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Debate notes
Tuesday, Oct 26, 2004 - Posted by Rich Miller The tone of tonight’s debate seemed higher than before, perhaps because it was Phil Ponce and Public Television, or maybe it was the less formalized setting. Still, Alan Keyes gave us more of the same tonight - the rightist populist, too confident by half that he will ascend into heaven, debating not his opponent, but a heavily stylized caricature. Obama built on his criticisms of Keyes from the last debate, continuing his argument that one of Keyes’ justifications for opposing gay marriage (that children who don’t know their parents would “inevitably” have sex with a sibling) undercut the foundation of adoption. Using Jefferson and the 14th Amendment to deflate Keyes’ contention that no separation of church and state existed was good - it’s just too bad he didn’t have enough time to elaborate. The best part was that Obama finally stopped saying “uh” so much. I wrote more, but I’m saving it for tomorrow’s Capitol Fax.
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Much better than tonight’s Senate debate
Tuesday, Oct 26, 2004 - Posted by Rich Miller Howard Stern and FCC Chairman Michael Powell debated during a radio call-in show today. Stern called in to a show that had Powell on as a guest. I’m listening to it now. Very intense. Stern more than just suggests right off the bat that Powell’s dad got him the job.
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Leader poll freeped
Tuesday, Oct 26, 2004 - Posted by Rich Miller It appears the Bean people are successfully freeping the Leader’s latest reader poll. 8th Congressional District Race. In what is likely to be the most competitive Congressional race in IL this year, who do you think will win?
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A side order of dirt
Tuesday, Oct 26, 2004 - Posted by Rich Miller Do you think the Democrats might be attempting to gently nudge the topic of Congressman Phil Crane’s struggle with alcoholism a little?
I didn’t think anything more about it until this morning, when I saw that the Sun-Times managed to work an alcoholism reference into its Crane story: Some suburban Republican leaders said they think Crane has spent less time and effort in the district in the last several years, particularly since he spent 30 days in rehab for alcoholism in 2000. So, I did a quick Google check, and found this recent story on national pundit Larry Sabato’s “Crystal Ball” website:
Even with the booze issue, when all is said and done Sabato thinks Crane survives the rematch. Bean’s enhanced name recognition and the race’s presence on the national radar screen will probably make the outcome a lot closer this time around, but Crane, who replaced Donald Rumsfeld in this seat years ago, is a Chicago institution and remains the favorite to win a 19th term. “Chicago institution”? Not. More like “Washington, DC institution.” Almost nobody knows who Phil Crane is. He faded away long ago. And while I certainly don’t condone this sort of behavior, I think that if the Democrats are willing to stoop to using these naughty little tactics then maybe Bean does have a shot at winning. It ain’t easy to unseat an incumbent in an overwhelmingly GOP district. A little dirt is probably necessary. The Beanos will need all the help they can get. The Republicans brought in a negativity specialist this week, so hold onto your hats. I know the guy. He’s always fun to watch. I have no idea what will happen next, but I’m positive that Bean won’t like it much.
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Karnak
Tuesday, Oct 26, 2004 - Posted by Rich Miller As I was web-surfing while waiting on return phonecalls, I found a new column by right-wing activist Paul Weyrich, who appears to have succinctly summed up the excuses and insults that those who cannot yet admit the obvious will surely be using next week. Keyes has made a valiant attempt but Illinois is increasingly Democratic. Keyes got a late start, has been a resident of Maryland and had very little money with which to run a statewide race. Obama, who is a hard-core leftist in a moderate package, has been touted for years as an up and coming star who will be the first male Black Democrat elected to the U.S. Senate. What’s with capitalizing the “b” in “black”?
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Whitman endorses Rep. Munson
Tuesday, Oct 26, 2004 - Posted by Rich Miller Latest from the 43rd House District: ELGIN — In a development that suggests the race in the 43rd Representative District could be drawing more interest from Republican Party leaders than had previously been thought, Christie Todd Whitman, the high-profile former governor of New Jersey, endorsed incumbent state Rep. Ruth Munson at a press conference Monday. Thanks to NZ for the reminder.
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Notes from another planet
Tuesday, Oct 26, 2004 - Posted by Rich Miller From Alan Keyes’ website, RenewAmerica. GREAT NEWS — Alan EXCEEDED the already high expectations of viewers in the second candidate debate for U.S. Senate from Illinois!! Please help us build on the momentum his sterling performance is generating with moral conservatives all over Illinois, and across the country. We need to increase our budget for our ad blitz next week across the state, and we need your contribution NOW!
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Kill the advance team
Tuesday, Oct 26, 2004 - Posted by Rich Miller
Heck, even if Bunning was healthy there would be no excuse for staging a photo on a handicapped parking space.
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Reform and renewal
Tuesday, Oct 26, 2004 - Posted by Rich Miller I can’t help but wonder what percentage of these workers are Republicans. Twenty-seven employees in the Springfield office of the Illinois Department of Financial and Professional Regulation were notified Monday that their positions are being cut. And buried way down is the kicker: Although the four agencies were merged into one department, their director’s positions were retained to oversee the divisions within the new agency, and a secretary was named to head the entire department.
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Breaking news release
Tuesday, Oct 26, 2004 - Posted by Rich Miller
And, of course, he can’t resist a plug for his new program. Gov. Blagojevich was able to quickly find the European vaccine using the state’s contacts with prescription drug suppliers in Europe who are providing medications for Illinois residents through the new I-SaveRx program.  Blagojevich and Wisconsin Governor Jim Doyle launched I-SaveRx to help the nearly 13 million residents of Illinois and more than 5 million residents of Wisconsin save 25 to 50 percent on the cost of their prescription drugs.  Illinois and Wisconsin residents can enroll in I-Save Rx by calling 1-866-ISAVE33 or visiting www.I-SaveRx.net.
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Terrible
Tuesday, Oct 26, 2004 - Posted by Rich Miller I know that it’s been said many times before, but, man, the Illinois Democrats’ website is beyond weak. Completely useless might be a better description. Go check it out just for laughs. UPDATE: Someone over at the House Democrats (the people who run the state party) reminded me that when they were in the minority, they had lots of time to publish their own faxed newsletter. Yes, I remember that well. They’re a little busy these days. No time to invent computer games. Even so, DPI’s website sucks. How long would a sprucing up take? A few hours of one person’s time?
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US Senate roundup
Tuesday, Oct 26, 2004 - Posted by Rich Miller The Edwardsville Intelligencer decides not to go with either candidate in the US Senate race:
The paper also gave John Kerry one of the weakest endorsements I think I’ve ever seen in a presidential race. Meanwhile, the Daily Vidette has a piece today on the other candidates running for Senate. Although U.S. Senate candidates Barack Obama and Alan Keyes will face off tonight in the second debate of the race, there are two other candidates who will not be involved. The article is mostly a profile of Kohn, and the various write-in candidates are not mentioned. One of those write-ins, Mark Kuhnke, blasted out this e-mail yesterday: I’m asking my supporters to dig deep into their email lists and address books. Do you have a friend in Flora, a gal in Galena, a cousin in Quincy? ( I could go on, but you get my drift.) Let anyone and everyone you can know about this campaign, and send them the website address, www.kuhnke4senate.com. Has anyone seen these polls that Kuhnke is talking about? There’s nothing on his website and Google News produces only a single story for “Mark Kuhnke.” Finally, here’s the Quincy Herald Whig report on its 47th Senate District poll on the presidential and US Senate races that I wrote about today. Obama has a commanding 53 percent to 17 percent lead over Keyes among voters in The Herald-Whig/WGEM poll. Obama has gained six points since an Oct. 3 poll and has 84 percent of the Democratic vote and 37 percent of the Republican vote. Here’s my favorite part: “It (wasn’t) right to bring in Alan Keyes from out of state,” Lori said.
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Too close for comfort?
Monday, Oct 25, 2004 - Posted by Rich Miller Democratic congressional candidate Melissa Bean and the League of Conservation Voters have been using quite similar issues in their allegedly uncoordinated TV ad campaigns against GOP oldster Phil Crane. Bean says he’s out of touch with his constituents, and so does the LCV’s ad. The LCV blasts Crane for wanting to allow oil drilling in Lake Michigan and then Bean issued this statement today. For Immediate Release  It’s obvious that Crane is out of touch. And we drink the water out of Lake Michigan so we all want it to be as clean as possible. These are no-brainer issues that anyone devising a campaign against Crane would use. But Bean’s message and the LCV’s message are similar enough that they could be opening themselves up to charges of collusion. Crane is just desperate enough to use something like that, too.
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New Poll
Monday, Oct 25, 2004 - Posted by Rich Miller ABC-7 Chicago just ran the results of a new poll. Barack Obama 70, Alan Keyes 20.
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New PAC
Monday, Oct 25, 2004 - Posted by Rich Miller Top officials with the United Auto Workers and the Operating Engineers union have formed the Justice for All PAC. The PAC’s first filing shows it has collected about $500,000, mostly from Metro East trial lawyers. Three guesses where that dough is heading. 1) Democrat Gordon Maag’s Supreme Court race. 2) Democrat Gordon Maag’s Supreme Court race. 3) Democrat Gordon Maag’s Supreme Court race. Normally, I’d wait to write about this until tomorrow, but I figured the Illinois Campaign for Political Reform’s new campaign finance blog would be telling the world about the new PAC sometime this afternoon. Just one more reason to have my own blog this year. Those trial lawyer guys know how to ante up, eh? They’ve given the state Democratic Party so much money that Speaker Madigan has been able to blow 400 large on a Tier 3 House race in Decatur. And Maag will need the bread since the National Chamber is expected to drop at least another million into Republican Lloyd Karmeier’s coffers.
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Against all odds
Monday, Oct 25, 2004 - Posted by Rich Miller Give him his due, Governor Rod Blagojevich always finds a way to break through the media clutter, even a week before a presidential election. Yesterday, he “leaked” to every reporter in town a letter to the FDA asking permission to import some flu vaccines from Britain. Gov. Rod Blagojevich says his administration has negotiated a tentative agreement to purchase at least 30,000 flu vaccinations from British wholesalers, but federal regulators must approve the deal.
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A little background on today’s issue
Monday, Oct 25, 2004 - Posted by Rich Miller The Morris Daily Herald article about the controversy in Rep. Careen Gordon’s campaign can be found here. Tribune columnist Dennis Byrne has his own take on Rep. Bob Churchill’s difficult re-election race. The most fairly balanced major media background story on the Illinois Supreme Court race that I’ve seen to date is in the Chicago Tribune. The reporter avoided the overtly anti trial lawyer snarkiness that has totally overpowered most regional articles about this campaign. While we’re on this subject, here’s an excerpt from a Southern Illinoisan story about the Illinois State Bar Association’s decision that ads for both candidates were misleading: The committee reported that Maag’s commercials paid for by the Democratic Party of Illinois regarding the Nashville Republican’s rulings are misleading. The committee also wants Karmeier to disavow advertisements paid for by JUSTPAC, a group not affiliated with the judge, for suggesting the Glen Carbon Democrat is a liar. To claim that JUSTPAC is “not affiliated with the judge,” borders on the sublime. Look at the JUSTPAC contributions to Karmeier and you’ll see they almost always contribute money to his campaign so he can run “positive” ads the same day that JUSTPAC spends money on “negative” ads attacking Maag, and it’s usually the same amount.
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Poll has Karmeier ahead
Friday, Oct 22, 2004 - Posted by Rich Miller 5th Supreme Court District Republican candidate Lloyd Karmeier is leading Democrat Gordon Maag, according to a new poll commissioned by a biz group and conducted by a GOP pollster. The poll has Karmeier leading 43-40 with 17 percent undecided. The survey of likely voters was taken Oct 17 and 18 and has a margin of error of +/- 4.9 percent. Here’s more. A September poll by the same group had Karmeier leading 40% to 37% with 21% undecided. [Snip] The poll had some other things to say about the district as well, according to the article: 67% of respondents feel the Illinois Supreme Court is headed in the “wrong direction,” and only 12% believe the high court is headed in the right direction.
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Money Dump
Friday, Oct 22, 2004 - Posted by Rich Miller Remember this morning’s Capitol Fax when I told you about the rumor that the National Chamber was gonna dump $950,000 into Karmeier’s race? The IL Campaign for Political Reform had this tidbit today on their new blog: WOW!! The US Chamber just dumped $950K into the Illinois Republican Party, which in turn gave $911K to Judge Karmeier (R-5th). Never seen a transfer like those two before… When’s the election, again?
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Flippy the Dolphin?
Friday, Oct 22, 2004 - Posted by Rich Miller As I told you today, Cong. Phil Crane is running a negative TV ad against Melissa Bean, and now they are hitting her hard on the “flip-flopping” thing. FOR IMMEDIDATE RELEASE
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Gaming backgrounder
Friday, Oct 22, 2004 - Posted by Rich Miller Here’s a fun little story in the Journal & Topics about gaming expansion. According to both House Gaming Committee chairman State Rep. Lou Lang of Skokie and State Senator Dave Sullivan of Park Ridge, draft gaming bills are being circulated among lawmakers that include a number of potential casino scenarios. At the heart of most of those scenarios is a strong push by Chicago Mayor Richard Daley for a land-based casino. Possible sites mentioned include Navy Pier and near McCormick Place. The entire story is worth a read.
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Indecent
Friday, Oct 22, 2004 - Posted by Rich Miller It looks like 101st House District GOP candidate Scot England and his wife both flipped out a little this week. As Capitol Fax has already told you, the Democrats are spending about $400,000 in this district on behalf of appointed state Rep. Bob Flider, even though England, a former WAND-TV reporter, has raised only about $12,000 this fall. They’ve event sent a couple of senior staff into the race, probably because it’s so close to Springfield. The Democrats have decided to crush this guy, for no particular reason other than they can. England had to quit his job to make the run and claims to have mortgaged his house and car and spent all of his savings - which was supremely stupid, frankly, but still sad. And this week he cracked. I usually have zero sympathy for candidates. Nobody ever holds a gun to a candidate’s head and tells them to run (some precinct workers are occasionally “persuaded,” but not candidates). They get what they get. But there’s no reason for this. (No hyperlink because the story has already disappeared into the Decatur Herald & Review’s paid archives.) DECATUR - Republican Scot England is denouncing attack ads state Rep. Bob Flider, D-Mount Zion, is airing this week, claiming Flider is using more than $200,000 in donations from the Illinois Democratic Party to try to buy the election.
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Sparse turnout for guv
Friday, Oct 22, 2004 - Posted by Rich Miller The one place where Governor Blagojevich is supposed to be popular is the suburbs. Either he has a terrible advance staff (not) or something is not going well out there. Making his first public appearance in Elgin since being elected governor in 2002, Rod Blagojevich on Thursday night predicted Democrats will gain ground in the GOP stronghold of Kane County. In many parts of the state, the punchline of that joke would be taken seriously.
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Don’t let the door hit ‘ya
Friday, Oct 22, 2004 - Posted by Rich Miller The Quad City Times editorial page has had enough of Alan Keyes. Return to sender
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Money totals
Friday, Oct 22, 2004 - Posted by Rich Miller The Illinois Campaign for Political Report has a new chart that plots campaign fundraising totals. Good stuff. Hope they keep it updated.
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PDA campaigning
Friday, Oct 22, 2004 - Posted by Rich Miller Boing Boing posts this message from a reader about how PDAs are being used on campaigns: With regard to the PDA stuff, canvassing operations have been using them to enter data at houses about voters. They use them to store maps of neighborhoods. This helps them control their databases and collect information more efficiently. [Snip] I wonder if they’re entering individual voter information and issue preferences into those PDAs and then uploading the data into a central computer bank, which could then spit out super-personalized direct mail, e-mail and robocall follow-ups.
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I had to kill off two posts from a persistent commenter last week who wanted to focus on the subject. The poster was anonymous, but I had a hunch who it was, found out I was right, and, yes, he does have a connection to Democratic challenger Melissa Bean’s campaign, as well as, apparently, WAY too much time on his hands (although, I gotta admit, the posts were pretty funny and he should not take this as discouragement - keep it up, dude).
According to national Democrats targeting the race, the attention that has been drawn to Crane’s lack of legislative activity coupled with the state GOP’s current disarray have conspired to make the 35-year House veteran vulnerable. They also say Crane’s stay at an alcohol rehabilitation center several years ago doesn’t help matters either, though the GOP says it’s an old issue.
By the way, if the Republicans hadn’t panicked and eliminated straight-ticket voting after the 1996 election, then we wouldn’t even be having this conversation right now. The straight R’s would have overwhelmed Bean.
Kentucky US Senator Jim Bunning is currently facing down media reports that he is rapidly losing his mental faculties. So whoever set up this photo op ought to be shot. 

We are making inroads, and a few polls have listed me as 1 - 3 %. One radio poll in southern Illinois had me at 9%, but it was not a significan number. Thank you for all your help to this point, and I thank you in advance for your support in the upcoming 10 days. Enjoy the game - Go Cards!….Mark Kuhnke MD




