumbent could coast for years, but needs to actually make an effort to show up.

    On that note, the fact that Feigenholtz won by only 11 points was a “wow.” A sign that our local politicos need to start working more than just when they’re contested in reelection.


  6. - Three Dimensional Checkers - Thursday, Mar 19, 26 @ 9:16 am:

    I thought the County Board President race would have been closer. The Tyler Technologies contract was a legitimate scandal. I watched the Fox 32 debate between Reilly and Preckwinkle, and Reilly looked like a twerp if you watched the whole thing. Maybe the voters saw that too.


  7. - DriXander - Thursday, Mar 19, 26 @ 9:19 am:

    Donna Miller & Demi Palecek both getting 40%+ in crowded fields.


  8. - Stephenson County - Thursday, Mar 19, 26 @ 9:22 am:

    Stratton’s strength in downstate surprised me.


  9. - Sox Fan - Thursday, Mar 19, 26 @ 9:34 am:

    Maybe it shouldn’t be surprising, but I’d say it’s the bitter post-mortem in the Il-09 congressional race. My takeaway is that Kat lost to a popular politician with years of local experience and name recognition. Going online you would think she lost to a trump adjacent criminal


  10. - low level - Thursday, Mar 19, 26 @ 9:41 am:

    Definitely Bridget Gainer losing her seat. On Election Night i was checking the Chicago Board of Elections site and had to refresh the screen a few times to make sure I wasnt seeing things.

    It appears she simply stopped working or tool it for granted.

    I know one thing for sure - had Kim Walz been appointed to that seat in 2009 instead of Gainer that never would have happened. Walz was Quigley’s chief of staff but was passed over in favor of Bridget. Wrong choice.


  11. - Amalia - Thursday, Mar 19, 26 @ 9:44 am:

    Bridget Gainer What is going on with her? the attendance issue, going from mayoral candidate to losing so decisively. it’s very strange.


  12. - Malort for All - Thursday, Mar 19, 26 @ 9:49 am:

    Hoan Huynh barely registering any votes. He was far behind Phil Andrew. Actually, surprised Mike Simmons did so poorly; he barely finished ahead of Andrew also.


  13. - @misterjayem - Thursday, Mar 19, 26 @ 9:49 am:

    Tie: The margin of Stratton’s victory and the margin of Jean Kaczmarek’s defeat.

    – MrJM


  14. - Steve - Thursday, Mar 19, 26 @ 9:54 am:

    I thought Raja would do better, not sure he would have won : but I thought he would do better.


  15. - Pundent - Thursday, Mar 19, 26 @ 9:55 am:

    A couple of the margins were surprising. The margin of Stratton’s victory was unexpected. I anticipated a very close race. Pretty remarkable as Raja’s run was years in the making.

    And while I fully expected Bailey to win, I thought that Dabrowski would have performed slightly better as Darren has absolutely no chance of winning in November. It really shows how far the ILGOP has fallen.


  16. - JS Mill - Thursday, Mar 19, 26 @ 9:56 am:

    Strattons victory a little but the margin was a real surprise.

    Hammonds loss was a bit of a welcome surprise. Not that her replacement will be any better.


  17. - Responsa - Thursday, Mar 19, 26 @ 10:00 am:

    The dominance of the Preckwinkle win surprised me. I always try to factor in that my Cook County political impressions mostly come through the suburban areas. So in that context it seemed that at her age and length of service, in a dynamic environment people might be looking in a new direction. Guess not.


  18. - Techie - Thursday, Mar 19, 26 @ 10:05 am:

    Given where polling was shortly before the election, I am surprised that Stratton won by as large a margin as she did.

    However as I said before, I think much of Raja’s early lead in polling was simply name recognition as he was the only one with TV ads for months.


  19. - Google is Your Friend - Thursday, Mar 19, 26 @ 10:09 am:

    How quickly the night was over was the only surprise to me.


  20. - Thomas Paine - Thursday, Mar 19, 26 @ 10:10 am:

    The surprise for me has not been the outcomes, but the margins.

    Stratton did not just beat Raja, she crushed him.

    I expected Preckwinkle to win, I did not expect Reilly to finish worse than Bob Fioretti did when Bob ran against Toni.

    Croke, like Stratton, was backed by Pritzker but is currently holding a much narrower lead than I or anyone else expected.

    Given the money spent by Welch, I thought the Andrade/Alvelo-Riviera race would be close, but 55-45 is a blowout.

    My takeaway is that voters migrated to the progressive candidate, which would include Senator Villa. And it’s not just more progressives turning out, but “regular Democrats” shifting their attitudes and prioritizing a Spartan Warrior mentality.

    “Give me 300 to send into the breach.”

    I think explains Drake Warren’s win too. Progressive groups and progressive aldermen signaled that Warren was the more progressive candidate, Reilly got crushed in the 10th district, and voters went with the candidate they thought would stand shoulder-to-shoulder with Preckwinkle.


  21. - Montrose - Thursday, Mar 19, 26 @ 10:16 am:

    “it seemed that at her age and length of service, in a dynamic environment people might be looking in a new direction.”

    The problem for Brendan was voters had a jump scare when they turned and saw Reilly.


  22. - ZC - Thursday, Mar 19, 26 @ 10:21 am:

    I knew she might win but I was surprised by the margins that Demi won in the 13th. Just goes to show that mailers don’t vote. James O’Brien and Adam Braun buried me in periodicals (largely targeting each other); Demi only showed up occasionally in shorter mailings.


TrackBack URI

Anonymous commenters, uncivil comments, rumor-mongering, disinformation and profanity of any kind will be deleted.

(required)

(not required)



* César Chavez react: "I do regret having put so much faith, trust and admiration in a man who will now go down in history as a pedophile and a rapist"
* HB 3799 Raises Premiums And Destabilizes A Stable Insurance Market
* Question of the day
* ‘Why Risk It?’ 340B Bill Helps Patients And Providers, NO State Funding Needed – Pass HB 2371 SA 2
* Isabel’s morning briefing
* Good morning!
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Supplement to today’s edition
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today's edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)
* Selected press releases (Live updates)
* Live coverage
* Yesterday's stories

Support CapitolFax.com
Visit our advertisers...

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............


Loading


Main Menu
Home
Illinois
YouTube
Pundit rankings
Obama
Subscriber Content
Durbin
Burris
Blagojevich Trial
Advertising
Updated Posts
Polls

Archives
March 2026
February 2026
January 2026
December 2025
November 2025
October 2025
September 2025
August 2025
July 2025
June 2025
May 2025
April 2025
March 2025
February 2025
January 2025
December 2024
November 2024
October 2024
September 2024
August 2024
July 2024
June 2024
May 2024
April 2024
March 2024
February 2024
January 2024
December 2023
November 2023
October 2023
September 2023
August 2023
July 2023
June 2023
May 2023
April 2023
March 2023
February 2023
January 2023
December 2022
November 2022
October 2022
September 2022
August 2022
July 2022
June 2022
May 2022
April 2022
March 2022
February 2022
January 2022
December 2021
November 2021
October 2021
September 2021
August 2021
July 2021
June 2021
May 2021
April 2021
March 2021
February 2021
January 2021
December 2020
November 2020
October 2020
September 2020
August 2020
July 2020
June 2020
May 2020
April 2020
March 2020
February 2020
January 2020
December 2019
November 2019
October 2019
September 2019
August 2019
July 2019
June 2019
May 2019
April 2019
March 2019
February 2019
January 2019
December 2018
November 2018
October 2018
September 2018
August 2018
July 2018
June 2018
May 2018
April 2018
March 2018
February 2018
January 2018
December 2017
November 2017
October 2017
September 2017
August 2017
July 2017
June 2017
May 2017
April 2017
March 2017
February 2017
January 2017
December 2016
November 2016
October 2016
September 2016
August 2016
July 2016
June 2016
May 2016
April 2016
March 2016
February 2016
January 2016
December 2015
November 2015
October 2015
September 2015
August 2015
July 2015
June 2015
May 2015
April 2015
March 2015
February 2015
January 2015
December 2014
November 2014
October 2014
September 2014
August 2014
July 2014
June 2014
May 2014
April 2014
March 2014
February 2014
January 2014
December 2013
November 2013
October 2013
September 2013
August 2013
July 2013
June 2013
May 2013
April 2013
March 2013
February 2013
January 2013
December 2012
November 2012
October 2012
September 2012
August 2012
July 2012
June 2012
May 2012
April 2012
March 2012
February 2012
January 2012
December 2011
November 2011
October 2011
September 2011
August 2011
July 2011
June 2011
May 2011
April 2011
March 2011
February 2011
January 2011
December 2010
November 2010
October 2010
September 2010
August 2010
July 2010
June 2010
May 2010
April 2010
March 2010
February 2010
January 2010
December 2009
November 2009
October 2009
September 2009
August 2009
July 2009
June 2009
May 2009
April 2009
March 2009
February 2009
January 2009
December 2008
November 2008
October 2008
September 2008
August 2008
July 2008
June 2008
May 2008
April 2008
March 2008
February 2008
January 2008
December 2007
November 2007
October 2007
September 2007
August 2007
July 2007
June 2007
May 2007
April 2007
March 2007
February 2007
January 2007
December 2006
November 2006
October 2006
September 2006
August 2006
July 2006
June 2006
May 2006
April 2006
March 2006
February 2006
January 2006
December 2005
April 2005
March 2005
February 2005
January 2005
December 2004
November 2004
October 2004

Blog*Spot Archives
November 2005
October 2005
September 2005
August 2005
July 2005
June 2005
May 2005

Syndication

RSS Feed 2.0
Comments RSS 2.0




Hosted by MCS | SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax | Advertise Here | Mobile Version | Contact Rich Miller