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Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Results and News Feed (Use all CAPS in password)
Wednesday, Nov 8, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller
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Election results analysis thread - The morning after
Wednesday, Nov 8, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller If I can take my eyes off this bizarre, late night TV coverage of the Cook County president’s race, I’ll be heading to bed soon and won’t be posting until later this morning because I have to do a long Capitol Fax first. In the meantime, click on one of the election results links at the bottom of this post and take a look at how the vote went statewide then talk about it below. To the Topinka/Duckworth/Radogno/Watson/Seals/etc. supporters out there, please try to avoid too much bitterness. You had ample opportunity to vent last night. The people have spoken. You gotta come to terms with it, so you might as well start now - even though the end of a losing campaign has all the subtlety of a speeding freight train slamming into a mountainside. Besides, after I’m done working on other things I’ll just delete the over-the-top invective anyway. So deal with it or take it elsewhere. *** UPDATE *** People. The title says “analysis thread,” not “whining thread.” If you still feel the urge to vent, go here so we can wall it off. *** UPDATE 2 *** From the Sun-Times website:
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Protected: FRESH SUBSCRIBER THREAD - Emil Jones now has a veto-proof majority *** Updated x7 ***
Tuesday, Nov 7, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller
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Fresh thread *** Updated x4 ***
Tuesday, Nov 7, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller The live video from CBS2 is now up and running. Also, Judy Baar Topinka has just conceded. Use this as a new election results open thread. *** UPDATE *** Want a good idea what kind of a day it’s been? With 47 percent of the vote counted, Tony Peraica is barely ahead in his re-election bid for Cook County Board Commissioner. This is not the president’s race we’re talking about. He’s barely ahead in his own commissioner’s race. 16,916 for Peraica (50.66 percent) to 16,473 for Democrat William Gomolinski (49.34 percent). Lots of votes to count. *** UPDATE 2 *** Holy Moly. Cook County Board of Review Republican incumbent Maureen Murphy, a former state Rep., is losing badly to Democrat Brendan Houlihan, 56.7 to 43.3 with 69 percent counted. *** UPDATE 3 *** AP has declared Alexi Giannoulias the winner. That’s a sweep for the Democrats, who were swept 12 years ago. And Senate President Emil Jones is closing in on a veto-proof majority as I write this. *** UPDATE 4 *** If you’re still up at 12:49, you really should be watching Chicago TV right now. This Cook County thing is getting more bizarre by the minute. Tony Peraica and a crowd of angry supporters are heading over to the County Building. ABC7’s feed is still on.
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Congressional thread *** Updated x4 ***
Tuesday, Nov 7, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller We’re finally starting to get some numbers out of Congressional races. Go check them out here. At 9:12 pm, with 39.8 percent of the votes counted, Republican Mark Kirk was ahead of Democrat Dan Seals 51.3 to 48.7. Also at 9:12, with about half the vote counted, Democrat Melissa Bean is leading her three-way race 49.7 to 44.9 to 5.4. Not enough numbers in 6 to even bother reporting. *** UPDATE *** The AP has declared Congressmen Jerry Weller a winner. *** UPDATE 2 *** I missed this one earlier, but it’s no surprise. The AP has declared Democrat Phil Hare a winner over Andrea Zinga. *** UPDATE 3 *** Democrat Melissa Bean has been declared the winner. Too busy to check the national scene right now. How’s it going? Tell me in comments. *** UPDATE 4 *** Trib reports that Peter Roskam wins, Duckworth loses.
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Protected: AT LEAST FIVE LEGISLATIVE REPUBLICANS IN BIG DANGER *** UPDATED X7 *** Serious craziness for some Dems in DuPage
Tuesday, Nov 7, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller
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Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Where to find legislative results
Tuesday, Nov 7, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller
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Projected: 49-39-11 - Associated Press Calls Election for Blagojevich… AP Calls race for Lisa Madigan, Jesse White *** Updated x13 ***
Tuesday, Nov 7, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller Post ‘em as they come in. *** UPDATE *** The Associated Press has called the election for Rod Blagojevich at 7:05pm. *** UPDATE 2 *** Judy Baar Topinka wants to see some results before conceding. *** UPDATE 3 *** AP prediction is based on exit polling. There’s some controversy over the AP’s move because Kane County is still voting. An early call like this could impact two Tier One state Senate races. *** UPDATE 4 *** The AP has not released its exit polling results yet, but Blagojevich must have a huge lead for the AP to make such a quick announcement. *** UPDATE 5 *** AP:
*** UPDATE 6 *** AP:
*** UPDATE 7 *** AP story links on the governor’s win can be found here, here, here, here, and here. *** UPDATE 8 *** The exit polling reportedly had the Blagojevich lead in the double-digits during the 4 o’clock round of surveys and the media honchos at the time decided that if the 7 o’clock numbers were about the same they’d call it for Blagojevich right away. The Blagojevich people say privately that they’ve been looking at a big lead in their own analysis today. *** UPDATE 9 *** Word is, the AP had the generic ballot statewide at 46/30 for the Democrats. *** UPDATE 10 *** The AP’s projected vote total is 49/39/11. *** UPDATE 11 *** Statement by Judy Baar Topinka at 8:10 pm:
*** UPDATE 12 *** Even though polls were still open in Kane County, at about 8:18 the AP called the race for attorney general Lisa Madigan. *** UPDATE 13 *** AP has called it for Jesse White. [Comments closed. Go here.]
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Late afternoon elections experience thread *** Updated x8 ***
Tuesday, Nov 7, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller [Updated with preliminary turnout numbers and bumped to the top.] I don’t know if you’ve noticed it or not, but this blog - whether in comments or on the front page - has broken every major story about election problems in Illinois today, from the Kane County Clerk fiasco to Cook County voters walking off with the magic pens, and plenty more. Good job. And while we’re patting ourselves on the back, we also got a mention in today’s MSNBC story about those harrassing GOP robocalls that the Tribune and others refuse to take seriously. Here’s the MSNBC piece. It’s a bit difficult to see it on this clip, but the network credits the blog because we’re the ones who posted the robocall audio in the first place. Keep those election day observations coming. Warning: This is a Britney-free zone. [Goofy spelling error corrected] *** UPDATE *** E-mail from a friend (slightly altered to protect the identity) Elmwood (Peoria County). A co-worker of mine got in line to vote at 7:00. There were five electronic voting machines for the entire town, no paper ballot option. The national media, pundits and leaders all demanded that the nation modernize its voting after the notorious 2000 problems with punchcards. I didn’t have any trouble with casting my electronic vote in Springfield, but I also had to trust the computer to tabulate my vote for me. The paper trail was unreadable computer code. I don’t like that. Discuss if you like. Also, what else have you heard? *** UPDATE 2 *** One Bloom Township precinct could not open on time at 6 a.m. today because the keys and a precinct judge were missing, according to an official from Cook County Clerk David Orr’s office. […] *** UPDATE 3 *** This Kane County Clerk guy really sounds like he’s on the ball. Not.
And here’s the official order:
*** UPDATE 4 *** Turnout numbers:
*** UPDATE 5 *** From blogger Bill Baar, a Kane County resident, in comments:
*** UPDATE 6 *** Republicans are doing a massive volunteer and paid phone banking operation right now (7pm) to call people in Kane County. I assume the Dems are doing the same. Will check, though. *** UPDATE 7 *** As I expected, the Dems are doing robocalls and phone-banking as well in Kane County. *** UPDATE 8 *** Democrats have reportedly been debating internally whether to file a motion with the Illinois Supreme Court to close the polls in Kane County that didn’t have problems this morning. Some Dems just want to keep open the 40 that had problems. The argument is it benefits the GOP to keep all the polls open. A spokesman for the Supreme Court said he hadn’t seen anything yet and didn’t even know where someone could file a motion like this.
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Exit polls
Tuesday, Nov 7, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller Raw Story appears to have them. Go look and discuss here if you want. I’m a bit distracted for an hour or so.
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Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Two major legislative races impacted by Kane County’s voting chaos *** Updated x1 ***
Tuesday, Nov 7, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller
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Fresh elections experience report thread *** Updated x6 ***
Tuesday, Nov 7, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller [Updated and bumped to the top. Check out the Kane County updates. Unbelievable.] Keep those polling place stories coming. Also, what else have you heard or seen on the street? Scroll down to see the 8 updates from the last election day thread. *** UPDATE 1 *** This particular problem was reported in comments much earlier this morning.
*** UPDATE 2 *** Here’s an update from CBS2 on that problem in Kane County that I told you about earlier today: Kane County polls will remain open until 9:30 p.m. after a larger number of polling places opened late Tuesday morning, officials said. *** UPDATE 3 *** Lisa Madigan on the job: A spokeswoman for Attorney General Lisa Madigan’s office said they have received a steady stream of calls with complaints, mostly about lack of supplies, such as too few pens. The office also reported complaints about equipment failures, including problems with ballot counters and touch screens not working properly.
*** UPDATE 4 *** Apparently, the Kane County Democrats tried to warn the dominant Republicans about some of these and other issues last month and were dismissed as partisans. He also said there should be an investigation because of the combination of nationwide concern over electronic voting machines and how secure they are, and the fact that David Bruun, the county’s director of elections, is a convicted felon… “Why not have him work in some other area like the mail room or vital records?” […] [Hat tip to a subscriber in comments.] *** UPDATE 5 *** It seems that the Kane County Clerk has a history of problems with election day. The Aurora Beacon News published this story early today.
*** UPDATE 6 *** It just keeps getting worse.
One o’clock? For crying out loud. [Comments closed. Go here instead.]
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We’re getting increased traffic, of course, so I’ve deleted a couple of news feeds that aren’t all that important for the rest of the day. They’ll mostly be reinstated tonight. Also, I’ve bumped up the CBS2 feed on the right side because they’re doing lots of updates. Expect regular, hourly updates starting at 7pm and then at 9:55 pm CBS2 will go live for several hours. I’ll have that live video feed for you on the right side above the ads and the news feeds. One other quick thing - the “Election Night” pulldown menu on the right side under the subscription box is not quite finished yet. The CNN and the State Vote links work, but the others won’t be activated until the papers post links for their live results. Everything else should be working fine.
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Turnout reports - Election experience - Other observations *** Updated x8 ***
Tuesday, Nov 7, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller [Renamed and bumped up to the top again because it’s the most important post of the morning.] What was turnout like at your polling place this morning? If you haven’t voted yet, make sure to ask when you get there. What other things have you noticed today? Also, please disclose your general area when describing turnout, voting experience and other observations. It does nobody any good if you say there was a long line at your precinct place but you don’t tell us where you are. *** UPDATE *** From The Hotline’s blog at around 9:30: We’ve checked in with the national parties, and aside from minor, sporadic tangles and anecdotal evidence of high turnout, there are no major national voting problems. *** UPDATE 2 *** These electronic voting machines have got to go. From the Tribune: Sticky or slippery hands–from too much lotion or even a tasty meal–can foul up keycards used to activate touch-screen balloting machines, forcing voters to return to check-in lines and triggering delays. Anyone have any problems with this yet? *** UPDATE 3 *** Are there problems with the electronic machines breaking down in Cook County and Chicago? Republicans are claiming long lines, people leaving because the machines aren’t functioning properly. So far, it’s just a handful of examples. No widespread reports of massive problems as of yet, but stay tuned. *** UPDATE 4 *** Top official with the Cook County Clerk’s elections office disputed the GOP claims in Update 3. Official statement soon. *** UPDATE 5 *** Statement from the Cook County Clerk’s office: “Overall, so far, things are running a lot more smoothly for us than they were in March… Scattered problems, but there are scattered problems in every election… [Problems have been] pretty simple to fix over the phone… Things are better.” *** UPDATE 6 *** Just received this e-mail from Joshua Hoyt at the The Illinois Coalition for Immigrant and Refugee Rights: Rich, big problems with Latino voter suppression issue in Carpentersville and to a lesser extent in Elgin. *** UPDATE 7 *** Most of you probably already know this, but consider it a public service message. From the Sun-Times website:
*** UPDATE 8 *** CBS2 reporting from Wilmette, has a story on voting problems. [Comments closed. Please go here for a fresh thread.]
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I really need to buy a generator. Of all days to happen, the power went out at the International Headquarters. Thanks to quick work by CWLP, it was back on within 30 minutes. Heart attack avoided.
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Election day traditions?
Tuesday, Nov 7, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller Do you have any particular election day tradition? I used to get my hair cut on election day, but now that I get my hair cut on a much more regular basis I don’t do that any longer. [Idea blatantly stolen from Tom Kacich’s blog.]
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Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Target Feed (use all CAPS in password)
Tuesday, Nov 7, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller
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Upset prediction
Tuesday, Nov 7, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller Choose one race, it doesn’t matter what level, that you think will surprise the pundits and the experts. Explain why. Let’s try to keep it to Illinois, however.
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Question of the day
Tuesday, Nov 7, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller What do you think this year’s election will be best remembered for?
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Man, the State Board of Elections website doesn’t appear to be handling this morning’s traffic all that well. It’s a buggy mess anyway, but it is particularly bad today.
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Election coverage round-up
Tuesday, Nov 7, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller * Precinct captains, when faced with a recalcitrant voter, will often try to bargain with them to get just a couple of crucial votes out of the household. The Tribune appoints itself a captain today. If you feel confused, or fatigued, or intimidated, you may not want to vote Tuesday. Would you, though, give 10 minutes to prove that deceit and smear ads shouldn’t pay? To say you want an ounce of pride in the people you permit to spend your tax dollars, in your name, to shelter troubled girls and boys, and to provide health care to uninsured families? Trouble is, captains understand that the votes they can usually bargain for are way down the ballot. People like to believer that they’re making up their own minds about top of the ticket races. * The Sun-Times wrap-up article gives five reasons to vote today. * Meanwhile,
">Bill Dennis calls Zorn out.
* Mike Lawrence and Edwin Eisendrath each write about the election and the aftermath. * The Tribune wrap-up article makes a good point. Many Illinoisans–unused to figuring into the national political equation–saw for perhaps the first time how races have been conducted across the country in the last few years, with millions of dollars spent by national Republicans and Democrats on attack ads, automated telephone calls and micro-targeted direct-mail pieces. * And it was some serious spending: If money is the mother’s milk of politics, there are some fat babies out there among local TV stations this campaign season. * And the Daily Herald sets the stage. Benumbed by more negative TV ads than any election in recent memory, suburban voters head to the polls today to decide whether to keep or dump their governor and offer the final word on a trio of hard-fought congressional races whose outcome will help determine whether Speaker Dennis Hastert and the Republican Party hold on to power.
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